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八百里青禾
八百里青禾
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$XAU 黄金最近很矛盾, 4000点的支撑位已破 。 一句话:央行一如既往、市场表现叛逆。 一边央行连续增持, 一边是ETF在减仓。 同时 机构分歧大: 有机构认为4000美元附近有支撑, 也有机构断定流动性冲击、美债收益率高企会继续压制。 散户更矛盾: 深圳水贝转了一圈: 客流旺,但实际成交偏小克重、刚需为主, 不能简单理解成“全民抄底”。 所以长期买家还在, 但短线交易资金因为美债收益率、美元、加息预期和流动性冲击在撤退。 金价现在主要被“快资金”影响, 央行和长期配置盘更像底部托手。
八百里青禾
八百里青禾
$XAU US September CPI year-on-year 3.7%, core year-on-year 2.6%, both exceeding expectations, the market is re-betting that the Fed rate hikes or high interest rates will last longer. Gold was directly hammered, spot price fell from around 4150 to below 4100, In the short term (1-2 weeks), it may fluctuate weakly, watch if the $4000 level can hold At the $4000 level, most institutions believe this is strong support, central bank buying and ETF funds will step in here. But if the US dollar and US Treasury yields continue to strengthen, there may be a short-term dip below before pulling back. More attention should be paid to the Fed meeting on October 28: if CPI exceeds expectations causing rate hike expectations to heat up, gold stocks will remain under pressure in the short term. So, no rush to bottom fish now.

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