Post
ARRIWYKS
#RocketLabQ3Neutron
Why YES on Rev:
13/19 beats (68%). Electron 17 contracts Q3, >20 launches yr. SpaceX Q3 +161% $14.6B lifted space. Space Systems mix.
Why NO on Neutron:
First launch slip 2026→2027 — tank redesign, carbon fiber defect. Stock -28% 1M, -33% 6M, $53 off $151 high. Iridium $5.9B deal
Valuation: $31B mcap, P/E N/A, beta 3.19, EPS -$0.37. Avg PT $122 = 130% upside. Cantor Buy.
Call: 75% REV BEAT, 50% EPS — needs >$265M + backlog >$2.5B + Neutron pad Q4 timeline to reclaim $65.
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