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First, let's cool down a bit and not directly translate "recharging exchanges" as "institutions dumping," but I also won't ignore the risks. PANews, citing on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, reports that an a16z-related entity has recharged 32,862 $HYPE tokens to exchanges again, with a cumulative transfer of HYPE worth $15.02 million over the past five days. My judgment leans short-term bearish; the impact mainly lies in potential supply and holder sentiment, but it’s not yet at the level of confirming a large-scale retreat.
I'm focusing on two points. First, when coins move from an address into an exchange, they are closer to being sellable. If they are sold afterward, buy-side support is needed to absorb them, so holders have reason to be cautious. Second, transferring in does not equal a transaction. The estimated $1.08 million profit mentioned in the material is conditional on "if sold." Taking this condition as already realized and then deducing that institutions are collectively bearish skips two steps.
Of course, those who believe the impact is limited might also be right. If we later see actual sales and prices and absorption remain stable, I will reduce my concern about this potential selling pressure; conversely, if recharging continues accompanied by weakening absorption, I will be more cautious. My habit is to first verify whether selling pressure has materialized and not to write the market’s outcome based on a single on-chain transfer.$BTC If the Democratic Party wins in the U.S. midterm elections, especially taking control of the House of Representatives or even the Senate, it could be a short-term negative for the cryptocurrency market. Previously, the Trump administration actively promoted the U.S. as a global crypto hub, with market expectations for SEC regulatory easing, advancement of crypto market structure bills like the CLARITY Act, and clearer regulatory frameworks for stablecoins, DeFi, and RWA sectors. If the Democrats control Congress, they may intensify scrutiny of the Trump administration's crypto policies and impose stricter requirements on regulation, consumer protection, and conflicts of interest, causing delays in the progress of related bills and postponing the policy benefits the market had anticipated. Bitcoin may face short-term pressure from investor profit-taking, ETF outflows, and leveraged long liquidations, while altcoins, being riskier, could experience more pronounced impacts. However, a Democratic victory does not necessarily mean the crypto market will enter a bear market; Bitcoin's long-term trend still depends on Federal Reserve interest rate policies, dollar liquidity, ETF capital flows, and institutional allocation demand. If a Democratic win leads to increased fiscal policy uncertainty in the U.S., a weaker dollar, or market expectations of Fed rate cuts, it could actually provide new upward momentum for Bitcoin. Therefore, the real risk to watch is the simultaneous occurrence of a Democratic win, a stronger dollar, the Fed maintaining high interest rates, and continued BTC ETF outflows. Overall, a Democratic victory is more likely to affect regulatory expectations and short-term market sentiment in the crypto industry rather than directly altering Bitcoin's long-term value logic. $ZEC Democrats sweep 99%, $BTC falls below 76,000, no relief after bad news
At 9:44 AM today, the probability of Democrats winning both the House and Senate on Predict.fun jumped from 75.5% yesterday to 99%. The remaining 1% is Republicans holding the Senate, and 0.1% is Republicans holding all. It's basically announcing the result.
So how did Bitcoin move? No rebound; instead, it fell below 76,000. Currently at 76,286, 24-hour low is 75,736, stepping down from yesterday's low of 76,388.
Many thought "bad news priced in means good news," but the result was continued decline.
Why? Because the market fears not "Democrats winning," but "what Democrats will do after winning." Controlling both chambers means tighter crypto regulations, stablecoin bill reshuffling, SEC leadership changes, and possible tax policy increases—all concrete negatives for the crypto space, not just sentiment.
There's an even more direct factor: fiscal policy. With Democrats in power, fiscal spending may expand, U.S. Treasury yields rise, and risk assets come under pressure.
So Beichen's judgment: this is not the end of bad news, but the beginning of its realization.
In terms of trading, keep the short position at 77,500, currently up 1,200 points. If it breaks below 75,736, the next target is 75,000. The short at 2,280 ETH can also be held, targeting below 2,200!
#美国中期选举进入计票阶段,国会控制权将如何变化? Latest data shows that U.S. LNG exports rebounded strongly in October to the second-highest level in history, but at the beginning of November, feed gas flow experienced a temporary decline. This pattern of "strong monthly performance with short-term fluctuations" is the core background behind the recent natural gas price battles around $2.90/MMBtu.
📊 Overall exports in October: second highest in history, Europe is the absolute main force
According to LSEG data, U.S. LNG exports in October reached 7.92 million metric tons, second only to the historical peak of 8.01 million metric tons in April this year, representing a significant month-on-month increase of about 11% from 7.12 million metric tons in September. The growth mainly came from production increases at Cheniere Energy and Venture Global, offsetting losses caused by a 12-day routine maintenance at the Cove Point terminal.
In terms of destinations, Europe's share jumped to 60%, up 8 percentage points from September; Asia's share dropped from 30% to 20%, and Latin America's share narrowed from 8% to 5%. The fundamental reason for Europe's continued expansion in purchases is the reduction of Russian pipeline gas supply and the enforcement of the EU's restrictions on short-term LNG contracts with Russia.
🔧 Feed gas flow at the beginning of November: temporary decline, but with bright spots internally
The strong monthly export volume is not contradictory to the short-term decline in feed gas flow at the beginning of November. As of the week of November 1, the U.S. LNG feed gas daily average flow was 19.3 Bcf/d, down nearly 0.4 Bcf/d from the previous week. The monthly daily average flow in October was 18.5 Bcf/d, higher than 17.9 Bcf/d in September.
The main drag on the decline came from Freeport LNG: the terminal went offline on October 26 due to a power outage, and after restarting the next day, it did not return to full capacity. On November 1, the No. 2 production line was shut down for maintenance, and current feed gas intake is below 1 Bcf/d, with both production lines not running at full capacity.
However, other terminals offset this: Golden Pass's feed gas intake rose to an average of 0.77 Bcf/d last week, breaking 0.8 Bcf/d for the first time over the weekend, with the No. 1 production line completing its ramp-up. Plaquemines LNG Phase 1 officially entered commercial operation on October 31, with the first cargo delivered to Shell. Phase 2 is expected to start operation in mid-2027, expanding total liquefaction capacity to 28 mtpa.
💎 Summary
October's export data was strong, with Europe's winter stockpiling demand as the core driver; but the early November feed gas decline reflects operational disruptions at individual terminals like Freeport, rather than a systemic deterioration in export demand. For natural gas prices, LNG exports provide important bottom support around $2.90/MMBtu, but currently are insufficient alone to reverse the downward pressure caused by a warm winter and high inventories. Key points to watch going forward include when Freeport will return to full capacity, the ramp-up pace of Golden Pass, and whether Europe will further increase purchases of U.S. spot LNG amid urgent inventory concerns.$IRYS This rebound looks pretty intimidating, but the order book is actually extremely fake.
It dropped from 0.50 to around 0.02, and during the rebound, spot funds were still net outflowing. It's obvious that the main players are using the price surge as a cover to sell off. Moreover, 80% of the tokens are still locked, FDV is five times the market cap, and all the orders above are trapped positions.
After altcoins peak, the drop really has no bottom. Don't expect any trend reversal.
#IRYS
$IRYS
👇A $100 million position is only a few hundred dollars away from liquidation.
One address has simultaneously opened long positions in BTC, ETH, HYPE, and ZEC, with a total size of $101 million and an unrealized loss of $1.725 million. It sounds okay—losing only 1.7% on a $100 million position. But the real danger isn’t the unrealized loss; it’s the remaining liquidation buffer: 30x $BTC has $398.7 left, 15x $ETH has $86.14 left, 10x $ZEC has $38.28 left, and 10x $HYPE only has $6.58 left.
The biggest loss isn’t on the highest leverage. $HYPE is only 10x leverage with an unrealized loss of $618,000, second only to 30x $BTC’s $709,000, indicating it either dropped the hardest or was opened at the highest price.
Mechanically, the liquidation buffer isn’t linearly allocated by leverage. Leverage only determines how large a position you can open initially; what determines how long you survive is how far the market moves unilaterally after opening the position. Leverage just amplifies losses; the buffer is what keeps you alive.
What’s more worth noting is the structure: $101 million long, all four legs on the same side, no hedging. This isn’t diversification; it’s betting on the same direction four times. Once one leg is liquidated, market orders are triggered, and the remaining three legs’ buffers shrink simultaneously, causing a chain reaction.
The bigger the account, the more likely they are to use high leverage because they think they can handle it. But the liquidation line doesn’t care about your principal; it only cares how many dollars you have left before it.ETH: Price drops, Open Interest also decreases ETH around 2,293 USD in the CoinDesk snapshot on 11/03. The report notes ETH Futures OI down 2.18%, while the price fell about 0.83% in the same analysis. Assessment: OI falling along with price usually reflects position closing, not enough to conclude that Shorts are dominating. Need to observe Spot price and volume to confirm. Do you prefer ETH Spot or Futures when the market is volatile? $ETH #ETH #Ethereum #OpenInterestToday's market, those with slightly heavier leverage got taken out again.
In the past 24 hours, the whole network liquidated $338 million, with long positions accounting for $265 million, $BTC liquidations at $106 million, and $ETH liquidations over $48 million.
BTC broke a new low again around 2 PM, Binance spot hit 76388, now hovering around 76500, down 2% in 24 hours.
The key is that contract open interest rose from 7.46 billion to 7.65 billion, with more added on every drop; with this structure, it's quite difficult to have a decent rebound.
The A-share market is lively but volume has shrunk sharply, losing 67.1 billion in the first hour, with over 3,000 stocks down.
Physical AI company Suochen Technology hit the 20% daily limit up, AI comic company Dasheng Culture had a three-day limit up, and small metal company Yunnan Germanium also hit the limit up, but the hotspots rotate like a fan, chasing in likely leads to losses.
US stocks saw chip stocks lead a rebound, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor up 2.64%, Nvidia up 2.26%, but Apple dropped nearly 2%, Tesla also in the red.
The seven giants have already split internally.
Money is still moving, just moving faster and faster,
it's more comfortable to squat and wait than to chase.You went long on Bitcoin, right? You definitely chased the longs last night, and now everyone is hoping for a Republican comeback.
The bulls' faces are swollen from getting hit, yet they still pretend to be strong. Those who chased Bitcoin longs at 77,000-78,000 last night are now all stuck like fools. Even so, everyone is still going long, still on the path of going long. Fortunately, yesterday I shifted my focus from Bitcoin to crude oil. Shorting crude oil at 98 was the right call.
Decided to short CL WTI crude oil at 98 on the rebound during the downtrend.
1. The Middle East premium is showing signs of fading because there’s no expectation of conflict escalation anymore. The focus is on peace talks, negotiating terms between parties. At times like this, oil prices tend to fall.
2. Oil prices will be suppressed before the election. Trump has the obligation to stabilize oil prices to appease voters. News about Russian diesel and Venezuelan crude is also aimed at calming oil prices. This is basically news to suppress further oil price increases.
3. Based on this, I’ve been looking for opportunities to short crude oil: shorted from 103 to 101, then again to 98, now looking at 92. The previous rise in oil prices has basically priced in most of the risk premium. When the time is right, prices will naturally fall. I’m holding the short at 98.
Bitcoin is still confused now, with its pricing too dependent on the midterm elections.
1. The House is basically lost now, which aligns with market expectations. But when the news of the loss came out, it still broke below 76,000, showing that eyes are glued to the voting results.
2. Everyone is now hoping the Republicans can hold the Senate. If they do, it’s a small blessing in disguise. You can open a beer to celebrate, and Bitcoin might rebound a bit.
3. Otherwise, you can’t just wait for the Democrats to say: "We were wrong before, we should trust crypto, we will work on building crypto security, compliance, and prevent some families from manipulating it for profiteering, right?"
Back to Bitcoin’s trend:
Currently, Bitcoin is priced at 76,170. If you want to trade, aggressively go long. The sentiment will warm up during the day, and the price will recover and rebound. Just go long until 76,800 then stop, with a stop loss at 75,980.
Longs can only be short-term, not long-term. The trend these days has shown slow rises and sharp drops, with bears dominating.$ZEC
I'm not chasing ZEC this round. That spike to 1245 at 5 AM, now down to 1173, a drop of nearly six percent from the high, but still up over three percent in 24 hours. It looks strong, but the early session momentum has already eased.
In the past hour, I was watching the volume; 7.58 million is today's largest block, with the price closing at 1173, lower than the open. Such a large volume without a price increase indicates someone is selling into the hype.
Interestingly, the fee rate is still hanging at +0.01%, with open interest at 143 million USD unchanged. The bulls haven't given up, and the bears haven't dared to push up; both sides are waiting for the other to make the first move.
I won't touch this position. If I'm going to wait, I'll wait for the day the fee rate turns negative—when the bulls start to flee but the price can still hold—that's when I recognize the position. Entering now means taking the goods from those distributing.
#美国中期选举进入计票阶段,国会控制权将如何变化? #Circle财报在即,稳定币增长能否兑现收益?
The continuous growth of stablecoin volume is the foundation of Circle, but under the current interest rate environment and channel structure, this growth is difficult to quickly and proportionally convert into substantial profits. Whether Circle can truly break the "stablecoin paradox" depends on whether its non-interest income (such as payment network fees) can accelerate its rise and successfully reduce reliance on traditional distribution channels.According to relevant observation data from CME, the market currently prices the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision leaning towards a rate hike. Data shows the probability of maintaining the rate unchanged in December is 21.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point hike reaches 78.9%. Looking further ahead to January next year, the scenario distribution further diverges: the probability of maintaining the rate unchanged is only 15.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point hike is 63.0%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point hike is 21.8%. Interest rate expectations often influence the funding sentiment in the crypto market, but it is important to note that CME's probability data only represents the current market trading expectations and is not a guaranteed policy outcome. Subsequent changes in key data such as inflation and employment can quickly alter these probability expectations. When analyzing the market, one should not rely solely on a single rate hike probability for directional judgment but must continuously track Federal Reserve officials' statements and changes in core economic indicators.BTC / ETH Daily Review
$BTC|77237
Yesterday, the bottom consolidation above 76000 was fully confirmed. Overnight, US stocks, semiconductors, and AMD earnings reports boosted risk sentiment, pushing BTC up near 79,000.
24-hour total liquidations across the network were only 174 million, with more than half from long position closures, indicating a retreat of bears rather than panic selling. The early morning quick retracement of gains suggests the rebound is driven by spillover funds from the stock market, not institutional entry.
Key divergence:
In previous midterm elections, BTC was always below the 200-day moving average; this year, it is standing 5%+ above the moving average against the trend.
However, ETFs continue to see large outflows, with institutional buying completely absent.
Short-term strategy:
Continue to consolidate and bottom above 76000.
Hold above 78200 → target 80000.
Break below 76000 → target 75000.
Tonight's ADP, ISM, and Friday's Nonfarm Payroll data form an intensive window; avoid leverage throughout.
Intraday range: 76800–77900|Stop loss: 76400
$ETH|2269
Support at 2250 has held for 5 consecutive days, showing slight resistance to decline but weak follow-through compared to BTC.
Core pressure comes from capital flow:
ETH spot ETFs have had net outflows for 6 consecutive days, totaling 1.18 billion in October. Institutions continue redeeming, fully suppressing market elasticity.
Key levels:
Hold above 2317 → recovery begins, target 2380.
Break below 2174 → straight to 2100.
As long as ETFs do not stop bleeding, ETH will have no independent rally and will follow the overall market volatility.
Intraday range: 2240–2300|Stop loss: 2215 The election night isn't over yet, but futures have already turned sour.
The market was doing well during the day, with the Nasdaq even up 0.83%. Once the polls opened, the momentum for a Democratic sweep became increasingly clear, with Nasdaq futures plunging about 2% and S&P futures down about 1.2%.
In prediction markets, the probability of a Democratic sweep of both chambers has been pushed to around 99%, though it's not officially announced yet.
BTC didn't escape either, sliding to around $76,000. I think until the vote count settles, risk assets will cool off first.🗳️
$BTC BTC is at 76,500, the US is still counting votes after the election, and the market has been stuck in a small box between 76,300 and 78,700 these past two days, unable to go up or down.
Everyone is asking how things will move after the election. I’ve summarized that the market is actually waiting for four things.
First, the boot drops on $BTC. No matter who wins, once the election is over, the biggest uncertainty is gone. Since 1950, in every midterm election year, the S&P has never fallen; it has averaged a gain of over 15%. What money fears is not bad news, but uncertainty.
Second, how Congress is divided. This is more critical than who wins. If each side controls one chamber, no major policies can be pushed through, which sounds frustrating, but the market actually feels reassured because the rules won’t change drastically. If one side takes full control, policies will move quickly, both good and bad, causing greater volatility.
Third, matters within the crypto space itself. Regulatory bills must pass through Congress, so once the congressional makeup is set, there’s clarity on when these bills might be enacted and in which direction they will go. This is what the crypto community should really focus on.
Fourth, and what I think is the most critical: the interest rate hike in December. The market currently prices in an 85% chance of a hike. The election is just a gust of wind, but interest rates are the heavy stone pressing down continuously. No matter how positive the election outcome, if the rate hike comes, money will still retract.
So don’t expect an immediate takeoff after the election. In the short term, it will likely fluctuate back and forth as this gust of wind is digested. Looking ahead two to three months, the post-election period is more like a chance to slowly accumulate chips, not a time to chase gains.
$BTC $ETH #AMD数据中心收入近翻倍,营收及指引均超预期 Since 2010, Bitcoin's average median return within 12 months after each U.S. midterm election has been 63%. Specifically, BTC rose 36.8% within 12 months after the 2014 midterm election, 45.8% after 2018, and 80.8% after 2022. As the 2026 midterm election approaches, investors are watching to see if this pattern will repeat. However, CryptoQuant warns that this pattern may reflect Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle rather than election outcomes. Midterm elections occur every four years, which coincides closely in timing with Bitcoin's halving cycle. For example, the 2022 midterm election was only a few months after the May 2020 halving, and the post-election period happened to be in a historically bullish cycle phase. Logic Behind the Correlation The apparent relationship between midterm elections and Bitcoin returns is a classic spurious correlation. Both events follow a four-year cycle, but the driving factors are completely different. Bitcoin halving reduces new supply and has historically triggered bull markets 12-18 months later. Midterm elections often lead to political gridlock, which some believe benefits risk assets, but there is little empirical evidence specifically for cryptocurrencies. More importantly, CryptoQuant points out that 2026 is showing a different trend. The current cycle is unusual, with Bitcoin reaching all-time highs before the halving and relatively mild gains afterward. Macro factors such as Federal Reserve policy, ETF capital flows, and regulatory developments are playing a larger role than before. Implications for Investors For traders, midterm #美伊谈判未突破,油价为何单日跌逾7%?
The boss has something to say
The US-Iran talks made no breakthrough, yet oil prices plunged more than 7% in a single day. Brent and WTI closed down 7.63% and 7.36% respectively, with Brent further dropping to $103.60 on the 3rd.
Why such a sharp drop? Because the market is trading on the "expectation of navigation resumption." Iran's Supreme Leader authorized negotiations and even proposed a "two-day plan," combined with Trump's statement that there is no immediate plan to resume large-scale military strikes, funds directly priced this as positive news.
I think this is a typical case of "buying the expectation." The comment from Pharaoh in the comment section is spot on: the acceleration is real, but the "two days" is a condition Iran set for the US, not a guarantee. Iran clearly demands the US first lift the blockade, sanctions, and release assets. As long as these two hard conditions are not met, the Strait could cause trouble at any time.
The short-term plunge in oil prices can temporarily ease inflation expectations but also squeezes out the geopolitical risk premium. For the Federal Reserve, this is a breather.
BTC is still fluctuating between 77,000 and 80,000. Let's see if it can hold above 80,000; if not, expect a deeper pullback. Resistance is between 84,000 and 85,000. Don't chase the rise or kill the dip; set your stop-loss orders properly.
The above analysis is time-sensitive; orders must have stop-losses set. Good luck. $BTC $ETH $ZEC Democratic ballots lead, U.S. stocks under pressure, how much longer can the crypto market hold?
The main pressure in today's market comes from the U.S. midterm elections. Currently, the Democratic Party is making progress in several key districts, raising expectations of taking the House of Representatives, while the Senate results remain uncertain. The market is worried about stricter regulations on AI and tech giants afterward. U.S. stock futures responded with declines; Nasdaq futures fell about 1.8% at one point, and S&P 500 futures dropped about 0.8%.
This risk sentiment is also transmitting to the crypto market. BTC is currently fluctuating around $76,000, ETH has returned to around $2,240, with a weak 4-hour trend and limited rebound strength. Regarding ETFs, the BTC spot ETF previously saw a single-day net outflow of about $399 million, and the ETH ETF has had net outflows for seven consecutive trading days, totaling about $582 million. Institutional funds have not yet shown obvious inflows.
The futures market also warrants caution: BTC and ETH long accounts still account for nearly 70%, and funding rates remain positive, indicating that bullish sentiment in the market has not completely faded. If prices continue to decline, crowded long positions may still trigger a chain of stop-losses.
On the macro side, market expectations for a rapid Fed rate cut remain limited, and the December rate decision is still uncertain. Election results, rate expectations, and capital flows are jointly influencing the performance of risk assets.
Yan Yan believes it’s best not to rush to bottom-fish in the short term. Focus on BTC around $75,700 and ETH near $2,225;
Do you think the Democrats continuing to lead will cause further declines in U.S. stocks and crypto, or will there be a rebound after the negative news settles?$HYPE Binance was hacked, why are they dumping HYPE?
Since October 30, the heavy selling pressure on $HYPE:
10/30–31: a16z-related addresses transferred 118,000 tokens at an average price of 90.72 to market makers like Wintermute, Galaxy, Cumberland.
During these 3 days: FalconX cumulatively transferred about 350,000 tokens to Coinbase, approximately $30.57 million.
11/4: suspected a16z addresses deposited about 32,900 tokens to Gate, OKX, Bybit.
I previously opened a hedged short position at an average price of 82.4, which is starting to work; I reduced my position when it was above 90, so all operations were pre-announced and shared live, related judgments and operation records can be found in the citations.
This so-called big trader speculation is actually institutions continuously distributing, and I have long understood this. You can check my latest post on HYPE’s range for specific judgments; just scroll down the citations to find it.
HYPE’s technicals have started to look difficult; last week’s positive news was completely wiped out technically. I maintain my previous judgment to continue shorting.
These funds dumping the market means the capital behind them is leaving crypto. This is why Binance was hacked and HYPE was dumped; it’s part of the aftershocks. Transferring to market makers is just consignment selling.
This operation is still an excellent prediction 🫶Crude Oil on November 4:
Recently, international oil prices have sharply corrected. The core driver is the release of geopolitical risk premium due to US-Iran negotiation news. After a rapid sharp drop in the short term, the decline has narrowed; fundamentals such as low inventory and shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz have formed support below. Oil prices have entered a high-level oscillation and game phase, with increasing divergence between bulls and bears.
Next, go long directly near 94, with a stop at 92.8, target 98! Only down 0.19% in 24H, compared to "breaking below 77000," I care more about this magnitude. OKX market shows BTC currently at 76999.9 USDT.
Watching the key level VS watching the decline, I lean towards the latter: integer level breaks easily trigger emotions, but this small decline alone is not enough to judge a weakening trend. I think the emotional impact of this news is greater than the trend signal. Which side are you on: more concerned about losing 77000, or how much it actually fell in 24H? The Democratic Party is leading in the polls, and the market is starting to get nervous!
Today, the U.S. midterm elections have become the biggest variable for the market. Currently, the Democrats have made progress in several key districts, raising expectations that control of the House of Representatives may change hands, while the Senate results remain uncertain.
After the news broke, U.S. stock futures have already declined, with Nasdaq futures dropping about 1.8% at one point, and S&P 500 futures down about 0.8%. If the Democrats ultimately secure more seats, the market may worry that tech giants and the AI industry will face stricter regulations, causing short-term pressure on U.S. tech stocks and the broader market.
The crypto space should also take note: as risk appetite in U.S. stocks declines, this may further transmit to BTC and altcoins.
Tonight, attention should also be paid to the U.S. ADP employment data and ISM services PMI, which may continue to influence market expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
I believe that before the election results are finalized, market volatility may increase, so it’s best not to blindly chase gains for now.
What do you think? With the Democrats leading, how do you expect the market to move next?
#美国中期选举进入计票阶段,国会控制权将如何变化? Optimism ($OP)
Ethereum needs scaling solutions that developers can actually build on! ⚡
Optimism ($OP) is an Ethereum Layer 2 ecosystem using optimistic rollup technology. Its OP Stack also provides infrastructure for developers building Ethereum-compatible networks.
The bigger vision is an interconnected ecosystem of blockchain networks with shared technology. Will Layer 2 infrastructure become the foundation of mainstream Ethereum adoption?SOL closed 6,856 positions with a 100% win rate, netting a profit of 1.39 million dollars. If you rush to blindly copy this data with one click, you will most likely become the next victim. After casually reviewing all his transactions on HyperTrend, it was found that it is impossible to replicate: These 6,856 profitable closed positions are actually 6,808 trades all concentrated on the same day—June 8. So this is not a high-frequency strategy spread over several months, but a record of closing a single trade. He opened a short position on May 12 when SOL was above $94. Over the next 27 days, the market fluctuated back and forth, and he neither reduced nor closed the position. Instead, by continuously adding over 4,500 market sell orders, he pushed the short position size to 33,000 SOL, with a holding value close to 3 million dollars. For a whole month, he held this huge short position. Until June 8, when SOL completely broke down, falling below $64. The pre-set script executed 6,808 buy orders in one go that day to cover the position, locking in a profit of 1.36 million dollars at once. The so-called "over 6,800 trades with 100% win rate" is simply this: from start to finish, there was actually only this one short position, and he just split the 33,000 SOL into 6,800 small orders to close it. Dare to hold a 3 million dollar short position underwater for a whole month Since 1982, the U.S. midterm elections have been held 11 times.
In the year following each election, the U.S. stock market rose all 11 times, with an average increase of 13%.
Bitcoin performed even better, with an average increase of over 50%.
This time, the first night of voting saw a drop.
S&P futures turned from up to down, falling 0.6%.
The Nasdaq 100 dropped 0.5%, and Dow futures fell 252 points.
Bitcoin followed with a slight decline.
On betting sites,
Democrats have a 90% chance to win the Senate and 97% to win the House.
What is the market afraid of?
Data centers.
The Democrats want to impose limits on data centers.
AI relies entirely on data centers to run.
If limited, AI will be slower and more expensive.
AI is the engine driving this market cycle.
If the engine shakes, the coins shake along.
In the past 11 times, the market rose, but AI wasn’t this big yet.
Now, coins don’t follow the halving or ETFs.
They follow AI.
If AI can’t get money, Bitcoin can’t get money.
$BTCThis whale first acquired 3,052 ZEC, investing nearly 3.8 million USD in spot; after establishing the spot base position, they continued to add more, opening a 2x leveraged long position corresponding to 8,000 coins, bringing the total nominal position value to 10.16 million USD.
There are several highlights in this setup:
First, the strategy combines spot with contracts, using spot as the foundation and leveraging to amplify returns, indicating strong confidence in the subsequent market trend.
Second, only 2x leverage is used, which is considered conservative in the crypto space; it doesn't look like a pure gamble but more like positioning for a trend. Some speculate that they might have gotten early access to positive news that hasn't been made public yet.
ZEC is a veteran privacy coin with usually low popularity and quiet price movements, so suddenly seeing accumulation at this scale is indeed unusual. $ZEC #Circle财报在即,稳定币增长能否兑现收益? Jiang Zhuoer’s latest post reviews the logic behind a "no action" decision 📊
He stated:
Just now, it did not meet the criteria for a valid break below $76,000, so no hedge short position was opened.
What counts as a "valid break"?
He explained:
A valid break should be forceful, with a large bearish candle dropping immediately away from the $76,000 level.
But the recent situation was:
After breaking below $76,000, it hesitated and fluctuated back and forth, and then indeed bounced back up.
His conclusion:
"It seems there are many buyers stepping in," first watching for a rebound to $78,000 to $79,000.
The interesting part of this review is that he shared not a simple price prediction, but a methodology on "how to judge whether a breakout/breakdown is valid." Whether the price quickly moves away from a key level better reflects the true strength of bulls and bears than just whether it breaks or not. The hesitation around the $76,000 level also somewhat confirms that there is indeed buying support below.
$BTC $UNI UNI's chart looks top-heavy and a bit ridiculous.
Retail investors are still wildly betting on the long side, with the long-short ratio pulled up to 2.48, and leveraged longs piled higher than a mountain.
As a result, the underlying liquidity pool has shrunk by nearly 30% in a week, with basically no money left in the pool.
Without support, this kind of bloated structure, if slightly dumped, will cause slippage that breaks all retail investors' stop-loss lines, triggering a chain liquidation for sure.
#UNI
$UNI
👇The U.S. midterm elections will begin voting on November 3rd Eastern Time, corresponding to 8 AM Beijing Time on November 4th, with results being released gradually. This election does not select the president; the focus is on congressional seats: all 435 seats in the House of Representatives are up for re-election, and 35 seats in the Senate will be contested.
Currently, both chambers of Congress are controlled by the Republican Party, but according to Kalshi's prediction market, the situation is leaning toward the Democratic Party: the expected probability of the Democrats taking the House is 94%, and the probability of taking the Senate is 71%.
The party controlling Congress will directly determine the pace of advancing crypto-related legislation, and the strictness of regulation will change accordingly.
There is also a widely circulated observation in the market: the bottoms of Bitcoin's previous three bear markets all appeared some time after the midterm elections, with intervals of 71 days, 39 days, and 13 days from the voting day respectively. Many are curious whether history will repeat itself. $BTC $ETH #美国中期选举进入计票阶段,国会控制权将如何变化? It's 11:30 AM, brothers, have you all ordered your takeout and are ready to switch over to watch a light drama? Hold on a moment. Seeing those green bars at 5 minutes and 15 minutes, your heart starts itching again, thinking the price has bottomed out and it's time to buy. But looking at the big cycle capital flow, you definitely want to avoid bottom fishing.
First, look at $BTC. Short-term funds are indeed flowing in, but if you extend the cycle to 30 days, the contract side has a net outflow of 11.381 billion. What does this mean? The main players are distributing at highs and are frantically retreating. Although the spot side has a slight inflow of over 70 million in 24 hours, compared to the selling pressure at the hundred-billion level, it’s barely a splash. Don’t be fooled by short-term illusions.
Next, look at $ETH. The pattern is exactly the same. The 30-day contract net outflow is 10.101 billion, and the spot side has also lost 2.8 billion. These two troubled brothers, the main players have long stopped pretending; funds are flowing out daily. If you rush in now to bottom fish, you’re just providing liquidity for the big players.
The only somewhat promising one is $SOL. Although the contract long cycle is also seeing outflows, the spot side has surprisingly had a net inflow of 29.05 million over 30 days, with 15-day and 1-week periods also positive. This indicates that some big players are quietly accumulating at the bottom. But the overall environment is unfavorable; it can’t carry the market alone and can’t stir up big waves for now.
Summary: Short-term rises are bait; long-term large outflows are the truth. The main players are all retreating, so retail investors shouldn’t be cannon fodder.
Facing this big player mass exodus, are you planning to stay out and keep safe, or stubbornly try to bottom fish?
#美国10月非农前瞻:就业增长或牵动12月加息预期 Seeing a publicly listed company buying coins, the common reaction is "institutional recognition, ecosystem benefits." According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Tron Inc. (Nasdaq ticker: TRON) purchased 154,403 TRON at an average price of $0.3238, totaling about $49,800.
On the other hand, I am more cautious about directly taking a company's coin purchase as evidence of ecosystem strengthening. One reason is that an increase in company holdings only shows that the purchase happened; it does not prove an increase in ordinary users' demand. Another reason is that the identity of a listed company tends to add weight to the news, but stocks and tokens are not the same type of asset, and the company's judgment cannot replace that of the token holders themselves. I think this news is more directly meaningful for "enterprise allocation" than as proof of "ecosystem growth."
Would you consider this purchase as evidence of ecosystem growth? Opposing views are welcome to debate whether there is still a missing link between the two.As of this morning (2026-11-04), the price of $XRP is approximately in the range of $1.25–$1.28, showing a slight short-term recovery but overall still in a weak zone following the sharp drop in October.
Resistance above: $1.28–$1.29; if volume increases and it holds above, then look towards $1.31 and $1.39.
Support below: $1.245–$1.25; if it breaks below, it may retest $1.20, with a further target of $1.09.
Key signals: Whether XRP can hold $1.25, whether ETF fund flows improve, and whether it can reclaim above $1.28–$1.30.
#美国中期选举进入计票阶段,国会控制权将如何变化? Just saw this, and what popped into my head was: The US election results aren't out yet, so why is the South Korean stock market already nervous? I've only been in the crypto space for a year, so I tend to interpret this kind of news directly as "risk assets are under pressure," but after thinking about it, it seems like a few steps of evidence are missing 🤔
According to reports, while investors await the US midterm election results, the South Korean stock market opened higher but then turned lower, with AI-related stocks retreating. The KOSPI index fell by 2.7%, Samsung Electronics dropped 3%, and SK Hynix declined by 4.5%. These numbers indicate a downward trend, but they alone can't explain why funds are exiting.
My judgment is that this news is important but shouldn't be directly taken as a bearish signal for the crypto space. What I understand is that the uncertainty from awaiting results might cause funds to temporarily reduce risk exposure, which doesn't mean there's a problem with corporate operations; and the decline in heavyweight stocks affects index performance but doesn't mean the entire market is retreating in sync. If we want to speculate that the pressure is spreading to crypto, we need to see if there's a common change in liquidity.
What I haven't figured out yet is, the news mentions "election worries"—how can we distinguish whether this is the main cause or just an explanation attached to the decline? I'd like to ask experienced seniors: to verify if this is a cross-market risk aversion, would you prioritize looking at foreign capital flows in Korean stocks or the Korean won exchange rate, and why?#Circle财报在即,稳定币增长能否兑现收益? Tonight, Circle's Q3 earnings report is released, and currently, CRCL/xCRCL are both down over 4% in pre-market as a risk-off move. Right now, 56% of market funds are betting on earnings beating expectations. The key focus is whether USDC circulation can withstand the Federal Reserve's rate cut pressure and break 80 billion, and whether net profit can continue to run at an above-expected growth rate. This will directly determine the future market height of the stablecoin sector. #Báo cáo tài chính của Circle sắp ra mắt, liệu sự tăng trưởng của stablecoin có thể hiện thực hóa lợi nhuận không?
Circle (CRCL) Q3 2026 Earnings Preview:
Consensus Estimates: Wall Street expects Q3 revenue of ~$788.5M (~6.6% YoY growth) and a GAAP EPS consensus threshold of $0.37.
Key Drivers: Growth is supported by rising USDC circulation (~$74.6B) and payment activity, though moderated by pressure from lower reserve yields and interest rate sensitivity. Mid-term intelligence analyst takes everyone through the market's "potential challenges."
In this wave of market action, BTC, ETH, and SOL are all under pressure. The intelligence is as follows:
Regarding $BTC, spot ETFs have seen a net outflow of over 1 billion in two days, and BlackRock's IBIT had a single-day outflow of 405 million. The coin price fell below 77,000, a 39% retracement from the high. Coupled with the Binance hacker incident and midterm election uncertainties, Hayes warned of further downward pressure, cautioning about long liquidations at the 76,800 level.
For $ETH, ETFs recorded a monthly outflow record of 1.61 billion in October, and BlackRock's ETHA sold 138 million in a single day. Funds have retreated for five consecutive weeks. On the ecosystem side, Devcon speeches were harshly criticized by Paradigm's CTO, questioning developer incentives, adding insult to injury.
$SOL is also unsettled, suspected hacker cross-chain transfers have broken the bullish technical structure, warning to test the 80-dollar support. DEX trading volume has halved since late summer, with a capital outflow of 71 million.
Summary: Macro factors and hacker incidents resonate together; keep a close eye on support levels!
#美国中期选举进入计票阶段,国会控制权将如何变化? Conclusion first: $KMNO rose +9.5% in the past 24 hours (0.0297→0.0325), bucking the trend among 166 declining coins. But this was triggered by news.
On November 2, Kamino Foundation sent a letter to token holders: at least $20 million will be invested in tokenized assets over 24 months; KMNO is the only token in the ecosystem; future unlocks are tied to milestones with FDV from $1 billion to $10 billion — valuation must reach the threshold for the team to unlock. On October 26, Aave Labs, Kamino, and Veda jointly submitted a confidential legal framework to the SEC, arguing that decentralized lending does not constitute a securities arrangement; by the end of October, the lending protocol market size exceeded $50 billion.
You should watch three numbers:
① Unlocking depends on valuation, not time; current FDV is only $326 million, far from the $1 billion unlock threshold.
② Protocol TVL is $1.284 billion, but tokenized stock supply is only about $50 million — in a $20 million bet sector, the market cap is just $50 million.
③ Perpetual 24-hour trading volume is $6.93 million, open interest is only 760,000, and spot trading volume is just $970,000 per day. Yesterday’s peak at 0.03494 on the 1H chart can be broken through.
Do you dare to catch this 9.5%? $KMNO $BTC panic sentiment fully ignited, UVXY violently surging, the golden window for blind long positions has already opened!
Keep a close eye on your charts, the horn of this bull counterattack is extremely loud:
First, the technicals show a perfect bull domination. On the 15-minute chart, a huge bullish candle shoots up, with the moving average system (MA5, MA10, MA20) showing a highly divergent bullish alignment. The current price is strongly consolidating near 20.10 at a high level; this is not stagnation but a buildup to break through the previous high of 20.42!
Second, the order book hides the main force's support code. Notice your order book, there is a massive buy order of 884.20 at 20.06 providing a strong floor, like an iron wall; meanwhile, the current funding rate is -0.162%, meaning going long not only lets you capture the 3x leverage gains but also earn funding fees from shorts, making holding costs excellent!
Finally, the core logic is extremely hardcore. UVXY, as a 1.5x leveraged ETF on the fear index, is the ultimate tool for global capital risk aversion. With the US stock market volatile at highs, risk-averse capital is rushing in to push up the fear index (VIX), and the big trend is completely favoring the bulls.
Your limit long order at 20.11 is right on the launchpad of the main upward wave. Stay firmly bullish, follow the trend, and any short counterattack is a golden pit giving you free money! $ETH $ZEC $BTC $ETH For the mainstream market, this morning's pullback is very likely an emergency risk aversion by institutions in advance, and the market has started panic selling. But can this kind of market really be shorted? Caibao thinks there will be a short-term pullback but it won't affect the subsequent rally. Historically, midterm elections mostly result in presidential failures because the promises made after taking office are basically unfulfilled, and the reputation is relatively poor. So far, there have only been 3 successful midterm elections in history.
The market has been digesting this negative news. Before the election results are announced, the market will basically fluctuate back and forth for consolidation. After the results are finalized and the negative news is realized, the market usually falls first and then rises. Institutions will only enter to bottom-fish after the event is settled.
Ethereum spot ETF has had net outflows for 7 consecutive days, with the largest redemptions from BlackRock institutions. Coupled with recent hacker incidents, the bearish leverage has basically been liquidated in this round. If institutions start positive inflows later, the market may soon see a reversal.
Therefore, Caibao's reference suggestion is that the US stock token SPCX can be shorted in waves.
Mainstream BTC and ETH are bearish in the short term but not to be shorted, as they are already near the tail end of the market. A steady right-side bottom-fishing approach will be more prudent.More intriguing than losing money is the hacker's purchasing method. The issuer freezes assets forcing him to rush, and on-chain payments almost ignore the price—this forced buy order explains the situation better than the candlestick chart.
$ETH has become the passive receiver. The hacker's on-chain average purchase price of Ethereum is over 2,600, more than 300 dollars higher than derivatives, effectively paying a premium to the entire network. So ETH holding above 2,300 these days is not due to bullish strength but because someone is buying regardless of cost. My principle: do not add positions before 2,300 is firmly held; after it stabilizes, then consider previous highs.
$UNI is the most direct outlet for slippage; the shallow market depth is torn open by large orders creating a several hundred dollar gap. Short-term funds will reprice the DEX depth. I won't act on volume contraction above 7; will reconsider if it breaks below previous lows.
In the $HYPE event, derivative prices have become the anchor, with depth enduring the test. Currently consolidating around 84, still below the cost line over thirty days. I keep a base position and will add more if it dips below 80.
Conclusion: wait for forced buy orders to appear before entering; costs are bound to be higher than anticipated. The story begins with a long position. Core Trader 02 (0x9c062c…00560) opened a long on $PLTR with 10x leverage, holding 724.076 units, with a notional value of about $121,900. The monitoring captured this moment, but the ending remains unknown.
When I see numbers like this, I’m initially drawn to the amount. But after reading this, I want to say: this is a clearly directional trade, but it can’t yet be called a "heavy bet." The size of the amount and how important this trade is to him are two different things.
The reason lies off-camera. The notional value is the leveraged exposure; roughly calculated at 10x, the initial margin corresponds to about $12,200, excluding fees and margin mode differences; we don’t know the total account balance, so we can’t judge what percentage this represents; nor can we see other positions—if there are offsetting positions, then the role of this long in the overall strategy would change—this is just my speculation, not a known fact.
So the takeaway from this story is: don’t write an inner narrative for an address. The long position has been opened, but how strong the confidence is and how long it will be held remain unanswered. I will wait for his next move rather than hastily narrate this scene as a "whale bullish" story. What do you think—will this story end in profit-taking or a stop loss? What subsequent actions would make you more convinced of one outcome over the other?$ETH market has already started a downtrend ahead of schedule. Is the Republican Party going to lose in today's midterm election vote? What impact will this have on the subsequent market? What is the bottom position for BTC?
Currently, it is almost certain that the Democratic Party will sweep both chambers. The most anxious now should be Elon Musk, because he previously spent a large amount of money supporting the Republican Party to secure the Senate. If they lose, investigations into $SPCX and $TSLA will follow, and subsequent policy resistance may increase. This is definitely a major short-term negative. Additionally, the top ten on-chain addresses are mostly shorting at high levels, so selling pressure will be relatively strong. #美国中期选举在即,哪些结果值得关注? $BTC BTC 76274! 75K arrived as expected, did you catch it? I have already taken a light position!
Market confirmation: BTC perpetual contract currently at 76274.0 (24h down 1.50%), 24h volume exploded to 6.143 billion! The 1-hour chart closed with a large bearish candle, bottoming at 75690.1, precisely within yesterday's warning range of "75K-73.3K".
Indicators oversold, but the heavy sell-off volume prevents a false bull trap:
MACD: sharp volume increase below zero line, final capitulation of bears;
KDJ: extreme oversold, short-term rebound possible, but no divergence means no bottom confirmed;
MFI: 26.8 (capital flow freezing point), compared to the morning's election game, funds are truly fleeing, not just a simple shakeout.
Key levels (latest 1-hour):
Support: 76022 (immediate) → 75690 (previous low critical point) → 75000 (psychological/ultimate bottom at 73.3K);
Resistance: 77181 (resistance level) → 77413 (Supertrend bull/bear boundary) → 78831 (previous high).
"75K order entry" logic (dominated by election variables):
Yesterday I said "76.2K decides life or death, break to see 75K," now fulfilled as expected! Before the election results land, the sell-off is a golden pit. I have taken an extremely light long position (1%-2%) above 75690, with strict stop loss at 75000/75690 break. Only a move back above 77181 confirms a rebound, passing 77413 turns safe; if the election deadlock or negative news occurs, breaking 75690 directly targets 73300, no holding the position.
Control your trades at the mid-level!CNN has already given a prediction for the U.S. midterm elections in the House of Representatives: 171 seats have been decided, with Democrats holding 110 seats and Republicans 61 seats. The majority party is about to change.
The speed at which this news spreads in the crypto community is even faster than the results themselves. Over the past two years, people have gotten used to directly translating "Washington changing hands" into "bullish" or "bearish" signals and immediately looking for corresponding price movements.
But when the House changes its majority party, the first thing to change isn't the coin price, but the process. The House controls three things: appropriations, committee chairmanships, and bill scheduling. The provisions that the crypto industry truly cares about—whether they can be scheduled on the agenda, who will preside over the discussions, and the voting time window—all start to diverge from this stage. This is a slow variable, not breaking news.
So for assets like $BTC, the short-term movement is more likely to be driven by sentiment first and text later. The sentiment phase is the easiest to profit from and also the riskiest because it doesn't rely on any facts; the text phase determines the mid-term direction, and the text often takes weeks or even months to appear.
My judgment is: this news is worth noting but not worth adjusting your position on the same day. The real signal appears on the day the bill draft is made public, focusing on the breadth of the provisions, not the election score.
Here's a question worth pondering: Over the past two years, how much of your crypto gains or losses have truly been related to the same-day market reaction to a piece of Washington news? For most people, the answer is actually very little. What determines the outcome is still your reaction speed and position size.#AMDQ3DataCenterUp97% i see AMD as a strong long-term AI infrastructure investment candidate. However, I would evaluate its valuation and stock price before entering.
My key takeaway: AMD is no longer just betting on the AI boom; it is increasingly generating substantial revenue from it.
I would keep AMD on my long-term watchlist alongside NVDA, MSFT and GOOGL.$FIL FIL in this round, I am holding a base position to play the recovery rally of the storage narrative, without being empty and waiting for signals.
There has always been long-term miner selling pressure, which is a burden it can't shake off, but recently the market has changed, and the downward momentum is slowly weakening, no longer a mindless dump rhythm. I am gradually building my position according to plan, setting up defensive lines, not doing frequent short-term trades, betting on capital inflow into the storage sector to bring a wave of recovery.
Keep an eye on the first resistance level above; consider adding positions to push profits only after a volume-supported breakout; if it breaks the defense line, decisively reduce positions to control losses, not stubbornly holding and getting deeply trapped. The sector logic still holds, but the start requires cooperation from the overall market and sector funds, so hold positions patiently and wait for capital to choose the direction.The U.S. midterm elections have officially entered a critical phase, and the election results will become a key short-term market variable. Different congressional configurations have distinctly different impacts on the pricing logic of gold.
The current market expectation leans toward the Democrats taking the House of Representatives, while the Senate's control remains uncertain. After the election results are finalized, there are roughly two core scenarios to consider.
First, a divided Congress. Each party controls one chamber, making legislative and budget progress prone to gridlock, increasing the difficulty of passing major policies and constraining the administrative agenda. In this environment, market uncertainty fluctuates, and the market is likely to remain volatile with no clear trend. Gold is unlikely to experience a strong one-sided rally and will more likely fluctuate with news.
Second, if the Democrats control both chambers. Subsequent scrutiny and investigations targeting the executive branch will increase, major legislation will face ongoing contention, budget disagreements and potential government shutdown risks will heighten market risk aversion, and capital will reprice uncertainty, potentially providing strong support for gold.
Looking back, when the ruling party controls both chambers, policy implementation is more efficient; once congressional checks and balances strengthen, aggressive policies and geopolitically related actions are easily restrained, which can also affect oil price dynamics. Of course, the above is only a market projection based on the political landscape. Ultimately, everything awaits the election results to be finalized before re-evaluating market pricing #美国中期选举进入计票阶段,国会控制权将如何变化? $XAU Midterm elections show preliminary Democratic advantage, U.S. Treasury yields fall, dollar weakens
On November 4, preliminary results of the U.S. midterm elections indicate a Democratic advantage. Market sentiment betting on the Democrats taking control of both chambers of Congress quickly intensified, leading to price fluctuations across various asset classes.
The bond market reacted most directly. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell from an earlier 4.97% to around 4.89%, reaching its lowest level since early September.
Risk assets and the dollar simultaneously came under pressure. U.S. stock index futures faced sell-offs, with S&P 500 futures down 1.36% and Nasdaq 100 futures declining further by 2.32%; the dollar index also weakened, dropping to its lowest level since late September.
Fortunately, amid the dollar's weakness, non-U.S. currencies with safe-haven attributes strengthened. The Swiss franc rose 0.8%, the euro gained 0.6% against the dollar, and the yen appreciated 0.5% versus the dollar.
Currently, market trading logic mainly revolves around expectations of a divided government. Investors judge that the difficulty of implementing large-scale fiscal expansion policies will increase, which may suppress long-term U.S. Treasury yields and reduce the dollar's appeal.
However, some market views hold that vote counting in the midterm elections is still ongoing, and the final control of Congress has not yet been fully determined.
If election outcomes change later, market pricing for fiscal policy, the dollar, and U.S. Treasury yields may still adjust.
#美国中期选举At 5 AM, $BTC reached 78,066. When I woke up and checked, it had already dropped back to 76,954.
Last night I said I would only consider moving if it held steady at 77,600, but it surged past that and then fell back down. Luckily, I didn’t chase it.
There’s one number I’m paying close attention to: the long-short ratio dropped from 2.76 last night to 2.38. Fewer people are bottom-fishing, which actually makes me feel it’s less risky.
But for now, I won’t make a move. The US election votes are still being counted, and neither chamber is decided yet. If the low of 76,853 this morning doesn’t hold, I’ll be watching around 75,856 first.
Data as of 08:38, personal review, not investment advice.
What do you think will happen first today: a return to 78,000 or a break below 76,000?
#加密行业协同守护资产安全 #BTC #MarketAnalysis