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币圈八爺
币圈八爺
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这组资金流我看完,结论和盘面是对得上的:走的全是杠杆钱,不是现货在夺路而逃,这一点得分清,不然容易自己吓自己。 BTC在30天合约净流出77.1亿,短线回流已经完全消退。 ETH更狠,30天合约走了84.6亿,资金结构明显比BTC还弱,这跟它这几天持仓缩得最深、一小时都抬不起头,完全是一个故事。 SOL是里面唯一有亮点的,现货24小时还净流入886万,有人在低位接货,可合约钱照样跑了2401万,杠杆不回头,反弹就没腿。 ZEC现货合约双流出,30天合约走了10.4亿,前阵子的热闹是真退潮了,成交再热也是换手,不是回流。 消息面上更没帮手:美联储在静默期,没人出来喂话,油价又冲到116上方给通胀添柴,市场只能自己硬扛到周四,FOMC、GDP、PCE挨个落地才算开奖。 我的看法:BTC在80000下方晃,短线那点回补就是空头加抢反弹,不是趋势买盘。后续就两种走法:站回80000、合约流出先止住,我才信反弹有下文;站不回去又跌破前低,那就是往下再找一层台阶。开奖之前,任何反弹我都先当减仓机会,不追;ETH最弱,抄底的念头我先压着;SOL只盯现货承接还在不在,杠杆钱不回来,它也走不远。
币圈幸运达人
币圈幸运达人
Currently, short-term capital inflows have completely dissipated, and mid-term capital continues to exit. The bearish outlook is maintained today. $BTC 🔻24-hour spot net outflow of $19.56 million, contract net outflow of $257 million; spot net outflow of $64.86 million, contract net outflow of $385 million. The 30-day contract net outflow has further expanded to $7.71 billion. Short-term support is clearly insufficient, and mid-term capital is still continuously withdrawing. $ETH 🔻24-hour spot net outflow of $31.32 million, contract net outflow of $192 million. Although there was a slight 24-hour spot net inflow of $1.72 million, the contract side still saw a net outflow of $166 million. The 30-day contract net outflow is as high as $8.46 billion, with a capital structure clearly weaker than BTC. $SOL 🔻24-hour spot net inflow of $8.86 million, but contract net outflow of $24.01 million; 30-day contract net outflow of $2 billion. There is capital support on the spot side, but leveraged funds are unwilling to stay, limiting the sustainability of the rebound. ZEC 🔻24-hour spot and contract net outflows of $3.4 million and $34.43 million respectively, with a 30-day contract net outflow of $1.04 billion. After a strong market, signs of capital withdrawal are very evident. BTC is oscillating below $80,000, and the 15-minute level capital replenishment should be seen more as short covering and low-level rebound grabbing rather than trend buying. BTC's rebound is unlikely to drive contract capital inflows, and ETH, SOL, and ZEC will continue to face downward pressure.

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