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麋鹿乱撞🦌
麋鹿乱撞🦌
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下午扫盘,最扎心的是这波反弹“含金量”严重不足。宏观面上,美债收益率持续飙升叠加中东风险未平,加上美股财报接连暴雷拖累风险偏好,避险情绪极度浓厚。 BTC现报78,900附近,24小时跌2.8%,日线短中期均线已形成完全空头排列。上方81,561附近空单密集压制;下方76,707多单清算强度高达19亿美元。8万是心理防线,收盘站不上反弹皆是纸老虎。ETH报2,268跌4%,RSI逼近超卖,但2,300-2,320一带是即时阻力与清算区,站不上仍是下跌中继。SOL报96.66,已跌破100大关,指标超卖但动能停滞。102.05是分水岭,收不回仍属空头掌控。ETF数据直白:BTC流入1.35亿,ETH流出2111万,SOL周流出2480万,机构资金正向安全资产回防。 策略上,下午不追空更不接飞刀。BTC死盯79,966清算区,跌破顺势看76,707;反抽80,500-81,000遇阻轻仓空。ETH等2,300-2,320反抽确认卖压,防守2,350。SOL 102.05收不回,反弹皆是逃命机会。宏观偏鹰,保住本金才能熬过寒冬。#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%,加息预期仍高
麋鹿乱撞🦌
麋鹿乱撞🦌
Woke up this morning and glanced at the market, feeling a chill down my spine. Binance hot wallet suspected of being hacked triggered a short-term stampede; in the past hour, $629 million liquidated across the network, with longs accounting for $607 million, and $953 million liquidated in 24 hours. BTC once dipped to 78,763, ETH fell below 2,250, and SOL directly smashed through 96. This is not an ordinary correction but a chain liquidation triggered by news. The macro environment is even worse. US Q3 GDP at 3.4% exceeded expectations, core PCE YoY at 3.1% met expectations, the data mix is hawkish, and the probability of a rate hike in December soared to 85%. The Fed's "hawkish pause" is hitting risk assets collectively. BTC currently at 81,054, hourly MA5 resistance at 81,113, support below at 80,632; if broken, 80,000 is exposed. After ETH broke 2,300, the 200-day EMA at 2,310 is the bull-bear dividing line; failure to close above it heads straight to 2,205. SOL lost 100, moving averages all pressing down; 98.73 is the lower Bollinger band, 96.38 is strong support, oversold but no reversal yet. Strategy-wise, firmly avoid chasing rebounds before the news is clear. BTC rebound faces resistance at 81,100-81,500, bearish bias; only stabilizes if it holds above 80,632. ETH failing to reclaim 2,310 means all rebounds are fake. SOL closing below 98.5 targets 96.38. The Binance incident is today's biggest variable; leverage compressed to within 3x, survive first. #OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手,推动永续合约进入美国合规市场
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Snapshot at Oct 30, 2026, 06:56

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