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#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Tonight, the big event is coming!
From the trend after the Fed announced interest rates in the past few months,
the market mainly focuses on future expectations.
In other words, although it is highly likely that there will be no rate hike tonight,
this is not good news.
Because the probability of a rate hike now is less than 5%,
no rate hike is already expected.
This expectation is exactly why Bitcoin $BTC stopped falling around 80,000 and Ethereum $ETH around 2,300.
After the expectation is realized tonight,
the market will look for the next expectation.
Considering the current overall market and U.S. stock environment,
it is not optimistic.
So my conclusion is,
a spike up to around 82,000,
then a complete drop down.
Bitcoin is expected to fall below 76,000, Ethereum below 2,150.
Brothers, what are your opinions, bullish or bearish? Solana (SOL) is trading around $101.08 after facing rejection from the $104–$105 resistance zone. Following a strong recovery from the June low near $81.72, SOL rallied above $100 before losing momentum and pulling back toward its short-term support levels. Price is now trading below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, while RSI has dropped to 35.98, indicating increasing bearish pressure. Buyers need to defend the $100–$101 region and reclaim nearby resistance to prevent a deeper correction. 📈 EMA StructurUpdate before Wash's speech on Tuesday's #BTC ETF data: Tuesday continued Monday's net capital inflow, and this happened despite the market's expectation this week of a hawkish pause plus a December rate hike. From this perspective, the #BTC trend might be more optimistic than expected!
On Tuesday, $BTC ETF single-day net inflow was 176 million, continuing to expand compared to Monday's 110.3 million net inflow. Moreover, the net inflow shifted from a single IBIT source on Monday to simultaneous net inflows from both IBIT and FBTC institutions, indicating that optimistic sentiment about net inflows is gradually spreading.
Tonight's Fed rate decision plus Wash's speech: under the risk market's basic expectation of a hawkish rate hike in October, ETF institutional users still having a good net inflow is a positive sign.
Crypto market data shows that although market capitalization hasn't changed much, there has been a significant net outflow of funds. The total market funds decreased by 1.2 billion, with USDT net outflow of 630 million and USDC net outflow of 150 million, which is not very optimistic.
From the BTC chart perspective, around 80,000 still counts as decent support. According to current ETF and crypto market data, turnover near 80,000 might be the local crypto users and ETF institutional users exchanging positions.
Institutional users continue to be optimistic and buy the dip versus local crypto users who are worried and choose to sell. Different trader groups represent different trading perspectives, so this turnover is quite normal.
Market confidence is insufficient but has not fallen into panic; the direction is unclear. #BTC现货ETF资金反复, can the market buying side stabilize? $ETH Direction: Long
· Entry: Buy on a pullback and stabilization near 2335 - 2340.
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks below 2320 (below previous low).
· Take Profit: First target 2360, second target 2380 (near previous high).
⚠️ Note: After a sharp short-term drop, the bottom rebounds. MACD shows a golden cross below the zero line with strong momentum. Wait for a pullback to confirm support. Do not chase the price directly. Use light positions with stop loss.The Federal Reserve decision tonight, the market generally bets on maintaining the interest rate unchanged in October, but that does not mean monetary policy has shifted to easing.
There are two key points to watch tonight:
First, see if the Fed will release a more cautious policy signal. Inflation pressure still exists, and if the Fed implies that rates need to stay high for longer, then the dollar and US Treasury yields may support a rebound, and BTC will be suppressed.
Second, see if the market's expectation for a rate cut in December will continue to cool down. The market originally expected a rate cut, but if after the meeting the policy stance is not as loose, there may be a gap in expectations. Even if there is no rate hike tonight, BTC may not necessarily rise.
Conversely, if the policy statement is not as tough as expected, the market's concerns about future rates may ease, and BTC may also see a rebound and rise.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC holds above $80,000 for the third consecutive day, short liquidations rise to 77%, $Q surges 30.6% leading the gains while $PEPE sees a volume of $656 million. 1. $BTC is currently around $80,740 (+0.3%), daily range $80,397–$81,823, maintaining above the $80,000 mark for the third trading day in a row; within 24 hours, $BTC liquidations total $56.99 million with shorts surpassing longs at $43.89 million (77%), reversing the previous three days' long-only liquidations, indicating that short positions near $80K are starting to be consumed in the opposite direction. 2. Institutional and traditional finance integration continues: Chainlink's CustodySync enables institutional custody assets to directly participate in DeFi lending; the NBA has officially designated Kalshi and Polymarket as preferred prediction market exchanges; Ripple treasury integrates RLUSD and AI cash management to achieve 24/7 yields; meanwhile, net short positions by U.S. Treasury dealers have risen to a two-year high, with financing pressure on October 30 being a key macro event to watch this week. 3. OKX / $OKB: OKX launches a 10x valuation bet product targeting Anthropic and continues to expand its Pre-IPO synthetic asset line, with $OKB being the strongest platform token today; $OKB today +$DOOD is down 6.21%, the steepest decline shown. That signals weakness in this snapshot, but a sharp drop can also lead to volatile rebounds. I’d wait for a failed recovery or a confirmed breakdown before considering another short.
DOOD/USDT — SHORT (Conditional)
Entry: 0.001962
SL: 0.001982
TP1: 0.001942
TP2: 0.001923
TP3: 0.001903
With a more volatile token like this, I’d use conservative position sizing and account for spread and slippage.$BTC Direction: Long
· Entry: Buy on a pullback and stabilization near 80,500 - 80,600.
· Stop Loss: Firmly stop loss if it breaks below 80,300 (below previous low).
· Take Profit: First target 81,200, second target 81,500.
⚠️ Note: After a sharp short-term drop, the bottom rebounds. MACD shows a golden cross below the zero line with expanding momentum bars. Wait for a pullback to confirm support; do not chase the high directly. Use light positions with stop loss.🔥The biggest fear for ETH in this wave is a hard pull-up without volume! It looks like a rebound, but the four-hour breakout was pushed back by selling pressure, making it easy for those chasing in to get stuck in a passive position.📉
📊 Tonight I will continue to observe the sentiment in the US stock market. ETH currently lacks upward momentum, with a risk of breaking below 2300, but there is also a possibility of funds defending below, so I temporarily do not recommend blindly shorting.
🎯 My bullish observation level is around 2227, with a stop loss reference at 2200. However, only when the price reaches this level and shows a confirmed stop in the decline will I consider executing; if it breaks below 2200 with volume, then the original idea must be abandoned.
🛡️ Trading plans are not predictions; if the market does not cooperate, adjust accordingly. Better to earn less than to stubbornly hold on just to catch the bottom.
Do you think ETH will first drop to 2227, or can it retake 2300? #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 @BTC星辰 The core judgment in this situation is that the rebound may not be over, but the position has risen too quickly to continue chasing. He wants to wait for a four-hour pullback before looking for another opportunity to go long; having made a very small short trade on SanDisk in the meantime does not mean the entire trend has turned bearish. The position, size, and stop-loss before the news release are more important than simply saying "firmly long" or "firmly short." First, looking at storage. He favors the relative strength of Micron and Hynix, placing SanDisk later in the early session. The reason is that strong stocks still have support after a rally, while weaker ones, even if they rise, are more prone to fluctuations. However, strong does not mean buying at any price. He has repeatedly said he dares not chase at high levels, fearing being trapped halfway down during a pullback. Regarding Micron's pullback, he has focused on the 917-918 area, hoping for a more comfortable re-entry on the four-hour chart. It would be ideal if it dips below 900, but he admits that may not happen. For longs originally held around or below 900, he tends to continue observing and holding; for those not yet in, he does not consider others' low-cost positions as a reason to chase the rally. Hynix is repeatedly described by him as a "strong" stock. Although it has encountered resistance near 1120 and a four-hour pullback is possible, he is unwilling to casually short against the trend after a strong rally. Continued strength after the open further reinforces his caution: anticipating a correction does not mean you must profit from the correction, especially not just because it has risen for several days, assuming it cannot rise further. The plan for SanDisk has changed and deserves clear distinction. Early on, he hoped for a pullback The Night Before the Fed: Whales Sold $660 Million, but ETFs Hit the Buy Button
In the 24 hours before the FOMC decision, Bitcoin whales sold about 8,162 BTC, worth $664 million, significantly shrinking their exposure. However, at the same time, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $176 million, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for 86%.
1. What changed? Large holders reduced positions to hedge before the decision, while ETF funds were buying against the trend. BTC is stuck battling around the $80,000 mark, with no decisive advantage on either side.
2. Why is this noteworthy? The market almost unanimously prices in no rate change; the real divergence lies in whether the statement's wording leans toward a "hawkish pause." Whales are selling off wording risk, while ETFs are buying the possibility that the bad news is fully priced in. The same event, two interpretations, with opposing sides already set.
3. Which observation is more supported? Currently, it looks more like pre-decision position rebalancing rather than directional betting. Whales reduced holdings on an up day, and ETF inflows concentrated the day before the decision; both sides are preparing for liquidity after the event.
Next, watch not the rate numbers but the implied stance on December policy in the statement, and whether ETFs will switch from buyers to sellers after the decision. If "pause" is read as "tightening intermission," can the $80,000 level held tonight still hold tomorrow? Feel free to discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH 🔥 Don't rush to push ETH tonight! I'm more focused on the sentiment and volume of the US stock market rather than how much the price temporarily spikes.
📉 Currently, ETH remains fragile; the four-hour breakout couldn't hold, and it was pushed back by selling pressure. The 2300 level needs close attention, but I'm not inclined to short directly for now because there might still be defense and a rebound below.
🎯 Personally, I’m focusing on 2227: if after a pullback there’s a stop in the decline and volume picks up to support, then consider going long; 2200 is the planned stop-loss reference. Without confirmation signals, there’s no need to rush into positions even if the target area is reached.
⚠️ The market can change at any time; stop-losses should be executed based on actual position size and risk tolerance, and one price level should not be treated as an inevitable bottom.
Brothers, tonight do you pay more attention to the US stock market trend or ETH’s own volume and price signals? #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 🔥Brothers wanting to bottom-fish ETH, hold on a bit! A rebound doesn't mean a reversal, and a rise without volume calls for extra caution.📉
Today the four-hour breakout was pushed back by selling pressure again, indicating that the selling above is still strong. Although 2300 faces breaking pressure, there might be funds supporting below, so blindly shorting now also carries rebound risk.
🎯 My plan is to watch around 2227; if the price pulls back and shows a clear stop-fall signal, then consider light long positions, with 2200 as a stop-loss reference.
📊 Tonight we also need to watch US stock sentiment; if risk appetite continues to weaken, ETH may face additional pressure; if volume improves and it firmly holds above 2300 again, the trend is worth reassessing.
🛡️ The key is not guessing the bottom but waiting for signals. Do you think 2227 can become ETH's short-term support? #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 🔥 Tomorrow Could Be a Trap for ETH Bulls — Don’t Confuse a Bounce With a Reversal!
$ETH If you’ve been following my calls, you know I’ve been warning about bottom-fishing. In the last round, I said the upside would struggle to break $2,850, with ETH potentially stuck around $2,700 for two weeks.
High leverage cuts both ways. Stay sharp, protect your capital, and never let conviction turn into overconfidence.
#ETH #BTC #ZEC #CryptoTrading #TradingStrategy #RiskManagement
#DailyOrbit 🔥 Brothers, those ready to go long on ETH after the pullback, don't rush! Tonight, focus on observing the sentiment in the US stock market; if the volume can't keep up, the rebound will be hard to trust.
📉 ETH's four-hour breakout is once again facing selling pressure, and the current market remains weak, with a risk of losing the 2300 level. However, there might be support below, so I'm not in a hurry to short; I prefer to wait for the price to reach a key area before seeing the reaction.
🎯 My watch level is 2227, planning to look for long opportunities around there, with a stop loss reference at 2200. Note, this is my personal trading idea, not a prediction that the price will definitely reach this level; watch for a bottoming signal before entering.
🛡️ Without a volume breakout, don't easily mistake a rebound for a reversal. Tonight, first watch the US stock market sentiment, then decide whether to act.
Brothers, do you think ETH will retest 2227 or first reclaim 2300? #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 October 28 $ETH Market Update｜Caution Prevails Ahead of the Federal Reserve Decision.
Ethereum rebounded from a low of 2281, currently trading around 2354 on the 4-hour chart. The short-term stop-loss signal is weak, so this can only be defined as a corrective move after the decline; reversal conditions are not yet met.
Tonight is the FOMC interest rate decision, with the market expecting the rate range to remain unchanged at 3.75%–4.00%. The key variable in this market is Powell's press conference: his stance on inflation and guidance on December rate hikes will directly determine short-term risk asset sentiment.
Additionally, the Ethereum Glamsterdam upgrade test has been postponed due to a security vulnerability investigation. From a long-term ecosystem perspective, this is positive, but it suppresses upgrade expectations in the short term. It should be viewed rationally.
Key levels to watch:
2350 support is the foundation for short-term continued recovery; the first upside target is 2400–2430, and if it holds, then look to 2450.
If it breaks below 2300 again and loses 2280, downside risk will resume, with support still expected around 2200–2250.
Uncertainty around the decision is very high. High-leverage positions should prioritize reducing exposure to avoid risk, waiting for the news to settle and the market to form a clear structure before considering opening new positions.
Summary: The rebound is just a correction; macro conditions remain unresolved. Tonight, defense is the priority.
#OctoberFOMCInterestRateDecisionComing @OKX中文 $PEPE $BCH is down 2.65%, showing notable selling pressure. After a move of this size, I’d be careful about entering late. I’d prefer a weak bounce into resistance followed by renewed selling and volume confirmation.
BCH/USDT — SHORT (Conditional)
Entry: 288.23
SL: 291.11
TP1: 285.35
TP2: 282.47
TP3: 279.58
If price recovers resistance with strong buying volume, I’d avoid the short rather than fight the reversal.ETH Intraday Strategy Review for 10.28
The intraday trend still revolves around a range-bound consolidation. After grinding near 2360, a pullback occurred, with the low reaching 2320. Long positions can continue to be operated.
Strategy execution status, current market analysis, and trading suggestions:
Strategy review: $ETH
Long positions entered at 2320-2340, second target 2380 achieved
Short positions entered at 2380-2400, second target 2320 achieved
Current market: After a rally and pullback, it is currently in a recovery phase, having risen back near 2340. MACD is below the zero line, volume is decreasing, market depth shows more bulls than bears, with no large capital entering, favoring a bullish outlook.
Trading suggestion: Aggressive traders can wait for a slight pullback before going long, or choose not to enter the market.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $XRP is down 1.33%, making it one of the weaker major tokens in this snapshot. I’d look for a lower-high structure and a failed reclaim of broken support. Selling after an extended drop without confirmation can give poor entries.
XRP/USDT — SHORT (Conditional)
Entry: 1.3137
SL: 1.3268
TP1: 1.3006
TP2: 1.2874
TP3: 1.2743
My priority is a confirmed retest and a reasonable risk/reward ratio, not simply following the red percentage.BTC is currently stuck in a very delicate consolidation range, and the large cycle structure of rallying and then falling has not changed.
This rebound looks more like a pause during the downtrend rather than a direct reversal to strength. After a 4-hour rally, it met resistance and fell back, short-term moving averages are turning down, and volume has clearly shrunk, with bulls and bears temporarily at a stalemate.
The key support below is around 80400; holding here still offers a chance for a second rally, targeting near 82000. Once this support breaks, the market will retest the previous low at 79168.
At this position, it's easiest to get caught in whipsaws, and the window for a trend change is approaching.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #Growth of Google Cloud business by 82%, what is the return on investment in artificial intelligence?
The AI equation: between Google Cloud growth and cash flow pressures
Wall Street investors' attention today turns to Alphabet's Q3 results, as the stock stands at a pivotal point between continued cloud sector growth and accelerated massive investment spending on AI infrastructure.Why have BTC/ETH dropped these past two days?
It's not just pure panic. Oil prices, geopolitical issues, tech stock declines, leveraged liquidations, and reluctance to buy before the meeting—all these factors combined make it feel more like a "preemptive drop."
Tonight, with the Fed's speech: hawkish → drop, ETH falls more than BTC; dovish → rebound, but there is still resistance above.
Will you reduce your positions before the meeting, or wait to buy after the outcome? $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $WLD Danger!!!!
According to Ai Auntie's on-chain monitoring, the Worldcoin project-related addresses have cumulatively transferred 10.5 million WLD to exchanges in the past 11 hours, valued at approximately 4.857 million USD. These tokens originated from chips transferred out by the project team three years ago. In addition, as early as October 22, another project-related address also transferred WLD worth about 1.61 million USD to exchanges.
Similarly, on October 24, it was detected that an institution involved in both Aave and Worldcoin transferred tokens worth a total of 33.18 million USD in batches to multiple centralized exchanges one hour ago, including 6,000 ETH (equivalent to 14.4 million USD), 19 million WLD (equivalent to 9.67 million USD), and 62,000 AAVE (equivalent to 9.11 million USD).
All I can say is that $WLD still has a lot of room to fall!!!!
You can wait a bit to catch the bottom, target 0.35!!!
#波动雷达：币种异动观察 The long-awaited Federal Reserve interest rate decision is out, with rates held steady, in line with market expectations.
The focus is not on whether to raise rates, but on the post-meeting hawkish stance: inflation is falling less than expected, and further tightening cannot be ruled out, with rate cuts delayed further.
When the news first came out, funds quickly jumped in for a rebound; as the press conference continued to sound hawkish, U.S. Treasury yields rose, the dollar strengthened, and high-risk assets quickly came under pressure, showing a typical pattern of good news being priced in and a pullback after a rally.
For risk assets, the biggest pressure now is the disappointment of easing expectations. As long as the Fed does not relent, liquidity will be hard to loosen quickly, and the foundation for a big rally is insufficient.
Short-term markets are easily stirred back and forth by a single statement, with amplified volatility and back-and-forth shakeouts. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 ⚡ $150M Liquidated — Shorts Took the Biggest Hit!
Over the past 24 hours, ~$150M in crypto positions were liquidated, including $110M in shorts.
📈 $BTC rebounded from below $80K to $81K, triggering a short squeeze as the market recovered.
👀 What’s next? The Fed rate decision and Powell’s remarks could bring more volatility. Stay disciplined and manage risk.
#FOMC #BTC #CryptoMarket #OctFOMCDecisionDueSoon BTC is still fluctuating near $80,000, while APT and SEI continue to hit recent lows, and TIA has instead seen a slight rebound. The capital reception of new public chains is once again diverging; a larger prior drop does not necessarily mean an easier rebound.
$APT is currently around $0.681, down nearly 15% in the past 7 days. $0.675–$0.68 is the first support, with resistance at $0.70–$0.72 above. Only by stabilizing above $0.72 can the structure improve; falling below $0.67 means caution for further support seeking near $0.65.
$SEI is currently around $0.052, down nearly 16% in the past 7 days. Support is first expected near $0.0515, with major resistance at $0.0535–$0.055 above. Regaining $0.055 is needed to expand recovery; breaking below $0.051 could lead to new lows.
$TIA is currently around $0.543, with a slight rise today, but the weekly trend remains clearly weak. $0.53–$0.535 is the first support, with resistance at $0.55–$0.57 above. Only breaking through $0.57 offers a chance to improve the trend; falling below $0.52 risks further retesting. TIA is relatively resistant in the short term but still has a clear distance from a true strengthening.$CORE's two "faces" have left. But the real issue isn't who left, it's "who is managing the money after they left."
On October 27, Core DAO issued an announcement: early contributors Rich Rines and Brendon Sedo have stepped down from their DAO positions. The official wording remains as polished as ever—"entering the next stage of decentralization," with the community taking on more governance responsibilities in ecosystem development, growth plans, and directional decisions.
Rines himself posted on X, saying this is "another step toward the decentralization principles the project has followed since its inception." Independent validators have already taken over block production without network interruption, and the same approach is now being applied to other parts of Core's operations.
If you only read these two paragraphs, this looks like a standard, textbook power transition.
But there is one sentence in the announcement that most reposts have overlooked.
Core DAO did not announce successors for these two contributors, nor did it provide a detailed timeline for handing over their remaining responsibilities.
People have left. Positions are vacant. There is no timeline.
First, understand who left—this is more important than the fact that they left.
Rines is not just any "early contributor." He previously led the funds flow engineering team at Coinbase, joined Core in 2022, and helped launch the mainnet in January 2023. Sedo heads Core Ventures, which by May 2025 had deployed $1 million to Bitcoin DeFi projects like Colend, Solv Protocol, and BitFLUX.
These two are not nominal community ambassadors. One is the technical driver of the mainnet; the other is the allocator of ecosystem funds.
They left operational and execution-level roles. But here lies a key structural problem: after the official nodes exited, control over Core's code repository and treasury remains with the team. The cost and responsibility of node operation have been delegated downward, but financial authority and code control have not been similarly delegated.
Now the two most publicly recognized faces have also left. Costs continue to be delegated, but power remains in place.
What left was "responsibility." What remains is "control."
Validator numbers make the word "decentralization" harder to justify.
Just days before the contributors stepped down, on-chain data showed that the number of independent validators had dropped below 20, meaning the originally planned target of 31 validators was a "complete failure."
Satoshi Plus consensus rules require more than two-thirds of validators to honestly produce blocks. If the number drops to 15 or fewer, a collective outage or collusion among a minority of nodes can freeze consensus and halt block production.
More importantly, the same analysis noted: the remaining validators are "highly coordinated," with most acting in alignment with the project team long-term. The successful execution of the 31.08 hard fork relied on this consistency—there were no neutral nodes with dissenting opinions.
The two most recognized contributors left, the validator set shrank close to the technical safety threshold, and the remaining nodes are highly coordinated with the team. These three events happened within the same time window. The four characters "decentralization" find no corresponding structure on the ledger.
Some in the community have spoken frankly.
The community account Corefrontline publicly questioned whether this transition truly represents decentralization in response to the resignation announcement, specifically raising concerns about CORE token distribution and accountability.
An earlier analysis on OKX Plaza regarding the official node exit on October 1 still holds today: "The so-called 'new chapter of decentralization' essentially means the project team is shedding responsibility and preparing to fully withdraw."
Harsh words. But putting these three facts together—official node exit, validators below 20, two faces stepping down with no successors—at least raises a question that cannot be refuted by announcement wording.
What happens next: three questions the announcement won't answer.
First: Who manages the money? Control over the code repository and treasury has not been transferred. The two contributors left, but the treasury keys have not appeared in any announcement. Who can access the treasury, decide on buybacks, or modify code next—these answers are not written in the "new stage of decentralization."
Second: Will the number of validators continue to decline? Below 20, the buffer to 15 is very narrow. If in the coming weeks nodes continue to exit due to economic reasons and new nodes fail to replace them, the chain's ability to produce stable blocks will become a problem before price does. BTC staking on-chain is time-locked and isolated, with private keys held by users; if the chain stops, principal won't disappear. But CORE tokens face the risk of consensus narrowing: the smaller the validator pool, the more concentrated the chain's fate becomes in fewer hands.
Third: Is there anyone truly "taking over the baton"? Officials say "more independent operators and community-led projects will participate in the coming months." This is a direction, not evidence. Evidence would be: validator numbers stop falling and start rising, the first buyback transfer using ecosystem revenue appears on-chain, and the treasury address shows traceable expenditure records. Until any of these happen, "community takeover" is just a grammatically correct sentence.
So how should we read today's news?
It's neither "running away" nor "maturity."
It is a node where responsibility and power continue to separate. Official nodes exit, shedding operational costs; validators shrink, leaving a highly coordinated narrow circle; two public faces resign, leaving vacant positions and no handover timeline.
$CORE's most honest pricing today is not on the K-line chart. It lies in the gap between "who left" and "who is still managing the money."
$CORE The capital flow of the US Bitcoin spot ETF is fluctuating violently, sometimes showing large net inflows and sometimes quickly turning into redemptions and outflows. This repeated oscillation of capital signals is becoming the most critical observation indicator for determining whether the short-term bottom of Bitcoin can be established. Once regarded as the strongest incremental capital source in a bull market, the spot ETF now shows a clear weakening in sustained inflows. The market is beginning to question whether institutional buying power has already weakened and whether Bitcoin can rely on spot demand to hold its current price range. ETF capital is no longer a one-way steady inflow but exhibits a pulse-like characteristic of "inflow one day, outflow the next." On some trading days, leading ETFs like BlackRock's IBIT see capital inflows, but many other ETFs simultaneously experience redemptions, showing a clear internal divergence of funds. The inflow of a single product cannot mask the overall market's wavering capital confidence. This divergence indicates a significant split among institutional investors: some funds are buying on dips, while others choose to take profits or cut losses and exit, no longer reflecting the early market consensus of bullishness. Coinbase Institutional's estimates show that the average holding cost of ETF investors is around $81,300. The current coin price is very close to the cost line of many ETF holders. If the price continues to decline, it is easy to trigger more redemptions, further amplifying selling pressure. Behind the repeated capital fluctuations are the dual suppressions of the macro environment and on-chain selling pressure. The Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations are the most important external factor affecting ETF capital flows. The market continues to play a game of anticipation with the Fed$ETH On the Eve of the Decision: The Rebound Is Just a Correction, Don't Mistake Defense for Missing Out
October 29 $ETH Market Update: Ethereum rebounded from the 2281 low, currently around 2354 on the 4-hour chart. The short-term stop-loss signal remains weak, so it can only be defined as a correction after the decline; conditions for a reversal are not yet sufficient.
Tonight's FOMC is the key variable. The market expects the interest rate to remain unchanged at 3.75%—4.00%. The real focus is on Powell's press conference tone regarding inflation and the December rate hike guidance, which will directly determine short-term risk asset sentiment. Additionally, the Ethereum Glamsterdam upgrade test has been postponed due to a security vulnerability investigation. This is a long-term positive for the ecosystem but will suppress upgrade expectations in the short term, so it should be viewed rationally.
Reference levels: Holding 2350 is the foundation for short-term correction continuation; on the upside, watch 2400—2430 first, then 2450 if it stabilizes. If it breaks below 2300 again and loses 2280 support, downside risk will restart, with support seen at 2200—2250.
High uncertainty around the decision means high-leverage positions should prioritize reducing exposure to avoid risk. Wait for the news to settle and the market to form a clear structure before considering opening positions. Summary: The rebound is just a correction; macro conditions remain unresolved, so defense is the priority tonight.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 @OKX中文 - Current benchmark interest rate range: 3.75%～4.00%
- Probability of no change: about 90.6%
- Unexpected rate hike of 25 bp (target range raised to 4.00%～4.25%)
Market pricing indicates a very low probability of a direct rate hike tonight; the mainstream expectation is to hold steady, with focus on the post-meeting statement. Hawkish remarks may leave the suspense until the December policy meeting (currently futures pricing shows the probability of a December rate hike has surged to nearly 75～80%).
Market contingency plan:
If the remarks are hawkish, the market will dip sharply. First watch the 80000 support level, with key defense at 79300.
• If there is a sharp dip, as long as it quickly recovers above 79300 without effectively breaking a new low, long positions can still be entered.
• Once the price closes below 79300 and fails to recover, long positions should be cautious. Two lower buy-the-dip levels are: 78600, 78100The interest rate decision is about to be announced. All genius traders remember to control leverage, reduce positions, and set stop losses; pay attention to the dot plot and Powell's wording; reserve margin to prevent spikes; scale in and out instead of chasing highs or panicking sells; check exchanges and networks to avoid heavy positions during high volatility periods. Eat well, sack of oil 😄
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$AXIS Short position negative fee rate is relatively deep: decline accompanied by increased positions. Price -1.06%, open interest +1.05%; current fee rate -0.6328% (4-hour cycle; approximately -3.797% daily, -2.256% realized in 24h, about 135 minutes to settlement). Same direction position increase, crowding is intensifying.Shorts got "carried away"? A quick review of the $150 million liquidation (｀・ω・´)
In the past 24 hours, about $150 million worth of liquidations occurred across the network, with $110 million from short positions. Shorts really took a hit (๑•́ ₃ •̀๑). This wave was mainly disturbed by the early morning interest rate decision; $BTC climbed back from below 80,000 to 81,000, and other cryptocurrencies also slightly recovered. The liquidation hotspot was concentrated in $BTC short positions.
Simply put: the market didn't surge much, but shorts were liquidated first. That's how exciting the leveraged market is Σ(っ°Д°;)っ.
Next, the focus is on the Federal Reserve interest rate decision and subsequent remarks at 2 AM. Volatility may continue to increase. Both bulls and bears should keep their cool and manage their positions first (ง •_•)ง.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 A miraculous mining event unfolded on the Bitcoin network, where an independent miner successfully mined block height 973,413, claiming the entire block reward alone, totaling approximately 3.1397 BTC, commonly rounded to 3.14 BTC in the market. This event also brought the long-dormant solo mining back into the public spotlight. This block was packaged and chained on October 27 through CKPool's solo mining infrastructure, marking the 318th block mined by an independent miner recorded by CKPool. The reward includes the current halving cycle's standard block subsidy of 3.125 BTC, with the remaining approximately 0.0147 BTC coming from transaction fees within the block. All earnings belong to this anonymous miner, without the need to split rewards among many participants as in traditional mining pools, and the pool does not share this block reward. Most astonishing is the miner's extremely low hash rate. CKPool founder Con Kolivas revealed that the miner's hash rate was only about 16.4 TH/s, with a single device hashing at just 6.2 TH/s. In comparison, mainstream mining machines today typically have hash rates between 200 TH/s and 350 TH/s for new-generation air-cooled miners, while high-end liquid-cooled models exceed 500 TH/s. Based on hash rate calculations, a miner with such a small-scale hash rate has less than a 1 in 3400 chance of independently mining a Bitcoin block within a year, which equates to an average wait time of 3400 years to possibly encounter this👀 FOMC could trigger major volatility in crypto.
Rate cuts could boost BTC and ETH, while a hawkish tone could bring selling pressure.
Watch Powell’s comments, BTC price action, and liquidity. Don’t chase the hype—manage risk and let the market react first. 📊
#OctFOMCDecisionDueSoon @黑哥BTC chose to short near resistance on the rebound rather than chasing shorts after a drop to a low level. He stated that $BTC entered around 81500, with the core basis being the rebound pressure after the original support was broken; however, if the price stabilizes again above the key area, this bearish approach must be reconsidered and not stubbornly held just because a position has been opened. First, about BTC. 黑哥 interprets the current structure as a pullback after a box breakdown: the original support has turned into resistance, and after the price tested upwards without a strong recovery, this gave him the reason to short on the left side. This is not a confirmed large-scale downtrend, nor is it a case of assuming a reversal just because of an intraday upper shadow. He repeatedly reviewed that when the price dropped to a lower area previously, he did not demand continuing to chase shorts but waited for a rebound back to around 81000 to look for opportunities. Near 81500, he felt the position was approaching expectations and was willing to take about a 2% price risk to verify his judgment. He specifically explained that this “two points” means a 2% price change, not two dollars, nor a 2% loss of principal. On defense, he repeatedly explained around 83000 to 83200: only a very tight stop loss is given, which could be taken out by a single spike; but if the price stabilizes above again, the original bearish resistance logic no longer holds. At the end, he emphasized the structural significance near 83200 and clearly stated in discussions with participants that after standing back around 83000, it is not a matter of continuing to add shorts unconditionally; if the price stabilizes, it will no longer be treated according to the original bearish approach. Below, first observe 79000 Liquidation heatmap revealed: Don’t rush to take sides tonight
The liquidation heatmap is like a night navigation chart, illuminating the intentions of the main players.
$BTC is near 81000, with the bright yellow band at 82000 above especially eye-catching — it’s where short stop-losses and liquidation fuel pile up. Below at 80000 there is defense, but it’s clearly thinner than above. Just a spark could trigger a short squeeze and a rally.
$ETH near 2360 looks more like a sandwich cookie: above 2400 there’s a thick wall of short liquidation orders, below 2300 long leverage is crowded. Both sides hold real money; whoever gets triggered first will determine the direction.
$SOL is around 102, with the bright yellow band at the 100 round number the most glaring. Bulls have staked their lifeline above 100; if it’s pierced downward, a cascading stampede is likely unavoidable.
Right now, the main players are eyeing the rich liquidity at both ends, so volatility tonight is guaranteed. Will shorts be swept first or longs be crushed? Don’t guess, and don’t jump the gun. Hold your hands, wait for the main players to set the direction, then follow the trend to profit—don’t rush to be cannon fodder.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $BTC Pre-market: IBIT's "solo buying" hardly signals a return of funds, leverage control before FOMC
The US spot BTC ETF recorded a net inflow of about $110 million on Monday, but the previous two trading days saw an outflow of about $770 million. This inflow was almost entirely contributed by BlackRock's IBIT, while the other 11 products remained basically unchanged. The single-firm buying resembles a structural allocation rather than a full-scale return of funds. Since October, ETFs have still seen a net outflow of about $200 million; the major outflows this month from FBTC and ARKB have yet to reverse. The current total ETF assets are about $102.8 billion, accounting for 6.41% of BTC's market cap.
Price-wise, BTC surged to 81,298 overnight, just touching the market-estimated ETF holding average price near 81,300 before retreating, now around 80,790. This level presents clear short-term resistance. The FOMC decision will be announced early tomorrow Beijing time, with the daytime likely dominated by volatile consolidation; leveraging up too early is not cost-effective.
In the short term, 80,450–80,600 is the support zone; breaking below 80,450 suggests reducing positions first; above, 81,300 is the first resistance, and after stabilizing there, look towards 81,800. Stop-loss reference is below 80,200, maintain a relatively small position, and do not chase gains before the decision is released. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 Ethereum (ETH) is trading around $2,333 after facing rejection from the $2,385–$2,420 resistance region. Following a strong recovery from the June low near $1,501, ETH has lost short-term momentum and is now testing an important support area. Price is trading below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, while RSI has dropped to 36.01, indicating increasing bearish pressure. The key question is whether buyers can defend the $2,300–$2,265 region or sellers push ETH toward lower support levels. 📈 EMA Structure 🔹The big brother shouted in the group, "Why is PEPE rising so sharply?" I specifically went to check, and it turns out it's preparing to launch an ETF, no wonder. Meanwhile, DOGE's ETF is struggling to get approved, and DOOD is even further behind; this path is still long!
$PEPE is at 0.0000049, up 14% in one day. Canary filed the S-1 in April, revised on 10/2, listed on Cboe BZX. The SEC hasn't announced approval yet, and the S-1 has no statutory deadline. No one knows when this card will be revealed, but the ETF news has been leaked!
$DOGE is at 0.0755, the road is open, but the dog is playing dead. The three ETFs in the US total $13 million and 164 million coins, accounting for 0.1% of circulation. Bitwise's ETF is liquidating on 10/14 with only $720,000 left, and last week saw a net outflow of $538,000, the largest since August.
$DOOD is at 0.0021, no ETF, can only go leveraged. On the 27th, it surged 93.77%, with trading volume hitting 245 million; on the 28th, it immediately dropped 13.72%, market cap only 17 million, funding rate -1.38%.
PEPE has expectations but no approval, DOGE has approval but no funds, DOOD has neither. Really don't know when the meme frenzy will come again?
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $ETH brothers, keep a close eye on this Fed news!
Institutional views have been released: if the rate hike is delayed until December, it will only prolong the market's pain.
The market generally expects no action tonight and a rate hike in December, but institutions warn that Walsh has already stated inflation is high, and the risk of a sudden Fed rate hike is much higher than the 7% probability estimated by the market.
Right now, the bulls and bears whales are locked in a fierce battle: on one side, large ETH long positions, on the other, heavy short pressure on BTC/ETH/SOL, compounded by election and regulatory uncertainties.
If the Fed unexpectedly hikes rates, the entire crypto market will come under pressure, and volatility will be further amplified. This variable must not be ignored.
⚠️This is only a market interpretation of the news and does not constitute trading advice
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $DOGE is nearly flat at -0.01%. With little directional movement visible here, I wouldn’t assume sellers are in control. I’d wait for a liquidity sweep at a range boundary and check whether volume confirms the next move.
DOGE/USDT — SHORT (Conditional)
Entry: 0.07906
SL: 0.07985
TP1: 0.07827
TP2: 0.07748
TP3: 0.07669
If price reclaims resistance instead, I’d cancel the bearish idea and reassess.PEPE has returned to the 5-dollar range today, rising over 14% in 24 hours🐸
Since 10.17, Sun has cumulatively transferred out $48.76 million worth of PEPE, with a cost basis of about $0.000004115, now realizing an unrealized profit of $9.622 million; this portion of $PEPE accounts for 2.86% of the total token supply, making him the largest individual holder on-chain.
Whether this is a personal position build or exchange fund reorganization, Sun has not responded so far, and it cannot be verified on-chain. We can only wait for the principal to speak $PEPE 653 million USD, 540 million ran off in 3 days
Glassnode's report today says that on October 19, 653 million USD poured into the US spot ETF, but by the 22nd, 540 million had run off, leaving a net inflow of only 67 million in two weeks
ETF trading volume also wilted, with only 700 million USD on October 23, the quietest day this year
Price stuck at 80,700 USD, just below the ETF average cost of 81,500 USD, meaning everyone is at an unrealized loss
But on-chain tells a different story
Santiment data shows a single-day net outflow of 14,942 BTC from exchanges, about 1.2 billion USD, the largest in five weeks; coins are moving to cold wallets, not to exchanges
One-month realized volatility dropped to 25%, back to summer 2023 levels; historically, such quiet days only account for 5%
I think the hot money in ETFs is running, while the long-term money on-chain is hiding; the longer the sideways movement, the bigger the next move, so observe but don't chase
Invalidation level is daily close above 85,000 USD, or ETF net inflow exceeding 200 million USD for three consecutive days
Which side are you betting on, ETF recovering first, or on-chain making the first move?
$BTC $ETH $IBIT
#Bitcoin #ETFOn the day the $BTC FOMC decision is released, Bitcoin is highly likely to experience intense market activity. Some opinions predict that in the next 7–10 days, price volatility will reach at least 10%. Before the announcement, the market generally exhibits risk-averse position reductions. Following this logic, the market is more likely to trend upward after the decision is announced. If the bulls gain momentum, BTC could challenge the 90,000 level. Of course, there is also the possibility of a weakening market; if the bears dominate, it could drop about 10% again. However, this analysis does not consider a decline as the baseline scenario, as the market has already priced in many bearish expectations. A further 10% drop would be considered an extreme move.
This judgment was proposed by Killa, a quantitative trader specializing in Bitcoin. He successfully predicted the top of this bull market in May 2025, entering a short position around 74,688 in mid-April that year, then switching to long when the market plunged in June. #BTC现货ETF资金反复，市场买盘能否企稳？ $ZEC ZEC 4-hour chart: after surging to 1332.44, profit-taking has occurred, current price is 1278.08.
The first resistance above is at 1300, with strong resistance at the previous high of 1332.44. To restart the uptrend, volume needs to increase and the price must reclaim this high point.
Short-term support is at 1270, with the core lifeline at 1250, which coincides with the EMA30 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. If this level is effectively broken, the current rebound structure will weaken.
The long-short ratio is 1.12, with net longs still at 6.04%. Long positions have not seen a large-scale exit, currently leaning more towards a pullback and consolidation after the rise.
Privacy coins themselves are highly elastic and volatile, with price movements closely linked to BTC. With the Federal Reserve decision approaching, market uncertainty is high, making it unsuitable to take heavy positions for speculation. Patience is advised to wait for support stabilization signals Pause in Accumulation ≠ Liquidation: The Hidden Risks of Bitcoin "Preferred Stock Buying" 🧐
Strategy has not exited the market. As of October 25, it still holds about 848,500 bitcoins at an average cost of $75,446; even at $80,000, the unrealized gain is about 6% 📈. Pausing accumulation and liquidation are fundamentally different.
Fidelity Digital Assets analyst Zack Wainwright provided a broader perspective in a report on October 20: companies buying bitcoin through issuing preferred stock have cumulatively purchased about 136,000 bitcoins, accounting for 0.5% of total bitcoin supply. Between March and May 2026, these companies used $7 billion in financing to acquire 95,000 bitcoins. Fidelity sees this product as a bridge connecting crypto assets with the approximately $150 trillion global fixed income market 🌉.
But the bridge has a load limit. Fidelity warns that this model only works if the long-term price increase of bitcoin outpaces the dividend cost. If sideways or downward trends persist too long, the previously incremental buying could become a source of liquidity risk ⚠️. The lively "buying bitcoin with financing" strategy ultimately must face the pressure test of market cycles. #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 20 minutes left, and these people have already started celebrating.
After scanning through Orbit, just a few bullish candles popped up, and the words "bullish reversal" started flooding the screen again.
I just want to ask: do you know what time it is now?
In 20 minutes, the Fed's decision will drop. Yet at this critical moment, prices are pushed up—ETH futures from 2330 to 2336, and BTC futures back above 81,000. Don’t you think this timing is a bit too coincidental?
If it were truly a bottom reversal, would the main players make such a big show before a market-wide watched decision, just to let you see it, afraid you might miss the ride?
Look at the overhead resistance. $ETH at 2377 and 2400 is holding over 10 million short positions, and the $BTC zone around 81800 and 84000 is even more densely packed with shorts. Pulling prices up now only hits positions waiting to break even. Are the main players saints, carrying the burden for those trapped?
I’ll say this: this kind of low-volume sharp rally before the decision is just for show. Once 2 PM hits, if Powell just says a firm word or mentions December again, no one who chased in now will escape.
Everyone can see the bullish candles, but few think about who is selling behind those candles.
Hold your short positions, don’t rush to exit. The real show starts at 2 PM.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布
#SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 $BTC #SAK The evolution of the privacy track is actually a continuous error-correction process.
Early projects like Monero (XMR) proved the strong demand for full privacy, but the liquidity constraints caused by excessive anonymity are also a real pain point; meanwhile, new public chains like Aleo often struggle to achieve true decentralization in token distribution and chip structure.
The new generation of privacy projects cannot just solve a single problem. The new infrastructure direction that STAK Chain is exploring tries to stand on the shoulders of predecessors, balancing "anonymous privacy" and "ecosystem usability." Whether it can truly solve the industry's legacy issues still depends on subsequent technical implementation and mechanism design.
What do you think is the biggest bottleneck that future privacy public chains need to break?
#STAKchain #Web3 #SafePal订单泄露，隐私保护待完善 Mining coins LTC, DOGE, and XMR already have large market capitalizations, with limited room for further growth. RVN Raven coin has a smaller market cap, featuring BTC's PoW computing power and fixed total supply characteristics, as well as ETH's on-chain asset issuance capability, giving it stronger long-term growth potential.