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📊 Latest CME bets: 70.7% probability of a 25bp rate hike in December, 29.3% chance of no change — the market has almost preemptively settled.
🔥 The driving force remains hawkish voices: October FOMC vote was 10:2, with two officials advocating an immediate hike; Logan even said "at least two more 25bp hikes".
⚠️ But don’t just focus on "whether to hike in December." The 70.7% only prices in this step; the real suspense is "what happens after the hike": if the hike comes with a hint of pause, it could be fully priced in and bearish pressure exhausted; if the dot plot continues to raise the terminal rate, the pressure is just beginning.
$BTC current price around 77,400. Resistance at 78,000, support at 76,500.
🎯 Execution level: holders set their defense line below 76,000, exit if broken; watchers shouldn’t rush to sell, wait for volume contraction and stabilization near 76,500 before considering. Remember, bearish factors already priced in aren’t new shocks, so don’t get itchy! 🧊📉At 4 a.m., thin trading volume meets the midterm election day; no one is willing to bet on the direction, but the liquidation map has clearly marked the “true bottoms” of three cryptocurrencies.
$BTC: Around 77,700. 78,000 is the most concentrated liquidation zone in the entire market, with an intensity of about 10.61 million; a rebound to this level will most likely be pushed down; the real support is at 76,500, and breaking below that opens up deeper downside. Which side is hit first in thin trading is more honest than the direction itself.
$ETH: Around 2,264. 2,235 has been tested three times without breaking, but the real gravitational centers of the liquidation zone are 2,213–2,200 and 2,122–2,130. 2,295–2,300 is the threshold that must be broken for a rebound; if it can’t close above, it remains weak and volatile.
$SOL: Around 95. There seem to be many limit orders near 95, but positions are decreasing and prices are falling, so it’s not support. The real demand zone is 91–93, gathering about $34 million in buy orders; that is the first position to watch in thin trading.
Midterm elections conclude today, nonfarm payrolls come Friday, and Palantir and AMD earnings reports follow; at 4 a.m., no one wants to bet early on these events. For BTC, watch which level between 78,000 and 76,500 is hit first; for ETH, watch if it can close above 2,295; for SOL, watch if 91–93 holds.
This is only a market analysis exercise and does not constitute investment advice.
#Palantir财报前瞻：高增长能否支撑高估值 $BNB Negative news: Binance saw a net outflow of $3.64 billion after reopening withdrawals, with BNB falling back below $700
In the past 24 hours, BNB dropped from 708.66 to 696.06, down 1.78%. The intraday high rebound at 716.1 did not hold, with a low touching 693.84
The cause is still the $6.3 billion theft case, which the FBI has attributed to the North Korean TraderTraitor group. Binance claims to have compensated about 95% of the loss
After gradually resuming withdrawals on Sunday, users withdrew $4.65 billion and only deposited $1.01 billion, indicating funds are flowing out of the platform. As the platform token, BNB directly bears this trust discount
Contract funds are also withdrawing. CoinDesk statistics show that on November 2, BNB open interest dropped by 5.31%, much larger than the 1.12% price decline in the same period, indicating liquidation and fund withdrawal with no new money coming in
On OKX, buy orders account for 51.7%, with buy and sell orders roughly balanced. No large-scale support is seen below 700 for now.
#加密行业协同守护资产安全 The essence of the deep squat is that long leverage is self-crushing, not institutions systematically unloading. In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $982 million, with 185,000 people liquidated, 92% of whom were long positions; the largest single liquidation came from Binance, a $12.03 million BTC perpetual long position—a high-leverage long caught at a high point, directly taken out.
Market signals are fragmented, not a one-sided collapse. ETFs show a net outflow of $643 million on the surface, but BlackRock IBIT saw a counter-trend net inflow of $177 million—money is shifting from second- and third-tier products to top-tier “seat swapping,” and allocation willingness has not been cleared out. On the other side of the chain, after the price tested 76,000, over 36,600 BTC at a loss were transferred into exchanges by short-term holders within 24 hours, clearing out stop-loss positions. At the same time, on-chain large holders’ total BTC holdings rose to 3.03 million, with the fastest monthly accumulation rate since February—retail investors are liquidating, large holders are absorbing.
After being trapped, distinguishing between “shallow trap” and “deep trap” is more important than guessing the bottom. For shallow traps, don’t rush to add positions to lower costs; wait for a rebound to the 78,000–78,800 resistance zone to reduce positions in batches and ease holding pressure. For deep traps, never add more as the price falls; focus on 76,800: if it holds, there is a window for recovery; if the daily line breaks down effectively, then 75,000 is the next reference point, and risk control measures must not be neglected. Whether you can stand up after the deep squat depends not on how much you want to break even, but on whether 76,800 holds and whether there is volume to absorb after liquidation clearing. $BTC $ETH #VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 $NEAR Negative news: Fell below the $4 mark, with a cumulative pullback of 32% over three weeks
OKEx current price 4.008, down 7.39% in 24h, trading volume $23.91 million, ranking first in the decline list
The biggest risk lies in leverage, NEAR contract positions about $856 million, 24h liquidation 2.83 million, of which longs account for 2.46 million, about 87%
Long accounts still account for about 61%, long-short ratio 1.56, when the price goes down these long positions become passive sell orders, liquidation concentration area near 4.02, current price has already touched it
NEAR doubled in one month in October, now down 32% in three weeks, the support between 4.30 and 4.60 has been lost, the next reference point is near the October 30 low of 3.90
Bitwise's NEAR ETF and Grayscale trust conversion are still progressing, but short-term cannot resist the selling pressure from leverage liquidation. Within five days, the third incident has occurred
Less than a week after the Binance case, Brazil's largest exchange Mercado Bitcoin also had an incident early Monday morning. Security company Hypernative's preliminary estimate: over $40 million transferred across 10 chains, the main operation took only 34 minutes, involving $ETH, $BTC, $SOL, $TRON, $XLM, and the exchange immediately suspended all deposits and withdrawals.
The exchange's statement: the issue was discovered and quickly controlled, no loss to customers, no data leaked, Bloomberg reported the company will cover all losses. But three things it did not say: how much was lost, how the signing permissions were compromised, and when it will resume. The $40 million is still a preliminary estimate by the security company; the exchange itself has not confirmed.
Tether acted as usual: the CEO confirmed that over 4.5 million $USDT related to the incident has been frozen. The familiar script again — only the stablecoin portion that the issuer can freeze.
Looking at it together: October 29 Binance $6.3 billion, November 1 suspected €106 million EU entity, November 2 suspected $40 million Mercado Bitcoin. The scale differs by two orders of magnitude, ownership varies, but the problem areas are similar: it was not the chains that were breached, but the human elements such as signing permissions and account permissions were compromised.
The chain is intact; what’s broken are the hands holding the keys. NU7 is in two days, is the upgrade itself considered a positive? Let's break down the upgrade first.
Block time is reduced from about 75 seconds to about 25 seconds. Daily issuance remains unchanged, and the block reward is adjusted accordingly. 60% of fees go into reserves, with issuance resuming from February 2031. The Sprout old pool holds about 22,309 coins worth approximately $28M. It may become inaccessible after activation.
Price is around $1,250. The 50-day moving average is about $1,250. The 200-day moving average is about $1,240, RSI around 50. Product inflow last week was about $17.72M. The week before was about $41.09M.
Activation is at block 3,543,405, not at a fixed time. Delays or issues with Sprout could interrupt it. Let's first see if activation goes smoothly; no directional prediction.#توقعات Palantir Earnings Report: Can High Growth Support the High Valuation? The Biggest Risk Facing PLTR Currently: The Market is Overly Enthusiastic, Everyone is Optimistic, and the Expectations are Extremely High
The Current Stock Price Implicitly Assumes it Can Maintain a Very High Growth Rate in the Long Term, with a Very Small Margin of Error.
If Business Order Growth Slows Even Slightly, Good News Turns into Bad News, and Investors Will Flee Profits at High Levels, Leading to a Sharp Decline.The hacker story made the headlines, but macro data did the damage. $BTC slid to 77,732 as stronger GDP and sticky PCE inflation revived rate-hike expectations, a textbook case of good news turning hostile for risk assets. The move was amplified by leverage, not by a fundamental crack: more than $1.3 billion in liquidations across the market in 24 hours, with longs accounting for 86% of the damage. That composition matters. When forced selling dominates, price stops reflecting conviction and staThe recent sharp decline in Micron and SanDisk is essentially a "valuation kill" at high levels, rather than a sudden collapse in storage fundamentals.
The immediate trigger was the quarterly guidance from Japan's Kioxia falling short of expectations. Although its CFO emphasized that it was merely a shipment pacing issue and AI demand remains strong, the market has amplified any signal that is "not explosive enough" as evidence of cooling AI storage demand. Micron had already dropped over 20% in the past month, and SanDisk fell more than 13% over three days, with profit-taking already crowded.
A deeper reason is that several pillars supporting this storage rally are loosening simultaneously: the early end of the buyback by the Korean giant removed the "safety cushion" for the stock price, and concentrated selling by Korean investors has transmitted to US stocks; doubts about the return on AI capital expenditure are rising, casting uncertainty on when the huge investments by big tech in GPUs and data centers will turn a profit; combined with rising US Treasury yields suppressing the valuation of growth stocks like $SNDK.
SanDisk also has an additional internal issue: consumer revenue has plummeted 56% from its peak, price hikes are driving away PC users, and enterprise demand alone is insufficient. In the short term, this is not a reversal of industry logic but a concentrated clearing of crowded trades at high levels amid a lack of catalysts. #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #非农来袭，12月加息会否生变？ #美股与金银同步大跌，避险资金流向分化 $MU The story will recede, and I only look at these three verifiable lines 🧐
The crypto world has been a bit upside down lately: those who talk narratives are loud, while those who can provide verifiable data are quiet. Tonight, I won’t chase hot topics but will discuss three coins I’m more interested in seeing deliver.
$ALGO bets on quantum-resistant security 🔐. The Falcon-1024 account went live on the mainnet in August this year; old accounts still need to migrate themselves. The direction is hardcore, but the network-wide quantum resistance is not yet complete; the key is real usage.
$APT I focus on supply ⚖️. The dashboard on November 1 shows about 170,000 tokens burned in the past 30 days, with about 1.5 million tokens staked and issued monthly. There is burning, but it’s far from net deflation; going forward, we need to see if trading activity can raise the burn volume.
$ENA is testing institutional funds 🏦. On October 29, the governance forum provided an institutional lending framework, listing counterparty qualifications, collateral, and daily verification. More detailed rules are progress, but collateral crashes and default risks won’t disappear just because of the framework.
For these three lines, I’m watching ALGO usage rate, APT net issuance, and ENA risk exposure 📊. Which one do you think is more likely to reveal real value first? #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 #Palantir财报前瞻：高增长能否支撑高估值 $XAU Gold's recent sharp rally is not due to a single positive factor, but a simultaneous surge of three forces: “interest rate ceiling easing + geopolitical variable reversal + pre-election risk aversion”:
1. Direct drivers (market logic)
Oil prices collapsed, inflation expectations cooled down
Signals of easing between the US and Iran/Hormuz Strait emerged, WTI dropped back near 98, Brent crude fell below 110. Once oil prices dropped, the market immediately priced in a "lower probability of a rate hike in December," US Treasury yields fell from 4.9%, and the US dollar index retreated to around 101 — the holding cost of gold instantly thinned.
Rate hike expectations were revised downward
Pre-midterm election "uncertainty premium"
Voting on 11.3, control of Congress is undecided. Before the election, funds dare not take a one-sided position, so gold acts as a "risk hedge during the policy vacuum period" and rallies first, waiting for the results before choosing a side.
2. Underlying long-term positives (still present)
Central bank gold purchases + de-dollarization: global central banks continue to buy heavily, China's ETFs have had net inflows for 14 consecutive days, the bottom has an "official support"
US dollar credit anxiety: US Treasury term premium is high, fiscal deficit narrative persists, gold's medium-to-long-term "long-dated option" attribute remains
Technical oversold recovery: previously retraced from above 4300 to near 3870
3. Qualitative assessment (don’t get carried away)
This rally = a pulse recovery of "oil price drop → rate easing → pre-election risk aversion," not a confirmed trend reversal.
A true reversal requires: weaker non-farm payrolls + further retreat of December rate hike expectations + clear fiscal/geopolitical path post-election. $XAU $BNB 4.65 billion was withdrawn in 9.5 hours, enough to open a feast at any exchange.
But the harshest truth is not whether the platform can withstand it, but that those who curse the most fiercely, after a round of searching, find no next pool capable of handling their volume.
Users may not trust you, but they can't do without you. This is the most domineering aspect of monopoly-level liquidity.On the last day of October, three fires broke out simultaneously in the entire kitchen: the Nasdaq's pot of broth boiled over, dropping 2.86%; the Philadelphia Semiconductor pot burned through, plunging 7.2%; even my reserved clear gold and silver broth was taken away—the spot gold overcooked, shrinking about 3.5%, approaching $3,882; silver fell into boiling oil, dropping below $50 with a decline over 6%; Bitcoin's old simmering soup also fell below 77,000. Once the heat is out of control, no dish can remain intact.
Cooking and portfolio allocation are essentially the same thing. Mainstream coins are the main dishes, occupying most of the plate; altcoins are the seasonings, sprinkled lightly to enhance aroma, sprinkled heavily to cover the original flavor; leveraged contracts are the extra spicy chili peppers—too many and they burn your stomach, and when you withdraw, you always end up burning yourself first. The current situation is like the front hall suddenly canceling all orders, and all stoves in the kitchen going out at once—margin pressure and cross-asset deleveraging, in plain terms, mean the kitchen's cash flow is broken, so all the ingredients being stewed must be taken out in one pot to exchange for cash. The 10-year yield falling to 4.93% and bond prices rising means switching from high heat to slow simmer, but the pot bottom is still hot.
The salt of inflation and interest rate hike expectations has never been properly accounted for. The guests' palates have become more discerning, with decreasing tolerance for saltiness; any seasoning mistake will be immediately rejected. So don't rush to ask "Will funds spread to sell off?" First look at the cutting board: the knife skills remain, but the amount of prepared ingredients is shrinking. Gold and silver being sold simultaneously indicates no one is seeking a safe haven this round, but clearing inventory—in risk aversion, the pot needs to be preheated; what is served hastily as "safe haven" under high heat is mostly cold dishes, and guests won't buy it.
The linkage of the US stock token $XBMNR is even more straightforward: the same stove, different serving plates, but the fire is the same fire. The burnt smell from the semiconductor pot will spread through the exhaust hood to every plate. The real danger is not the drop itself, but someone panicking and adding more chili, thinking the fiercer the fire, the faster the recovery.
This round is not about changing the menu, but someone clearing inventory overnight in the kitchen—whoever treats the extra spicy chili as the main dish will be the first to get their eyebrows singed by their own fire. #stocksgoldsilverselloffNonfarm payrolls are not just a chess piece; they represent the opponent's half-second hesitation with their finger hovering over a pawn. The October employment data has yet to be played, but the board is already filled with constraints, pins, and hidden lines. The market expects new jobs to be around 60,000, up from the previous 29,000, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, core personal consumption expenditure inflation year-over-year at 3.1%. The Federal Reserve holds rates between 3.75 and 4.00, with about a 70% chance of a 25 basis point hike in December. This is not a simple gain or loss of a single piece but a complex calculation tree entering the midgame: employment is the pawn chain, inflation is the bishop, rate expectations are the king's wing defense, government bonds and the dollar are the rooks, and risk assets are the opened pathways.
A grandmaster analyzing the data first checks if it alters piece coordination. If the 60,000 new jobs merely repair the previous 29,000, it remains like an unpromoted pawn with limited impact; but core inflation at 3.1 indicates the endgame rules remain unchanged, with inflation stickiness keeping the Fed's hand near the rate button. The 70% probability is not a fact but a threat posed by the opponent: it forces you to shrink your pieces, protect the king, and block lines before the data release. If nonfarm payrolls are hotter, the December hike expectation strengthens, the dollar expands first, bond yields press like rooks on the line, and risk assets are forced to retreat; if the data is cooler, the 70% pricing is an overextended pawn chain, the dollar pulls back, risk assets get breathing room, but core inflation remains like a lurking bishop, ready to strike the king's wing at any time.
Tokenized brokerage targets resemble light pieces on the board—not the king but often deciding exchanges on open lines. They follow risk appetite, which is currently pinned by the interest rate path: employment is the surface grid, inflation the underlying structure, and Fed language the true check. Position management is like the endgame; piece advantage does not equal winning momentum, and time advantage can backfire; sacrificing pieces outside the calculation tree is just gifting, but within the tree, it’s a tempo exchange. Do not push all your pawns across the river before the opponent finishes their forced moves.
What really matters on nonfarm night is not the size of the number but whether it can turn the 70% probability of a December hike from a threat into a forced move; if not, the dollar and bond constraints will loosen, giving risk assets room to maneuver. The chess clock is running; the initiative belongs only to those who have calculated twenty moves ahead. #USOctJobsReportInFocus Sharing a trading insight:
Understanding contracts means using big money to earn steady profits, rather than risking small amounts for big gains, which makes it much harder to get liquidated.
The core of position management: sufficient capital to withstand controllable drawdowns and seize certain opportunities;
not gambling small money on high-odds markets.
Establishing this awareness is the root way to avoid liquidation.
Markets always exist; missing out is not scary; heavy betting and stubbornly holding losses are the real traps.
Take it slow, one trade a day, a few trades every few days, one trade a week, gradually amplifying returns. If capital is insufficient, use time to exchange for space.
$ETH #苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 Treat Palantir's Q3 report as the final structural check before completion; the issue isn't how bright the facade lighting is, but whether the load-bearing walls can support the live load of the high valuation. Revenue grew 93% year-over-year in Q2, U.S. commercial revenue increased nearly 1.5 times, and the full-year guidance was raised accordingly. This isn't the result of an ordinary renovation crew's work, but more like the foundation concrete being continuously poured and now starting to erect the core tube. Yet the market's valuation has already prepaid for the rooftop crown, sky garden, and double-layer curtain wall in the blueprints.
Builders first look at the load transfer path. Palantir's orders are embedded parts and rebar anchoring; revenue is the volume of concrete poured; profit and cash flow are the actual measured rebound of the load-bearing walls. What Q3 needs to verify is not whether the "growth story" has a rendering, but whether orders can transform from letters of intent into verifiable rebar tying, and whether revenue can continuously climb at delivery milestones. High growth without repeatability is like a stunning lobby on the first floor—once vertical components are misaligned, each additional floor above will amplify eccentricity.
The 149% increase in U.S. commercial business is impressive, but impressive doesn't mean stable. It's like a large-span steel structure: the larger the span, the more demanding the node stiffness, construction tolerance, and wind vibration control. The raised full-year guidance reflects optimized construction organization, not that all processes can be topped out early. The market's high expectations are like design loads calculated at full occupancy, full lease, and full equipment; if Q3 order conversion lags even slightly or gross margin is nibbled away by delivery costs, this supertall valuation building will first show bulging and abnormal sounds in the curtain wall section.
Looking at market linkage of tokenized assets like $xNVDA, the essence is transmitting the main building's vibration to the glass curtain wall. The curtain wall can be more sensitive than the main structure but cannot replace the main load-bearing. If the token price rises with U.S. stock sentiment, it's like making the facade units thinner and brighter—visually fast but more prone to ringing when performance is audited. The real perspective is the main structure: Palantir's order backlog, commercial client expansion, government contract renewals, and cash flow conversion—can these provide continuous anchoring for the token price? If there's only revenue growth without profit and free cash flow closure, the tighter the linkage, the greater the amplitude, like a rigid connection without expansion joints.
I don't look at the skyline in renderings, only the reinforcement ratio and node details in construction drawings. If the Q3 report can tie orders, revenue, and profit into the same load-bearing rebar, the high valuation still has structural redundancy; if only revenue is advancing alone while other components are still waiting for materials, then this building is a risky design with excessive cantilever and a weak core tube.
Before Q3 orders become verifiable rebar tying, any high valuation is just an overly cantilevered decorative component. #palantirq3valuation📊 Derivatives signals: OI stabilizes, everyone is hedging, no new futures bets added
$BTC $ETH
BTC and ETH futures open interest basically steady over 24 hours
BTC about $58 billion
ETH about $23.58 billion
Trader choices:
Hedge existing positions with options
No new one-sided futures bets
Laevitas view:
After the election results are finalized
Downside hedging demand may quickly fade
IV spike will disappear accordingly
Market status
BTC holds above 78,000
ETH holds above 2,290
Rebound from the low after Binance attack
Galaxy view
BTC closes above the 50-week moving average for the seventh consecutive week
Resilience is on point
But risk points cannot be ignored
Last Friday BTC spot ETF net outflow was $643 million
The largest single-day outflow since June
Do you think after the election results, this wave of hedging protection will be collectively withdrawn?
Data is for market reference only, not investment advice
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ At this position, should you be greedy or fearful?
SOL is tugging back and forth around $92.06, with resistance at $122 above and support at $92 below. The price is stuck in the middle, and neither bulls nor bears have taken the upper hand yet.
What’s most frustrating during this period isn’t the drop, but this indecisive oscillation—it tests patience and discipline.
The bulls say: In the past 30 days, it has already retraced to the 0% percentile, oversold + low-level support, so recovery is just a matter of time; the bears say: declining fee revenue, Layer2 diversion, competition from rivals, the ecosystem story is losing momentum, so any rebound is just a chance to escape.
Both sides have valid points, which is why the market is oscillating. This precisely indicates that now is not the time to heavily bet, but to wait for a clear direction before acting.
My advice: trade the range between $92 and $122 by selling high and buying low to capture swings, don’t be greedy; wait for a volume breakout above $122 to target $124, or if it falls below $92, go flat and observe.
Remember this: opportunities are waited for, not chased. Data is for reference only, does not constitute investment advice, and risk control is important.本周宏观拆解二：沃什时代迎来新的“预期”管理，不靠“嘴”靠数据与市场“自觉” 此前沃什强调减少前瞻性指引，我原本以为是要削弱Fed对市场的预期管理作用，但是近期观察来看，“有限宽松”之下，利用数据以及市场“自觉”，确实可以达成另一种预期管理 宏观数据引导市场对于Fed下一步政策的预期方向，本周非农数据，成为关注重点，关键不是看非农越坏越好，而是要找一个中性数，新增非农数据稳定+失业率稳定+工资增长放缓，属于利好金融市场 过热、过冷的就业数据，例如新增非农暴增+失业率下降，例如新增非农负数+失业率上涨，对目前的市场都是明显利空，后者虽然可以大幅削弱12月加息，但是也会带来衰退预期，所以数据最好变成“金发姑娘”，这是市场最喜欢的！ 沃什时代的反身性“预期管理” #非农来袭，12月加息会否生变？ 数据引导在前，市场反应在后，如果市场根据数据开始预期Fed下一步政策并且进行充分定价，Fed政策实施的概率反而下降 例如现在，如果非农支持12月加息，金融流动性进一步收紧，12月加息概率反而会下降，反之，如果非农支持大幅削弱12月加息概率，金融流动性快速宽松，反而会增加12越加息必要性 当然，所有Nonfarm payroll night is here again, and this data feels more like the "last card" before the Fed's rate decision 🎲. It's not simply about stamping a December rate hike, but deciding whether the market can breathe a sigh of relief or take another hit.
Currently, Bitcoin is barely holding around 78,000 📉. The dense resistance zone is between 79,500 and 80,800, while 76,000 is the short-term lifeline. The current rebound looks more like a correction, not a reversal—don't mistake a bounce for a turnaround 🚨.
Here's a straightforward strategy for you:
1️⃣ Don't get itchy chasing gains or panic selling around the 78,500 pivot; wait for the first wave of data impact to pass.
2️⃣ If the rebound between 79,400 and 79,900 lacks volume, treat it as a shorting opportunity with a stop loss at 80,500.
3️⃣ If volume truly surges and it breaks above 80,800, exit short positions and just observe without forcing trades 👀.
4️⃣ If it breaks below 76,000, follow the trend down to 74,000.
How the nonfarm opens isn't important; what's important is not to jump the gun—let the market make the first move 🃏. #苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ Apple's new CEO has delivered the report, and I'm first checking if BTC has held up. Major US stocks have released their results, but crypto may not immediately follow. iPhone 18 is the first report card under Apple's new leadership, with sentiment mostly focused on tech stocks; for $BTC, I'm more concerned whether the capital flow has moved accordingly.
1. The price is still grinding within the 80,000–82,000 range, funding rates are close to zero, and open interest hasn't risen, indicating few leveraged positions chasing in. This kind of sideways support is getting harder to hold with each test.
2. Spot ETFs have seen a net outflow exceeding $2 billion previously, yet the price hasn't dropped accordingly. Selling pressure has indeed been absorbed, but no incremental buying has pushed prices up. Both sides cancel out, leaving the price stuck in place.
For US stock gains to transmit to the crypto market, someone has to be willing to add funds first. Only if it breaks above 82,000 and funding rates return above zero will I acknowledge this rally as truly holding.
#苹果新CEO迎来iPhone18首份成绩单 $AAPL
Q4 FY2026 Earnings
• Revenue estimate: $113.32B
• EPS estimate: $1.98
• Previous quarter revenue: $109.42B
• Previous quarter EPS: $2.02
• Previous quarter net income: $29.79B
• Market focus: iPhone demand, services growth, profit margins, and forward guidance.$BTC Hyperliquid Someone openly dumped the market.
A $BTC short position of 125 million USD just appeared on-chain, forcibly taking the top spot as the largest short position on the entire platform.
The bullish whales who were previously profiting are also retreating, cutting their long positions down to scraps.
If big money were bullish, why would they rush to be the top short at this position?
With such a huge mountain pressing down, the bulls simply can't hold this position.
#BTC
$BTC
👇The weekend's slight gains were completely wiped out by a bearish candle last night.
At 8 PM last night, during the 4-hour candle, a volume of 1500 was released, and BTC dropped sharply from 78254 to 77280. The weekend's low-volume rally was crushed by this high-volume sell-off. Now it's clear: it was fake and unsustainable.
As for what comes next, my judgment is that it will still be a wide-range consolidation, but leaning weak.
On the upside, 78866 is the new double top, which BTC failed to break twice. On the downside, the old dense zone between 76500 and 77000 has held twice already. Now it depends on which side breaks first. If 76500 can't hold, then we have to look lower. Many are waiting for 73000, which is also near the daily MA200, but if it really reaches that point, it won't be a good sign.
ETH at 2271 is still the same story: when BTC sneezes, it catches a cold. It can't keep up on the way up but leads on the way down. Don't expect it to strengthen first.
Today is the US voting day, and results will come out gradually tomorrow morning. During this day and a half, no one wants to bet seriously, so don't expect a clear direction. Consolidation is the main theme.
In terms of trading, don't chase within the range. Don't rush to buy if it breaks below 76500. Wait until it stabilizes above 78900 before talking about a rebound.
What do you think? Will it break the upper boundary first or the lower boundary first?
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $BTC $ETH $SNDK 🔥October Nonfarm Payrolls Are About to Be Released: Is the Labor Market Cooling Down, and Is There Still a Chance for a Rate Cut?
The October nonfarm payroll data will be released on November 6. The latest data (September) showed only 29,000 new jobs added, far below market expectations. The unemployment rate slightly rose to 4.2%, and average hourly earnings increased by just 0.1% month-over-month (about 3.0% year-over-year), indicating a clear slowdown in hiring and a continued cooling of the labor market.
However, a rate cut is hardly being discussed in the short term. Inflation remains significantly above target (PCE year-over-year about 3.6%, core about 3.1%). The Federal Reserve held steady in October, keeping rates at 3.75%-4.00%, emphasizing in its statement that "inflation remains elevated." The market currently prices about a 70% chance of a 25 basis point hike in December, with another hike this year being the mainstream expectation.
The key impact of this nonfarm data is:
❓ If new job additions continue to be significantly weak, unemployment rises further, and wages continue to slow, it will reduce the probability of a December rate hike;
❓ If the data meets or exceeds expectations, a December rate hike is basically locked in.
Overall, the job market is softening but has not yet shown signs of a hard landing, while inflation stickiness remains unresolved and growth still shows resilience. The Fed’s current core dilemma is "whether to continue raising rates," not shifting to rate cuts. The probability of rate cuts this year or even in the first half of 2027 is very low; the real easing window is more likely to come after inflation steadily declines in the second half of 2027.
After the data release, focus on new job additions, unemployment rate, wage performance, and subsequent statements from Fed officials.An address that previously spent $62.97 million to buy 27,553 ETH, referred to as a “whale,” is suspected to be related to a theft incident involving an EU entity's exchange account. The average on-chain purchase price of ETH for this address was about $2,286, and the related funds were subsequently transferred across multiple platforms. Previously, on-chain investigator ZachXBT stated that the EU entity is suspected to have had over $106 million stolen from multiple centralized exchange accounts #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC $ETH 🚨 【Breaking Observation: $4.65 Billion Mass Exodus! Have We Found the Real Culprit Behind This Market Crash?】
Brothers, I just came across a shocking data point: Binance recently processed withdrawals totaling as much as $4.65 billion!
What does this number mean? It's like hundreds of small targets rushing out of the exchange in a short period. Let's break down what's really going on👇
💸 Is it panic FUD or rational risk aversion?
This massive withdrawal is most likely retail and institutional investors scared by the recent barrage of explosive news, collectively shouting “Not your keys, not your coins,” and moving funds into cold wallets for safety.
🛡️ The exchange’s "stress test"
For Binance, this is definitely an epic liquidity test. The good news is, all the money was successfully withdrawn without any disconnections or delays, meaning they withstood this wave of trust crisis.
📉 Deadly impact on the market
But once the money leaves, the liquidity inside the market dries up. Buying power drops sharply, which is why the market has been stuck and easily crashes at the slightest disturbance. No money inside, no miracle rescue!
1️⃣ Don’t try to catch the bottom: The market is bleeding badly; trying to catch falling knives now is like catching a bomb with bare hands.
2️⃣ Watch on-chain data: Pay attention to whether stablecoins are flowing back into exchanges in large amounts—that’s the real signal for a market reversal.
3️⃣ Protect your assets: No matter how chaotic it gets outside, don’t click random links, safeguard your private keys, and withdraw large funds when necessary. Reviewing BTC's past bull and bear cycles:
The 2013 bull market peaked, and the bottom was only confirmed in January 2015, a gap of 13.5 months.
The 2017 peak was followed by a bottom in December 2018, taking 12 months.
After the 2021 high, the bottom was reached in November 2022, lasting 12.5 months.
Applying this to the current cycle:
The BTC peak this round appears in November 2025.
Referring to the rhythm of previous cycles for projection,
the ultimate bottom of this bear market will most likely fall within the time window of November–December 2026.
$BTC #非农来袭，12月加息会否生变？ After the sharp drops in BTC and ETH, both bounced back a bit, but this feels more like catching a breath rather than a stamp of "recovery complete" on the trend (￣▽￣). The macro environment hasn't fully eased: the Fed didn't move this time, Musalem leans hawkish, advocating for tightening again soon; this is a personal stance and doesn't represent a committee decision to raise rates 🤔. So, there's still no evidence that "high interest rates are ending soon."
On the charts, BTC pulled back from around 76265, while ETH has been relatively more resilient in the past 24 hours. Some support is a positive sign, but BTC touched near 77604 and then fell back, and ETH hasn't firmly held above the hourly high near 2252. Although lows have temporarily moved up, the pressure hasn't been relieved 😮💨.
Next, watch for confirmation: BTC must retake 77604, ETH must simultaneously reclaim 2252, and hourly closes must hold above these levels without falling back. Only then can we say buyers still have momentum, and short-term recovery can be viewed more optimistically, allowing me to lower my caution a bit 👀. Conversely, if BTC falls below 76265 again, or ETH drops under 2208 and fails to recover on a rebound, we need to reassess the quality of support ⚠️. After a single wick down and pullback, don't rush to define a new downtrend.
Strategically, don't chase rebounds just because of big drops: consider light positions only after both coins reclaim resistance; if lows are broken and not recovered, put recovery plans on hold for now ✍️.📊 A rebound does not equal a reversal, don't rush to be bullish!
Monday's rise looks more like a technical correction after an oversell; the market has not yet released a clear reversal signal.
💸 Funding pressure remains:
🔹 $BTC spot ETF: weekly net outflow of about $200 million
🔹 $ETH spot ETF: weekly net outflow of about $430 million
🔹 ETH institutional buying is weak, capital withdrawal remains a concern.
🌍 Macro pressure persists:
US inflation remains sticky, economic data stays resilient, December rate hike expectations are heating up, coupled with the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance, liquidity improvement still faces obstacles.
The leader says:
A rebound can be expected, but a reversal needs confirmation. In the short term, focus on capital flow and key resistance levels; don't let a single bullish candle mislead your rhythm.
#BTC #ETH #CryptoMarket #USMidtermsPolicyOutlook
Always set your stop loss on positions.If this OKB pullback is just derivatives shaking out positions, where will the real sentiment turning point appear? First, a question: when the price drops from 125 back to 111, is your first reaction panic, or to see clearly who is naked leveraged? I've been watching OKB's daily chart these past two days, and it feels very interesting. It surged to a high of 125.24, then was pressed down to 106, and now it's back around 111.24, still down 2.28% intraday. On the surface, it looks like a normal retracement, but looking through the lens of derivatives structure, you realize the market might not be trading "how much OKB is worth," but rather "whose positions will break first." There's still a 28.06% gain over 90 days, which shows the fundamentals aren't bad, but short-term sentiment is a bit narratively fatigued. Those chasing highs are hesitating, while outsiders fear missing the next rebound. FOMO and hesitation mix together, much like a crowd repeatedly testing the door. The bullish path is: as long as 106 holds steady, after the squeeze on the derivatives side completes, the price has a chance to retest the dense zone between 118 and 125. Especially when the perpetual funding rate stops being one-sided and open interest shrinks then stabilizes, it often means a layer of leverage bubble has been squeezed out, freeing space for a subsequent rebound. If BTC and ETH both maintain risk appetite without collapsing, OKB, which has prior gains backing it, is easily picked up again by short-term funds. But the risk is also very straightforward: if 106 is broken, stop-loss and margin call selling could trigger a second wave of downward pressure, then what falls won't just be the price, but sentiment as well. Altcoins overallThe U.S. midterm elections are approaching, and the crypto market may face new policy variables
The U.S. midterm elections not only concern control of Congress but will also affect the subsequent legislative, fiscal, and regulatory directions of the Trump administration.
All 435 seats in the House of Representatives will be up for election, and 35 seats in the Senate will also be contested. The election results could change the balance of power in Congress, thereby influencing the future policy direction of the United States.
Notably, the crypto industry is actively participating in this political contest. According to Public Citizen statistics, as of October 23, related companies have donated about $233 million in political contributions, reflecting the crypto industry's efforts to secure a more favorable regulatory environment and legislative support.
Meanwhile, the situation in the Middle East remains uncertain. Some media outlets, citing anonymous sources, claim that Netanyahu urged Trump to take military action against Iran after the election, but these claims have not been confirmed by the White House or Israeli officials.
Going forward, the market needs to focus not only on the election results but also on policy implementation, regulatory attitudes, and changes in geopolitical situations
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ SOL low-level short-term trading? Latest network analysis (2026.11.3)
Brothers, SOL is indeed relatively low now, current price about $91.5-92.5.
Data snapshot:
• 24h down 2-3%, 7-day down about 8-9%, 30-day down about 23% (from around 120 in early October)
• 1-year down about 50%, more than halved from ATH (around $293)
• Market cap about 54 billion, ranked 7th
• RSI daily about 26-31, severely oversold, has technical rebound potential
Why say low level can be used for short-term gains: obvious oversold, holding 91-92 may rebound to test 95-98. Short-term "eat a wave" logic mainly relies on short covering + oversold rebound.
But risks are also high:
1 Spot SOL ETF outflow about $71.47 million last week, largest single week since launch, outflow for 4 consecutive weeks, institutional demand weakening
2 Whales deposited about 1.49 million SOL (about $149 million) to exchanges within 10 days
3 After Binance's about $6 billion theft incident (North Korean hackers), market risk sentiment increased, long liquidations severe
4 Price has fallen below key support at 96, trend still bearish, MACD bearish, key support at 90.5-88, breaking it may test low 80s
Positive side: ecosystem still advancing, RWA broke 5 billion, stablecoin card consumption hit new high, 1000 days without downtime, upgrades and stablecoin cooperation, etc., but short-term pressure from capital and sentiment remains. BTC retreats to 77K! Will the US midterm elections become the trigger for the next market rally?
On the eve of the election, BTC is still tugging back and forth at a critical level. The latest market reports show that Bitcoin has dropped about 7.3% cumulatively in October, and short-term sentiment is not optimistic. With the daily MACD continuing to weaken, whether the $77,000 level can hold is more worth watching than guessing who will win.
There are three political variables: the House leans Democratic, the Senate remains uncertain; if Congress is divided, legislative and fiscal agendas may be harder to advance; the crypto market needs to watch the CLARITY Act, which previously only received 49 votes in a Senate procedural vote, falling short of the 60 votes needed to move forward. The election results may change committee control but do not necessarily mean a shift in regulation.
In the short term, BTC is more affected by macro liquidity and risk appetite, while ETH still faces the dual tests of regulation and ETF funds. My approach is: don’t bet on political scripts, first observe the 77K support and rebound volume, control leverage, and wait for the results before judging the trend. $BTC #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ Title: Is Musk venturing into a new field again? SpaceX rumored to acquire Boost Mobile, preparing to enter the US mobile communication market!
Musk is clearly not satisfied with just sending the internet to space.
According to Reuters on November 2, SpaceX is negotiating with US telecom company EchoStar to discuss acquiring its mobile communication brand Boost Mobile, or obtaining network usage rights through cooperation.
If this deal is reached, it will help SpaceX accelerate the launch of its own mobile communication service, Starlink Mobile.
Musk's idea is clear: combine the Starlink satellite network with ground communication base stations to directly challenge the three major US telecom giants AT&T, Verizon, and T-Mobile.
Boost Mobile currently has millions of users, providing SpaceX with an existing user base and business channels.
However, negotiations have not yet reached a final agreement, and there are regulatory and commercial obstacles regarding whether the network leasing contract can be transferred.
If this matter is ultimately realized, SpaceX will no longer be just a rocket and satellite company, but may become a true global communication service competitor.
Musk is connecting space, the internet, and mobile communication into a bigger game.Don't get stuck on 77000, first look at which step the structure has reached 🧭
Many people only focus on the price point, but it's actually more important to see if the "bottom structure is complete." Glassnode's "Seller Exhaustion Index" suggests: currently it looks more like a cycle-level confirmation rather than a typical tug-of-war between bulls and bears 📊
Low point 1 is usually caused by panic selling and liquidation selling, with strong emotions and lots of noise; the wave in August this year was typical, the price was very low but not necessarily reliable 😵💫
The value of low point 2 lies in the "support test." This time, the drop near 77000 did not trigger a chain stampede, but instead released exhaustion signals, indicating that selling pressure is being absorbed 🧱
The difficulty is: the bottom is always a range, not an exact point 🎯 The certainty of the secondary low is higher, but the cost is that the price won't return to the most ideal position.
So don't obsess over the "absolute bottom" 🙅 A safer approach is to accumulate spot positions gradually on dips, spreading the cost within the range; avoid short-term contract trading, as oscillating bottoms are prone to frequent spikes ⚡️$DOGE Analysis & Sentiment
In my opinion, $DOGE has dropped enough. It might test 0.070–0.068 once more, then head straight to the 0.096 target, Inshallah.
Sentiment:
· 79% Bullish
· 14% Neutral
· 7% Bearish
Liquidations:
Recently, 94% of long positions were liquidated. People got trapped, but sentiment is still bullish — meaning buying pressure remains.
When everyone gets liquidated, the market usually bounces from there.
Do you agree with this data?
#OKXTraderVoices This Monday evening's situation is a bit strange. Binance had a net outflow of over $7 billion, but the coin price remained unchanged; the coins just moved to another exchange. The real withdrawal is from Wall Street. The October ledgers of the three ETFs for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL are all looking worse and worse. Hyperliquid Whale Movements: Bears Dominate the Market, $320 Million Liquidated Across the Network
$BTC $ETH $SOL
Recently, the crypto market has been highly volatile, with whale movements on the Hyperliquid platform and network-wide liquidation data painting a dramatic picture of capital battles.
1. Whales Bearish, Profits Abundant
The platform's total open interest is $10.28 billion, with shorts at $5.59 billion suppressing longs at $4.69 billion. The super whale "0x5b...060" holds $640 million in total funds, with cumulative profits of $230 million. This whale adopts a firm short strategy: 5x full position shorts on BTC ($180 million) and ETH ($210 million), and a 7x leveraged short on SOL. Despite a floating loss of $1.4354 million on BTC shorts, ETH shows a floating profit of $6.63 million and SOL a floating profit of $1.74 million, keeping the overall position stable. Its BTC liquidation price is as high as $142,160, demonstrating strong risk resistance.
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？
2. Bulls Suffer Heavy Losses
In the past 24 hours, 79,079 people were liquidated, totaling $320 million, with long liquidations accounting for $240 million, dominating absolutely. Within just 4 hours, $160 million in longs were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Binance-ETH, valued at $8.3476 million.
Summary
The current platform shows a clear "bear-dominated" pattern. Top whales sit firmly on the sidelines with substantial profits, while bulls across the network suffer heavy liquidations amid intense volatility. Investors should be cautious of further downside risks and operate prudently.Liquidations have significantly increased in the past 12 hours, but this time it's not just a one-sided hit on shorts; instead, it first wiped out shorts and then longs, showing a stronger pattern of back-and-forth harvesting.
The entire market saw about $113 million in liquidations over 12 hours, with longs at $94.3 million and shorts at $18.66 million, longs accounting for over 83%. The 24-hour liquidation amount further rose to $210 million, indicating that after the rebound, the subsequent pullback cleared out chasing funds again.
BTC liquidations in the past 24 hours reached $53.74 million, with longs at $24.33 million and shorts at $29.42 million, losses nearly balanced on both sides. The current price has returned near $77,000; $76,800–$77,000 is short-term support. Holding this level still offers a chance to retest $78,000. If it breaks down effectively, the rebound structure will basically fail, and it may continue to seek support below.
ETH liquidations totaled $45.23 million, with longs at $18.31 million and shorts at $26.92 million. The earlier rebound inflicted more damage on shorts, but the latest round of decline has started clearing longs. Around $2,290 remains a battleground between bulls and bears, with resistance above at $2,320–$2,350 and support first at $2,250; if lost, then look to $2,200.
SOL liquidations reached $10.1 million, with longs at $7.91 million and shorts at $2.19 million, clearly more losses on the long side. $90 is the short-term defense level; only by reclaiming $94.5–$96 can the weakness be considered repaired.
BTC and ETH first wiped out shorts, and now have started wiping out longs; the market has entered a phase of two-way deleveraging. Without breaking key resistance, rebounds can only be viewed as repairs for now.DOT Critical Point: The Game of Change Amid Waning Risk Appetite 🎯
After Google's earnings report, its stock price plunged sharply. Market patience for AI investment returns is being tested, risk appetite is retreating accordingly, and the crypto market has not been spared. DOT is under short-term pressure, standing at a crucial pivot window with the direction choice imminent.📉
Looking at the market, DOT current price is 0.9466, down slightly 0.3% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of 4.708 million; buy orders at 15,000 versus sell orders at 16,000, strength ratio 0.91, sellers slightly dominant. Both 1-hour and 4-hour trends are downward, funding rate at 0.0076% is neutral, open interest at 7.933 million, overall sentiment cautious.🧐
Strategy-wise, if a rebound is resisted near 0.9585, a light short position can be tried with stop loss at 0.9715 and target at 0.9305; if volume increases and price stabilizes above 0.9485, a short-term long position is possible with stop loss at 0.9365 and target at 0.9625. Position size should be controlled within 20%, and stop loss must be strictly enforced.⚠️
In the pivot window, direction is more important than speed, and discipline is more valuable than judgment.💡Why has the crypto market dropped again? Who exactly is selling in this downturn?
$BTC $ETH
I believe this market correction is not caused by a single reason but is the result of several factors overlapping simultaneously.
1️⃣ Impact of the macro environment, decline in market risk appetite
Cryptocurrency is not a completely independent market.
Federal Reserve interest rate expectations, the US dollar trend, and the performance of the US tech stock sector all influence capital allocation to risk assets.
When the market lacks confidence in the future economy and interest rate policies, investors tend to reduce their positions in high-risk assets first, naturally affecting the crypto market as well.
2️⃣ ETF capital flows, pressure on institutional buying
Previously, continuous inflows from institutional funds were an important force supporting Bitcoin's rise.
But recently, there has been a large-scale outflow of funds from the US spot Bitcoin ETF, indicating a temporary weakening of institutional buying.
When new funds are insufficient to absorb sell orders, prices naturally come under pressure.
3️⃣ Excessive leverage, liquidations further amplify the decline
This may be the issue many contract traders easily overlook.
After the price breaks key support levels, long positions are continuously liquidated; liquidations generate new sell orders, further pushing prices down.
This creates a vicious cycle:
Price drops → Long liquidations → More sell orders → Price continues to fall.
The market has previously seen large-scale contract liquidations, indicating leveraged funds are amplifying market volatility.
4️⃣ Exchange security incidents further undermine market confidence
Recent news about security vulnerabilities at major exchanges has made investors more cautious about trading platforms and asset safety.
When the market is already fragile, any major security incident can exacerbate panic.
⸻
So, what should we focus on next?
I think there are three key observation points:
* Whether BTC can regain and hold key support zones.
* Whether the outflow of funds from US spot ETFs begins to narrow.
* Whether open interest and liquidation data in contracts gradually return to normal.
If these indicators do not improve, we cannot simply treat every rebound as a reversal.
Finally, a few personal views:
In a bull market, profits come from trends; in a sideways market, profits come from patience; in a downtrend, the most important thing is to protect your principal.
Don’t rush to bottom-fish just because prices have fallen, nor rush to chase longs just because of a rebound.
Especially for contract traders, making a wrong directional call is not the worst; the worst is continuously increasing leverage and adding positions, ultimately losing control.
The market never lacks opportunities; what’s lacking are people who can survive to the next cycle.
Do you think this downturn is a normal correction within a bull market, or has the market trend already changed?
Feel free to discuss in the comments.
#BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Cryptocurrency #MarketAnalysis #ContractTrading #OKX#توقعات Palantir Earnings Report: Can High Growth Support the High Valuation? Earnings Season Today 📉 - My Portfolio -22.82 XP (-4.13%) - 529.12 XP
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Tonight AMC November 3 - Market is Optimistic Yes - but I say No - it might crash!
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#EarningsSeason#Here are 8 versions for you:
*Version 1 - Original Optimized*
> The new week has just started, and everyone is clearly tense. We just caught a breather last Friday, but this Friday night the non-farm payrolls are coming again, so the market will collectively tighten its nerves! 😞
> If the non-farm numbers are higher, it means the US economy is still strong, and the Federal Reserve will be more confident to maintain high interest rates or delay rate cuts. The smaller the numbers, the stronger the signal of a soft economy, and the expectations for rate cuts will rise, which is relatively friendly to risk assets.
> $BTC is now around seventy to eighty thousand. The low point caused by the Binance fund theft has seen a small rebound, but the price is still below the short-term moving average, and the trading volume has not significantly increased, a typical wait-for-news state.
> $ETH is around 2300 USD, with a weaker rebound than Bitcoin and more obvious short-term pressure. Overall, it is still in the recovery phase, and whether the real trend has strengthened needs a few more days of observation.
> The focus this week is the non-farm payrolls on Friday. If the data is unexpectedly strong, the dollar and interest rate expectations may rise again, short-term pressure will return, and Bitcoin continuing to test lower is not impossible.
*Version 2 - Minimalist*
> The new week starts with everyone tense, last Friday caught a breather, this Friday night non-farm payrolls come again, market tightens, the bigger the non-farm numbers the stronger the US economy, Fed dares to maintain high rates or delay cuts, smaller numbers mean softer economy, rate cut expectations rise, friendly to risk assets, BTC around seventy to eighty thousand, Binance theft low point small rebound, price below short-term moving average, volume not increased, waiting for news, ETH around 2300, rebound weaker than BTC, short-term pressure large, in recovery phase$ETH Bitcoin bounced back and ETH followed with a couple of twists; the market rally is entirely due to short covering.
No new money has moved in off-exchange; ETFs have seen net outflows for 23 consecutive days.
The bulls are now stuck at a critical level, holding firm; if it drops a bit more, there’s $927 million worth of long liquidations buried below.
Above is all selling pressure from those trying to break even, below are chain reaction liquidation triggers.
The big players clearly haven’t smashed it enough yet; whoever wants to catch the flying knife, go ahead.
#ETH
$ETH
👇$DOOD This chart makes me laugh out loud.
In the past 30 days, net spot buying has directly accounted for 64% of the market cap, and the circulating supply on the exchange has long been emptied by the main players.
The funny thing is, a bunch of people in the contracts are still paying interest out of pocket, stubbornly holding short positions.
The sell orders above have already been drained, just waiting for the main players to free their hands to kick it.
Shorting at this point is purely like having a long life and giving the bulls some fuel to burn.
#DOOD
$DOOD
👇The overnight session delivered a textbook leverage purge, and the numbers explain why both sides of the book are nursing bruises. $BTC trades near 77200 after a sharp slide, with $104 million liquidated across the market in 24 hours — $83 million of it longs. That asymmetry tells the story: the crowd was leaning the wrong way, and the flush did the correcting. What matters now is not the size of the drawdown but the shape of the aftermath. Liquidation pressure is reportedly close to exhausting $BTC $ETH $SOL Both lows have been broken, can they still hold?
$BTC: The low has been probed again
$77,442, down 0.89% in 24h, high $78,867, low $77,273, long-short ratio 2.40 (4h ago 2.29), open interest $2.603 billion. In the last 4h, long liquidations of 1.921 million U and short liquidations of 346,000 U. After the new low, it hasn't reclaimed even $77,601, the downward probe is not over.
$ETH: No clear movement up or down
$2,269, down 0.04% in 24h, high $2,318, low $2,248, long-short ratio 2.25 (4h ago 2.05), open interest $1.488 billion. In the last 4h, long liquidations of 1.262 million U and short liquidations of 1.169 million U. Long and short liquidations are roughly balanced, price remains flat, no direction given yet.
$SOL: The hardest hit among the three coins
$93.36, down 1.48% in 24h, high $95.89, low $92.69, long-short ratio 3.57 (4h ago 3.49), open interest $341 million. In the last 4h, long liquidations of 795,000 U and short liquidations of 119,000 U. Slid from $94.97 to $92.69, $93.14 has become overhead resistance, unable to bounce back, weakness continues.
Summary: In the last 4 hours, the three coins combined liquidated 5.612 million U, with longs accounting for 3.978 million, longs are still taking the hit.
Lows keep breaking, better watch carefully before making a move.
For market record only, not investment advice
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $XRP fell below the resistance level (1.264) after the latest rebound.
The price remains below the resistance level (1.264) and is watching the support level (1.2341).
MACD: The histogram is rising, with the MACD line below the signal line.
Breaking below the support level (1.2341) favors sellers; reclaiming the resistance level (1.264) weakens the bearish view.
Do you think it will continue to dip or reclaim the resistance level (1.264)?
$XRP
#XRP $BTC
⚠️ NFA - Manage risk and do your own research.