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"A 2.78% buffer against $SNDK's daily fluctuations — that's the riskiest part of this trade."
$SNDK 75x short, 1168.4→1135.9, +208.61%. Conversely: it only needs to rebound about 0.37% for that 208% gain to vanish completely.
What does 0.37% mean for $SNDK? A normal upward wick, or even a large order pushing the price up on the order book. In other words, this trade doesn't require any negative news to fade, no trend reversal, nor anyone deliberately going long — just a technical rebound is enough to wipe it out.
Leverage of 75x magnifies 2.78% into 208%, but also magnifies 0.37% into zero. It offers huge returns but is always ready to take them back.
The market itself is holding up: price is running low. But the key resistance above is not far away.
So I never decide to close based on "how much profit" I made, only on how far it is from the cost line. 2.78% looks like a buffer, but the asset's fluctuations never make sense.
The only move: push to break even, at worst lock in zero, and no longer increase exposure. $BTC $ETH #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 ETH's current five-wave upward move is basically complete, and it may be brewing a larger-scale Wave A or Wave 1 next. $BTC $ETH $SNDK
The bearish divergence at the top is already very obvious; each price high is higher than the last, but the RSI is doing the opposite, each lower than the previous. When it reached the peak, the momentum clearly couldn't keep up.
After this correction ends, structurally it is very likely to have another upward move, forming Wave C or Wave 3. The low point hasn't been confirmed yet, so no rush—wait for the market to reveal its cards and see clearly before taking action.
#October FOMC rate decision to be announced this week #SK Hynix Q3 earnings upcoming, can HBM4 boost profits? #US-Iran discuss Hormuz Strait reopening plan, oil prices retreat Intel plunged sharply after hours, with storage price hikes backfiring on downstream
Intel fell as much as 22% after hours, with management candidly stating that weak PC demand combined with soaring memory costs is expected to keep pressure high through the first half of 2027. While AI data centers continue to thrive, the traditional PC supply chain is clearly under strain: upstream storage manufacturers are enjoying substantial profits during this price hike cycle, whereas downstream OEMs and chipmakers face a dual squeeze of "costs that won't come down and products that won't sell." Industry chain profits are concentrating upstream, and the weak downstream segments are unlikely to reverse in the short term. Therefore, it is unwise to blindly bottom-fish in a declining sector just because of a large drop; instead, one should clearly understand where the capital and profits are actually flowing. $SNDK The veil is lifted: Storage sector catching up on losses, where is the left-side bottom-fishing window?
The pre-market atmosphere remains grim. After the storage sector was propped up all day by SK Hynix, it ultimately couldn't withstand the catch-up decline, and this "veil" has officially been lifted. Google has slipped back to its March lows, while Micron and SanDisk are desperately testing July support. The upcoming lifeline depends entirely on the midterm election results and the evolution of the conflict.
Currently, there are roughly two macro scenario projections:
One is "both chambers lost," where the market may first experience a wave of panic-driven continued sell-off, brewing a major reversal amid extreme pessimism;
The other is "split Congress," where once the shoe drops, all bad news is out, potentially triggering a direct V-shaped reversal.
My left-side plan is set:
I intend to adopt a left-side trading strategy to gradually build a full position before November 3rd. After the news is fully confirmed and the right-side trend becomes clear, I will increase leverage. This might be an important window for a capital scale leap. After all, for targets like $SNDK and $INTC falling to this level, a lot of panic selling has already been released.
But a warning is necessary: leverage is always a double-edged sword! Left-side bottom-fishing is very easy to get hit by a flying knife; discipline must never be lost. Enter in batches, keep enough ammunition, and strictly maintain defense.
In this ruthless market, surviving longer is more important than making quick profits. This is not investment advice, just pre-market notes.
#Intel Q4 earnings guidance below expectations, stock plunges $SNDK $INTC $ETH big shot finally backed down and started frantically cutting losses to survive.
This big brother originally held over 90,000 $ETH, worth more than 200 million dollars. To avoid liquidation, he forcibly closed over 36,000 $ETH positions, losing more than 38 million dollars—almost three small targets. If it were me, I would have been on the rooftop long ago.
This guy now still holds over 56,000 ETH, worth 125 million dollars. The new liquidation prices have dropped to 2122 and 2129 respectively. This move can be described as cutting off an arm to survive, exchanging money for life.
But looking at these liquidation prices, they are not far from the current price. If it drops a little more, can the remaining 125 million dollars still be saved? Honestly, those playing with high leverage are really licking the blade; even the whales are forced into this situation. We small retail investors must be even more cautious.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 📉 Both bulls and bears can fuel volatility!
When market leverage concentrates and prices move rapidly, forced liquidations may further amplify price swings.
🔥 Worth paying attention to before trading:
• Open Interest (OI)
• Whether the funding rate is overheated
• Liquidation data and spot trading volume
A high funding rate does not necessarily mean a price reversal, and increased liquidations alone cannot prove trend direction.
Controlling leverage and setting risk boundaries are more important than guessing the next candlestick! ⚠️
#CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #DailyOrbit⚡ Is the altcoin season really coming?
When BTC's trend stabilizes and market liquidity improves, some funds may shift to ETH and other altcoins, but not all tokens will rise simultaneously.
📊 Watch for three signals:
1️⃣ ETH strength relative to BTC
2️⃣ Overall altcoin trading volume
3️⃣ Whether the market rally has broad participation
A short-term surge does not equal a trend reversal; low-liquidity tokens are especially prone to sharp volatility.
Are you more focused on ETH or potential altcoins?👇
#Altcoins #ETH #DailyOrbit🐋 When the whales start moving, does the market have to go up?
Large BTC transfers often trigger market speculation, but transfers to exchanges, internal wallet adjustments, and OTC trades may represent completely different intentions.
🔍 Key points to watch:
• Net inflow and outflow of exchanges
• Whether spot trading volume expands
• Price reaction to key support levels
On-chain data are clues, not definitive buy or sell signals. Learning to cross-verify is more important than blindly following trades!📊
#Bitcoin #OnChain #DailyOrbitCrypto Market ETH 24-Hour Liquidation Heatmap Core Data Analysis, Check the Concentrated Chip Areas Before Making Trades!!!
The more yellow-green the color, the higher the forced liquidation liquidity accumulated at that price level; purple indicates sparse liquidation volume.
Upper Liquidity
2310 is a highlighted dense yellow-green liquidation zone, where short stop-losses are concentrated; above that, 2361 and 2411 have multiple layers of liquidity stacking. If the price rebounds and breaks upward, it will trigger short liquidations in this range, helping to push the market higher.
Lower Liquidity
2210 is the core highlighted yellow area, where long forced liquidations are concentrated; further down, 2160 and 2109 are secondary long liquidation zones. If the market continues downward, this position is a key support where longs are heavily swept.
Current Price Position
The current price is running near above 2210, close to the dense long liquidation zone below.
Market Logic
The overall trend is weak and oscillating, with the current price closely hugging the long stop-loss cluster. If the 2210 support fails, it is likely to further probe the 2160 liquidity zone; to open up rebound space, it needs to firmly break through the 2310 short concentrated liquidation zone.
For market review reference only, does not constitute any trading advice #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 #加密行业协同守护资产安全 $BTC $ETH $SOL #PalantirQ3Valuation Goldman Sachs analyst Gabriela Borges upgraded Palantir $PLTR to Buy from Neutral with a $230 price target, which offers 18% upside.
The firm's industry conversations suggest the stock is setting up for another phase of outperformance into 2027. Palantir's total addressable market "may be setting up for another step function change in depth" given the shift to sovereign AI, bespoke applications, and the company's newer verticalization strategy, the analyst tells investors $BTC Binance was hacked for 6.3 billion (rumored to be done by North Korean hackers), and withdrawals were immediately suspended. The market instantly panicked and crashed, with over 1.5 billion USD liquidated across the entire network in 24 hours. Long positions accounted for 80%, and more than 240,000 traders were forcibly liquidated... This wave basically directly funded their military budget to the max.Hackers dumped about 217.5 million ENA for ETH, pushing the coin from around 0.214 down to about 0.166 before bouncing back to roughly 0.188. I consider this rebound as a pause after selling.
According to Lookonchain, during the Binance hot wallet incident, hackers exchanged about 217.5 million ENA at an average price of around 0.16 for ETH, roughly $33.9 million.
Santiment reported that ENA dropped over 16% in the 4 hours before and after the attack, while USDe basically remained stable.
CoinDesk noted that after the dump, ENA briefly rebounded about 8%, and some who dumped also opened positions over 3x leverage on Hyperliquid.
OKX current price is about 0.188, Beijing daily open about 0.190, 24h high about 0.214, low about 0.166.
A couple of bounces after dumping doesn’t mean selling pressure is over; I’m not interested in rushing to catch the dip.
First watch if it holds around 0.166–0.170; only after reclaiming about 0.200–0.214 will I reconsider; a 4H close below about 0.166 means selling pressure isn’t fully exhausted.
Do you think this is the bottom after dumping, or a rebound for someone to catch the bag?
$ENA
#波动雷达：币种异动观察 $BTC has already dropped to around 77,000. Will it head straight down to 75,000 this time?
My short position has currently gained more than 4 times profit, opened near 80,672. This drop was indeed well timed.
But at this stage, I’m more concerned about how far the rebound can go.
If 77,000 is broken and the price can’t recover, it indicates the short-term may continue to probe lower. But if a strong rebound suddenly appears and it climbs back above 78,000, shorts need to be on high alert.
Since I already have profits, I won’t blindly add shorts here. Especially with 100x leverage, a quick rebound can significantly reduce floating profits.
Next, the focus is on the battle at 77,000 to see if the bulls can organize a decent counterattack. $ETH $ZEC #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 Just took a quick look at $xQQQ on OKX, and the price has already dropped to $688. A few days ago it was still above $730, so in just a few days it has retraced over 5%, with the 15-minute candlestick chart almost continuously trending downward. The US tech stocks have indeed fallen hard these days. Intel once plunged 30% intraday, Google plunged sharply after its earnings report, and tech giants like Nvidia and Amazon were also sold off. I think this round of decline is mainly because the market is starting to worry that the AI investment is too large, and the short-term returns are not that much. In the past, the market was willing to give AI companies very high valuations, but now that earnings reports are out, everyone is recalculating whether these investments are really worth it. However, I still remain bullish on QQQ in the long term. The Nasdaq 100 includes global tech giants like Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, and Apple, whose profitability and competitive advantages remain intact. The AI industry is far from fully developed, and short-term valuation adjustments will not change my long-term view. But I think it's still a bit early to rush to bottom-fish now. From the chart, the 15-minute moving average is still downward, and there is no obvious sign of stabilization around $690 for the time being. Next, I will focus on whether $700 can be firmly reclaimed. If it continues to fall, $680 is my first observation point, and in extreme cases, it may further test $650. Personally, I tend to think QQQ will have a rebound in November, but it may not immediately start a new upward trend. For now, I prefer to keep dollar-cost averaging and reserve some funds to wait for better prices. Being bullish on tech stocks in the long term does not mean adding positions immediately on every dip. If it really continues to fall in November🐋 When the whales start moving, does the market have to go up?
Large BTC transfers often trigger market speculation, but transfers to exchanges, internal wallet adjustments, and OTC trades may represent completely different intentions.
🔍 Key points to watch:
• Net inflow and outflow of exchanges
• Whether spot trading volume expands
• Price reaction to key support levels
On-chain data are clues, not definitive buy or sell signals. Learning to cross-verify is more important than blindly following trades!📊
#Bitcoin #OnChain #DailyOrbitUS stock indices opened sharply lower, #Bitcoin temporarily holding above the previous daily level of 75. Is the drop over? Let's talk about a few points I think are worth noting
1️⃣ Nearly 24 hours have passed since the Binance theft incident, and the sentiment may still need time to digest.
Currently, Bitcoin is indeed holding above 75. After withdrawals are reopened (I believe it will pass smoothly without a run), the main thing to watch is market sentiment.
The next support is around 68-72.
2️⃣ After the Binance security incident is safely passed, the main focus remains on oil prices and interest rate expectations.
Currently, oil price #WTI is near 105. Some core US stocks reported earnings below expectations, causing the US stock market to plunge.
If there is no rate hike in October but a likely hike in December, some of that is already priced in, but it will still suppress risk markets. Whether it will fall further is uncertain now.
3️⃣ Some core US stocks like Spcx, Micron, Nvidia, etc., have indeed fallen to attractive valuation levels. Personally, I think they are worth watching.
Whether the market will fall further depends on whether oil prices continue to rise, since most earnings reports are out. It's already at 105; how much higher can it go? Geopolitical tensions will eventually ease.
Once macro positives like a drop in oil prices are captured, US stocks will rebound immediately.
Overall, there is still a chance for a short-term rebound in the game, but a sustained upward trend is still early.
As for me, didn't I open a long on Google at 284 earlier?
DYOR⚡ Is the altcoin season really coming?
When BTC's trend stabilizes and market liquidity improves, some funds may shift to ETH and other altcoins, but not all tokens will rise simultaneously.
📊 Watch for three signals:
1️⃣ ETH strength relative to BTC
2️⃣ Overall altcoin trading volume
3️⃣ Whether the market rally has broad participation
A short-term surge does not equal a trend reversal; low-liquidity tokens are especially prone to sharp volatility.
Are you more focused on ETH or potential altcoins?👇
#Altcoins #ETH #DailyOrbitThis sharp drop is something everyone holding positions should deeply feel!
The trigger was a late-night abnormal movement in a certain exchange's wallet, causing panic to spread rapidly and directly triggering a stampede sell-off.
Looking at the daily capital flow data, it’s even clearer:
✅ BTC net outflow in one day: 2085.45 BTC
✅ ETH net outflow in one day: 22,100 ETH
✅ SOL net outflow in one day: 138,700 SOL
The main outflows are all large orders, clearly whale funds prioritizing risk avoidance and exiting; small orders account for a very low proportion. This wave of selling is not caused by retail investors.
Under the shock of the news, the market quickly plunged, with a chain of liquidations following one after another, many long positions were wiped out.
When the market is stable, we can calmly discuss strategies and risk control.
But black swan events never give advance notice; panic caused by news can easily overshadow all technical signals.
Watching the floating losses in accounts grow, anxiety and helplessness are the true feelings of most people today.
The data is right in front of us, big funds are still flowing out, and the buying power is weak.
Don’t blindly cut losses, nor rush to catch a falling knife.
Only participate with idle funds, stick to your original rhythm, and patiently wait for capital signals to stabilize.
The market never lacks opportunities; staying in the game is the prerequisite for everything.
This is only a personal review record and does not constitute any investment advice
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#加密行业协同守护资产安全 📉 Both bulls and bears can fuel volatility!
When market leverage concentrates and prices move rapidly, forced liquidations may further amplify price swings.
🔥 Worth paying attention to before trading:
• Open Interest (OI)
• Whether the funding rate is overheated
• Liquidation data and spot trading volume
A high funding rate does not necessarily mean a price reversal, and increased liquidations alone cannot prove trend direction.
Controlling leverage and setting risk boundaries are more important than guessing the next candlestick! ⚠️
#CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #DailyOrbitFalling slowly is the current form of "resistance to decline"
In today's Top 30 decliners list, NEAR, UNI, and ADA are at the forefront: down 12.9%, 8.7%, and 7.7% respectively. The fundamentals of these three have not collapsed simultaneously; rather, they surged sharply earlier due to AI and public chain narratives, with high beta and crowded positions. When the market retreats, these "overheated" assets are usually the first to be cut.
A more macro signal is that the total market capitalization shrank by 4.3% to 2.6 trillion USD. In such an environment, the so-called "resistant coins" are basically a false proposition; only "coins that fall slowly" exist. Capital is not choosing logic but converting to cash.
UNI is especially typical: platform tokens theoretically benefit inversely from exchange-related negative news, but liquidity still falls first out of respect. This shows the current market does not reward narratives, only liquidity. In the short term, for NEAR, UNI, and ADA to make a decent rebound, BTC must first reclaim the 80,000 level. Until then, avoid catching falling knives and hold more cash. #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 #Новий CEO Apple receives the first report on iPhone18 results
Breaking news: $AAPL fell 2.5% today due to reports that Apple cut component purchases for the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max in October by at least 15%. Did you guys have dinner yet bros, don't just watch the drama and sigh at your portfolio, take a close look at the core data, the market makers' intentions are already crystal clear, gotta give you bros a heads up quick First look at $BTC current price 77430, lowest smashed straight to 76472, but look at this 4h long/short ratio, still 2.15, dropped like this and retail is still frantically catching the bottom, the bus is so heavy, bulls stubbornly refuse to give up, makers won't easily stop untCrypto Market BTC 24-Hour Liquidation Heatmap Core Data Analysis, check the list first if you have no direction for trading!!!
The more yellow-green the color, the higher the forced liquidation liquidity accumulated at that price level; purple indicates sparse liquidation volume.
Upper Liquidity
80133 is a highlighted dense yellow-green liquidation zone, where short stop losses concentrate; above that, 81751 and 83370 have multiple layers of liquidity stacking. If the price rebounds and breaks upward, it will trigger short liquidations in this range, pushing the market higher.
Lower Liquidity
76895 is the core highlighted yellow area, where long forced liquidations concentrate; further down, 75276 and 73658 are secondary long liquidation zones. If the market continues downward, this area is key support where longs are heavily liquidated.
Current Price Position
The current price is running near and just above 76895, closely attached to the dense long liquidation zone below.
Market Logic
The price continues to weaken and fall, with a large amount of long stop-loss liquidity nearby below. If it cannot hold, it is easy to directly probe down to sweep around 75276; to reverse the weakness, it must first break upward through the key short liquidation zone at 80133 to have room for a rebound.
For market review reference only, does not constitute any trading advice #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 #StrategyQ3净利润创单季新高，数字资产收益贡献显著 $BTC $ETH $ZEC web3 security issues are really worth paying attention to Yesterday due to a hack that stole $6.3 billion worth of Bitcoin, Bitcoin dropped directly from 81k to 75k, this plunge can be said to be a black swan, very unexpected Today on Douyin, the most videos I see are people comparing this 10/30 Bitcoin theft with last year's 10/11 event. I feel these two things are not really comparable, anyone who went through last year's 10/11 event knows these two are completely not on the same level. The 10I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
Today’s sharp drop, $BTC fell from 81,800 to 76,700,
$ETH retreated to 2196,
$SOL suffered the worst, dropping to 93.7,
with declines of 4%, 5%, and 6% respectively.
You can’t prevent black swan events, only prepare for them in advance.
My approach: separate long-term, short-term, and cash positions. When sudden drops happen, you need cash to supplement; if your direction is wrong, you won’t be wiped out. Stayed sideways overnight, yet the long-short ratio keeps pushing up?
$BTC: Fell first then pulled back, returning to the original position
$77,221, down 4.95% in 24h, high $81,278, low $76,519, long-short ratio 2.73 (4h ago 2.49), open interest $2.639 billion. In the last 4h, long positions exploded by 5.633 million U, short positions exploded by 2.277 million U. Overnight probed $76,603 then pulled up to $78,088, closed near $77,200.
$ETH: Narrow range oscillation all night
$2,228, down 5.40% in 24h, high $2,356, low $2,174, long-short ratio 2.88 (4h ago 2.69), open interest $1.464 billion. In the last 4h, long positions exploded by 4.267 million U, short positions exploded by 2.254 million U. Overnight ranged from $2,262 to $2,217, less than fifty dollars back and forth.
$SOL: Fell below ninety-five, failed to reclaim
$94.81, down 6.97% in 24h, high $101.97, low $92.34, long-short ratio 3.37 (4h ago 3.01), open interest $323 million. In the last 4h, long positions exploded by 1.097 million U, short positions exploded by 98,000 U. Overnight failed to hold $95, the worst performer among the three coins.
Summary: None of the three coins showed a clear direction overnight, yet the long-short ratios all rose across the board.
Positions pushed up first, volatility coming will hurt more.
For market record only, not investment advice
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 The 7-day plan for Hormuz feels like a carefully orchestrated tug-of-war; don't be misled by the surface commotion (￣▽￣)／ $BZ The lower bound of oil prices isn't that easy to break. The key issue is no longer whether the strait is open, but that freight and insurance costs have pushed delivery prices up; tight tanker turnover, low inventories, and limited strategic reserve replenishment make a deep short-term drop in crude oil prices difficult, so inflationary pressure is unlikely to ease.
$XAUT's intense shakeout around 4000 looks more like a liquidity stampede: programmed stop-losses triggered, leveraged positions forcibly liquidated, then market makers and physical buyers quickly supported the price back. This is not a trend reversal but a clearing of floating positions and a turnover between old and new funds (・ω・)ノ As long as inflation stickiness remains, the shadow of rate hikes won't dissipate.
$BTC is suppressed by high-interest macro conditions, with insufficient off-exchange inflows and low cost-effectiveness for chasing highs; it's promising long-term but short-term pullbacks need caution. If shorting for the short term, set stop-losses firmly—don't turn trading into a belief (￣3￣)
In the end, don't be led by negotiation news and gold's deep V-shape; the decisive factor in crude oil pricing is no longer production volume but freight and insurance costs (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧On Oct 28, SK Hynix will deliver its Q3 report card — and this report card is likely to make history. On the earnings front, market expects operating profit to break through the 10 trillion won mark. Looking at recent data, AI server demand remains maxed out, DRAM and NAND prices rising together, 12-layer HBM3E shipments are strong, margins already at historic highs. The real game-changer is HBM4. SK Hynix already completed the world's first HBM4 mass production system in September, data transfe$LINK dropped 10.14% in a single day, the largest decline among 12 targets.
▪️ On 10/29, it closed at 10.620, down 10.14%, with a 30-day change of −27.30% and a 90-day change of +29.97%.
▪️ The 20-day range is 10.540–13.506, a width of 28.14%, positioned at 2.70%, 0.08 USD from the lower boundary.
▪️ The upper distance to the upper boundary is 27.18%, the lower distance to the lower boundary is 0.75%, with a ratio of 36.08.
▪️ The 7-day moving average at 11.477 is 7.47% above; the 90-day moving average at 11.594 is 8.40% above; the 20-day moving average at 12.117 is 12.35% above.
▪️ The 30-day moving average at 12.664 is 16.14% above, the farthest among the five; the 200-day moving average at 9.999 is 6.21% below.
▪️ The 90-day position is 34.63%; volume is 4,405,561, 2.59 times the average volume; RSI is 25.09.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $ADA 20-day range width 38.40%, price positioned at 4.03%.
▪️ 10/29 closed at 0.19040, down 7.62%, 30-day −22.13%, 90-day +13.20%.
▪️ 20-day range 0.1875–0.2595, width 38.40%, position 4.03%; above 36.29%, below 1.52%, ratio 23.83.
▪️ All five moving averages are overhead: 7-day 0.20464 difference 6.96%; 200-day 0.21008 difference 9.37%.
▪️ 90-day line 0.21639 difference 12.01%; 20-day line 0.22048 difference 13.64%; 30-day line 0.23063 difference 17.44%.
▪️ 90-day position 19.44%; RSI 18.14, lowest among 12 assets, and the only one below 20.
▪️ Volume 201,892,788, which is 2.17 times the average volume.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $DOGE The most recent moving average is at 3.34% overhead, with the farthest at 13.05%.
▪️ On 10/29, closed at 0.07527, down 5.64%, 30-day -19.83%, 90-day +8.12%.
▪️ The 7-day line at 0.07787 is 3.34% above; the 20-day line at 0.08047 is 6.47% above; the 90-day line at 0.08316 is 9.49% above.
▪️ The 30-day line at 0.08426 is 10.66% above; the 200-day line at 0.08657 is 13.05% above, the farthest among 12 assets.
▪️ The 20-day range is 0.07433–0.08814, width 18.58%, position 6.81%; above 17.10%, below 1.25%, ratio 13.69.
▪️ The 90-day position is 19.91%, 13.10 points higher than the 20-day position.
▪️ Volume is 677,147,817, 1.21 times the average volume, the lowest among 12 assets; RSI 32.46.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $SOL The 30-day moving average is overhead at 11.93%, the 200-day moving average is below at 7.77%, with the price squeezed in the lower middle.
▪️ On 10/29, closed at 95.64, down 6.64%, 30-day -19.73%, 90-day +31.25%.
▪️ The 30-day moving average at 108.60 is 11.93% above; the 20-day moving average at 104.25 is 8.26% above; the 7-day moving average at 101.00 is 5.31% above.
▪️ The 90-day moving average at 100.20 is 4.55% above; the 200-day moving average at 88.74 is 7.77% below.
▪️ The 20-day range is 95.00–113.40, width 19.37%, position 3.48%; only $0.64 away from the lower boundary.
▪️ From the top to the upper boundary is 18.57%, from the bottom to the lower boundary is 0.67%, ratio 27.75.
▪️ The 90-day position is 46.09%; volume is 3,721,856, which is 2.04 times the average volume; RSI is 25.23.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $XRP All five moving averages are above the price, with even the 200-day moving average exceeding by 3.20%.
▪️ Closed at 1.2377 on 10/29, down 6.66%, 30-day -16.97%, 90-day +16.56%.
▪️ The 200-day moving average at 1.27859 is 3.20% above, the most recent and the only long-term line not yet pulled away.
▪️ The 7-day moving average at 1.29929 is 4.74% above; the 90-day at 1.32339 is 6.47% above; the 20-day at 1.32550 is 6.62% above.
▪️ The 30-day moving average at 1.37294 is 9.85% above, the farthest among the five.
▪️ The 20-day range is 1.2233–1.4300, width 16.90%, position 6.97%; above 15.54%, below 1.16%, ratio 13.35.
▪️ The 90-day range is 0.9862–1.6999, width 72.37%, position 35.24%; volume 162,836,287, which is 1.94 times the average volume; RSI 35.06.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 This price action is really something, it played the "first hunt the longs, then squeeze the shorts" script to perfection. The 15-min chart is brutal, first an instant wick down to 0.0312, completely wiping out long leverage and stop losses below Then right after, a straight vertical pump to 0.064, a double to squeeze the shorts Now CVD shows net inflow of 2.7M U, paired with total volume as high as 182M, the market maker is wash trading left hand to right hand, totally controlling the chart. Lo$ETH 200-day moving average is 4.29% below, the other four lines are all above, the most recent one is 3.62% above.
▪️ On 10/29, closed at 2,253.13, down 4.52%, 30-day -15.86%, 90-day +20.97%.
▪️ The 200-day moving average at 2,160.37 is 4.29% below, the only moving average still below the close.
▪️ The 7-day moving average at 2,337.72 is 3.62% above; the 20-day moving average at 2,408.65 is 6.46% above.
▪️ The 90-day moving average at 2,383.29 is 5.46% above; the 30-day moving average at 2,486.41 is 9.38% above, the farthest one.
▪️ The 20-day range is 2,233.00–2,579.88, width 15.53%, position 5.80%; above 14.50%, below 0.89%, ratio 16.23.
▪️ The 90-day position is 43.75%, 37.95 points difference from the 20-day; volume 412,039, 1.71 times the average volume; RSI 26.71.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $BTC is only 0.10% away from the lower edge of the 20-day range, with 8.85% to the upper edge.
▪️ On 10/29, it closed at 77,991.89, down 4.12%, with 30-day at −6.78% and 90-day at +24.02%.
▪️ The 20-day range is 77,910.00–84,898.00, width 8.97%, position 1.17%; just 81.89 USD from the lower edge.
▪️ The ratio of distance to the upper edge (8.85%) to the lower edge (0.10%) is 84.33, the largest among 12 assets.
▪️ The 7-day moving average at 80,375.34 is 2.97% above; the 20-day moving average at 81,701.73 is 4.54% above; the 30-day moving average at 82,578.95 is 5.55% above.
▪️ The 90-day moving average at 77,376.57 is 0.80% below; the 200-day moving average at 73,147.08 is 6.62% below.
▪️ The 90-day position is 62.57%, 61.40 points higher than the 20-day; volume is 23,832, 1.74 times the average; RSI is 32.57.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $INTW Intel is still crashing! Brothers who thought it would bottom out around 9 earlier are probably doubting life now.
I set up a short position on INTW around 8.48, and the current floating profit has exceeded 4 times, with the lowest price hitting 6.94. This wave of shorts is indeed fierce!
The key to this round of sharp decline is the market's loss of confidence in Intel's future performance. Although the earnings report exceeded expectations, the Q4 revenue guidance is weak, coupled with the production impact from the Israel factory accident and weak PC demand. Several negative factors combined have caused funds to start withdrawing.
What's more troublesome is that the market had high expectations for Intel's recovery earlier. Once the performance outlook cannot support the valuation, profit-taking and stop-loss orders easily form continuous selling pressure.
Currently, the 4-hour chart has shown continuous volume-increasing declines, and the MACD bearish momentum is still releasing.
Focus on 6.94 next; breaking below it could lead to further declines. The short-term drop is already significant, so I won't chase shorts for now. I'll protect existing profits first and guard against a sudden retaliatory rebound! $BTC $ETH #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #CoinbaseQ3净利润转正，交易收入同比降43% Net profit of $719 million includes $715 million from the appreciation of held coins, with trading and subscription revenue differing by only $20 million.
▪️ Total revenue $1.20 billion, down 35% year-over-year, below the expected $1.233 billion.
▪️ Trading revenue $590 million, down 44% year-over-year, still above the expected $527 million; individual spot trading volume down 59% year-over-year.
▪️ Subscription and services revenue $570 million, up 3% quarter-over-quarter, accounting for nearly half of revenue; stablecoin revenue $307 million.
▪️ The two revenue streams differ by $20 million, the first time in history they nearly matched.
▪️ Net income $718.7 million, up 66% year-over-year; $715 million of which is unrealized gains on crypto assets.
▪️ Adjusted net profit excluding this item is $78 million; EBITDA $333 million, up 60% quarter-over-quarter, positive for 15 consecutive quarters.
▪️ USDC average holdings $22 billion, up 49% year-over-year.
▪️ Q4 subscription and services revenue guidance $550 million to $630 million, midpoint $20 million higher than Q3. Earnings report exploded, but I insist on taking the opposite side: this time I bet No
First, I push all the chips in my hand onto the table: SNDK, I choose No.
It's not that the data is disappointing, it's actually too good. Revenue increased by 378% year-over-year, with strong guidance. It sounds like a charge, but the AI storage line had already hyped up before the earnings report, so expectations were front-loaded. The moment it lands is often when the realization sell-off starts.
More importantly, storage has cyclical attributes. What everyone is watching is not how strong this quarter is, but how supply will move and how prices will be guided going forward. As long as Q2 guidance isn’t "explosively ridiculous," it’s hard to keep fueling the valuation.
Looking at sentiment: today, both optical communication and storage in the computing hardware chain retreated, and the sector’s beta has weakened. SNDK trying to independently close in the green against the sector? Not easy.
Giving No a 65 score in the market also shows that most funds don’t believe "good earnings = continued rise." What I’m betting on is the drop right after the good news is fully priced in—not bearish on fundamentals, but a trade expectation gap.
$BTC $SNDK $xSNDK
#闪迪Q1营收同比增378%，Q2营收指引强劲 $SOPH Don't short recklessly. The funding rate has been rising continuously, and retail investors are all shorting. The market cap team cannot follow your direction. It should still pump. Pump until the funding rate is adjusted downward. #英特尔Q4业绩指引低于预期，股价大跌 Q3 revenue rose 20%, but Q4 guidance midpoint is $1.01 billion less than Q3.
▪️ Q3 revenue $16.51 billion, +21% YoY; Non-GAAP EPS 0.52, expected 0.40.
▪️ Q4 guidance $15 billion to $16 billion, expected $17.07 billion; EPS 0.25, expected 0.43.
▪️ Data center and AI revenue $7.318 billion, +78% YoY, operating margin 41.5%, strongest quarter in 15 years.
▪️ Client computing revenue $8.097 billion, -5% YoY; combined total $15.415 billion, exactly the Q4 guidance midpoint.
▪️ The segment with the strongest demand rose 78%, yet guidance is $1.01 billion less than Q3.
▪️ Israel factory explosion on October 14 caused a two-week shutdown, reducing Q4 revenue by about $300 million.
▪️ Foundry revenue $6.7 billion, +58% YoY, still operating at a loss.
▪️ Closed at $92.07 on October 29, market cap $486.7 billion; opened next day down over 29%.#英特尔Q4业绩指引低于预期，股价大跌
Intel's stock plunged 30% in a single day today due to releasing a Q4 guidance below expectations. Because Google also fell sharply by 13% the previous day, the market is even more jittery and paranoid.
Previously, a friend urged me to buy some INTC, but I didn't because I always thought INTC's revenue growth was too slow and the expectations to compete with TSMC hadn't materialized yet, so I never took the plunge. I can only say I dodged a bullet.
Now, with the tech stock sell-off triggered by Google and Intel, all kinds of crazy stories are coming out, ignoring any good news and focusing only on bad news. Everything has to fall first as a form of respect... So far, I've only bought some Google and NBIS.After enduring a narrow range of fluctuations, the market has finally chosen a direction. Stick to objective logic, and the moment of realization will eventually come. Today's review covers three targets:
BTC
Key level: 83111 | Current price: 77452
High-level sideways breakout, center of gravity shifts downward. The trend is set, inertia is hard to stop. Defense has been raised for protection; next, let time verify the space below.
XRP
Key level: 1.4167 | Current price: 1.2512
Today's best case for reflection. Earlier news was splendidly laid out, but after landing, funds showed no willingness to follow up. The weak market indicates that the positive news has become a cover for retreat. Respect the market, do not blindly guess the bottom.
$ZEC
Key level: 1136 | Current price: 1232
In a sluggish overall environment, it has managed to create an independent counter-trend move based on its underlying narrative. Partial realization was done earlier, with flexibility in the base position. Exit immediately if defense is broken; never cling to a losing battle.
The market never stops, but our principal and mindset have limits. In trading, it's not about who predicts best, but whether you can control your actions during fluctuations and hold on when the trend arrives. Engrain the rules in your mind, and let the profits run on their own.
$ZEC $BTC $XRP
#美國9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息預期仍高 "Fear Index 36! Panic Does Not Equal Bottom, Positioning Always Comes First"
The market fear index is 36, entering the fear zone, with BTC valuation at 0.46. The major BTC and ETH markets are weakening, with obvious capital outflows. Macroeconomic liquidity expectations, the upcoming FOMC, and token unlocks in early November all pose overhead pressure, and volatility will continue to increase.
However, the market is not one-sided: some coins have found a bottom and are being supported, and a few tokens are showing independent trends.
Strategically, for the long term, this position is suitable for gradual dollar-cost averaging; do not go all in at once. For the short term, it is a structural market; lightly test counter-trend tokens without chasing.
Summary: Panic does not mean the bottom is immediately reached. Be patient and wait for confirmation signals. Positioning always comes first. $ETH $BTC #StrategyQ3净利润创单季新高，数字资产收益贡献显著 #OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 $ARB is gaining momentum.
Arbitrum is trading at $0.16297, up 5.59% on OKX. Buyers are showing renewed interest, but the key is whether this momentum can hold.The listed company Bitmine has unknowingly bought nearly 5% of $ETH.
They hold over 6 million spot tokens, all pledged and locked.
A bunch of people in the square keep blindly chanting that Ethereum is no good.
But the big whales are quietly accumulating underwater every day; this small circulating supply will be drained sooner or later.
All the spot tokens are locked in pools, so I really don't know where the shorts get the confidence to aggressively sell at this level.
#ETH
$ETH
👇The AI trade is running into a different kind of pressure, and investors are starting to look beyond the growth story. Technology stocks are taking serious damage. On October 30, Intel plunged approximately 30%, AMD dropped around 9.3%, Nvidia lost roughly 3%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index declined 5.7%. The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.21% during Friday's session, compared with a 1.22% decline in the S&P 500 and just 0.39% in the Dow Jones. But the bigger story is unfolding inside company#PalantirQ3Valuation Goldman Sachs analyst Gabriela Borges upgraded Palantir $PLTR to Buy from Neutral with a $230 price target, which offers 18% upside.
The firm's industry conversations suggest the stock is setting up for another phase of outperformance into 2027. Palantir's total addressable market "may be setting up for another step function change in depth" given the shift to sovereign AI, bespoke applications, and the company's newer verticalization strategy, the analyst tells investors 10.30 BTC Long and Short Strategy Review
Strategy review, current market analysis, and operation suggestions:
Strategy review: $ETH
Short position entered at 2280 did not materialize, the fourth target at 2200 was achieved
Long position entered near 2200, the third target near 2260 was achieved
A deviation of 10 points, within a reasonable range.
Current market: Overall fluctuating around the box range, the highest point tonight surged to 2259.38, showing a sharp rise and fall trend. Currently, it has risen again to around 2240, forming a different pattern from BTC. It is expected to fall back. Market depth observation shows bulls dominate, judging that BTC is still intentionally suppressed.
Operation suggestions: Prioritize waiting for entry points, current entries are prone to get stuck midway.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 As soon as the US stock market opened, the Nasdaq plunged, and Bitcoin followed back to around 76600. Binance has a new statement: He Yi said they will use SAFU and their own BTC and ETH to buy back the stolen altcoins one by one according to quantity. The hacker dumped seven coins yesterday; tonight PEPE, LINK, and WLD have each taken a hit.
$PEPE is around 0.00000512, after the dump it actually resisted the fall 🐸
Up 1.8% in 24 hours, a rare red among a sea of green. The hacker sold 7.77 trillion tokens near 0.0000041, about $31.66 million, then a whale bought 45.08 billion tokens. If Binance’s buyback happens on the exchange, it will be the first to benefit.
$LINK is around 10.95, getting hit along with the market
Down 7.27% in 24 hours. The hacker sold 2.57 million tokens near 10.14, about $26.05 million, and the current price is still above that. Some of the buyback is done OTC, so it may not affect the order book.
$WLD is around 0.400, low volume but also taking a hit 🩸
Down 7.05% in 24 hours. The hacker only sold 17.32 million tokens, $6.09 million; the drop mainly follows the overall market weakness.
PEPE is the strongest; the hole dug by the hacker has been filled, and further gains depend on Binance completing the buyback announcement. LINK best shows whether the buyback entered the market; breaking below 10 means it didn’t. WLD is the weakest, with no story of its own; losing 0.4 means it can only wait for the market to turn around. #加密行业协同守护资产安全