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Positive news landed, but the market looks like it hasn't woken up 😴
Holding steady at 4%, which should have fueled some sentiment fire 🔥
But $BTC 80700, $ETH 2342, not even the midnight surge took off, which really says something 🤔
If this is truly the bottom, with such heavy positive news dropping, why is no one rushing in?
It's not that they don't want to rise, there's just no new money to take over 💸
The rebound a couple of days ago looked more like shorts covering + short-term players betting on "no rate hike" holding the scene. Now the answer is clear, the bet was right, but no one is stepping in to buy — a typical case of all the good news being priced in 📉
My view remains unchanged: this is not stabilization, it's a downward continuation ⚠️
$BTC has a bunch of shorts pressing down at 81700 and 84000 above 80k, with longs lined up at 78300 and 77300 below; if 78000 breaks, the next stop is 73000 📉
$ETH at 2342, with resistance at 2372 and 2400, if it loses 2240, 2000 is not far off.
So, don't mistake every rebound for a bottom-fishing signal 🙅
For trapped positions, a rebound is an escape window, not a boarding door 🚪
The market can deceive, but volume and new money won't 😎ETHEREUM OG was dormant for a year and just sold 7,594 $ETH worth 17.79 million USD
The Ethereum OG wallet, reportedly associated with the Ethereum Foundation, sold 7,594 ETH (17.79 million USD) after being inactive for a year.
Notably, the history of this wallet.
I bought 200,000 ETH during the ICO at a price of 0.31 USD/ETH, with a total cost of about 61,000 USD.
Additionally, I received an extra 42,654 ETH from the Ethereum Foundation when the price of Ethereum was 13.82 USD.#Coinbase integrates Deribit, can Q3 revenue improve? $Pre-market Notes: Wallet Inflows, Positions Still Cautious
Watching exchange wallets this morning, tonight brings growth and inflation data, followed by the ECB decision. Core PCE is expected around 3.1%, European rate expectations remain steady at 2.50%, the cards aren't fully revealed yet, setting the conditions first.
Wallets show a turning point: Exchange $BTC balance increased by 3,143 coins, back to 2.495 million coins, marking the first inflow after continuous outflows, indicating funds are no longer rushing out. However, positions haven't reversed; 24-hour holdings are still shrinking, with $ZEC down 2.48% the most, $SOL down 1.75%, BTC down 0.98%, ETH down 0.50%, the overall trend unchanged.
One-hour level divergence: SOL up 0.59% turning positive alone, BTC down 0.12%, ETH basically unchanged, ZEC down 0.40%, only SOL turned positive short-term. Funding costs also diverge, ZEC at only 0.0006%, the three major mainstreams between 0.0063% and 0.0089%, ZEC bulls are not in a hurry; BTC market dominance still pinned at 60.09%, funds haven't dispersed.
Wallets turning, SOL turning positive short-term, but long-term positions are still shrinking. I don't see this as a reversal, just a slowdown in selling.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 #Strategy财报前瞻：BTC账面收益大幅反弹 $ETH 【ETH has dropped nearly half; the real danger is not the continued decline, but that no one knows what to believe?】
In the next 7 days, I lean towards consolidation, slightly weak. Down 1.9% in 24 hours, down 2.9% in 7 days, FNG at 51, indicating bulls and bears are still tugging. ETH has retraced 53.2% from its ATH; long-term funds will pay attention, but the value zone does not mean immediate catalysts.
There are three more reasons: BTC dominance is 59.5%, funds still prioritize certainty; trading volume is active but no clear trend, more like rotation; after the Swiss spot Bitcoin ETF was approved, FINMA mentioned that ETH and Solana ETFs might follow, and USDT is also preparing to bring privacy and fast payments to Bitcoin, competing respectively for ETF entry and stablecoin business.
In practice, brokers, trading venues, payment companies, and node operators will all be affected: can ETFs bring new buying power? Will USDT on Bitcoin squeeze ETH and TRON? India's eMudhra certificate error affected some Teku and Besu environments; although default mainnet nodes were not exposed, it also shows that security defaults are a commercial cost.
If ETH breaks out with volume and holds, or funds clearly flow from BTC to ETH, I will admit my judgment was wrong; if it continues to underperform or security incidents spread, then the weak bias stands.
Do you think this wave is funds temporarily bypassing ETH, or is the application value finally being realized? Review next week.
What is your judgment? ⬆️ Bullish / ⬇️ Bearish / ➡️ Sideways Earnings Report: Exceeding Expectations, and Growth Quality Worth Attention
SanDisk's fiscal year 2027 Q1 earnings report shows:
Key Metrics | This Quarter's Performance
Revenue | $11.031 billion
Sequential Revenue Growth | +23%
GAAP Net Profit | $8.101 billion
Non-GAAP EPS | $49.51
Non-GAAP EPS Sequential Growth | +26%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 85.1%
Data Center Revenue | $4.802 billion
Data Center Sequential Growth | +61%
The market consensus before the report was approximately $10.7 billion in revenue and $46.4 in non-GAAP EPS.
Based on this expectation, actual revenue exceeded estimates by about 3.1%, and EPS beat estimates by about 6.7%.
This indicates that SanDisk not only met its previously stated targets but also achieved further outperformance.
However, it is important to note that the market had already anticipated very strong performance from SanDisk. Therefore, what truly determines stock price performance is not just "exceeding expectations," but also the magnitude of the beat and whether growth can be sustained going forward.
2. The Most Noteworthy Aspect is the Data Center Business
This quarter, SanDisk's data center business revenue reached $4.802 billion, up from $2.977 billion last quarter.
A single-quarter growth of 61%.
SanDisk's overall sequential revenue increased by $2.066 billion, of which the data center business contributed $1.825 billion in incremental revenue.
#闪迪存储业务高增长能否延续？ #英特尔代工转型迎来Terafab新变量
The variable with Terafab is that Intel has shifted from being the "sole named foundry partner" to "one pole in a multi-vendor competitive cooperation," which is both a touchstone for 14A commercialization and exposes the foundry transformation's dependence on external customers.
In April 2026, Intel joined Terafab, led by Musk, becoming the sole named foundry partner, planning to support Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI's AI chip demands with 14A. For Intel's foundry business, which lacks external benchmark customers, this is a critical window for 14A validation—the company had warned that without major external customers, it might abandon 14A.
However, in October, Musk confirmed that TSMC is also in talks, so Intel is no longer the only option. TSMC may only lease part of the capacity rather than replace Intel in operating the entire campus; Intel CEO Chen Liwu confirmed the cooperation continues. A more realistic path is multi-vendor division of labor: Intel handles 14A logic chips, TSMC supplements with advanced processes, and Intel's advanced packaging undertakes system integration.
The real variable is not "who gets replaced," but whether Terafab can become the first verifiable case for 14A to move from risky trial production to external mass production. The 14A risky trial production target is the second half of 2027, with external customer design adoption expected between the second half of 2026 and mid-2027. If Terafab advances, Intel gains not only orders but also a mass production record that other customers can reference. After the PCE release, the market first traded the "expectation gap"
Core PCE rose to 3.1%, and concerns about rate hikes did not suppress the market; instead, a round of recovery occurred. BTC hovered around 80,000 for a week before returning to 81,511, up 1.19% intraday, indicating that the negative news has been priced in early and funds are starting to test the upside.
ETH followed to 2,358, up 1.05%. The number of staked validators and the size of the staking pool continue to expand. When risk appetite warms, Ethereum's follow-through elasticity is more evident. SOL closed at 102.25, up 1.18%, temporarily holding above the 100 mark; after the new consensus went live, network stability improved, active addresses are recovering, and on-chain sentiment shows signs of repair.
The most independent is OKB: it bounced from 110 all the way to 113.69, up 3% in a single day, rising for three consecutive days. The news of OKX cooperating with ICE and Trade.xyz to launch perpetual contracts is still fermenting. The platform token is moving at its own pace and has not fully followed BTC.
RE reported 0.375, trading sideways today. Automatic payouts by the insurance protocol and the expansion of the payout fund pool are medium-term highlights, but with only 530,000 in volume, the market is too thin; to break out into an independent trend, large-scale chain-linked events need to occur.
Overall, the keyword after the PCE is not "rate hike" but "digestion." This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 BTC is waiting for the earnings report, ENA is waiting for dividends, HYPE is being snatched
$BTC 81,511, Strategy earnings preview: BTC book profits rebound sharply 📊
Strategy is about to release its earnings report, and the market is watching its BTC holdings' book profits. At the 81511 level, institutions are waiting for the earnings data, retail investors are waiting for direction. After grinding around 80000 for a week, it finally bounced today. The PCE data was just a catalyst; the real catalyst is tomorrow's earnings report.
$ENA 0.21129, interest-bearing coin rose 7.69% today 🌾
PCE rose to 3.1%, raising expectations for rate hikes, but it actually rose 7.69% today. With high interest rates expected to last longer, the yield on interest-bearing stablecoins becomes more attractive.
$ASTER 0.7176, multi-chain contract DEX rose 1.93% today 🛰️
Aster has perpetual contracts deployed on several chains, rising 1.93% today. The trading volume is only 690,000, the market is thin, bouncing along with the broader market. Funds are all waiting for the BTC earnings report; no one is paying attention to this new chain without catalysts.
$HYPE 93.548, surged 17.15% today 🚀
HYPE directly jumped to 93.5 today, with a trading volume of 655 million, several times larger than the past few days. Hyperliquid is an on-chain derivatives exchange; holding HYPE earns fee dividends. This big bullish candle today still needs to be observed.
#Strategy财报前瞻：BTC账面收益大幅反弹 #Strategy Earnings Preview: BTC Book Gains Rebound Sharply
Strategy's Q3 book gains rebounded impressively, but the "quality" depends on timing. Preliminary data shows Q3 unrealized digital asset gains of about $21 billion, net profit of $19.53 billion, diluted EPS of $44.75, compared to a Q2 loss per share of $24.45, marking the first return to profitability in four quarters. Bitcoin rose 43% in Q3, and accounting standards measured at fair value almost fully reflected this increase in the income statement.
However, the rebound essentially reflects a revaluation of holdings' market value, not operational improvement. Total revenue for the period was only $125.4 million, down 3% year-over-year, which is not comparable to the $20 billion-level profit. More critically, the timing: Bitcoin was about $83,000 at the end of Q3, with unrealized gains of $21 billion; by the eve of the earnings report, unrealized gains narrowed to about $4.06 billion, with only a 6.3% buffer, and an average cost of $75,446. The earnings report is a snapshot at the end of Q3, and the balance sheet faces a now-thinner buffer.
What is more noteworthy is the shift in capital allocation: the company has paused increasing Bitcoin holdings and instead spent about $2 billion to repurchase STRC preferred shares, shifting focus from "hoarding coins" to balance sheet management. The book gains rebound is real but more like a confirmation of market value revaluation rather than the start of the next growth phase.#AWS算力需求旺盛，亚马逊Q3财报有哪些看点？ $AMZN fell more than seven points after hours, yet AWS still exceeded expectations.
The cloud business delivered $46 billion, slightly more than the market anticipated.
However, advertising missed the mark by nearly $1.2 billion, and earnings per share also fell short.
Capital expenditures have not been reduced at all.
After observing these days, just shouting about strong AI demand no longer works.
Google Cloud was halved and hit hard, Amazon Cloud exceeded expectations but still couldn't stop the decline.
What concerns me more is advertising, which is its most profitable segment; one leg is spending heavily on building data centers, while the other leg that makes money is slowing down, so it's normal that funds are not buying in.
I won't buy after-hours with such a drop; I'll wait to listen to the 5 PM call to hear how Jassy explains next year's spending.
If the price is still low at tomorrow's open, I won't rush to pick it up.
AWS exceeded expectations but still dropped like this—do you think it's an overreaction or a drop that was due?
$AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT#OKX, ICE, and Trade.xyz join forces to promote perpetual contracts entering the compliant US market
The core of the collaboration is not simply a “positive landing,” but a “compliant integration” of traditional financial infrastructure with on-chain perpetual liquidity
ICE (parent company of NYSE) acts as the exclusive operator and clearing party, Trade.xyz provides on-chain technology based on Hyperliquid, and OKX is responsible for retail distribution through a joint venture FCM. As a result, perpetual contracts transition from offshore gray products to being incorporated into the US regulated futures commission merchant and clearing system
The structural impact on the industry lies in the reshaping of the liquidity landscape. By 2025, the global trading volume of perpetual contracts has exceeded $90 trillion, accounting for three-quarters of crypto derivatives trading volume, but has long remained outside US regulation. With the compliance channel opened, the first to be attracted are hedge funds, high-net-worth capital, and market makers constrained by compliance—this liquidity previously had to detour offshore or bear on-chain smart contract risks. On-chain Perp DEXs will face direct competition for the first time from local, regulated, 24/7 operators
The cost of the compliant market is product standardization and admission restrictions; long-tail assets, permissionless leverage innovation, and non-KYC scenarios remain the preserve of on-chain perpetuals. A more profound change is the shift in rule-making authority: as ICE begins to define clearing standards and leverage boundaries for perpetual contracts, the product logic formed by offshore platforms over the past decade will be forced to recalibrate within a compliance framework led by traditional exchange groups$ARB
Daily active addresses hit a new two-year high, so why did ARB still drop nearly 7%?
Just checked the data: Arbitrum One had 1.088 million daily active addresses on October 28, the highest since mid-2024, a 3.5x increase in one day. The same report also mentioned that no one transferred: transaction count and fees did not increase accordingly. Addresses tripled, but the chain didn’t collect three times the fees.
On the price side, OKX tested ARB at 0.16536, down nearly 7% in 24 hours, with a low of 0.16224; Binance’s 0.16546 is consistent; the market is also cold, with contract positions only at $16.2 million and a fee rate of just 0.01%.
Addresses are the easiest metric to inflate—just open a wallet and you enter the stats. Harder to inflate are fees and transaction volume. Until those two rise, I’ll consider the 1.088 million figure inflated. For on-chain activity to leave a footprint on price, money has to come in first; only when volume and fees rise together can we talk about sustained support.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $BTC
In the breaking news, the sentence "Strategy's Q3 operating profit reached $21 billion"—I stared at it twice to make sure it wasn't a typo. That's not operating profit.
The 21 billion is the book profit calculated from Bitcoin's fair value changes. Breaking down the ledger: holding 848,517 coins, average price 75,446, total cost 64 billion, at the end of September quarter the coin price was around 83,500, roughly collecting 20.9 billion, ending the record of losses for four consecutive quarters.
The problem is in Q4. Currently, OKX's real-time BTC price is 80,320, 24-hour low 79,666, Binance is at the same level. Calculated with the same method, the holding market value is about 68.1 billion, unrealized profit only 4.1 billion, the safety margin is just over 6%; from quarter-end to now, the book value has already retracted 2.7 billion. Replenishment has also stopped, only added 851 coins from October to the 18th, the remaining money was used to repurchase their own preferred shares.
So I just treat that report as history. The 21 billion is the Q3 account, the price is the current card, and the interval in between is exactly this retracement. Grinding at 80,000 for a day means the safety margin thins for a day, I said this yesterday, and today's numbers are even tighter.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #Strategy Earnings Preview: BTC Book Gains Rebound Sharply
Brothers, Strategy (MSTR) is about to release its earnings report. Many people will definitely get excited seeing this quarter's numbers—according to the new FASB rules, Bitcoin rose in Q3, resulting in a direct $21 billion book gain on the balance sheet, with EPS reaching 17.98 dollars, ending four consecutive quarters of losses.
Old Mo advises you to pour cold water first. This money is "calculated," not "sold." Recall last quarter, when the coin price dropped, the same company directly booked an 8.3 billion loss. The income statement rides a roller coaster with the quarter-end closing price, meaningless from an operational perspective (Q2 revenue was only 122 million).
What really matters is their changed actions. In Q3, they very prudently bought only 334 BTC but repurchased $193 million of STRC preferred stock, raising the buyback authorization to 3 billion. Previously, they were crazily issuing debt to buy coins; now they are paying down debt to reduce leverage. After all, that 12% fixed dividend must be paid in cold hard cash.
Old Mo says: The 21 billion profit is for retail investors to see; stopping unlimited accumulation is for institutions. This company is transforming from a "crazy coin hoarder" to a "capital manager." When the earnings report comes out, watching the mNAV discount/premium is much more useful than focusing on that inflated EPS.
What do you think about Strategy's strategic shift? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC No doubt, this is a bull market
I've been shouting this for 2 months
Notice anything? It's almost the same pullback pattern as the bear-to-bull phase in 2023.
I don't want to be stubborn, but this is exactly the bear-to-bull phase.
Each candlestick pattern is different, but the sentiment is always the same:
Doubt
Disappointment
Despair
Giving up
No position left, Bitcoin has risen, fuck Bitcoin
A new cycle is forming once again #DailyOrbit The Federal Reserve stands pat, but December turns into a “blind box” 🎲
Don’t treat “no change” as news; the market has already priced it in. The real focus is on the statement’s wording and officials’ tone. Whether there will be a hike in December, no one dares to guarantee now.
First, look at the statement: unanimous vote to maintain 3.75%-4.00%, but the phrase “inflation returning to 2%” was removed and replaced with “inflation remains elevated.” This basically tells the market: don’t rush to expect easing 😐
Why the big divide: Hawks fear sticky inflation and insufficiently tight financial conditions, wanting to tighten again; doves see cracks in employment and advocate waiting. Neither side is backing down.
What it means for BTC: short-term bearish news has landed, stopping the decline near 79,000 for a breather 😮💨 The mid-term threat overhead remains; the probability of a December hike is still there, so the dollar and US Treasury yields are unlikely to truly bow down. Psychological resistance is at 80,000 above, strong support at 78,000 below.
Practical strategy: typical volatile shakeout, don’t chase highs or panic sell in the middle. Wait for a pullback to 78,500-78,800 to stabilize, then lightly try going long with a stop loss at 77,800. Keep position light, don’t get carried away 😎 $BTC #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #OKX、ICE与Trade.xyz联手，推动永续合约进入美国合规市场 #Strategy财报前瞻：BTC账面收益大幅反弹 Ruihe Digital’s BTC sale is relatively small in the context of Bitcoin’s market depth, so I wouldn’t read too much into the transaction itself.
What matters more is the reason behind it. Selling BTC to cover operating expenses highlights the financial pressure some publicly listed companies face when holding digital assets.
For the broader market, 38.76 BTC is unlikely to change the supply and demand balance.
#USCorePCERisesTo3.1% $ETH Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.9%, Google's earnings report dampens AI enthusiasm, tech stocks are about to take a collective hit. The market's biggest fear now is no longer that AI isn't hot enough, but whether all the money spent on AI can ultimately be recouped! On October 29 Beijing time, Nasdaq 100 futures dropped about 0.9% at one point. One trigger was that Google's parent company Alphabet's latest earnings report failed to satisfy the market, with its core search advertising business underperforming expectations. AI-related investments are accelerating again, and investors are starting to recalculate the cost-benefit. Interestingly, tech stocks are not all in despair. Microsoft gained market recognition due to its cloud business performance and cash flow expectations, with its pre-market stock price actually strengthening. The same AI spending is questioned by some as burning too much money, while others are beginning to show the market returns. What does this indicate? Previously, just being associated with AI could inflate valuations wildly. Now the market is becoming more selective. You can continue investing, but it's best to prove that these investments can truly turn into revenue and profit. Upcoming earnings reports from Amazon, Intel, and others may continue to influence tech stock sentiment. For the crypto space, this signal cannot be ignored either. Although BTC is not a tech stock, when market risk appetite declines and funds start seeking safety, crypto assets may also be affected. However, a drop in Nasdaq futures does not necessarily mean Bitcoin must fall. The US dollar trend, capital flows, and crypto market buying pressure are equally important. The focus now is not to repeatedly guess the direction based on this 0.9% drop, but to see if tech giants can prove the AI dividend with their performance. If even the richest tech companies can't$ETH short-term observation: 2227 is just a watch level, not a "bottom guessing" point
This rebound of ETH cannot yet be considered a reversal. The four-hour level rally was once again pushed back by selling pressure, indicating that the selling pressure above remains, and a volume-less rise is more prone to fluctuations. Although there is breakout pressure near 2300, the downside may also have support; blindly shorting at this time also risks a rebound.
A more prudent approach is to treat the area around 2227 as a watch level rather than prematurely confirming it as support. If a clear stop-fall signal appears after the price pulls back, consider lightly going long with 2200 as a stop-loss reference; if no signal appears, it is better to miss the opportunity than to rush in.
Tonight, also pay attention to the sentiment in the US stock market. If risk appetite continues to weaken, ETH may face additional pressure; if volume improves and it stabilizes above 2300 again, the trend is worth reassessing.
Therefore, 2227 has the potential to become short-term support, but currently it is only a "candidate support." The key is not to guess the bottom, but to wait for confirmation from price, volume, and stop-fall signals together.
#美联储维持利率不变，12月加息分歧升温 #Strategy Earnings Preview: BTC Book Gains Rebound Sharply Brothers, as soon as the hammer of no rate hike falls, the sprint positions of $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL immediately show clear differences.
BTC remains the leader of the relief rally, once again standing above 81,000. This morning, it dipped below 80,000 again to sweep longs around 79,919, but the capital structure is intact: the spot ETF has had net inflows for three consecutive days, indicating institutions have already priced in the bad news. Wash’s comment that "inflation is still too high" remains the ceiling; don’t expect a big rally before the midterm election results on the 3rd.
ETH is the weakest among the mainstreams, barely bouncing 0.5% after the decision, basically missing out on the relief dividend. The root cause lies with institutions: last week, the ETH spot ETF had a net outflow of $576.9 million over five days, the largest five-day outflow this year. This is a structural cut, not tactical repositioning. If 2400 is not reclaimed, I won’t consider it a reversal.
SOL is the most promising among L1s, bouncing just over 1.2%, relying on the independent narrative of the Alpenglow upgrade, which has little to do with macro easing. The on-chain narrative is clean; although Beta is high, the ecosystem provides support. This wave is chosen by real capital, and I think it’s even stronger than BTC.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高
#闪迪存储业务高增长能否延续？ #Strategy Earnings Preview: BTC Book Gains Rebound Sharply At 2:40 AM today, BTC dipped to 79,6xx, and my limit order at 80,400 was executed, with the stop loss set at 79,200 untouched. What I publicly share under this post every day are these details: opening price, stop loss level, realized P&L this month +1,840 U, and six loss records, none deleted.
This drop was not unexpected. Bitcoin falling below 80,000 made it a trending topic, but looking at the structure: the daily chart is still below the 20-day moving average, volume is shrinking, more like leverage being drained rather than spot selling off. What really needs attention is the ETH/BTC ratio, which hit a new phase low today—funds are contracting into BTC, not spreading into altcoins. The PUMP-type -3% is a result, not the cause. The FedWatch rate cut probability has been fluctuating these days, macro conditions give no clear direction, so I don’t think now is the time to catch ETH’s rebound. My approach is straightforward: hold BTC only, keep ETH empty, wait for the ratio to stabilize.
Also, a quick note: this time I loosened my stop loss by 1.2% compared to usual. The 80,000 integer level has a high probability of a wick; a tight stop loss would just get triggered, then watch the market move back in the original direction.
At 80,000 here, are you betting on ETH catching up, or like me, only holding BTC?
Follow me for daily public real-position updates and stop loss logic, losses included honestly.
#OKXProphet Samsung's Q3 operating profit hits a record high but net profit falls short of expectations, risk appetite contraction is dragging down the crypto market, DOT following the decline is not surprising. My judgment is that the weakness is not over, and I only reduce positions on rebounds. Current price 0.967, down 6.5% in 24 hours, already close to the 0.9611 low point. Both 1-hour and 4-hour levels are in a downward structure, with declines of 7.33% and 18.39% from the highs respectively, the trend direction is clearly downward; trading volume of 18.365 million indicates sustained selling pressure, funding rate at 0.0070% still slightly positive, longs not fully cleared, open interest of 8.487 million coin-margined contracts means there is still room for further position reduction. The top 10 bid-ask ratio of 1.95 shows buyers have the advantage, but this should only be seen as a short-term rebound material rather than a reversal signal. Discipline: do not chase shorts or bottom fish, lightly short on rebounds near 0.9915, stop loss at 1.0085, target 0.9615; if it pulls back to 0.9615 and stabilizes, go short-term long, stop loss 0.9485, target 0.9885, single position no more than 10%, exit immediately if broken.
— For personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$DOT #Google Q3 revenue growth, net profit decline, earnings per share below expectations
#Samsung Q3 operating profit hits record high, net profit below expectations
$DOT $BTC volatility has returned to summer 2023 levels, echoing that year’s sequence of a rally, meme/altcoin frenzy, and subsequent quiet market.🐂 A Renewed Rise in Bitcoin’s Realized Cap Is a Good Sign, but It Needs Follow-Through.
“If both hold, this renewed rise could mark the early stage of a healthier market structure, as it did in 2023.A warning signal has just flashed on-chain. CryptoQuant's exchange net flow chart shows that the net inflow of Bitcoin to the exchange has turned positive from negative. For the first time since September 21, a purple bar appeared on the 30-day moving average (SMA). $BTC
- Exchange net flow has turned positive after a long period of net selling since September.
- Bitcoin price is under pressure, sharply pulling back from a peak above $85,000 to near $80,000.
- The current net inflow is only slightly above 0 and has not exploded into a large volume bar.
Holders have stopped withdrawing tokens to cold wallets for accumulation. Although whales have not conducted large-scale selling, the halt in accumulation and the inflow of funds into exchanges often signal short-term profit-taking.
The market is gradually losing high-level support. Buyers are starting to hesitate, while sellers are waiting for liquidity opportunities. If net inflows continue to expand over the next few trading days, the risk of sell-offs triggered by leveraged liquidations will be very high. Do not blindly follow the trend or enter the market rashly before market funds stabilize.#闪迪存储业务高增长能否延续？
SanDisk's high growth still has fundamental support in 2026-2027, with a real tight balance formed by AI-driven enterprise demand and supply discipline. However, the current gross margin above 70% in the historically highly commoditized NAND industry is likely not the "new normal." Some analysts, using a DCF model that factors in price normalization after 2027, imply a target price about 70% lower than the stock price at that time and give a "sell" rating.
The sustainability of high growth essentially depends on the outcome of two races: the duration of AI demand and whether SanDisk can offset unit price declines with enterprise-level market share expansion before prices fall. Judging by the current 11% market share trend, the latter is quite challenging. A bunch of negative news came out all at once, but the price hasn't fluctuated much···
It feels like Trump is responsible for intimidation, Vance for negotiation, one playing the bad cop, the other the good cop
But with this attitude, the US-Iran issue won't drag on for too long
I don't believe it will keep falling until the end of December. If it really happens, then there's a very high probability that we'll see the long-awaited "Spring Festival rally" that hasn't appeared for 2 years #霍尔木兹重开方案浮现，油价回落能否持续？ 🐋 Strategy’s Recent Bitcoin Purchases Are Back in Profit!
BTC has climbed above $78.9K, putting Strategy’s 2026 purchases back in the green. But there’s a catch. 👀
The company’s 2025–2026 cost basis still sits around $90.6K, meaning those more recent investments remain underwater overall.
Meanwhile, Michael Saylor’s firm now holds 848,517 BTC, acquired at an average price of roughly $75.4K.
So the bigger position is still profitable, while the newer purchases have some catching up to do. HYPE burn amount is nearly twice the market cap of OKB, why is OKB being overlooked?
Hyperliquid has cumulatively burned about 49.87 million HYPE, accounting for 4.99% of the maximum supply of 1 billion, valued at approximately $3.89 billion at the current price. In contrast, OKB's market cap is only over $2 billion — the value of a single HYPE burn is almost twice the total market cap of OKB, a striking comparison.
📊 Data highlights
✅ HYPE: Burn volume accounts for nearly 5%, directly maximizing deflation.
✅ OKB: Market cap over $2 billion, platform token presence is relatively weak.
✅ Contrast: Other platforms continuously boost their tokens through burns and empowerment, while OKB appears segmented and isolated.
💡 Question: Why doesn't OKX promote OKB as aggressively as other platforms do? Is it a strategic choice or unclear positioning of the platform token? In the fiercely competitive exchange arena, platform tokens are confidence carriers; lacking strong long-term empowerment easily leads to market marginalization.
Of course, burn amount alone cannot fully define a platform token's value, but OKB's current performance is indeed concerning. Without clear narrative and resource focus, the gap will only widen.79,891.68 这个数字摆在那里，比"跌了"更值得盯。 BTC 处在八万下方，这轮到底是谁在悄悄失去定价权？ 先说一个我盯了两天的细节：$BTC 近 24 小时跌 1.4%，$ETH 折算下来反而强约 0.9%。这不是比特币走强，是它让出去的相对位置变少了，属于抗跌，不等于转强。同一个画面里，$INJ 跌 5.3% 到 7.542，而且下跌那一小时量能放到前面约 2.4 倍，价格还压在 7.584 下方，量和价一起往下压，这不是横住，是新低点还在往下探。另一边 $SNDK 报 1342.46，跌 1.1%，数字不吓人，但反弹高点从 1392.76 缩到 1353.41，再回落到 1342.46，每次弹起来的空间都在变窄，这种走法比单日跌幅更让我警惕。 我自己的理解是，市场此刻交易的不是"跌不跌"，而是资金愿不愿意为弹性付钱。大饼守在八万下方还能相对占优，说明偏防守的那部分钱还没走，但它们只肯待在确定性最高的地方；ETH 相对不弱，却没有带动效应；到了 INJ 这种高 beta 标的，放量破位说明愿意接反弹的手在变少。SNDK 那种逐级收窄的反弹，本质是同一件事的另一面：买盘还在，但#تقرير استراتيجية ما قبل النتائج المالية: عائدات BTC المحققة ترتفع بشكل كبير
The crypto market is witnessing a major revaluation ahead of the Q3 and Q4 earnings disclosure season. On-chain data analysis shows a significant rise in realized profits for Bitcoin, indicating a fundamental shift in investor behavior between accumulation and temporary distribution ahead of earnings reports from major listed companies and investment institutions.
The deleveraging during this period is important.
$BTC
$HOOD $ETH dropped from 2371.39 to 2335.09 in this wave, which is a typical daily-level pullback after a rally. The resistance zone between 2380-2400 was repeatedly tested but failed, forming a double top suppression, allowing bears to seize the opportunity to strengthen.
You precisely shorted at the lower edge of the resistance zone at the opening price, using 100x leverage to catch the main downtrend segment. Technical logic: after the price broke below the short-term support at 2350, it accelerated downward with good volume-price coordination.
The real background is that mainstream coins have entered a wide-range consolidation with intense long-short battles. ETH on-chain data is stable, but market funds are cautious, and technicals dominate the short-term trend.
In the future, 2330 will be the dividing line between bulls and bears; holding it may lead to consolidation, while breaking below points to the 2300 whole number level. 100x short positions carry extremely high risk; it is recommended to halve positions on dips and keep a base position with a trailing stop. $BTC $ETH #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $APR has surged from 0.0349 to 0.05824, a 67% increase, meaning your 20x long position earned 1337%. However, from the trend structure perspective, this might be an end-phase acceleration rather than the start of a new cycle.
Your trading logic: initiate longs at the bottom, with 0.0349 as the watershed. The 20x leverage amplifies the end-phase explosion, but the characteristic of end-phase moves is "fast, fierce, and short," so you need to be cautious of a peak followed by decline.
The background is capital rotation into small caps; APR lacks fundamental support and is purely driven by sentiment. End-phase acceleration often comes with massive turnover, and the current mark price of 0.05824 is near the short-term limit.
Looking ahead, 0.06 is a key level; if it spikes then falls back, the trend weakens. In end-phase moves, holders should consider moving stop profits to secure the 1337% gain. If you have no position, do not chase; waiting for a pullback confirmation is safer. $BTC $ETH #美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 🚨 The Federal Reserve held steady as expected, but don’t rush to call a bull market! $BTC $ETH are about to face the real test!
This FOMC meeting has finally concluded, with the Fed deciding to keep interest rates unchanged, basically in line with market expectations.
But what’s truly worth watching is the signal behind the voting results: two votes still favored a rate hike, meaning the hawkish forces haven’t disappeared!
What does this mean? The short-term uncertainty has settled, but monetary policy uncertainty is far from over. The December rate meeting remains a key observation window, and the market still needs to digest the pressure from rate expectations and U.S. Treasury yields.
📈 U.S. stocks all closed higher— is this a reversal or just a brief breather?
After the meeting, U.S. stocks generally rose, more like a market emotional release after uncertainty eased.
But remember: a rebound after bad news doesn’t mean the trend has reversed! The crypto market also shouldn’t rush to chase longs just based on one bullish candle.
🔥 Next, focus closely on two signals!
✅ $ETH Ethereum: In the short term, it may use the news to push upward, but the key isn’t how fast it rises, but whether it can break out with volume and hold key levels. If it spikes then quickly falls back, beware of false breakouts and bull traps; if it continues with volume and holds steady, then it’s worth reevaluating bullish opportunities.
✅ $BTC Bitcoin: This is the core indicator to judge whether the entire crypto market can truly strengthen. If ETH rallies alone while BTC lacks follow-through, it indicates the overall market buying may be insufficient and the rebound’s sustainability is questionable$ETH
ETH and the Midterm Elections: A "Volatility Amplifier," Not an "Independent Beneficiary"
Key Judgment: ETH is more sensitive to the November 3 midterm elections than BTC because the CLARITY Act directly affects ETH's classification as a "digital commodity." However, sensitivity does not equal a positive impact—ETH's current funding and fee conditions are weak, and the election is more likely to amplify volatility rather than directly reverse the trend.
Three scenarios:
• Republicans hold both chambers: The most favorable outcome, possibly restarting the CLARITY Act, with maximum resilience for ETH/DeFi; but the 60-vote Senate threshold remains, making this a "possibility window" rather than a "certainty channel."
• Split Congress (baseline scenario): Partially priced in, ETH may be flat or even "good news fully priced," with controllable volatility but lacking upward catalysts.
• Democrats sweep: The largest asymmetric downside risk. CLARITY progress is blocked, DeFi regulatory scrutiny intensifies, and ETH's valuation as the DeFi settlement layer may be further discounted, with a decline potentially greater than BTC. Squatting on the ridge, smoking half a lifetime, it's the first time I've heard of someone's land being fully booked by city folks three years in advance before sowing. Amazon's AWS computing power is all pre-ordered for the 2026 harvest, more than half the ridges are tagged for 2027, and even the soil moisture for 2028 has been paid a deposit. This isn't selling grain; it's selling the future fertility of the land. The old hands all know that how much grain a mu of land can yield depends on the soil, water, and timing, but city folks now don't look at these—they look at how many harvesters can run on the land in the next three years.
Speaking of computing power, it's like the well in your field. How deep the well is drilled and how big the pump is directly determines whether water can be irrigated during the dry season. Jesse's old man saying capacity is sold out sounds to me like the village chief saying "all the reservoir water is used for fruit trees this year, rice fields have to queue." But the problem isn't whether the well is enough, it's who pays for drilling it. Throwing money into expanding capacity makes the free cash flow on the financial report look like a haystack raked by a rake—looks high but hollow underneath. Investors focus on whether after the well produces water, the hole dug for drilling can be filled, so it doesn't end up with just plastic film and scrap iron left on the land.
Look at the related US stock targets flickering, like livestock startled in the neighboring field; when one shouts, the other tail wags. But you have to understand, computing power is not like chives that regrow after cutting. It's more like planting fruit trees—growing for three years without fruit, you have to fertilize, prune, and endure the late spring cold. Orders booked three years ahead mean someone urgently wants fruit, but whether the fruit tree can withstand three years of wind and rain depends on how deep the roots are. Chips are seeds, data centers are granaries, capital expenditure is the diesel burned by tractors; if diesel is expensive, no matter how big the granary is, it might only hold empty grains.
Someone came to ask me if the price can still be chased. I rubbed the soil with my foot; the moisture is okay, but if you sow all the seeds now and an early frost comes in autumn, you won't even find a grave to cry at. In this business, the worst is seeing green shoots in others' fields while you go home and soak all your grain seeds. Look at those who pre-ordered capacity three years in advance—they are holding orders looking for land, not blindly digging with hoes. The land's fertility is limited; if you water one scoop more, someone else gets one scoop less. Whoever holds the water rights calls the shots.
As for the linked stock movements, frankly, it's like the noise at the livestock market on market day. When cattle prices rise at the big market, the donkey market nearby kicks up too, but a donkey is still a donkey—it can't pull a plow. Real grain growers don't watch the livestock market's shouting; they watch if their own granary's old grain is enough to eat until next year's harvest. Amazon's matter is on the surface a computing power pre-sale, but inside it's about who can drill this well to produce water without collapse. Profit margin is like the loss rate of water and fertilizer in your ridges; too much leakage, seedlings turn yellow, and yellow seedlings mean no matter how many orders, it's just flowers in the mirror.
Right now, the busiest are those measuring the land with rulers, but few actually sow seeds. Remember, crops don't grow if you plant every year; if land lies fallow one year, grass grows for three. This computing power ridge is said to be fertile by everyone, but fertile land consumes fertility the most; planting three years straight without rest, whether it yields grain later depends on whether the heavens favor it. Those watching cash flow numbers in financial reports share the same mindset as old farmers counting ears of grain in the field—the bigger the ear, if too many are empty, you can't grind good flour.
The land is grabbed, but it may not grow crops as heavy as the pre-ordered amount; you have to wait for the next rain to wash the topsoil to see if the bottom is black soil or stone. #amazonq3awsoutlookAfter the closing bell on October 29, a black pawn will be pushed onto the seventh rank—the storage business's quarterly report, a must-drop pawn.
I see the guidance it gives: $10.3 billion to $10.8 billion. This range represents a situational assessment, not just numbers. True masters don’t just focus on how far this pawn can move, but on the chain of pawns behind it: NAND flash prices are rising, and demand from AI data centers is also increasing. These two lines intersect on the same square, signaling the beginning of the subunit advantage conversion.
But the most common mistake players make is mistaking tactical convenience for strategic advantage. Price hikes are the obvious initiative, but initiative does not equal advantage; the opponent’s response always comes later. Who is expanding production? Capital expenditure is the opening move, but capacity release is the midgame exchange. When everyone stacks pawns on the same open line, that line ceases to be an advantage and instead becomes a burden. So don’t rush to calculate this quarter’s earnings per share; first, clarify three squares: whether inventory turnover is shortening or lengthening, whether the spread between contract and spot prices is narrowing or widening, and when that invisible supply curve will turn. Miscalculating these three squares will render the next twenty moves ineffective.
Next, look at the twin shadow on the board: the tokenized assets originating from storage. This is like a blitz game, with only minutes on the clock, emotions leading and prices following. The token side often discounts fundamentals early and amplifies panic prematurely. The real opportunity isn’t in the blitz game’s win or loss, but in the slow game’s valuation gap: when on-chain chips are cashed out due to overnight volatility, yet the spot pawn chain steadily advances, this price difference is a slight advantage of a bishop against a single pawn. It’s small, but accumulative; what can accumulate is what can win in the endgame.
I’ve seen too many people push all the king’s wing pawns in the midgame just to deliver a flashy check. This storage game isn’t that kind of position. Its spatial advantage is real: data needs storage, storage needs chips, chips need capacity, and every square on this chain has solid support. But to turn spatial advantage into victory, you must complete the exchange: convert short-term price elasticity into long-term cash flow, and cycle peaks into balance sheet strength. Without this, no matter how fierce the rise, it’s just a combination of punches, not a strategic victory.
So that day, I only watch three things: whether the upper end of guidance is held by their own tone; whether the gross margin climb is structural or a one-time bonus on the price list; and whether management’s wording for next quarter tightens or relaxes. Tightening means they see the supply curve I see; relaxing means they’re still counting their own pawns, not looking at the opponent’s board.
Blitz games test speed, slow games test evaluation. Many have made moves in this game, but few have truly calculated twenty moves ahead. #SanDiskQ1StorageGrowth 848,000 piles driven into the same rock layer—this is not a show of strength by a construction fanatic, but the core structure Strategy is casting for the entire crypto asset balance sheet.
$20.9 billion in fair value gains for Q3; outsiders see just a nice number on the financial report, but I see the stress redistribution contour map after the wind tunnel test. The load hasn’t changed, but the load transfer path has. Those who truly understand structures won’t scream at the curtain wall glass at the top; they’ll squat down to check if the pile foundation’s side friction resistance is within limits.
848,000 BTC is like concentrating the entire vertical load of a supertall building onto a single point. This is not distributed bearing; it’s single-point support, known in structural engineering as a “non-redundant load path”—any geological disturbance will directly transmit through this path to the foundation slab. Conversely, if that rock layer is hard enough, this design is actually the most economical and clean. Strategy is betting that the rock layer won’t crack.
Now look at the $176 million STRC preferred stock buyback. This is like removing temporary diagonal braces and replacing them with permanent shear walls. Preferred stock acts as temporary support during construction: costly, occupying net space, and locking future renovation options. The buyback signals to structural engineers that the basement slab has reached design strength and formwork can be removed. The timing of formwork removal tests the contractor’s judgment—too early, and the slab cracks; too late, and formwork turnover rate collapses.
Will that $20.9 billion book gain turn into a new construction permit?
My blueprint review logic is very architectural: I look at reinforcement ratios, not elevation drawings. The evolution of financing strategy depends not on how thick the unrealized gains are, but on whether these gains can convert into "buildable area." Fair value gains are bending moments in structural calculations, not cash flow. To add floors or expand, you need to look at presale proceeds, credit limits, and preferred stock dividend coverage ratios.
Capital allocation follows the same principle. Concentrating funds on a single asset is like having only one seismic defense line for the whole building. The smart approach is to install tuned mass dampers—at peak market wind loads, use hedging or buybacks to absorb sway. A $176 million buyback scale, relative to 848,000 BTC, is only a secondary damper—stable for frequency, but not typhoon-proof.
Where is the real load-bearing wall? It lies in whether the financing structure can support the next round of expansion. If the next blueprint is still "issue more coins to buy BTC," it’s like continuously adding curtain walls outside the existing core—weight increases, stiffness doesn’t, and it’s only a matter of time before inter-story drift angles exceed limits.
Every zero added after 848,000 requires not courage, but a geological survey report. #strategyq3btcgainsOn the radar, a strong cold vortex codenamed "Ice" is forming over New York. It doesn't cool down the temperature; it lowers an entry threshold.
On October 29, the founder of a leading offshore platform told the media: The parent company of the NYSE plans to partner with this platform and a technology provider to bring perpetual contracts into the regulated U.S. market. The agreement has been signed, with separate infrastructures for trading and clearing pending approval; the retail side will be handled through a joint venture channel.
Meteorological translation: Perpetual contracts offshore are like perennial tropical convection—ample moisture, strong uplift, and rain can start anytime—leverage is the moisture, funding rates are the pressure gradient, and spikes are localized heavy rainfall. Now, moving this convection system into the regulated inland airspace changes the terrain; convergence conditions, uplift mechanisms, and precipitation zones all need recalculating. Offshore is an "oceanic climate" with gentle fluctuations but prolonged rain; the regulated market is a "continental climate" with large diurnal variations, strong processes, and more severe sudden cooling.
Separating trading and clearing is like splitting the cold and warm fronts: if the fronts don't collide, strong convection can't be triggered, and the disaster radius shrinks; but the cost is the forecaster's biggest headache—"front oscillation"—once wind shear in the clearing layer intensifies, margin call signals propagate faster than prices themselves, causing the order book to fog up before it rains.
$xMETA-type U.S. stock tokens follow a sea-land wind circulation: sea temperature anomalies transmit inland with noticeable lag, leaning toward spot during the day and reverting to on-chain at night. The price difference between the two is the dew point difference—small dew point differences generate fog, reduce visibility, break arbitrage flows, and stall price discovery in calm, stagnant conditions.
The real variable is not in single events but in climate state shifts. Regulation acts like terrain uplift: strong uplift means strong condensation and concentrated, intense precipitation; weak uplift means clouds spread out, prolonged overcast without rain but damp and cold to the bone. When perpetuals enter the U.S. market, the first wave is usually orographic rain—news causes a spike, then crossing the leeward slope causes subsidence warming, falling back to dry zones, leaving behind un-dried moisture.
I don't issue warnings, just report the facts: upper-level divergence has opened, lower-level convergence remains; this vertical setup typically ends with the first cloud clusters torn apart by shear, and the real rain band will only be revealed after the next cold air passage. #okxicetrade.xyzperps$XRP
I used to take ETF net inflows as a market indicator, following institutional buying with more attention. It wasn’t until I actually reviewed the weekly data that I realized this term is quite misleading.
Last night, breaking news flooded the screen, saying XRP ETF cumulative net inflows surpassed $1.8 billion, with sustained institutional demand. This $1.8 billion is true, but it’s a cumulative figure, accumulated from the ETF launch last year up to today. Breaking it down, recent weeks’ inflows are only in the tens of millions, with just over $11.3 million last week, and even a single day of net outflow this week. What’s worse is that the total net asset value of these ETFs is only around $1.5 billion now — money went in, but the coin price has dropped the principal back down.
XRP is currently at 1.2855, down 3.2% in 24 hours, hitting a low of 1.2791, same on Binance. Last night, Binance’s buy/sell order ratio indeed surged to 1.076, a three-month high, with aggressive buying, but the price didn’t respond, and OKX contract open interest is just over $90 million.
So don’t just see the $1.8 billion figure and imagine institutions are scooping up coins. The real situation is probably: insiders are waiting for outsiders to take over, and outsiders are waiting for the price to finish falling first.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 $SOL
USDC Treasury minted 250 million more on Solana at 00:44 today, marking the fourth consecutive day. Counting from the batch on October 27, that's nearly 1 billion over four days. Based on past experience, stablecoin minting like this signals someone is preparing to enter the market to buy. So what about SOL?
I took a look: it's currently at 100.4, down 1.65% in 24 hours, with a high of 103.86 and a low of 99.26. The fee rate has returned to 0.01%, and contract positions of $320 million remain open. The money has been minted, but the price is stuck and still grinding downward.
Minting coins is like loading ammo, not pulling the trigger; there can be several days in between. Also, this batch of USDC might not even be for buying SOL—it could be for cross-chain operations, market making, or debt repayment. But the contrast is striking: I wrote this morning that on-chain RWA scale hit a new all-time high of $5.19 billion yesterday, stablecoin ammo keeps increasing daily, yet spot can't even hold above 103.
I'm still on the on-chain side, but just talking about it doesn't count—only position size matters. The 100 level has been grinding for a week, and it's gotten to the point where I'm bored watching it.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 #Прогноз Palantir Financial Report: Can High Growth Justify Palantir's (PLTR / PLTRx) High Valuation Ahead of the Late 2026 Report: Trading at $180–$190 as a Key AI Giant. Expansion of the High-Margin AIP Platform and Explosive Growth in the US Commercial Sector Justify the Company's High Valuation. The Asset Acts as a Growth Driver with a Strong Balance Sheet but Trades at a High Premium on Multiples.Today is a big day. $11 billion worth of options expire today.
There are significantly more call contracts than put contracts, quite noticeably so. The put-to-call ratio is about 0.53.
This doesn't mean calls will definitely win; don't be fooled by the numbers. Some calls are just hedge positions.
$BTC is still hovering around $80,800, with the range unchanged.
Yesterday's macro data came out but didn't push through resistance. The Nasdaq fell, but $BTC didn't drop much along with it.
As a retail investor, when I see option expiration, I only focus on one thing: will volatility suddenly increase? That's what I fear the most.
Option expiration is not a directional vote. It's a position settlement.
First, see how the expiration settles, don't guess the direction.$ETH just checked the market, last night's V-shaped rebound was basically a fakeout: $BTC slid back from the high of 81900 last night, broke below 81000 again in the early morning, currently around 80859, fluctuating between 79710 and 81971 during the day. Last night in the comments, camp A said the decoupling bull is coming back, can they still hold today?
A: Last night was just a shakeout, easy to buy below 81000, after the consolidation it will go up
B: One-day trip confirmed, if 80k doesn't hold, we'll see the 70k range
Which side are you on?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#Bitcoin #Rebound #USStockMarketMy phone kept ringing at 3:30 AM. It was a guy asking me why HYPE surged so sharply? It rose 16% in four hours, and he asked if he should follow up?
I just want to say, the sharp rise is because the NYSE parent company plans to use its chain for US perpetual contracts, while UNI's CME futures have been online for a week and are still falling today.
$HYPE 93.7, 24h +14.5%, only 4% below the high of 97.96. ICE and Trade[XYZ] signed an agreement to do US perpetuals, but ICE invested in Trade[XYZ], not HYPE. It's unclear if fees will go back to buybacks, and regulatory approval is still needed. In one hour, short positions exploded by 860,000 and long positions by 30,000, indicating a short squeeze.
$UNI 7.2, down 20% in 30 days, down 84% from the high of 45. September protocol revenue hit a record 14.81 million, CME futures launch on 10/22. Everything is in place, but it’s not rising. Circulating supply is 624 million versus 1 billion total, over 30% is locked up.
$SUI 0.91, RSI 28. The problem is on-chain: DEX weekly volume down 23.57%, perpetuals down 48.96% weekly. Unlocking happens on November 1st, brothers, be careful!
This HYPE wave is a short squeeze plus expectations; whether it leads to buybacks, I guess no one knows.
UNI’s cash flow is real, just missing a reason to reprice.
SUI cooled off on-chain first. It will be more obvious before the midterm elections.
#美国9月核心PCE升至3.1%，加息预期仍高 XRP is facing renewed selling pressure after failing to sustain its recent recovery toward the $1.35–$1.37 resistance zone. Price is currently trading around $1.2817, with the daily chart showing weakening momentum and price struggling to hold above its key moving averages. The next move will depend on whether buyers can defend the $1.28 support area or sellers push XRP toward lower support levels. 1. EMA Structure Current EMA levels: - EMA 20: $1.3362 - EMA 50: $1.3570 - EMA 100: $1.3327 - EMA Bitcoin’s usual geopolitical recovery pattern faces a much tougher test this time.
When conflicts trigger a selloff, BTC can rebound once markets realize the damage to energy supply is limited.
Hormuz changes that equation. Higher oil prices feed inflation, complicate the Fed’s rate path, and keep pressure on yields and risk assets.