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闪迪(SNDK)10月30日收盘价是否高于1,238.03美元?
$SNDK 闪迪(SNDK):赚疯了,但涨价拐点藏暗雷
FY27Q1营收110.3亿(环比+23%、同比+378%),非GAAP毛利率85.1%,EPS 49.51美元,自由现金流57亿,数据炸裂。
核心逻辑就一句:AI推理的KV缓存把NAND从“配件”逼成“算力基础设施”。数据中心收入环比+61%、占比近44%,NBM长协锁掉FY27一半产能、FY28三分之二,939亿底价订单托底,11月19日1拆8。
但盘面“利好兑现先跌”——财报后跌5.3%。痛点在这:
量增贡献60%、价增只40%,现货NAND涨幅在收敛(Q2+70%→近期+25%);
长协锁价=用弹性换确定性,现货若降温,估值想象空间被削;
铠侠预警“涨价放缓”,周期顶点信号冒头。
结论:基本面是存储超级周期真龙头,但股价已计价“完美预期”。不追高,等回踩+拆股后流动性重构。A股映射看存储模组/主控(江波龙、佰维、兆易),节奏跟行业价不是跟情绪。
(非投资建议,仅供复盘)
1030 🎥 Review sndk
$SNDK just got on board yesterday
Today SNDK immediately hit me with intensity
Opened position at 1285
Current price 1177
Intraday dropped over 14% at one point
Lowest directly plunged to 1174
Originally thought around 1280 it could at least hold a bit
But the market didn’t even put on a show
1200 broke as soon as it was tested
The worst part of this wave isn’t losing money
It’s that you just bought
And it feels like it knows you got on board, smashing down all the way
Now the 15-minute chart shows continuous volume selling
Short-term sentiment clearly hasn’t recovered
If it can’t hold around 1170
There’s still risk of further bottom probing below
But I won’t cut losses at the bottom in this position
Hedge if needed
Reduce leverage if needed
First keep your life, then talk
The most frustrating moment in trading
Is not that you picked the wrong direction
But that your direction might be right
Yet the market doesn’t give you time to wait for the right day $BTC $ETH

89K vol
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