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🔥$MAGIC This line stunned me.👀
0.038 stayed flat for almost half a year, today it took off right from the spot, reaching a high of 0.163. It surged 67% in one day and multiplied 1.6 times in 7 days.
24-hour trading volume is $528 million. What does that mean? The turnover rate is extremely high, indicating that the old chips buried at the bottom have been happily distributed today during this crazy short squeeze.
Many people are staring at this pillar and their hands are itching again.
To be honest: this is a typical dog trader’s short squeeze trap. It fell so low at first that no one cared, shorts got bold, and a slight pull triggered a chain of liquidations. Now rushing in to chase the high is purely playing the buyer’s show.
Those watching the market are thinking "How high can it go?" but the real money makers are thinking "How to turn the floating profit into USDT."
If you don’t have a position, just watch the show and don’t catch a flying knife. If you hold coins, take profits in batches and don’t always try to sell at the highest point.
Bitcoin is still hovering below 84,000, and the macro environment does not support altcoins to keep soaring unilaterally. This kind of surge is just an emotional outburst, and the retreat definitely won’t warn you.
Trading is simple: only the money in your pocket is yours. Those who rush in by luck will eventually pay back with skill.
For this kind of single-day doubling, do you dare to get on board or just watch?👇[Empty Position Waiting for the Wind: FOMC Hawkish, BTC Testing 80,000, My Operation Plan]
This week's market is not easy to trade. The FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most officials expecting another rate hike before the end of the year. US Treasury yields surged to 5.36%, the highest since 2002. Over the past 24 hours, the entire market liquidated more than $900 million, with longs accounting for 91%. At times like this, being out of the market feels most comfortable.
I am currently out of the market, holding about 75U in cash, with no orders placed. It's not that I don't want to buy, but I haven't seen any signals worth acting on.
BTC: It fell from 87,000 down to around 82,000, with a 24-hour low touching 80,400. The key battleground is between 80,000 and 82,500. If it can stabilize with low volume in this range and then rebound with volume, I will build my first position with 15-20U, setting a stop loss at 79,500. If it breaks below 80,000 directly, I will continue to wait for 75,000-78,000.
ETH: The 2,500 level was briefly lost, even dipping below 2,400. The validator exit queue is still being digested, ETF net outflows continue, and 2,500 is a key psychological barrier. I will not enter for now; I will wait for a clear bottoming signal around 2,400-2,450, then lightly test with 10-15U, stop loss at 2,300.
JUP: The fundamentals are indeed strong—Jupiter Lend deposits surged to $2.6 billion, officially surpassing Kamino as Solana's largest lending protocol; token unlocking has ended, and 70% of fee income is continuously used for buybacks. However, technically it is overbought, price has distanced from EMA, falling from 0.388 to around 0.35. No chasing highs; I will wait for a pullback to 0.30-0.32 to stabilize, then lightly enter with 5-8U, stop loss at 0.28.
PUMP: Staying away. Although there was an oversold rebound, about $40 million unlocked on October 12, and the team and investors are still in a 3-year linear unlocking cycle, so supply pressure persists. I previously cleared my position near 0.005; now above 0.0056 is none of my business.
My core principles:
1. No orders placed, no price guessing; wait for signals before manual operation.
2. Keep at least 40U as core ammunition; no rush to use it all.
3. Until macro uncertainty is resolved, cash is the best position.
The more chaotic the market, the more you must control your hands. Better to miss out than to make mistakes. When BTC gives a clear signal around 80,000, we will strike hard again.
#Bitcoin #ETH #JUP #TradeReview #RiskControl
$BTC $ETH $PUMP
Personal operation record, not investment advice.📊Midday Contract Review｜$HYPE & $BICO Perpetual
🔹HYPEUSDT Perpetual
Current Price 83.925｜Intraday -1.65%｜Funding Rate 0.0050%
Smart Money Total Position 152.08M, Total Traders 723, Nominal Long-Short Ratio 55.59%
Longs: 325 traders, Position 54.34M, Average Price 80.87841, Unrealized P&L +1,972,733.49U, Longs Profit Ratio only 22.76%
Shorts: 398 traders, Position 97.74M, Average Price 75.89643, Unrealized P&L -9,350,350.39U, Shorts Profit Ratio as high as 86.93%
💡Key Controversy: The vast majority of shorts are profitable positions, continuously realizing profits, with price falling accordingly; although longs have overall floating profits on the books, the proportion of profitable traders inside is very low, most longs are actually at a floating loss, indicating unstable chip foundation. High-level oscillation with downward probing, longs face the risk of profit-taking short squeezes at any time.
✅Personal Position: 20X full position long, floating profit +1505.55U, return +239.06%, margin ratio 4.60%, profit buffer slightly shrunk, continue holding, closely watching if shorts continue to realize profits
🔹BICOUSDT Perpetual
Current Price 0.01977｜Intraday -0.60%｜Funding Rate 0.0100%
Smart Money Total Position 915.67K, Total Traders 292, Nominal Long-Short Ratio 281.37%
Longs: 176 traders, Position 675.57K, Average Price 0.0211683, Unrealized P&L -47,782.51U, Longs Profit Ratio 31.81%
Shorts: 116 traders, Position 240.09K, Average Price 0.0208846, Unrealized P&L +13,537.11U, Shorts Profit Ratio 69.82%
💡Key Controversy: Nominal long-short ratio surged to 281.37%, long positions are highly crowded, many longs trapped, shorts profit ratio continuously rising, rebound under pressure, risk of long liquidation by longs exists.
✅Personal Position: 8X full position long, floating loss -1530.91U, return -613.19%, margin ratio 4.60%, maintaining position, insist on no averaging down, waiting for chip structure to repair
#September FOMC Minutes Released, Majority of Officials Favor Another Rate Hike
#BTC Spot ETF Sees Largest Single-Day Net Outflow in Nearly Three and a Half Months
#Check-in with OKX 2049 $NEAR
NEAR is approaching its high again; has yesterday's pullback risk disappeared?
Today's early spot 24-hour observation window: range 4.625—5.03 USDT, change +6.83%, trading volume approximately 26.68 million USDT.
The quote is close to the upper edge of this window, indicating considerable room for recovery, but the previous rise was followed by a significant pullback, showing that high volatility is bidirectional. The risks of buying at high levels versus supporting at low levels differ, and the new lead still requires a retracement to hold.
If repeated surges near 5.03 are followed by declines and the lows continue to drop, be cautious of another realization; if the pullback after a breakout remains in the upper half of the old range, the strength and sustainability will be more credible.$APT
APT/USDT Perpetual 30-Minute Review
This ID's view: The rebound from the 0.6901 low point has been quite strong, currently forming a new small intermediate consolidation at a high level. At this stage, it is a reversal recovery phase after overselling, and bulls and bears will engage in a battle here. If the lower boundary of the consolidation holds, one can try to trade for further upside; if it breaks below the consolidation directly, then this rebound should be considered ended.
Entry: Try going long if the price pulls back and stabilizes at the lower boundary of the consolidation; consider shorting if it effectively breaks below the consolidation range.
Stop loss: Place long stop loss below the consolidation, and short stop loss above the high point of this rebound.
Chan Theory Structure: On the 30-minute level, there was a rapid sell-off that hit the 0.6901 low, followed by a strong rebound. Now the purple secondary consolidation shown in the chart has been formed. Currently, it is the phase of consolidation oscillation choosing direction; upward continuation means the rebound can extend, downward means a return to weakness.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation: Volume was fully released during the rally phase, indicating capital entering at low levels to support. After entering the consolidation, volume began to contract, bulls and bears are temporarily in a tug-of-war with no absolute advantage; a clear signal requires subsequent volume expansion.
Key Observation: Focus closely on the upper and lower boundaries of this new consolidation. Holding the lower boundary means the rebound still has a chance to continue; if volume expands and breaks below the consolidation, be mentally prepared for another downward probe. ETH 需等待突破 2 5 2 0的压力确认 4小时转势，下方关键支撑 2 4 7 0，跌破 2 4 7 0，则行情反弹结束，仍将下探测试 2 4 0 5- 2 4 1 0关键低点支撑， 1 5 m 短线压力 2 5 0 0突破确认后才可以轻仓试多$ETH Don't short, absolutely don't short, brothers, don't be tempted by the dog whales.
Don't believe in shorting, there are too many people shorting right now.
Look at the daily chart structure, it's moving very steadily, the upward trend hasn't changed at all, it's solidly moving up.
Right now, the dog whales are exploiting people's psychology of rising prices to lure everyone into shorting, using the shorts' chips as fuel to keep pushing the price up.
Only when the shorts stop shorting can the price possibly fall.
At this time, you must keep your mindset steady. Although I am stuck in a position, I do not advise anyone to short.
$CAP has been pulled up from 0.037, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 all diverging upwards—this is a textbook bullish alignment.
The MACD momentum also shows no signs of weakening.
With this kind of trend, if you insist on shorting, aren't you obviously fueling the dog whales?
I opened a short at 0.08243, and the floating loss has already exceeded 38%.
I take this lesson myself.
The biggest fear in trading is going against the trend, and the current trend is clearly upward.
Yet the whole network is shouting "too high, time to short," which itself is the most dangerous signal.
When is the real top?
It will be when no one dares to short anymore, when the shorts completely admit defeat and surrender—that will be the real top.
Clearly, now is not that time.
Keep your mindset steady, don't be blinded by the current gains, and don't be fooled by the dog whales' tricks.
$BTC
$ETH
#US and Russia reach diesel supply arrangement, but the risk in the Strait of Hormuz remains unresolved $BTC 3分钟从82500附近拉到82728，冲高后小幅回落，现价82656.6。短线完成一波探底回升，再次冲击前高之后进入高位震荡
现在看82728这道压力能不能有效突破。价格回踩之后依旧维持在82600上方，下方低点抬升，短线多头力量有所回暖，但前高位置的抛压还没完全消化
位置很清楚。上方82728是短线核心压力，站稳这一线，反弹空间才会进一步打开；脚下第一道支撑看82500，一旦失守，本轮探底回升的结构就会被破坏，重回弱势震荡
不会刚摸到前高就激进追多，也不会小幅震荡就直接翻空。这波反弹能不能延续，就看能不能站稳82728。
当前持有仓位，重点盯82500支撑，守住则继续持仓博弈前高突破；若反复冲不过82728，就要提防冲高回落的风险，做好减仓预案#跟着OKX打卡2049 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注 Trump's "The Art of the Deal."
#Trump made a decision:
On October 9, relax sanctions on Russian diesel and open the gates for imports.
Putin was very straightforward:
Over 300,000 tons in October. 500,000 tons in November. Then, another 1 million tons.
Zelensky only said:
"A terrible birthday gift for Putin."
— Putin's birthday was just two days ago
Diesel prices dropped a bit,
Russia's war funds went up a notch.
For the midterm elections, Trump is sending money to Putin.
This is "America First."
Next, most likely:
The US will compromise with Iran and reach an agreement,
The Strait of Hormuz will reopen to navigation, and oil prices will fall.
As for the more than 20,000 US troops and three aircraft carriers in the Middle East,
They are just bargaining chips for maximum pressure negotiations. @OKX prophet #US and Russia reach diesel supply arrangement, Hormuz risk still unresolved Brothers, is it really the right time to add to ETH now?
Looking at the overall margin rate of 0.10% in my account, my palms are sweating cold.
Position update:
$ETH: full position 5X, entry price 2718.24, mark price 2610.28. Floating loss -88.16U, ROI has already dropped to -20.77% on $ETH. This mess is a bottomless pit; when the market falls, it leads the charge down, and when the market rises, it just plays dead. BCH: full position 10X, floating profit +69.34U (+150.72%), base position 460U, still the strongest pillar on the field. $BCH
$SOL: full position 20X, floating profit +34.63U (+44.31%).
The 0.10% lifeline! As soon as the market fluctuates down by 0.1%, the hard-earned profits from BCH and SOL, along with my principal, will be instantly liquidated on the full position! Nothing left at all! Adding to the losing ETH position at this critical moment is not bottom fishing; it’s like lighting a bomb!
Moreover, ETH shows no signs of stabilizing now, purely catching knives. What do I use to add? Taking margin from BCH and SOL will only speed up liquidation, and adding more funds is just handing my head to the exchange.
I must stay sober! Once the gambler’s mindset kicks in, it’s the beginning of zeroing out!
#SeptemberFOMCMinutesReleased, most officials favor another rate hike
#BTCSpotETFSeesLargestSingleDayNetOutflowInOverThreeAndAHalfMonths
#CheckingInWithOKX2049 Persistence itself is a moat. Surviving 8 years of trading with debt is something ordinary people would collapse from in 2 or 3 years. My system is fundamentally simple: right-side trading, riding the second wave, a method I've used for years. Once the technique is in place, the bottleneck is all mindset—cultivating the mind is much harder than refining the technique. In 2024, I simplified by abandoning altcoin-focused $BTC $ETH contracts, and my results improved significantly. Focusing on the assets I truly know, gambling is a double-edged sword; you have to distinguish between resilience and gambling.#SanDisk officially included in the S&P 100 index
Looking at the candlestick chart, it has been continuously falling these past few days, already breaking below the short-term moving average. The first support below is around 1576; if this level holds and a reversal candlestick forms, there will be a chance for a rebound. The resistance above is in the 1670-1700 range. To continue upward, volume must increase and stabilize above this resistance zone; otherwise, a surge up is likely to be pushed back down. For the coming week, I expect a high probability of consolidation and bottoming. If Micron leads and the storage sector sentiment warms up, and prices find support and stabilize, a rebound testing the upper resistance will occur; but if the broader market weakens and volume increases breaking the support, it will likely continue to probe down to the 14xx level. My thinking: the long-term storage logic is sound, with AI storage demand plus buybacks providing a floor. Short-term, do not chase highs. Since I am already trapped in a position, I can only consider averaging down depending on the situation, waiting for a pullback to support and a reversal signal on the candlestick before considering phased entries, with stop-losses set in advance. Going forward, focus on the storage sector linkage and changes in trading volume. #CheckInWithOKX2049 Brothers, the short position at 1218 has already been entered. The manipulative whales want to push me to explode or let me take some profit,
I don't care. At this moment, I just want to prove one thing: my judgment is not wrong.
The biggest problem with ZEC right now is that the buy orders are turning into sell orders.
The mining pool boss Wang Chun has been continuously rotating positions over the past three days, and the US government deposited 17,733 BTC worth $1.48 billion into Coinbase Prime during the same period. People holding hundreds of millions in chips are actively reducing positions, not retail investors panicking.
JAN3's CEO Samson Mow directly pointed out that ZEC's 22 billion market cap is artificially propped up; there isn't enough speculative capital to sustain this valuation, and mean reversion is coming.
It sounds harsh, but if you glance at the candlestick chart, ZEC has dropped from 1697 to 1112, and his judgment is being realized.
My short at 1218, with 50x leverage, is now slightly profitable.
The resistance zone for a rebound is between 1230 and 1250; breaking through there is an opportunity to add positions. The support at 1113 is the previous low; breaking it means 1000.
ETFs are redeeming, mining pool bosses are rotating positions, institutions are questioning the valuation. Tell me, what will make ZEC rise?
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #BTC spot ETF sees the largest single-day net outflow in nearly three and a half months I think Binance Brazil's recent move is a compliance slimming, not a global withdrawal. Starting from October 27, 8 services will be cut locally, and 22 coins will be delisted. Spot price is about 82,614 USD (Beijing 12:18, Coinbase).Weekend shrank into a line: $BTC stuck in the 82200–83000 box
Current price about 82710. Today it surged to 83014 then fell back, opened at 82871 but hasn't recovered — daily chart is forming a bearish candle.
Daily forecast (clearly stated):
Bearish consolidation, premise is not recovering 83014. First watch the lower edge of the box at 82280; if 4H closes below 82280 → target 81700, if worse then look to previous low 80400.
The only condition for bullish reversal: volume breakout above and hold 83014, next target yesterday's high 83530.
Weekend market is thin, false breakouts are common, avoid chasing one-sided trades.
For personal opinion only, not investment advice.
#BTC #Bitcoin #MarketAnalysis$ETH 以太坊盘面分析
从技术面来看，ETH近期连续下跌，价格从2700美元上方回落，10月8日最低触及2408美元附近。目前价格在2500美元下方震荡，短线空头仍占据主导，市场尚未出现明确的反转信号。连续下跌后虽然存在技术性反弹需求，但反弹力度仍需进一步确认。
支撑方面，下方首先关注2400–2420美元区间，若能够企稳，有望反弹至2500–2550美元；若2400美元有效跌破，则需警惕进一步下探2350美元，甚至2300美元。压力方面，上方重点关注2500–2550美元，其次是2580–2600美元。只有放量站稳2600美元，短线走势才有望逐步修复。
消息面上，近期以太坊现货ETF持续出现资金流出，加上美元走强、美债收益率上升，市场风险偏好受到压制，ETH短期反弹也面临一定压力。
综合来看，ETH目前处于急跌后的弱势震荡阶段，整体偏空。若2400美元附近出现明显止跌信号，可关注技术性反弹；若支撑失守，则需防范进一步下跌。操作上不宜盲目抄底或追空，重点观察关键支撑的承接力度，以及反弹能否伴随成交量放大。#跟着OKX打卡2049 $AAVE Approaching Resistance, What Evidence Is Missing for a Breakout
$AAVE is up 3.35% in 24 hours, currently priced at 171.3, just 0.57% away from the 1-hour resistance at 172.28. Positions like this often create an illusion: a brief intraday break above is mistaken for a completed breakout. The real, substantial answer is whether it can hold above after crossing.
The current 1-hour volume is about 0.75 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, with activity still near normal. This means key levels require confirmation through continuity: touching, crossing, and holding are three different things and cannot be replaced by a single moment.
Zooming out to the 24-hour range: low at 164.57, high at 172.28. The current price at 171.3’s position within this range directly affects the meaning of the same signal. Near the high, strength must prove it’s not a spike followed by a drop; near the low, a rebound must prove it’s not a continuation of the downtrend. The range is not a prediction target but a tool to check if the current narrative is hiding any risks.特朗普称俄罗斯将向美国供应柴油，这条消息确实能缓解一部分焦虑。据AP报道，他宣布的首批供应规模超过30万吨。但现在首先要分清：这是宣布供应安排，还不是油轮已经卸货的证明。
柴油、原油、霍尔木兹航运，也不是同一个问题。增加成品油供应，可以对准柴油短缺，却不能凭空修好炼厂，更不能让海峡里的航行风险消失。如果船期、保险、出口许可卡住，纸面上有油，终端照样可能觉得贵。
我能理解市场为什么抓住这个消息。运输、农业、工业都要用柴油，价格持续高企，成本会一路传到普通人的账单里。有人愿意补货，当然比继续互相喊话强。
但我不愿意仅凭一条协议，就跟着喊能源危机结束。真正有用的后续，是装船、到港和稳定交付；判断通胀有没有松动，还得看柴油价格能不能实实在在降下来。原油盘面先跌一下，司机加油时却没少付钱，这种落差完全可能存在。眼下我更关心第一批货什么时候到，少一点提前庆功，给交付留一点时间。
#美俄达成柴油供应安排，霍尔木兹风险仍未解 A large outflow from ETFs, the simplest explanation is "Grayscale's high fees, funds just switching products." But this time, looking into the details, that explanation doesn't quite hold up.
Farside data shows that on October 7, US BTC spot ETFs had a combined net outflow of about $485 million. The outflow wasn't just from GBTC: IBIT, FBTC, and ARKB also saw redemptions, with IBIT being the product with the largest outflow that day. Multiple products being negative together means you can't lightly attribute the total outflow to the same batch of money just moving accounts.
This is more concerning than just looking at the amount. However, the data doesn't tell us who each holder is, nor whether the redemptions were for hedging, taking profits, or reallocating assets. Simply shouting "institutions collectively fleeing" is also just inserting drama into the spreadsheet.
I am willing to acknowledge the value of long-term buying, but I don't like thinking of "institutional funds" as a faith-based position that will never regret. Legitimate accounts have risk budgets and will retreat. What we need to watch next is whether inflows can cover these redemptions again, not picking one fund still buying to boost our confidence. When inflows are continuous, everyone watches the total; once outflows start, suddenly only partial data is discussed. This selective optimism is more harmful than a day's red or green.
#BTC spot ETF records largest single-day net outflow in nearly three and a half months In this minutes, there is a detail that made me pause and read it twice: some officials have already raised their estimates of the neutral interest rate. Several other officials believe that the current policy rate does not significantly restrict the economy, or the restriction is very mild.
This is a bit painful. The market thinks money is expensive, but the Federal Reserve might feel it’s still not expensive enough. The minutes also mention that rising stock prices, narrow corporate credit spreads, and active financing continue to support financial conditions for growth. Focusing only on interest rate numbers and saying "the economy can't hold up" may not explain why companies are still borrowing and investing.
There is no dashboard that can read the neutral interest rate in real time, and officials’ estimates are not the final answer. But if they keep raising the reference point for judging tightness, investors who still take the interest rate levels from the last cycle as a bottoming basis are likely to face wave after wave of disappointment.
For the crypto market, I want to see real changes in financing demand and credit environment, not just the absence of a hawkish adjective in a sentence. Every time I hear "we’ve raised so much already, it should be over," I want to ask: is this evidence from the economy, or a wish from positions? After reading the minutes, at least for now, I can’t comfortably answer that.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Everyone knows about the $FIL halving, with a market cap in the billions right now. However, this halving is fundamentally different from Bitcoin's halving logic; this one halves gradually over 6 years. So, in the short term, this is not a positive factor and does not change the supply-demand relationship for the coming years. Therefore, it acts more like a tool to deceive retail investors into selling. The 23-hour non-stop trading of US stocks and the tokenization of US stocks are huge negative factors for altcoins like FIL (a significant drop is inevitable around the 15th).I came across an on-chain report saying that Dogecoin "is no longer used."
Bitquery released a fairly serious report, analyzing Dogecoin's data from the first block in 2013 up to now, spanning over a decade. The report states that the average daily active addresses in 2026 will be only 46,700, down 41% from last year, the lowest since 2017.
Seeing this number, my first reaction was, it's over, no one is playing anymore.
But I kept reading. The same report says that Dogecoin's mining difficulty is about seven times higher than at the beginning of 2022. Hashrate represents how many machines are guarding this chain. While the number of users is decreasing, the number of machines securing the chain has actually increased sevenfold.
It's like a convenience store where fewer customers come in during the day, but the backroom security staff has increased from one person to seven. Would you say this store is going out of business or gearing up for something big?
The report also mentions a detail: 87.5% of the $DOGE transferred on-chain is "change," meaning money automatically returned by the UTXO model. This doesn't mean people are frequently trading; it's the system running accounts in the background. What might real people be doing? Like me, buying and holding, and going to work when it's time.
Miners are willing to add machines to guard this chain, which shows they believe this chain is still worth protecting. BTC daily chart shows a pullback signal; the support in this segment determines the short-term direction #BTCSpotETFRecordsLargestSingleDayNetOutflowInThreeAndAHalfMonths
The BTC daily chart is right in front of us. After the high of 87399, it started to pull back, and now the price is oscillating around 82716.
First, look at the key levels:
The first resistance above is 84000, which is the upper edge of the recent consolidation range. If it can hold above here again, bulls have a chance to test the previous high of 87399.
The first support below is 80000, an important psychological and structural support for this rally. If it breaks down effectively, the correction space will further open; below that is a strong support at 76500.
On indicators, RSI has already fallen from a high level to 42.64, showing a clear weakening of bullish momentum. OBV has not yet shown large-scale capital outflows, but the upward strength is no longer keeping pace with the price.
On fundamentals, the spot ETF continues to see large net outflows, with institutional funds cashing out at highs and no longer adding positions. The market currently lacks new strong positive catalysts to push prices higher, so even slight negative news easily triggers selling pressure, and intraday stop-loss sweeps will increase.
We are now in a high-level pullback phase; the direction is not fully clear yet. Do not chase longs below resistance levels, and do not casually short heavily if support holds. In a consolidation phase, control your trades first and only take opportunities you understand.Robinhood's chain is figuring out a gameplay where whoever pays more can have their orders jump ahead. It's a bit like the fast lane at an airport. But this is on-chain, isn't it always said to be fair and transparent? This kind of queue-jumping feels awkward to me. I wonder where the ordinary people's orders will end up getting pushed to in the end $HYPE
Hyperliquid has built its identity around on-chain trading infrastructure rather than trying to be a general-purpose blockchain for every possible application. That specialization creates a clear value proposition, but also concentration risk: activity is closely tied to derivatives and trading demand. Sustaining liquidity, users and market depth through different market conditions will be crucial.$BNB I'll be straightforward, the 746 order book for BNB is quiet outside, but inside it's dog-eat-dog. Damn it! The manipulative traders have their sickles raised high, and the candlestick is being forcibly pulled along. If this isn't a shakeout, then what is? 🤡
Looking at the market, the buy orders around 740 pile up like a fortress, and the resistance at 750 is tight, a typical capital wash and accumulation. Don't ask about news, there is none, it's pure capital pushing and dumping.
My idea is simple: lightly position around 746, if you lose it, consider it feeding the dogs; if you catch it, it's a main upward wave. Don't chase highs, wait for a pullback confirmation.
Whether to follow or not is your own risk. If you want to get on board, click the card below to check the order book yourself 👇👇👇October 14, 20:30, US September CPI.
Barclays forecast: overall year-on-year 3.7% (previous 3.4%), core year-on-year 2.5%, core month-on-month 0.24%, lower than August's 0.29%.
Note — the overall jump is driven by energy, core is cooling down.
The market has priced in an 82.3% chance of "no rate hike in October."
But the real bomb is not next week, it's in December.
Gasoline month-on-month +9.23%, heating oil year-on-year +38.8%. WTI is now about $89, Brent hovers around $100.
But core CPI month-on-month actually dropped from 0.29% to 0.24%.
Energy is noise in the headline number, not the trend.
And airline ticket prices have already risen 23%, Morgan Stanley says — the pass-through of fuel costs is nearing its end.
The transmission of energy to the core is almost over.
CME data shows an 82.3% probability of no change in October.
The September minutes said "no rush in October," and Waller clearly stated on October 8: rate hikes don't have to be consecutive and timing can be flexible.
An 82% probability betting on "no hike," this part has almost no expectation gap.
Want to make money betting on this direction? You're already late.
Currently, the probability of a rate hike in December is 67.6%. Next Wednesday's core month-on-month CPI number will decide whether to hike in December:
Core month-on-month ≤ 0.2% → December hike probability drops sharply → USD weakens → BTC rebounds above 85,000.
Core month-on-month ≥ 0.3% → December hike "set in stone" → BTC tests 80,000 or even lower.
One number, two directions. Don't guess, watch the number.
BTC is now oscillating between 82,000-83,000, just went through 1.19 billion in liquidations, fear and greed index dropped from 71 to 56. Spot funds are flowing back, but Hyperliquid whales are still adding shorts.
Deleveraging before CPI, direction set by 82,000 after CPI.
Hold 82,000, rebound continues. Break 82,000, look to 80,000.
Don't guess direction, wait for signals. Those who guessed direction were liquidated in the 400 million liquidation on October 6.
82% bet on "no hike in October," no more profit in this direction.
The real game is in December — and next Wednesday's core month-on-month CPI is the fuse.
$BTC $ETH $XAU Brothers, $MAGIC is still under the strong control of the main holder, with a strong pull-up, you can follow the momentum to go long!
I entered a long position at 0.15176, the current price is 0.15243, with an unrealized profit of 1.32%. The 24-hour trading volume surged to $234 million, while the market cap is only $40 million. The daily trading volume is nearly 6 times the market cap, which is not a volume retail investors can push out; it's the main force pulling hard.
Why dare to go long? First, BingX just launched spot trading, opening MAGIC/USDT trading at noon on October 10. Such a listing announcement is a reason for a price rally. Second, funds are overflowing from the blockchain gaming sector; BTC pulled back from 87,000, and the main funds have nowhere to go, so they are moving into small-cap old altcoins. Third, MAGIC has been consolidating at a low level for a long time, the chips have been cleaned, resistance to a rally is low, the main holder has strong control, and it is still in the rising phase.
On the chart, the price stands firm above the short-term moving average, MACD shows a bullish alignment, and volume supports it well. The short-term resistance above is 0.16; breaking it leads to 0.18 and 0.20.
I will continue holding my long position entered at 0.15176, with a stop loss at 0.14 and a target initially at 0.18.
$BTC $ETH #September FOMC minutes released, most officials lean towards another rate hike $INTW 刚把软件切到后台，它噌一下就砸下来了，这是跟我玩捉迷藏呢？😂
昨天凌晨，INTW冲到高位，量没跟上，每次上冲都差一口气，上方压制明显。我看到INTW在压力位反复试探，判断承接不足，盘中就提示看空，高位不追，等反抽空。🔥
从30.26一路压到23.65，空单直接给答案，浮盈+546.1%。前面是真墨迹，走出来也是真香，车上的应该都笑醒了。
行情是等出来的，利润是捂出来的。
先平80%，剩下20%成本价保护。继续下杀就让利润跑，反抽回来也别把利润吐回去。该落袋就落袋。
还没上车的朋友听我一句，现在不是冲的时候，追高容易被挂在山顶。下一轮信号出来再动，我会第一时间提示。静候佳音。
$LAB $BNB 回踩是故意的，这话得反着听
$BTC 和 $ETH 接下来三天可能还要往下踩一次。
踩破前低才算数，不破不算。
对手盘在等什么：
往下踩是去试还有多少人拿着不卖。
上次踩完就上去了，这次位置更深。
踩到哪：
$ETH 看 2386 附近，$BTC 到 7w9 到 8w。
这个数是算出来的，不是拍的。
$ZEC 从高点掉了 35%，跌得顺。
它未必跟着踩到低点，可能只轻轻碰一下。
止损单挂在那个区间的，已经被扫走了。
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% $BTC $ETH 今天layer2板块集体拉盘，板块轮动真的开始了吗？
OP 表现最强，价格上行叠加正资金费率与较高多头占比，杠杆资金参与度较高。
ARB 相对偏弱，涨幅有限且资金费率为负，市场分歧仍大；若后续价格走强、空头仓位持续堆积，可能出现回补推动，
ZK 则呈现“多头占优、短线去杠杆”的特征：多头比例较高，但持仓量回落。
这波又能涨到多少？$OP $ARB $BTC 当前市场这里确实存在着比较严重的分歧。
看空的认为价格跌破日线级别颈线位置回抽无力继续下跌，看多的人认为这里只是AMD形态的M区（操纵区）。
其实两种说法都能站得住脚，但我更偏向于看多。
结构上我们身处于比特币牛市，这点毋庸置疑，其次87500存在大量未被清算的空头，这显然不满足比特币之前的惯性下跌，扫掉高点止损。以及直播说的周线级别的比特币历史分形。
目前市场已经有大量的空头在颈线位置布局做空，而做市商需要反向挤压这些空头推动价格上涨，第一目标位一定是87500这个高流动性区间，至于这里的空头是否会再次被挤压，还是做市商会在这里平掉或卖出手中的筹码，需要等待那时候的价格行为以及盘口数据再下判断。#美俄达成柴油供应安排，霍尔木兹风险仍未解 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 The slight rebound in the past two days is driven by short covering, not new funds buying in. Don't mistake the rebound for a reversal.
First, let's talk about $BTC. It bounced back from around 80,000 to above 83,000, but in the past 24 hours, shorts liquidated over 50 million, accounting for 80% of total liquidations. This is a short squeeze, not a long attack. On the ETF side, there was a net outflow of 487 million on October 7, with BlackRock, Fidelity, and ARKB all exiting. Glassnode data is even clearer: in the past 30 days, realized market cap increased by 12.8 billion, but new funds only contributed 4.9 billion, less than 40%. The price is not driven by new money.
Next, $ETH. The rebound was capped at 2,500 by moving averages, with shorts targeting 2,395. ETF funds continue to flow out, staking yields can't compete with US Treasuries, and institutions are not stepping in at these levels. When BTC weakens, ETH falls faster than anyone else and remains the weakest.
Finally, $XAUT gold. It pulled back to the 4,200 level, but record ETF inflows provide strong support. Q3 net inflows hit a historic high. Short term, it is pressured by the dollar and US Treasury yields, but under stagflation logic, as long as inflation isn't controlled, funds will eventually flow back into hard assets.
The current strategy is simple: hold spot positions in BTC and ETH firmly, unload all short-term leverage, watch for continued ETF inflows supporting gold, and wait for the October 14 CPI release to decide the next direction. #BTC spot ETF sees largest single-day net outflow in nearly three and a half months 兄弟们，玩了币圈，我真要得帕金森了。
每当看到这种极具诱惑力的单子，手都忍不住抖起来，控制不住地要开空。
这一次，也是没忍住，做空了。
你看$CAP 从0.017一路干到0.099，三十天涨了快一倍，九十天翻了四倍多。
今天单日又拉23%，最高摸到0.09976，离0.1整数关口就差那么一丢丢。
然后冲高回落，现在0.09056。
长上影线挂在那里，像不像狗庄在喊：兄弟们，我有一点接不住多了，你们先顶一下。
我0.09031进的空，为什么敢空。
因为这种涨法就是典型的情绪拉抬，我搜了全网都没有发现它有任何基本面的利好支撑。
而且越是靠近0.1，抛压就会越重，狗庄敢这种明目张胆的拉盘，肯定是左脚踩右脚，不会用真金白银去突破。
现在散户看到暴涨，大多数都追进去，那留给他们的结果是什么呢？
操作上，空单拿住，反弹到0.095-0.10继续加仓空，止损放0.11上方，目标先看0.075，破位看0.065。
狗庄都喊你顶一下了，你还真敢顶？别被FOMO冲昏头，这个位置，我空定了。
$BTC
$ZEC
#AI与量子威胁下，区块链安全如何升级？ 交易最重要的不是赚钱，而是能够把赚到的钱守住。如果不能守住赚到的钱，那赚钱也是一场空。
昨晚比特币不到 1 个点的波动。今天早上的数据来自 CoinGlass，竟然又有超 6 万人爆仓。6 万人呐，兄弟们。BTC和ETH凌晨急杀，最低分别打到80340、2405，随后走出超跌反弹。
不过这波修复已经抵达上方技术压力区，可以分批试空打底。
BTC：82700附近试空，83550加仓，目标看81800
ETH：2498附近试空，2530加仓，目标看2450$BTC $ETH $SOL #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 🍱 周六午盘三主流：大饼弹到82800，二饼回2485，三饼磨109
$BTC 82886，涨2.28%，从82383反弹到82886。82000撑住后超跌反弹，但ETF创三个半月最大单日净流出，机构在跑，说明大资金不认这个反弹。83000是压力，过了看84000，不过去继续磨。午盘流动性比凌晨好，但周末别追高。
$ETH 2485，涨2.11%，已经破了麻吉大哥清算线2473，他的ETH多单应该爆了。2500现在是压力，过了看2550，不过去继续磨。二饼比大饼弱，反弹力度也小。
$SOL 109.51，涨0.87%，几乎平在110。三饼最弱，反弹最少。110是心理关口，守住了看115，破了回105。Solana代币化股票利好也托不住，午盘别碰。
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 午盘三主流：大饼看83000、二饼盯2500、三饼守110。ETF大幅流出别上头，周末轻仓。#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Minutes sound hawkish, data spoils the plan—what is the crypto market afraid of?
Once the September FOMC minutes were released, the screen was full of "the hawks are coming." Most officials indeed said: if inflation doesn't drop, tightening will continue. Some worry the 2% target is stalled, and others feel financial conditions are "not tight enough."
But this minutes report has a fatal flaw—it’s a rearview mirror.
The meeting was held on September 16. At that time, September’s nonfarm payroll and PCE data were not yet available. Looking back now: nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rose to 4.2%, core PCE year-over-year was 3%, below expectations. CME interest rate futures have directly priced the probability of an October rate hike at less than 25%. JPMorgan and Bloomberg agree—the hurdle for a rate hike has been raised very high.
So the current situation is quite contradictory: the minutes are hawkish, the data is dovish, and the market is pricing dovish.
What crypto fears is not the hawkish minutes, but the hawkish reality. The reality is that employment is cooling, inflation is falling, and the necessity for rate hikes is decreasing. No matter how fierce the minutes are, they reflect the attitude from two weeks ago, not the actions two weeks later.
Short-term volatility will occur, but to call it a new round of "hammering," the data does not agree.
What truly determines the direction is the next set of data, not the previous minutes.Next Wednesday, the September CPI data will be released.
What is the current market consensus?
"Energy prices are soaring, overall CPI will definitely explode, the probability of a rate hike will rise, and BTC will fall."
Barclays predicts the overall CPI year-on-year will hit 3.7%, with gasoline prices surging 9.23% month-on-month. Morgan Stanley predicts even higher, at 3.69%.
Everyone is preparing for a "CPI surprise." But no one is asking one question—
What if the core CPI cools down?
The overall CPI will indeed be driven up by energy.
But the Fed is not focused on the overall CPI; it watches the core CPI.
Barclays and Morgan Stanley’s forecasts are highly consistent: September core CPI month-on-month at 0.24%, down 5 basis points from August’s 0.29%.
The reason is simple: in August, wireless communication service prices jumped abnormally, contributing about 0.1 percentage points to core CPI. This factor fades in September, so core inflation naturally falls.
Overall CPI explodes, core CPI cools down.
The market fears the former, but the Fed only looks at the latter.
CME data shows: an 82.3% probability of holding rates steady in October, and a 67.6% probability of a 25 basis point hike in December.
October is basically locked in with no change.
But whether to hike in December is highly disputed. A 67.6% hike probability means the market thinks "a hike is very likely."
What if core CPI is only 0.24%?
How much would the December hike probability collapse from 67.6%? To 50%? 40%?
This is the real "expectation gap."
Why is this an asymmetric opportunity?
Looking down: the market has priced in "CPI surprise → higher rate hike probability." If CPI really explodes, how much more can BTC fall? From 90,000 to 81,000, $1.3 billion in longs have already been liquidated. Leverage that should blow up has blown up; those who should cut losses have cut.
Looking up: the market has almost no pricing for the scenario "CPI cools → no rate hike in December." If core CPI is really only 0.24%, December hike expectations collapse, the dollar weakens, and US Treasury yields fall—
BTC’s upside elasticity from 82,000 is much greater than the downside.
You might say: energy prices have risen so much, how can CPI cool down?
Right, overall CPI won’t cool down.
But the Fed’s decision basis has never been overall CPI.
They watch the trend of core inflation. Core CPI month-on-month fell from 0.29% to 0.24%, slowing for the second consecutive month. Housing inflation remains stable at 0.24-0.25%, and auto insurance still drags core inflation down.
The direction of core inflation is downward.
But the market is only focused on the headline gasoline price number.
What you fear, the market has already priced in.
What you haven’t thought of, the market hasn’t priced in yet.
Everyone is anxious about "CPI explosion," and this anxiety is already reflected in BTC’s drop from 90,000 to 81,000.
But how much has the market priced in the possibility of "CPI cooling → no rate hike in December"?
Almost zero.
What does Waller think?
He said at Jackson Hole: inflation needs to "fall at a sufficiently fast pace." The September minutes show "most" officials expect one more hike this year but suggest no rush in October.
Waller put it more bluntly: rate hikes don’t need to happen at consecutive meetings; timing can be flexible.
In other words: the Fed has given itself room to "wait for data before deciding."
If core CPI cools, what reason do they have to force a hike in December?
What about trading strategy?
This is a left-side game; control your position size, don’t go all in.
If next Wednesday core CPI month-on-month ≤ 0.2%, December hike expectations will drop sharply. BTC at 82,000 has already digested a round of leverage liquidation; the upward resistance is smaller than most think.
If core CPI ≥ 0.3%, then you have to accept it. But at that time, your position control will determine everything.
Everyone fears a CPI explosion. But the real question is—
If core CPI is only 0.24% and December hike expectations collapse, how far can BTC at $82,000 go up?
The market hasn’t answered this question yet.
Because the market isn’t even asking.
Next Wednesday, October 14.
Overall CPI will look bad. Core CPI might look good.
The market is pricing the former. The opportunity might be in the latter.
$BTC $ETH $XAU BTC is now on the trial bench.
$82,000 — this number is not chosen at random. It stands on the ETF average cost line and is also pressed below the 50-period EMA on the 4-hour chart.
That Thursday drop, from $83,000 down to $80,400, triggered $1.19 billion in liquidations. It has now bounced back, but what about the quality of the rebound? No volume, no breakout, no confirmation.
This is a "corpse repair" after deleveraging, not a "trend reversal."
Market sentiment is cooling down in sync. The Fear & Greed Index fell from 71 (Greed) on October 2 to 56 (Neutral). ETFs are more direct — $484.9 million outflow on Wednesday, another $244 million on Thursday, totaling $729 million in two days; institutions are voting with their feet.
Three lines of defense, one map.
First line of defense: $83,000. Bitwise analyst Luke Deans made it clear: this area is the intersection of the ETF average cost base and technical highs, "tested repeatedly in recent weeks." If the price repeatedly fails to break through, it means this support has changed its nature — support turning into resistance is the most dangerous signal.
Second line of defense: $80,000. Myriad's market prediction data is sobering: BTC has a 67% probability of touching or falling below $80,000 in October, and a 40% probability of reaching $77,500. This is not panic-mongering; it's a bet made with real money.
Upper resistance: $87,400. The September high; bulls must close above this daily to confirm a true reversal. Until then, every rebound can only be considered a "dead cat bounce."
Before CPI, three strategies, pick your seat.
Spot holders — hold steady. Is BTC at $82,000 expensive from a cycle perspective? Not expensive. But you don’t need to make any decisions the day before CPI. Barclays expects the overall September CPI year-over-year to rise to 3.7%, with energy up 5% month-over-month and gasoline up 9.2%. The headline data is likely to look bad. Wait for the actual release.
Contract traders — strictly avoid heavy directional bets. This is the most important. The market has fully priced in no rate hike in October, but has underpriced the risk of "CPI exceeding expectations." What is asymmetric risk? The good news is priced in, the bad news hasn’t come yet. What are you betting on?
DCA investors — continue as usual. The volatility brought by CPI is your best friend. Buy more on dips, buy less on spikes, it’s that simple.
$82,000 is the trial bench. Hold it, the rebound continues; break it, $80,000 is next. Don’t get carried away before CPI, watch the signals after CPI.
$BTC $ETH $BZ $ETH
以太開割了
下一個支撐為2540左右
再跌破有可能往2350修正
以大級別的修正外加清算多單
有機會往2300附近走
0.382的回調就可以把所有多單割掉了
這點位
若收針上去反而看漲
但如果收針又跌下來就會去地獄
如果反彈至上方箱體“受阻”我會考慮做空SpaceX拟购频谱拓展移动通信，链上基建叙事再获关注，UNI作为去中心化交易核心资产间接受益，但短期我判断仍由资金面主导，反弹力度有限。
价格7.387，微涨0.4%，资金费率-0.0104%显示空头付费，持仓574.7万币本位，多空博弈激烈。订单簿买卖比0.97卖方略占优，4小时距高-26.67%、距低3.79%，下降趋势未改，7.227是近期关键支撑，7.453为阻力。
策略上，若回踩7.235挂多，止损7.128，目标7.442；若反抽7.448轻仓空，止损7.531，目标7.268。仓位勿超两成，负费率下防逼空。
——仅为个人看法，不构成投资建议，祝交易顺利。——
$UNI#SpaceX拟购频谱拓展移动通信
#SpaceX拟购频谱拓展移动通信 $UNI #September FOMC Minutes Released, Majority of Officials Lean Toward Another Rate Hike #BTC Spot ETF Sees Largest Single-Day Net Outflow in Nearly Three and a Half Months
ECB Minutes Turn Hawkish, But Why No Need for Risk Assets to Panic?
The October ECB meeting minutes show that most members believe maintaining restrictive rates remains necessary if core inflation stickiness persists. Some members even worry that the path for wage growth to fall back to the 2% target has deviated and question whether the natural rate midpoint is systemically underestimated. The minutes also mention that current financing conditions are "not yet sufficiently restrictive," implying pressure must be maintained.
However, these minutes are essentially an "old map." The meeting was held on October 2, before the release of September Eurozone CPI and PMI data. The latest data shows September CPI year-on-year at only 1.7%, the first time below the 2% target since 2021, core CPI down to 2.7%, and German manufacturing PMI contracting for the fourth consecutive month. Interest rate futures indicate the probability of a rate cut in December has risen above 70%. Both Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank point out that the threshold for further tightening has significantly increased.
In other words, the minutes are hawkish, but market pricing has already anticipated easing. Risk assets like Ethereum may experience short-term volatility but are unlikely to face a new "cold wave." The real drivers of the market are the upcoming employment and inflation data, not the already outdated meeting stance.
Good positions are waited for, not chased.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC 刚瞄了眼盘，BTC还在8万2上面磨叽，ETH现价2492，基本没动。现在呢大饼波动越收越窄，量也没起来。情绪吧，谨慎，但谈不上恐慌。上面83k到84k先压着，真站上去才有得玩；下面81k附近撑着，破了估计得去摸80k。这个位置追高不划算，等等回踩，或者等放量突破再说。
今天有俩事可以留意下。一个是老美信用合作社要是沾稳定币，可能得多填26个联邦报告字段，托管、发行人敞口、自己持仓都得报。监管是越来越细了，长期看对合规是好事，短期USDT、USDC那边情绪可能会被搅一下。另一个是ZeroHedge那篇讲AI威权主义的，说政府没宪法刹车。看着是宏观科技那挂的，但风险偏好会受影响，AI加加密说不定也被带着走。
反正现在就是等方向，BTC没破位，山寨也没强到哪去，ETH就横着。杠杆别上太猛，留点子弹。$ETH $SOL $BTC
#AI与量子威胁下，区块链安全如何升级？ #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 老铁们，干中学又开课了！
这次我不是刚占座，我是早就趴在战壕里等着了！
你看看我这张截图，1887.5进的闪迪空单，拿到现在，浮盈已经干到156%了。我连这波跌下去怎么数钱都想好了。
不是我飘，你们自己看看这盘面，空头简直是天时地利人和。
闪迪从1908的高台一路滚到1591，连个像样的反弹都没有。EMA5、10、20三根线像三把铡刀压在头顶，MACD在水下趴着，绿柱从来就没缩过。
最绝的是那些巨头的操作。韩国监管收紧杠杆ETF，存储板块的杠杆资金被强制平仓，闪迪盘中一度暴跌10%。
紧接着，有机构退出英伟达和存储的多仓，规模超过6370万美元。
更狠的是OpenAI，年化营收远低于预期，AI需求的故事直接被打脸。
大户们跑的跑、急的急，我一个散户在下面等着捡漏，这画面想想都刺激！
这就是传说中的“干中学”啊兄弟们，一边交学费一边学怎么从狗庄手里抠钱。
这次学费交到位了，该轮到我吃肉了吧？
$BTC $ETH $SNDK
#PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% 周六午间。
周末就是这点好，不用盯A股。BTC在82600横着，几乎没波动，24小时最高83499最低82173，就在这个区间磨洋工。
昨天从80351弹起来之后，这两天没再往下砸，也没力气往上冲。MA5和MA10已经粘在一起了，就等选方向。周末成交量也缩了，散户都去过周末了，剩下机构在那磨。
有条有意思的新闻：Genius Group之前把手里BTC全卖了还债，结果转头又买了10枚回来。卖在低点又追回来，这操作跟散户也没啥区别。
群里83000抄底的兄弟现在不慌了，说周末就这样吧，躺平等下周开盘。
你们说，下周是先冲83500把MA20踩在脚下，还是再回踩一次80000？？？OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注，风险偏好降温也波及BSB这类高波动标的。我的判断：短线有反弹动能，但上方抛压不轻，追高需谨慎。
BSB现价0.10435，24小时涨5.9%，成交193万，资金费率0.0050%偏中性，持仓1326.3万。1小时上升但距高仅-0.77%，4小时仍处下降距高-8.42%。订单簿前10档买卖比0.21，卖单3155远超买单660，卖方明显占优，反弹持续性存疑。
策略上，回踩0.09985附近轻仓接多，止损0.09655，目标0.10635；若冲高至0.10695受阻可短空，止损0.10925，目标0.10115。仓位控制在两成以内，严守止损。
——仅为个人看法，不构成投资建议，祝交易顺利。——
$BSB#OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注
#OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注 $BSB Buying a cold wallet was supposed to let me sleep peacefully, but someone woke up to find their coins gone.
On October 9, Ledger announced it is investigating: some users who purchased devices through Southeast Asian distributor CryptoBilis reported asset losses. Ledger has requested the distributor to suspend sales and shipments; those who bought devices in the past 90 days but haven't activated them should hold off on setting them up, and those who have activated should consider replacing their devices and generating new mnemonic phrases.
On-chain data agency Bitquery estimates that across 5 chains and 311 wallets, losses amount to about $92.9 million. This is Bitquery's statistic, not Ledger's confirmed loss amount; how the mnemonic phrases were leaked remains undetermined.
To say something bittersweet: although we don't earn much and have fewer worries, so we don't have to figure out how to split tens of millions of dollars across wallets for now. But if you really want to buy a cold wallet, you still have to keep a close eye on where the device comes from and who generates the mnemonic phrase.#OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注，市场对科技叙事的分歧正外溢至加密情绪，CL短线承压但未破位，我倾向震荡偏多。资金费率归零说明杠杆多空都不愿付溢价，博弈进入僵持；持仓量37.2万币本位，反映存量资金观望。一小时虽上行却距高负1.96%，四小时降势距高负5.98%，小周期反弹难掩大周期回调压力；买卖比1.04，前10档买3.9万对卖3.8万，买方略占优。成交额894.8万，24小时涨0.7%，波幅收窄于89.74至91.69，量能不足以驱动突破。可在90.35挂多，止损89.15，目标91.85；若冲高至91.55受阻则轻仓试空，止损92.35，目标90.05。仓位控在一成以内，破位即走。
——仅为个人看法，不构成投资建议，祝交易顺利。——
$CL#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？
#OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注 $CL $AR 最近走势弱于$FIL ，一旦fil强势拉升，ar不可能完全不动，这两个币有较强相关性。不过要涨的多还得看自身的基本面进展情况。