
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek
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About FOMCRateCallThisWeek
The Fed's September rate decision lands Sept 16 at 18:00 UTC. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and HSBC have shifted to a 25bps hike; 86 of 101 economists in a Reuters survey agree, market pricing near 90%. If delivered, fed funds moves to 3.75%-4.00%. Key data: August PPI 5.4% YoY, CPI 0.4% MoM. Goldman sees this as the Fed avoiding a pricing reversal rather than reacting to worsening fundamentals. Trump remains opposed. If the Fed holds, how it explains the inflation-policy gap will be watched.
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Bude Fed pokračovat v „sérii zvyšování sazeb“? Opakuje se „cyklus utažení“ z konce 80. let?
Původní název: „Bude Fed pokračovat v „sérii zvyšování sazeb“? Opakuje se „cyklus utažení“ z konce 80. let?“
Původní zdroj: Wall Street Insights
Zpráva Citi uvádí, že současné makroekonomické prostředí je velmi podobné utažovacímu cyklu z let 1988-1989, kdy ekonomika zůstávala odolná, inflační tlaky postupně narůstaly, následovalo zpomalení ekonomické aktivity a teprve poté se politika obrátila k uvolnění. V tehdejším utažovacím cyklu Fed zvýšil sazby 16krát v řadě. Obavy trhu z obnovení zvyšo

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 87% chance the Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 bps at tomorrow's FOMC meeting
$BTC may drop because the price is already pricing in the news 🔽🔽

$BTC is facing a very different kind of test now.
Not just a price test.
A macro test.
Bitcoin has climbed back above $70K after falling toward $60K in late August, but rising Treasury yields and expectations around the Fed are creating fresh pressure.
At the same time, Bitcoin ETF demand has been showing renewed institutional interest.
So I'm watching two things:
Liquidity → can risk assets keep attracting capital?
Demand → are buyers still willing to accumulate BTC around these levels?
That's more interesting to me than trying to predict whether tomorrow's candle will be green or red.
Price is the result.
The flows and conditions behind it are what I want to understand.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AIAnxietyHitsChipStocks

“The Clarity Act won’t pass, so $BTC is going to dump further.”
“A rate hike is expected tomorrow with FOMC, so BTC is going to dump even more.”
Little do they know, the market has already priced in those expectations. That’s why it’s dumping BEFORE the news is released.
By the time the news gives the crowd a reason to sell, they are already selling into the very bids that mark the bottom.

$BTC holding flat while $ETH slips 0.83% is a weak foundation for a broad risk-on call. $SOL's marginal gain does little to change that read.
With the FOMC rate call in focus, I read this as a market holding its ground, not building momentum. $ETH's relative weakness is the detail that matters.
Just my read, not advice.$BTC $ETH

BTC holding flat while ETH slips 0.83% is a weak foundation for a broad risk-on call. SOL's marginal gain does little to change that read.
With the FOMC rate call in focus, I read this as a market holding its ground, not building momentum. ETH's relative weakness is the detail that matters.
Just my read, not advice.$BTC $ETH
🚨 Worst-case setup for crypto:
If the crypto bill fails while a rate hike gets pushed toward October, markets could see a serious risk-off move.
A sharp sell-off could potentially drag $BTC toward $71.5K and $ETH toward $2.15K.
Some of this risk may already be priced in, but the current weakness suggests downside pressure could still have room to play out.
⚠️ Stay cautious around the FOMC.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AIAnxietyHitsChipStocks #SaudiOilPipelineDamaged
All the negative news for $BTC has come out, so does that mean it's good news??
Have you ever thought about this question: since the probability of a rate hike has reached 90%, why hasn't the price dropped yet?
Could it be because everyone already knows that the rate hike is basically certain, so after that round of decline,
the impact of the rate hike won't cause much more volatility#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AIAnxietyHitsChipStocks #CLARITYVoteStillDivided
The most bearish scenario: if the crypto bill fails and a rate hike is pushed to October, crypto could face a major risk-off event.
A sharp daily sell-off could send $BTC toward $71.5K and $ETH toward $2.15K.
The market may already be pricing in these risks, but current weakness suggests the pain may not be fully reflected yet.
Stay cautious around the FOMC. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AIAnxietyHitsChipStocks #SaudiOilPipelineDamaged
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
The 25bp Fed hike landed, yet Bitcoin spot ETFs still saw ~$160M in net inflows. 👀
Markets often price in hikes before they happen, so the actual decision can become “old news.”
BTC is now around $78K–$79K, with $82,470 as the key 50-week MA. A clean break and hold above it could signal stronger momentum.
Can BTC reclaim $82.5K? 📈
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow
$BTC $ETH & $ZEC RISING BUT REAL MOVE MAY COME LATER
A 90% September Fed hike probability should pressure risk assets,crypto still holding higher.
That could mean one thing: volatility before decision.
BTC: $81K–$82.15K resistance |$75K support
ETH: $2.6K–$2.65K resistance |$2,500 support
ZEC: $1,093–$1,199 resistance | $1,089–$1,102 support
A liquidity sweep in both directions could come before the real breakout or breakdown.@OKX中文 @OKX成长学院 #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #AIAnxietyHitsChipStocks
