Posteo
Katie_OKX
#WeakConsumptionFedSplit July retail sales falling 0.6% caught my attention because the market was expecting growth, not the biggest decline since May 2025 📉
Consumer sentiment weakened too, dropping to 51.0 in August. Combined with cooler CPI and PPI, that makes a September rate hike harder to justify.
But the picture still isn’t clean. One-year inflation expectations actually rose from 4.2% to 4.3%, so consumers are spending less while expecting prices to remain elevated 😵💫
To me, that’s the uncomfortable part: weaker demand points toward slower growth, while persistent inflation expectations give the Fed a reason to stay cautious. The data isn’t clearly hawkish or dovish—it’s pulling policy in opposite directions.
I’m curious which signal the Fed will prioritize now: what consumers are doing today, or what they expect prices to do next.
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El pulso del mercado hoy
1#Funcionarios de la Reserva Federal dicen que la inflación sigue siendo el mayor riesgo
2#La venta masiva de AI en el mercado de valores estadounidense hizo que el Nasdaq perdiera 2.3 billones de dólares en un solo día
3#El IBIT de BlackRock registró una salida neta diaria de 405 millones de dólares, alcanzando un máximo en cuatro meses