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How exactly is the funding fee calculated? Many people ignore the funding fee, and as a result, even profitable trades end up earning less and less. I'll explain it to you in the simplest, most straightforward way.😃
First, every contract type has a funding fee, some settle every hour, others every 4 or 8 hours. There is a countdown timer in the upper right corner.🤨
If the funding fee is positive, and you hold a long position, when the time comes, you have to pay the short position holders. Conversely, if you hold a short position, you will receive money.😏
If the funding fee is negative, and you hold a short position, when the time comes, you have to pay the long position holders. Conversely, if you hold a long position, you will receive money.😎 Mining company Riot sold 10,599 BTC in Q1, cutting their holdings by about 79%.
The coin price just bounced back to 80,000, but miners first exchanged coins for AI electricity fees.
It's not that "miners are bearish," but that "selling power to AI is more valuable." Riot signed about a 15-year AI computing power land lease contract worth approximately $28 billion; on one hand, BTC is back above 80,000, and on the other, the mining company is rewriting BTC from "reserves" to "cash for building data centers."
Next time you see mining stocks surge while the coin price is flat, ask three questions first:
1) Are they selling coins to raise funds this week or accumulating coins?
2) Is the power contract tied to mining or AI tenants?
3) How many quarters of CapEx can their BTC inventory support?
Don't just look at green K-lines; see if miners are "exchanging coins for power."
Notes from Fu Jia's kid watching the market: a green candle doesn't mean miners are holding. Do you believe the coin accumulation story or the power story more?
$BTC #Bitcoin #MiningCompanyThree rejections since October 2025. $BTC has again retested the $75,389 Short-Term Holder Realised Price as support and bounced 4%.
Spot and institutional flows are sell heavy, but perp traders are keeping price supported. Bulls need spot buyers to make the rebound last.$6.3 billion stolen, Coinbase immediately emphasizes: 99% of customer assets are in cold wallets.
Binance suffered a hacker attack involving about $6.3 billion, while Coinbase stated it was not affected. The judgment leans bearish, impacting the trust layer of centralized exchanges. A $6.3 billion scale is not a single project vulnerability but a signal that the security system of a leading exchange has been breached. Short-term funds will likely reassess exchange custody risks, with some positions possibly shifting to cold wallets, self-custody, or platforms with stronger compliance.
Coinbase's statement is a defensive posture and also a relative beneficiary—when trust is damaged, emphasizing cold storage and asset segregation can attract risk-averse funds and institutional clients, which is a plus for COIN's relative position. However, this is a marginal benefit in terms of PR and trust, not equivalent to new on-chain demand.
Operational focus on two points: first, the follow-up progress on Binance's withdrawal and deposit suspensions and compensation plans; second, whether funds are migrating from Binance to other platforms or self-custody. Such events first hit sentiment, then talk about recovery; short-term volatility will be amplified. It is neither advisable to blindly bottom-fish in panic nor to ignore the risk of chain liquidation. Involving mainstream assets like BTC and ETH, this is a market-level risk event with a bearish bias.
Source: The BlockBTC Brief: Institutions Are Still Withdrawing, Watch for Resistance on the Rebound
On November 4, the US spot BTC ETF saw a net outflow of about $398.6 million. BlackRock's IBIT had a single-day outflow of approximately $405.3 million, Fidelity's FBTC bucked the trend with a slight inflow of about $6.7 million, while most other products showed limited changes. The combined outflow on Friday and Monday totaled about $1.04 billion, basically wiping out last week's inflows.
The market remains weak. BTC is currently priced around $77,010, with a 24-hour high of $78,254 and a low of $76,386, and a funding rate of about 0.01%. During the day, the price repeatedly tested the $76,400–$76,500 range, and the rebound was blocked near $77,500.
IBIT's single-day withdrawal of over $400 million indicates that institutions are still reducing exposure, not just retail sentiment. The current bottoming is not considered a trend reversal; to turn bullish, ETF outflows need to at least show signs of slowing.
In the short term, $76,500 is the support level; reduce positions if it breaks down. The first resistance is at $77,500; if it holds above, then watch $78,000. Set stop-loss below $76,200, with a target initially at $78,000, maintaining a light position.#全球央行Q3购金321吨，金价为何持续承压？ Central banks bought 321 tons of gold in Q3, but why does the gold price keep under pressure? Central banks are aggressively buying 321 tons, yet gold prices have dropped by a quarter: who exactly is "fighting" here?
In the third quarter, global central banks purchased 321 tons of gold, a 42% year-on-year increase, marking the strongest single-quarter gold buying record since the end of last year. In the past, when central banks bought this much, gold prices would have soared. But the reality is, gold prices have fallen from the year's high, dropping nearly a quarter, even breaking below the $4000 mark.
On one side, central banks are "buying up," while on the other, gold prices are "plunging"—this situation is indeed a bit contradictory.
The root of this contradiction lies in the word "interest." Central banks buy gold for "safety," for reserve diversification, and to hedge against the depreciation of fiat currency purchasing power. They look at this money over five or ten years and don't care about gold price fluctuations next month. But most money in the market doesn't think this way. After the Iran war broke out at the end of February, oil prices were pushed above $110, inflation pressures resurfaced, and market expectations for Fed rate hikes suddenly soared to 86%. The dollar became stronger, U.S. Treasury bonds started yielding interest, while gold pays zero interest. So, money that originally sought "safe haven" turned around and ran to buy U.S. Treasuries to earn interest.
What's more troublesome is that this round of geopolitical conflict transmission is completely opposite to before: once the gunfire starts, oil prices rise first; when oil prices rise, rate hike expectations follow; when rate hike expectations rise, non-yielding gold gets hit. The traditional "buy gold in troubled times" logic temporarily fails in the face of this chain.
$BTC Nonfarm payroll night, $BTC faces a big test at 78,000
Friday 21:30, US October nonfarm payrolls release. The market expects an increase of 60,000–65,000 jobs, unemployment rate at 4.2%, and futures price in about a 72% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in December. Before Powell speaks, the market votes first; 78,000 has become the dividing line between bulls and bears.
Scenario 1: Data exceeds expectations (employment > 65,000)
Data is hot, the dollar and US Treasury yields may strengthen simultaneously, putting pressure on risk assets. If BTC falls below 78,000, bears dominate, but sharp drops often see rebounds; take profits without clinging to the fight, and consider scaling out around 77,500.
Scenario 2: Data misses expectations (employment < 50,000)
Employment cools down, rate hike expectations ease, liquidity sentiment recovers, and BTC may see a rebound window. If the price climbs back above 78,500, short positions should exit decisively; don’t let a small mistake turn into a big one.
Scenario 3: Neutral data (50,000–65,000)
Bulls and bears tug-of-war, repeated consolidation around 78,000. At this time, guess less about direction, watch for confirmation, and wait for new clues from the December FOMC meeting.
In short: Nonfarm payrolls are the trigger, position sizing is the seatbelt. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #AMD数据中心收入近翻倍，营收及指引均超预期 BTC intraday hits MA25 resistance! Online is bullish, offline is bearish! Watch the closing situation!
According to the 【Moving Average Strategy】, BTC intraday on November 5th hit the MA25 resistance (the resistance level is the position to reduce holdings; buy back after breaking through; continue holding half the position entered previously at the MA365 bull-bear dividing line). If it closes above, the signal turns bullish (if it falls below MA25 again afterward, it turns bearish again). Based on evidence, follow the market accordingly, and operations will no longer be confused. Bitcoin #Bitcoin BTC #BTC $BTC #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权
The Democrats took control of both the Senate and the House, winning by a margin even stronger than the polls predicted. The Senate gained a net 7 seats, with Texas electing a Democratic senator for the first time since 1988, and Kansas for the first time since 1932. The House also surpassed the 218-seat threshold, and Jeffries is set to become the first Black Speaker. The Texas governor Abbott was also ousted.
The Republican losses stem from oil prices and Iran. Before the war, gasoline was just over $3, then broke $4 within a month, a 35% increase, causing prices for daily goods, logistics, and dining to rise accordingly. Voters cast their ballots holding gas receipts.
But Trump holds the veto power; he put it bluntly: "I have ultimate power, it's called the veto." The Democrats can block legislation, conduct investigations, and stall appointments, but they can't get their own agenda past him. There's a saying from Tsinghua that fits well: "Lame but not paralyzed." Don't expect major reforms; executive orders and lawsuits will increase, and policy uncertainty will rise.
The next two years will be a deadlock, with neither side able to accomplish much, but both fully capable of making things unpleasant for each other. Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) expects to exceed expectations in its Q3 2026 earnings report. This optimism is mainly driven by the significant surge in shipments of high-speed fiber optic modules (such as the 400G and 800G families, and the commencement of 1.6T shipments) destined for giant AI data centers. #Significant surge in high-speed fiber optic modules. AAOI, can the Q3 report exceed expectations? Yes, there is strong expectation and optimism in the markets that Applied Optoelectronicll Don't rush to jump in on low volume, first arrange your positions properly (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧
Midterm election vote counts are coming in, with the Democratic Party temporarily leading. The market is low volume, guessing the direction isn't profitable; how to allocate positions is the key. The three brothers are repositioned:
$BTC — The ballast stone: 24-hour low volume grinding between 76387—78064, with only 10,516 coins traded, fearing greed at 34. Sentiment is warming up, but funds are not rushing to add; 60% of the base position is held down, remaining bullets wait for election downside to land before moving (:з」∠)
$ETH — The flexible position: ETH/BTC rose to 0.0294, stronger than BTC in a single day. Staking queue is blocked, exit queue is empty, chips are locked, suitable for an aggressive flexible position ٩(ˊᗜˋ*)و
$ZEC — The independent defense line: Retraced to 1250 but still holding 1200, governance turmoil caused nearly 100,000 coins to exit free circulation, supply is shrinking. 1200 is the lifeline, no break no move 🐢
In a low volume market, don't rush to bet on the strong taking off immediately; first defend against the weak falling further, that is discipline. Base position, flexible, defense line each in their place: BTC holds the line, ETH charges, ZEC defends. Next, act less, wait more for signals, let time slowly ferment (￣▽￣)ノ
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 $TRUMP
At 1:48 PM I wrote a sentence: What’s falling is the story, not the position.
Now at 1.265. The 1H candle at 01:00 plunged straight from 1.396 to 1.218, the 24-hour low is that number just now, down 12.7% in one hour, with a volume of 8.14 million USD, the previous candle was 1.69 million, nearly five times difference.
Interestingly, the open interest didn’t shrink. At 22:00 it was 18.42 million contracts, at 01:00 it was 19.16 million, during the dump about 700,000 more were added. The fee rate flipped negative to -0.0186%, shorts started paying longs.
So this dump is not a long stop-loss stampede, it’s shorts chasing in to short. After chasing down to 1.265, it was bought back, now those shorts stuck between 1.22-1.25 look bad, and the fee rate is deducted every eight hours.
The story of the Democrats taking both chambers was priced in yesterday. Today’s 12% drop is not a new plot, it’s the last cleanup of those who didn’t exit last round. The difference is this time the cleanup hits the shorts themselves.
My sentence this afternoon was half right. The story is indeed falling, and the position didn’t hold — from 1.48 to 1.22, seventeen points lost.
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 #ModernaQ3财报将揭示疫苗销售趋势
I believe Moderna (MRNA)'s upcoming Q3 earnings report deserves close attention. Currently, 82% of the forecast market leans toward better-than-expected results, reflecting strong optimism. The market expects revenue of about $890 million this quarter, a significant rebound from Q2, but vaccine sales are highly seasonal, so simple quarter-over-quarter growth is not enough to prove a full recovery. The core of this earnings report lies in actual vaccine sales, the extent of loss narrowing, and the full-year performance guidance. Meanwhile, new vaccine commercialization and cancer treatment R&D progress provide support for long-term valuation. I see short-term upside potential beyond expectations, but the optimism may already be priced into the stock. Even if results improve, caution is needed for a pullback risk after positive news is realized. Overall, I remain cautiously optimistic about the mid-to-long-term outlook, focusing more on the gap between earnings data and market expectations in the short term rather than blindly chasing gains. $BTC
380 million USD. During the 23rd hour, all short positions across the network were liquidated to this amount.
The market action is very straightforward. At 22:00, the price was pulled from 78,366 to 79,345, with a volume of 785 contracts; at 23:00, it was directly pulled to 81,200, with 1,750 contracts, while the previous candle had only 222 contracts. After the spike, it closed at 80,299, failing to hold above 81,200.
But open interest did not keep up. At 22:00 it was 3.84 billion, at 23:00 3.875 billion, then dropped back to 3.835 billion at 00:00, now 3.846 billion—basically flat. The positions liquidated were shorts; the buyers were not new money.
The funding rate is 0.00855%, still below the 0.01% baseline. The price has risen 6.5% from the 24-hour low, yet the bulls are unwilling to pay even this small premium.
Two accounts don’t add up on the same night. News flash says there are 337 million short liquidations above 82,000. But there is also an address transferring 813 BTC to Coinbase Institutional, worth 65.4 million USD, which values each BTC at 80,443, the current price. Some are waiting above to see shorts get liquidated, while others are moving coins to exchanges below.
My judgment is clear: this is a short squeeze, not the start of a new trend. The next two 1H volumes dropped to 686 and 371 contracts, thinning out as time goes on. If 82,000 is truly taken out, I’ll change my view, but I won’t chase this level now.
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 Cross-border payroll is being replaced by a single API.
Stripe's Global Payouts now allows eligible U.S. businesses to send USDC and OUSD directly to external crypto wallets of payees in over 160 markets. The funds come from the Stripe Treasury balance, with a fee of 0.5% plus $0.5 per transaction, usually arriving within minutes. It is currently in public preview, and New York State businesses must apply separately for early access.
Let's look at the pricing structure first. The 0.5% is a proportional fee, and the $0.5 is a fixed fee. The smaller the amount, the more the fixed fee bites: sending $20 costs 2.6%, while sending $20,000 is just 0.5%. This is clearly aimed at bulk corporate payments, not small personal transfers.
Now, the money flow. Previously, cross-border payments had to go through correspondent banks, SWIFT, and wait days for clearing; now the funds come from Stripe's balance and land directly in the recipient's wallet, with no banks in between. OUSD issued by Stripe itself is also on the list; it acts as both the channel and the issuer.
My judgment: this is not just adding another way to receive crypto, but stablecoins entering corporate accounts payable. The usage of $USDC will follow B2B channels in the future, no longer just tracking exchange volumes.
Worth considering: payroll can now arrive in minutes, so is 0.5% expensive? It depends on the counterparty's cost to convert back to fiat, which remains in their hands.On October 28, I already mentioned that the $ETH correction was not over yet. The heavy pressure from the red and green Gann 2/1 angle lines in Chart 1 caused the market to continue downward after being blocked at this position. Subsequently, ETH hit a low of 2174, which matched the prediction ✅
Key observations going forward:
Only by firmly holding above the green Gann 2/1 line (2330) in Chart 2, and not falling below the 2150–2175 support zone, can the correction that started at 2807 be declared over.
After surpassing 2330, the next observation point is 2420. A valid breakthrough and stable hold above 2420 will greatly increase the probability that the correction has ended.
Reviewing previous cycle judgments:
As early as mid-January 2026, it was predicted that ETH's decline would continue until Q3, targeting around 1500; when it reached 1505 in early June, it was again indicated that a new weekly-level upward rally had started, with this rally reaching a maximum increase of 86%.
From a structural division perspective: the decline starting at 2807 is defined as a correction at the same weekly level as the 1505–2807 weekly rally. Currently, this correction is nearing its end, and it may have even bottomed out.
Once this correction is confirmed to be over, a weekly-level rally of the same magnitude as 1505-2807 will begin, with expectations of stronger upward momentum.💸 $AAPL LONG
Entry: $342.00 – $349.00
Stop Loss: $326.50
🎯 TP1: $360.00
🎯 TP2: $372.00
🎯 TP3: $385.00
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐☆☆ (4/5)
Why Long Is Better 1Week Candle Show The Strong Buying Interest Push The Price Go Higher Nonfarm night, the critical survival line for BTC at 78000
Friday 21:30, US October nonfarm payroll data release. The market expects new jobs to increase by 60,000–65,000, unemployment rate at 4.2%, and futures price about 72% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in December. Powell holds the policy switch for December, making the BTC 78000 level a key battleground for bulls and bears.
Scenario 1: Employment above 65,000
Economy overheats, rate hike expectations rise, the dollar and US Treasury yields strengthen, BTC comes under pressure. Shorts near 78000 can dominate, but it’s advisable to reduce positions gradually around 77500 to avoid turning profits into risks.
Scenario 2: Employment below 50,000
Employment cools down, liquidity expectations ease, BTC is likely to see a rebound window. Shorts should not hold stubbornly; a decisive stop loss above 78500 is recommended to avoid adding positions against the trend.
Scenario 3: Between 50,000 and 65,000
Data is neutral, bulls and bears tug back and forth, direction will likely be decided at the December FOMC meeting. Control position size and wait for the market to choose sides.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期 The U.S. stock market experienced an unexpected surge!
On November 4, the Democratic Party won control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate in the midterm elections, breaking the Republican Party's previous control over both chambers of Congress.
After the news was announced, U.S. stocks rebounded strongly.
Among them, Amazon rose about 7.4%, Apple nearly 7%, and Microsoft, Google, and Meta also climbed.
According to Reuters' statistics, if the gains hold, the combined market value of these five tech giants could increase by more than $750 billion.
Interestingly, the market did not panic over the Democrats regaining power; instead, it bet that divided government would limit drastic policy shifts, reducing market uncertainty.
However, not everyone in the AI industry benefited. The market is concerned that the Democrats will strengthen data center regulations, causing related infrastructure companies to face sell-offs.
This market movement once again shows that capital market trading is not just about economic data but also about expectations for future policies and industry landscapes.$TRUMP TRUMP This setup is clearly designed to slaughter the shorts as a sacrifice.
95% of the spot chips are held tightly by market makers, leaving the circulating supply pitifully thin. Meanwhile, on the futures side, there are nearly three hundred stubborn short whales holding on, enduring over $14 million worth of short positions despite the fees.
These shorts have an average price around 1.83. If the spot price nudges up even slightly from here and hits their stop-loss line, a forced liquidation buy order worth tens of millions will explode in a chain reaction. The market makers can save the money they would have spent pulling the price up, relying entirely on the shorts to burn their own fuel. There’s basically no selling pressure from the spot side; the shorts’ own closing orders will drive the price soaring.
#TRUMP
$TRUMP
👇I am the mid-term intelligence guy
Today the US midterm elections landed, the market first dropped then pulled back. I watched the market and saw $BTC dip to 75,000 then violently rebound to 81,190, $ETH also rose to 2,450 USD,
But currently the sentiment seems to have eased, though the capital flow hasn't truly reversed.
I checked the data for November 3rd: BTC spot ETF net outflow was 120 million, ETH net outflow was 90 million with continuous withdrawals for 7 days, $SOL also had a net outflow of 70 million in the past 7 days, institutions are still reducing positions.
From a technical perspective, BTC has support around 75,000, but 82,000 is a resistance zone; without volume to hold above it, it's just an oversold correction. If it breaks below the 75,000 low again, further probing is needed.
ETH's rebound is slightly stronger, but ETF outflows are more troublesome; support is seen around 2,280, resistance near 2,450.
Mid-term, I will continue to observe and wait for capital to flow back before taking action.
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 $BCH The longer BCH stays sideways around 277, the more something feels off.
Glancing at the market, the contract long-short ratio has actually hit 3.27.
Retail investors are all squeezed into the long side, the load is so heavy the vehicle can't move.
Resistance above is pressing down hard, and the buying power is completely lagging.
If the whales don't smash it down to bury all these longs, they'd be wasting this liquidity served on a silver platter.
Just watching the liquidation line below.
#BCH
$BCH
👇盘面里绝大多数人已经锁定同一条推演路径，9 月就业新增只有 2.9 万，市场默认 10 月数据偏弱就会给风险资产打开上行空间。 这套共识的逻辑足够顺滑，就业数据持续走弱，美联储加息的约束就会松绑，资金自然愿意往加密市场倾斜。所有人都把行情选择权交到非农手上，等着这份报告打破持续多日的阴跌格局，很少去思考预期提前计价的可能性。 BTC 卡在 7.6 万附近反复磨蹭，几次试探都没能拉出有效反弹，价格被压在均线之下，短期偏弱的状态贴在盘面上。它没有主动走出独立行情，只是安静待在区间里面，等着外部消息来决定往哪个方向突破。 ETH 在 2250 附近横盘，2200 的支撑暂时扛住抛压，2300 这道边界牢牢封住向上的空间。它和大饼绑定很深，在数据落地之前，场内资金没有动力主动去触碰这片压力区，区间震荡会一直延续。 这套共识藏着一处很容易漏掉的变量。就算 10 月就业落在 6–8 万的预估区间，利好也有可能提前兑现；一旦数据明显强于预期，整套宽松叙事会瞬间失效。能证伪当前共识的信号，不是单一一根 K 线的波动，而是数据落地之后直接击穿大家依赖的支撑边界。$BTC Observation: A pullback from 75734 to 80418 in one day, but ETFs saw an outflow of $1.16 billion over three days
Who is buying BTC in this rebound? At least it's not ETFs
Current price 80418, up 3.57% in 24 hours, the low of 75734 appeared as news of the Democrats taking control of both houses of Congress spread, followed by a V-shaped recovery, with a trading volume of $830 million
CoinDesk reports that on election day, BTC bullish options block trades more than doubled compared to the previous day. Markus Thielen from 10x Research believes momentum indicators show oversold conditions, with a rebound target near 82000
On the other hand, the US spot BTC ETF has seen net outflows for three consecutive trading days, totaling about $1.16 billion, with $115.6 million outflow on November 3, including $95 million from IBIT
Daily outflows have dropped from $643 million to $116 million. Whether ETFs can turn to net inflows will determine if the price can hold above 80000.
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 I discovered something interesting: when I stopped focusing on the crypto circle and no longer concentrated on $BTC, my trades went exceptionally smoothly, and the market movement even followed my expectations perfectly!
Because two days ago, I predicted that the Democratic Party would take control of Congress, which I saw as a shock to the Trump administration. Coupled with the recent very low sentiment in the entire capital market, I thought this might be an opportunity to ignite sentiment, so I preemptively placed a long position on $BTC.
I didn't actually expect to take profits because there was still a lot of uncertainty, but fortunately, $BTC had a very low point recently that it just couldn't break below, so I thought it was still worth trying to go long.
Note that this was just a trial to go long; I was ready to cut losses decisively. On one hand, the position size was small, and on the other, I could operate flexibly. But the outcome was good—I didn't even get a chance to act, hahahahaha, opportunity! 😄
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 Democrats won both chambers, do you think it's over? $BTC
Senate seats 54:44, with 2 seats still undecided.
House seats 222:138, with 75 seats still undecided.
But don't forget the difference in significance between Congress members and the President.
For the presidential election, 270 votes: 268 votes or 370 votes: 168 votes might not make much difference; it's the same president taking office.
But the two chambers are different. Take the House of Representatives as an example: currently, the results show Democrats with 222 seats, Republicans with 138 seats, and 75 seats undecided. Two extreme scenarios, 297:138 and 222:213, are different because the vote margin between the two parties affects decision-making in the House.
Take the recently discussed "Crypto Clarity Act" as an example. Democrats are not very supportive of this bill. If Democrats have 222 seats versus Republicans' 213, then after moderate amendments, the "Crypto Clarity Act" still has a chance to pass the House. But if it's 297:138, the probability of the "Crypto Clarity Act" passing might be relatively slim. $ETH
This is the suspense that still exists in the midterm elections. The Republicans lost both chambers, but the suspense lies in how much they lost. That is also very important! $HYPE $ZEC People say that to trade ZEC, you need to use Fibonacci to understand the direction. I'll try it next time.
Wave selection: This round's low point 1048.53, previous high 1697.45
Fibonacci retracement levels:
- 0.236: 1201.68 (support)
- 0.382: 1296.42 (near current price, first short-term barrier)
- 0.500: 1372.99 (core mid-term resistance)
- 0.618: 1449.56 (strong resistance)
- 0.786: 1558.58 (secondary high resistance)
Chart analysis (daily):
Current price 1307.21, just firmly above the 0.382 level at 1296.42:
1. Short-term: 1296 is the first support line. Holding here means a healthy bullish structure; the next target is the 0.5 level at 1373, which is the most important watershed for this rebound;
2. If it surges to around 1373 but faces resistance and volume increases while falling back, the market is likely to return to consolidation and test 1296;
3. A valid break below 1296 means this rebound weakens, and attention returns to support near 1201;
4. Only with volume-backed stabilization above 1373 is there a chance to challenge 1449, 1558, and approach the previous high of 1697.
Combined with the Bollinger Bands on the chart: the upper band is at 1343.63, right between 1296 and 1373, acting as a short-term mid-way resistance.📊 xINTC/USDT Market Update
Current Price: $59.30 (down -2.83% today)
📉 Testing support near the 24h low of $56.80, with a 24h high of $xINTC 62.37.
💡 Short-Term Outlook:
🟢 Support Zone: $55.00 - $58.00
🔴 Resistance Target: $62.00 - $65.00
Downward pressure remains heavy below major moving averages. If buyers can successfully defend the $xINTC 55 support level, watch for a potential relief bounce toward the moving averages. Manage your risk closely! ⚠️📉💎 #CircleQ3营收超预期，USDC链上交易量增长49% $BTC just hit the 7.6k stop loss and then surged, establishing short positions between 80.5k-82k for a long-term bearish outlookAfter the short-term surge in $ETH volume, the most common misconception is that this rapid rally has directly reversed the previous downtrend structure.
This is my personal market observation. The current quote is about $2428.64, with a rolling 24-hour range of $2226.55 to $2450.79. The price has quickly risen from a low point, showing a very strong rebound impulse, but a single pulse increase is not enough to prove that the bearish trend has completely ended, nor can it directly confirm the start of a new bullish market; I will not ignore the potential pullback risk caused by pressure and repeated oscillations after the surge just because of this large bullish candle.
Before the high point is effectively broken and stabilized, I am not in a hurry to fully shift my mindset to bullish. Continuously chasing the rally rhythm and repeatedly entering on dips may seem controllable in losses per trade, but repeated entries will also gradually consume risk control limits. Rather than rushing to gamble on the remaining upside, I prioritize maintaining the pre-set trial-and-error limit and pause opening new positions once the limit is exhausted.
My judgment is that only if the price stabilizes above the $2450.79 high and the buying support during pullbacks remains solid, does it make sense to reassess the potential for the rebound to continue; if the price faces pressure and falls back after hitting the high, breaking the key support of this rebound, then the logic of this rebound needs to be reexamined. Until confirmation signals are fulfilled, I will not continuously increase positions or passively convert short-term rebound trades into long-term longs.
This is for opinion exchange only.
#CircleQ3营收超预期，USDC链上交易量增长49% Got up in the middle of the night to use the bathroom, grabbed my phone to check the market capital flow, and wow, it completely wiped out my sleepiness. This screen full of green bars looks like a bull market is coming, right? Bro, don’t be fooled by this few hours of prosperity, switch to a longer timeframe and take a look!
First, look at $BTC. In the short term, nearly 1.1 billion flowed into contracts in the last 24 hours, and spot also saw 300 million inflow. It looks like the big players are frantically bottom-fishing, but if you swipe right to check the 30-day big trend, contract net outflow reached as high as 9.3 billion, indicating that the short-term rally is purely a capital game inside, and the big money has long taken advantage of the rebound to pack up and leave.
Next, $ETH shows the exact same script. Nearly 1 billion flowed into contracts in 24 hours, which looks impressive, but over 30 days, there was a net outflow of 8.5 billion. The big players are using a little money to wildly draw charts in the short term to lure you, but quietly withdrawing in the long term.
The only one with some backbone is $SOL. Although short-term contracts are flowing out, if you look carefully at its spot side, there was a net inflow of over 86 million in 30 days. This means there really are big holders down there holding bags of chips to support the bottom. Although the short term may still be dragged down by the overall market, the long-term structure is the most resistant to decline among these three.
My view: The short-term rise is bait, the long-term decline is the truth. The big money is still strategically retreating. Don’t use your real money to catch the falling knife.
For those still watching the market late at night without sleeping, what do you currently hold? Did you profit from this rally or get trapped?
#美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 Ya Baige, this is probably the only short-term chance for a turnaround 😭 $AMD earnings doubled, revenue guidance exceeded expectations, good news for semiconductors
But why is it falling now? I think the current drop is a good thing; the storyline tonight will most likely be a low open followed by a strong rise, which aligns with the earnings report
Recently, Ya Baige lost over ten million on this $SOXL
It dropped 10% yesterday morning! Ya Baige immediately bought the dip, and based on yesterday's market, the 69 level was indeed the bottom! Our analysis was all correct
Last night, holding long positions near 74 on SOXL, with floating profits of over fifty points, I slept peacefully waiting for the takeoff, placing a buy order at 77.45, convinced this was the bottom.
But now the market has directly crashed to 68.01, a 24-hour drop of over 10%, a large bearish candle completely wiped out the previous rebound gains, breaking support at 67.97 on the 15-minute chart, hitting a low of 67.37
That previous rebound was a bull trap repair during the downtrend; many saw the rebound and assumed the bottom had come, heavily buying long and holding overnight. SOXL itself is a triple-leveraged product, combined with 8x contracts, double leverage; profits look exaggerated when rising, but once it reverses and crashes, the drawdown speed is terrifying. @八佰哥爱理财 #Sony Earnings Report Forecast: How Will the Gaming and Music Divisions Perform? Net Profit Forecast: Analysts (via MarketWatch) estimate a net profit increase of approximately 12% to around 349 billion yen (equivalent to $2.20 billion). Revenue Forecast: Quarterly revenue is estimated at approximately 3.195 trillion yen (a slight increase of approximately 2.8% on a year-over-year basis). $TRUMP dropped to $1.48, and the market sentiment is really cooling off a bit.
From a high near $79, it has fallen all the way down, and the current price has made many people rethink: what exactly supports the value of this coin?
Personally, I think the biggest problem with $TRUMP is not how much it has dropped in the short term, but that it relies too heavily on political sentiment and market expectations. Once the hype fades, the price is hard to sustain on sentiment alone.
Around $1.30 is the previous low area that the market is watching, but whether it can hold is still inconclusive. The overall performance of the crypto market will also affect its next moves.
For me, at times like this, rather than rushing to bottom-fish, it’s more worthwhile to observe trading volume, market sentiment, and whether there are any new catalysts.
Do you think $TRUMP still has a chance to regain momentum, or has this narrative already started to fade?
#TRUMP #Crypto #MemeCoins#UnitedForCryptoSecurity 📊 $BTC mentioned over 1395 times in 24h but stuck in sideways trading? OKX sentiment data reveals new capital flows!
1️⃣ Market buildup: $BTC 24h bullish 39% vs bearish 27% (neutral divergence), but bullish sentiment in the last 1h has warmed up to 54% (bearish only 12%), short-term selling momentum is fading; $ETH 1h bullish also rose to 56%.
2️⃣ Risk-off surge: While the market grinds, gold $XAU 4h bullish soared to 76%, silver $XAG 4h bullish reached 90%, $SPY / $QQQ 1h bullish hit 100%!
3️⃣ RWA movements: $ONDO holders exceed 220,000, $HOOD 4h bullish 69% (0 bearish), $DJT 1h trading volume reached $917,000!
In the next 24h, do you see $BTC breaking upwards or continuing to consolidate? See you in the comments 👇📊 XQQQ/USDT Market Update
Current Price: $696.11 (up +1.30% today)
🚀 Steady bounce rising from the 24h low of $xQQQ 671.22 up toward a high of $700.98!
💡 Short-Term Outlook:
🟢 Support Zone: $680.00 - $690.00
🔴 Resistance Target: $705.00 - $720.00
Buyers are stepping in near the lows with positive momentum building. If it holds above support, look for a continuation toward the $xQQQ 705+ resistance level next! Let's get it! 🔥📈💎Yes, this week is a heavy earnings week. The actual data for what you forwarded has now arrived, and there is a big twist in it: ### 1. AMD - The Real Star ⭐ - *Q3 Revenue:* $13.38B, +45% YoY, it beat expectations - *Data Center Revenue:* *$8.55B, +97%* - exactly like your message - *EPS:* $2.09 vs expected $1.95 - *Q4 Guidance:* $17B, above the expected $16.3B - *Signal for 2027:* Lisa Su said revenue will grow *more than +80%*, Data Center will account for 80% of total sales in 2027. - Driver: EPYC CPUs + Instinct MISony Earnings Preview
Whale long-short ratio diverges, how to filter short-term signals? (・ω・)ノ
SOL: 31.9% long-short ratio leans bearish, shorts already have unrealized profits. This explains the 15-minute level oscillation under pressure but does not directly confirm a downward breakout. Don’t mistake "under pressure" for "breakout" (｡•́︿•̀｡)
ETH: 24.02% long-short ratio corresponds to 2291. Both bulls and bears are uncomfortable; the market looks more like a stalemate. A stalemate doesn’t mean an immediate direction choice; patiently wait for confirmation (￣▽￣)ゞ
BTC: 20.01% long-short ratio, price 77825, indicator divergence has appeared. Holding this level means the original bullish structure can continue; breaking below increases the probability of a pullback. Watch key levels closely (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧
Finally, open the position list, check short-term stop losses, and confirm they match your own risk tolerance. Signals are just clues; risk control is the bottom line (｀・ω・´)
$SOL $ETH $BTC #US Midterm Elections: Democrats Gain Control of Both Houses of Congress
The results of the US midterm elections are out, with the Democratic Party successfully taking control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives. The market's biggest political uncertainty has officially been resolved, directly driving a global asset repricing.
After the shift in the power structure, the Trump administration's room to push a new round of large-scale tax cuts and fiscal stimulus is clearly limited. The market expects a slowdown in the pace of US fiscal expansion, with US Treasury yields pressured downward and the dollar weakening, directly benefiting safe-haven assets like gold. Clean energy and healthcare sectors are expected to receive policy support, while AI and technology sectors begin to trade with potential risks of stricter regulation.
Although the Democrats control Congress, the President still holds veto power, making it difficult for radical bills to pass. The biggest risk going forward centers on debt ceiling negotiations, where bipartisan struggles could trigger market volatility again next year, causing temporary disruptions.
The election is merely an emotional catalyst and cannot change the Federal Reserve's monetary policy mainline. The market will continue to focus on inflation data, interest rate hike expectations, and tech company earnings reports. The ultimate trend of AI computing power and storage sectors will still be driven by profitability and liquidity. Short-term risk appetite is warming up, but sector differentiation will become more pronounced. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC $ETH market may continue to weaken, referring to the trend on October 11 last year, which means after a round of oversold rebound, it will start a sustained decline again.
Trump's side generally favors the crypto industry, while the Democratic Party's consistent stance is to strengthen regulation. According to my personal judgment, this round the market may dip to around sixty thousand. Regardless of whether this prediction will come true in the end, given the current environment, we must be vigilant and avoid blindly chasing the upside. #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 📊 BTC/USDT Market Update
Current Price: $80,397.10 (up +3.79% today)
🚀 Strong bullish recovery pushing up from the 24h low of $BTC 75,734.50 toward a high of $81,200.00!
💡 Short-Term Outlook:
🟢 Support Zone: $78,000.00 - $79,000.00
🔴 Resistance Target: $82,000.00 - $84,000.00
Bulls are reclaiming momentum with solid volume. If support holds strong above $BTC 80k, watch for a push to test higher moving averages next! Let's keep riding this wave! 🔥📈💎⚡️ Election results shake the market, but BTC holds key support.
$BTC dipped below $76K amid heavy ETF outflows and $1.3B in liquidations before recovering to $77.6K. The $76K level remains critical.
$ETH stays near $2,260, with regulatory uncertainty limiting momentum despite cheaper gas fees.
$SOL drops to $92, down nearly 9% in 7 days, making it one of the weakest major coins.
#DemocratsWinCongress ETH is stuck at 2289.76, just having completed a rebound from the low of 2174. The entire market looks like a mountain path temporarily stabilized after an earthquake. It is wandering back and forth within this range, with several overlapping layers of resistance ahead, corresponding to the dense zones at 10 and 20. This is not a clean, solid wall but layered resistance; to pass through smoothly requires sufficient buying pressure. Looking lower, the position corresponding to 120 lays a longer, more resilient foundation. When it dipped to 2174, volume suddenly surged, and that violent impact consumed most of the short sellers' pressure. However, the funds willing to actively push the price higher are still far from enough. The price can only oscillate repeatedly between these two boundaries, waiting for one side to give a clear signal first. Breaking through the stacked resistance ahead means this recovery path is clear; breaking below the foundation invalidates this rebound narrative. Open your position list, check the exit boundaries you pre-set for your ETH holdings, confirm these levels match the range you accept, and do not arbitrarily change your defense lines amid the back-and-forth fluctuations. $ETH $BTC $SOL 📊 ZEC/USDT Market Update
Current Price: $1,307.01 (up +7.21% today)
🚀 Strong bullish momentum driven by the Zcash NU7 upgrade, bouncing nicely from the 24h low of $ZEC 1,159.00 up to a high of $ZEC 1,352.22!
💡 Short-Term Outlook:
🟢 Support Zone: $1,200.00 - $1,250.00
🔴 Resistance Target: $1,350.00 - $1,400.00
Bulls are in control with solid trading volume. If support holds steady, look for a push to test that key $1,400 level next! Let’s get it! 🔥📈💎If I had $1,000 to put into $BTC today, I wouldn’t rush to spend it all at once.
Personally, I’d lean toward weekly buys (DCA). It helps me avoid stressing over every market move and removes some of the pressure of timing the perfect entry.
Sure, a deeper correction could come, but waiting for the perfect dip can also mean missing opportunities.
What would you do?
A) Buy now
B) DCA weekly
C) Wait for a dip
Curious to hear your reasoning. 👇
#Bitcoin #$BTC #Crypto#BTCInstitutionalDemand The stablecoin sector might be more imaginative than many people think.
Circle's Q3 report is out, with revenue and reserve income reaching $865 million, a year-on-year increase of 17%, and USDC on-chain transaction volume growing by 49%, reaching $13.9 trillion.
This indicates that USDC is not only circulating within the crypto community but also expanding continuously in payment and on-chain financial scenarios. Of course, transaction volume growth does not equal a simultaneous surge in profits, so don't just watch the hype.
Looking at the market, BTC big brother is around $78,310, ETH the "slow-paced noble" is about $2,316, SOL is around $92.63, all showing moderate recovery; ZEC's increase is even more notable, reaching about 6.7%.
My view: The expansion of stablecoin applications is a long-term signal, but short-term trends still depend on real money. Don't rush to chase hot topics; watch volume for breakouts and support for pullbacks!
Personal market record sharing, not investment advice.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#CircleQ3营收超预期，USDC链上交易量增长49% 🚀 UNI Price Prediction
Current Price: $UNI 7.665 (≈$7.66)
Trend: Strong Bullish Breakout (Moving above MA5, MA10, and MA20)
Short Prediction
🟢 Target (Up): $7.78 – $8.80
🔴 Support (Down): $7.25 – $6.94
Summary: UNI has broken out of its bottom consolidation with a strong green candle. If buying volume stays strong past $UNI 7.78, expect a run toward $8.00 - $8.80. If it pulls back, key support sits near $7.25. The market's long-short crowding level has risen another notch, with leveraged longs clearly accumulating. At this stage, the biggest fear is not the direction, but the rapid liquidation after crowding. After weighing the situation, I will follow discipline: close $ETH and $SOL long positions first, keep a small amount of BTC to continue observing.
At night, I don't want my position to affect my rhythm, so I will reduce leverage and lighten the load to regain control.
Quick data overview:
$BTC: 1,524.93 coins borrowed long, 69.67 coins borrowed short, longs dominate, holding 100x position waiting for recovery.
$ETH: 15,900 coins borrowed long, 870.88 coins borrowed short, longs crowded, profits taken off the table, no more fighting.
$SOL: 129,700 coins borrowed long, 7,688.71 coins borrowed short, longs clustered and the asset is weak, stop loss and exit.
Currently, long consensus is high; a sharp drop could trigger a chain liquidation. Holding fewer positions means sleeping more soundly at night. Remaining BTC positions are light for trial and error, no greed.
⚠️ Personal review record only, does not constitute any investment advice #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 #CircleQ3营收超预期，USDC链上交易量增长49% At that moment on the chart, the top at 78,450 was just touched and then slipped down. I stared at that upper shadow candle and felt a jolt in my heart. This feeling of not being able to rise—isn't it more unsettling than a drop? Today, BTC hovered between 78,000 and 78,400, with the top at 78,450 like a thin wall that retreats as soon as it’s touched. I checked the news: the Democrats regained the House, flipped several key Senate seats in crucial states, and may also secure a majority in governor elections. The political landscape has changed, but the price hasn't given a direction, which itself is a signal. What concerns me more is the ETF line. On April 11, there was a net outflow of 95M, BITB inflow of 6.8M couldn't fill the gap. Three consecutive withdrawals indicate some funds chose to wait and watch before the event landed, rather than chase. This is not panic, but a tactical retreat in rhythm. My position journal today was very restrained: no additions, no cuts. Because the real examiners are the ADP at 20:15 and the ISM Services PMI at 23:00 tonight; employment resilience and service prices will determine which way the rate cut expectations lean. Rushing ahead of the data risks getting hit from both sides. The bullish path is also laid out: if the PMI shows cooling service prices, risk appetite will first return to crypto. ETH and altcoins usually have greater elasticity than BTC, and capital preference will shift one step outward from defensive allocations. But the risk is that the election results are already partially priced in, and if ETF withdrawals continue, the rebound height will be capped, 7 The outcome of this election was anticipated by many in advance, but the final margin still exceeded the market's original expectations. From now on, any major legislation must be negotiated and contested with the Democratic Party.
The market's previous bet on industry-friendly legislation has seen a significant drop in the short-term likelihood of implementation. The main theme of capitalizing on policy dividends needs to be repriced. After the news settles, funds will gradually digest this shift, and it is best to patiently wait for new directional signals from the market.
With the transfer of legislative power, it will be difficult for the Republican Party to push bills without involving the Democratic Party. Trump's plans to implement tax cuts and expand fiscal spending will face significantly increased resistance. Budget approvals and the debt ceiling will become the main battlegrounds between the two parties. The Democratic Party can use the appropriations process to restrain the White House; ongoing conflicts over fiscal matters, military spending, and the debt ceiling will raise the uncertainty of government shutdowns and U.S. debt financing. Additionally, with control over oversight in both chambers, the Democratic Party will also initiate investigations into Trump and his family. $BTC $ETH $SOXL