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Crypto记忆
看预测市场里关于大饼的盘口，我慢慢不爱说“肯定”了。平时看盘总盯着价格，这里还得看期限、看事件怎么算发生。赔率高，跟事情板上钉钉差得远。如果盘口很薄，那么资金稍微挤进来，显示的概率就可能走样。我现在看到赔率变动，会先琢磨是多了新信息，还是钱把它推过去了。本来想找个准话，结果连问题都越拆越多，脑壳疼。
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