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Katie_OKX
#OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC The September FOMC decision is live in OKX Outcome League, and my current read is that a hold still looks slightly more likely than a 25bp hike 🏛️
The data aren’t giving the Fed a clean answer. Hiring has softened, but the labor market hasn’t collapsed. Inflation has cooled too, yet it remains above the 2% target. That combination gives policymakers a reason to stay cautious rather than move quickly in either direction.
What could change my view? A strong payroll report, hotter inflation data or a clear shift in Fed language before September 17 📊
The interesting part is that this decision may come down to risk management rather than one headline number. Holding would preserve flexibility, while hiking would signal that inflation remains the dominant concern.
That’s my reasoning for now—but with several major releases still ahead, I wouldn’t call this an easy pick.
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