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⚠️ Black Friday: Binance Security Incident Overview 🔒
▶︎ Timeline: At 04:10 AM on October 30, the first abnormal withdrawal from the hot wallet was detected 🕵️♂️
▶︎ Fund scale: Approximately $6.26 billion flowed out on-chain; of which $2.54 billion has been frozen by Tether and Circle, recovery efforts are ongoing, and the final loss is still uncertain. CZ previously warned that the actual loss could exceed $1 billion 💸
▶︎ Asset flow: About $1.77 billion in USDT, $1.44 billion in BTC, nearly $1 billion in ETH; hackers consolidated altcoins such as ENA, PEPE, UNI, LINK into ETH, causing short-term pressure on these tokens, watch out for volatility risks 📉
▶︎ Attack method: Yet to be confirmed 🔍
▶︎ Current status: Withdrawals have been suspended; @heyibinance has repeatedly assured user fund safety, awaiting proper follow-up solutions ⏸️Just finished reading the summary of Logan's speech
The Dallas Fed President turned hawkish again
At least two more 25bp hikes
Stop to assess after accumulating +50bp
She directly said it's unacceptable if inflation doesn't come back to 2%
This week she voted to hold steady
But the terminal rate was raised
Skipping the meeting didn't change the final target
Gradual rate hikes are to avoid overtightening
But for risk assets
The noose is still slowly tightening SOPH (Sophon) was originally a zk L2 public chain project that raised about 60 to 70 million USD. However, after the chain was launched, it had very few users and almost no real ecosystem revenue. In June this year, the official team directly announced the shutdown of the original chain and pivoted: they no longer operate a public chain and instead moved to Base to develop consumer applications. The only new token logic is using product profits to buy back and burn tokens on the secondary market (buyback and burn), with no more on-chain gas fees or staking value.
In simple terms,
the original narrative is now obsolete. It is currently a token that "changes its story to survive," lacking mature profitable products, and the buyback strength is completely unknown.
Therefore,
this recent price surge is very likely a bull trap, representing the final dance of a pump-and-dump scheme. $UNI Hayes openly cleared all his positions, but UNI surprisingly couldn't be pushed down even by 1%.
The support at the bottom is much stronger than expected.
The key 6.8 level has been tested several times, and each time the bulls kicked it back up to close with a bullish candle.
The big dump can't move the price, and someone is stubbornly defending the critical level.
The bears are currently holding on hard; a rebound from this level could happen at any time.
#UNI
$UNI
👇$WLD institutions have blatantly deposited 35.1 million WLD to the exchange in the past two days.
Seventeen million dollars worth of tokens directly pushed into the deposit address — it’s definitely not a gift to earn idle interest.
The order book is as thin as paper, yet big players are still scrambling to get in.
Reaching out to catch at this moment is purely handing out exit subsidies to them.
#WLD
$WLD
👇Stacked Negative Factors
😨 Triple pressure stacked: Fed hawkish bias, high inflation, exchange hack, fear index dropped from 51 to 30 in one day
🏦 On October 28, the Fed maintained rates at 3.75% to 4.00% with a 10-2 vote, two members advocated for a rate hike; the statement upgraded the economic assessment from "solid" to "strong" (Crypto Times, Brave New Coin).
📊 TradingKey headline mentioned US September PCE inflation rose to 3.6%, gold briefly fell below $4,000.
🧭 Tokenist: Fear and Greed Index dropped from 51 to 30; same day BNB around $702.52 (-5.25%), XRP around $1.25 (-2.9%), SOL around $96.89 (-3.6%).
💡 This decline is not due to a single reason; macro, inflation, and event shocks stacked together.
Market sentiment changes quickly, I’m not sure, might be wrong.
📍 What I’m watching:
• Whether the fear index can rebound above 40
• December Fed meeting expectations
Do you fear macro more now, or exchange risk?
$BTC $BNB $XRP #CanBTCHold80K #USCorePCERisesTo3.1% #OKXICETradeXYZPerps $BTC $ETH $OKB #Hyperliquid's HYPE hits an all-time high, OKX and ICE advance perpetual contracts to the US Whales are starting to actively reduce risk, and high-leverage ETH positions can no longer hold up.
A large holder with over 90,000 $ETH recently chose to significantly reduce their position, cutting more than 36,000 ETH, incurring losses exceeding $38 million. This is not an ordinary stop-loss; it looks more like exchanging huge losses for position safety.
Currently, they still hold about 56,000 ETH, valued at approximately $125 million, with the liquidation price adjusted to around $2122–$2129.
But what truly deserves attention is that after reducing the position, the risk has not completely disappeared. The liquidation line is still not far from the market price, and if ETH continues to weaken, the remaining position may still face pressure.
Even well-funded whales are prioritizing survival, indicating that in a high-leverage environment, position management is more important than guessing price movements.
The market never lacks opportunities; what is lacking is the patience to survive until the next opportunity.
$ETH $BTC #Crypto
#USCorePCERisesTo3.1% #Palantir Earnings Report Expectations: Can High Growth Support the High Valuation? $RE
The demand deposit interest rate has reached 7%, completely paralyzing RE's deposit business.
RE survives on long-term deposit business, and the premise for the survival of long-term deposits is that the demand deposit interest rate is low enough. A few days ago, the Federal Reserve voted to hold interest rates steady temporarily, but the market did not buy it. The demand deposit rate quickly surged to 7%, surpassing U.S. Treasury bonds and long-term deposit rates. In an era where demand deposit rates are this high, no one will buy long-term deposits anymore. RE's deposit business has completely fallen into paralysis.
aave manages 40 billion in deposits with a market value of only 2 billion, while RE manages 300 million in deposits with a market value of 400 million. The comparison shows that RE is overvalued by 20 times. With deposit business stalled and a bear market approaching, extreme overvaluation, combined with the upcoming unlocking of 40 million tokens in December that will flood the market for 70 days without being fully absorbed, plus the full tokenization of U.S. stocks and the market's complete abandonment of altcoins, all negative factors are maxed out. RE is bound to face a waterfall-like crash soon, starting with a -50% drop. Shorting now is the best opportunity to make money.This marks my 217th day of publicly sharing my live trading account, with a cumulative net value of 0.94 and a single-day drawdown of 4.1% today. After each market close, I post screenshots of my positions and specific stop-loss prices. I honestly record any trades where my judgment was wrong, without deleting any records. Follow me, and what you get is a continuous stream of unembellished data, not a show of opinions.
BTC dropped straight from the 81,000 level down to 77,186, with $1.5 billion liquidated across the entire network in 24 hours. I don't believe this signals a fundamental shift; rather, it's the leverage structure self-liquidating. Over the past two weeks, perpetual contract open interest has been steadily increasing, and funding rates have remained positive for a long time. This one-sided long structure only needs a trigger point; the $1.5 billion liquidation is the result, not the cause.
My observation indicator is simple: after a bearish move, does the open interest decrease? If open interest clearly falls and the price stabilizes, it means leverage has been cleared, and this is a position where you can try entering. If open interest remains high and the price continues to drift down, it means the second wave hasn't arrived yet, so you have to wait. FET dropped 7.7%, a decline significantly larger than BTC and ETH, indicating risk appetite is contracting and funds are concentrating on mainstream assets. At this stage, I avoid altcoins and only keep long plans for BTC and cash.
At this point, do you reduce your position first and wait for 75,000 to reassess, or do you add positions in batches to bet on a rebound?
Follow me for daily public live trading positions and stop-loss logic, and I honestly report losses as well.
#OKXProphet Conclusion first: $SNDK earnings exceeded expectations, guidance was raised, and an 8-for-1 split was announced. Yet on 10/30 after the US market closed, the stock still fell from 1330.05 to 1129.45, down 15.1%.
It's not a performance issue, it's an expectations issue. The storage sector collectively retreated: Western Digital -8.1%, Micron -6.9%, $SOXL -28%. Barron's: wants more.
The amplifier is the product structure: $SNXX is Tradr's 2x long daily ETF on SNDK, the real ETP dropped from 9.32 to 6.485, down 30.4%, exactly twice the decline of SNDK.
OKX is even more extreme: $SNXX perpetual 24h went from 9.364 to 6.479, with a volume of 16.56 million tokens worth 132 million USD; meanwhile, tokenized spot volume was only 1.59 million USD, a difference of 83 times. At 04:00 during earnings, the 1H candle opened at 9.328, surged to 9.942, then slammed back to 8.453 and closed at 8.98, with volume 8.2 times the previous hour—9.942 was the day's peak.
Money bag: during the sharp drop over 8+ hours, longs paid 0.0448% funding fees; to break even, $SNXX needs to rise 43.9%, while $SNDK only needs 17.6%.
Do you think this is valuation digestion, or the peak of this storage cycle? $SNXX The global macro environment continues to be dominated by a centralized trust crisis. A $6.3 billion-level theft event directly drained short-term liquidity, the scale of stablecoin freezes has expanded panic selling, BTC's moving average death cross and weak MACD resonate, and the short term does not have the conditions for a V-shaped rebound.
The liquidation chart shows a massive accumulation of short positions between 78,700 and 79,500. This area is both a short squeeze trigger and a strong resistance zone. After the price touches it, a rapid pullback is highly likely. I just sent this order; although there was some spill, no complaints were made. Chasing longs above 77,000 no longer has a risk-reward ratio.
Therefore, only short on rebounds. Place orders in the range of 78,300 to 78,900, stop loss at 79,800 to prevent spikes. Take profit first target at 75,800, second target at 74,800. If the price directly breaks below 76,500, you can lightly chase shorts, stop loss at 77,200, take profit at 74,300. Abandon any bottom-fishing actions.
$BTC
#英特尔Q4业绩指引低于预期，股价大跌
@OKX星球 $HYPE This trade, frankly, is just "not fighting the market trend."
I added a long position at 76.441 and made 289%; it kept surging to 94.25, and if I stubbornly held the long now, I'd be done for. I accepted it and reversed to short. Now at 90.379, +205%.
Honestly, there's nothing to be proud of here. Going long first then short means I guessed both directions, just got the second guess right. If it kept rising, I'd be getting slapped from both sides.
But one thing to be clear about: 50x leverage, with a 4.28% stop loss. This cushion isn't thick, even thinner than SOL's 8.83% by half. So I closed my main position first, no discussion.
Just broke 90 (0.42%), just lost 94 (4.01%). The resistance above, flipped, is what I should be watching now. Below, 85 is 5.95% away, that's the real space.
If it stands back above 94, I admit my mistake and exit; break 85 and look at 80. No adding positions in between. $BTC $ETH
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 The current BTC spot price is $77,620, with a maximum 24-hour drawdown exceeding $3,000, representing a concentrated sell-off pressure release after breaking the 80,000 level. The price precisely touched the true cost line of around 77,500 after excluding long-term dead coins from the entire market. This position is the core bull-bear dividing line of this round of the market.
From the capital perspective, the current USDT premium rate has slightly rebounded, and ETF funds' single-day net outflow has narrowed, indicating that the selling pressure is not a systematic institutional withdrawal but a short-term profit-taking by floating positions. Technically, the hourly RSI has dropped to the oversold zone at 22, and the price deviates from the lower Bollinger Band by 3.2%, showing a strong need for technical correction. However, the 4-hour EMA15 has crossed below EMA60, and the mid-term bearish structure has not yet reversed.
The practical strategy strictly follows the principle of "buy low without chasing shorts, sell high without bottom fishing": left-side long orders are placed in batches within the 76,500-76,800 range, with total positions not exceeding 12% of principal, stop loss set at 75,900, first target at 78,400, and second target at 79,100 (Bollinger middle band); right-side short orders wait for a pullback confirmation of resistance at 78,900-79,300 before entering, stop loss set at 79,700, first target at the previous low of 76,600, and if effectively broken, then follow the trend down to 75,000. The entire process strictly includes stop losses to avoid extreme spike risks and maintain a certain risk-reward ratio in highly volatile markets. #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $BTC On the upside, reclaiming $78.5K would be an early sign of improving momentum, while a move above $80K would put the bearish short-term structure under serious pressure.
I'd also separate a relief bounce from an actual trend reversal. A short squeeze can push price higher quickly, but sustained spot demand and stronger follow-through are what would make that recovery more convincing.
For now, capital preservation matters more than forcing entries.The US spot Bitcoin fund has seen inflows for the fourth consecutive day.
On the 29th Eastern Time, there was a net inflow of about 17 million dollars in one day.
Don't believe that institutions have already withdrawn completely.
Watch if the next trading day will continue to see inflows.
$BTC This marks my 217th day of publicly sharing my live trading account, with a cumulative net value of 0.94 and a single-day drawdown of 4.1% today. After each market close, I post screenshots of my positions and specific stop-loss prices. I honestly record any trades where my judgment was wrong, without deleting any records. Follow me, and what you get is a continuous stream of unembellished data, not a show of opinions.
BTC dropped straight from the 81,000 level down to 77,186, with $1.5 billion liquidated across the entire network in 24 hours. I don't believe this signals a fundamental shift; rather, it's the leverage structure self-liquidating. Over the past two weeks, perpetual contract open interest has been steadily increasing, and funding rates have remained positive for a long time. This one-sided long structure only needs a trigger point; the $1.5 billion liquidation is the result, not the cause.
My observation indicator is simple: after a bearish move, does the open interest decrease? If open interest clearly falls and the price stabilizes, it means leverage has been cleared, and this is a position where you can try entering. If open interest remains high and the price continues to drift down, it means the second wave hasn't arrived yet, so you have to wait. FET dropped 7.7%, a decline significantly larger than BTC and ETH, indicating risk appetite is contracting and funds are concentrating on mainstream assets. At this stage, I avoid altcoins and only keep long plans for BTC and cash.
At this point, do you reduce your position first and wait for 75,000 to reassess, or do you add positions in batches to bet on a rebound?
Follow me for daily public live trading positions and stop-loss logic, and I honestly report losses as well.
#OKXProphet The Fed holding rates at 3.75%–4.00% was largely expected, but the hawkish tone is keeping risk appetite under pressure.
BTC slipping towards $77,500 despite some ETF inflows is worth paying attention to. It suggests institutional demand alone isn't enough to absorb the current selling pressure.
The $77K level is now particularly important. Losing it convincingly could expose the $76K region and potentially trigger further liquidations as leveraged positions get squeezed.Approximately $6.3 billion in crypto was reportedly stolen from Binance wallets.
Binance's initial investigation pointed to a compromised DevOps engineer's laptop.
The attackers reportedly gained access to a service container and submitted unauthorized withdrawal transactions.
Blockchain intelligence firms TRM Labs and Elliptic attributed the attack to North Korea-linked hackers, specifically the TraderTraitor group.
Binance pledged to cover customer losses.
$BTC $ETH $SOL The $6.3 billion Binance hack caused weekend long positions to liquidate, but the "passive buyback" expectation and ETF fund inflows are slowly supporting the price below 77,000.
$BTC: $77,026. The Binance security incident pushed the low to 76,400, but spot ETFs have had net inflows of 424 million for three consecutive days, turning cumulative inflows positive in October, with support appearing near 76,000. The 78,000 level above is a trapped position zone and the first resistance for a short-term rebound.
$ETH: $2,239. ETFs had a net outflow of 1.35 billion in October, and BlackRock transferred another 37,000 ETH to Coinbase, so selling pressure is not over. However, hackers converting stolen funds into ETH created a partial buy order, forming an "event-driven bottom" near 2,200. If ETF outflows narrow, the 2,200–2,300 range could be the first battleground in November.
$SOL: $94.2. A whale sold 1.02 million SOL over 5 days, about $104 million, transferring in batches to multiple exchanges via Fireblocks. $94 is the last psychological short-term defense; if the daily close falls below it, $90 will be directly exposed.
Summary: Hackers are short-term noise; institutional losses in ETH and SOL are the real positions. Do you think this wave is the passive buyback expectation being realized first, or will the $1.35 billion ETH ETF outflow break 2,200 first? Discuss in the comments.
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ $BTC $ETH OKX teams up with ICE and Trade.xyz to push perpetual contracts into the US compliant market📰
This news is a major highlight in the industry, but the cooperation still needs to pass two layers of regulatory approval, and there is currently no clear timeline for implementation, with many uncertainties.
Once compliance is achieved, it will have a profound impact on the entire crypto derivatives market, but the uncertainties of regulatory approval cannot be ignored.
What do you think? If it goes smoothly, will it bring changes to the overall market liquidity?
For information exchange only, not constituting any trading advice!
#OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 $BTC 6.3 billion stolen, and BNB only dropped less than 5% today?
Although 3 billion is currently frozen, the remaining 3.3 billion hasn't moved yet, and there's no definite time for withdrawal to resume. There was a sharp dip to 680 in the early morning, but now it has climbed back near 716.
I'm putting this out there: the 716 price definitely won't hold, and before tonight, it will have to test below 700 again. What do the bears think?#US Core PCE in September rises to 3.1%, rate hike expectations remain high Core PCE returned to 3.1%, higher than last month, with the market pricing in over 80% chance of another hike in December. The timing of the data release is very deliberate—only three days before the midterm elections, the numbers released now are meant for voters and the bond market. Historically, I've seen this combination twice. In the early 1980s, Volcker pushed the federal funds rate to 20% to suppress inflation, at the cost of two years of recession; in December 2018, the last hike was made according to the data, and the S&P dropped nearly 20% from its high in September that year, with Powell pivoting three months later. The common point is straightforward: when the data speaks, votes and market trends have to take a back seat. The transmission chain is simple: rising rate expectations strengthen the dollar, and non-yielding risk assets are sold off first. This round, I concentrated my positions on the only chain that closed positive, switched the risk-averse portion to dollar-denominated assets, and avoided all high-leverage growth types. Conversely: PCE is lagging. What really determines December is not this number, but the employment and credit conditions in the next two months—so I keep half my cash on hand, waiting for it to provide the answer itself. #US Core PCE in September rises to 3.1%, rate hike expectations remain high ⚠️The market has entered a narrow consolidation phase! Patience is the biggest test rather than direction🔥
BTC is oscillating around 77700
ETH and SOL are also experiencing slight fluctuations
When there is no major market movement,
many people can't stay idle and always want to open positions,
which easily disrupts the rhythm
Key zones marked
$BTC
Resistance zone above 78000 in the short term
Important defense level at 76400 below
$ETH
Huge long-short divergence around 2200
2170 is the next buffer support level
$SOL
Currently holding steady in the 92–94 range
Resistance remains at 97–99 above
My approach:
No premature predictions on rise or fall
Wait for price to touch key levels and observe market feedback
Before signals arrive,
slowing down and conserving bullets
is far more reliable than repeatedly trading back and forth
In a narrow oscillation market, do you prefer to watch more and act less, or continue swing trading as usual?
This is just a market sentiment record and does not constitute trading advice
#加密行业协同守护资产安全
#英特尔Q4业绩指引低于预期，股价大跌
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 The market is becoming increasingly unforgiving with earnings. Strong revenue growth and improving profits are no longer enough when valuations have already been priced in near perfect execution.
Guidance, future margins, and the cost of capital are carrying just as much weight as the actual results.
With core PCE at 3.1% and rate expectations still elevated, investors have less room for disappointment.
Good companies can still be bad investments at the wrong valuation
#USCorePCERisesTo3.1% $BTC is showing a general intraday weakening and pullback trend, with the price continuously pressured downward from the 80000 level, currently stabilizing around 77600. This round of decline is mainly caused by concentrated profit-taking pressure after a high-level consolidation ends. The current 77500 area is a historically dense support zone and an important previous chip bottom; the effectiveness of this support directly determines the short-term market strength.
The technical structure is overall bearish, with short-term moving averages fully turning downward to suppress, MACD bearish momentum continuing to release, and the market still facing the risk of inertia-driven decline. However, after a rapid deep drop, indicators have entered a severe oversold state, and the price is far from the Bollinger Bands middle band, indicating a strong short-term technical rebound and repair demand, with volatility continuing to expand.
Overall approach: The major trend is weak, but it is not advisable to blindly short at low levels; wait for a rebound to face resistance before shorting again, and wait for a pullback to support before going long again.
Intraday precise strategy:
Low long ambush: Support zone at 76500-76800, stop loss below 76000, rebound targets at 78500 and 79100.
Rebound high short: Resistance zone at 78800-79200, stop loss above 79600, pullback target at 76500, breakdown target at 75000.
The current market is extremely unstable with violent fluctuations; strictly control position size within 5%, focusing on steady trading. $ETH #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $XAU EMA1000 resistance level on the h12 timeframe is around 4190. Adding a spike +10 points. (Important indicator for premium shorting)
Scale·1D (4198→3836)
Key levels·1D:
①4065.9-4075.0 breached｜②3980.9-3999.0 breached｜③3888.7-3894.1 = current level｜④3778.3-3785.5 to be tested｜⚠️Liquidity zone 3718.6-3736.7 (no pending orders allowed)
4198 → 3888.8 = 309.2 points; typical few-day range 274-384 points → moved 80%, within the box.
To 1D 2.0 (3836.2) = 361.8 points → still within the box.
To key level ④ (3778-3785) = 413-420 points → beyond the box. 👉 So 3836 is the last level within the framework; 3778-3785 is the “segment limit zone.” Position reduction/closing should happen there, no chasing shorts.
Push structure: 4198→3981.1 (217 points) → rebound 4082 (101 points, 46% retracement) → 4082→3888.8 (193 points). Three pushes completed, leg lengths decreasing 217→193, progress 0.77, end of phase → segment is finishing but not complete.
Operation (01:16, 3888.8)
Position 0% (at support), 4H RSI 15.4, 1H RSI 15.2, volume ratio 0.51 shrinking volume → no short chasing allowed.
Wait for short on rebound: 3905.6-3910.7 (1H key level 1.0), then up to 3919.8.
Invalidation 3952.3 (H1 close above → stop short).
Targets 3836.2 → 3778-3785 (reduce position) → 3718-3737 liquidity zone no pending orders.
News: US stock deleveraging, Google plunge, memory chips, rate hike expectations → gold treated as an ATM, volume ratio 0.51 shrinking slow decline + active buying 0.38 + each level breached without rebound → means “no buyers” rather than “sellers dumping,” so technical supports are not supported throughout. Gold is the most liquid asset in deleveraging, selling it is to cover margin, technical levels yield to cash flow — this explains why the “iron bottom” at 3980 is ineffective. #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 The crypto market just went through a wave of panic caused by a hacker attack, and at the worst moment of sentiment, billionaire Grant Cardone chose to buy in.
This time, he bought over $1 million worth of Bitcoin and clearly stated he would continue to increase his holdings. The real significance of this news is not the amount, but the direction of his action: the market was just hit by a security incident causing panic selling, yet he didn’t run away; instead, he added to his position.
His reasoning is worth analyzing. Events like hacker attacks impact individual projects, specific protocols, and short-term market sentiment, but they don’t affect Bitcoin’s ledger, computing power, or the decade-long consensus it has built. So, in his view, panic-driven price drops are not risk signals but price discounts. Everyone talks like this in a bull market, but when panic selling actually hits, few dare to place orders.
For ordinary holders, there are two layers of reference from this event. The first is not to equate security incidents directly with a deterioration of Bitcoin’s fundamentals; these two are often confused, and panic amplifies this misunderstanding. The second is not to treat large capital inflows as short-term price guarantees; his holding period is measured in years, able to withstand interim drawdowns, which is completely different from most people’s position structures.
Short-term volatility is still driven by sentiment and liquidity. Whether $BTC can hold this position depends on the capital flow in the coming days. But whether there are buyers at the low point, this event has already provided the answer.
Follow: BTC-USDT, ETH-USDTShort-term trading is dictated by capital, but slow variables determine how long this position can be held.
Support side: $ETH has staking yields (around 3%), making it one of the few crypto assets that can be priced using a cash flow framework; EIP-1559 burns bring the supply side close to deflation when the network is active.
Pressure side: L2 takes away mainnet fees, and as the ecosystem thrives, mainnet revenue doesn't necessarily increase in sync—this gap has always existed.
Looking at both together, the conclusion is: ETH has fundamentals, but there are plenty of reasons for short-term rebounds. So this position should be treated as "a phase of decline," without assuming it will keep going indefinitely.
Follow-up strategy: Manage according to a phase of the market, without setting long-term targets. Close out in three decreasing levels at 2200, 2150, and 2100, and don’t add new targets just because the drop is smooth. $BTC $SOL
#OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 $GOOGL Family, last night this earnings report came out, and after-hours it once dropped over 11%. The comment section is full of "Google bombed."
So where exactly is the "bomb" in the earnings?
On the surface: revenue was $127.58 billion, up 25% year-over-year, slightly below expectations by 0.25%; EPS was only $2.12, while the market expected $3.02, a full $0.90 short; net profit was 26.47 billion, a sharp 24% year-over-year drop. At first glance, it does look bad.
But breaking it down, of that $0.90 gap, $0.55 is a "paper loss" that has nothing to do with Google's core business.
Where does this loss come from? SpaceX.
The logic isn't complicated. When Q2 earnings came out, I said: SpaceX contributed nearly $100 billion in unrealized gains to Google in Q2, pushing that quarter's net profit to 112.2 billion, but this is "marked to market". Once the lock-up period ends and shares are sold off, Q3 will likely take a hit in the opposite direction. At that time, Q2 core profits were inflated by SpaceX's unrealized gains, and the market mistook this unsustainable book gain as an "improvement in Google's profitability," which is the biggest expectation gap.
How much leverage does SpaceX have on Google's earnings? Every $10 stock price fluctuation corresponds to about $5.5 billion change in Google's pre-tax holding value. At the end of Q2, the stock price was 171, and after the September lock-up release, it dropped to 150. This calculation is straightforward.
$INTC $SNDK #英特尔Q4业绩指引低于预期，股价大跌 ⚠️Being hacked is someone else's problem, what did spot BGB ever do to anyone?🔥
BTC funding rate still hasn't turned negative
ETH whales painfully cut losses of 38 million
HYPE surges 680% on volume, all supported by contracts
$BTC
Price keeps dropping, bulls are still paying to hold on hard
Below 80,000 for half an hour, long positions liquidated over 80 million
Total long liquidations across the network reached 205 million
Funding rates remain at 0.0069%, 0.0056%, no negative turn yet
Binance long-short account ratio rose back to 2.16
It's just passive deleveraging, bears haven't taken control of the market at all
$ETH
The trend is even worse, whales stampeding out
A whale holding 93,000 ETH closed 36,500 ETH to hedge
Losses exceed 38 million USD
Remaining position liquidation range: 2122–2130
This is the next big danger zone
$HYPE
Surged 680% on volume, extremely inflated
Contract volume 13.47 billion, spot only 1 billion
Open interest surged to 4.02 billion
The rise is all driven by derivatives, no spot consensus
94–98 is a strong resistance level
If it can't break through, the volume surge just fuels the bears
Summary:
Watch if BTC funding rate can truly turn negative
Focus on ETH liquidation zone 2122–2130
Watch if HYPE can break 94–98 with spot volume
A drop without funding rate turning negative is the most dangerous market
When do you think the funding rate will turn negative and truly clear longs?
Data is for record only, not investment advice
#Hormuz reopening plan emerges, can oil price decline continue?
$BGB $BTC $ETH $HYPE
#US September core PCE rises to 3.1%, rate hike expectations remain high The US stock market has started to enter the batch buying range I am paying attention to.
This time I am focusing on two targets:
1. NVDA (NVIDIA)
* $200: First level buy attention
* $180: Second level add position
* $160: Third level add position
* $140: Fourth level add position
2. SOXL (3x leveraged semiconductor ETF)
* $70: Start paying attention to buy
* $60: Second level add position
* $50: Third level add position
* $40: Fourth level add position
My approach is very simple:
No chasing highs, no all-in, no guessing the lowest point.
Set prices in advance, allocate funds in batches. Have positions when prices rise, have funds when prices fall, always control total investment.
I believe the current market is already worth seriously paying attention to buying opportunities. For assets with long-term optimism, what really matters is not whether you can buy at the lowest point, but whether you can execute according to your plan within a suitable price range.
Everyone can start preparing funds.
Of course, reaching these prices does not necessarily mean an absolute bottom, especially SOXL is a triple leveraged product with greater volatility and risk.
Capital is the most important, opportunities never come just once!
$NVDA $SOXL #CoinbaseQ3净利润转正，交易收入同比降43% Sleep $COIN $ALLO
Breaking news says the stolen ALLO has been frozen, and Allora is fully reimbursing Binance. Seeing the words "fully reimbursed," I was a bit stunned.
A few days ago, when writing about 1INCH, I mentioned that token has no admin rights, so the hacker's address can't be blocked, and you can only watch the tokens get dumped. This time it's the opposite: ALLO's issuer has the authority, and with a freeze command, the stolen tokens are effectively bricked. On the same chain, being able to freeze or not is like two different species.
The market itself is calm; actual price is 0.1708, 24-hour open at 0.1835, low at 0.17, down 7%; contract open interest is just over $1.3 million, with a fee rate of 0.05%, no funds are betting on this. The real issue is on the other side: Binance's $6.4 billion hole, SNX recovered about $1.5 million, ALLO is just a fraction, a drop in the bucket. But the project team is fully cooperating, not for that money, but to stay at the table.
So now, when I see a token get hacked, my first reaction isn't to check the K-line, but to see if the token has admin rights. How about you?
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 ETH
🔷 ETH fell below $2,200! The stolen ETH has not been frozen yet
📊 ETH around $2,240, down 3.2% to 3.6% in 24 hours, once dropped below $2,200 (Cryptotimes, Coingabbar); ETH longs liquidated about $364 million.
⚠️ TRM Labs estimates the attacker still controls over 420,000 ETH and 18,270 BTC, totaling about $2.4 billion, which the issuer cannot freeze (Cryptotimes); Arkham's entity page shows about 18,270 BTC and 488,364 ETH, with different scopes.
🧮 The BTC portion is about $1.42 billion, roughly 3.2 times the BTC ETF inflows of about $440.7 million over four days (Coinspeaker, my own calculation).
I can't judge how the stolen funds will be handled, and I might be mistaken.
📍 The levels I'm watching:
• $2,000: Key support mentioned by Coingabbar
• $2,200: Round number level
Do you think the destination of the stolen assets will become the biggest variable in the market?
$ETH $BTC #BTCETHETFOutflows #USCorePCERisesTo3.1% $BTC $ETH $ZEC The market has entered a phase of narrow consolidation, where the rhythm is more wearing than the direction.
Looking at today's market, BTC is hovering around 77700, with ETH and SOL also showing slight fluctuations. This kind of movement really tests traders' patience—when there are no extreme market conditions, it's easiest to disrupt the rhythm by "wanting to do something."
The area around BTC 78000 is a short-term zone that needs to be digested, while 76400 below is a defensive reference to watch in this round. The long-short divergence around ETH 2200 is quite obvious, with 2170 serving as a lower buffer. SOL is temporarily stable around 92-94, but resistance remains at 97-99 above.
In this phase, my personal habit is: not to preset "it will definitely be like this," but to observe the reaction when key zones are touched. Before the market gives signals, maintaining a light rhythm and preserving attention is more practical than frequently switching judgments.
In this kind of narrow market recently, do you prefer to watch more and act less, or maintain a normal rhythm?
(The above is a subjective record of my personal market observations, not trading advice. Cryptocurrency assets are highly volatile; please assess risks on your own.)
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高
#加密行业协同守护资产安全
#英特尔Q4业绩指引低于预期，股价大跌 【After Maji's ETH long position was liquidated in the morning session, he recharged to open a long position worth about $5.88 million】
According to on-chain data:
1. Maji's ETH long position was fully liquidated this morning during the Binance price drop triggered by a hack.
2. In the afternoon, he recharged 250,000 USDC to Hyperliquid to continue going long; the current total long position value is about $5.88 million, involving $ETH, $HYPE, and $BTC.
3. Still using high leverage: ETH position at 25x, liquidation price around $2,161, only about $86 away from the current price.
4. He has been trading intensively on Hyperliquid for nearly a year and a half, with a cumulative trading volume of about $15.86 billion and a total loss of about $37.05 million.Ethereum co-founder Mihai Alisie has joined the independent nonprofit research and development organization Ethlabs as an anchor funder. At the same time, Payward and Gattaca HQ have joined as contributors, along with 19 new supporters from the Ethereum community. Ethlabs states that its goal is to become an open, accessible, and user-centric organization that supports the development of the Ethereum network and its assets, while valuing Ethereum's trustless neutrality, security, censorship resistance, and openness. Industry Analysis and Impact Alisie's joining brings significant reputation and financial support to Ethlabs. As a co-founder, his endorsement demonstrates a commitment to Ethereum's core values. The addition of Payward (Kraken's parent company) and Gattaca HQ (a venture studio) indicates growing institutional interest in supporting Ethereum infrastructure. This aligns with the trend of ecosystem funds and nonprofits increasing efforts to finance public goods and core development. Ethlabs' focus on trustless neutrality and user-centricity is especially important as Ethereum faces increasing competition from other smart contract platforms. By emphasizing these principles, Ethlabs aims to protect Ethereum's decentralized spirit while fostering innovation. Support from diverse contributors also highlights the community's desire for independent, transparent funding mechanisms. Forward-Looking Outlook With this support, Ethlabs is expected to accelerate its R&D plans. The involvement of high-profile individuals and organizations will... SOPH surged from 0.00118 to 0.00216 yesterday, a 43% increase in one day, but it will shut down on November 30th — this is not a reversal, it's a squeeze in a panic sell-off.
Fact: On October 20th, the official announcement stated the mainnet will officially close on November 30th, with asset withdrawals ending on November 25th. Assets left on the chain after the deadline may be permanently inaccessible, and tokens will migrate to Ethereum. On September 22nd, Upbit even listed it as a trading warning asset, suspending deposits and withdrawals.
Market situation: On 10/30 at 10:00, it hit a historical low of 0.00118, then rebounded to 0.00216 within 14 hours, an 83% increase from the lowest point. The contract funding rate is -0.32%, meaning shorts are paying every hour.
It has dropped 95% in a year, from 0.074 to 0.0021.
I think this is a dead cat bounce before shutdown: shorts are too squeezed and positions too low, so the rebound is fierce, but since the chain is shutting down and tokens migrate to a regular ERC20 without gas demand, the long-term value tends to zero. The closer to 11/25, the greater the risk.
My approach: no mid-term positions, only day trading. 0.00173 was last night's pullback low and is the short-term lifeline; break below and exit immediately. Only a volume breakout above 0.00216 can trigger a second surge, targeting 0.0024.
Keep position size small, always use stop loss, do not hold overnight, as a single spike can wipe out all profits.
Are you betting on one last frenzy before shutdown, or is this just a panic sell-off?
$SOPH $BTC
#Sophon #Contract $BTC Bitcoin one-hour cycle, the bottom of the previous box is at 79500, which has turned from strong support into strong resistance. The first take-profit position for all non-long-term long orders should be here. From the one-hour RSI indicator, it failed to break through 40, showing a slightly bearish short-term outlook. Long positions have already been entered and may be stopped out, but the stop-loss range is only 0.45%. If the price returns to 76666, continue going long. This is a high risk-reward area, small stop-loss for large gains, $BCH short position with 50x leverage, floating profit +13.94%, opened at 293.57, mark price 286.88, intraday high 297.77 then pulled back, current quote 286.94, down nearly 2% for the day.
Looking at the 15-minute and 30-minute charts, after pulling back from the high of 297.77, the price is pressed down along the short-term moving average. On the 30-minute level, it rebounded from 263.03 to 297.77 then weakened, currently near 286; the 15-minute level is also under pressure with a weak rebound. There are dense sell orders around 287, and buy orders between 285.6-286.8 below, but overall support is average.
The floating profit with 50x leverage is not large, defense is more important. Near 286-285 is short-term support, prone to oversold rebounds, but as long as it stays below the 290-293 resistance zone, the bias remains bearish. It is recommended to take partial profits first to secure gains, keep a light position to watch 280-283, if broken then look at 275, don’t let small floating profits be wiped out by volatility. High-leverage short positions, taking them off is the real deal.$BTC 🚨Whale Alert🐋 Large BTC Movement!
Block: 973854
Transfer: 3397 BTC, valued at 261 million USD
TXID: 25f7cf6d03a25b36a4f368220e50a7d3521f3b8acb018d3643242ecce6841b1b
A massive chip movement
Currently a sensitive market node
Every large transfer easily stirs emotions
⚠️Key Reminder:
Transfer only ≠ dumping or selling
It could be cold wallet migration, splitting positions, or off-exchange settlement
But at this position, one must guard against subsequent selling pressure
Do you think this is a giant whale repositioning, or preparing to dump?
Only on-chain data broadcast, not investment advice
$BTC
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #توقعات تقرير أرباح Palantir: هل يمكن للنمو العالي أن يدعم التقييم المرتفع؟ $SOL
Everyone says Binance being hacked hit BTC and those altcoins dumped by hackers, and SOL just got caught in the crossfire. But I checked the data tonight, and it fell even harder than BTC, so it's not just lying there taking hits.
Actually tested at 94.3, it dropped from 100.85 to 92.26 in 24 hours, down more than 6 points. Binance shows 94.24 and a low of 92.25, both matching up. BTC fell just over 4 points in the same period. After losing the 100 whole number support, there hasn't been any decent resistance below.
What really makes me frown is the macro side. Two Fed officials turned hawkish tonight; Musalem said another rate hike will be necessary soon, and Logan was more blunt, saying at least two more hikes totaling 50 basis points. On the US stock side, the VIX fear index broke above 20, and the fear and greed index dropped to 30, the lowest since August. With this situation, SOL isn't the only one taking hits.
The fee rate is still hanging at a positive 0.04%, and the open interest is 3.41 million tokens, basically unchanged from 3.5 million a couple of days ago. The bulls are still holding on, no stampede yet. How long it stays below 100 and where the support is, I'll wait to see after this monthly candle closes.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 Your stolen BGB has nothing to do with me, who did my spot BGB offend?
BTC funding rate still hasn't turned negative, ETH whales cut losses of 38 million, HYPE volume surged 680% all driven by contracts
$BTC price is falling, bulls are still paying fees to hold on hard
In the half hour after breaking below 80,000, over 80 million long positions exploded, with about $205 million long positions liquidated across the network. But the funding rates remain at 0.0069% and 0.0056%, not turning negative, Binance long-short account ratio rose to 2.16, bottom-fishers haven't left. This is passive deleveraging, not a takeover by shorts
$ETH whales cut losses, ETF is running, 2,122 is the next danger zone
Daily moving averages show a bearish alignment, a whale holding 93,000 ETH has closed 36,500 ETH to avoid liquidation, with cumulative losses exceeding $38 million, remaining position liquidation price is pressed between 2,122 and 2,130
$HYPE volume surged 680%, but it's all contracts pushing
Trading volume surged over 680%, but contract volume is 13.47 billion, spot only about 1 billion, open interest increased to 4.02 billion. Buying pressure comes from derivatives, not spot consensus. 94 to 98 is a hard resistance, can't break through, volume surge just fuels the shorts.
Summary: Watch if BTC funding rate truly turns negative, ETH watch the 2,122 to 2,130 liquidation zone, HYPE watch if 94 to 98 can be eaten down by spot volume. Declines without negative funding rates are the most dangerous
#霍尔木兹重开方案浮现，油价回落能否持续？ $SNXX At this point, judgment isn't that important anymore; execution is what matters. To be clear:
Downward: Volume break below 6.0 → reduce a batch, watch 5.8; break 5.8 → reduce again; 5.5 → finish off.
Upward: Hold above 6.8 → reduce by half; 7.349 cost price → clear the rest; 8.546 → theoretical liquidation line, basically unreachable.
Sideways: Grinding between 6.0 and 6.8 for more than a day without breaking → accelerate reduction, 25x leverage can't withstand volatility, funding fees are deducted daily.
Follow-up strategy: Every day just watch two numbers—whether 6.0 breaks or 6.8 holds. If the former triggers, reduce accordingly; if the latter triggers, reduce by half first; if neither happens, reduce over time. 307% profit already pocketed more than triple, next focus is on turning it into solid gains, not whether it can double again. $BTC $ETH
#OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 $SOL SOL has surged above 101 this round, and the most ridiculous thing is that the total liquidations across the network are only a bit over 3 million dollars.
There is basically no cluster of high-leverage longs on the market.
Just a little bit of spot buying pushes the price up sharply, the chips are very clean.
The shorts keep watching every day, hoping for a long leverage liquidation cascade, but where in this market can you find a cascade to trigger?
If this strong resistance continues, the ones who will be dragged down first can only be the shorts themselves.
#SOL
$SOL
👇$BTC is still struggling underwater, while $ETH has already started to slowly recover. This market situation is quite interesting🤔
Currently, there is a clear short-term divergence between the two. ETH is the first to rebound, indicating that some funds have begun to try bottom-fishing, and bears may also be gradually taking profits.
But this does not mean the market has reversed yet.
As the market bellwether, if BTC cannot stabilize soon, ETH's solo rebound will hardly go far.
Next, focus on two signals:
1. Whether BTC can stabilize and lead the market to warm up
2. Whether ETH can maintain strength and continue to outperform BTC
Right now, it looks more like ETH is the first to oversell and recover, while BTC is still waiting for direction.
Don't rush to call the bull market back yet; whether a real rebound can happen depends on how the funds move next.Rumors of Binance hot wallet theft triggered panic selling, with 3 billion frozen and 5.3 billion potential losses. BTC directly dropped below 79,000, and BNB is currently priced at 699.88, hugging the lower boundary of the descending channel. The on-chain liquidation chart is very clear: heavy long liquidations around 691.1, and shorts piled up between 700 and 720, forming a typical squeeze from both sides. RSI is oversold, MACD shows a golden cross signal, the technical rebound window is open, but don’t mistake the rebound for a reversal. I finished my rounds with a thermos in the underground garage, glanced at the market, and the 699 level is like licking the blade.
For BNB operations, lightly go long near 700, add positions on pullbacks between 691 and 695, set stop loss below 686, defense must be firm. First take profit at 708, second take profit between 716 and 720, where short liquidations are dense; a surge there is likely to be crushed. If there is a volume breakout above 720, then look towards 728; otherwise, reduce positions and exit. The short strategy is to wait for resistance between 716 and 720 without breaking before considering shorting, with stop loss at 725. Chasing longs directly at the current price of 699.88 carries significant risk; waiting for a pullback confirmation is safer. Security guards earn just over 3,000 yuan a month; with such news-driven pitfalls, position control is more important than direction. Leverage should not exceed five times; don’t risk next month’s meal money.
$BNB
#StrategyQ3净利润创单季新高，数字资产收益贡献显著
@OKX星球