Web山大王
Web山大王
长期关注 Crypto、AI、美股与宏观趋势。 相信 BTC 是数字黄金，也相信市场与万物皆有周期。坚持以价值发现为锚、以周期思维应对波动；OKB Holder，长期主义践行者。 专属社群已开启，点击右上角「群聊」即可加入。群内定期分享市场观点、交易策略与福利活动，期待与你一起交流、洞见周期。
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At 9:30 tonight, the U.S. October non-farm payroll data will directly determine whether the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates next. 🤔️
The market has just undergone a major sell-off, and leveraged positions have basically been cleared out.
$BTC has plunged from over 80,000 down to around 75,000, hitting a low of 75,200, currently around 75,600. 76,000 is the short-term buyer's cost line; once broken, it is very likely to sweep lower again. Trading volume has clearly increased, and the bulls have been heavily liquidated.
$ETH is even more intense, directly dropping to around 2,220, clearly stronger than Bitcoin. 2,200 is the current key support level; if effectively broken, 2,100 will come into view. Overall, it still follows Bitcoin's trend, but the capital attitude is obviously more cautious.
Combined with ongoing turmoil in Middle East oil transportation and energy infrastructure, and fluctuating interest rate expectations, tonight's market volatility is bound to be significantly amplified.
Watching many well-known big players' contracts getting liquidated one after another, no matter how impressive past performance is, if position management is inadequate, the tuition fee will have to be paid sooner or later. 🤔️
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？
Over $1 billion liquidated in the contract market in the last 24 hours, nearly 200,000 people forcibly liquidated, bulls almost completely wiped out.😱
I guess many woke up and were dumbfounded when checking their accounts!🙄️ Is this really still the early stage of a bull market?!🤔️
Liquidation basically means playing leverage too aggressively. When the market moves sharply, if your margin is insufficient, the system will automatically force close your position. That moment is truly the most desperate!😩
$BTC has short-term broken key support, with very high trading volume currently. The $75,000 level below is a strong recent support; as long as it holds, there is a chance for a rebound.
$ETH looks equally bleak, with around $2,200 as an important defense line. Next, it depends on whether the non-farm payroll data can reverse the downtrend and turn things around!
Liquidations clear leverage, spot is not afraid!🤣
Only those holding assets can laugh last.
The spot Bitcoin ETF has seen a cumulative net outflow exceeding $1 billion over the past few trading days. This indicates that institutions and large holders are still continuously reducing their positions. 🙄️
At the same time, some mining companies are also selling off their Bitcoin holdings and accelerating their transition to AI data centers. Core Scientific has clearly stated it will completely exit self-mining operations by Q4 2026 to focus on AI computing power hosting, with MARA, Riot, and others making similar moves.
Additionally, with the Democrats taking control of both houses of Congress, market expectations for increased regulatory pressure have risen.
$BTC is currently trading in the $75,000 to $81,000 range, hitting a low near $75,000 today, showing clear divergence between bulls and bears. The key support lies between $75,000 and $76,000; if broken, the downside could target $72,000 or even lower.
$ETH is fluctuating between $2,200 and $2,400, dipping near $2,200 today. Support is expected around $2,200 to $2,150. If Bitcoin fails to hold its key levels, ETH’s decline could accelerate.
Moreover, the non-farm payroll data will be released tomorrow, with the market generally expecting around 60,000 new jobs. Volatility is sure to be significant once the data is out.
It is recommended to manage your positions carefully and wait for the non-farm data to settle and the direction to become clear before making moves.
The key to survival in the crypto space has never been about making quick trades to earn money; this is especially true for contracts. Staying alive is the most important thing.
Last night before going to bed, Bitcoin was still steadily above 80,000, but this morning when I opened my eyes, the screen was all red, and my heart instantly felt cold.😮💨
US tech stocks, especially AI concept stocks, collectively plunged, directly dragging the crypto market down with them.
$BTC crashed from above 80,000 down to around 75,000, hitting a low of 75,500, a drop of nearly 6%. The short-term key is whether 75,000 can hold.
$ETH was even weaker, falling directly from above 2,400 to above 2,200, dropping over 7%. Nearly $1.1 billion worth of liquidations occurred across the network in just a few hours, with over 200,000 positions liquidated, the vast majority being long positions.
Today's market situation is really speechless, 😓 we can only hope tomorrow's non-farm payroll data can give the market some confidence. The discussion among friends in the group is extremely intense!
#非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？
Everyone in the group is closely watching Friday's nonfarm payroll data, with much discussion. The next step for the Federal Reserve—whether to continue raising interest rates or hold steady 🤔️—has become the most focused topic right now.
$BTC has just strongly broken through 80,000 from around 75,000, currently fluctuating near 80,500. There is still strong resistance at 82,000 above; if it cannot hold above that, there remains a short-term risk of a pullback.
$ETH is performing even stronger, rallying directly from over 2,200 to around 2,420. Resistance above is near 2,450; only after breaking through can higher targets be considered. Support below is around 2,400. The increase is clearly greater than Bitcoin's, but the overall trend still follows the broader market.
More important than the employment numbers is the reaction of U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar index after the nonfarm data.
#非农在即，就业数据能否强化12月加息预期？
The veteran privacy coin $ZEC has been quite active recently.🙄️
The current price is around $1300-1320, up about 6-9% in the last 24 hours. Today it peaked at about $1347-1350 and dropped to around $1159, showing significant volatility.
Its market cap has surged into the top ten, roughly $22 billion. The most important event is the major NU7 upgrade around November 5th. Block time was cut from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, making transaction confirmations three times faster!
It has now become a mainstream investment product for institutions! Definitely impressive!
On the eve of the non-farm payrolls, Bitcoin has already started to stir. The October non-farm employment data will be released this Friday, and the market is watching to see if it will influence the Fed's subsequent policy path?🤔️
If the employment data is weak, expectations for rate cuts will rise, making it easier for funds to flow into crypto assets. If the data is too strong, interest rate pressure will increase, which may cause risk assets to face short-term pressure.
$BTC has strongly rebounded from the 75,000 low to above 80,000, with key support holding. Currently, the 82,000-85,000 range above is a clear resistance.
$ETH is performing even stronger, surging past 2,400 in one go, with a short-term rebound much stronger than Bitcoin. The real highlight is the non-farm data this Friday.
Regardless of the outcome, as long as you control risk well when trading contracts, there is an opportunity to profit. Haha😄
A sharp surge in the early session directly rebounded to near today's high, market sentiment quickly warmed up, and market activity noticeably increased.😄
The heavy-hitting non-farm payroll data is about to be released, which often quickly changes overall market sentiment.
$BTC is currently in the 76,500-78,000 range. Key support below is around 76,500; if broken, it may further decline. Resistance above is first seen at 78,000.
$ETH has relatively larger volatility, with a trend basically synchronized with BTC, currently around 2,250-2,300. Resistance above is quite dense, with obvious pressure in the 2,300-2,350 range. Whether it can effectively break through still depends on BTC's performance.
Fundamental news still needs close attention. After the employment data is released, the market direction may quickly switch. Some coins may rise along, while others could be directly hammered down.🤔️
During important data releases, it is still recommended to operate mainstream coins with low leverage for more prudence.
#美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期
The market has been steadily declining for several days, and watching the account shrink continuously really messes with you. 😮💨 Tossing and turning at night, unable to sleep, and during the day, not daring to open the market easily — that feeling of helplessness, those who understand, understand. 🤷
This week's focus is entirely on the non-farm payroll data. Only 29,000 new jobs were added in September, far below expectations, showing a clear slowdown in employment. The market's expectation for October is roughly in the 60,000-80,000 range. If it continues to be weak, the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates will significantly ease, and funds will more easily flow into risk assets.
$BTC is currently fluctuating around 76,000-78,000. Although there was a slight rebound after breaking below 77,000, it is still suppressed below the key moving average, and the RSI is also at a low level. The short-term weak trend has been ongoing.
$ETH is consolidating around $2,250, with support at $2,200 holding for now, and considerable resistance near $2,300 above. It is highly correlated with Bitcoin, and before the non-farm data is released, it will most likely continue to oscillate and consolidate.
Waiting for the actual non-farm data to come out before judging the direction is a more prudent approach. Take it slow; after all, the market never lacks opportunities.
Wednesday's minor non-farm payrolls and Friday's major non-farm payrolls are coming fiercely, and the Federal Reserve's December meeting has become the year-end focus!
Everyone in the group is discussing whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates in December? 🤔️ Currently, the market has pushed the probability of a rate hike to 70% to 80%. Whether subsequent employment data can reverse expectations is a key factor.
$BTC is currently trading in the $76,000–$77,000 range. The $76,000 level below is an important defense point; once broken, downward pressure will significantly increase. On the upside, it needs to effectively hold above $78,000–$80,000 for bulls to have further room.
$ETH is fluctuating around $2,250, with $2,200 as a key support level. Its movement heavily depends on Bitcoin's direction. Moreover, the fear and greed index has fallen back to 26, indicating that market funds' risk-averse sentiment is clearly heating up.
Year-end macro data and policy expectations continue to fiercely contend, and the overall trend remains very unclear.
In contract trading, there are opportunities to profit whether prices rise or fall; it all depends on whether you can grasp the market rhythm and control risks! Wishing everyone smooth trading!
#美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期
