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Where exactly is the next HYPE?
More and more people are starting to look for the "next HYPE"—where are the points, where might there be airdrops, which perpetual contract platforms haven't issued tokens yet, which projects can replicate Hyperliquid's rise?
Yesterday we discussed that Hyperliquid's position size has already surpassed OKX, but the daily trading volume still shows a significant gap.
This reminds us that what ultimately supports HYPE buybacks is not how big the platform's story is, but whether users keep trading continuously and whether the protocol can sustain its revenue.
So, before searching for the next HYPE, why not first ask: what exactly did Hyperliquid do right?
When traders choose a platform, the first consideration is whether trades can be executed smoothly.
Is the order book deep enough? Is slippage on large orders high? Are orders stable? Is margin and position management convenient? Airdrops can attract people, but after the rewards end, what keeps traders is still the product itself.
Only if people are willing to stay and trade will the platform have ongoing fees; these fees can further flow into the token, making buybacks more than just a one-time promotional move.
Today's income screenshot perfectly breaks down this logic.
According to on-chain data statistics, Hyperliquid's protocol revenue is about $1.41 billion, of which native perpetual contracts contribute about 88.5%, spot trading accumulates about $50.4 million, HIP-3 perpetual contracts about $29.6 million, and USDC reserve income about $23.2 million.
This is not net profit, nor can each statistical item be regarded as the same type of cash income, but the revenue structure already shows: Hyperliquid's main source of income currently remains its core trading business.
It’s not about planning the ecosystem big enough first and then waiting for users to appear.
Rather, it’s about having a core product continuously used first, then gradually increasing markets and revenue sources.
This is also why the "next Hyperliquid" cannot be judged only by the number of points, airdrop popularity, and token market cap after issuance.
You also have to see, after removing rewards and subsidies, how many people are willing to continue trading here?
For the same $1 fee generated, is HYPE’s corresponding market cap lower?
Hyperliquid’s app fees in the last 30 days are about $158 million, with HYPE’s circulating market cap around $19 billion to $22 billion.
Dividing these gives roughly 120 to 139 times.
SOL is about 154 to 158 times, ETH and BNB both exceed 1000 times.
On the surface, HYPE’s fee-to-circulating market cap ratio is indeed quite prominent.
But you can’t directly conclude that "HYPE is the cheapest" here.
First, this multiple is circulating market cap divided by 30-day fees, not a price-to-earnings ratio.
Second, application fees in the ecosystem don’t necessarily belong to the underlying token holders, nor do they all go into protocol buybacks. Different platforms have different fee distribution and value transmission methods.
Just looking at how much the fees are doesn’t answer: who ultimately gets this money, and how much can be converted into token demand?
What’s worth discussing about Hyperliquid is precisely that it has established a path from trading activity to protocol revenue, and then to HYPE buybacks.
To find the next HYPE, at least three questions must be answered simultaneously: will users stay after rewards end, can real usage generate revenue, and can that revenue sustainably flow into the token?
Simply copying points, airdrops, and token issuance does not equal copying Hyperliquid.
The next HYPE may not be the project that most excites people about airdrops.
But the one whose users are still willing to stay and pay for the product after the airdrop ends.#BTC与ETH现货ETF同步流出，机构需求转弱了吗？ 哎，还是太保守了。
本来看着MACD底背离想博个反转，结果这波下跌比预想的还要猛。
如果在2407那个针尖上再贪一点，或者把杠杆加满，现在就不止这2万U了。
虽然收益率400%看着还行，但看着K线图总觉得少赚了一辆宝马。
这就是交易的遗憾吧，永远吃不到鱼头和鱼尾，只吃到了鱼身最肥的一段。
落袋为安吧，今晚加个鸡腿。🍗$ETH $BTC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Ran deliveries all morning, sweating profusely, sat by the roadside and opened OKX, almost shouted out loud on the street! A decisive counterattack, the shorts finally came through!
$ETH (Feeling triumphant): Opened position at 2504.41, current price 2467.70. 10X isolated margin, floating profit +84.43U, ROI +14.65%. Yesterday I was still down 384U, suffocating me, today a direct comeback, no need to go to the rooftop!
$SOL (Crazy recovery): Opened position at 109.73, current price 105.55. 10X isolated margin, floating profit +83.6U, ROI +38.09%. The drop is really powerful, this profit can cover several days of deliveries.
$MAGIC (Lesson in greed): Opened position at 0.13769, current price 0.13887. 10X isolated margin, floating loss -5.89U. Made 85U yesterday but didn’t take profit, today gave back some, greed got the best of me.
Overall made a crazy 160U, filled most of yesterday’s loss hole. Put on the helmet and keep going, after all, money isn’t real until it’s in the pocket. Brothers, have you taken profit on your short positions this round?10.13
大饼在两次回踩80300和80900后都迅速反弹，回踩两次确认8w的支撑很硬很硬，前阻84000
姨太如图，同样行情在走完2500承压下跌后回踩2400两次后都反弹拉升
今晚公布CPI前不建议提前博弈进场，关注阻力8w4和支撑80300～81000做震荡即可，利空较多，大饼可能再次下探，优先高空为主$BTC $ETH $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 马斯克昨晚一篇小作文，半导体市场更慌了，今天韩国股市直接急刹。
原因是中国长鑫存储（CXMT）进步太快，已经拿下全球DRAM收入约9-10%。前几天他们总裁说新架构有进展，计划2026年底推出用这技术的DDR5服务器内存。
英文区直接解读成：中国可能在服务器DRAM上提前赶上甚至领先，而三星大概2028年才推类似技术。结果美光、闪迪这些内存股当天集体下跌。
有人觉得跌得没道理：宣布不等于量产，就算良率高、成本低，现在AI需求那么大，多点供给也填不满。而且这是普通DDR5，不是更赚钱的HBM。
但马斯克泼了冷水：中国一旦把某个制造工艺搞明白，扩产速度经常比全世界其他地方加起来还快。锂电池、太阳能板就是例子。SpaceX是少数例外，但现在中国已经占了全球大部分非SpaceX的火箭卫星入轨质量。
他预判内存可能也差不多。3年前内存还是低利润大宗商品，LPDDR5/6这种标准化普通内存，中国看起来会解决得很快。但更先进的，比如HBM新架构、逻辑芯片下面放SRAM层、内存散热这些，会更难搞。$BTC
After a sharp drop, a strong rebound, but don't rush to call a reversal
Here's my judgment for the brothers: Bitcoin rebounded from $80,961 to $82,457, short-term buying started to gain momentum, but the overall trend remains bearish
Focus on three key levels
$82,000 is short-term support
$82,600–$83,000 is rebound resistance
$80,960 is the critical low point
My view is very clear: watch the resistance during the rebound, don't chase the highs
Only if it holds above $83,000 is there a chance to continue recovery; if it breaks below $82,000, beware of another dip
Don't get misled by a single bullish rebound candle; the key is whether it can reclaim the critical levelsThe highest yield rate increased fivefold, didn't sell when the price was 257, the market should be over, closed half at 263, sold all at 265, now it has started to rebound. Next time it reaches the ideal maximum take-profit point, sell it, no more illusions, reject greed This could be an investment strategy that changes your life, originating from Luffy. Be sure to bookmark and like before studying carefully.
My approach is very conservative
US stocks: qqq spy brk (80%)
ufo vht (10%)
For qqq and spy, I do options with both put and call bought and covered calls; if the put is exercised, I buy the underlying stock; if the call reaches the strike price, I buy another share of the underlying stock and wait for the option exercise to sell, ensuring the base position is not sold. Most of the time I sell near-expiry options. When implied volatility is high, I sell medium to long-term options.
Option premium income is used to buy my preferred stocks and held without selling.
Hong Kong stocks:
Only Tencent and Alibaba as underlying stocks
Basically sell options one month out, only selling put covered calls. Option premium income is invested in global innovative drug lotteries.
A-shares:
Only buy Moutai, buying in stages with a target price of 800 for full position; target loss 800 for full position loss of 25%
All guaranteed returns, currency gene margin returns, and Standard Chartered private bank demand deposits at 4% annually, reinvested in long strategies private equity like Millennium in the second year.
My investment method only suits myself, especially suitable for those with cash assets and not afraid of missing out, because you must ensure your margin reserve; building positions is very slow. The practical difficulty is that selling call covered calls wastes a lot of transaction fees in volatile markets. I previously considered giving an indicator to stop timely, but actual test returns would be greatly reduced and not worth it.
Criticism is welcome, everyone show off more
If anyone actively messages, they are scammers. The above is purely personal investment views and does not constitute investment advice.#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 本週重要消息面前瞻：
週二：00:10 FOMC票委發表講話
週三：04:00 FOMC票委發表講話
週三：17:40聯準會理事發表講話
週三：20:30美國CPI數據
週四：02:00聯準會公佈經濟狀況褐皮書
週四：20:30美國零售和PPI數據
週五：04:30 FOMC票委發表演說
週五：11:30聯準會主席沃什出席曼谷舉行的IMF年會
$BTC , $ETH 小心逢會必跌的魔咒，這週估計是逢會回調，而不是大跌！$SKHYNIX 海力士1099：空头狂欢，但一个危险信号正在出现韩国股市崩了。
KOSPI跌6%，海力士跌10%，三星跌7%。巨鲸数据：125个空头，成本1243，浮盈2000万；95个多头，成本1238，浮亏796万。空头完胜，持仓量是多头的两倍多。当所有人都挤在一边，反转往往就在眼前。
资金面难看：15天流出1.88亿。但短周期有资金试探，1099附近出现891万净流入，加速度122倍。技术面：1099是筹码密集区下沿，再往下1050是空头建仓区，跌到那里空头可能平仓引发反弹。
操作策略（总仓位两成）：
做多（左侧博弈）：1099轻仓进，1080-1090加仓。目标1150，破位1200。逻辑：空头过度拥挤，随时踩踏平仓。
做空（顺势）：反弹1130-1160受阻空，跌破1090追。目标1050，破位1000。逻辑：趋势仍向下，长线资金未回流。
个人看法：1099追空风险收益比已不好。空头赚了2000万，随时可能兑现。主力洗盘通常先拉爆空，再反手砸多。#台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ October 13 BTC Analysis
Analysis: Short near 2480-2500 on rebound, stop loss at 2525, first target 2440, second target 2410
The 1H chart shows that the price started a volatile downtrend from the stage high of 2578.97, then accelerated the breakdown, reaching a low of 2407.00. Currently, it is rebounding from oversold conditions with a bullish candle, latest quote 2462.45. The overall downtrend structure is clear; this rebound is a technical correction after accelerated decline and does not reverse the bearish dominance. The bullish rebound lacks sustained volume support and does not meet conditions for a trend reversal. Technically, short- and mid-term moving averages are bearish and diverging downward, price only slightly recovering at low levels. The 1-hour RSI has risen to 58.34, recovering from oversold but still near the weak zone around the balance line between bulls and bears. Rebound momentum is gradually weakening, with a higher probability of resistance and pullback. $BTC $ETH $SOL #CPI and PPI releases are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test $W 就这样吧，也不加仓了，待会儿就把这个蚂蚁仓平了，昨晚睡得早也就没怎么操作，一觉醒来大盘又大跌了，全盘皆是红色！也顾不上$W 的空单了，其实我还把$W 想复杂了，以为会很难操作，结果开个头仓放着自己就盈利了，今天大盘回调应该是这类急涨急跌的小市值币大反弹的机会，所以这单就先撤了，说实话这次操作也没多大的参考空间，就不复盘了，下次给兄弟们空一个有操作价值的币再复盘吧！#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
#Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress pending confirmation
$BTC $ZEC #CPI has not yet been released, the market fell in advance, pouring cold water on everyone
Many are puzzled: CPI is not yet announced, there are still positive rumors about the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire, so why did the market fall first?
Don't treat short-term rumors as a cure-all. Today's decline essentially reflects risk realization before the data and bulls preemptively hedging and closing positions.
Why did the market drop before the data was released?
1. The market is preemptively betting on stronger inflation expectations. Some funds are avoiding CPI risk by reducing positions early, preferring to sell ahead rather than passively cut losses after the data is out. Geopolitical positives are just short-term pulses and cannot change the overall environment of high U.S. Treasury yields suppressing the market.
2. Positive rumors are being sold off after being priced in. The Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire is only a verbal proposal with no substantive implementation. Funds, after pushing prices up on the news, directly "sell on the good news realization." Rumors can only drive short-term rebounds and cannot support sustained rallies.
3. Technical pressure. BTC repeatedly failed to hold above resistance levels, testing multiple times without success. Bullish confidence weakened, triggering programmatic sell-offs, dragging gold down simultaneously.
In short: funds are currently hedging, not that the CPI results are out. Today's decline does not necessarily mean CPI is bearish; it is simply traders positioning ahead of risk.
The market will not reverse just because of a rumor. Respect macro fundamentals and keep cash as a buffer; this is the most important thing right now.10.13 Bitcoin Silk Road
Yesterday, Bitcoin surged to 84340 before facing resistance and falling back, with a low probe down to 80985, then stopped falling and rebounded. From the market perspective, the price quickly recovered from the low, showing some short-term bullish strength, but there is still pressure above, so attention should be paid to the strength of support after the pullback.
The short-term strategy is mainly to buy on dips, not blindly chasing highs. Wait for the price to pull back to a key support area; if the K-line shows a long lower shadow or other signs of stopping the fall, and the green bars on the indicators continue to shrink, consider gradually building long positions. If the support fails, hold off on entering and wait for new directional signals.
Entry points:
In the range of 82000—82300, buy gradually after the pullback stabilizes.
Stop-loss point:
81300, strictly stop loss if broken to control trading risk.
First take-profit:
83300, reduce positions appropriately upon reaching to protect existing profits.
Second take-profit:
84300, watch the pressure near the previous high; if there is a volume breakout, adjust the take-profit plan according to market conditions.
$BTC #BTC and ETH spot ETFs are flowing out simultaneously; has institutional demand weakened?
Summary of trading idea:
After rebounding from the low of 80985, short-term recovery signs have appeared, but whether the rebound can continue depends on confirming support after the pullback. Rather than chasing the rise to enter, it is better to patiently wait for signals, maintain good entry points, and follow stop-loss discipline. Did you notice SK Hynix plummeted 7.1%?
Don't always think this is just a short-term bubble burst in AI concept stocks; the industry dynamics have actually changed $SKHY
Domestic major manufacturer ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) has released a brand-new 4F² DRAM architecture, and high-level HBM products are reportedly being tested by tech giants, directly challenging the monopoly of overseas memory giants.
People used to regard SK Hynix as the exclusive hard currency for HBM tied to NVIDIA $NVDA, but now three major risks are obvious, and the technical defense line has been breached.
Previously, they earned huge profits relying on yield and technology monopoly, but now domestic manufacturers are accelerating breakthroughs in architecture and catching up, loosening the premium power. Capacity squeeze backfires. Over the past year, they maxed out capacity producing HBM, while general DRAM market share declined.
Once the AI capital expenditure growth of major giants slows down, huge spending and subsequent oversupply risks will be exposed. Competitors are squeezing from both sides. Samsung and Micron $MU are aggressively grabbing orders at low levels, ending the exclusive dividend completely.
In the later stage, after a short-term sharp drop, there may be a slight rebound with the broader market, but the golden era of one-sided surge driven by AI concepts is over. The memory sector will undergo intense differentiation; whether Hynix can hold its ground depends on whether it can maintain absolute capacity and yield advantages in the HBM4 generation.
Do you think the valuation ceiling for AI hardware has really arrived? DYOR $BTC Market Report: Fed Signals Hawkish Stance, Bitcoin Rebound Faces Pressure, CPI Becomes Key Test 🤔
1. Macro Perspective: Rate Cut Expectations Hit Again
On October 12, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stated that the Federal Reserve needs to further tighten financial conditions to push inflation back to the 2% target in a timely manner. She is concerned that inflation remaining above target for a long time could gradually change pricing behavior among businesses and consumers, so she prefers early, small policy adjustments rather than waiting for risks to accumulate before taking more aggressive measures. $ETH
This statement clearly signals a hawkish stance 🤔 Hammack believes there is still room for economic demand to cool, and interest rates may need to rise further. However, this is her personal policy judgment and does not mean the Fed has decided to raise rates at the next meeting.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index rose to 102.58 on Monday, reaching its highest level since April 2025; Middle East tensions have increased safe-haven demand, and international oil prices have risen, further fueling market concerns about an inflation rebound. The upcoming US CPI data release on Wednesday will be an important basis for the market to reassess the interest rate path. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ In the next day or two, the baseline trend is to fluctuate between 0.73 and 0.80, neither making a new high directly nor crashing immediately. The premise is that 0.733 is not broken by a 4-hour or daily close.
This is not trading advice. 0.89 was just rejected, positions are still being cleared, and the short-term direction can be changed at any moment by a sharp move.
Baseline scenario:
Current price is about 0.76. On October 12, the highest was 0.8904, closing at 0.747; from the 13th until now, the range is 0.734–0.792, with volume much lower than the previous day. High volume at the peak and reduced volume on the pullback indicate digestion, not a new main rise.
On the contract side, prices dropped about 12% on the same day, open interest decreased by about 6%, and the funding rate remains slightly positive. Bulls are reducing positions, not that bears have fully crowded in. This kind of structure often leads to consolidation rather than an immediate one-sided move.
Therefore, the more likely path is:
1. First hold the 0.734–0.752 range.
2. Then rebound to 0.79 (today's high of 0.7916 is the first resistance).
3. Only after breaking above 0.80 can we clearly see 0.81–0.84.
4. 0.85 is unlikely to be surpassed, and 0.89 is basically out of reach this round. The Ethereum Foundation just deposited 4,393 $ETH to Kraken
$11.1M USD, which they say is the cost from ten years ago, with an average price of $658.
I just want to ask: Is the old team planning to liquidate?
ETH dropped below 2500, and the ETF line looks even worse: 9 consecutive days of net outflow, totaling $540 million.
BlackRock's own ETHA withdrew $440 million that week, almost the main force behind institutional sell-offs.
There is also good news: Unichain will upgrade to Optimism's OP Enterprise on October 29.
My personal view: The foundation's address depositing to exchanges is visible mid-to-long-term selling pressure, which is another way to interpret the ETF outflows.
My $2,500 top-up position is stuck, out of sight, out of mind.
No short-term catalysts, ETH just grinds like this. $XAU Gold is still tradable, with support around 4100 and resistance near 4220, oscillating back and forth. Previously, gold and silver moved first, while BTC and ETH lagged behind.
Today, go long between 4146-4100, with a stop loss if it breaks below the previous low of 4073. If U.S. Treasury bonds continue to fall, gold will get some breathing room.$DOGE | Short positions explode, all three positions turn green
Last night oil prices surged (Brent crude broke 106), Houthis attacked Saudi Arabia, inflation expectations heated up, BTC fell from 84254 to 81500. The fear and greed index dropped from 69 to 57, bulls retreated.
$BTC short position: opened at 83111.9 / marked at 81559.65, floating profit +325U (ROI +39.23%). The Fed turned hawkish, US Treasury yield at 5.3%. Tomorrow's CPI will set the direction, defending below cost price.
$XRP short position: opened at 1.4167 / marked at 1.3347, floating profit +626U (ROI +123.93%). XRP ETF saw a net inflow of 11.3 million against the trend, inflows for 13 consecutive weeks, price fell, a shakeout before positive news. Defense lowered, hold if it does not recover above 1.38.
$ short position: opened at 0.08828 / marked at 0.081702, floating profit +801U (ROI +161.07%). Bitwise ETF liquidation closed, open contracts sharply reduced by 1.39 billion, leveraged bulls retreated. Defend below cost price. ETH/BTC exchange rate has fallen below 0.03 for the first time since 08.19 (the start point of this market cycle), but the whale's repositioning of $ETH has not stopped yet😲
"UBTC repositioning to $ETH whale" added again 10 hours ago, since yesterday has cumulatively swapped 837.78 $BTC for 27,501 ETH, with a total value exceeding 69.78 million USD, at an exchange rate of 0.03046Just saw a whale's position, really daring to hold. Holding 15,250 ETH long, entry price 2545, liquidation price 2489, less than $60 apart, basically dancing on the edge of a cliff, any small move could wipe it out.
Currently, the unrealized loss has narrowed to $238,000, but in the past 7 days, they've lost $10.12 million, with a total loss of $33.65 million. Losing this much and still throwing money in to average down, this is completely obsessed.
Honestly, with the liquidation price so close, any slight market shake is just handing the market a scalp. Position management isn't about who has the biggest guts, it's about who can survive longer. $ETHYesterday afternoon, people were still talking about a pullback to 84 waiting for CPI — but overnight it crashed sharply from 84360 down to around 81000, then recovered to about 82400 this morning. Monday's spring snap was directly broken.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
Answer: This is not a pullback, it's an overnight dump. 24-hour high was 84361, low about 81033, current price around 82450 — half a day wiped out three thousand points, the 83k weekend consolidation was also pierced. The knife is still hanging before the 10/14 CPI, I see today's rebound as just a breather.
My plan: No rush to bottom-fish near 82; those holding shorts shouldn't treat the overnight dump as the final chapter of the downtrend. First, let's see if 82000 can hold as a floor, then decide direction after CPI.
$BTC
Where do you stand now: A) Hold through CPI after the 81k dump, or B) Admit defeat, close shorts, and wait for the knife to fall before entering? Comment below, I'll reply one by one. #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test BTC dropped from 84,254 to 81,500.
You comfort yourself: "Only down 2%, no big deal."
Then you check altcoins—BOME down 30%, BLUR down 29%, STRK down 28%.
BTC only dropped 2.2%, your altcoins dropped 30%.
Brent crude broke $107 intraday, WTI surpassed $94. Six ships were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz in one day—4 oil tankers were hit by "unidentified projectiles" while exiting the strait.
Iran says the conditions for reopening the strait remain unchanged. Saudi Arabia launched 119 airstrikes against Yemen in 24 hours. Casualty numbers in the US-Iran conflict are being revised upward.
Geopolitical risk is being repriced. And for every dollar oil rises, the pressure on the Fed to hike rates increases.
The market expects September CPI to rise 0.6% month-over-month, the largest increase in five months, with a year-over-year rise to 3.6%.
But the real focus isn’t the 0.6%—that’s driven by oil prices, everyone knows that. Focus on core CPI. The expectation is 0.2%.
If core CPI is 0.2%, the Fed will be patient, and the market can breathe.
If core CPI is 0.4%, rate hike bets will come roaring back, and BTC’s 80K support might not hold.
The data isn’t out yet, but Wall Street has already written the script. Do you believe it?
BTC’s range: walls on both sides.
$87,000 tested multiple times, never broken.
$80,000 defended firmly, but buy volume is low.
Around $84,500 there’s about $180 million in sell order liquidity. Around $82,000 there’s buy support.
Before CPI is released, it’s likely to keep grinding here. Grinding until you lose patience.
QCP Capital points out that hedging demand is decreasing, implied volatility is rising but put option premiums are narrowing. The market is waiting for a breakout, not defending against a crash.
The 90K/95K/100K call butterfly spread expiring October 30 is the largest open interest concentration this month.
In plain language: someone is betting on an upside breakout, and the stakes are big. But the bet is on the end of October, not today.
BOME -30%, BLUR -29%, STRK -28%, CKB -22%, PONS -20%, ENA -15%, NEAR -13%.
BTC only down 2.2%, altcoins down 30%. "BTC sucking blood" at this stage isn’t a metaphor, it’s a massacre.
Altcoin season? Until the macro fog clears, there is no altcoin season. Don’t touch it. Don’t bottom-fish. Don’t think "it’s dropped so much it should rebound."
Finally, a word of truth.
Wait for CPI. Before Wednesday’s data drops, all directional bets are gambling.
Within the range (82K-84.5K) you can do short-term trades, but don’t go heavy. Don’t use leverage. Don’t think you’re smarter than the market.
$BTC $STRK $BZ #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 I got liquidated again today! Look at this full ashtray and the empty bucket—this is the masterpiece of my all-night struggle. I stared red-eyed at CORE's 1-minute chart, going long with 10x leverage, just hoping for a miracle.
And what happened? The market dipped steadily through the early morning, precisely hitting 0.01797, a single spike that liquidated me instantly! I couldn't hold on even for a second! What really makes me want to spit blood is that just as I got the liquidation message, the price immediately made a V-shaped reversal, pulling back hard to 0.01868! Looking at that big bullish candle, I really feel like the market makers have installed surveillance on my phone, watching my every move with nothing but scraps to trade.
All night, the water was wasted, the cigarettes were wasted, and my principal was completely wiped out. This spike from CORE was clearly designed to harvest me. I've finally realized that stubbornly holding CORE contracts only leads to the rooftop in the end. Brothers, learn from me—always set your stop loss properly, don’t fall at the darkest, lowest point before dawn like I did! I just want some peace, no one stop me... $BTC $CORE #CPIandPPIcomingsoon, interest rate hike expectations face a test DeepSeek's second round of financing is expected to reach 100 billion yuan, with CATL investing another 10 billion yuan, but the valuation has not increased
According to multiple sources cited by Caijing, DeepSeek is about to complete its second round of financing, with the fundraising scale increasing from the previously planned 50 billion yuan to about 100 billion yuan, doubling in less than half a month. However, the pre-investment valuation remains about 500 billion yuan and has not been adjusted upward with the expansion of the financing scale. Including the first round of over 50 billion yuan completed in June, if this round is successfully closed, DeepSeek's total financing in half a year will reach about 150 billion yuan.
The proposed investment amounts from new and existing shareholders each account for about half. Among them, CATL plans to invest another 10 billion yuan in this round after investing about 5 billion yuan in the first round. Existing shareholders such as Tencent and IDG Capital also plan to continue increasing their stakes. New investors include Shixi Capital, SMIC Juyuan, CPE Yuanfeng, Junlian Capital, and Geely, mainly from the semiconductor, automotive, and other industrial chains. DeepSeek has also been deepening industrial cooperation; in August, it spent 141 million yuan to participate in the strategic placement of Yushu Technology's IPO, committing to a 36-month lock-up. Yesterday, Bloomberg reported that DeepSeek plans to lead a tens of millions of dollars seed round investment in the robotics AI startup Winverse AI, with a post-investment valuation of about 400 million USD. The company was founded by Hu Han, former head of embodied intelligence research at Tencent, and the deal has not yet been finalized.CPI Night: No guessing on rises or falls, just preparing plans
CPI and PPI are appearing one after another. The real test is not the numbers themselves, but how the interest rate hike path will be rewritten. BTC, ETH, ZEC holders, it's best to turn off your emotions first.
If inflation exceeds expectations on both fronts, the market will reprice rate hikes: the US dollar and US Treasury yields will rise, and risk assets will come under pressure. BTC will fall first, ETH will be weaker, and highly elastic small coins like ZEC will retract more fiercely; gold will also struggle to remain unscathed. Don't rush to catch the falling knife at this time; the mid-slope is the easiest place to get buried.
If the data is below expectations, concerns about rate hikes will cool down, US Treasury yields will fall back, and risk assets will get a breather. BTC's rebound space opens, small coins recover, and gold strengthens. But this looks more like a range repair, not the starting gun of a bull market; resistance above still exists.
Last week's pullback was just an oversold correction; the trend has not reversed. ETH is weaker, funds still prefer BTC; ZEC is volatile, a single daily bullish candle does not indicate a trend reversal. Macro determines direction; candlesticks are just emotions.
My judgment: this time it feels more like "cooling down but not cold enough," so I won't chase highs or bottom-fish; I'll wait for the data to land before following. Are you leaning toward heat or cooling? $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 The decline is still continuing, FIL is very weak, and there should be a lot of room left. The halving landed on October 15, which is a long-term positive news, but after it lands, it will definitely be bearish.
$FIL After falling from the high of 1.2636, the overall trend has turned bearish. The 15-minute Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the price is running close to the lower Bollinger Band. The moving averages also form a top-down suppression pattern.
Although there was a small rebound repair at the short-term low of 1.0703, this rebound was very weak and did not reverse the downtrend structure; it was just a brief pause after a big drop.
The market lacks sufficient buying support, and there is obvious resistance in the 1.12-1.13 range above, making it difficult for the rebound to continue.
The fundamental selling pressure expectation persists, and in a generally weak market sentiment environment, the rebound is very likely to trigger another downward move.
Once the low support at 1.0703 is broken, it will trigger a new round of stop-loss selling, further opening the downside space.I still have 12 positions in hand
10 of them are profitable
$LIT previously said it wanted to reach 2u
Keeping the promise, it must get below 2u
Won't sell unless it reaches that level
Just to prove it can go down
The unlock date for $PUMP has arrived
Today it also dropped along the trend
The downtrend is already very obvious
Opening long positions now would just be feeding the fire
Better to follow the trend
$OFC is one of the only two losing positions among so many
It's really frustrating, no matter what it just doesn't rise
New lows again and again, large token unlocks every month
Where is the bottom for OFC? Feels like there is no bottom
No matter where you enter, it's always at the peak A great victory! This round of Mi Shen's double top strategy → early resistance to rebound → pressure level to fill the short → secondary confirmation to capture value, the whole system runs perfectly. Those interested can trace back the entire October Mi Shen strategy; after reading it, you will definitely be amazed. Back to the point, when I feel things are going smoothly, I need to be even more cautious. The lesson of carelessness causing loss has been learned many times. Controlling drawdown is sometimes more important than anything else. News: The Russia-Ukraine ceasefire didn't last a day; Ukraine attacked energy facilities again. Wednesday's CPI once again emphasizes its importance. There isn't much else, as the upcoming news is dense, and for now, the technical side dominates. That may change later, so take advantage of the recent clear technical signals and precise levels to capture as much value as possible. BTC: As expected, today's market view is simple. 80220-81750 is the first previous low point. Regardless of whether it goes down later, a W double bottom structure can be considered in the short term. But a rebound is not a reversal; the double bottom is also an attempt. If the previous low cannot hold, there may be even lower levels, with 78500-80220 also entirely possible below. For intraday operations, be careful. First, reject FOMO emotions. Many have seen Mi Shen's strategy but didn't get on board. Here's a reminder: don't try to make a big move to make up for the value you should have taken earlier. This kind of action is wrong. Your position size should be determined only by the signal level of the market, not by what you missed or lost.$FIL FIL is currently around $1.23–$1.25, up about 12%–14% in 24 hours, with a rapid short-term surge from around $1.09, having broken through the $1.20 resistance. On the upside, first watch $1.27–$1.30, then $1.35–$1.40; if volume supports a stable hold above $1.30, the short-term structure can be considered truly strong. Support is at $1.18–$1.20, with a key defense level at $1.15; if broken, it may retest $1.10 or even $1.05. The mid-term is driven by expectations of token release ending on October 15, but beware of the "buy the rumor, sell the fact" risk. Overall, it is event-driven with a slightly strong oscillation, and the trend continuation should be judged after a pullback that does not break $1.15.The two most concentrated trapped positions in ETH right now are very clear: bulls are trapped between 2610—2630, and bears are trapped between 1950—2140. Before the midterm elections, it won't be easy to resolve these two areas all at once; more likely, there will be repeated oscillations to wash out positions.
Yesterday, the top near 2549 was given; although it didn't fully reach 2578, the position was fairly accurate. Today, the focus is on whether the top at 2447 can be tested by a rebound; if it can't hold here, it indicates a weak rebound, and we need to watch for a pullback near 2394.38 or even around 2349.
Now is not the time to blindly chase longs. High leverage is easily stopped out by spikes. Wait first to confirm the rebound strength near 2447 before deciding whether to do a short-term pullback or continue to probe lower. Do you think ETH can reach back to 2447 today, or will it break down directly to 2394? Let's discuss in the comments. The above is only personal observation and does not constitute investment advice.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
#Russia and Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? In the PUMP whale sample, the short position scale is about $71.6 million, while the long position is only $29.8 million, with shorts approximately 2.4 times the longs. In the position snapshot at 09:44 Beijing time on October 13, HYPE and ZEC also show heavier short positions, but to varying degrees.
ByKaranteli scanned the Hyperliquid public leaderboard, ranking the top 1000 accounts by account value, with all 1000 responding. HYPE longs are about $388.8 million, shorts $454.8 million; ZEC longs $114.9 million, shorts $202.5 million. PUMP comes from a meme issuance platform; the three are compared here for the same batch of large accounts' contract positions.
This is the scale of open contracts, not the money flowing in today. The sample may include market makers and hedging positions; a single platform's large accounts may have more shorts, which cannot be directly interpreted as bearish for the entire market. What is worth monitoring next is whether the number of positions continues to change, not just focusing on the USD valuation.
Source: ByKaranteli original position table and methodology explanation; snapshot at 01:44 UTC, captured at 09:52 Beijing time, image from the original page. The actual breakdown for the three coins is in the table below, with related spot market navigation provided underneath. $PUMP $HYPE $ZEC #VolatilityRadar: Coin Movement Observation Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated by order book
$DOS large buy cost rising. Simulated slippage for a 100,000 scale buy increased from 1.95% to 2.16%.
$BLUR sell costs for two levels both rising. Simulated sell slippage: 10,000 increased from 0.13% to 0.17%, 100,000 increased from 0.96% to 1.13%.
$BOME large sell cost decreasing, small sell cost almost unchanged. Simulated slippage for a 100,000 scale sell decreased from 0.89% to 0.80%. 10,000 sell still about 0.10%. What's going on with $BTC?
It swept up and down twice in four hours, never-ending?
Bear trap? Bull trap?
Shakeout? Accumulation?
Candlestick shadows intertwine, volume fluctuates wildly, both bulls and bears are being toyed with. The account's floating profit shrinks bit by bit, feeling exhausted. Luckily, the stop loss was set properly, didn't keep staring at the chart, or I'd have been slapped in the face repeatedly, countless times in operation. Is this just teasing the bulls and bears?
Is a trend change coming? Southbound or northbound, give a clear word.
Personal view: --
Personal operation: No adding positions, no trading, maintain long.
Damn capital!
First knock you down, then become you!
When I have money, I'll also be a market maker.Real trading record day 183!
The storage trio took another hit before the market opened. $MU Micron fell 5.01%, $SNDK SanDisk dropped 5.55%, and $SKHYNIX SK Hynix declined 6.30%. SanDisk has closed down on six of the last seven trading days!
The trigger is still ChangXin Memory. Its 4F² DRAM architecture has made a key breakthrough, planning to launch server memory products by the end of the year, raising market concerns about changes in the competitive landscape, with Micron taking the brunt.
On the other hand, Samsung and Hynix’s combined roughly $40 billion buyback plan was terminated early, removing support; foreign investors have net sold Korean tech stocks for five consecutive days, with a single-day net sell scale reaching $1.3 billion.
The fundamentals haven’t collapsed, but the double whammy of valuation and sentiment continues. Don’t rush to catch the falling knife.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元
#俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 $BTC 10.13 Big Coin
Entry: Rebound near 826-830 Bamboo shoot above 835 Target 814-804-798
The main downtrend wave started from the high point of 84361, with a short-term drop of over 3300 points, characterized by a volume-increasing breakdown; the subsequent rebound neither broke through the midpoint of the downtrend wave nor created a new stage high, maintaining an overall "lower highs, lower lows" descending structure, with no fundamental change in the bearish trend.
The rebound after bottoming is a volume-reducing correction, without a volume breakout of key resistance levels, indicating weak active buying from bulls, mostly a passive rebound caused by short-term profit-taking from bears rather than a trend reversal driven by incremental buying; once the rebound sentiment fades, bears can easily regain strength to push prices down again.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, testing rate hike expectations #BTC and ETH spot ETFs are flowing out simultaneously, is institutional demand weakening? #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ TSMC's Q3 revenue hit a record high at 1.49 trillion New Taiwan Dollars, up nearly 51% year-over-year, directly surpassing the high end of its financial forecast, with cumulative revenue for the first nine months already exceeding last year's total. I believe AI demand is genuinely strong; Blackwell is still carrying the load, Rubin and ASIC are also starting to ramp up, and advanced process utilization rates are ridiculously high.
What really needs to be watched in the October 15 earnings call is whether the gross margin can hold steady above 65%, and whether the N2 ramp-up and overseas factory costs will significantly dilute profits. The Q4 guidance and whether the full-year USD revenue growth rate will be revised upward from "slightly above 40%" are also key points. Whether the capital expenditure range of $60-64 billion changes is equally worth monitoring.
I suggest not just focusing on revenue numbers; profit margins and next year's demand visibility are the keys to whether the stock price can continue to rise. The data already shows AI is far from over, but cost pressures are rising. $BTC $SOL SOL FELL 12.80% IN SEVEN DAYS, YET SIT +36.19% OVER 90 DAYS. The daily chart shows a 124.96 high, then a slide to 105.25. Volume stays modest on the red candles. I'm treating this as a pullback inside a larger gain until the 90-day picture changes.
Does the 7D drop matter more than 90D?
#SolanaCutsSlotsTo350ms # Lansce | October 13 SOL Daily Market Analysis $SOL
【Today's Silk Road】
Short order: rebound in the 105.3—106.3 range to short
Take profit: first target 103.8—103.3, second target 102.4—102.0
【Core Conclusion】
SOL shows greater volatility, with the morning session continuously selling off from the high of 108.79, dipping to a low of 101.56, then quickly rebounding to 104.51. MACD green bars below zero axis narrow, fast and slow lines turn up at low levels, indicating a short-term need for corrective rebound. However, the previous downtrend was on high volume, and resistance above remains obvious; do not treat this rebound as the start of a new uptrend.
【Game Details】
The 105.3-106.3 range above is a short-term resistance zone, likely to face resistance upon rebound to this level. Wait to confirm price weakness before lightly shorting, looking toward support below. If volume increases and price stabilizes above 106.3, this short order Silk Road strategy will be abandoned. #SOL continues its uptrend, with capital and on-chain demand resonating together Brothers, this wave can be kept as a family heirloom; this should be the peak. I'm holding until it hits zero.
$STRK The overall structure of STRK has completely formed a sustained bearish trend. After the previous high of 0.12680 peaked, it has been declining stepwise. Each small rebound is followed by a new lower low, with a very clear downtrend rhythm.
From the 15-minute chart, the short-term moving averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 have intertwined and formed bearish pressure again. The current slight sideways movement is just a brief pause in the downtrend, not a stable reversal.
During this sideways consolidation, buying support remains weak, with no major funds stepping in to support the bottom. Only short-term bottom-fishing funds are temporarily competing, and the existing selling pressure continues to accumulate.
The Layer sector's overall sentiment is weak. If the broader market weakens again, this brief sideways range is very likely to break down directly.
The previous low support at 0.08203 has very little strength. Once broken, it will trigger a large number of stop-loss orders causing a chain reaction of selling. The bearish space will fully open, and the risk of a sustained deep decline is very high. Don't blindly bottom-fish just because the price is low. # Lansce | October 13th ETH Market Analysis for Today $ETH
【Today's Silk Road】
Short order: Rebound in the 2465—2480 range to short
Take profit: First target 2425—2415, second target 2408—2405
【Core Conclusion】
ETH follows BTC's market trend, with an early high of 2526.28, then a steady drop to a low of 2407.50, followed by a bottom test and rebound along with the broader market. Current price is 2451.19. MACD shows shrinking green bars at the low level, with the fast and slow lines turning upward into a golden cross, indicating short-term rebound momentum. However, moving averages still press above the price, so this rebound is a pullback during a downtrend, facing heavy resistance above.
【Game Details】
The 2465-2480 range is a short-term strong resistance zone; rebounds reaching here tend to face pressure and fall back. Wait for confirmation that upward momentum is weak before lightly shorting again. If volume surges and price stabilizes above 2480, this short order strategy will be abandoned. #ETH strong rally, shorts liquidated over $1.1 billion LIT dropped to $3.2214 in early trading, with the 8 o'clock hourly candle trading about $1.88 million, nearly 6 times the median hourly volume of the past 24 full hours.
On OKX spot, the price fell from $3.3826 to $3.2525 during this hour. At 9:52, it rebounded to $3.318, still below the 8 o'clock opening price. The 24-hour volume is about $11.33 million, with roughly $80,000 in orders placed 1% above and below the current price.
My judgment is that the rebound has not yet overturned the early trading volume-driven decline. A low point recovery can easily make people hastily conclude the downtrend has stopped, but the volume and closing position at 8 o'clock remain. If a full hourly candle later shows volume and closes back at $3.3826, I will reconsider this bearish assessment.
$LIT The moment I smashed this clove of garlic with a knife, everyone in the kitchen should understand—the problem isn’t the garlic, it’s the supplier.
This batch from Ledger is just like a restaurant that flaunts a Michelin star but actually sources from a small workshop in Southeast Asia. The official statement says the system wasn’t hacked, the direct sales channels are clean, and the only confirmed device had unauthorized implants inserted—this isn’t spoiled ingredients, it’s someone throwing an unknown powder into your pot in the kitchen. Eighty-six million-dollar-level suspected losses are on the books, the numbers haven’t been fully verified, the chain hasn’t been fully locked down, but that burnt smell is already wafting over the pot’s edge.
What do cooks fear most? Not the cost, but unclear sourcing. You pay a high price for a cold wallet to lock your private keys in a temperature-controlled safe, but the middleman adds an ingredient without your knowledge. The "main dish" for retail investors is no longer safe because the plate holding the main dish was handed over by someone else. This is the real heat—not the glaringly spicy chili of leverage that you immediately feel on your tongue; it’s chili powder mixed into flour, burning your stomach only after you swallow.
The European buyer also reported a suspicious component, but it hasn’t been verified yet. Unverified ingredients don’t go on the table—that’s the rule. But common sense in the kitchen is: when someone at the table has already found a foreign object, you shouldn’t argue "only one dish has a problem" first; you should check where the cold chain record broke along the entire supply chain.
Is the risk confined to just one channel? From the chef’s perspective, it depends on two things—whether the implant happened after factory shipment, during logistics, or in storage; and what proportion of devices that channel handled. The official line is "a few devices, system intact," which is a nice presentation, but presentation isn’t ingredient traceability.
My judgment is like a layered dish: the base layer is a hardware trust crisis, the middle layer is a quality control black hole in the middleman channel, and the top layer is those eighty-six million-dollar figures. Most people only focus on the cream on top and forget that if the base collapses, the whole dish is ruined.
Tokens like $xAVGO, which are linked to US stocks, now play the role of dessert—when the main course has problems, no one has an appetite for dessert; liquidity shrinks first, volatility rises first. It’s not spoiled itself, but the guests at the table have already put down their knives and forks.
A truly five-star kitchen never outsources quality control to the conscience of distributors. Where the chip is soldered, who signed the firmware, which port the goods entered from—these records are more like a recipe than any "our system is secure" statement.
The pot is still hot, and the scallions are already burnt at the edges. Whether to take the whole pot away depends on how many people in the kitchen are willing to admit—the seasoning was brought in by themselves. #ledgerresellersecurityBTC short-term strategy suggestions:
Open short positions: Firmly hold short positions entered below 84,262, move stop loss down to 83,100 (profit-taking buffer). Targets: 80,960 (reduce 1/4) → 80,316 (reduce 1/4) → 79,450-80,300 (reduce another 1/4) → 78,500-78,900 (close all)
Add to short: Add shorts on rebound to 82,200-82,600, stop loss at 83,150, targets as above; chase shorts if breaking below 81,500, stop loss at 82,100, targets 80,300/79,450
C wave end reversal (next 1-3 days): At 78,500-79,500, if a "lowest volume (<5 billion) + long lower shadow/engulfing + Delta divergence (>-500 million) + 15-minute bottom fractal" triple signal appears, close shorts and reverse to long, aiming for X wave rebound to 82,000-84,000, stop loss at 78,000
Risk control red line (shorts): Volume recovery above 83,650 (lower edge of the iron curtain) → halve short positions; recovery above 84,400 → stop all losses (double top failure, entering a larger scale consolidation)
Long position handling: For longs trapped between 83,000-84,000, reduce positions on any rebound above 82,200 during C-5; strictly wait for the triple signal at 78,500-79,500 to bottom fish, avoid catching falling knives
Current status: 81,596, located mid C-5
$BTC #Orbit Daily Report The waveform on the monitor suddenly changed from a regular sinus rhythm to ventricular fibrillation—that was my first reaction when I saw the XPL linked with the US stock Token target this morning. It's not that the price drop made you uncomfortable; it's that the myocardium itself is ischemic.
Don't rush to perform defibrillation yet. What we need to do is angiography to find the plaque causing the blockage. The linkage between XPL and the US stock Token target is essentially not a coincidence of two independent hearts stopping, but an embolus falling from the same aortic arch—that is, liquidity. When macro funds start to contract, the first to necrose is always the myocardium with the poorest collateral circulation, meaning targets with small market cap, shallow depth, and oxygen supplied by narrative. XPL's perfusion pressure depends on the sustained positive inotropic support of risk appetite; once the market "main pump" ejection fraction declines, it can't even compensate with tachycardia.
I've seen too many peers make the mistake on stage: when bleeding occurs, they only focus on applying gauze without finding the bleeding point. Here it means—when it drops, just add positions until the position necroses. This is emotional treatment, not precise diagnosis. The real lesion lies in the structural shift of funding rates and the distribution of open contracts; that is the electrophysiological substrate of the myocardium, determining whether the next arrhythmia will become sustained.
Now, let's talk about the surgical plan. The first thing you need to do is intraoperative transesophageal echocardiography—that is, look at the cost distribution map of your holdings. If costs are highly concentrated in a narrow range, it means this myocardium still has contraction reserve but is temporarily suppressed; if costs are scattered like buckshot, it indicates diffuse fibrosis, and any minor stress may trigger irreversible heart failure. The "ventricular remodeling" speed of targets like XPL is much faster than blue chips, so don't apply the recovery cycle of large caps to it.
Next, position management is the flow control of extracorporeal circulation. You can't give a patient with heart function class III full flow—that's overperfusion and will drown the lungs. Similarly, exposure on high-volatility targets must be back-calculated by stroke volume, not by your courage. Stop loss is not failure; it's a safety check before aortic occlusion. Surgeons all know the most dangerous thing is not the bleeding itself, but that you think you can endure it after bleeding.
From a long-term prognosis perspective, the true value of these linked targets is not in short-term ECG but whether they can be the first to restore autonomous circulation in the next perfusion recovery. Having a heartbeat doesn't necessarily mean survival; those who survive must have well-reconstructed collateral circulation. So what you need to watch now is not the price, but the volume distribution, the return of funding rates, and whether the market's ejection fraction has stabilized.
My last words before stepping down: the heart won't beat just because you want it to. #okxtradervoices Today a brother told me that staying up late every day to watch the market is too exhausting, and he wants to do a fixed investment plan, asking me for good recommendations.
This really stumped me. It's not that there are no good coins, but this kind of thing is best decided by yourself.
Of course, I still gave some advice:
First, fixed investment has always been what I consider the most stable way to make money in the crypto world, but very few people are willing to do it.
The reason I say it’s stable for making money is that if you look at the gains of mainstream coins over the years, holding long-term itself can make money.
So why are people unwilling to do this?
Because people who come to the crypto world can roughly be divided into two types: one type has their own trading system and looks down on fixed investment as a "no skill" approach; the other type wants to make quick money, and fixed investment is too slow and requires persistence, which they simply can’t endure, and the latter accounts for the vast majority.
Essentially, fixed investment is actually very suitable for beginners or people with average risk tolerance—it doesn’t require watching the market or timing, just discipline to carry it out.
The real skill in fixed investment lies in choosing the target.
With the same fixed investment, some people have high returns, some have average returns, and the difference lies here.
It’s not necessary to only choose BTC or ETH, as long as it can withstand bull and bear markets, has no risk of going to zero; has good liquidity, can be traded on mainstream platforms, and has a relatively high market cap; and has fundamental support. If you endure until the next bull market, you will most likely make money.
Fixed investment is not a get-rich-quick strategy; it’s a strategy to exchange time for certainty.
Choose the right target and stick to it, that’s enough. #MustSeeForBeginners: Here is everything you need @OKX成长学院 Do not easily judge the end of the decline; the end of the decline is not that quick!
1. From the perspective of ETF fund flows, recent ETF funds have been in a net outflow state. Although the outflow situation has decreased recently, as long as there is no large net inflow, it means external buying is cautious, so there won't be large funds supporting the bottom, nor will there be a significant rally. Without a big rally, there won't be good profits for us to take.
2. This morning, the stock market and the storage sector both fell sharply. I also experienced some losses on Micron. However, from a technical pattern perspective, there is no sign of recovery. It feels like this decline is just the beginning. If large-cap stocks cannot stop falling, then don't expect a very good follow-up market.
3. Gold is also very weak, showing a downward trend on both daily and hourly charts. As mentioned before, gold and Bitcoin have a linkage effect, and gold tends to move first. So if gold does not stop falling, do not easily be bullish on Bitcoin.
Personal operation:
Bitcoin has already made a small rebound, and I have entered short positions again. Because I have not seen a stop signal for gold or the overall stock market (A-shares, Korean stocks, Nasdaq).The recent bottom rebound in the market is clearly a bull trap; I don't plan to be shaken out for now.
$ETH short position opened at an average price of 2701.99, with an unrealized profit rate of 900.33%; $AAVE short position opened at an average price of 163.71, with an unrealized profit rate of 233.33%. High leverage positions fluctuate greatly, and this kind of rebound is most likely to disrupt the mindset. There could be sudden spikes sweeping back and forth at any time. I will continue to observe and see if this bull trap ends quickly.
Are there any friends also holding shorts? Let's discuss whether to hold on and wait for further decline or to partially take profits to hedge risk.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
#Russia and Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? Latest: The weekly MACD momentum of #BTC has just turned positive, after being negative for 44 consecutive weeks.👀
Historically, this marks the beginning of a bull market.🚀