Post

Cato_KT
Cato_KT
Influential Creator
Show original
周一的 #Bitcoin ETF 数据还未更新,单看盘面其实走势不是那么好,美股上涨中 #BTC 却连续测试8万附近的支撑,其实也未必是好事 有的小伙伴觉得频繁测试8万支撑反弹证明此处有买单是好事,但是换个角度,如果价格持续测试支持,抛压换手买单不断消耗,可能会削弱此处支撑的强度 而且小时级别8万附近反弹后虽然强,但是遇到1小时布林带阻力就出现抛压,显然信心区间并不强 最重要的是1小时布林带处于下行状态,按照目前这个走势,价格反弹只会越来越低,80,000支撑会连续承受抛压,如果这种情况持续多次,很有可能彻底消耗掉8万附近的支撑力量 加密市场数据方面,主要关注资金动向,对比上周六,加密市场资金净流出9亿,其中USDT2.4亿,USDT 净流出4.38亿,资金流向并不乐观 目前 $BTC 、加密市场数据,唯独缺一个ETF数据,盘面走势与数据流向都不太乐观,确实需要警惕跌破8万的继续回调的风险,如果明天周一的ETF数据依旧是净流出,则证明上周一到周三的资金回流只是短期抄底,机构用户依旧信心不足,那么整体对盘面的乐观程度要降低 #BTC现货ETF资金反复,市场买盘能否企稳?
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
On Thursday, there was a large net outflow from the #Bitcoin ETF, but the actual drop on the market was less than 4,000 points, clearly showing the market is getting stronger! Continuing from yesterday's topic, looking at the #BTC market, the daily trend has clearly strengthened, and the pullbacks are only short-term hourly-level risks. However, attention is still needed: the 4-hour level pullback needs to test the long-short turnover around 80,000 again. On one hand, to see if the selling pressure has been completely cleared in the short term; on the other hand, to observe the strength of the rebound buying orders. From a technical perspective, after MA120 crossed below MA200, we need to see when it stabilizes and turns upward. In the short term, although the 80,000 support is effective, as the 4-hour MA120 continues to decline limiting the rebound space, the consolidation range keeps narrowing and macro pressure continues to weigh down, the pressure on the 80,000 support will increase. Therefore, next we first watch the consolidation: whether the 80,000 support is effective, and whether the 4-hour MA120 during the rebound will become a persistent resistance to the rebound. If MA120 continues to decline and the rebound cannot break through, the 80,000 support will be in jeopardy. Once the price effectively breaks below 80,000, it will break the hourly-level consolidation pullback trend and enter a daily-level pullback trend. Of course, the long-term daily trend is fine. Once the daily pullback ends, a new trend will begin, so the upcoming observation is very important! #ETF单日流出超6亿美元,BTC价格能否企稳?

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!