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🟢 $SNDK — LONG WATCH Entry: 1,350–1,380 (if support holds) TP1: 1,430 TP2: 1,473 TP3: 1,520 ❌ Stoploss: 1,315 Bullish scenario: SNDK has bounced from 1,194.80 and reclaimed its short-term moving averages on the 4H chart. If price holds above 1,350 and breaks through 1,430, further upside may follow. A drop below 1,315 weakens the setup. Wait for confirmation before entering. DYOR. Not financial advice. A Fed pause doesn’t guarantee a rally in $BTC, $XAU or the Nasdaq. Markets move on expectations, not just the decision itself. The real catalyst tonight is the Fed’s tone on inflation and the path toward December. A hawkish message could pressure risk assets even if rates stay unchanged, while a softer outlook may support a recovery. For $BTC , $80,000 remains the key level to watch. The reaction matters more than the headline.#SamsungQ3ProfitOutlook $DOS Breakout Rally, Bullish Momentum Building. Leverage: 3x Max Trade Setup: Long Entry: 0.3180–0.3280 SL: 0.3080 TP1: 0.3370 TP2: 0.3500 TP3: 0.3650 $DOS is showing strong bullish momentum after a sharp breakout, with buyers defending the recent rally. A hold above the entry zone could support further upside toward the targets, but rejection near 0.3370 may trigger a pullback. Buy and Trade $DOS #OctFOMCDecisionDueSoon $ETH is approaching a key test, and the bearish thesis is still centered on resistance near $2,700 to $2,850. The reported short position has an average entry of $2,336.56 with 75x leverage, making liquidation risk extremely sensitive to sharp price moves. Meanwhile, $ZEC holding above $1,000 is another level to watch. Strong conviction means little without risk control. Let price confirm the next move instead of assuming the trap is set.The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged as expected, and the market did not surge as much as imagined, just like the September rate hike did not cause the expected plunge (on the contrary, US stocks hit new highs, and Bitcoin surged the next day)My friend Lao Zhou is a science guy who once worshiped the Kelly formula like a deity. He stayed up late running backtests, calculating his strategy's win rate and odds, and concluded that the optimal bet size was 20%. But looking at the screen, he scoffed: "Only betting 20% each time? That compound interest is too slow!" Eager to pay off his mortgage, he steeled himself and went all in with triple leverage. He told me, "Since there's a positive expectation, why not bet big?" However, a rare extreme spike wiped out his position. On the night of the liquidation, he collapsed on the balcony, smoking all night. The next day, his wife quietly took away his salary card, leaving him only a few hundred yuan for food. During that time, to save money, he ate instant noodles for a whole month and would just zone out in his room after work. I thought he would quit trading. Until yesterday, he sent me a screenshot. He recharged 500U again, this time stubbornly sticking to the 20% position size calculated by the Kelly formula. "I used to think the formula was rigid, but now I understand, the Kelly formula isn't about how to get rich quick, but how to survive," he said, raising his beer, his eyes no longer fanatical. "It forces you to admit that no matter how high your win rate is, you must always leave a safety net for the small probability black swan." Now, his account fluctuates only by a few dollars daily, but his mindset is stable, he sleeps soundly at night, and on weekends he can take his wife out for a nice meal. Gamblers always want to go all in to change their fate, but mature traders understand: calculate the right bet size, live long enough, and compound interest will naturally turn time into profit. Less is more. FOMC decision released: interest rates unchanged, hawkish pause. $BTC current quote 81,037, volatility extremely low, a breakout is brewing. 📊 Trading plan: 1. Break above 81,350 (4H cloud) → go long with the trend. 2. Break below 80,397 (today's low) → go short with the trend. The current market is like a sandwich, waiting for Powell's speech to give direction. Until then, keep your hands steady, don't make rash moves. The Federal Reserve stands pat! Maintains 3.75%–4% with a 10 to 2 vote, two members favor a rate hike The Federal Reserve (Beijing around 02:00) released the FOMC statement: the federal funds rate target range remains at 3.75%–4%, voted 10 to 2; Cook and Hammack advocate a 25 basis point rate increase. The statement says economic activity is expanding strongly, inflation remains elevated. Spot BTC is about $80,779 (Beijing 02:23, Coinbase), after the decision it surged to about $81,093 then fell back—don’t treat the "no change" as a fully priced-in positive, there is still Warsh’s press conference ahead. $BTC $ETH #AlphabetQ3CloudAndAI — Cloud + AI is the make or break. I'm long GOOGL > $3.10 YES 83.75 shares @ 70c avg : • Cloud revenue est ∼$14B, growing 30%+ on AI demand • YouTube + Search still beating • Nuclear + fuel cell deals for AI datacenters = long-term AI bet • 14/18 last earnings beats Consensus $3.10 GAAP EPS, I think $3.25+ → YES goes 100c = my 46.9 XP → 83.75 XP and covers today's -6.18 PnL Also hedged with BTCUSDT Perp Long 81,016 TP 83,447 for FOMC vol tonight.#AlphabetQ3CloudAndAI Ultimately, the market is no longer just looking for AI promises; it wants proof that Alphabet's enormous AI investments are successfully scaling the Cloud business fast enough to outrun its massive spending billThe Federal Reserve's decision feels like a "no rate change," but there's a sting in the words, with a distinctly hawkish tone. This time, rates are steady at 3.75%–4.00%, as expected, but don't see it as a neutral positive. The statement clearly puts "inflation is still high" front and center, which translates to: there's no confidence to ease off the gas now, rate cuts are postponed. Even harsher, the vote was 10-2, with two members wanting to raise rates — indicating some at the table truly believe inflation isn't fully tamed, so further rate hikes aren't off the table. For Bitcoin, this environment is uncomfortable. Despite being called "digital gold," when rates are high, it behaves more like a high-volatility tech stock: it doesn't generate interest or pay dividends, while money in U.S. Treasuries can safely earn 4%+, so who wants to endure Bitcoin's volatility? The higher and longer rates stay elevated, the heavier Bitcoin's "holding cost" becomes. In the short term, it's a classic "buy the rumor, sell the fact": once data lands, bulls and bears clash, there will be spike rebounds, but don't mistake them for a reversal. Until the macro pressure lifts, bulls will struggle to sustain a rally, and blindly chasing gains risks getting hit with upper wicks. In terms of trading, don't get carried away: control your position size, don't chase rebounds, wait for the market to fully digest the hawkish expectations. If you really want to act, wait for a pullback to key levels before deciding, don't rush in naked on news nights. High rates plus hawkish voices mean Bitcoin's long-term valuation remains suppressed; this isn't dovish, it's hawks standing firm without flying away. $BTC $ETH The Fed decision is still pending, but market expectations are already driving price action. $BTC rejected $81,500 and slipped toward $80,900. With resistance overhead, chasing a breakout before confirmation carries risk. Meanwhile, $DOGE outperformed $TRX despite the latter’s reported $2.21T in on-chain activity. Short-term flows can overpower fundamentals, but sentiment-driven gains can reverse just as quickly. Trade the structure, not the hype.$BTC This rebound is following the script again? 😎 Earlier near 79,000, the market was full of short-selling calls, but on the spot side, funds were quietly accumulating. This kind of divergence often triggers a rebound. I warned not to short at 79,000. Now the price has reached the first target of 81,000-81,500, and the short positions have been cleared out once. 📈 Next, looking at the short term: around 81,200 there is no obvious exhaustion, volume hasn't increased, spot CVD is still growing, and no significant outflow is seen on the spot side, indicating that liquidity around 82,000 may still be tested. If it continues to push up, I estimate attention should be on the 82,400-83,000 range. 🚀 But the mid-term trend hasn't shown a real bottoming signal yet. This rebound looks more like a repair and liquidity sweep, with pressure to fall again after it ends. 75,000 remains my first target level. 📉 So the idea is: don't short in the short term, wait for the rebound to around 82,400-83,000, and if a bearish signal appears, then consider shorting; mid-term still beware of a drop after the rebound. Don't let a single bullish candle change your belief; the key is to watch liquidity and spot flow. ⚠️ (This is not investment advice)$BTC The Federal Reserve remains on hold. Don't trust the direction in the first hour $BTC The Federal Reserve holds steady (3.75%–4%), with a 10-to-2 vote, matching about 90% of the pre-meeting pricing. Cook and Harker dissented, wanting a 25 basis point hike. About 20 minutes after the announcement, BTC moved from the decision open 80,857 → about 80,752 (-0.13%), with a volatility of about 0.6%. Looks very quiet— But in the past 14 rate decisions (OKX 1-hour chart): ✅ The direction in the first hour matched the entire day's 24-hour trend only 8 times ⚠️ Immediate reversal happened 6 times 📊 In the 6 times when the first hour barely moved, the day still averaged about a 2.9% move Don't take the color of the first candle seriously. Not investment advice | Price from OKX; Statement from Federal Reserve official website; Expectations from CME FedWatch##10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 【Mainstream coins slightly recover, tonight is the real test (・ω・)ノ】 BTC has climbed back above $80,000, hovering around 80,700; ETH touched 2,346, SOL about 101. The three major coins rebounded simultaneously but with limited strength, more like a capital probe rather than a full-scale attack (￣▽￣)ゞ Short-term view: BTC has support at 79,400 below and resistance at 81,150 above. Holding above 80,000 still offers a chance to push higher; to open up space, volume must break through 81,150. ETH’s key level is 2,300; 2,346 is just a follow-up correction, don’t get too excited before holding above 2,356. SOL is weaker, with resistance near 101.6; if it falls below 99, beware of further weakness (｡•́︿•̀｡) Tonight’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision is the main event. Rates are very likely to remain unchanged; the real market mover will be the post-meeting statement. With a strong dollar and 10-year US Treasury yields approaching 5%, it’s not easy for mainstream coins to have a smooth, one-sided rally. Currently, this is a narrow rebound before the news, not a trend reversal. Focus first on BTC between 79,400 and 81,150; whichever side breaks will clarify the next direction (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧ $BTC $ETH $SOL #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 💥 The Federal Reserve remains on hold, and the crypto market shows little volatility Interest rates are maintained at 3.75%-4.00%, with a 10-2 vote, and the two dissenting votes reveal internal divisions. The rates themselves did not change, but the two dissenting votes calling for a rate hike are the real signal in this decision. After the decision, Bitcoin did not fluctuate significantly and remained strong above $80,000, hovering around $80,700. In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $812 million, with long positions accounting for $668 million and short positions only $144 million, as leveraged longs were heavily liquidated. The ETF side is also not optimistic: from October 22-23, there was a net outflow of $773 million, with a single-day outflow of $635.6 million on the 22nd, marking the largest withdrawal since June. Stablecoins evaporated $2.19 billion over the week, with USDT and USDC on Ethereum seeing a combined outflow of $1.17 billion, indicating that funds had already started to contract before the decision. The real bet is not on this rate decision: CME FedWatch shows a 77.7% probability of a 25 basis point hike in December. The crypto market's stress test is just beginning, indicating that bigger bets and bigger storms are still ahead, marking a critical turning point for the reshuffling of the strong and the weak 👍🏻 $BTC $ETH $ZEC #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $ZEC rallied nearly 10%, but momentum is starting to cool. Could price revisit $1,200 tonight? A pullback is possible, but that level needs confirmation from the chart. Grid traders should pay close attention to leverage and liquidation levels. Keep enough margin to handle volatility, because one sharp move can wipe out a position before the market has time to recover.#三星Q3利润预增近8倍，完整财报即将揭晓 Will Thursday's earnings report reveal another proposal for a buyback plan? Honestly, I'm really looking forward to it. If Samsung also announces some information about buybacks or dividends this time, resonating with Hynix, then this rise could directly reach 20%, just like SanDisk's buyback in September. This week's earnings season really belongs to a recent good market trend. The market has been suppressed for too long, and if it doesn't catch a breath, it will drive people crazy. The synchronized rise of these two companies will also stimulate the Korean stock market to stretch, that is $KORU. Several times it dropped near $9, just hanging on waiting for the earnings report. Those who called brothers to bottom-fish earlier have basically caught the bottom. This week is really going to be a great feast!$ETH pushed to $2,370, but the rebound still needs confirmation. Short liquidations hit $19.34M over 24 hours, compared with $4.44M for longs. That imbalance suggests forced short covering may have fueled the move, but fresh buying is needed to sustain it. Resistance remains near $2,387.28. A clean break and hold would weaken the bearish setup. Rejection keeps the risk of a pullback alive.#SamsungQ3ProfitOutlook The Fed interest rate decision to hold rates steady basically meets expectations. From the Fed's announcement briefing, it emphasizes a strong economy, stable employment, active capital, and that geopolitical uncertainties remain high, with inflation still elevated. It stresses that more information accumulation will help the Fed's policy stance. This basically aligns with our previously mentioned hawkish pause option. Next, we will see if Waller's speech deepens the hawkish view; otherwise, tonight will basically see the hawkish pause expectation realized. After Waller's speech, the market may instead rebound and ease, a Sell the news or the boot dropping! PS: Fed Governors Cook and Harker voted against this time, both more hawkish insisting on a 25bp rate hike! #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？ #谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？ Google Cloud is experiencing rapid growth driven by AI, with Gemini sparking an explosion in orders and improving profitability. However, computing power investments remain high, monetization is just beginning to show promise, and long-term returns still need to be tested over time.The Federal Reserve maintained the interest rate at 3.75%–4%, with a voting result of 10 to 2. Cook and Harnack voted against, advocating a 25 basis point rate hike this time. 10 votes: Agree to hold steady, keeping the rate at 3.75%–4.00% 2 votes: Oppose holding steady, demand an immediate rate hike If there is indeed a rate hike in December, and it is a surprise hike that the market has not fully anticipated, the crypto market will likely experience a rapid sell-off, with altcoins typically falling more than BTC. But if the market has already dropped and fully priced in the hike before it happens, there could instead be a short-term rebound similar to September after the announcement. From experience, the rate hike itself is not scary. Don’t focus on whether this hike will happen or not; focus on whether the market has already priced in the possibility of further hikes and fallen accordingly. It’s like knowing in advance that it will rain—do you bring an umbrella or not? $BTC $ETH $SNDK #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 $OKB Support Bounce Bullish Momentum Building. Leverage: 5x Max Trade Setup: Long Entry: 110.20 – 110.55 SL: 109.60 TP1: 110.90 TP2: 111.30 TP3: 111.80 OKB is recovering after a pullback, with buyers regaining control above the $110 support zone. A breakout above $110.75 could open the way toward $111.30 and higher targets, while rejection may trigger another pullback. Buy and Trade $OKB #OctFOMCDecisionDueSoon Set your alarm for $BTC tonight, don't sleep too deeply!!! I'm not trying to scare you! FOMC interest rate decision at 2 AM on October 29 About 90% of the market expects 3.75%–4.00% to remain unchanged The key is not the result, but whether Powell stays tough! If he hints at a possible rate hike in December Combined with the approaching midterm elections on November 3, sentiment will immediately turn cautious. After a false breakout above 84400 on the weekly chart, it has been falling all the way Only a solid hold above that level counts as the end of the correction and a trend restart Failing to hold is a bull trap. The support zone at 79000–79500 has been tested multiple times and is effective; let's see if tonight brings a fake break below that level followed by a recovery Buying pressure is not weak; short-term longs can watch but don't get overconfident. Funding rates are still high This is the core reason suppressing the rebound; as long as funding rates don't retreat, any rise is weak, so don't chase highs. Trading reference: watch resistance at 81800-82800 above Support at 79000–79500 below The ETH bought at market price 2300 yesterday also gained about 60 points; today continue to wait for position setup 👊, the big move is coming!!! $ETH $SOL #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Tonight, the critical moment has arrived! From the recent trends following the Federal Reserve's rate announcements, the market's focus has never been on the result itself, but on future expectations. In other words, it is highly likely that no change will be made tonight, but this does not constitute a positive signal—the probability of a rate hike is less than 5%, and no hike has long been an open secret. This expectation is exactly why $BTC can find support around 80000 and $ETH around 2300. Once this expectation is realized, the market will look for the next narrative. Considering the current market and U.S. stock environment, the outlook is not optimistic. So my judgment is: first a spike up to around 82000, then a complete downturn. Bitcoin is expected to fall below 76000, and Ethereum below 2150. Brothers, what are your opinions? Bullish or bearish? Check my pinned post. #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 Capital is tiptoeing back into crypto, but the flows tell a story of repair rather than reversal. Over the past four hours, $BTC spot recorded $111 million in net inflows and $36.18 million in net futures inflows. Extend the window to 24 hours and the split widens: $179 million into spot, $92.74 million out of futures. Short-term buying has resumed; the longer deleveraging has not finished. The 30-day futures outflow has stretched to $7.83 billion, a reminder that the recent bid sits on top of a"它是小仓试方向——赚不到大钱，也不该亏钱。" $XAU 100倍多，4000→4043.8，+109.5%。开它的理由很朴素：这个方向还成立，价格突破之后在高位走，是个可以继续跟的位置。仓位小，亏也亏不到哪去。 试仓单的意义不在盈利数字。 109.5%不算什么，它的价值在于：用锁死为零的成本，保持对这个方向的参与感。 代价我也清楚：反向空间还有0.44%，插针随时能吞掉它。所以我对它的态度跟老单完全两样—— 老单：锁住利润，留一点跟着跑。 新单：先活下来，再谈别的。 下方关键支撑就在不远处。破了清仓落袋，继续新高就跟着跑。 小仓试方向，大仓守成果——这两件事我从来分开做。 $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Summary of the Federal Reserve's October FOMC Statement Highlights 1. Interest Rate Decision: The target range for the federal funds rate remains unchanged at 3.75%-4.00%. 2. Voting Results: 10 votes in favor, 2 against; Board member Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester advocated a 25 basis point rate hike; this is Cook's first dissenting vote since joining the Fed in 2022. 3. Economic Assessment: Economic activity is expanding strongly; geopolitical tensions bring uncertainty, but domestic spending remains resilient, productivity growth is strong, and capital investment is steady. 4. Employment Situation: Job growth matches labor force size; unemployment rate is basically unchanged. 5. Inflation Statement: Inflation remains elevated; more information is needed before determining appropriate monetary policy; the goal is to bring inflation back to 2% in a timely manner, maintaining the price stability objective. 6. Reserve Policy: Continue to maintain ample reserves in the banking system. 7. Market Expectations: Traders are betting on a 90% chance of a rate hike in December. 8. Asset Performance: The US dollar index weakened slightly; US Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year yield at 5.028% and the 2-year at 4.774%; spot gold declined slightly; US stocks narrowed gains, with the S&P 500 rising slightly; short-term interest rate futures increased; emerging market currency index continued to decline. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $BTC: All eyes are on the Fed decision at 2 AM, but price structure matters more than trying to predict the headline. Two scenarios to watch: Bullish: $79,500 to $80,500 holds as support, opening room for a recovery toward $87,000 and potentially $100,000. Bearish: Support breaks, exposing the $74,000 to $76,000 zone where buyers may step in. Neither setup is confirmed. Watch the reaction, not just the news."Only 125% and already rushing to handle it?" — Not rushing, it's just that this trade hasn't played out yet. $STRK over 50x, 0.04479→0.04591, +125.13%, up 2.67%. "Isn't the direction correct?" — Yes. The price is high, the trend is still there. Correct direction doesn't mean you can hold forever. "Then why not clear it all?" — The reasons for going long still hold. As long as the reasons haven't failed, there's no reason to exit completely. My stop-loss line is a price level, not a floating profit number. "It's 2.67% above the cost line, isn't that safe?" — "Looks far away" and "absolutely safe" are two different things. The cost line isn't the final stop; it could also be a wall. If it breaks, take profits; if not, keep holding. "So what exactly should be done?" Protect the principal (at worst lock in zero), no adding positions (pullbacks with wicks are common), set a deadline (if it grinds without moving, then clear). $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Just after 2 a.m., $AXIS hit a new low again! The previous short position profit was just over 1x, now it has more than quadrupled, with the price bottoming around 0.1610. This drop was actually quite obvious; on the hourly chart, it started weakening continuously from around 0.25, and the rebound never managed to reclaim the key moving averages. Especially after breaking below 0.20, the decline accelerated noticeably, with consecutive large bearish candles and increasing volume. Currently, the 5, 10, and 20-hour moving averages are all trending down, MACD’s green bars continue to expand, and bears still dominate. However, KDJ has already dropped to a very low level, so chasing shorts now carries significant risk. My position has already made a good profit; next, I will focus on the performance around 0.1610, guarding against a sudden sharp rebound. $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $BTC : All eyes are on the Fed decision at 2 AM, but price structure matters more than trying to predict the headline. Two scenarios to watch: Bullish: $79,500 to $80,500 holds as support, opening room for a recovery toward $87,000 and potentially $100,000. Bearish: Support breaks, exposing the $74,000 to $76,000 zone where buyers may step in. Neither setup is confirmed. Watch the reaction, not just the news.#AlphabetQ3CloudAndAI $ZEC brothers, there's movement on the ZEC front — Grayscale has resumed buying. As the old saying goes, "Grayscale products always bring market action," whether this holds true this time depends on whether BTC shows some respect. If BTC can bounce to 83K-85K this round, it's not impossible for ZEC to break previous highs or even reach new all-time highs. Now, on fundamentals: ZEC co-founder Sean Bowe proposed a draft to stop automatically transferring 8% of the block rewards allocated to the community fund ZCG, instead storing it in the network reserve. Currently, distribution is 80% to miners, 8% to ZCG, and 12% to the coin holders' fund. The ZCG treasury balance is about 91,000 ZEC; according to the draft, these coins transferred to reserves won't be released by governance until around 2031. Does this have a big impact on price? Actually, it's limited. About 53,000 coins per year go into reserves, which slightly tightens current supply; plus, ZCG's coins are used and sold gradually, not dumped all at once, so short-term effects are more emotional. Don't forget, the original 8% to ZCG is protocol-allocated to support independent developers, tools, and wallets, without relying on anyone's favor. The draft is still under debate on the forum with no conclusion yet, so consider it an emotional catalyst for now. #ZEC跻身前十，机构化进程提速 #BTC财库优先股融资升温 $ZEC $BTC The Federal Reserve remains on hold as expected The Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate in the 3.75%-4.00% range, in line with market expectations. $BTC Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes $AXIS top accounts are biased long, positions biased short, divergence narrowing mainly from the account side. Long account ratio 60%→55.1%, long position ratio 41.5%→40.2%; gap narrowed by 3.65 percentage points. Divergence between accounts and positions is narrowing.Excited to see +123%? Calm down and do the math: 50x leverage, a 2% adverse move = principal wiped out. $DOGE daily volatility is 5-10%, with even bigger swings at night. This unrealized profit is just survivor bias. The real way to make money is 5-10x on major coins, and 50x or more only for intraday quick in-and-out trades. $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Iran’s reported willingness to end the war has put markets on alert, but the key condition remains whether both sides can agree on the terms. Oil prices fell, while gold rebounded and Treasury yields eased as traders weighed the possibility of de-escalation. Talks may open the door to peace, but until concrete progress emerges, volatility remains on the table. Trump’s response could shape the next move across global markets.#SamsungQ3ProfitOutlook $TRX has been consolidating so flat it's making me numb 😂 The current price is hovering around $0.330, with a slight 0.4% increase in 24 hours, basically flat over the past 7 days with about a 0.2% drop. The daily chart has been stuck in a narrow channel between 0.327 and 0.337 for the past two weeks, with lows around 0.3274 and highs around 0.3372. In recent days, it hasn't even touched 0.333, looking like someone is holding it down. The short-term moving averages are around 0.330 and 0.331, with the current price just touching MA7 but still below MA20. Resistance first appears near 0.3326, then up at 0.337. Support at 0.3274 is the low of the past two weeks; breaking that would change the tone. Contract trading volume in 24 hours is about 46 million USDT, spot volume about 32 million USDT. The market isn't lively; the structure is just grinding, no strength for an upward push, and volume is lacking—looks pretty dull. I'm currently bearish on $TRX. It looks more like a weak consolidation; if it can't reclaim the 0.331 to 0.333 range, don't rush to expect a breakout. For beginners, I suggest watching more and trading less; when buying coins, only buy $BTC $ETH $BTC On the early morning of October 29 Beijing time, the latest FOMC interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve was officially announced: no rate hike this time, keeping the federal funds target rate range at 3.75%-4%, fully in line with the general market expectations. Additional key information 1. Last month (September), the Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points for the first time in over three years, increasing the range from 3.50%-3.75% to the current 3.75%-4%, and this time chose to hold steady. 2. The Federal Reserve has not completely closed the door to future rate hikes. Powell emphasized in his speech that inflation still carries risks of fluctuation, and whether to raise rates again in December will entirely depend on subsequent inflation data releases. 3. Current CME interest rate futures pricing shows the market has pushed the probability of a 25 basis point hike in December close to 80%, with overall global liquidity expectations remaining cautious. Friendly reminder: The Federal Reserve's policy direction will dynamically adjust according to core U.S. economic data such as inflation and employment. Subsequent related changes should be based on the latest official decisions.Review of ZEC strategy within 10.28 days Today's market has been in a high-level oscillation phase, reaching a maximum resistance at 1330, failing to touch 1360, indicating that the long-term downtrend remains unchanged. Strategy realization status, current market analysis and operation suggestions: Strategy review: $ZEC Both long and short positions have reached entry points. Current market: The meeting minutes have started, the price fell back after hitting the 1300 resistance, the 1300 level above provided some liquidity at the stop point, currently falling back to 1280, market depth observation shows bears dominate. Operation suggestion: Not recommended to operate, altcoin risks far outweigh mainstream. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Conclusion first: The Federal Reserve is holding steady this time, but there are two factions wanting to raise interest rates. On 10-28, the statement maintained the federal funds rate at 3.75%-4%, explicitly stating that inflation remains high; members Cook and Hammack voted to raise rates by 25bp. The next meeting with economic forecasts is on December 8-9. The real decision-maker for the money flow is not the statement, but the funds flow on the same day: BTC spot ETFs had a net inflow of $176 million on 10-27, the second consecutive day, totaling $286 million over two days; ETH spot ETFs had a net outflow of $60.22 million the same day, and an additional outflow of $88.58 million the previous day, marking the fourth consecutive week of net outflows, with October's monthly outflow nearing a record. More directly, the OKX order book shows: $ETH perpetual contracts traded 2.05 million ETH in 24 hours, about $4.8 billion, which is 24.8 times the 83,000 ETH spot volume at the same exchange; the funding rate rose from 0.0018% on the evening of 10-26 to 0.0072%, indicating rising long position costs; open interest is $1.44 billion. $ETH is down 6.8% over 7 days, with a market cap of $286.2 billion. While spot ETFs are selling, the only buyer left is BitMine (holding 6 million tokens, about 5% of supply). The Fed held back, but the ETFs did not. Do you think ETH redemptions will stop this week? "A 3.22% buffer against $DOGE's daily volatility — that's the riskiest part of this position." $DOGE 50x leverage, 0.07659→0.07906, +161.24%. Conversely: it only needs to retrace 1.29% for that 161% gain to vanish completely. What does 1.29% mean for $DOGE? A normal downward wick, or even a large sell order on the order book. In other words, this position doesn't require any fading of bullish momentum, trend reversal, or intentional shorting — a purely technical pullback is enough to wipe it out. 50x leverage magnifies 3.22% into 161%, and likewise magnifies 1.29% into zero. It offers huge profits but is always ready to take them back. The chart itself holds up: price is running high. But key support below isn't far away. So I never decide to close based on "how much I've earned," only on how far it is from the cost line. 3.22% looks like a buffer, but altcoin volatility never makes sense. The only move: push to breakeven, at worst lock in zero, and no longer increase exposure. $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $XAU **At 02:00, the resolution initially swept up to 4062.8 → pulled back to 4048 → at 02:01 dropped to 4046.1, neither direction was fully cleared (the upper limit stayed 16 points away from the 4078.9 pool, the lower limit did not break 4038), the full range was only 17 points**. The 10:2 result met expectations, with 2 hawkish votes opposing the expected 2-3 dovish votes, so no direction was chosen — all bets on 02:30 with Walsh. Now breaking below 4030 swept the lower liquidity zone. **Scenario 1｜You placed a long @4030** - Hold it, forced liquidation at 4015 gives a 15-point buffer - Walsh dovish ("watch the trend, not single points/policy has lag/time not urgent for continuous hikes") → target 4079 → take profit①4096, sell half position - Walsh hawkish (emphasizing December hike/inflation not peaked) → **don’t wait for forced liquidation, manually cut if 15m candle closes below 4025**, loss ≤10 points **Scenario 2｜You placed a short @4079 according to my table** - Not filled (the spike only reached 4062.8), keep the order **unchanged** — this is the entry for the hawkish scenario; if Walsh first spikes high to sweep 4079 then falls, it will fill - If Walsh is directly dovish and price breaks above 4079 without turning back, cancel the order before 02:35 and do not chase #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Ethereum's current trend is basically following the script 😎 The red circle area is repeatedly tugging back and forth, which seems frustrating but is more like a consolidation to build momentum for the next upward move 💪 Resistance above is quite dense: 2370 is the first threshold, 2390 the second, and 2420 the third 🧱 If a strong bullish candlestick appears and breaks through 2370 and 2390 in one go, the market will most likely test the 2800 high level 🚀 My long position strategy remains unchanged, continuing to hold and take profits when available 📈 This also serves as a live test of my own judgment ✅ Personal opinion, for reference only ⚠️ $ETH $BTC #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 $BTC BTC现报80,747.4 USDT，日内微涨0.27%，24小时在80,350至81,786.9之间拉锯。1小时级别MACD已形成死叉，绿柱初现，短线动能明确转弱；但KDJ三线滑落至27-29低位区，RSI6报45.49，超卖信号开始累积。价格暂守布林带中轨（80,934）下方，SUPERTREND压制于81,582.5——技术面是典型的“死叉压制+超卖酝酿”矛盾结构，方向选择一触即发。 资金面回暖，但结构脆弱。 美国现货比特币ETF单日录得1.76亿美元净流入，其中贝莱德IBIT独占1.51亿美元。表面是机构回流，实则敞口再度向单一通道坍缩，富达FBTC仅2450万，其余发行商近乎为零。单日转正尚不足以确认趋势，需观察后续连续性。 头顶悬着一道硬顶：ETF持有者成本线。 比特币ETF持有者的平均成本价约在8.15万美元，若价格持续收于该水平下方，意味着ETF平均持有者转为浮亏，链上支撑将被削弱。当前价格距离这条成本线仅约750美元，每一次反弹至此都可能触发解套卖盘。更上方，过去两年买入者的成本集中在8.7万美元及以上，该区域已在今年两次压制反弹，随后均出现至少25%的回撤"The 191% on the screen is just a number; 1.53% is the reality." $TRUMP 50x leverage, 1.643→1.706, +191.72%. Don't be fooled by the percentage. With 50x leverage, the underlying asset only rose 3.83% to generate this 191% paper gain. Conversely: if the price pulls back just 1.53% from the current mark price, this 191% unrealized profit will instantly vanish. The death of a high-leverage long position is never a trend reversal, but volatility. A normal market fluctuation or a profit-taking by bulls is enough to turn this juicy gain into thin air. My trading logic is never driven by greed. The only action is: firmly move the stop loss above the cost line, turning this position into "a small amount the exchange owes me." If it doesn't exit, set a deadline; funding fees will turn inertia into losses. Survive, and the numbers are truly yours. $BTC $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Oct 28 Update: $BTC ETFs: 1D NetFlow: +2,189 $BTC (+$176.48M)🟢 7D NetFlow: +193 $BTC (+$15.57M)🟢 $ETH ETFs: 1D NetFlow: -27,418 $ETH (-$64.04M)🔴 7D NetFlow: -96,485 $ETH (-$225.35M)🔴 The latest Federal Reserve decision: maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.75%–4.00%, with a vote result of 10 to 2. Two members favored a 25 basis point rate hike, and the statement also mentioned that inflation remains at a high level. This time they held steady; next, the market still needs to digest tonight's GDP, PCE, and initial jobless claims data, so short-term volatility may still be significant. $BTC I'm watching the 80,200 and 79,600 levels first; I'll observe the support and market reaction around these points and consider scaling into long positions. If it doesn't reach them, then forget it. I hope it drops so I can catch a short-term long; if it keeps rising, then there's nothing to do but wait for another opportunity. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ DOOD funding fees are getting too expensive, and holding the position is becoming harder to justify. Sometimes stepping aside is better than letting fees keep eating into your capital. Meanwhile, IRYS has reportedly accumulated $13K in funding costs or gains, depending on the position. Before holding longer, check the funding rate, position direction and remaining risk. Is the potential reward still worth the cost?The $ZEC official team can't even trace the accounts themselves; this $ZEC situation is impossible to handle. A shielding pool vulnerability was exposed, theoretically allowing nearly 5 million coins to be minted out of thin air. The worst part is that due to its built-in privacy mechanism, the official team can't determine if anyone secretly minted coins. No wonder Grayscale and whales started dumping crazily above 1300 early on. Holding something that could turn into an unlimited money printer at any time makes everyone uneasy. Now the market is leaking down from the highs, and the bulls stubbornly holding on here are essentially footing the bill as a safety net. #ZEC $ZEC 👇
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