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colword.std
colword.std
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第二科:抗揍度,波动与夏普 波动率 $BTC 21.9% 对 $ETH 38.8%,二哥的日常就是坐过山车——方向没占到便宜,刺激先领满了。风险调整后差距收窄但座次不变:夏普 -6.34 对 -6.57,同样抖一个单位的波动,大哥亏得更少,单位风险的账算下来依然是大哥划算。平均费率 $BTC +0.0074%、$ETH +0.0058%,两边多头都在交税养空头,大哥税单略贵,胜在盘子深、消化得动。这一科大哥 8 分、二哥 5 分——扣分理由:波动大不算错,波动大还跌得多才是错。 第三科:饭卡余额,资金脸色 今晨快照:$BTC 合约持仓 25.3 亿美元,$ETH 14.8 亿美元,大哥的盘子大出一圈半。有个遗憾得先交代:持仓端逐日净流入的历史接口今天罢工(行情源被挡,公开渠道暂无替代数据),这一科只能拿费率和现货脸色凑数——两边费率一个 +0.0089%、一个 +0.0086%,情绪几乎复制粘贴;ETF 端上周还有净流入,本周现货需求被点名疲软、量能缩 11%,整个市场都在省着钱过冬。没有增量资金的日子里,深品种吃流动性,浅品种吃波动,$BTC 就是那个深的。
colword.std
colword.std
PK Day | Verdict on $BTC The results are out, let's start by naming names Seven-day test window (from 10/22 to this morning's snapshot) results are in: $BTC return -2.30%, $ETH -4.22%, the big brother took only half the hit; max drawdown 2.3% vs 4.2%, volatility 21.9% vs 38.8%, Sharpe ratio -6.34 vs -6.57. Overall report card: $BTC barely passed all, this round's verdict is still $BTC, reigning champion. The judgment remains: in a bear market, it's not about who earns more, but who loses more gracefully — in this skill, the second brother has fallen behind twice in a row. $ETH camp, don't throw your phones yet, there are details on the back of the paper, let's look at each subject slowly. First subject: Return rate, who slid less Normalized curves plotted on the same chart: on 10/22 both stood shoulder to shoulder at this cycle's peak ($BTC 82,048, $ETH 2,417), then descended together, the slope is the entire difference — big brother gradually slid to 79,777, second brother slipped directly to around 2,305. Drawdown is more straightforward: big brother's deepest 2.3%, second brother 4.2%, same seven days, second brother's slide was twice as long. Their pace was basically synchronized, both took a hit on 10/23, bounced on 10/24, then slowly declined, the difference was this morning's drop — big brother closed down -0.92%, second brother -1.25%, who led the jump is clear at a glance.

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