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I got into virtual currency purely by chance. My friend kept talking about $BTC every day. He said it could turn things around, and I was intrigued. I tried it out with a few hundred bucks. After buying, the price dropped, and I scratched my head in frustration. I didn't even dare to order takeout those days. I checked the market as soon as I opened my eyes and still thought about it before sleeping. Later, it went up a bit. I quickly sold and made enough to buy a spicy hot pot. That was the extent of my courage. Then I tried $ETH. The transfer fees were so high I gasped. Once it got stuck for a long time, and I thought my money was gone. Later, I heard $SOL was fast. I got itchy hands and jumped in again. It was really fast, but when it got congested, I really wanted to curse. After messing around for more than half a year, I didn't make much money. But my dark circles got deeper. Some people in the group shouted trade signals and disappeared afterward. There were tons of screenshots showing profits, but those who lost money stayed silent. I chased highs and got stuck, and I also cut losses. Chasing highs meant standing on the peak, cutting losses was followed by a rebound. That feeling was like hitting myself. Later, I learned my lesson and only used spare money. Losing it wouldn't affect my meals. No borrowing, no leverage, no risking everything. If I don't understand a project, no matter how hyped it is, I don't touch it. Being able to sleep at night is better than anything. Don't get cocky when you win, don't get stubborn when you lose. There are opportunities in this field, but even more traps. Don't risk your life; if you have to work, then work. That's about it, lessons I learned the hard way. #BTC spot ETF sees largest single-day net outflow in nearly three and a half months #Check in with OKX at 2049 #US and Russia reach diesel supply arrangement, but Hormuz risk remains unresolved Help, I've realized I now have a conditioned reflex to ZEC. Whenever I see it suddenly surge, my heart skips a beat and I quickly open the market to avoid missing anything. But after watching for a while, I don't find any particularly big news. Before, I would definitely imagine: did institutions buy again? Did some whales get insider info? Now, after being educated by the market, I've finally learned to first doubt my own assumptions haha. For a volatile coin like ZEC, a short-term surge might just be short sellers covering, or maybe a platform lacks liquidity, so a bit of buying pressure pushes the price up. The most annoying part is, when you excitedly chase in, it starts grinding down slowly. It rises in three minutes but grinds down for three hours, really testing your patience. But despite the complaints, I still have feelings for Zcash. I've always believed privacy is a direction worth pursuing, and I hope it can develop better. I've just learned to be wiser now: when I see a sudden spike, I first check volume and position changes, and don't rush in impulsively. Please, $ZEC, if you want to rise, just rise properly. Don't keep tricking me into riding your roller coaster!$CORE is very strange. Obviously, everyone who invested in this thing has lost money, yet there always seems to be a consensus that this thing is the real deal. But when asked what exactly the real deal is, no one can clearly explain it. It seems everyone believes this public chain coin is not just an air coin. In fact, this is an illusion created by long-term brainwashing and subconscious perception. The project team has long been instilling the Bitcoin concept, constantly tying it to Bitcoin, which makes everyone feel like it is something real. In my view, this coin is no different from other pure air coins that have no constructed applications, which rise a little and fall a lot. To put it bluntly, it’s just an air coin. It just happens to have some application support, that's all. No matter how grand the narrative is, or how appealing the story sounds, with the price languishing for a long time and only falling without rising, I cannot express any other evaluation of it in different words.Today's gossip: A whale wallet that had been dormant for 9 years woke up, depositing 2903 ETH into an exchange and gaining 250x returns. Everyone is pondering this. K-line: I already knew about this one. Me: I saw it too. The difference is, it has already moved. $ETH, intraday +0.53% #September FOMC minutes released, majority of officials favor another rate hike Thoughts may not be correct, risk at your own discretion. Saw news from North Dakota that over 90 US banks and credit unions have started using Solana for interbank transfers. Settlement time is 400 milliseconds. They use Roughrider Coin, a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar, with Fiserv providing the payment platform, and banks connect directly through corporate online banking systems. I stared at the words "400 milliseconds" several times. Previously, inter-institution transfers required overnight batch processing; now it's 24/7, instant. This isn't a pilot—banks are really using it. Honestly, two years ago, I might have thought this was just a PPT presentation. But this time it's different. Banks use Solana not to speculate on coins, but because the settlement is truly fast. Traditional financial institutions have always been cautious about on-chain settlement, but this group of banks in North Dakota has directly moved their daily transfers onto it. Stablecoin settlement on $SOL has shifted from a "concept" to "routine." This change won't show up on the K-line charts, but the underlying momentum is rising. Banks' money is starting to run on Solana, which is more tangible than any narrative. Take it slow.$MAGIC Since AK opened a short position at 0.068 with a liquidation price at 0.148, I thought it was stable. But then they pumped it to 0.16 the same day, and I realized that meme coins don't follow logic. What you think is just what you assume; your limit is only the beginning for it.*xXIAOMI at 3.270 (+0.52%)* xXIAOMI hit 3.606 high then fell hard to 2.972 low, like old pattern where a fast pump is followed by a long sell-off. Now it is showing strong reversal above MA5 3.141 and MA10 3.146, with MA20 3.264 as next resistance. Big green volume candle is back and 24h volume 865K shows buyers returning. If 3.20 holds, bounce to 3.40-3.50 is likely. Breakdown below 3.10 could retest 2.97. BTC's 0.9% gain is outpacing ETH and SOL, but the spread is too narrow to call it broad participation. With bond yields, oil supply and FOMC concerns trending, this looks like cautious accumulation rather than a decisive risk-on move. Not financial advice.$BABYDOGE BabyDoge's latest whitepaper is a carefully packaged fraud manual. The whitepaper promises "quarterly community burns, with official 1:1 matching," which sounds sincere. But on-chain data doesn't lie: over five years, the project's so-called "buyback burns" have no real transaction records. The project team forces community investors to burn tokens themselves, while the developers' tokens have never been touched. Tens of millions of dollars worth of tokens unlocked monthly continue to flow to exchanges, quietly draining liquidity. The whitepaper paints a "flywheel" picture: Goods sell dog food, Swap runs a DEX, Merch sells hoodies, with income used for buyback burns. But how can a project that has never executed a real buyback convince anyone it will have income in the future? A team that spreads false propaganda daily and refuses to accept or listen to the truth—why should anyone trust your promises? Even more alarming is the team composition. The whitepaper does not disclose any core developer identities, and community investigations show the project team changed personnel two years ago. Meanwhile, BabyDoge has been exposed to have a cooperative relationship with market maker GOTBIT, who has been arrested by the U.S. Department of Justice for market manipulation. Charity is the best disguise. Donations, Guinness records, 50 stray dogs entering a mall—these things really happened, but behind every charitable expense, millions of holders' real money is systematically siphoned off. Open your eyes, blacklist and stay away from teams that use dogs to harvest faith and investors' money $DOGE $SHIB 我觉得别拿周末横盘当情绪好了。正好一年前今天清算超190亿美元;这周低点又摸过约8.04万。现货约82556美元(北京10:33,Coinbase)。Bitwise那个狗狗币ETF要清算了,10月14号最后交易,22号给剩下的投资者分钱。资产规模掉到了72万5千美元,跟当初250万的种子资金比,蒸发了七成多。 说实话刚看到这个消息,我手机差点掉地上。ETF清算,听着就像天要塌了。 但我多看两眼,发现事情没那么吓人。Bitwise的CEO自己说了,他个人是持有狗狗币的,也挺喜欢这个资产,问题出在ETF投资者和加密应用用户之间有一道坎,走券商账户那帮人就是不愿意把钱投到DOGE上。说白了,是那条通道的人还没准备好,不是狗狗币本身出了啥毛病。 更重要的是,Bitwise关了不代表狗狗币ETF这条路就断了。灰度的GDOG还在跑,21Shares的TDOG也还在纳斯达克正常交易。一条路走不通,别的路还在走。而且SoSoValue的数据说,整个现货狗狗币ETF上周还净流入了32万7千多美元,连续第三周往里进钱。 一家关了,另一批还在开门接客。$DOGE 我不慌。Ledger的被盗,我虎躯一震,原来是因为硬件被经销商篡改了,可以监控和发送私钥。这是硬件钱包的其中一个风险之一,我之前,都是直接从官方直接买,买过来后,多方面验证,才敢用,并且不要只用一个硬件品牌,还有就是分散资金,到美股或黄金。如果要规避类似设备信用问题,用断网苹果手机,可以作为个人钱包,在离线状态下创建钱包,备份好私钥,虽然不是严格的冷钱包,但也足够安全了,而且有的钱包APP是支持NFC交互的,不需要联网,可以做到完全冷钱包的标准。如果你实在不想操作钱包,把钱分散到三个交易所,或者买美股上的btc也可以这两天STRK表现挺扎眼。 大盘还在震荡, STRK过去24小时上涨约: 23% 过去7天已经涨了接近: 69%。 现在流通市值大约5.1亿美元,24小时成交量接近3.85亿美元。 很多人第一反应可能是: “又一个老币突然被资金拉起来了?” 但这次背后确实有一个新故事。 Starknet公开表示: 正在认真考虑从Ethereum Layer 2变成独立Layer 1。 目的之一就是: 更快实现完整抗量子升级。 1️⃣ 先用一句话讲懂Starknet Starknet现在是一条Ethereum L2。 它最大的本事就是: 用STARK零知识证明帮Ethereum做大量计算。 简单理解: Ethereum负责最终安全, Starknet负责把大量工作先处理好。 所以过去研究Starknet, 核心一直是: ZK扩容。 但现在它明显不满足于只当一条L2了。 2️⃣ 为什么“抗量子”突然成了重点? 现在BTC、ETH大量使用的数字签名依赖椭圆曲线密码学。 理论上, 如果未来真正出现足够强的量子计算机, 这种密码体系可能受到挑战。 Starknet的STARK证明主要基于哈希函数,本身在这方面有"For players like this, I advise you to go back to work early." Honestly, some people I just want to advise to quit as soon as I see them. This industry isn't suitable for you, go find a job. I really don't understand why some people always like to open huge leverage positions and stubbornly refuse to set stop losses? You say they're afraid of losing, but they can accept liquidation; you say they're not afraid of losing, but asking them to set a stop loss is like asking for their life. In the end, they win a hundred trades but lose one big one. Look at this chart, 30-day win rate 84.72%, impressive, right? But the total profit is negative over twenty thousand dollars, assets wiped out. Typical operation: cutting profits faster than anyone else, running away from losses. The root cause of liquidation is never the market, it's leverage, luck, and no stop loss. Opening a position without a stop loss is like handing your life over to the market; one accident and you're wiped out. Now about $BTC Bitcoin. Currently above 82,000, non-farm payrolls only increased by 29,000, and rate hike expectations have cooled significantly. BlackRock's IBIT swallowed nearly 70 million dollars last week, institutional funds have had net inflows for three consecutive weeks. The 80,000 level below is a solid bottom, 85,000 above is the target. The structure is intact, the trend is unbroken. What you should do is not to gamble your life on 100x leverage. It's to follow the trend with light positions, set stop losses properly, and hold the trades you should hold. Can't control your hands? Then go home and work.过去DOGE只有一条链、一种用法,如今一周之内冒出两条Layer2抢同一批开发者——竞争本身,就是这个生态开始扩张的证据。 9月30日,MyDoge团队的DogeOS开放公共测试网。它是一条兼容EVM的ZK-Rollup,DOGE充当Gas,以太坊开发者改几行配置就能把合约搬过来,借贷、永续合约、稳定币、预测市场和游戏项目已经排队入驻,Dogecoin基金会董事公开站台。七天后,Metallicus在主网上线DogecoinVM Alpha,走另一条路:不做应用平台,专攻支付,确认时间压到0.15至0.25秒,老钱包和地址原样可用,瞄准银行和真实结算场景。 一条抢以太坊的存量开发者,一条抢支付机构。DogeOS的筹码是生态厚度——工具、流动性、用户全在EVM世界;DogecoinVM的筹码是速度和零迁移成本,但Alpha阶段单笔充值上限只有100枚DOGE,独立审计还没完成。 短期看,开发者会两头下注:写合约的去DogeOS,做支付的试DogecoinVM。长期胜负不取决于白皮书,而取决于谁先让普通用户在没有感知的情况下用上$DOGE 。Is this a shakeout or the eve of a breakout? All four mainstream coins have lost their short-term moving averages together. With your small position, should you panic or wait today? Just glanced at the market: BTC slipped from 82,527 to 81,295, ETH fell from 2,484 to 2,436, SOL dropped from 109.58 to 107.56, ZEC hit even harder, plunging from 1213 to 1,140. All four stocks are below the 15-minute MA5/10/20. This uniform weakness isn't just about individual coins—it's that short-term risk appetite has been repriced. In my own rhythm diary, the most common mistake this pattern makes is rushing to buy the dip. A full breakdown of the moving average indicates buyers are temporarily reluctant to buy above it, raising the cost of chasing long positions. But note, ZEC is an exception. If it can hold 1201, it might be the first to rebound among the four, because its decline structure is different from the other three—it seems more like it was being pulled down rather than actively weakening. The market is now trading not "whether it will fall," but "how deep it falls before it counts as re-priced." Once BTC 82400 drops, around 81500 becomes the next psychological barrier; after ETH 2477 falls, 2436 is the last short-term cover. After SOL breaks 109.16, whether 107.56 can hold will determine whether it will take the counterfeit to the next level. The path to a bullish side is: bulls reclaim their key moving averages, and ZEC stabilizes firstPump.fun要开合约了,50倍杠杆。 刚看到这消息我第一反应不是兴奋,是后背发凉。 它API里已经塞了150个合约市场,76个币、61只美股、13个大宗商品。页面还是404,但东西已经备好了。 问题就在这。 Pump.fun的主力用户是谁?是那批玩土狗、追盘子、几秒钟决定买不买的人。 现在给他们50倍杠杆。 以前亏完顶多归零,现在亏完还得倒欠。这不是升级,这是把赌场从一楼搬到天台。 短线看,这功能上线前后大概率有一波情绪炒作,平台币或者相关标的有可能被拉一下。 但那种钱我不太想赚。 真要盯,就等它上线那天看两件事:开仓量是不是虚的,爆仓数据会不会扎堆。 没看到这两个数之前,我先不动。 #美CFTC推进加密市场规则,SEC拟调整托管框架 $ZEC Big Brother Maji gave back $40 million in 20 days. 7 hours ago, he cut losses and closed positions on XPL, ASTER, and PUMP, realizing a loss of $21.53 million. Among them, he lost $18 million on just one XPL coin. He used to be the largest XPL long holder on Hype, opening a long at $1.4, enduring the continuous drop, and finally cutting at the low point. Within a week, he lost a total of $8.44 million, and his account value fell below $1 million again. From a floating profit of $5.8 million at the end of September to a current loss, it took less than 20 days. But he still holds the largest ETH long position on Hype: 9,950 ETH, valued at $24.68 million, with a liquidation price of $2,431.59. ETH is now around $2,480, less than $50 away from liquidation. From making $40 million to losing $8.44 million, he made one mistake—he didn’t exit when he was winning. During the rebound at the end of September, he had a floating profit of over $5 million. In early October, when asked if he would exit, he said he would hold on. Then the market dropped, floating profit turned into floating loss, floating loss turned into realized loss, and realized loss turned into cutting losses. Every time he thought "holding a bit longer will recover," but every time it was a new low. Retail investors lose money because they can’t hold on; he lost money because he held on too much. He held through profits, held through losses, held until the account was down to $1 million, and still held. The above is compiled from on-chain data and does not constitute any trading advice. $ETH $XPL $BTC This pot of $NMR is already burning to the edge, the flames licking the bottom of the pot. If I don't stir soon, it will burn—yet my instinct is to turn off the heat first, not add more ingredients. The current quote is $9.18, only up 2.41% in 24 hours, looking mild, like a slow-simmered clear broth. But if you lift the lid and look inside: the short-term RSI has climbed to 65.3, approaching my "overheat warning line," signaling a red light to short. The long-term RSI is only 45.5, hanging in the middle like lukewarm water—this is what I call **boiling on the surface but still cold at the bottom**, a classic case of uneven heat. Looking at the Bollinger Bands, this is what really makes me frown. The short-term price has already reached 112% of the band, with only -0.4% space left to the upper band, meaning the soup in the pot is just a breath away from overflowing; meanwhile, it still has +4.2% room to pull back to the lower band. The mid-term is a bit better, at 71%, with +1.6% buffer to the upper band. In kitchen terms: **this isn’t the main course being served, it’s the foam rising to the top.** My ratio judgment is straightforward: $NMR in this dish is "only suitable as seasoning, not the main course." A 2.41% rise in 24 hours can’t support a new menu, and the short-term RSI shooting to 65.3 is like a spoonful of extra spicy chili powder thrown into a cream soup—looks exciting but hurts the stomach when swallowed. The real main course should be stable; this kind of jumpy, upper-band-hugging movement makes me want to scoop it out of the wok and serve it to the customer to sell while it’s hot. My move is to short at $9.31—that’s a fake high 1.5% above the current price—placing a short order, which is the last foam on this pot of soup. 📉 Short: Entry: 9.31 (current price +1.5%) Take Profit 1: 8.82 (-3.9%) Take Profit 2: 8.63 (-5.9%) Stop Loss: 10.16 (+10.7%) The two take profit levels correspond to -3.9% and -5.9% pullbacks, just above the +4.0% vacuum zone near the lower band; the stop loss is set at +10.7%. If that level is hit, it means someone poured a whole bottle of strong liquor into the stove, and the fire is no longer under my control. Then I will immediately withdraw and accept the loss, never fighting to the end. Remember, the risk-reward ratio of this order isn’t pretty—stop loss at +10.7% versus take profit at -5.9%, relying on win rate and positioning. Too much spicy chili burns the stomach, so I’m only adding a small spoonful this time, definitely not turning up the heat. The aftertaste of this soup is not in this K-line clinging to the upper band.$LAYER $SOL 娘希匹!SOL这盘口看得我直冒火。外面静悄悄,盘口狗咬狗,全是资金在硬拉,狗庄这镰刀举得都快戳我脸上了。 109.92这个位置,K线一根阳线直接吞掉前面三根阴,量能放得跟不要钱似的。这位置洗得够狠,浮筹基本清干净了,狗庄想吃独食。 我不管别人怎么看,我自己先埋伏一层。止损搁在107.5,破了就认栽,别扛单。 这种磨人的行情,要么被甩下车,要么跟着喝汤。想一起蹲狗庄抬轿子的,行情卡片自己点进去看。👇👇👇 内容仅为个人复盘,不构成投资建议,仓位自控、止损必带。我最早是听朋友瞎聊才知道这玩意的。 他天天说 $BTC 能让人翻身。 我听多了,手就痒了。 拿了几百块,跟着买了一点。 买完第二天就跌,跌得我直挠头。 那阵子吃饭都不香,老想摸手机。 后来涨回来一点,我赶紧卖了。 赚了顿烧烤钱,胆子反而大了。 又去碰 $ETH,转账费贵得我直咧嘴。 有次等确认等到半夜,差点抱着手机睡着。 再后来听说 $SOL 快,手一痒又冲进去。 快是真快,堵起来也真想骂人。 折腾大半年,钱没赚多少。 黑眼圈倒是深了不少。 群里天天有人喊单,喊完就潜水。 晒盈利的截图一堆,亏钱的都不说话。 我追高被套过,割肉也割过。 追高站山顶,割肉就反弹。 那种感觉像自己抽自己。 后来学乖了,只用闲钱玩。 亏完也不影响吃饭那种。 不借钱,不加杠杆,不押身家。 看不懂的项目,吹上天也不碰。 晚上能睡着,比什么都强。 赚了不飘,亏了不较劲。 这行机会有,坑更多。 别把日子搭进去,该上班上班。 大概就这些,自己踩出来的。#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 #美俄达成柴油供应安排,霍尔木兹风险仍未解 $ETH :做多 策略: ·等待价格回踩至2480-2485区间(EMA均线密集支撑区及24小时低点附近)企稳后进多。 ·目标先看2520(24小时高点),有效突破则持有至2550-2600。防守止损设在2465下方。 核心依据: 1. 均线支撑有效:1小时级别EMA5/10/20高度粘合于2490附近,价格站稳三线之上,短线多头结构初步确立。 2. 底部放量反转:自2405低点放量深V反转,表明主力资金底部承接有力,空头动能明显衰竭。 3. 形态中继蓄势:当前高位缩量横盘,属于急跌后的修复及上涨中继形态。下方2473支撑清晰,回踩接多盈亏比更佳。 $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC $ETH $OKB 看了一圈盘面,我感觉很多人又要被这波反弹骗进去了 别看涨幅榜上好几百个币都在涨,有的甚至翻倍,实际上全是些八百年没人看的小币在那乱窜 大饼自己量缩得连昨天的零头都不到,4 小时成交量从 13 亿直接跌到 1 亿多,以太跟死狗一样卡在 2490 动都不动,SOL 连 110 都站不上,真正能撑场面的主力根本就没买 大票一动不动,只拉一堆小山寨吸引眼球,纯粹是拿小币拉盘给大票出货争取时间,大饼现在就在 82500 悬着,底下 82300 要是一破,这帮没量硬拉的山寨立马就得连环踩踏,我空单底仓已经挂在 82800 上面了,只要摸上去给机会我就继续加,止损直接放在 83500 前高,这波不把底下 80000 砸穿我都不带平仓的#9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 稳定币别当成绝对安全 $USDT 用的人最多 转账快但储备得盯着 $USDC 规矩些 出入金常用 也不是没风险 $DAI 走链上抵押 机制复杂 脱锚时照样慌 别只看名字带 stable 要看链 看费率 看赎回通道 小额试 别一把梭 高息理财多想想 利息从哪来 行情乱的时候 稳定币也会抖 自己多查 别懒 钱是自己的 亏了没人替#9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 美国政府1.1万枚BTC转入Coinbase,悬在头顶的达摩克利斯之剑 10月7日到9日,美国政府关联钱包向Coinbase Prime密集转入超过1.1万枚BTC,约合8.9亿美元。Arkham数据显示,这批币主要来自Bitfinex黑客案罚没和币安相关查获,其中2456枚还是新发现的持仓。 市场第一反应是抛售恐慌:BTC四连阴跌破83000美元,24小时爆仓4.11亿美元,86%是多单,恐惧贪婪指数掉到59,两个月新低。 但三个事实值得冷静看: 一,Coinbase Prime自2024年起就是美国法警局的指定托管商,转进去不等于要卖。2024年7月那笔2.97亿美元转过去,最后也没确认抛售。 二,2025年3月行政令明确罚没BTC纳入战略储备不得出售。这次Bitfinex案部分本来就有法院批准的返还流程,是还币不是砸盘。 三,政府手里共约32万枚BTC(255亿美元),这次只占3%多。71%因法律程序未结根本动不了。 真正的风险是市场的条件反射——每次政府钱包一动,先自己吓自己一轮。接下来盯:法警局是否表态、币有没有从托管转到交易热钱包、Bitfinex返还进度。 你觉得是真要卖,还是托管划转?$LTC 这一手,是先手方主动弃兵换来的通路兵——24H涨了2.9%,可价格已经贴在布林带上轨的94%位置,上方留给我的空间只剩0.2%,下方却敞着2.5%的通道。 这不是趋势,这是楚格茨旺。 我下的每一盘棋,落子前都要先算清二十步。现在盘面告诉我:短周期RSI在67.3,长周期61.1,双线同时逼近超买区,多头兵链已经推进到第八横线附近,却没有后续子力跟进。这是典型的过度扩张——我在这种局面上从来不做进攻方,我做等着。 看布林带结构:短周期与中周期同时把价格顶在93%至94%的天花板下,上下轨间距被压缩到极限。棋盘上这叫空间窒息,任何一步强行推进会立刻被反击。而我的反击点,设在48.60。 48.60这个坐标不是随手摆的。它距离当前价还有3%的纵深,是多头最后一次发起攻势所必须经过的格子。我把马停在那里,等他自己撞上来——这是先手换后手的经典手法。他在67.3的RSI上再冲一次,动能必然衰竭,那根上影线就是我落子时的钟声。 止损设在54.25,比当前价高出15%。有人说这个止损太宽,那是没算过残局的人。宽止损对应的是小仓位——我这一手只投入总兵力的两成。棋局里被吃掉一个兵不叫输,被抽掉一个后才是崩盘。15%的容错空间,换来的是不被他一次假突破的王翼冲锋把我将死。 至于目标,我不贪。第一个止盈44.75,从当前价看是负5.2%的回撤幅度,正好落在中周期布林下轨外侧——那是空头兵升变的格子,到了就必须兑现。第二个止盈45.87,负2.8%,是保守派的安全出口,如果多头在45.87附近组织还防,我就先兑子离场,把利润装进棋钟。 📉 空: 入场:48.60(当前价+3.0%) 止盈1:44.75(-5.2%) 止盈2:45.87(-2.8%) 止损:54.25(+15.0%) 我从不在中局最热闹的时候加注,我只在对手以为自己占优、开始催促下一步棋的那一刻,落子。 现在轮到他了。 #strategyplaybook$BTC This ID's view: After an initial sharp drop hitting a low of 80393, the price started a corrective rebound, but don't be blindly optimistic. Currently, it's just a rebound after a big drop; the pressure zone above still remains. If the rebound meets resistance, consider trying short positions. Entry: Enter short positions when the rebound touches the pressure zone and the market shows signs of weakening upward momentum. Stop loss: Set above the high point of this rebound. Chan theory structure: After the 30-minute level high of 86698 was formed, a downward consolidation zone was built, followed by a direct breakdown hitting the low of 80393. This current move is a pullback after the breakdown; the price has not successfully reclaimed the lower boundary of the previous downward consolidation zone. The larger-scale downtrend structure is not completely broken, so after the rebound ends, there is still potential for another downward test of the low. Wyckoff volume-price observation: When the breakdown occurred initially, volume was clearly high, indicating strong bearish momentum release. In contrast, this rebound shows significantly lower volume, a typical low-volume correction. Buying power is not strong, and without continuous capital inflow to support it, the sustainability of the rebound is questionable. Core observation: Focus closely on the upper pressure zone. If the rebound cannot break through this level, the rebound rally is very likely over; only if volume increases and the price stabilizes above the pressure zone should the original strategy be reconsidered."The true sense of security with $ETH has never been about buying at the lowest point. Your greatest security isn't catching that perfect bottom. It's that even if it keeps falling, you still have bullets in your hand, logic in your mind, a way out under your feet, and confidence in your heart. When will this $ETH market finally end? This round has shattered the confidence of so many genius traders. Some hope it breaks 20 million, others hope it breaks 30 million. Ultimately, we are all spectators of history. But how many liquidations must happen, how many USDT must be earned, how many losing nights must be endured before truly understanding this truth? Markets rise and fall, BTC and ETH swing back and forth, just like human emotions—changing on a whim. Maybe only when your heart is as calm as still water can you truly grasp the door to trading and deserve to enjoy this long journey. The road is still long; keep your heart steady and at peace. Current position of Good Dog: $ETH return rate: -48.1% Profit/Loss: -50.2 USDT This time, Good Dog is really walking on thin ice. Everyone, Hakimi included, must hold on! With this price and leverage, honestly, it's already very scary. Don't follow Xiao Ma in the future; use me as a cautionary example. This is only market logic and personal insight analysis, not investment advice."OKB Dollar-Cost Averaging Log: Daily 100U, Day 349 $OKB Price: $126.06 The biggest problem in the crypto industry remains security. Even hardware wallets like Ledger have issues. It feels safer to keep funds in centralized wallets as long as they don't run away, there might still be compensation. OKB now can only rely on Xlayer. Old Xu can't mention it openly yet, occasionally raising funds to pull a wave, waiting for new narratives and application scenarios. Funds Injected Today: 100 USDT | Coins Acquired: 0.79 OKB Total Funds Injected: 35025.13 USDT (Daily DCA: 34900U + Others: 125.13) | Coins Acquired: 372.65 OKB | Average Cost: 93.91 USDT | Profit: +11904.16 USDT (+34.09%) BTC rebounded from around $80K, but ETFs have seen continuous large outflows, and the funding environment remains cautious; the biggest new risk in the industry comes from a suspected security incident in Ledger's distribution channel. Meanwhile, Thailand is advancing BTC/ETH spot ETF compliance, and the US continues to hold historical crypto platforms accountable. Overall: Market short-term recovery, ETF capital under pressure, hardware wallet security risks heating up, and global regulation continuing to advance. #DollarCostAveraging #OKB #BTCSpotETFRecordsLargestNetOutflowInThreeAndAHalfMonths Any project that rushes to cap the building without paying attention to the load-bearing structure will ultimately pay the price during the inspection phase—$LRC This building is currently stuck at the basement inspection stage. As an architectural designer who has been immersed in blueprints for twenty years, I never look at model room decorations; I only look at the foundation drilling reports. Now the ground-penetrating radar data for $LRC has come back: 24-hour settlement is 2.21%, the price has been pushed down to around 0.01. This is not a collapse; it is normal expansion and contraction of settlement joints. But the key point is—the short-term Bollinger Band position has dropped to the 18th percentile, with only 0.3% clearance from the lower band, and the mid-term Bollinger Band has even dropped to the 11th percentile, with a 0.9% buffer cushion from the lower band. What does this mean? It means the entire building's center of gravity has already pressed down onto the bearing layer of the pile foundation; going further down would reach the bearing stratum. The RSI short-term reading is 33.4, approaching the warning red line at 38. This is not a load-bearing wall cracking; it is stress redistributing. Once the reading bottoms out, the reaction force will act like prestressed rebar to snap the structure back into place. My construction plan is as follows—don’t rush to pour concrete; wait until the foundation settlement is in place before proceeding: 📈 Long: Entry: 0.01 (current price -4.7%, equivalent to pile foundation backfill to design elevation) Take Profit 1: 0.01 (+6.0%, first floor structure capped) Take Profit 2: 0.01 (+6.6%, second floor ring beam closed) Stop Loss: 0.01 (-16.0%, if over-excavated to soft soil layer, dismantle and redo the formwork entirely) Note the logic behind this stop loss setting: 16% lower than entry, which is equivalent to reserving 16% redundancy depth for the pile foundation. This is not reckless; it is the ductility reserve in seismic design. From an architect’s perspective, the white paper is just a rendering; what truly determines whether this building can stand for thirty years is the steel reinforcement ratio of the underlying framework and the long-term extensibility grade of the concrete. $LRC’s current structural stress is concentrated at the bottom, not the top, which is the preferred stress pattern for bottom-fishers—but the premise is that your load-bearing walls are not cut corners. Where is the risk? If the 38 red line is effectively broken through and the rebound is weak, it indicates the concrete strength of this layer is insufficient. Don’t linger; exit immediately. Signing off. #strategyplaybookUnichain changes its operations team without moving assets. Uniswap Labs announced on October 9: the testnet will migrate to OP Enterprise on October 13, and the mainnet on October 29. Chain ID, contracts, balances, applications, and Uniswap v2/v3/v4 deployments remain unchanged. The changes are behind the scenes: Optimism will handle the mainnet and testnet sequencers, RPC, monitoring, and event responses. Unichain remains a Stage 1 Rollup, retaining permissionless fault proofs; contract upgrade authority still belongs to the Optimism governance and security committee. More noteworthy is the native interoperability. According to the official statement, once the feature is live, assets can move between Unichain and other OP Stack chains, with ETH being the first explicitly supported asset. The migration date and the interoperability launch are separate events; October 29 should not be considered full interoperability. It's like a property changing to a unified operations team, with door numbers and rooms unchanged, but cross-building access still pending. Follow up on migration status and interoperability announcements. UNI is used to observe the Uniswap ecosystem, OP corresponds to underlying operations and governance, and ETH is the first interoperable asset; these connections do not yet imply token revenue growth. Source: Uniswap Labs official announcement on October 9; the accompanying image is a screenshot of the original headline date. Below are related asset spot observation links: $UNI $OP $ETH 爆仓之后,车轻了,但别急着上车 昨晚刚爆完,今晚就拉。大饼82800,以太2491,ZEC一天弹7个点,从1117拽回1217。黄金也凑热闹,4189。 19万人爆在最低点,然后市场头也不回地涨。这剧本太熟了——先洗杠杆,再轻装上阵。爆仓不是下跌的原因,是上涨的前提。筹码不交出来,车不发。 那昨晚被爆的人算什么?算燃料。话糙理不糙。杠杆堆出来的位置,先清掉,再出发。我上周那张75倍的单,16分钟归零,也是在给行情点火。 所以爆仓潮不是底,但爆仓潮之后,往往才是底。区别在哪?爆的时候费率还烫手,爆完费率凉了,车轻了,这时候的价格才是干净的。 这周三部曲齐了:先杀空头,再杀多头,爆完一起拉。看热闹的活到最后,拿杠杆的成了燃料。 但反弹不是给你追的。费率刚开始降温,油还在100上方,纪要还鹰着。看戏看到现在,不差这一根阳线。 真启动还是回光返照?我的答案是:车轻了,但司机还没上车。 $BTC $ETH $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #交易之声:你的经验值得被听到 Trump recently stated that the U.S. has already taken control of the Strait of Hormuz, and current oil transportation volumes have even surpassed pre-Iran war levels. At the same time, Russia will immediately supply over 300,000 tons of diesel to the U.S. and global markets, with further increases to follow. With the Strait of Hormuz's transport volume recovering, the pressure on BTC can ease a bit. The impact of this on the crypto space is not so much about how much more oil there is, but whether inflationary pressure can come down. If crude oil and diesel prices continue to fall, U.S. transportation, food, and industrial costs will cool down accordingly, and market concerns about the Federal Reserve continuing to raise interest rates will also ease. For BTC and ETH, this is a macro-level positive, at least removing one weight from their shoulders. However, oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz are still being attacked, refining capacity has not fully recovered, and Brent crude remains around $104. Trump wanting to push oil prices down is one thing; whether the market is willing to believe it is another. This is a short-term positive but more like cooling the market rather than directly reversing the trend. Only when oil prices truly fall will BTC have a chance to move forward unburdened. If oil prices stay high, even the best news will only trigger a temporary rebound. #HormuzNavigationFallsToTwoMonthLowOilPricesJump4% $BNB Damn it! The BNB order book is as quiet as a graveyard, with sparse orders, but the big players are quietly accumulating around 745. Isn't this obviously setting up for something? 🔥 The K-line volume has shrunk and moved sideways for two hours, all the volume is held back, a typical prelude to a storm. Don't rush, let the bullet fly for a while, but the bullet has to be loaded first. I'm placing a long position at 745.2, stop loss at 730, first target at 780, if it breaks 790 then directly look at 820. Follow or not, your profit and loss is your own responsibility. If you want to get in, click the token market card below, don't wait until it shoots up and then ask me where to enter. 📈 👇👇👇Let me tell you a very obvious difference: large funds on Ethereum $ETH have been withdrawing money for eight consecutive days. It's not just a day or two, but eight consecutive days—yesterday alone, they left over 70 million. Although a few are still buying slowly, the top one is selling aggressively, so overall, a large amount of money is being withdrawn. In contrast, on Bitcoin's side, the attitude of funds is completely different, with some willing to buy and stockpile inside. The two sides have completely reversed, widening the gap. To put it bluntly, these big funds now prefer to hold Bitcoin and are much more cautious about Ethereum, with many choosing to cash in first and run away. This signal must be watched carefully. The fact that funds have been flowing out for so many days means institutions are not as optimistic about Ethereum. It's not that it will definitely crash, but without big capital to support it, it's especially hard for it to surge upward. Even the slightest disturbance can cause a much heavier drop than Bitcoin. Don't jump straight into other coins just because they're hype. Ethereum funds are weak and riskier now, so don't go all out and gamble. $BTC $ZEC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #9月FOMC纪要公布, most officials prefer to raise rates again, #美俄达成柴油供应安排 the Hormuz risk remains unresolved 大饼这波从87000一路砸到80350,说实话屏幕前不少人手都是抖的。现在82600,反弹了2000点回来,小时线连着收阳,看着是挺舒服。但我得泼盆冷水——这波反弹,修复的味道比反转重得多。 先看资金面。ETF一周流出了4.87亿美金,10月到现在$BTC和$ETH的现货ETF合计净流出快10个亿,$ETH那边更是连跑了八天。机构在撤,你在冲,这个位置谁给谁接盘,心里得有数。再加上FOMC纪要摆在那儿,多数官员觉得年底前还能再加一次,利率卡在3.75%到4%之间,十年期收益率稍微再冲一冲,杠杆就是纸糊的。 再看技术面。82600这个位置很尴尬,卡在80500到84000的正中间,上方83500-84000是之前失守的平台,现在变成了实打实的供应区。4小时级别就是破位之后的反抽,量能是清算完之后的修复,不是新资金进场的主升浪。 所以大饼现在能不能进场?我的答案是:能做,但别当趋势做。 激进的,82600附近极轻仓试多,止损放80800,第一目标83500,到了就减。稳健的,等反弹到83500-84000区域看有没有衰竭信号,有的话轻仓试空,止损84200上方。最忌讳的操作是:在82600这个“上下都是刀”的位置重仓赌方向。 --- 二饼同步大饼,2400附近暂时守住了,从2405弹回2500,看着像回事。但$ETH整体还是偏弱,反弹力度明显比大饼差一截。ETF连出八天跑了快6.5个亿,资金面比大饼还难看。 2400是道真坎。 守住2430-2440这个反抽起点,还能当修复看;一旦收盘跌穿2400,短线上直接按深调处理,下面2320-2350等着。上方2500是今天的高点也是整数关,站不稳的话,随时再回2400。 $ETH比$BTC的贝塔高,大饼打个喷嚏,二饼直接进ICU。别看着2500就觉得稳了,量没放出来之前,2500买的是“2400有人接”,不是便宜到可以无视收益率。 --- 最后说$ZEC。我知道踏空这波南下有多难受,看着它从1600一路砸到1112,然后今天又拉回1220,心里那种“该空没空”的滋味确实不好受。 但你现在追空,跟踏空一样危险。 $ZEC从9月底1697的高点下来,已经跌了快30%。昨天一天从1340砸到1112,18个点没了,今天1115拉回1220,长下影反抽——这是破位后的喘息,不是结构修复。 关键的位置在哪?1270。 之前是支撑,10月8日跌穿之后变成了头顶的供应区,所有在1270以上买进去的人都在等回本割肉。现价1220卡在1115到1270的中部,往上50刀就是卖压,往下100刀才是真支撑。谁在1220追,谁就是在给1270的套牢盘接盘。 NU7升级是11月的事,测试网还在跑,决定日还有十来天。把11月的利好当今天买入的理由,这叫用长期故事掩盖短期破位。 真想动手的,等回落到1160-1180再极轻仓试,止损1110,目标先看1230。现价盈亏比太差,不值得赌。 至于做空,1270站不回去之前,反弹就是减仓机会,不是抄底机会。 --- 踏空不丢人,丢人的是踏空了之后上头追进去,把“没赚到”变成“真亏了”。大饼、二饼、$ZEC,现在都是“等结构、等量能”的阶段,急不得。 #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 多空比18%对82%,不代表多数人会赢 $ZEC 现价在1,223附近,有人在这个位置开多。 多空比是18%的多头对82%的空头。 这个数怎么算的: 它是按持仓账户数统计的,不是按资金量。 一个人开十个号做空,就算十笔空头。 所以82%只说明人多,不说明钱多。 容易误读的地方: 空头多不等于价格必涨。 价格要涨,得有人真金白银买上去。 账户数堆在那,推不动价格。 大户从交易所提走了8,600枚$ZEC。 币离开交易所,短期就少了一批可卖的。 这批提走的币,暂时不会砸在盘面上。 #美CFTC推进加密市场规则,SEC拟调整托管框架 $ZEC $BTC: Long Position Strategy: · Wait for the price to pull back to the 82300-82500 range (EMA moving average dense support zone) and stabilize before entering a long position. · The initial target is the 83000 round number; if effectively broken, then look at 83499 (24-hour high). Set stop loss below 81800. Core basis: 1. Bottom reversal confirmed: Volume surged with a V-shaped reversal from the 80351 low; current price stands firmly above EMA5/10/20, with the three lines converging upward, maintaining a solid short-term rebound structure. 2. Good volume-price coordination: After the sharp drop, volume clearly increased at the bottom; recent pullback phase shows shrinking volume, indicating a consolidation after an oversold rebound and exhaustion of selling pressure. 3. Resistance and risk-reward ratio: The 83000-83500 zone above is a previous downtrend trapped area, with a low probability of direct breakthrough; buying on pullback to EMA support offers clear defense and a favorable risk-reward ratio. $ETH $SOL #CheckInWithOKX2049 哦,我就是$WLD 。 披着“证明人类”的外衣,专挑穷地方用小额代币换虹膜。低流通高估值起盘,解锁狂放水,价格从高点腰斩再腰斩。嘴上喊去中心化,实际少数钱包控盘,治理是摆设。 隐私丑闻遍地开花,黑市都开始倒卖认证账号了。效用?空投和叙事撑着。说白了,就是用眼球收割的投机货。 #OpenAI营收口径引争议,AI投资回报受关注 $PONS $RIVER $CP Should we keep holding these or are we bearish? The big picture is stagnant. PONS Risk Reminder: PONS is 100% fully circulating, with fundamentals supported by buyback and burn, but short-term main funds are fleeing heavily. Long-short ratio: Retail and large holders are all stubbornly holding long positions. Binance retail long-short ratio is 1.5291, OKX retail long-short ratio is 2.49. Retail investors are crazily catching falling knives. Large holders: Large holder count long-short ratio is 2.0285, large holder position long-short ratio is as high as 2.0509. RIVER Extreme risk warning: It is a highly controlled coin (team + investors control over 53%), with a dark history of manipulation from $87 to $11 in January. The major trend is downward. Long-short ratio: Retail is extremely enthusiastic, large holders are heavily holding long positions stubbornly. Binance retail long-short ratio is 3.415, OKX retail long-short ratio is 3.15. Retail investors are crazily bottom-fishing. Large holders: Large holder count long-short ratio is 4.2029, large holder position long-short ratio is 1.5652.Long and Short Crowding List|Last 15 Minutes $XDP continues to rise and increase positions under negative fee rate. Price +0.46%, open interest +2.4%; current fee rate -0.1138% (4-hour period). $SNDK shows coexistence of positive fee rate and decline, with limited position changes. Price -0.14%, open interest basically flat; current fee rate +0.0465% (8-hour period). $MAGIC shows coexistence of negative fee rate and rise, with limited position changes. Price +12.27%, open interest basically flat; current fee rate -0.0153% (4-hour period).FOMC Minutes Hawkish, Why the Crypto Market Shouldn't Panic Excessively? The September FOMC meeting minutes show that most officials believe further tightening remains an appropriate option if inflation does not fall in time. Some officials even worry that the progress of inflation falling to 2% has stalled and question whether the long-term neutral rate is underestimated. The minutes also mention that current financial conditions are "not tight enough," implying more pressure is needed. However, these minutes are essentially a "rearview mirror." The meeting was held on September 16, before the release of September's nonfarm payroll and PCE data. The latest data shows September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rose to 4.2%, and August core PCE year-over-year was 3%, below expectations. CME interest rate futures show the probability of a rate hike in October has dropped to less than 25%. Both JPMorgan and Bloomberg point out that the threshold for a rate hike in October has significantly risen. In other words, the minutes are hawkish, but market pricing has already shifted dovish. Risk assets like Bitcoin may experience short-term volatility but are unlikely to face a new round of "hammering." The real driver of the market is future data, not past stances. Good trades are waited for, not chased. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #SeptemberFOMCMinutesReleased Most Officials Lean Toward Another Rate Hike #BTCSpotETFSeesLargestSingleDayNetOutflowInNearlyThreeAndAHalfMonths #TradingVoice: Your Experience Deserves to Be Heard Multiple traders have pointed out that $82,500 is the watershed for determining the subsequent structure. Rekt Capital repeatedly emphasizes that whether the weekly candle can hold above this level will decide if Bitcoin returns to the macro accumulation range of $60,000 to $80,000 or continues to build an early re-accumulation range; if the weekly candle closes below it and it turns into resistance, a right shoulder structure may form. Daan Crypto Trades notes that only after reclaiming $83,000 will the mid-range axis and previous highs have a chance to become active again; otherwise, bears still dominate. Some voices focus on the acceptance level between $80,000 and $80,400, as well as the reference support around $75,000. Timothy Peterson, based on historical retracement statistics, believes that once it stands above about $88,000 (the 30% retracement from the previous high), the probability of a new high significantly increases, with a historical hit rate close to 100%. #NewbiesMustSee: Everything you need is here #TradingVoice: Your experience deserves to be heard $BTC MAGIC has experienced an extreme bullish rally in a short period, with an intraday low of 0.06618 and a high reaching 0.15759, marking a maximum increase of 69.21%. The momentum of the rally is very strong. From the trading volume perspective, during the earlier consolidation phase, volume was sluggish and there was no significant capital movement; after the rally started, volume continuously expanded, with large bullish candles one after another. Capital concentrated to enter and accumulate, directly pushing the price to continuously break resistance levels, successfully standing above 0.15, reaching beyond our previously noted target of 0.15. The current price is 0.15385, with an intraday turnover of 449 million U and a 24-hour trading volume of 2.917 billion. Market sentiment is fully charged, and there is still a possibility of short-term contention to hit 0.16. If incremental capital continues to follow through, under extreme conditions there is even a chance to test around 0.18. However, it is important to note that this round of increase is entirely driven by market sentiment, not by fundamental positive factors. Once buying dries up, the reversal will be very rapid. The key short-term support is at 0.13892; if this level is effectively broken, this rally will most likely have reached a temporary peak and will face a rapid pullback. $MAGIC $BTC $ETH #$MAGIC fees haven't gone up yet! The most likely scenario is this: pump up and consolidate to collect fees. When the bears don't dare to short, then dump to stimulate, right?$USELESS From the daily chart perspective useless has already broken the important support at 0.197 This level has been tested for quite a while At least for 10 days Now the support has turned into resistance I just happened to see it today So I chose to short again Still playing with a light position If I'm wrong, I will add positions above 0.2 This time the holding period might be a bit long Because useless is clearly less active than before Prepare to hold for about ten days to half a month My current mindset is like a supermarket Stocking goods Selling goods Earning the price difference When stocking, you need to choose the right price Otherwise, if the goods are stocked too expensively, it's easy to get stuck with them空头使出了浑身解数,比特币还在8.3万美金。川普有话说,大不了,我加关税呗,大不了,发动战争呗,加密市场就是我的钱包,谁反对? 空头最近很忙: 第一招:AI破解密码学。 量子计算威胁论,说比特币的椭圆曲线签名要被攻破。结果呢?BTC没跌。 第二招:收益率。 美债收益率飙高,资金要从风险资产撤出。结果呢?BTC没跌。 第三招:石油。 油价大涨,通胀预期升温,市场要承压。结果呢?BTC没跌。 第四招:OpenAI营收。 AI叙事吸走资金,加密没有新故事。结果呢?BTC没跌。 第五招:Ledger黑客事件。 硬件钱包供应链攻击,8600万美元被盗。结果呢?BTC还是没跌。 空头把所有能用的牌都打了一遍,24小时后一看 $BTC 的价格,纹丝不动,还微微向上。 这说明什么? 第一,利空出尽。 能想到的坏消息,市场都消化过了。 第二,买盘很强。 每一个利空砸下来,都被接住了。 第三,空头很急。 找这么多理由,说明他们需要BTC跌。但市场没给。 只有相信这是牛市,你才会做多比特币,你才会有牛市思维,你才会去寻找那些改变命运的机会!$BTC $ETH $LAB 真的不往下打了吗 很明显 多空比 在减少了 从之前的8.9 降到现在5.4了 继续拿着 还是看空 多空比:散户极度狂热,大户相对克制(最大隐患) 币安散户多空比4.4171,OKX散户多空比5.4(极度狂热,散户疯狂接飞刀)。 大户方面:大户人数多空比5.215,但大户持仓多空比仅为1.9158。 项目基本面与最新消息面:销毁利好 vs 解锁悬顶 LAB是BNB Chain上的多链交易终端(手续费0.5%),融资方有OKX Ventures、Animoca等。 但链上侦探ZachXBT多次指控内部人士控制超95%流通量,创始人将项目资金和个人账户混用,关联钱包在价格上涨前向交易所集中存入大量代币后出货。 利空(中期):目前LAB约有77.5%已解锁,且另一批投资者代币计划于10月14日释放。自8月14日至12月14日,每月解锁1623万枚LAB,新增筹码的潜在抛压短期内仍难以被市场忽视。 $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 I first saw people talking about $BTC while scrolling through short videos. At that time, I felt it was something far from me. Later, my friends kept talking about it every day, and I got itchy hands. I took a few hundred bucks, bought it, and then it dropped. It dropped so much that I lost my appetite. Every day, the first thing I did when I opened my eyes was check the market. I checked it even when going to the bathroom or waiting for the bus. When it rose a bit, I regretted buying too little. When it dropped a bit, I regretted not selling. Later, when it went back up, I quickly sold. I earned enough for a barbecue, and my courage actually grew. Then I went to try $ETH. The transfer fees were so high I gasped. Once it got stuck for a long time, and I thought my money was gone. Later, I heard $SOL was fast. My hands itched again, so I rushed in. It really is fast, but when it gets congested, you really want to curse. After messing around for more than half a year, I didn’t make much money. But my dark circles got deeper. Some people in the group shout out trading signals, then disappear. There are lots of screenshots showing profits, but those who lost money don’t say a word. I’ve chased highs and got stuck, and I’ve cut losses too. Chasing highs means standing on the mountain top, cutting losses means a rebound. That feeling is like hitting yourself. Later, I learned to be wise and only use spare money. Losing it doesn’t affect my meals. No borrowing, no leverage, no betting the house. If I don’t understand a project, no matter how hyped it is, I don’t touch it. Being able to sleep at night is better than anything. Don’t get cocky when you win, don’t get stubborn when you lose. There are opportunities in this field, but even more traps. Don’t risk your life; if you have to work, then work. That’s about it, lessons I learned the hard way. #BTC spot ETF sees largest single-day net outflow in nearly three and a half months #Check in with OKX at 2049 #US and Russia reach diesel supply arrangement, but Hormuz risk remains unresolved 10.10 二饼今日丝路 $ETH 2500-2520附近进箜,芷笋2550,第一目标2460,第二目标回踩2420。 以太自2405低点反弹上来,小阳线缓慢爬升,盤面看着止跌企稳,很容易让人以为跌势结束,准备开启反攻。 4小时级别MA25、MA99均线依旧向下压制,上方压力重重,本轮反弹全程缩量,没有主力资金进场做哆。 没有增量资金托底,哆头无力持续推升价格。说白了,这波反弹,只是给高位套箪提供减苍离场的机会,并不是新一波哆势启动。 下跌行情里,缩量慢涨,大多都是陷阱,专门吸引急于抄底的人进场。 只有放量站稳2540压力位,思路才需要调整,不盲目看哆,不和大趋势较劲。#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #台积电Q3营收创新高,10月15日财报还有哪些看点?