【Crypto Circle Script】
#10月FOMC临近,美联储暂停加息还有哪些变数?
The Federal Reserve is meeting again next week
This time the market generally bets on a pause in rate hikes
Among 100 economists surveyed by Reuters
94 expect rates to remain unchanged
Sounds like good news for BTC?
But I think it's not that simple
Many people have a misconception
They think if the Fed stops raising rates
It means they will start easing money supply
It's not that good
Pausing rate hikes and cutting rates are two different things
To put it simply
Not tightening the purse strings further
Doesn't mean they will give you money
Inflation in the US is still high
CPI and PPI have consecutively exceeded expectations
The Fed is in a tough spot
If they raise rates
They fear causing economic problems
If they don't
They worry inflation won't be controlled
It's a bit of a dilemma
Moreover, the market has long been betting on a pause
If they really announce a pause
It may not push BTC up much
After all, good news that everyone knows in advance
Is often already priced in
$BTC$ETH$ZEC
Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more