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$Q Long-short ratio divergence! What exactly are the main players up to?
Brothers, the Q market situation is quite interesting! The 1-hour contract net outflow is 1.9 million U, the 12-hour outflow exceeds 3.74 million U, short-term funds are clearly retreating, but there is a return flow in the 5-minute and 15-minute intervals, indicating intense capital battles!
More importantly, the Binance account long-short ratio is as high as 2.2927, the large account number long-short ratio is 2.2755, but the large account position long-short ratio is only 1.2567. There are quite a few bullish people, but the position structure is not that optimistic, so beware of the risk of a pullback after a crowded high-level long position.
Reminder from Sister Luo: Don’t just look at the long-short ratio and assume the main players are inducing longs; focus on whether funds can continue to flow back and whether key supports can hold. If you want to catch the rhythm, wait for the signal first, don’t rush in excitedly and feed the market fuel! #美加稳定币监管推进,社区银行获邀入场 $SKHYNIX quarterly revenue surpasses 100 trillion KRW for the first time, how much further can AI memory prosperity go? The company announced Q3 revenue of 104.62 trillion KRW and operating profit of 83.33 trillion KRW, stating that HBM4 is expected to become the main product from the fourth quarter; more than half of the 2027–2028 capacity has already been signed under long-term agreements. High profits also raise the comparison base; if HBM4 volume increases and long-term contracts are fulfilled with gross margin remaining resilient, the cycle continuation is more credible; if prices or customer capital expenditures weaken, I will downgrade the prosperity outlook.$ETHW did see a volume-increasing rebound bullish candle today (October 28), but this is a short-term momentum recovery without corresponding fundamental or news catalysts. It is a typical high-volatility micro-market speculative target, not suitable as a stable entry point. Recent trend: • ETHW was around 0.29 USDT in early October, then declined steadily. Midweek this week, it hit a low of about 0.213 USDT (October 25 low was 0.2127). • Today's volume-increasing rebound: opened at 0.2262, currently around 0.2647, a 24-hour increase of about +21%, with a high of 0.2673. Today's trading volume is about 199,000 coins (quoted amount about 48,000 USDT), 2–3 times the volume of recent trading days (about 50,000–90,000 coins), indicating active capital involvement. • However, today's K-line has not yet closed, so the sustainability of the rebound still needs to be observed to see if it can hold steady. Robinhood expands RLUSD and BNY custody to XRP, current price 1.326, I won't chase for now.
Seen:
Ripple officially announced on 10/27 a strategic partnership with Robinhood: RLUSD is now listed on Robinhood Chain and Bitstamp, with plans to launch in the app within the year, and institutional settlements to run on XRPL.
On the same day, BNY custody expanded support for XRP and RLUSD, and plans to allow clients to mint/redeem directly through BNY.
At this moment (10/28 ~15:07) OKX spot is about 1.3259, up about 2.2% in 24 hours, high 1.344, low 1.291; perpetual nominal positions about 91 million USD, funding rate slightly positive at 0.01%.
My thoughts:
This is positive for stablecoin and custody infrastructure, but it doesn't mean spot XRP demand has confirmed an explosion; the positive news is stuck on the eve of the FOMC, making it more likely to be overshadowed by macro sentiment.
What I will do:
Observe and not chase. First see if it can hold above 1.30 (close to 4H MA20); if it breaks below today's low near 1.291, consider it invalid.
Do you think this wave is more like RLUSD narrative premium, or a sentiment rebound before the FOMC?
$XRP $BTC $ETH
#RobinhoodQ3RevenueGrowth, net profit decline #OctoberFOMCInterestRateDecisionComingSoon79,500 was the price I bought at, and I sold everything at 81,000. Below 83,000, I don't plan to enter again.
The order placed at 79,500 was filled. I sold everything above 81,000, a 1,500 point gain, enough.
Currently, I am out of position. Today, I'll explain why I exited and why I don't plan to enter below 83,000.
① This rebound lacks one thing: money
The bounce from 79,500 to 81,000 was fast but weakly supported. Spot ETFs are still seeing net outflows; an increase without incremental funds buying in is a classic oversold correction. Corrections can be traded, but reversals cannot—these are two different things.
② The real variable isn't in the market but at 2:30 AM tomorrow
The market has fully priced in no change in October; attention is on December. Interest rate futures show over a 67.5% chance of a 25bp hike in December, with nearly all major institutions betting on action then. Betting on a trend reversal during a rate hike cycle is going against interest rates.
Wash is particularly averse to giving clear guidance; every word he says tonight will be dissected. Taking positions to guess now has very low cost-effectiveness. $BTC #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #谷歌云业务增长82%,AI投入回报如何?
The 8.81 billion cloud profit on the return side, 35.6% profit margin, and 513.9 billion RPO are all real;
The cost side's -5.855 billion FCF, 350.2 billion/500.3 billion 2027/2028 Capex, and 7.1 billion quarterly depreciation that is accelerating are also real.
The most dangerous current move is to replace the judgment of whether the 2027 depreciation impact has been priced in with a "33%--44% target price upside."
Let the cloud profit margin under the depreciation-inclusive standard in the first quarter data define the margin of safety, rather than letting the target price consensus bear the time risk for you. $SNDK $SKHY Last night, the US tech and storage sectors rose, but it's just that AI sentiment has warmed up, not a complete trend reversal, just a rebound.
This week is earnings season, with Microsoft, Google, and Amazon reporting tonight, and the Federal Reserve's rate decision is also coming.
The market is only focused on one signal: after companies have spent so much money on AI, can they really make money and increase revenue?
The storage sector is worth watching: SK Hynix, SanDisk, and Micron.
AI requires not only graphics cards but also a large amount of storage. If big companies continue to invest heavily in AI expansion, storage demand will improve accordingly.
However, storage is a cyclical industry; you can't just look at AI, but also supply levels, chip pricing, and profit expectations.
Key focus is on whether Powell's stance is hawkish or dovish, along with the earnings outlook from Microsoft, Google, and Amazon, and whether the Nasdaq, semiconductors, and storage can rally together. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $MU $BTC has been hovering between 80,860 and 81,150 since touching 81,226 at 10 AM, currently at 80,930, up 1.6% in 24h, with Binance spot trading volume only $970 million.
The market is really quiet; TRdesk data shows BTC total liquidations across the network in the past 4 hours are only $550,000, and 89% of the $31.9 million in 24h liquidations were from that early morning short squeeze.
$ETH is a bit more interesting, up 2.2% in 24h to 2,354, with Binance ETH contract open interest increasing from 2.345 million at 7 AM to 2.368 million, an increase of 23,000 contracts, roughly $54 million.
The ETH long-short account ratio is 2.94, while BTC is only 1.94; retail investors clearly prefer to bet on ETH. Funding rates on both sides are around 0.007%, so it's not very hot yet.
My view is that with ETH longs so crowded before the rate decision, if the outcome disappoints, ETH is most likely to get hit first. I won't chase longs at this level. I’m not chasing $TSLA; at this level, I’d rather wait for a pullback than catch Barclays’ $450 “check.” 🖐️
The stock price surged to 407.46 yesterday, up 4.04%, with a trading volume of 18.2 billion, ranking fourth in US stocks. Market cap increased by 70 billion dollars overnight—looks impressive, right? But there’s an awkward technical issue: RSI is already between 64 and 68, hovering near the overbought zone; price is nearly 6% above the 20-day moving average; ADX is only 14, meaning sentiment is rushing ahead but the trend backbone hasn’t caught up yet. The 395 to 400 range is a resonance resistance where Fibonacci extension and psychological levels overlap, so it’s not easy to break through in one go.
Most people in the market are now in a state of “itchy hands but afraid to go heavy.” Seeing Barclays raise the target price from 370 to 450 and upgrade to overweight makes you want to chase; but looking down at the 400 round number, you’re afraid of buying at a short-term peak. Institutions themselves are in a mess: Morgan Stanley at 410, JPMorgan at 430, SocGen at 400, China Merchants at 354; average target price around 415, with a nearly 100-dollar spread between bulls and bears, indicating no one really dares to confidently say this valuation is stable.
I buy the logic of Robotaxi and energy storage, but a good story still needs a good price. Chasing high is likely just carrying the bags for those trapped earlier.
Do you think this is a real breakout, or just an emotional high blown up by Barclays’ talk?BTC is once again hovering near $80,000. Tonight at 2 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, followed by a press conference at 2:30 AM.
Between $82,000 and $84,000, there has been heavy trading volume. Funds that entered at this level previously are likely to take profits and sell when the price returns here; the $77,000 area below is also a concentrated chip zone. The price is squeezed between these two chip zones, with $80,000 serving as the short-term key level to watch for strength or weakness. Holding above $82,000 is the foundation for a rebound to test $84,000; breaking below $76,000 means the original analysis needs to be revised.
There is a positive signal on the capital side. On October 26, the US spot BTC ETF saw a net inflow of about $110 million, mainly from BlackRock's IBIT. However, over five trading days, the total is still a net outflow, so this can only be considered a single-day recovery, not a trend reversal. Why is BTC still stagnant despite $110 million coming in? Because while ETFs are buying, others in the market are selling. Whether the price can be pushed up ultimately depends on how large the selling pressure above is.
For Coinbase premium, just watch the zero line: if the premium turns positive and holds, it indicates follow-up demand from US spot investors; if the price rises but the premium remains weak, it means contracts are pushing the price. ETFs reflect capital flows after market close, while premium shows intraday demand; both together provide an accurate picture.
There are three possible outcomes for the decision: no rate hike but emphasizing inflation, with a hawkish tone still suppressing prices; no rate hike and acknowledging demand cooling, easing pressure on $BTC but still watching inflation data; or a 25 basis point hike, reducing risk appetite. No predictions before the meeting; if it breaks below $76,000, admit the analysis was wrong. The notable point in the US and Canadian proposals is not simply that banks may issue stablecoins, but that the economics are being fenced in. US rules would bar issuer-paid interest, while Canada’s draft limits holder yields and caps redemption fees at 1%.
That could make existing deposit relationships and payment distribution more valuable than yield incentives. Whether those advantages can dislodge USDT and USDC remains untested.
#USCanadaStablecoinPush #Google Cloud business grows 82%, how is the AI investment return? Hello everyone, I am Kuijing. Today, I will analyze whether the European Central Bank will raise rates or maintain stability on the 29th. This article will give you a thorough analysis! Based on publicly available data and information before the decision, the probability of keeping the deposit rate unchanged at 2.50% in October is overwhelmingly dominant, and the possibility of a 25 basis point rate hike is very low. The analysis is conducted from five aspects: market pricing, inflation structure, official communication, financial conditions, and historical rhythm. Estimated probabilities: Keep unchanged (deposit rate 2.50%) about 90%–95%, Raise by 25bp (deposit rate rises to 2.75%) about 5%–10%. This probability distribution is not a subjective guess but highly consistent with market pricing before the decision: the implied probability of a rate hike in October is considered below 10%, while December is widely priced as the rate hike window. Basis of analysis: Basis one: Market pricing and institutional consensus overwhelmingly point to "no change". A Reuters survey from October 5–8 of 73 economists showed 70 expected rates to remain unchanged in October, and 64 expected a further 25bp hike in December. Mainstream institutions such as UBS, Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse, and ING clearly predicted "no change" in October before the decision and viewed December as a more natural timing for action. The information reflected by market pricing is a collective expectation aggregation, not the view of a single institution, which means that for an October rate hike to happen, the central bank would need to actively "surprise" the market consensus,Tether has no obligation to redeem or guarantee USAT. This sentence gives me a bit of a familiar feeling from the previous round: seeing a familiar brand makes it easy to transfer trust along with it. Now when I see this kind of news, I tend to pause first and see who truly bears the responsibility.
What’s different this time is that technical and brand support are clearly separated from issuance responsibility. USAT is independently issued by Anchorage, which differs from USDT’s legal arrangements, and the GENIUS Act approval process has not yet started. I think the significance of this news lies not in adding heat to the stablecoin sector, but in reminding the market that brand endorsement cannot replace legal responsibility.
My judgment is that this is more like an expectation adjustment as the industry moves toward rule implementation, and should not be directly regarded as a compliance benefit. If users still treat the two products as the same credit, I speculate that the boundaries of responsibility will be easily underestimated. Veteran players, when you see a familiar brand but have to recognize a new issuer, do you get that familiar feeling from the last round?Robinhood’s Q3 earnings reveal a major shift in its business model. Prediction markets are gaining momentum, while crypto trading revenue faces significant pressure. 📊 Key Highlights: ▪ Total revenue reached $1.424 billion, up 12% year-over-year. ▪ Prediction market revenue climbed to $173 million, surpassing crypto trading revenue of $120 million. ▪ Crypto trading revenue plunged 55% year-over-year. ▪ Net profit declined 14% year-over-year, while EPS missed expectations. ▪ Robinhood shares droThe storage stocks are really strong this round! $SKHY just released a stunning earnings report today, with quarterly revenue of 104.62 trillion KRW, operating profit of 83.33 trillion, and an operating margin that soared to 80%! Who still says AI storage demand is just pie in the sky? Even more impressive, SK Hynix already has long-term contracts securing over half of its capacity for 2027–2028, and management even believes that storage supply shortages could continue until 2030! This isn’t just about making quick money from price hikes; customers are already rushing to secure future capacity in advance!
Looking at $MU and $SNDK, Micron is benefiting from HBM and DRAM market booms, while SanDisk mainly relies on NAND and enterprise SSDs. SanDisk’s gross margin last quarter was as high as 84.6%, and with earnings coming tomorrow, how can the market not be excited? But with profits already this exaggerated, how much future growth is already priced into the stock? Long-term contracts can lock in some orders, but they can’t lock in ever-rising prices!
My judgment is that AI demand is real, the storage super boom is real, but the capital frenzy is also real! I acknowledge this rebound, but should I blindly chase the highs before earnings? No way! I want to see if orders and profits in 2027 can continue to exceed expectations. Even if earnings explode again, if the stock price can’t hold, it could still crash!BTC has rebounded as expected to the first target range I mentioned, 81000-81500. So, will it rise or fall next?
Yesterday, I specifically reminded everyone in my post that around 79000, many people were shorting, while some were quietly buying spot. This kind of situation often leads to a rebound. I warned everyone not to short around 79000, and as expected, the rebound happened. I reached the first position I mentioned, 81000-81500. At that time, some comments said that the big players opened shorts around 79000 and used the long-short ratio to argue. Honestly, as long as the big players aren't foolish, it's unlikely they would open shorts at the 79000 support level, ignoring 87000 and 84000. Clearly, those shorting at 79000 are retail traders, not big players. This rebound primarily forced the retail short sellers to close their positions. So, will it rise or fall next?
First of all, from the current perspective, I don't think BTC has stopped falling in the mid to long term. After this rebound ends, it will still fall. 75000 remains the first position I mentioned. The question is where this rebound will go. The first target range I mentioned, 81000-81500, has already been reached. Next, we should focus on the second target above 82000 for liquidity. This level might be reached because when BTC rebounded near 81200, there was no obvious weakness, and volume did not increase. Spot CVD is still continuously growing, and there is no obvious spot outflow. So, in this situation, it is possible that it will go up one more time Tonight's decision, the market has already bet on the answer 🏦
The general expectation is to keep interest rates unchanged, the press conference comes later, and the wording from Walsh is the key.
No new economic forecast, where December goes depends entirely on his few words tonight.
I think it's not suitable to rush for direction before the decision, the BTC 80,000 level is still in sight.
If the wording really softens, let's see if the price can hold above 81,000.
Do you think this time he will soothe the market or strike expectations?
$BTC
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Core Risk Warnings
1. The $81,500 ETF cost line is the physical supply of "break-even positions": the weighted average cost of spot ETFs across the US is about $81,500. Every rebound approaching this area encounters profit-protecting sell pressure from high-entry investors. This is the fundamental reason why the 81,200–81,500 resistance is difficult to break through in one go.
2. 79,500 is the "load-bearing wall" of the consolidation structure: if this defense line is effectively broken, 75,500 will become the ultimate threshold deciding the survival of the bullish pattern since the summer low. Above 75,500, structural repair is still possible; breaking below may fully release technical bearish signals.
3. The "hawkish pause" has been priced in, but the wording of the statement still carries asymmetric risk: no movement in October will not cause volatility, but if Powell clearly paves the way for December, the 68% rate hike probability could climb further above 75%, requiring risk assets to reprice the "second half" of the interest rate path.
4. The ETF's "IBIT unipolar inflow" is extremely fragile: 110.3 million all from one source, with a net outflow of 312 million for the whole of October. If IBIT stops buying after the statement, capital flow will quickly turn negative again; the previous two-day outflow of 773.4 million is not far off.
5. Strategy's pause in increasing holdings means "the largest buyer has stopped": purchases in the third week dropped to zero, with cash shifting to repurchasing preferred shares. This is not liquidation, but the disappearance of marginal buying itself is a signal, especially against the backdrop of structural bleeding in ETFs.
6. The siphoning effect of AI IPOs is diverting risk capital: Broadcom's 63 billion financing, Meta's 25 billion secondary offering, Anthropic IPO — the AI sector is attracting speculative capital that might otherwise flow into crypto with a "certainty narrative." BTC is in a defensive position in this competitive landscape.
$BTC $ETH #微软Azure增长43%,AI商业化能否提速? [Pharaoh's Market Watch]
The US and Iran are saying they want to ease tensions, then say they might take military action—so why are oil prices still falling?
Pharaoh says straight up, this is called "talk and bullets flying together, the market only cares if the oil barrels are full or not." Both sides are shouting fiercely, but no substantial supply disruption has occurred, so naturally oil prices have to drop.
Let's first see how much it has fallen. Brent crude slid from above $110 down to around $106, and WTI also dropped to about $91. The trigger was "positive signals" from negotiations between Iran and Oman, plus the US declaring it is "not in a hurry to act."
But Pharaoh has to peel back this layer for you. The easing is an illusion; the risk has not been resolved. Commercial shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains low, and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is still setting up checkpoints. It's just that the premium that was scared away before has now been squeezed out a bit.
Why the drop? Three reasons.
First, the G7's strategic reserves are holding firm. The 100 million barrel "emergency package" isn't much, but it's enough to keep the market calm in the short term.
Second, demand is yawning. High oil prices have already made many factories and transport industries unable to bear it, so demand naturally declines.
Third, Trump doesn't want to push oil prices sky-high before the election. Votes matter more than face; he's applying pressure behind the scenes.
What does this mean for Bitcoin? Oil price retreat cools inflation expectations, US Treasury yields can catch a slight breather. This is a short-term positive for risk assets!
Follow Pharaoh, and your wealth won't get lost! $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美伊缓和与军事风险并存,油价持续回落 Iran signals easing, $BTC rebounds to 81,000! Don't rush to call this a bull market!
Yesterday BTC surged back near $81,000. I believe the easing signals from the Iran situation are one of the key catalysts for this rebound. Once the Middle East situation cools down, concerns over oil supply and inflation may ease, making it easier for risk assets to attract capital.
But brothers, don't think the market has completely reversed just because of good news. Geopolitical news often triggers shortFederal Reserve October Rate Decision Preview: Calm on the Surface, Yet Battles Underneath
Tonight's Federal Reserve meeting is almost fully priced by the market to keep rates steady at 3.75%-4.00%. The real market action is actually hidden in the policy wording and the Chair's press conference.
A pause this time is highly likely: September just saw a rate hike, and monetary policy has a transmission lag, so the Fed needs to observe the actual effects; combined with the autonomous rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields, some tightening has already been passively achieved, reducing the need for consecutive hikes. Also, with the sensitive election period approaching, the Fed will deliberately avoid policies that trigger sharp volatility.
The real focus is on the 2:30 Washington press conference, with three key points: first, inflation statements and guidance on a December rate hike. Currently, mainstream institutions generally expect a possible hike in December, and the hawkish or dovish tone will directly guide market expectations; second, the response to political pressure, which affects market pricing of the Fed's policy independence; third, the assessment of economic resilience, which determines the upper limit of this tightening cycle.
Do not judge the market with a linear logic of "rate hike down, hold up." Under the baseline scenario, holding rates with hawkish wording will likely cause a small initial rebound followed by a pullback, because "no hike" is already fully priced in, and hawkish guidance will reinforce December hike expectations. If the tone is dovish and downplays further hikes, the market will see a decent rally; the chance of a surprise hike is extremely low, and if it happens, it would be a black swan shock. $BTC New to bots? Launching is just step one.
Check in on status, active orders, and settings on a regular schedule, so you’re not reacting to every price swing.
Read the blog to learn more about managing bots: https://www.okx.com/learn/okx-how-to-choose-right-trading-botHow I managed to buy BTC at the bottom around 60,000, because it showed strong bottom characteristics!
The special thing about $BTC is its on-chain transparency! Retail investors can also see liquidity changes!
The Liq structure combined with strong bottom patterns helps us judge the trend more clearly!Explosive! BTW surged to 1.82 but now shows a “death handover.” Don’t catch the falling knife before the nuclear-level unlock on November 2!
The candlestick chart can be drawn, but the capital flow doesn’t lie.
Look at the 1-hour MACD divergence signal in the chart, then check the capital flow table below, which is even more revealing—there’s a massive outflow of millions on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, while only the 5-minute chart shows retail investors catching the falling knife. This is a classic high-level bull trap! Why? Over 100 million BTW will unlock on November 2, worth $170 million. The main players won’t pump the price to give you free money before dumping; their current intent is to lure bulls in and trap them.
Trading advice: Chasing longs now is a death sentence.
The safest move is to wait for a pullback to 1.45-1.50 with shrinking volume to stabilize, then cautiously go long with a light position; if it breaks below 1.38, admit defeat. Short around the current price or near 1.9-1.8.
Countdown: 4 days. Will the main players run or shake out the market?
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $BTW Analysis of Polymarket's on-chain data since April 2026, covering 1.2 million accounts and 170 million transactions, reveals significant disparities in platform trading outcomes. The platform's historically most profitable account belongs to a trader using the pseudonym "swisstony," who has accumulated approximately $12 million in profits. In contrast, 68% of users are in a loss position, highlighting the high-risk, winner-takes-all nature of prediction markets. The success path of top traders The success of "swisstony" is not due to a single lucky bet but a sustained strategy across multiple markets. This trader likely employs complex models to identify mispriced probabilities, especially in contracts related to political and economic events. This level of profitability indicates that although prediction markets are decentralized, professional traders with advantages in information and analytical tools still dominate. Why most users lose The 68% loss rate among users is a thought-provoking figure. Factors contributing to this include: Information asymmetry: Retail traders often lack access to the same data and analysis as professionals. Overconfidence and emotional trading: Many users may overestimate their predictive abilities, leading to poor risk management. Liquidity and fees: Although Polymarket does not charge trading fees, the bid-ask spreads and gas costs on the Polygon network can erode returns for frequent small trades. Market manipulation: In markets with low liquidity, large players can influence prices, putting smaller participants at a disadvantage. About#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 FOMC Tonight, the bet isn't on "pause or not"
The whole internet is waiting for the Fed tonight, but 90% consensus isn't worth betting on.
An October hold is already an open card, CME pricing is over 90%, and this time there's not even a dot plot. The suspense lies entirely in Waller's mouth: is the pause really a pause, or a prelude to a pivot?
My judgment leans hawkish; this is called a "hawkish pause," pause does not equal easing. Some think "a pause landing will briefly release risk appetite," I disagree:
Within the 92.8% pause pricing, there's a knife for a December rate hike; the market probability for a 25bp hike in December is already over 70%.
Three predictions: maintain 3.75%-4.00% tonight; December benchmark rate hike of 25bp to 4.00%-4.25%, 50bp is a tail risk; earliest rate cut expected mid-2027.
The starting gun is the September core PCE on October 30; if it doesn't drop below 3.0%, December is locked in.
For crypto: a hawkish pause is not a liquidity inflection point, the "pause rally" is a trap, don't chase news-driven trades.
Golden phrase: pause is not a pivot, it's a finger on the trigger without pulling it.
Are you betting on a December hike, or on Waller softening? See you in the comments.
#BTC涨了钱却没进来 #FOMC
(Market analysis, not investment advice: interest rate path only determines liquidity direction, not a basis for trading decisions, manage your own positions.)$ETH's latest ETF fund data is out, and the market situation is clear now.
BTC's 176 million inflow is entirely supported by BlackRock and Fidelity; the rest of the institutions didn't dare to invest a penny. This is definitely not a signal of a broad bull market!
ETH is even more outrageous—BlackRock directly dumped 93 million and ran. If it weren't for the other two firms stepping in, the outflow data would look even worse.
Currently, institutional funds only recognize BTC as the leader; even ETH is starting to be shunned. Fund clustering will only become more extreme, and coins without institutional backing will continue to decline steadily. Don't blindly bottom-fish or catch the falling knife.‼️Could Bitcoin crash 80% within seconds?
An extreme hypothesis is: if Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet is hacked and a large amount of BTC is dumped, what would happen in the market? But there are several key questions here:
Satoshi holds about 1.096 million coins (valued at 88.3 billion in the chart), but a wallet theft doesn't mean an instant market crash. Large sell-offs would cause severe volatility, but the actual impact is limited by market liquidity and selling methods. Deep discounts are needed to clear positions, so an instant 80% crash is theoretically exaggerated. Considering the current situation, the FOMC decision is at 2 AM tomorrow, CME expects a 90% chance of no rate hike, but Powell's wording and Waller's "no rate hike excluded in December" keep uncertainty; $BTC is currently around 87,000, with heavy resistance at 81,000-82,000, ETF funds fluctuate repeatedly (IBIT alone supports), and the existing game has very low liquidation risk.
Therefore, theoretical extreme scenarios ≠ high probability reality, don't be misled by panic without reliable basis. For $BTC, what really matters is private key security, market liquidity, and extreme risk control. Avoid high leverage before the decision, strictly control positions, and securing profits is the way to go. $BTC $ETH $ZEC A hundred years ago, one US dollar has now depreciated to just a fraction of its value. Since humanity entered the era of fiat currency, legal tender has been continuously devalued, whether it's the US dollar or the renminbi, it's the same.
Recently, I saw a report discussing the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 in the US stock market. The core reason they have kept rising is that the US keeps printing dollars, and the depreciation of the dollar has driven stock prices up. After removing the dollar's depreciation rate, the US stock indices haven't actually risen much.
As long as we are still in an era driven by debt and fiat currency, investing is fundamentally simple. When liquidity tightens and assets plunge sharply, buying Bitcoin in batches and holding long-term, waiting for liquidity to improve and government money printing, will yield profits.
This is a cyclical law that never fails. Other tactics are just techniques; leveraging the cyclical law and continuously compounding is the true way.Brothers, take a look at this liquidation chart, the pattern has completely changed! $149 million liquidated in 24 hours, over 61,000 people were taken out. But this time — shorts accounted for 73.8%, longs only 26.2%.
Previously, it was always the bulls getting liquidated, but this time it's reversed. Why? BTC rallied from 79,000 all the way to 81,200, shorts got liquidated so badly their own mothers wouldn’t recognize them. The largest single liquidation was a $9.39 million ETH short, forcibly closed at 2348.
Looking at the timeline: in the last hour shorts liquidated $2.08 million, in 4 hours $8.51 million, in 12 hours $49.08 million. The higher it goes, the more shorts get liquidated — a classic short stop-loss stampede.
I believe this rebound is just a squeeze of short stop-losses. Now that shorts have mostly been liquidated, long leverage has also piled up. If the FOMC turns hawkish tomorrow night, these chasing longs will be the fuel for the next move. Don’t think a short squeeze means a reversal; the market maker hits one side first, then the other.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长,净利润下降 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Bitcoin’s rebound to an intraday high of $81,300, up more than 1%, and Ethereum’s 1.7% climb to $2,364 look like a market finding its footing. They are better read as a market holding its breath. The recovery arrives hours before the FOMC rate decision, and the rally’s durability depends less on the headline decision than on the language that accompanies it. CME pricing points to a 90% probability of no rate change. That near-certainty has already been absorbed by $BTC and $ETH, which limits theA practical entry point has been added to the on-chain US stock mapped assets: the turnover ranking. The top ten 24-hour turnover ranges from about $1.16 billion to $3.2 billion, covering Meta, Nasdaq 100 ETF, S&P 500 ETF, Micron, Nvidia, Apple, and AMD. However, turnover ranking does not equal investment value ranking.
Ranked first is METAx, about $3.2 billion, priced at $619.67, down 2.09%. The highest turnover price is falling, indicating widening divergence: one side is absorbing, the other is taking profits. The key is to observe whether high turnover is accompanied by stabilization or volume-driven decline; the latter implies both attention and risk signals.
The biggest gainer is AMDx, up about 6.02%, with turnover around $1.16 billion; MUx rose 4.15%. Micron, Nvidia, and AMD all made the top ten, with chips and AI infrastructure still the main theme. But fast gains also mean fast pullbacks, so it’s important to see whether this is driven by fundamentals or short-term capital.
Note: QQQx and SPYx are ETF mapped assets, SPCXx is a SpaceX mapped asset, not the S&P 500 ETF; high ETF turnover does not mean component stocks rise in sync.
From a broader perspective, this reflects a shift in risk appetite: hot money is drawn away by stock mappings, diluting attention from $BTC and $ETH. But on-chain funds come and go quickly; once stock mappings experience volume-driven declines, the first place for capital to return is often deep liquidity assets like BTC and ETH. This ranking also provides a profile of the capital flow in mainstream crypto coins.The hottest coin this afternoon is $HYPE. As of 15:03 Beijing time on October 28, Hyperliquid ranks first on CoinGecko's trending list; OKX spot price is 81.21 USDT, up about 4.9% from 77.45 in 24 hours, with an intraday high of 82.14; the total 24-hour network trading volume is about 720 million USD, market cap about 19.4 billion USD, still about 17% below the all-time high of 97.96 on September 23.
The heat mainly comes from news: Kraken's parent company Payward plans to deploy the first batch of CFTC-regulated perpetual contract markets on Hyperliquid through its subsidiary Bitnomial, targeting US users, currently pending regulatory approval.
My view: The price increase itself is not exaggerated; what is truly worth noting is that a compliant institution chooses to build the market on-chain, which is a qualitative change for Hyperliquid's narrative. But since approval has not yet been granted, the short-term movement is more about expectation trading. I will watch the approval progress and changes in on-chain positions rather than chasing this single bullish candle. $UNITREE Yushù Technology broke 700 today, and many people are asking if it will go to 995?
My view remains unchanged: bearish.
995 is JPMorgan Chase's target price for December 2027, not today's price. Today's 9.4% rise looks more like an emotional spike rather than fundamentals being realized.
The main reasons are:
1. Valuation is far from fundamentals. The P/E ratio is 465.22 times, while the industry average is only 38.54 times. The company itself has warned of valuation reversion risk. The price rose from 405.10 yuan to 672 yuan in just 7 trading days, and now it has broken 700 yuan today. This slope is not a normal trend.
2. The half-year report quality is off. Revenue increased by 48.54% year-on-year, but net profit excluding non-recurring items dropped by 19.34% year-on-year. The core business's profitability has not caught up with the valuation.
3. Commercialization is still early. The company itself says humanoid robots are still in the early stage, with uncertainties in technology, demand, and the supply chain. Large-scale implementation still has many hurdles to overcome.
4. The premise for 995 has not been fulfilled. The assumptions of 31,701 units sold in 2027 and 111,554 units in 2028 are hypothetical. The 2026 sales assumption has not been revised upward and remains at 14,163 units. Breaking 700 today is an advance borrowing of sales two years later.
5. The chips are too fragile. Only 7.4% of shares are tradable, so a small amount of capital can push the price up or down. It rose 9.4% today, but it can fall back just as easily tomorrow.
In summary: I am not bearish on the sector, but bearish on the current price. The price has run ahead of performance and delivery, and sooner or later it will revert to the mean.Tonight's FOMC, the market has basically priced in keeping interest rates unchanged for a long time. Consensus expectations often lead to a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" harvesting scenario. Even if Powell's speech releases a dovish signal, it is most likely just a brief spike. Following that, there are Friday's GDP and PCE inflation data to come, so the market may first be induced to rise and then fall back.
$BTC is currently slightly up, mostly driven by short-term sentiment. Long-term funds have not entered in large amounts, and ETF inflows have not formed a sustained trend. If it quickly rallies on rate cut expectations, it is not suitable to blindly chase the high. This rally may also open space for a subsequent decline. Stay patient with spot holdings, and short-term trading must strictly use stop-losses. Short positions should also not be stubbornly held.
$ETH remains in a weak follow-up state, with the ecosystem lacking new hotspots to attract incremental funds, resulting in weak support. Whenever Bitcoin falls back, ETH often breaks down first. Sideways consolidation does not equal bottom support. Before macro data is released, it is difficult to have an independent rally. Do not rush to catch a falling knife at the bottom.
$XAU's logic is firmer; it is the current main safe-haven theme. The high interest rate environment combined with geopolitical factors continues to support central bank buying. If subsequent economic data weakens, gold is more likely to have an independent rally. Its underlying logic is more solid than the crypto market. Do not use short-term volatility to deny the long-term logic.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Prediction markets generated $173M in revenue, growing more than sixfold and overtaking crypto. Options revenue climbed 31% to $399M, while equities revenue rose 41% to $121M.
The shift is worth watching. Robinhood is building revenue streams beyond crypto, and the numbers suggest that strategy is gaining traction.
Customer growth also remains strong. Platform assets reached a record $396B, funded customers climbed to 28.7M, and Robinhood Gold subscriptions grew 34% to 5.2M.$ZEC is one of the leading mainstream gainers; is the privacy coin making a comeback? NU7 is set for November 5
While everyone is watching $BTC and $ETH, ZEC quietly rose 6%. The old narrative of privacy has been brought back.
The next catalyst is NU7, expected to activate around November 5, with a target block time of 25 seconds.
The logic behind privacy coins has never been protocol revenue but financial privacy demand. This narrative returns cyclically, but privacy coins also face regulatory uncertainty. They can rise quickly and also pull back fast, so don’t just look at one day.
Is this wave of privacy coins a new narrative or just rehashing old themes?
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 I've seen too many people misdiagnose a spike in blood pressure as an improvement in health—$KSM's 3.02% 24H increase is a typical example of a false positive on the ECG. The short-term RSI has surged to 65.7, approaching the overbought threshold, while the long-term RSI is only 44.5, still lying in the neutral zone. What does this pulse split indicate? It means the problem isn't with myocardial contractility but that the elasticity of the blood vessel walls can no longer withstand this artificially elevated pressure.
The short-term Bollinger Bands position shows the price has already touched the upper band at 92%—only 0.1% buffer left before the upper band, while there is 1.5% downward space to the lower band. This is not healthy expansion; it is a sign that atherosclerotic plaques in the vessels are about to rupture. The mid-term Bollinger Bands position at 78% further confirms that blood reflux is encountering resistance, and the end-diastolic pressure in the ventricles is silently rising.
What really made me decide to go to the operating table is the SELL signal itself. The RSI 1H breaking through 64 is like an alarm going off in the operating room before the blood pressure cuff is even loosened—the superficially high pressure reading cannot hide the fact of insufficient distal perfusion. Entry is set at $3.25, 3.8% above the current price; this position is equivalent to establishing an extracorporeal circulation cannulation point above the stenotic segment, waiting for blood flow to surge before reversing to treat low perfusion. Target 1 is set at $2.98, corresponding to a 5% drop from the current price; target 2 is $3.03, a 3.4% gradient. This allows the myocardium space for stepwise rebound, avoiding a one-shot bottoming out. Stop loss is set at $3.57, a 13.9% width. Think this is wide? This is the backup perfusion channel for extracorporeal circulation after thoracotomy—better to have it and not use it than to let the ventricle stop without protection.
📉 Short:
Entry: 3.25 (current price +3.8%)
Take Profit 1: 2.98 (-5.0%)
Take Profit 2: 3.03 (-3.4%)
Stop Loss: 3.57 (+13.9%)
This patient's vital signs have already shown diversion contradictions: short-term indicators are hyperactive, long-term indicators are weak, and the Bollinger Bands are squeezed to a critical intervention point. The lesion is located in short-term emotional overperfusion, while the real cardiac output does not support this blood pressure value at all—the task now is not to wait for it to fall on its own but to ligate the abnormal hypertension segment before the vessel ruptures. #coinmovealert$UNITREE Yush tree Q3 report comes out tomorrow: How to view the 995 target price and 465 times P/E ratio?
First, a few confirmed points:
The Q3 report is scheduled to be disclosed on October 29, the first official quarterly report after listing, not a continuation of the semi-annual report
JPMorgan Chase adjusted the December 2027 target price to 995 yuan, but the premise is sales of 31,701 units in 2027 and 111,554 units in 2028. The 2026 sales assumption was not raised at all, still 14,163 units
As of October 26, the rolling P/E ratio is 465.22 times, while the industry average is only 38.54 times. The company itself also warns of valuation reversion risk
Today, the A-share intraday price has already broken 700 yuan, expectations are very high, and if the Q3 report slightly misses expectations, it is easy to first give back gains
So what to look at in this financial report? Not how much revenue has increased, but whether the non-recurring profit has kept up, and whether robot orders and deliveries have been fulfilled. The story has been told for so long, tomorrow will show the real test.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Many friends ask me how to view the interest rate meeting? Let me explain the three FOMC market scenarios to everyone
Scenario 1: Maintain interest rates unchanged (baseline scenario, highest probability)
Kevin Warsh maintains a neutral to slightly hawkish tone, neither closing the door to future rate hikes nor signaling rate cuts. The market is prone to two-way spikes washing out leverage, with BTC and ETH experiencing brief volatility before returning to range-bound oscillation, making it difficult to sustain a one-sided trend.
Scenario 2: Rate hike exceeding expectations (hawkish black swan, low probability)
The Federal Reserve directly raises the benchmark interest rate, signaling a tough stance against inflation. The US dollar and Treasury yields rise rapidly, panic spreads in the market, BTC and ETH plunge sharply, and risk assets collectively come under pressure.
Scenario 3: Signal of rate cuts (more dovish than expected, lower probability)
Rates remain unchanged, but Kevin Warsh explicitly mentions inflation targets being met and opens discussion on a rate cut timetable. Funds flood into risk assets, BTC rallies quickly, driving ETH and altcoin sectors to rebound collectively, giving bulls an upward opportunity.
This is only market data analysis and does not constitute investment advice #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #BTC现货ETF资金反复,市场买盘能否企稳? $BTC $ETH $ZEC #SK海力士Q3 revenue surpasses 100 trillion KRW for the first time
Why does SK Hynix's stock surge after earnings, while Seagate's stock gets hammered after theirs?
Both delivered explosive, far-exceeding-expectation results, yet SK Hynix and Seagate are worlds apart. The core reason boils down to four words: expectation gap and shareholding structure.
1. Different positions in price movement (shareholding structure)
Seagate's stock price surged nearly 150% this year, already fully priced in the "AI storage boom" expectations. Scoring 100 now is only natural; with a slight increase in capital expenditure (slightly above expectations), profit-taking immediately triggered a sell-off. SK Hynix, on the other hand, was previously dragged down with Asian tech stocks, with its stock price nearly halved from its peak—deeply oversold. Now, with earnings beating expectations, it's a desperate counterattack; shorts need to cover, and bottom-fishing funds dare to enter.
2. Vastly different "sincerity" shown (shareholder returns)
SK Hynix's net profit in the financial report was actually a bomb (below expectations), but it directly launched an epic shareholder return of 100 trillion KRW (30 trillion in cash dividends + 60 trillion in buybacks and cancellations), effectively silencing shareholders and fueling a big rally. In contrast, Seagate, despite good earnings, offered no extra "red envelope" moves, even mentioning rising component costs, so investors naturally voted with their feet.
3. Different focal points in market competition (AI narrative stage)
Seagate represents US domestic AI hardware stocks, and US stock market funds are highly sensitive to "AI capital expenditure." If your capital expenditure is a bit higher in your earnings report, the market questions your return rate.Robinhood Q3 Profit Falls as Crypto Slump Outweighs Record Revenue and Prediction Market Surge
Robinhood just reported record Q3 revenue of $1.42B, up 12% year over year. Yet net income fell 14% to $476M, while earnings per share came in below Wall Street expectations.
The biggest drag was crypto. Transaction revenue from digital assets dropped 55% to $120M, showing how much trading activity still depends on market conditions.
But there is another side to the story
#RobinhoodQ3ProfitFalls The competitive landscape of RWA is highly polarized, and retail funds have not flowed into Ethereum as many newcomers believe. Chart data shows a significant increase in the number of RWA holders from August to October:
- The total number of wallet holders in the market surged from 1.4 million to 6.4 million wallets.
- $BNB Chain, $SOL, and $HOOD Chain together account for up to 82% of the market share.
- BNB Chain holds an absolute lead with 2.1 million wallet addresses.
Low gas fees and a large retail user base are the reasons why BNB Chain and Solana are far ahead of other payment gateways. The unexpected rise of Robinhood Chain indicates that traditional payment gateways are effectively channeling Web2 funds directly into RWA (risk assets).
In contrast, Ethereum and Base occupy only a small portion of the holder distribution chart. The current risk lies in the quality of fund flows: are the surging wallets real users, or merely for airdrop mining and liquidity dispersion? Nevertheless, whichever blockchain can retain the RWA user base will dominate liquidity in the next cycle.Recently, looking at Ethereum, I have a rather divided feeling: the technology is increasingly like a mature engineering company, but the market still prices it with a cyclical perspective.
By 2026, Ethereum's upgrade pace has been fixed to two hard forks per year, and Glamsterdam was proactively halted due to DeFi contract compatibility issues—this actually indicates it no longer "upgrades for the sake of upgrading." The staking amount is approaching 36% of the total supply, BlackRock has packaged ETH into an interest-bearing ETF, and institutional narratives have shifted from "speculating on price" to "capturing cash flow." But on the other hand, ETH's price has dropped over 20% this year, total locked value on L2 has shrunk from $48 billion to about $5 billion, and ETF funds have been flowing in and out repeatedly.
My view is: Ethereum is converging from a "general-purpose chain that does everything" into a "security-first settlement layer." In the short term, this will make it seem less attractive when risk appetite contracts; in the long term, when stablecoins, tokenized assets, and institutional DeFi truly scale, the scarcity of the settlement layer will be priced in.
The gap between technological maturity and market coldness won't be bridged by a single hard fork. The next cycle depends on whether on-chain economic activity can provide a sufficiently substantial answer.Hawkish forecast following the previous article
If the tone is hawkish, reiterating that inflation still has uncertainties, high interest rates will be maintained for a longer period, and even the possibility of further rate hikes cannot be ruled out, funds will choose to seek safe havens and withdraw, making the market prone to a rapid decline. At such times, it is crucial not to rush to bottom-fish or chase rebounds; in a downtrend, the bottom is difficult to identify in one go.
If the entire press conference is bland and basically consistent with the market's prior expectations, with no views exceeding expectations, then the market will most likely experience a brief consolidation before returning to its original trend, without an extremely one-sided move.
Also, pay attention to the divergence among coins. Small-cap coins have much greater volatility elasticity than large-cap mainstream assets. When news shocks occur, small-cap coins will experience more violent price swings, and risks will multiply. Friends holding small-cap coins should be extra cautious.
My view is not to rush into trading at the moment the news breaks. For those with positions, plan stop-loss levels in advance and implement risk protection; for those without positions, wait until the news is fully digested, market sentiment calms down, and volatility gradually contracts, then combine with K-line structures to find suitable opportunities.
Macro news itself is full of uncertainty; no one can accurately predict what Powell will say. In this market, opportunities always exist, but once the principal is lost, it is very difficult to recover it. No matter how good the market is, always leave yourself enough margin for error, view volatility rationally, and do not be driven by short-term price emotions. $ETH #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 After rising 60%, tomorrow is the real test for Unitree.
$UNITREE is not just playing around this time: Since October 16, Unitree on the A-share market has risen over 60% in 7 trading days, closing at 672 yuan on October 26, and on October 28 it once again surged over 10% intraday, approaching 700 yuan, with a turnover exceeding 16%. When sentiment is so high, I tend to focus first on the risks.
The company itself poured cold water first. Unitree's unusual movement announcements on October 20 and 26 both reminded that humanoid robots are still in the early stages of commercialization, with uncertainties in technology, downstream demand, and industry chain support; as of October 26, the company's rolling P/E ratio was 465.22 times, far above the general equipment manufacturing industry average of 38.54 times, posing a risk of valuation correction.
My personal view remains bearish, my approach unchanged: for $UNITREE, I am watching the bearish position near 93, with 90 as the key price level to observe next. It's not that a big rise means an immediate fall, but chasing highs at this level has very low tolerance for error, and volatility will only increase once the financial report is released.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 This ZEC rebound is lively, no doubt, but it seems there aren't that many people truly willing to buy at the resistance level. The strength you see—is it really the buyers coming back, or just the shorts temporarily holding back? Looking over ZEC's market these past two days, my first impression is quite subtle: the daily chart structure is indeed nice, with the price hovering around 1305 to 1310, up 5% to 6% in 24 hours. The weekly chart is also positive, with moving averages from 50-day to 200-day still in a bullish order. The 50-day moving average around 1300 acts as a support cushion, and the 200-day moving average is far below at 700 to 800, so the long-term trend remains intact. The 4-hour RSI is between 66 and 67, the daily RSI about 55, indicating momentum is strong but not yet overbought, and the MACD histogram is still positive. Looking at the indicators alone, it seems like a rhythm of following the upward trend. But the problem is this: it’s not far from the high point pullback zone of 1650 to 1700 at the end of September, right in front of an important resistance band. On the surface, buyers seem to have the upper hand, but in reality, it feels more like bulls and bears are testing each other at the door, with no one willing to significantly increase positions first. At times like this, there is often a gap between lively trading volume and genuine support. What the market is really trading ahead of is the expectation of the NU7 upgrade launching on the mainnet around November 5. The block interval will shrink from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, confirmations will be faster, and a network sustainability mechanism will be introduced to handle part of the fees. This is a plus for user experience and long-term narrative, but such positive news usuallyGalaxy said the bear market ended in June. Do you believe it?
First, Galaxy's conclusion is: the bear market ended in June, and now we are entering an accumulation phase. The reason is that the structure on-chain and at the institutional level is changing; it's no longer about just looking at one or two candlesticks.
The validation point they give is around 76540, which is near the 50-week moving average. Note, this is neither support nor a target, just a validation point: if the price stays above it, the accumulation phase theory still holds. $BTC
If it breaks below this, the conclusion needs to be recalculated. The current price is still around 80800, indeed above 76540, but the volume of this rebound has shrunk, trading volume has dropped by 11%, ETFs are not fully inflowing, and accumulation and distribution sometimes look very similar. There's also a neglected point: Galaxy previously mentioned that about 55% of BTC to date cannot be linked to any known entity.
Self-custody is mainstream, but that doesn't mean all are retail investors; it could also be untagged institutions and lost coins. Don't take "no known owner" directly as a positive.
So my view is: the claim that the bear market is over can be treated as a hypothesis to be verified, not a conclusion. 76540 is that validation line; above it, you can watch slowly, below it, don't force this narrative.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Capital situation: On-chain shifts from long to short
Whales turned bearish for the first time since June: Divergence between leading capital and price trends is the most obvious warning signal since the June low.
ETH spot ETF continues net outflows: About $110.6 million net outflow on Friday; Glamsterdam testnet upgrade delayed, ETH capital conditions clearly weaker than $BTC.
BTC correlation with US stocks rises to the highest since late May: Bitcoin struggles to rally independently, only gaining short-term support when the stock market rebounds and risk appetite improves.
Sector situation: Coexistence of safe-haven and speculative assets
The market shows a clear divergence pattern—capital has not formed a unified direction:
Interpretation:
- Coexistence of "safe-haven (stablecoins) + speculation (Meme)" indicates the market is at a critical point of directional choice rather than a trending market.
- Mainstream coins rebound but with insufficient volume; ETH underperforms BTC clearly due to ETF net outflows.
- Small-cap assets like $ZEC and $PEPE lead the gains, signaling a partial recovery in risk appetite rather than a full reversal. Is $BTC flowing out of exchanges again?
Currently around 80800, it rose from 79749 today, reaching a high of 81900. When coins flow out of exchanges, it generally means holders are not looking to sell for now, so selling pressure eases a bit. But just looking at outflows isn’t enough; the market is still hovering around 80000 without obvious volume increase. It’s too early to call a reversal based on this signal alone.
My personal view is: outflow is a somewhat bullish signal, not a bottom-fishing signal. Wait for the market to stabilize and see if trading volume can catch up.
Have you recently kept your coins on exchanges or withdrawn them to your wallet?
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布