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#US stocks and gold & silver plunge simultaneously, safe-haven capital flows diverge
#US stocks and gold & silver plunge simultaneously, liquidity stampede across the entire market: sell what can be liquidated first, regardless of safe-haven or growth
Global assets are collectively sold off, driven not by a single fundamental negative factor but by institutional liquidity stampede.
US stocks: Nasdaq dropped 2.86% in one day, with over $2 trillion market cap evaporated in October; Google plunged 12.6%, Intel crashed 28.6%, semiconductor sector became the main driver of the sell-off. A-shares weakened in sync, STAR 50 fell 5.48%, ChiNext dropped over 4%.
Precious metals completely lost their safe-haven status: gold fell 3.3% in one day, silver dropped 5.9%, accumulating declines of 6.5% and 18.3% respectively in October.
Crypto market under pressure: BTC bottomed at $76,300, 24-hour decline of 3%-5%, with about $1.57 billion liquidated across the market. The $76,100-$76,800 range is the core long liquidation cluster; breaking below with volume will trigger a new round of forced selling pressure, worsening an already fragile market.
Underlying logic: when institutions face margin calls and redemption pressure, they prioritize selling highly liquid assets—whether tech growth stocks or traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver—to convert everything into cash flow first. In a liquidity crisis, there is no absolutely safe asset.
$BTC $ETH $BTC $ETH are pulling back on low volume, what am I watching?
Liquidity is thin over the weekend, both BTC and ETH are in a low-volume tug-of-war rhythm. It's too early to say "stabilizing and rebounding," it looks more like searching for a temporary balance zone.
BTC: The 76,000 area is the current defensive observation point, with 78,500–79,000 above forming the first resistance. I don't guess the direction, just watch the conditions: can the monthly candle close above 77,000? If yes, the bottom structure can be considered initially established; if not, a second retest is a scenario to watch.
ETH: 2,150–2,200 is the core defense, only above 2,300 can we talk about recovery, and the 100-day EMA near 2,350 remains a strong resistance. Before the structure completes, repeated range movements are normal.
More worth watching than price levels are two things: Hedge funds recently reduced about 68,000 BTC worth of ETF exposure; a single-day inflow cannot change the net outflow trend for the month; the Federal Reserve maintains rates at 3.75%–4%, with two members even advocating for hikes. The high-rate environment directly suppresses incremental capital's willingness to chase highs.
My personal observation framework is simple: low-volume rebounds don't count; only a high-volume recovery above resistance zones warrants reevaluating the structure. Weekend volatility tends to amplify, so position management is more practical than direction guessing.
The above is just my personal review notes and does not constitute any investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile; please make independent judgments and control risks.
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 $SOL: Short on rebound
Strategy:
· Wait for the price to rebound to the 96.50-97.00 range (EMA20 resistance zone and previous downtrend consolidation platform) and then enter short.
· Target first at 93.50 (24-hour low), if broken effectively then look at 92.26 (previous low). Stop loss set above 98.00.
Core basis:
1. Bears absolutely dominate: Figure 1 shows the nominal long-short ratio is only 28.57%, with short positions reaching 357 million U (3.5 times that of longs!). The average short cost is 98.72, currently holding nearly 67% profit, with a large defense margin; while longs average 107.49 deeply underwater, losing over 12.59 million U. The market is completely controlled by bears.
2. Moving average bearish pressure: On the 1-hour level, EMA5 (95.59), EMA10 (95.67), and EMA20 (95.83) are tightly converged and slightly downward, price rebounds are very weak, unable to effectively break above the moving averages, bearish trend remains unchanged.
3. Low volume weak rebound: Since the rebound from 92.26, volume has severely shrunk, with heavy trapped positions in the 98-100 area (also the short cost zone), bulls are powerless to push up, typical downtrend consolidation pattern. The rebound is an opportunity to enter short, with an excellent risk-reward ratio.
$BTC $ETH
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 US stocks plummeted, A-shares plummeted
Intel and Google plummeted
The panic index surged
Historically, there have only been 3 VIX gaps that were not filled, on April 14, 2025, April 8, 2026, and yesterday's gap
Historical data shows the probability of filling the gap within 180 trading days is about 97%
I started bottom-fishing US stock indexes, buying more as they fall, only buying spot, no leverage, but I avoid A-shares #加密行业协同守护资产安全
#加密行业协同守护资产安全 Progress on the $6.3 billion theft case: layered payout of stolen funds, altcoin sell pressure looming
Latest update on the Binance theft incident: approximately $3 billion of involved assets have been frozen, covering 80% of the funding gap. Joint efforts with the FBI and other agencies are underway to trace the source. Plans are in place to resume withdrawals soon and issue reserve certificates.
Difficulty in recovering stolen assets varies significantly:
- Stablecoins can be directly frozen by issuers, making recovery paths the clearest
- Native blockchain assets like BTC and $ETH cannot be frozen on-chain; only CEX withdrawal channels can be intercepted, while off-exchange mixing still allows for liquidation possibilities
- Altcoins such as $ARB, ENA, AVAX remain in hacker addresses; $ARB alone totals 74.56 million coins, too large to be sold off in bulk, creating long-term potential sell pressure on the market.
Market risk points: Exchanges need to repurchase $ETH to compensate, possibly triggering an independent short-term rally; however, hackers selling in batches will continue to suppress rebound highs. Historically, similar thefts have caused $ETH to drop 800 points in a single day, dragging $BTC down nearly 10,000 points.
The essence of the incident is a major test of industry trust: security capabilities and asset transparency are becoming core competitive advantages for exchanges. The impact is not just on funds but on the entire industry's trust foundation. Strict stop-loss measures must be enforced.
$BTC $ETH $ARB 💥 Panic and speculation resonate! ANTHROPIC climbs against the trend to the top
Total network liquidation of $1.65 billion
Panic index drops to 29
ANTHROPICUSDT
$169, nearly ten million in volume directly topping
Risk aversion panic and crazy speculation happening simultaneously
$ANTHROPIC
Pure synthetic exposure
No real equity
Implied valuation at 1.9 trillion
Trading is hot, but depth is very shallow
Retail longs are six times the shorts
No big players taking over
Funds flock to the most hyped narrative and thinnest liquidity areas
$BTC & $ETH
Same panic, two ledgers
BTC 77392.5 USDT (+0.14%)
Dipped to 76400 early morning
Long liquidations account for 86%
ETH 2243.73 USDT
October ETF outflows nearly 1.32 billion
But whales average price 2237
Quietly bought 9,375 coins in half a month
Institutions are withdrawing, whales are absorbing
BTC spot ETF is the only support on the board
$SOL
Oversold, withdrawal data diverge
Current price 95.62 USDT (-0.68%)
RSI on 14th is 27.6, entering oversold
Small rebound after 92.34 support
On-chain withdrawals 68,000 coins
Funding rate is positive
Decline mainly driven by spot selling
SOL is still searching for a new bottom
Summary
Market lacks incremental funds, certainty is insufficient
$6.3 billion black swan aftershocks have not dissipated
78% probability of rate hike in December
The cost of chasing hot narratives far exceeds patiently waiting for stabilization signals
Will you gamble on ANTHROPIC's AI narrative or safely hold mainstream for certainty?
Observation based on market data only, not investment advice
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 $BTC experienced such a major security incident, yet not a single drop of blood was spilled. The 20,000 coins in the hacker's hands are tightly locked on-chain and simply can't be dumped. The exchange has to forcibly buy back on the spot market to cover the hole.
Bad news can't move the market, which actually means good news; the market is much stronger than expected.
#BTC
$BTC
👇Many people don't realize one detail: the user compensation fund next door exists in the form of $BTC! That means, to compensate users, they must sell off $BTC into USDT.
So although BTC wasn't directly dumped in the hacker incident, the 18,000 BTC (about 2.4 billion) next door became a looming inventory.
Coupled with the panic caused by the hacker incident, BTC's technicals have hit a 30-day low of 77430, RSI at 36.5, and MA7/20/30/60 all pressing down from above, with the bearish alignment unchanged.
Of course, some rejoice while others cry; the hacker incident actually gave $ZEC a privacy + self-custody narrative (Grayscale Trust has had 8 consecutive days of net inflows). Technically, it stands above MA7/30/60, up 11% in 7 days, RSI neutral at 51.8, with 1276 still some distance from the 30-day high of 1372.
$XRP is the worst hit, because the hacker's XRP wallet still holds 290 million tokens locked and unmoved, which remains a persistent risk of dumping. Ripple's self-rescue has no direct help to the coin price.
Technically, 1.2487 is the 30-day low, RSI 37.9, and all five moving averages at 1.2932, 1.3124, 1.3581, 1.3961, 1.3294 are pressing from above. A 16% drop in 30 days is the weakest performance.Panic and Speculation Resonance: ANTHROPIC Tops
$1.65 billion liquidated across the network, panic index drops to 29. ANTHROPICUSDT tops at $169 with nearly ten million in volume, an extreme coexistence of risk aversion and speculation.
$ANTHROPIC: Pure synthetic exposure. No real equity, yet valued at 1.9 trillion. Large volume but shallow depth, retail longs outnumber shorts by six times with no major holders supporting, funds flow to the steepest and shallowest narrative corners.
$BTC and $ETH: Panic on the same stage, two ledgers. BTC at 77,392.5 USDT (+0.14%), touched 76,400 at dawn, with 86% of long positions liquidated. ETH at 2,243.73 USDT. A stark contrast: ETH ETF outflows near 1.32 billion in October, yet whales bought 9,375 coins at an average price of 2,237 over half a month. Institutions exit, whales enter, BTC spot ETF becomes the sole supporter.
$SOL: Oversold and withdrawal divergence. At 95.62 USDT (-0.68%). 14-day RSI dropped to 27.6 oversold, rebounded after 92.34 support. But on-chain withdrawals total 68,000 coins, while funding rate remains positive. Decline mainly driven by spot selling, SOL is seeking a new foothold.
Summary: Market lacks certainty from incremental funds. The aftershocks of a 6.3 billion black swan event persist, December rate hike probability reaches 78%, chasing narratives costs more than certainty.
#英特尔Q4指引不及预期，股价暴跌近30% #苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 This quarter is very likely to "exceed expectations," but this looks more like a report "made" by the time window and product mix rather than a signal of broadly stronger demand. The real market test is not the past September quarter, but how Ternus describes the guidance for the December quarter in the conference call—that will be the first real window to assess "whether the price increase can be continuously absorbed" and how significant the $ "memory cost impact" is. If this quarter's numbers are good but the guidance is soft, the stock price may face profit-taking pressure. We'll see later.Two wallets opened 10x long positions on HYPE within a short time, totaling about $242,800. My first reaction: That’s bold! 😱
After a calm calculation, one wallet accounts for about 82% of the position. I don’t take this as strong consensus: the funds are highly concentrated in one address, so the "two people moving in the same direction" signal isn’t as strong as the headline suggests, and it certainly doesn’t guarantee a price increase.
Remind yourself not to be misled by "multiple people moving in the same direction." First look at the fund distribution, then weigh the leverage risk.Sun Yuchen's cost basis for building his position is the support right below the current price.
Today, I found an interesting detail by analyzing on-chain data: Sun Yuchen's related addresses started transferring to build positions from October 17, accumulating 118 trillion tokens with an average cost of $0.000004114.
Looking at this number in the current market: the current price is $0.0000048493, just slightly above his average cost.
To translate, one of the largest individual holders in the market has his entire cost basis right at this position underfoot. This is not a support line drawn by technical analysis; it is a cost line backed by over fifty million dollars in real money—if the price really falls back to around $0.0000041, what does it mean? It means even funds at Sun Yuchen's level would be at an unrealized loss. The probability of a bottom-fishing opportunity at that level is more reliable than any candlestick indicator.
Of course, to be honest: on the day hackers crashed the market, his paper profits shrank overnight from $18.55 million to $4.45 million, a 75% drawdown. But note, it was a "shrinkage," not an "exit"—profits retracted by three-quarters, but the positions were still held. Large holders near the cost line did not run away; the safety of this position has been voted on with real money.
In the end, trading is simply about figuring out one thing: is the price you bought at much higher than the big holders? The answer now is: roughly the same, or even a bit higher.Bitcoin is now stuck at a very delicate position: $76,000. This is not just any round number, but the average cost for short-term holders.
Current data shows that the short-term holders' MVRV has returned to a neutral level near 1, whereas in late September this indicator surged past 1.18, the highest since July 2025. An MVRV of 1 has a straightforward meaning: this group is overall breaking even, with unrealized gains just zeroed out.
What’s even more noteworthy is the trend of the cost basis. In mid-August, their average cost was still $67,500, rising steadily to the current $76,000. In other words, the funds entering after August have been continuously accumulating during the price increase. The chips are concentrated at a high level, and the cost line is moving upward accordingly.
This creates a fork: with mid-term momentum turning positive, the price returning to the cost area means short-term holders either continue buying to lower their cost basis or surrender by selling to realize losses. When MVRV returns to neutral, it often marks this critical choice between two options.
What’s worth considering is that the market never lacks stories, but it lacks conviction in holding positions. If the $76,000 line is repeatedly tested but cannot hold, what is truly being tested is not the price, but the group of people who just entered a few months ago. Is there any connection between the Binance hack incident and things like memes? Otherwise, how come you guys are so quick to heavily criticize it?
The number of meme images on BSC has dropped sharply from yesterday to today. Mars Coin and Bull Coin both fell about 15-20%.
Many other stocks have also been split into two or three parts, such as Flork, 4Stock, GSTOCK...
I don't know if the developers are cashing out for profit or selling stocks to raise funds to save the exchange, but they are definitely selling off frantically.
Once the situation changes, these people react very quickly. Before you even realize it, the charts have already split.
Oh my god, I really can't believe these developers. $BNB $UNI
Core Event: Industry Giants Unite to "Support the Market"
Illinois introduced a "Digital Asset Tax Act" that imposes a 0.2% tax on crypto transactions (including transfers and custody), regardless of profit or loss, effective originally from January 2027.
UNI, a16z, and the DeFi Education Fund jointly opposed it, with the core demand to exclude DeFi protocols, front-end interfaces, and self-custody from the definition of "broker."
Result: The state government could not withstand the pressure (along with legal actions filed by the industry) and agreed to postpone implementation to July 2027.
Short- to Mid-Term Impact on UNI (Market Performance)
Short term (sentiment slightly positive): a16z (a major UNI investor) and Uniswap Labs strongly lobbied and secured the "postponement," demonstrating the political influence of leading protocols. This signal of "regulatory battle not lost yet" is a mild positive for sentiment amid thin weekend trading (reflected by UNI's +0.04% resilience in the chart).
Mid term (minimal actual business disruption): The draft has a key loophole—pure P2P DEXs that only charge liquidity pool fees (no protocol fees) are not considered "brokers." If Uniswap's front end ensures proper compliance isolation (or users interact directly with contracts), the actual impact of the state's 0.2% tax is limited. The six-month delay simply provides more time for avoidance/compliance preparation. To be honest, when I see this kind of position, the first thing I think is: if it really goes against you, how much loss are you prepared to take before exiting? I used to like calculating potential profits first and leaving stop-loss decisions for later, but I eventually realized this order should be reversed.
This time, two wallets opened long positions on $HYPE with 10x leverage in a short period, with a combined nominal position of about $242,800. This is just the opening; the outcome is still unknown. What concerns me more is whether the position size matches the fallback plan.
My judgment is to set the loss budget first, then decide how large the long position should be. Based on the nominal position, if the price moves 1% against you, the unrealized loss would be about $2,428, excluding fees; leverage will further amplify the margin pressure. The two wallets are aligned in the same direction, so they won’t share losses for each other, nor can they be used as stop-loss references for oneself.
I now follow two rules: calculate position size backward from the tolerable loss and stop-loss distance; execute the stop-loss when triggered without moving it further temporarily. Have you ever let a small loss grow bigger because you couldn’t bear to stop out? What rule do you use now to keep yourself in check? First, did I follow the original trading plan?
Second, did I enter the market based on clear criteria, or was it out of fear of missing out?
Third, during the trade, did I temporarily change my rules due to fear or greed?
Fourth, does the risk I took this time match my financial situation?
Fifth, what did this trade truly teach me?
Reviewing trades is not about making excuses for losses, nor about finding more reasons to justify profits.
Its real value is to help you distinguish which decisions are worth keeping and which mistakes need improvement.
4. Summarize weekly to identify recurring issues
Looking at a single trade alone can easily be influenced by chance factors.
But once you accumulate a certain number of records, you can try to identify recurring behavior patterns.
For example:
Which type of trades perform relatively better?
What were the main causes of the biggest losses?
Did frequent trading lead to excessive fees?
After using leverage, is it easier to incur losses beyond expectations?
After consecutive wins or losses, am I more likely to break trading discipline?
Don’t rush to change your entire strategy based on the results of just two or three trades. When the sample size is too small, randomness can be strong, and different market conditions also affect outcomes.
A better approach is to continuously accumulate records and, once you have enough evidence, determine whether the issues stem from the trading method, execution discipline, or changes in market conditions.
5. After each review, implement a specific improvement action Brothers, BTC and ETH are still grinding in the 76,000-78,000 range, but the funding ledger has already split in two.
$BTC $77,400 | $ETH $2,244
Bitcoin dipped twice to 76,400 early this morning, now back near 77,400, while Ethereum struggles around 2,244. In the past 24 hours, about $1.35 billion was liquidated across the network, with longs accounting for over 86%. Leveraged longs have been liquidated in two consecutive rounds.
The Binance incident is wrapping up. The official confirmation states a total impact of about $6.3 billion. Currently, over $6.34 billion of company funds have been prepared, covering about 80% of the stolen funds. Withdrawals are expected to resume within 34-45 hours. Approximately $3 billion is frozen on-chain, and panic aftershocks remain.
What’s really worth watching is the ETF capital split. This week, Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $202.4 million, but IBIT had a net inflow of $176.9 million, while FBTC and ARKB had outflows of $166 million and $129.5 million respectively. BlackRock is buying in, others are running.
But the whales are doing the opposite on ETH. One address bought 7,703 ETH 9 hours ago with 17.24 million USDC at an average price of 2,237, accumulating 9,375 ETH in half a month, all bought during the downtrend.
Technically, 76,400 is today’s low and a key short-term observation point.
Let’s discuss in the comments: ETFs are running, whales are buying—who’s smarter this round?👇
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 Panic selling, whales are bottom fishing, this market is witnessing the most extreme capital divergence.
$BTC: $77,408. The aftermath of the Binance incident is progressing, but a second dip to 76.4K at dawn triggered about $1.65 billion long liquidations, with leveraged longs being cleaned out again. The 76,000-78,000 range has become the new tug-of-war zone, and under panic sentiment, the market is still searching for a bottom.
$ETH: $2,244. Whales continue accumulating during the decline; one address bought 7,703 ETH at an average price of $2,237 nine hours ago, accumulating a total of 9,375 ETH over half a month at an average price of $2,264. If it breaks through $2,346, it will trigger $932 million short liquidations, with resistance and liquidation fuel coexisting above.
$SOL: $95.77. 1.223 million SOL (worth $117 million) was transferred to Coinbase Prime through the same address two hours ago, posing potential selling pressure overhead. The HKD stablecoin HKDAP plans native minting into the Solana ecosystem, but the perpetual funding rate has turned negative, lacking buyers willing to chase longs.
Summary: Panic sellers are cutting losses, whales are picking up chips. After the second dip to 76.4K and recovery, do you think this is the start of a “golden pit” or just a breather in a downtrend? Share your judgment in the comments.
#BTC高位回落，黄金联动受考验 $HYPE
This morning I said HYPE was less than 10% away from its all-time high, but this afternoon it proved me wrong — it surged to 93.98 intraday, then reversed and dropped, now at 87.6, down 5.6% in 24 hours.
The pullback from the high is only about 6%, which doesn’t look too bad, but it’s the worst drop among the top ten by volume. The quick news says it’s due to altcoin capital outflow and cautious sentiment after Binance was hacked.
Another detail: Brother Maji has been continuously reducing his HYPE long positions, and overall his position has slightly turned profitable — when the wind changes, he’s the first to run, and I usually respect his moves.
My judgment is that this round of correction doesn’t change HYPE’s strong underlying trend; the 85 level is the litmus test for whether bulls are still willing to buy, and only if it breaks should we reconsider.
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 $HYPE This is the biggest positive factor for this rise. There might be some suspense now. Originally, it required regulatory approval, but now ICE officially deleted the tweet, so the positive expectations are discounted. If the main force uses this news to short the longs at this time, it would be a perfect manipulation.#OKX、ICE and Trade.xyz join forces to promote perpetual contracts entering the US compliant market The decline is unrelated to theft, it is a pullback after the 87000 distribution
The market reached around 87000, with chips largely distributed outward; this is the boundary of the current upward move. The main force completed their exit at this position, so there is no momentum to quickly buy back around 83000 or 80000, as the space is insufficient to support re-entry.
This segment of the trend can be compared to the deep pullback after the January 2023 rally, representing a wave two correction structure, not a crash caused by a sudden event. News is just noise; chip distribution is the underlying map.
Open your position list and verify your exit plan.
Holding 87000 will prevent the distribution structure from being overturned; continuously moving away from 87000 will gradually open the lower test range.
$BTC $ETH $SOL Many people judge the authenticity of an email by the sender's domain at first glance. Foundation's statement this time exactly breaks this habit: the attacker did not impersonate Foundation's domain but used the domain of another company that was hacked to send emails. Those emails did not come from the official domain.
Why is it hard to defend against? The domain really exists and belongs to a normally operating company, and the sending chain is technically connected. The recipient only sees an unfamiliar domain, and as long as it doesn't look like gibberish, most people won't check who is behind it.
The real change is in the attack cost. Previously, impersonating a big brand domain meant confronting the rules of email service providers and security vendors; now, as long as you find a company with weak protection and a domain still sending emails normally, you can piggyback on it. The company being used as a relay might not even know it has become a stepping stone.
All Foundation can say is: these emails were not sent from the official domain. The implication behind this is that the official side cannot judge which emails are genuine for you; you have to verify with official channels yourself.
So the judgment can be very simple: any email containing links that ask you to connect your wallet, enter your mnemonic phrase, or click to sign authorization—do not operate within the email. If you want to manage your positions, open the official website yourself and type the address.
What is worth pondering is that security advice is degrading from "recognize the official logo" to "don't trust anything, always go through the official entry yourself." This is not a failure of any single party; it is the entire trust system built on domains being gradually worn away.What the hell is going on? This guy suddenly unlocked his stake—is he about to dump or shake the market?
On-chain data just revealed that a guy suddenly unlocked 304,600 $HYPE tokens! At the current price, that's $27.19 million, a solid $27 million dumped on the market—who can withstand that?
I traced the address and this guy is something else. He bought this batch from Galaxy Digital three months ago, probably locked and staked them right after buying, then stayed silent for a full three $ETH
35.86% of the tokens are to be burned
RECALL announces shutdown
Is this good news or the final blow?
Damn
Brothers
Another ridiculous and speechless event in the crypto world
The project team announced the burn of 358.6 million tokens
Accounting for 35.86% of RECALL's total supply
At first glance
Isn't this a solid deflationary positive?
The tokens suddenly reduced by one-third
According to traditional crypto narratives
Supply decreases
Shouldn't the price soar?
But the strange thing is
This time RECALL is not planning any major upgrade
Nor is it preparing to restart the ecosystem
Instead, the Recall Foundation board decided to end project operations and enter liquidation
The reason is straightforward
After evaluating protocol adoption, operating costs, and future growth prospects
They concluded continued development is no longer commercially viable
More importantly
These 358.6 million tokens are directly held or controlled by the foundation
Planned to be burned
Tokens staked are not included in this burn
Also
Token holders will not receive buybacks, redemptions, or asset distributions because of this
The foundation's remaining approximately $3.7 million
Will be prioritized to repay creditors and cover liquidation costs
The timeline is also set
Recall app is expected to switch to read-only mode on November 30
The foundation expects to complete liquidation by Q1 2027
This is damn interesting
The crypto world loves to talk about burns, deflation, and supply reduction
But if the project is no longer operating
Simply losing part of the tokens
What value can it really support?$BTC $ETH Yesterday Binance had an incident, and a Japanese listed company immediately announced: they sold all their Bitcoin.
This company is called Iore, listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Since September last year, it has been raising funds by issuing new stock subscription rights and hoarding coins.
At 5:30 PM yesterday, Iore announced: before the end of November, they will sell all 151.21 $BTC in batches.
At the price of that day, they can recover about 77.47 million RMB, which is about 10.75 million less than the book value at the end of September, equivalent to a loss of more than 10% per coin.
The company's only reason given: recent rapid expansion of cyber threats.
The announcement did not name any exchange. However, on the same afternoon, Iore's crypto lending service issued a notice saying that a "large overseas exchange" had a security incident, but customer assets were not affected.
The money from selling the coins will be primarily invested in AI data centers and computing power business in early December. #OKX, ICE, and Trade.xyz Join Forces to Promote Perpetual Contracts Entering the US Compliant Market
ICE's deletion of the collaboration post sparks controversy: compliance narrative for perpetual contracts faces setbacks, large-scale HYPE unlock imminent
New developments have emerged in the joint effort by NYSE parent company ICE, Trade.xyz, and OKX to advance US-compliant perpetual contracts: ICE has deleted its own official collaboration announcement tweet but retained the retweet of Trade.xyz's content. The collaboration itself has not been overturned, with market speculation attributing the deletion to legal review or communication adjustments.
This collaboration plan is based on Hyperliquid technology to build a regulated perpetual market. ICE is responsible for compliant operations, OKX handles retail distribution, covering a full range of crypto, stocks, commodities, and forex with 24/7 trading. Final implementation requires CFTC approval, marking a landmark attempt for traditional finance to embrace on-chain derivatives infrastructure.
On the market front, HYPE has surged about 17% in a single week driven by the narrative, reaching above $90 at its peak. The project team has repurchased approximately 772,500 tokens in the past 30 days. However, on November 6, about 9,917,000 HYPE tokens will be unlocked, corresponding to a market value close to $900 million, posing short-term supply pressure that cannot be ignored.
Key price levels: resistance above $94-$95, a breakout could target previous highs; support at $88, a breakdown may test the $80-$82 range.
$HYPE $OKB $BTC The Iran war is still being framed as a financial power struggle. This unverified storyline from anonymous forums links Iran's energy credit, Oman's banks, London's shadow banking, and Silicon Valley pushing CBDCs all together, with the harshest outcome being that if the channel is cut off, London will face a liquidity shock within 48 hours. Turning war into financial palace intrigue, the imagination is truly bold.💥 Four consecutive bullish days, wiped out overnight
US spot BTC ETF
Net outflow on Friday about 643.2 million
Largest single-day outflow since June
Directly consumed the combined inflow of 440.8 million from the previous four days
Turned the whole week into -202.4 million
On the same day, ETH ETF net outflow about -155.7 million
This week -431.4 million
October cumulative -1.61 billion
⚠️ Key reminder
Subscription and redemption are just channel flows
Not equal to the entire market position
The first full trading day after the Binance incident
Correlation can be discussed
Do not jump to causal conclusions
Confidence: Mid to High · Farside media summary
Are you more looking forward to Monday’s capital inflow, or prioritizing watching the weekly support?
Data review only, not investment advice
$BTC $ETH
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 #苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 $AAPL $xAAPL Apple's earnings report can be trusted because when it comes to AI, Apple has basically given up the leading role. Overseas AI technology support is provided by Google. The domestic version of AI is supported technically by Qianwen. Apple itself does not participate in R&D. Also, Apple does not have the problem of reckless investments like Google, so it is quite normal for the earnings report to exceed $2. However, whether Apple's stock price will rise or fall is hard to assess now. If I had to choose between bullish or bearish, I might lean towards the latter. Because the earnings report will still have mixed positive and negative impacts. Although Apple is not involved in AI, this round of market decline will more or less affect Apple's stock market because the overall fundamentals are starting to deteriorate. The Nasdaq 100 index has also experienced consecutive declines. In such a unfavorable market conditions, individual stocks are hard to avoid impact. So, one can take a short position. And for speculation, one can choose to go No. Most likely, the trading day after the earnings report will see a downward move. "The Most Cautious 'Busy-Looking' in the Crypto Circle"
Project activity means the coin price should rise? This logic sounds good in a bull market but tends to cost lessons during consolidation. Today, let's look at BNB, ENA, and PEPE—three different sources of value.
BNB Chain announced the tokenized stock hackathon results on October 29: five winning projects focused on on-chain stock tools, trading interfaces, and smart agents, with a total prize pool of $20,000. Developers are indeed building things, but winning projects don’t equal stable trading volume. For BNB, what matters next is application retention, real transaction fees, and ecosystem demand—don’t mistake event prize money for revenue.
ENA’s related Ethena Pay launched Earn+ on October 28, officially disclosing about 1,400 active users, over $8 million USDe balance, and weekly spending exceeding $750,000. This is product data, not the number of ENA token holders. The maximum 12% annualized yield is a target return, involving roughly 11x leverage cycles underneath. Risks like liquidation, de-pegging, and third-party vaults cannot be ignored.
PEPE is more straightforward: Ethereum contracts show a supply of about 4.2069 quadrillion tokens. It mainly trades attention rather than cash flow. Even without new products, volume can suddenly spike, but liquidity, whale sell-offs, extreme volatility, identically named fake contracts, and manipulation risks are more worth studying than the meme itself.
One side competes on applications, another on yields, and another on sentiment. Which metric would you verify first before deciding to keep watching?
#BNB #ENA #PEPE Not investment adviceFour consecutive gains wiped out overnight.
US spot BTC ETF saw a net outflow of about 643.2 million on Friday—the largest single-day outflow since June, completely erasing the approximately 440.8 million inflow from the previous four days, turning the entire week into about -202.4 million. On the same day, ETH ETF had about -155.7 million, about -431.4 million for the week, and about -1.61 billion accumulated in October.
Subscription and redemption are channel flows, not the entire market position; this is the first full trading day after Binance's side impact, so correlations can be discussed, but causality should not be concluded hastily.
Confidence: Mid-high · Farside media summary. Are you more focused on Monday's inflow or first looking at the weekly chart? $BTC $ETH Today, a guy in the group said he mortgaged his house to prepare to buy the dip at 2200.
I stared at the screen in disbelief for a long time and silently gave him a thumbs up.
Really, I admire this kind of warrior.
In front of a waterfall, not only does he not dodge, but he also opens his arms to catch the flying knives.
Are you guys like this guy too, seeing a drop of several hundred dollars and thinking the ground is full of gold?
Take a look at the market, brother, Ethereum right now is like a critically ill patient, just pushed out of the ICU (2174), this faint breath hasn’t even been swallowed yet,
and you want it to run a marathon?
With volume shrinking like this, the main players are just teasing you with bait.
The essence of the capital market is to eat people.
When most people think "it's the bottom," the bottom is still deep.
I'm a bit timid, only daring to pick up some bargains following the trend.
I shorted at 2671, and the profit is already enough for me to have a big meal.
I don’t guess the bottom, nor do I fight the market makers for food; I just step on it when it rebounds.
As long as it bounces up to 2260-2280, I’ll short again.
If it can’t hold 2174 below, just wait and watch the fireworks, see you at 2100
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#谷歌财报后股价大跌，AI投资回报受关注 🔥The price of $77,200 stayed flat all day, BTC has temporarily stabilized, but the real test is still ahead! On the second day after the sharp drop, with no new major bad news, support appeared around 77,000, which at least indicates there is some buying interest below. However, this stability still lacks the most important factor: trading volume.
📊If the bottom is formed by a full battle between bulls and bears, usually we need to see a rebound in trading activity and the price repeatedly testing support but still holding. Right now, it looks more like a narrow sideways movement caused by insufficient market participation, so we cannot interpret the lack of a drop as strength, nor rush to heavily buy the dip.
📍Next, keep an eye on several levels: 76,000 is the first line of defense, if broken then watch 75,000; for a rebound, first look at 78,000, only if it climbs back above 80,000 can we say the market shows a clearer recovery.
🌊QCP's analysis of liquidity contraction during the holiday also makes me cautious about November. If there is no incremental capital before year-end, BTC may need two to three weeks to oscillate repeatedly between 75,000 and 82,000, slowly digesting selling pressure. Would you choose to test entering now, or wait until 80,000 is firmly reclaimed before acting? #美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 "Bull markets don't lack stories; they lack ledgers."
Today’s three tracks: AVAX competes on base layer efficiency, PENDLE competes on yield trading, TAO competes on decentralized intelligence. Their common challenge is not the lack of discussion but how to turn technical advantages into sustainable demand.
AVAX completed the Helicon mainnet upgrade on September 22, enabling mechanisms like continuous execution and automatic renewal; on October 22, it released AvalancheGo 1.15.2 maintenance version. The upgrade is real progress, but throughput improvement does not equal user growth. I want to see real transactions, fees, and developer retention, not just treat version numbers as a bullish signal.
PENDLE’s official market page shows PT and YT products with different maturities, separating principal and future yields for trading. The benefit is that yield expectations can be priced; the downside is that interest rate, term, and liquidity risks are amplified. Especially with high-leverage yield exposure, it looks attractive but may lack sufficient depth at exit; you need to monitor maturity structure and actual transactions.
TAO’s official research has long pointed out validator weight replication and free-riding issues in subnets and studied commitment reveal mechanisms to suppress them. This is historical research, not a new breakthrough today. Even with the AI narrative heating up, it’s necessary to verify whether subnet output can be adopted and paid for by external clients; more incentives paid do not mean the business model is working.
The three represent a network upgrade, yield trading, and intelligent rewards. Which track do you think is most likely to prove real revenue first?
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 Non-investment advice $BTC $ETH $SOL
I don't want to write nonsense like "bullish in the long term, volatile in the short term, buy on dips." Frankly, such talk even takes up space in social feeds.
What we need to focus on in the current market are these aspects:
Whether funds are entering, whether institutions are continuously buying, whether macro liquidity is improving, and after the rebound, whether it's driven by spot buying or leveraged self-excitement.
I think ETH is more worth watching than BTC right now.
The reason is simple: BTC is the core asset of the crypto market. ETH still has to face ecosystem activity, capital demand, and competition from other public chains.
Recently, ETH ETFs have seen continuous net outflows, indicating a lack of enthusiasm from institutions. If ETH can't even keep up with BTC's rebound, it's not just a technical issue; the market is re-evaluating its capital attraction. Damn, clicking the real URL saved in bookmarks and signing a transaction empties your wallet, who can defend against this 😂
Around 10:13 AM today, the token issuance platform Butterfly on the BNB chain shouted out that their official domain name resolution was hijacked, and opening it redirected to a fake site, warning everyone not to connect their wallets or sign anything.
More than an hour later, a security company identified 10 more sites. Including Butterfly and a liquidity staking project, a total of 12 project official websites were hosting the same coin-stealing tool. Every letter in the URLs was correct; the problem was at the domain registrar level, and the project teams couldn’t fix it by changing settings themselves.
The fake sites were made quite convincingly. When you clicked to connect your wallet, it popped up authorization or transfer requests; after signing, the page only responded with "Please try again," looking like a network glitch, but by then the coins had already gone into the attacker’s multisig wallet. Native coins were transferred directly away, tokens were first tricked into authorizing and then transferred out in one transaction.
One project reminded users after recovery that domain caching could keep the fake site for up to about an hour, so some networks might still open the fake site. Butterfly has already switched to a new domain, saying only the homepage was forged, and users who lost wallets during the incident will be fully compensated.
This week has been restless everywhere—hot wallets, cold wallets, official websites all having issues. I used to think trusting the official website was safe, but now I don’t even dare to click bookmarks casually.
For beginners, it’s recommended to watch more and operate less; when buying coins, only buy $BTC Sharing my own insights on contracts. I myself have always been a contract player, just playing a little for fun, with not much loss. I use some of the profits from spot trading to practice contracts, but after several years of practice, I still haven't found a profitable model that suits me. It's always been a total loss 😂. During my study of contracts, I also observed other contract traders (including those on other platforms), selecting some of the more skilled traders in the early stages to watch their trading methods and strategies, analyzing and learning from them. I basically check on them every few days, and this observation has lasted for a whole year. The conclusion is: the end of contracts is liquidation. No matter how skilled you are in the early or even a long period, or how many times your profit rate multiplies, in the end, it's always -99%. Anyone who has played contracts should have heard of the expert "Liang Xi"; now he has completely disappeared! I won't give examples from other platforms, but just take the gate platform as an example. Observing them for over a year, they were all top-ranked (in profit rate and profit amount) and had full followers, but now they're all dead and gone. I'm not trying to discourage anyone, but this is the reality. I haven't met any true masters yet~ I wrote this short piece very earnestly, based on experience and time. The end of contracts is liquidation! #ETHBreaks$4,600 Opening the exchange, the homepage no longer only promotes Bitcoin and Ethereum; it has started pushing stock contracts. Huobi HTX made 4.1 billion USD in Q3, newly listing 154 contract assets related to stock indices, with a total of 278 stock-related types. On the other hand, the UK just settled, and the FCA said it has exited the UK market; new user registrations are not allowed, and existing users can only figure out how to withdraw their funds. Retreating on one side while expanding on the other, this operation is quite subtle. $HTX burned 9.39 trillion tokens, which sounds scary, but that converts to 15.48 million USD, a 25.6% increase quarter-over-quarter. Crude oil rose again on Friday, with WTI closing at about $104.12; the Brent December contract expiring that day closed at $117.64, while the more active January contract closed at $113.43.
The two Brent contracts differ by about $4.21. Seeing this, I think it's more necessary to remind you than to keep guessing the next negotiation news: when the quoted contract changes, the price on the screen may also jump.
If a platform switches to the January contract next week and the displayed price suddenly drops significantly, you can't directly interpret this difference as a supply easing, nor can you fully count it as a real market decline.
The near-month and far-month delivery times differ, so prices may naturally differ. When analyzing oil price changes, you should at least ensure you are comparing the same contract or use continuous data with consistent criteria.
Of course, I hope the Hormuz negotiations can bring substantial easing, but Friday's rise shows that market risk concerns remain. Political progress, actual supply, and contract switching each affect different things and need to be viewed separately.
The recent news has been chaotic enough; don't let the quoting criteria create additional misunderstandings. Rather than rushing to pair a big bearish candle with "peace benefits," it might be more useful to first clearly see what price you are looking at.
#霍尔木兹重开方案仍有效，油价能否继续回落？ Today Vitalik published a long article titled "Digital Minimalism"
He said to put your phone on airplane mode for 100 consecutive days
He suggests everyone reduce their dependence on social media
Take back control of your digital life.
I stared at this sentence for a long time and suddenly found it quite ironic.
The founder of Ethereum is teaching everyone to subtract.
Meanwhile, Ethereum holders are frantically adding—adding positions, adding leverage, adding margin.
But what really sent chills down my spine wasn’t Vitalik’s philosophy, it was the timing of this article.
On the very day he talked about "minimalism," Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $156 million in a single day, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of outflows.
BlackRock’s ETHA alone withdrew $76.6 million, and Grayscale’s mini trust withdrew $34.13 million.
Throughout October, Ethereum ETFs have recorded a cumulative outflow of a record $1.45 billion, with BlackRock alone accounting for $71.7 million.
Institutions are "simplifying" Ethereum out of their holdings.
On-chain data is even more direct. Whales have cumulatively sold about 160,000 ETH in a few days, worth over $348 million.
Exchange ETH balances increased by 100,000 during the same period, with sellable chips accumulating.
An ancient whale from the 2015 ICO era, with a cost basis of $0.31, is still transferring coins to exchanges, holding 47,000 ETH.
He is running—from $0.31 to now.
And what are retail investors doing? Repeatedly pressing calculators around 2240, asking "Can I bottom fish?"
Look at the chart: the 4-hour chart slid from 2527 down to 2244, moving averages all pressing overhead, MACD diving deeper below zero. The key support at 2385 was lost long ago, and the previous low at 2174 is just a thin layer.
My short position is still open, entered at 2583, with a floating profit of 1315%. The liquidation line is at 2707, over four hundred dollars above. While you heavy bottom fishers are calculating "how much drop will trigger liquidation," I’m calculating "when to take this profit."
Vitalik said the core of digital minimalism is actively deciding when and how to use tools, rather than being led by algorithms.
Translated into trading terms: don’t let K-line fluctuations hold your hand to open positions.
Ethereum whales are running, ETFs are running, even the founder is starting to "declutter" in the digital world. How long are you planning to hold your long positions?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#闪迪业绩超预期并宣布拆股，股价跌逾13% The 77K load-bearing wall showed visible cracks last night, and the cracks appeared at the nodes with the highest stress concentration.
The drop itself is not news; the real alarm is hidden in the structural inspection report: the spot Bitcoin ETF's grouting channel was drained in one go by a reverse withdrawal of $643 million, exceeding the total inflow of the previous four days. This is not a correction; someone is pulling out the piles from the foundation one by one and backfilling with loose soil.
The phrase I fear most at the construction site is "abnormal settlement monitoring point." The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has fallen to its lowest since November 2022, which is that monitoring point—it measures not the price but how much bearing capacity remains in the North American buy-side support layer. Once the premium collapses, it means the foundation on that side is softening, and no matter how beautiful the framework above is, it’s just hanging in the air.
External loads are equally unforgiving. The tech stock sell-off is a lateral wind vibration; Federal Reserve policy uncertainty is a missing geological survey report—you don’t know if the ground beneath is bedrock or silt, yet you dare to add more layers? Large-scale liquidations are chain buckling caused by overload; when one column loses stability, the entire framework follows, and nodes are cut one after another.
So the problem is forced onto the table: can new ETF grouting, spot buy-side backfilling, and clearer policy exploration allow this building to pass the load test again and rebuild the main beam of risk appetite?
My professional judgment is straightforward: short-term capital inflows are just surface decoration, spot buy-side is secondary structure, and what really determines whether it can stand is the underlying liquidity load-bearing system. Without repairing the premium index, all rebounds are just temporary supports that collapse once removed. No matter how high the skyline is drawn on the blueprint, it cannot withstand continuous foundation settlement; a supertall building with poor construction quality is exposed as soon as the wind blows.
A structure that has not passed the static load test does not deserve to talk about height. #btcunderpressureThe single echo on October 30th directly triggered the steepest vertical wind shear since the listing: a single-day drop of 29.22 percentage points, with the radar showing an almost vertical plunge of a dark red column. The paradox of the storm core is that—while the upper-level jet stream is still accelerating and revenue year-over-year surged 53% to 8.95 billion, the low-level convergence is almost zero: global daily active users remain flat month-over-month at 130.3 million, and the U.S. domestic market shrank by 2 percentage points year-over-year. This is a typical "wind without rain" strong convection, with very high cloud tops but zero surface water accumulation.
The real upstream system is not overhead. Weekly average referral losses exceed one million, equivalent to the moisture channel being completely cut off by a newly formed low-pressure trough, whose center is directly pressing on the intelligent search path. Forecasters fear this structure most: precipitation is not finished locally but stolen by upstream. No matter how good the visibility is now, it cannot hide the fact that the moisture transport belt has already been rerouted. The Q4 guidance median below expectations signals that numerical models are starting to adjust toward reality; once the model is downgraded for two consecutive rounds, it’s time to prepare for a forecast revision.
The company wants to test logout access restrictions—in plain terms, building a dam downstream to forcibly retain runoff in the reservoir. This artificial intervention can raise water levels on a small scale but does not help the entire basin’s supply; it may even further dry out the water surface for marginal users. Whether advertising revenue cloud coverage can be maintained depends on the dew point beneath this stratocumulus layer, and the dew point is being sucked away bit by bit by the upstream trough line.
Coordination requires monitoring frontal conduction. Semiconductor-related $xSOXL belongs to another weather system; its triple-leveraged amplifier makes its pressure gradient inherently steeper. Once the cold air of the advertising budget moves south from the north, its gusts during frontal passage will definitely be fiercer than the parent body. The cross-market moisture channel has never been interrupted, only its direction can flip at any time. The current ensemble forecast divergence is widening; this is not a weather pattern that can be resolved with a single solution.
My judgment is simple: the shadow cell has entered maturity, the subsiding airflow has not yet cleared, and before the next sounding balloon ascends, visibility in this area will deteriorate before precipitation at the cloud base. #redditsharesplunge30%The most telling signal in crypto this weekend isn't a price crash. It's the absence of one. $BTC is holding near 77,356 and $ETH near 2,243, yet the market has lost its offensive posture entirely, and the tape underneath the flat candles is far weaker than the surface suggests. Start with the macro backdrop. The latest PMI reading came in soft, with manufacturing at 49.3% and back in contraction territory. Demand-side benefits appear exhausted, overall sentiment is cautious, and only high-end m🚨 BREAKING: Ethereum funding rates have plunged to their most negative levels since June, signaling an aggressive build-up of short positions across the market.
Interestingly, the last time funding reached similar extremes, $ETH formed a significant bottom. Could history be setting up another surprise?
Heavy short positioning can create fuel for a sharp short squeeze if buyers step in. However, confirmation through price action is essential. 👀 Stop-loss orders don't save just this trade
From 81900 down to 76600 overnight.
Nearly 5000 points, the bulls didn't have time to react.
How is this number calculated:
Forced liquidation orders are sell orders automatically placed by the system.
The lower the price falls, the more sell orders get triggered.
Sell orders push the price down, and the next batch of traders get sold out.
What I did:
A long position at 79000, stopped out at 78000.
If $BTC falls further, that position is already out of the market.
Stop-loss is not admitting defeat; it's locking losses at a calculable number.
Without this line, the amount of retracement depends on where the market stops.
No one knows in advance where the market will stop.
#BTC持续震荡，后续走势受多重因素影响 $BTC $ZEC celebrates its 10th anniversary, but instead of celebrating, the community is facing a major governance battle over approximately $125 million in treasury funds. The decision could have a significant impact on ZEC's future supply and long-term value. The Zcash Community Fund (ZCG) currently receives 8% of newly issued block rewards. Now, two competing proposals have sparked serious debate. Two Proposals, One $125M Question: 🔹 October 29 – Committee Proposal The committee proposed transferr$SOL contracts have been flowing out hundreds of millions of dollars every day, causing retail investors to panic, while the whales quietly picked up all the bloodied chips on the spot market. The two dips to $93 didn't break through, and above $95 it’s as solid as a rock.
The overall market is lifeless, but $SOL managed to reclaim $96 on its own. On-chain RWA has multiplied several times over the year, and JPMorgan's fund has also come in. Some money really can't be scared off just by looking at the charts and candlesticks.
#SOL
$SOL
👇⚠️ Institutional liquidity stampede is the harshest sell-off
When institutions face
margin calls, redemption pressure, and tightening financing
They will only sell assets that can be liquidated
Not necessarily what they want to sell
Even traditional defensive assets
will be liquidated to raise liquidity
$BTC
76.1K–76.8K liquidation cluster
Key observation range
A volume breakout below here
will trigger a new round of forced liquidation selling
Adding insult to an already fragile market
Do you think this range can hold, or will it break directly?
This is only market observation, not investment advice
$BTC $ETH
#美股与金银同步大跌，避险资金流向分化
#美联储官员释放加息信号，12月预期仍存分歧 The hacker not only didn't leave but also used DeFi lending to "leverage up" and fully loaded the nuclear weapon.
Aave is now a powder keg that could explode at any moment.
The most likely scenario next is:
• The hacker continues to dump the market using borrowed ETH.
• Causing Aave to trigger liquidations.
• The market panics and drops again, testing the previously mentioned 2,170 or even lower levels.
$BTC $ETH