Orbit Post Sitemap

【Top 10 Crypto Traders' Highlights Today|BTC October 12】 The core focus today is not chasing longs, but whether the 83500–84000 range can be re-accepted. Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) original view: After BTC wiped out stop losses below 83000, it is now retesting; if bulls cannot quickly push away from the current area, it may test the mid-70000s. Editor's analysis: Spot price around 83683, still just back above 83000, confirmation is not enough yet. Cheds (@BigCheds) original view: BTC 4H has a trigger at 83500, attempting to reclaim lost support and restore the weekly trend. Editor's analysis: If 4H holds 83500 and extends above 84000, the main route targets 85000, then looks at 87200 resistance. Chart from his BTC 4H candlestick. This round only verifies 2 high-quality BTC views from the past 24 hours, not forcing ten entries; the focus is on "whether continuation occurs after the trigger," not prematurely asserting a breakout. Short-term requires waiting for confirmation before acting, don’t jump the gun. Invalid condition: break below 82800 and fail to recover, then look at 80000 and lower liquidity levels. Risks: This is a trigger zone, not a guaranteed profit zone; leveraged chasing highs must guard against pullbacks, slippage, funding rates, and liquidations. #BTC #ETH #OKBThe S&P 500 surpassed 7800 points for the first time, and the Nasdaq hit a new high again. Risk appetite has warmed but has not transmitted to SNDK, whose price remains weak. I judge the short-term trend to be bearish. A slight drop of 0.1% in 24 hours, with a high of 1620 and a low of 1586.8. The 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages are both trending downward, having retraced 11.04% from the 4-hour high. Trading volume is only 44,000, funding rate is zero, open interest is 46,000, and the order book buy/sell ratio is 0.65, with sellers clearly dominating and rebounds lacking support. Strategy-wise, a light short position can be tried at a rebound to 1608.5, with a stop loss at 1634.7 and a target at 1572.3; if it stabilizes near 1568.5 after a drop, a short-term long position can be taken, with a stop loss at 1552.6 and a target at 1594.2. Single position size should not exceed 5%, with strict stop loss. — This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. — $SNDK#The S&P 500 surpassed 7800 points for the first time, Nasdaq hit a new high again #The S&P 500 surpassed 7800 points for the first time, Nasdaq hit a new high again $SNDK Stop blindly trusting that "official channels are absolutely safe." According to PANews, Ledger reported the 72-hour progress on the CryptoBilis incident: the issue has been traced to a single distributor. So far, all confirmed theft cases point to devices sold by the Southeast Asian distributor CryptoBilis, with a limited number of affected devices; Ledger itself and its direct sales channels are unaffected. The team is cooperating with law enforcement and contacting affected users. CryptoBilis has confirmed it has stopped selling all hardware wallets. The reminder is straightforward: only buy from authorized channels, avoid machines that have been returned and reshelved, and for large self-custodied assets, it is recommended to spread them across multiple devices or use multisignature setups. Observation one: the problem is isolated to a single third-party distribution channel, indicating not all channels are compromised; observation two: devices at the distributor level can be physically tampered with before sale, shaking the trust foundation of "official channels are safe." Do you prefer to trust only direct sales, or go straight to multisignature?Bitcoin did not continue to fall following the weak close; instead, it gradually climbed back to the original consolidation zone over the weekend. @ZhangJiaozhu. The most important change here is not that another short price was found, but the acknowledgment that the original bearish script might be flawed: if the price stands back in the range and does not fall again, those who shorted could become the fuel for the next upward move. He has a clear premise for his judgment on $BTC. Around 83000 is a structural level he has repeatedly emphasized. The previous breakdown, pullback, and daily close with a wick made him interpret this area as weak. But the market did not continue downward; instead, it slowly lifted over two days to reclaim this level. The signals that supported shorting are being negated by the new price action. This does not mean all upward moves are reversals. The key, as he reminds, is whether the close can stay within the range and if the retest has support. If it only briefly spikes up and then falls back, shorts still have room to reassess; if it stands above and does not come down for a while, the previous weak assessment cannot explain the current strength. The low volume over the weekend cannot be a reason to ignore the price. He believes institutional rest means insufficient volume but does not mean the market lacks reference value. There is selling pressure on the board, yet the price still slowly pushes up, which itself is a warning sign. You cannot say the buying is not strong enough while ignoring the fact that the bears cannot suppress the price. The most direct lesson here is that his short stop loss was triggered. The original stop loss was near 83500; after the market continued upward, he did not move the stop loss to 83700, 83800 Using 100u for fully automated $ETH trading Day 53 (07:56)|Grinding all day, one breakout The resistance at 2556 mentioned yesterday stopped at 2554 last night, just 2 points short. The empty spot at the upper edge was taken away by this wave. Nothing much to see during the day, fluctuating between 2496 and 2512. Twice it touched 2496 but didn’t go lower, volume shrank and disappeared, just waiting all day. At 23:00 suddenly went crazy, the 5-minute candlestick jumped from 2513 to 2534. The short position was pierced, the stop loss at 2532 didn’t hold, and then it kept pushing up. This rise is a bit strange, price going up but positions decreasing—the shorts on the big players’ side have been retreating these past two days, open interest dropping. It’s not longs adding positions, but shorts being squeezed out, this is called a short squeeze. Retail traders are still over 60% long, barely moving, not many really following this rise. 🤖 Both sides are active this wave. Long positions are steadily being sold off in batches from 2528 to 2551; the short positions are a bit uncomfortable, some were closed on pullbacks, not in great spots. Whether new money comes in to replace the shorts closed out this wave is what we need to watch today. #CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face test $BTC $STRK OKX completed strategic financing with a valuation of $25 billion, market risk appetite is warming up, and KAITO, as an active target within the ecosystem, benefits indirectly. I tend to be short-term bullish but not excessively chasing highs. The four-hour chart is still in a downtrend channel, down 12.50% from the high, while the one-hour chart has turned upward, up 8.27% from the low, indicating short-term momentum is stronger than the mid-term structure. Current price is 0.3219, slightly up 0.8%, with a turnover of 7.46 million, and average volume. The top ten order book buy orders total 143,000 versus sell orders of 119,000, ratio 1.20, buyers dominate; funding rate at 0.0033% is neutral, with open interest of 10.21 million coin-margined contracts showing no obvious crowding. Strategy: place long orders on pullback at 0.3184, stop loss at 0.3092, target 0.3386; if volume breaks through 0.3257, lightly chase longs with stop loss at 0.3175. Position control within 20%, exit immediately if broken. — For personal reference only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. — $KAITO #OKX completed strategic financing with a valuation of $25 billion #OKX completed strategic financing with a valuation of $25 billion $KAITO OKX completed strategic financing with a valuation of $25 billion, boosting market confidence in the leading platform's ecosystem assets. SOL, as an important trading target, is expected to have short-term sentiment support but is unlikely to change its medium-term weakness. The four-hour and one-hour moving averages are both trending downward synchronously; the former has retraced 10.27% from the high. 111.35 is just a rebound, with clear resistance at 112.72 above and a recent low at 108.89 below. The buy-sell ratio of 1.18 shows a slight advantage for buyers, but the trading volume is only 4.969 million, indicating insufficient volume support. The funding rate of 0.0060% is relatively neutral, and the open interest of 3.006 million coins shows no panic. The rebound is more likely a weak correction. It is recommended to lightly short at a rebound to 111.85, with a stop loss at 113.45 and a target of 109.15; if it pulls back to 108.95 and stabilizes, a short-term long position can be taken, with a stop loss at 107.65 and a target of 111.05. Single position size should not exceed 5%, and exit immediately if the position breaks down. — This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. — $SOL#OKX completed strategic financing with a valuation of $25 billion #OKX completed strategic financing with a valuation of $25 billion $SOL The longer I stare at the market, the more bored I feel. BTC and ETH seem like someone has hit the pause button. This kind of quiet— is it a buildup or a trap? The 1-hour and 4-hour levels are almost aligned in a straight line, moving averages stuck together, and volume shrunk to a sleep-inducing level. ETH previously touched the oversold zone, so it should have bounced back, but the bulls didn’t even mount a decent counterattack; that sense of weakness feels very real. Leverage is even more obvious here, with open interest lying low, funding rates close to zero, and very little liquidity in the market—no one wants to pull the trigger first. But retail investors haven’t left; the ETH long-short ratio is nearly 1.9, and BTC remains high, creating a gap between enthusiasm and support. Lately, I’ve been wondering what the market is really trading. On the surface, it looks like waiting for direction, but actually, it’s repricing the crowded expectations from the previous round. Extreme volume contraction often signals an imminent breakout, but when retail bulls are this dense, the probability of a downward spike to clear leverage is much higher than a direct upward breakout. The main players have no reason to carry a bunch of people. Looking up, if there’s a real volume breakout, short covering could push a rally, ETH’s elasticity would be greater, altcoins would catch a breather, and risk appetite would warm up. Looking down, a spike piercing dense stop losses and a chain liquidation would freeze sentiment to zero, dragging BTC and ETH down together, with altcoins falling even faster. So now it’s not about who’s braver, but who can sit tight. Wait for the spike or wait for volume confirmation on the right side; don’t gamble in stagnant waters. Protect your principal, endure this silence, and only those who survive will have the right to talk about the next round. This does not constitute any trading advice, just personal market observation. $BTC $ETH #cryptoA sudden surge during the holiday often leads to the most common mistake: mistaking a rebound for a reversal, or continuing to add short positions halfway because of a still bearish outlook. @欧哥's judgment on this market phase is very clear: the daily bearish logic for $BTC has not yet been overturned, but right now is not a position to casually enter new long or short trades. Holding existing trend short positions is completely different from chasing shorts now. He compares the current market to two forces fighting. During the previous short-term downtrend, the bulls barely mounted a decent counterattack; now with a stronger rebound, it shows the bulls are starting to exert effort. However, looking at the daily and four-hour charts, the previous downtrend had stronger momentum and volume, while the rebound lacks corresponding volume. In his understanding, the long-term trend remains bearish, the short-term is counterattacking, and the most likely scenario is a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Therefore, he does not advocate reversing to long just because of an uptick, nor immediately adding positions just because the overall direction is bearish. When there is no particularly good opportunity, the best action is no action. Waiting for both sides to establish structure before deciding whether to join is more important than continuously betting during consolidation. He reminds that the difference in trading is not only about who dares to act, but also who knows when to stop. Opening random trades daily and occasionally getting one right may not make up for previous losses. Reducing attempts without an edge leaves room for truly worthwhile opportunities. First, let's see why 85000 is worth watching. 欧哥 focuses on the rebound area roughly between 84500 and 85000. He believes this is not just a casually drawn resistance line, but a position where several observations overlap: the previous downtrend's Fibonacci... Samsung's preliminary Q3 profit surpassed 100 trillion KRW for the first time; risk appetite has improved but has not been passed on to SLX, which continues to show independent weakness. I judge that short-term volatility will still be a bottoming out. After a 16.98% drop from the 0.07162 high on the 4-hour candlestick, it has approached the support at the 0.05831 low. Although it rose slightly by 1.78% in the 1-hour period, the rebound is weak. The pre-market 10-tier force ratio is 1.04, with buyers slightly favored. The funding rate of 0.0050% shows weak bullish sentiment. Positions at 28.326 million coins have not seen significant increase, with turnover at 1.54 million, showing a strong pattern of stock consolidation, with 0.06007 as near-term resistance. Operationally, if it pulls back to 0.05855 and stabilizes, you can take a light position, with a stop loss at 0.05745 and a target at 0.06125; if volume drops below this support, reverse to short, stop loss at 0.06015, target 0.05685. Keep position size within 20%, and avoid chasing before a breakout is confirmed. —— These are personal opinions and do not constitute investment advice. Wishing you smooth trading. —— $SLX# Samsung's preliminary Q3 profit surpasses 100 trillion KRW for the first time #三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元 $SLX $OP The intraday increase of 3.1% seems flat. The funding rate remains at 0.01%, with little leverage added. Watch again if the pullback to 2.1 does not break. $OP Samsung's preliminary Q3 profit surpasses 100 trillion KRW for the first time, risk appetite is warming but has not transmitted to Ethereum. I judge the short-term rebound as a correction rather than a reversal. The 2535.59 level is a tug of war between bulls and bears, with only a 1.2% increase in 24h and a relatively light trading volume of 11.487 million. The 4-hour chart remains in a descending channel, down 7.63% from the high; the 1-hour chart is rising but still 1.68% below the high, with weakening momentum. The order book's top 10 buy/sell ratio is 0.23, showing obvious selling pressure; the funding rate of -0.0020% indicates shorts are paying a slight premium, open interest at 577,000 shows no increase, sentiment is cautious. Strategically, light short positions can be taken if resistance at 2547 holds, stop loss at 2563, target 2479; if support at 2483 holds on a pullback, go long, stop loss at 2467, target 2543. Single position size should not exceed 5%, exit immediately on breakout, do not hold losing positions. — This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. — $ETH#Samsung's preliminary Q3 profit surpasses 100 trillion KRW #Samsung's preliminary Q3 profit surpasses 100 trillion KRW $ETH #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? Semiconductor sentiment spills over into AI narratives, WLD is short-term bullish but caution against chasing highs is advised. My judgment: the trend is upward, risk control takes priority over speculation. Current price 0.5605, 1-hour uptrend is 3.25% below the high, 4-hour is 22.81% above the low, mid-term structure remains intact. 24h high/low 0.5859/0.5401, trading volume 229 million, funding rate 0.01% indicating mild bullishness, open interest 72.769 million coins. Order book buy/sell ratio 0.83, selling pressure slightly heavier. Operation: lightly buy on pullback to 0.5472, stop loss at 0.5338, target 0.5831; exit if volume-driven break below 0.5338 occurs. Position size not exceeding 5%, single trade risk controlled within 1% of principal. — For personal reference only, not investment advice, wishing smooth trading. — $WLD#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? $WLD $ZEC Brothers, originally I had a small long position averaging 1314, then that big drop hit 1111, and these days it pulled back to 1300, haha, a double kill for bulls and bears. You might mock me: now ZEC has rebounded to 1299, the 4-hour chart has turned green, and I'm still bearish on site—isn't that just asking for death? If you think that way, then I want to say, you've been completely fooled by the manipulative whales. $ZEC pulled from 1111 to 1299, seemingly up nearly 200 points, and MACD also formed a golden cross at the bottom. But this is exactly the whales' trick. Look closely at the volume; compared to the drop, it's pitifully low. This is not a reversal at all, but a fake chart drawn by the whales during the downtrend consolidation, deliberately creating the illusion that "it can't fall further," tricking retail investors into rushing in to catch the falling knife. As long as it can't break through 1400, the long-term trend will definitely smash through 1111 and even fall below 1000. I'll be waiting for you at 999! The macro pressure from the rate hike cycle hasn't changed, institutions are retreating, retail investors are still blindly optimistic, the big trend has long been decided. Below, first watch 1200; if it breaks, directly look at 999. #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, rate hike expectations face a test "Don't Be Fooled by 24-Hour Inflows! Short-Term Funds Are Quietly Leaving" Beware of market traps; 24-hour net inflows may be an illusion, as short-term contract funds are collectively exiting. The short-term trend is bearish, so don't rush to chase the rebound. $BTC: 5-minute outflow of 8.07 million, 4-hour outflow of 172 million, 8-hour outflow of 158 million. Although 24-hour data shows an inflow of 55.51 million, the weekly net outflow is 3.313 billion, indicating heavy selling pressure above. ETH: 4-hour outflow of 99.32 million, 8-hour outflow of 127 million. The slight 24-hour inflow is just a short-term illusion; mid-term funds have not warmed up. SOL: 4-hour outflow of 8.92 million, 8-hour outflow of 13.68 million. 24-hour inflow of 20.12 million, but the bears have not gained momentum yet; better to wait and see. ZEC: 8-hour outflow of 22.77 million, almost no inflow in 24 hours, weekly net outflow of 299 million, funds continue to withdraw. Breaking down the data shows short cycles are all exiting; don't be fooled by 24-hour data. Pay attention to CPI and PPI, and wait for signals before making moves. $ETH $STRK #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #Russia eases diesel exports, but Hormuz risks still support oil prices This is only a personal observation and does not constitute investment advice. Short-term: Only look at the pattern. The N shape. One vertical surge, one diagonal pullback, then another vertical breakout. When the N shape appears, enter. A valid N shape should dip below the previous two highs and then powerfully rebound to form the N. After the N shape forms, if it pulls back and breaks the previous low point, stop loss and cut the position. No averaging down, no leverage increase, no holding through losses. Stop loss? %, take profit? %, can also slowly roll forward. Many people think this method is dumb. Watching indicators, drawing trend lines, chasing news. Can ordinary people get a piece of news first? Scan through the 4-hour chart. No N shape, turn off the screen. If there is an N shape, place orders with fixed stop loss and take profit. When watching the market, rapid up and down fluctuations cause wrong operations, how to solve? Mainstream coins and altcoins should have summarized different operation methods.One year later on the same day! ZEC sideways, short positions waiting for 800 1. Historical echo: On October 11 last year, 1.62 million people were liquidated, 19 billion evaporated, and over 90% of long positions were buried. Today is again October 11, ZEC neither falls nor rises, stuck at 1227, like the calm before the storm. 2. Technical aspect: Daily chart dropped from 1695 to 1112, the rebound hesitates even at MA5, MA10 dares not touch, moving averages tightly press. MACD in deep water zone, green bars shrink but have not turned red, typical downtrend consolidation, the rebound is to accumulate strength for the bears. 3. Comparison and operation: Last year altcoins halved twice, now ZEC is sideways playing dead, unable to rise, funds are withdrawing, waiting for BTC to loosen and drop faster. The 1656 short position is steady, target 800. Institutions exit, ETFs run, retail calls for a bull return. Light short positions, avoid heavy positions, follow the trend to grind the defense line. Core summary: Same day, different coins, same killing intent. Sideways is not stable, it is waiting for the knife to fall. No rush on short positions, target unchanged. #CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face test #BTC spot ETF outflow nearly $450 million in three days $BTC $ETH $ZEC Flip Diary Day 3|7 positions all in the green with floating profit +7.3U|Sorry DOGE bro [Account] Equity about 83U (+9.6%)|Recovery progress 7/400|7 long positions all in the green [Overnight situation] $ETH +39% (2,536) PEPE +31.6% $BTC +25.2% (83,735) SNDK +11.7% $ZEC +10.9% DOGE +10.3% SOL +4.8% [About DOGE] Last night I posted complaining "DOGE is playing dead," overnight DOGE had a bullish candle +10%, flipping from floating loss to profit. Sorry DOGE bro, I was too loud. Didn’t sell yesterday, didn’t average down during losses, kept the stop loss hanging and held firm—this resilience paid off. [Review] Did three things right yesterday: BTC/ETH broke through 83,000 and 2,500 without fear, held on; Added positions only to profitable ones, didn’t add to losing positions, rules followed; Re-entered PEPE on pullback, +31%. [Today's plan] BTC/ETH/PEPE floating profit over 25%, move all stop losses up to cost price to lock in zero-risk positions. No new positions added. The crazier the rise, the more remember the big bearish candle on 10/8. Risk warning: This is only a personal real trading record, not investment advice. Cryptocurrency and leverage carry very high risks, please do not follow blindly.Arthur Hayes has spoken again, this time about FLOP Testnet launching in a few weeks. Honestly, my first reaction when I saw this was: he just finished with cellular medicine and is back to work—I'm really impressed by that energy. But back to the main point. There’s actually very little information about FLOP right now, just the timing of the testnet launch. I used to follow these "big shot endorsements + testnet" narratives years ago, and the result was always a lot of hype on launch day, then nothing afterward. I'm not saying FLOP definitely won’t succeed, but a testnet is still a long way from real users and real capital entering. So my attitude is simple: just remember the name for now, don’t rush to see it as a positive signal. What really matters is whether there’s real interaction after the testnet, whether people are willing to stick around. Fellow community members, do you remember the last project that was hyped by a big name and then the testnet just went silent? #FollowOKXto2049 #OKXCompletesStrategicFundingAt$25BValuation $ZEC Good morning, working people. Woke up, and the red light on the screen turned into a glaring green light, with a floating profit of 552U (double from last night). I should be ecstatic, but under the shadow of 20x leverage, this full-screen profit only makes me feel like I'm walking on thin ice. Let's look at these three ancestors that we both love and fear: $ETH: Floating profit 129U, current price 2536. Finally stood firm once, ROI approaching 36%. Last night I was afraid it would spike down at midnight, but today it became the stabilizing anchor. The more so, the more I fear it might suddenly plunge and shake out positions. $DOGE: The strongest in the market, floating profit 208U, current price 0.0867, ROI as high as 43.55%. The dog whale really put in effort this time, but Dogecoin's surge never plays fair. Looking at this profit, my mind is full of worries about "will it be smashed back down at any moment?" $BTC: The big brother with floating profit 215U, current price 83732, standing above 83,000. The liquidation price at 78200 seems safe, but during the violent fluctuations from midnight to morning session, who can guarantee it won't get stabbed down? The joy is real, and the worry is real too. The happiness is that yesterday's persistence paid off, no cutting losses at the bottom; the fear is that in this ruthless market, what never gets pocketed is just numbers, and the morning session's spike and fall is the favorite script of the whales. #GoldETF sets record inflows, high interest rates still suppress gold prices #TSMC Q3 revenue hits record high, what other highlights are in the October 15 earnings? #Ledger confirms one involved device was hardware implanted The S&P rose 1.2% for the week, closing at 7,812, just a few points away from Tuesday's record. The Dow rose 0.9% to close at 51,655. The Nasdaq rose 0.6% to close at 27,366. The Russell 2000 fell 0.9% to close at 2,807. For the year, the S&P was about +14%, the Nasdaq about +18%, and the Dow about +7.5%. The VIX reached 14.84. The weekly chart is up, but not the width. This week's main theme isn't the index, but interest rates and oil. On Monday, ISM services fell to 54.9, the Payment Price Index jumped to 74, the highest since July 2022, and the 10-year yield rose to 5.31%. On Tuesday, the S&P closed above 7800 for the first time, the Nasdaq hit new highs, Brent retreated to around 98, and yields pulled back. Wednesday's minutes noted that most participants believe adding another tier before year-end is still appropriate. $39 billion for ten-year bids up 5.3%, the highest since 2000, with the ten-year index hitting 5.365% intraday. On Thursday, the chip index fell 3.4%. The Financial Times reported OpenAI's annualized revenue was $20 billion lower than previous signals, and Brent stood above 104 intraday. On Friday, Trump said he would not fight Iran before the midterm elections, so the index rebounded, oil did not offer a peace premium, and Brent remained near 104, with the ten-year term closing at 5.24%. The sector clarified this balance. Energy rose about 3.9% for the week, consumer staples about 3.6%, utilities about 3.1%. Technology fell about 1%, and industrials fell about 0.9%. Defense and oil are leading, chips are resting. Humana rose about 12% due to healthcare ratings. Delta lowers its 2026 profit forecastReal trading day 182, don't be fooled by 2555! Today's price level made many people mistakenly think the bottom has slipped away, but the weekly chart won't cooperate with the act; it hasn't even touched the previous week's closing line! This is hardly a reversal; it's clearly another gift collected by the bears. $ETH rose from 2406 to 2544, showing a superficial gain of 140 points, but the trading volume is only half of the decline phase. Trapped positions cluster between 2560 and 2600, and the 30-day moving average also applies pressure from above; every time the price approaches, it becomes an opportunity for bears to add to their positions. The fundamentals are equally unkind. BitMine has stopped buying ETH, the number of validators exiting the queue has surged from 166,000 to 851,000, and a large amount of staked ETH is waiting to be unlocked in the next two weeks. $BTC $ZEC #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #Institutions continue to position, why does BTC still remain under pressure? "When the guide falls silent, the market begins to self-learn" The focus of this minutes is not on "whether to raise rates," but on "no one is leading the way." 19 votes in favor of a rate hike, yet no one dares to draw the roadmap next. It seems unanimous, but in fact, the uncertainty is thrown back to the market. Previously, traders waited for officials' signals, rushing into risk assets at the slightest dovish hint; now they have to interpret CPI, non-farm payrolls, and PCE themselves. Expectation management exits, data-driven pricing takes the stage. $BTC suffers the most. Its rise depends on liquidity imagination; once the rate cut story stops, the fuel is cut off, and it can only tough it out within a range, waiting for inflation data to deal the cards. 🎲 $ETH is even more awkward. Staking yields can't compete with U.S. Treasuries, the ecosystem lacks new narratives, and the cost-effectiveness of holding it is questioned. Once funds feel it's not worthwhile, it often falls faster than anyone else and rebounds slower. 📉 $XAUT, on the other hand, remains calm. Gold doesn't rely on Fed liquidity but on the gradual loosening of dollar credit and continuous central bank purchases. When the market learns to walk on its own, assets that don't depend on policy signals tend to be favored more. 🥇 In short: The Fed has put away the compass; the market must learn to read the map. Those who can live without relying on expectations are more stable. 🧭 #SeptemberFOMCMinutesReleaseImminent, will rate hikes continue? #BTCSpotETFOutflowsNearly$450MillionInThreeDays #PIMCOWarns10YearUSTreasuryYieldsMayReach6% 2500 USD Hanging by a Thread, $ETH Bleeding for 9 Days and Still Not Stopping Today's Ethereum market is much more dangerous than it appears on the surface. As of the morning of October 12, ETH is trading around 2480-2500 USD, with a 24-hour high reaching 2520 USD and a low dipping below 2460 USD. The price seems to be catching its breath above 2500 USD, but behind this is the pressure of 9 consecutive trading days of ETF net outflows, with a cumulative bleeding of nearly 700 million USD. Three knives, all at the neck First knife: Continuous ETF fund withdrawals. The US spot Ethereum ETF has seen net outflows for 9 consecutive trading days, with a cumulative outflow of about 569 million to 697 million USD since September 29. Among them, BlackRock's ETHA had a weekly outflow of about 477 million USD, the largest source of bleeding. This is not just "profit-taking," but a systemic contraction of institutional risk appetite. Second knife: Technical structure is comprehensively weakening. ETH has fallen below the 50-day moving average (around 2635 USD) and the 20-day moving average (around 2535 USD). MACD, ADX, and RSI all point to bearish dominance. The previous support zone of 2547-2565 USD has been broken, and 2500 USD below is the last psychological defense line. Third knife: Short positions piling up. The derivatives market's short bets have reached 5 billion USD, far exceeding the long positions of 1.53 billion USD. Once the key support is broken, it may trigger a chain liquidation. Key levels today - Resistance above: 2520 → 2580 → 2650 USD - Support below: 2460 → 2400 → 2350 USD - Lifeline: 2500 USD — holding means a breather, breaking means a new round of decline How to view today's market Today's ETH is not "building a bottom," but "testing the bottom line." The 2500 USD threshold must hold to qualify for a rebound; if it doesn't hold, it may accelerate the decline to the 2350-2400 USD range. In short-term operations, if ETH can break above 2580 USD with volume, it can be seen as a technical repair signal; if 2460 USD is effectively broken, further decline to around 2350 USD should be guarded against. The biggest variable this week remains macro liquidity — US Treasury yields remain high, Middle East tensions push up oil prices, and risk assets are under overall pressure. For Ethereum to break out, ETF fund outflows need to stop first; otherwise, any rebound may be a "dead cat bounce."#$BTC ETH + SOL: BTC is stable, these two are the real sentiment thermometers Many people only watch BTC, but today the real indicator of whether the market wants to make a move is ETH and SOL. BTC accounts for 57% of the entire market, ETH accounts for 11%, together nearly 70%. Excluding BNB and stablecoins, ETH is the pricing anchor of the altcoin world. Now BTC is hovering around 83,000, if ETH follows without volume, it means funds are still in risk-off mode; if ETH strengthens ahead of BTC, that signals a return of risk appetite. SOL is even more extreme, with high volatility, strong manipulation feel, and many retail investors. In a bull market, it rises more aggressively than ETH, and during pullbacks, it shakes out longs first. Look at October 10 last year, BTC plunged from 122,000 to 103,900, SOL dropped over 7%, DOGE fell 8%, ADA dropped 6.5%—every time the market shakes, SOL and meme coins take the hardest hit first because they have the heaviest leverage and the most intense sentiment. How to use this kind of market today? BTC stable + ETH volume up → you can try small positions in SOL/XRP/LINK; BTC stable + ETH weak → avoid altcoins, money is waiting for macro news; BTC breaks below 82,800 with volume → don’t catch the falling knife on SOL, it drops ruthlessly. $ETH 🌑 Ethereum's early morning sneak attack: from 2,408 up to 2,545, then pulled back to 2,510 — not a reversal, but a “shorts paying to test the market” Weekend/early morning sneak attacks are 90% short covering + market makers pulling spikes, not institutional returns. The truth of the sneak attack in three sentences: US ETH ETF withdrew 542 million as of the week ending 10.9 (ETHA accounted for 477 million), nine consecutive withdrawals totaling 697 million → institutions haven't returned But whales swept 166,000 ETH in 72h, OI is dropping, fees slightly negative (Binance -0.0113%) → leverage is being cleared, shorts squeezed together, one bullish candle makes them tremble 2,500 turned from support into resistance, 2,544–2,560 is the first selling pressure wall Can it continue today? Watch three gates: Holding 2,510–2,500 = bulls are alive, push to 2,544→2,560 Volume breakout above 2,560 = only then talk about 2,650; failure to break = false warm rebound Break 2,470 = back to 2,408, further break to watch 2,370 / 2,300 The real plot switch is still the 10.14 CPI Don’t shout main rise just because it hits 2,544, nor curse it as trash if it falls back to 2,510. The most expensive sentiment during sideways periods is “thinking a sneak attack means a comeback.” (Not investment advice · For reference only) $ETH Live trading mutual learning, daily check-in 61 #FollowOKXCheckIn2049 #InstitutionsKeepPositioning,WhyIsBTCStillUnderPressure? #RussiaEasesDieselExports,HormuzRiskStillSupportsOilPrices $BTC $OKB Stay true to the original intention, return to the original mindset and start again, Buy back some OKB and White Eye, Rapid growth makes people chaotic and greedier, That's how I am too, though sometimes I get through it, Next time it will be fiercer. I grew from about 2300 to a peak of around 14200, These days it has plunged back to six or seven thousand, a bit chaotic, mindset also not right, Used 5-minute charts, which are all signs of failure, I deleted the 5-minute charts, slowly returning to the original approach, After writing this, I went to exercise, that's the way a normal trader should be, real-time account 7400, let's climb high again Active Trading Radar|Last 15 Minutes $GRASS shows selling bias in all three 5-minute segments. Active buying is 30.7%, 15-minute price down by 0.13%; volume is 905,000 USDT, which is 1.8 times the average 15-minute volume calculated from the previous hour.$SUI is over, liquidated, gone. I shorted it late at night this time but unexpectedly went the wrong way. Although it's now almost dropping back to the previous short position, it doesn't matter because it's already liquidated. Now I'm really sitting at the same table with Kurumi. Life, can you please give me a break just once? Most of the time, I end up trading the wrong way. Maybe there's something wrong with me by nature, and I'm just not cut out for this trading.Is the rebound an illusion? Institutions are retreating, shorts are covering, don't catch a falling knife! 1. BTC is stubborn, ETH is hanging in the air ① BTC barely holds support after a pin spike at resistance, but the moving averages above weigh heavily, making the rebound difficult. ② ETH approaches resistance but lacks strength to break through, with no safety net below. Once BTC pulls back, ETH is likely to collapse first; a weak rebound is an escape opportunity. 2. Capital betrayal: ETFs are frantically withdrawing funds ① BTC ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of nearly $487 million, and ETH ETFs also lost over $70 million. Institutions are voting with their feet, creating a fatal divergence from the price rebound. ② Without institutional incremental buying, any rise is like a castle in the air, ready to be swallowed by selling pressure at any time. 3. Leverage trap: a false boom propped up by short covering ① 24-hour short liquidations far exceed longs, a typical short squeeze rebound whose fuel is running out. ② Funding rates are extremely low, leveraged longs have not entered, lacking sustained upward momentum. ETH whales are highly concentrated, which is both an expectation and a hidden risk. 4. Macro shadows: double blow from CPI and geopolitics ① CPI and PPI are about to be released; policy path repricing will amplify volatility. ② Middle East tensions are tight; risk-off sentiment may rebound at any time, suppressing risk appetite. Core summary: Institutions retreat, shorts cover, retail holds on desperately. The rebound is a rose with thorns, not a reversal! $BTC $ETH #CPI and PPI releases imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test ETH 100x long position gained 34%, altcoins cut losses! This week only focusing on mainstream 🤡 A new week has begun, let's start with a review and set the tone. 🌞 Looking back at this weekend, it was truly a tale of two extremes. The account was supported solely by one "pillar" position, but cutting losses on altcoins also hurt my heart deeply. —————— First, let's look at the position that gives me the most peace of mind (Image 1): $ETH 100x long, average price 2527, current price 2535.65! Floating profit directly reached +34.24% (earned 8.65U). In this rebound of mainstream coins, ETH really showed me respect. But the negative examples were equally brutal (Image 3): $STRK short, reluctantly stopped loss yesterday afternoon, loss -4.12%. CHIP short, also couldn't withstand the stop loss sweep, lost -14.70%. This is a typical case of "mainstream profits, altcoins get cut", going short on altcoins against the trend, only to be ruthlessly taught by the market. There are also lingering risks (Image 2): $CL crude oil short grid, still quietly running in the background, currently floating loss -4.86%. Poor liquidity over the weekend caused constant friction, unmatched losses dragging heavily. —————— 📋 Macro battle plan for this week (setting the tone): 1. Resolutely clean up leftover messes: Today I will find an opportunity to manually stop the crude oil grid, no longer letting the bot blindly add positions, to protect the principal. 2. Focus on mainstream, abandon altcoin shorts: Funds are clustering around ETH and BTC, this week absolutely no guessing tops to short altcoins (especially strong coins like STRK), longs must also be mainstream. 3. Strictly control the hands: Monday morning session is volatile, watch more and trade less, use trailing stop profit well on this 100x ETH position, no greed. 💬 Brothers, how is your battle going at the start of this new week? Did you profit from this ETH rebound? Should I close the crude oil grid directly today or wait a bit longer? Discuss your plans for this week in the comments, take advice! 👇 #ETH #STRK #CHIP #CrudeOilCL #OKEX #TradingInsights #RetailTraderDiary (Disclaimer: The above is only a personal trading review record and does not constitute any investment advice. Contract trading carries very high risk, please pay close attention to risk control.) Overall, the account looks pretty good today. The two short positions on $ETH and DOGE are still held, with comfortable profits. Just opened a long position on BTC, currently slightly at a loss, but the overall account is still in profit. $DOGE: Entry price 0.09984, current price 0.09504, full position 20X leverage, unrealized profit 624U, ROI 101%. This position has been held for several days, steadily going down without much adjustment. Continuing to hold the short, target first at 0.09, will consider exiting once reached. $ETH: Entry price 2739.79, current price 2675.86, full position 20X leverage, unrealized profit 223U, ROI 49%. Was still stuck yesterday, but turned positive today, dropping smoothly. Continuing to hold, watching for 2600. $BTC: Entry price 84407.31, current price 84302.30, full position 20X leverage, unrealized loss 17U, ROI -2.49%. Newly opened long position, just entered near the cost line. Holding to observe for now. As long as BTC doesn’t fall below 83000, it’s not a big issue. Upper target is 86000. Summary: Short positions are responsible for making money, long positions for testing the waters. Overall, the account is still in the green. Trading doesn’t need to be complicated; hold on if the direction is right, and don’t panic with light positions when stuck. #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? #Ledger confirms one involved device was hardware implanted Whale places $22.89 million spot BTC buy order as support, will there be a market shift on Monday? After one night, the three major mainstream coins quietly rebounded. It turns out a whale placed a $22.89 million BTC buy order, boosting short-term bulls' confidence. But a large order does not equal a market reversal; whether the price can continue to rise depends on whether subsequent funds can take over. $BTC Currently around 83,700, support at 83,000-83,200, strong support at 80,400, resistance at 84,200-84,500. Long: Light position attempt on pullback to 83,000-83,200, stop loss below 82,500, target 84,500. Breakout: Consider chasing longs only after effectively holding above 84,500, stop loss at 83,800. Short: Attempt near resistance at 84,800-85,000, stop loss above 85,300. $ETH Currently around 2,536, support at 2,480-2,500, resistance at 2,560-2,580. Long: Light position attempt near 2,500, stop loss at 2,460, target 2,580. Short: Attempt near resistance at 2,580-2,600, stop loss at 2,620. $SOL Currently around 111, support at 108-109, resistance at 113-115. Long: Attempt on pullback to 109-110, stop loss at 107, target 114. Short: Attempt near resistance at 114.5-115.5, stop loss at 117. Personally, I think it looks more like a consolidation and correction now. The whale's buy order can support temporarily but does not represent a trend reversal. Don't rush to get on board; wait for the market to reveal its cards!$BTC whales are accumulating, $ETH ETF is running away, $ZEC shorts are being slaughtered. The three are following three completely different paths, BTC is watching to see if it can hold above 84000 ETH is watching if 2550 can hold, ZEC is watching how long the sentiment can last. The market is not short of opportunities, What’s lacking is the patience not to chase highs. #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? #Check in with OKX at 2049 🔓 The total major token unlocks this week amount to approximately $127 million, with CRO accounting for more than half, and DBR having the highest proportion. On October 17 alone, two large unlocks will occur simultaneously. Which ones should you watch out for in advance? 📅 This week's unlock calendar (Beijing Time): · October 15, 8:00|STRK|127 million tokens|about $13.9 million · October 16, 8:00|ARB|92.65 million tokens|about $18.4 million · October 17, 8:00|DBR|about 618 million tokens|about $12 million|10.25% of circulating supply · October 17, 9:03|CRO|about 1.17 billion tokens|about $69.5 million|2.33% of circulating supply · October 18, 0:00|BARD|13.75 million tokens|about $1.72 million 🔍 Analysis: The higher the proportion of circulating supply unlocked, the greater the impact; DBR requires the most attention; unlocking does not equal selling. ⚠️ The CPI at 20:30 on Wednesday is the main direction for this week. Will you avoid unlocked tokens in advance? Reply A for yes / B for no in the comments 👇 $CRO $ARB $STRK #SPCX causes mixed opinions due to Starship launch and unlock #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #CheckInWithOKX2049 Event: The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has signaled a review to relax restrictions on cryptocurrency exchange-traded note (Crypto ETN) products, paving the way for individual investors in London to regain access after years of prohibition. Detailed Analysis Notes: Competitive pressure in the financial sector: London is under significant pressure from the surge of Spot Bitcoin ETFs on Wall Street and the EU's MiCA regulatory framework. Maintaining the retail ban causes the centerFirst, note the position of $CFX, then discuss the view: current price 0.06716, about 13.34% away from the 1-hour support at 0.0582, and about 8.40% away from resistance at 0.0728. $CFX price is moving, but volume has not confirmed this move, which is more noteworthy than the 24-hour +8.08%. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts are both slightly strong, with RSI at 45 and 75 respectively. I only keep one confirmation for an upward move — a breakout above 0.0728; and only one condition to negate the upward move — a drop below 0.0582. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now. If you had to pick one validation point first, would you watch for resistance confirmation or support breakdown? The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$BTC current price is 83640.6, resistance at 84000, support at 83206.17. Bull vs Bear debate: Should we go long or short now? Bulls say: Breaking through the previous high of 83129 signals a trend reversal upward; 84000 is just a matter of time, and any pullback is a buying opportunity. Bears say: The 84000 round number is a huge resistance; after continuous rises, a pullback is needed, and chasing longs at 83640 means taking the bag. My experience losing 200,000 U tells me: don’t predict, just follow. The current trend favors bulls, but the position is not low. Trading plan: small position of 5000 U, try going long on a pullback between 83206-83300, stop loss at 83000, target 84000. No chasing highs, no holding losing positions. If it breaks below 83000, the bullish logic fails, reverse position immediately. $ #Institutions continue to position, why does BTC still face pressure? Interest rate hike anchor becomes more expensive, crypto market first to bleed The September FOMC minutes revealed conflicting signals: 19 votes unanimously pushed the rate to 3.75%–4.00%, but internally it was not unanimous—one faction wants to preemptively tighten, another wants to strongly suppress demand. CME gives a 67.6% probability of another move in December, which is a real-money odds. The 10-year US Treasury yield is 5.29%, touching 5.34% intraday, the highest since 2002, making the global pricing anchor more expensive. However, a high probability of rate hikes does not necessarily mean risk assets must fall; the key is where the money flows. BTC spot ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of $484.9 million, with IBIT accounting for $207.7 million, the strongest in three and a half months; ETH ETFs have cumulatively lost $579 million in October, flowing out for 9 consecutive days, breaking the record since December 2025. On the liquidation chart, BTC has $1.592 billion long positions stacked below 81,777, with over $1 billion liquidated in 24 hours, of which $930 million are long positions. Thick below, thin above. Don't place stop losses right in the densest liquidation zone center—that's the system's target for sweeping orders; wait for one side to clear before judging the direction. Gold provides a counterexample: US gold ETFs attracted $11.7 billion in Q3, with central bank gold purchases and fiat currency credit hedging supporting this non-interest-bearing asset. Next, watch how the October 14 CPI/PPI will rewrite the December rate hike bets; then watch the dense defense line at 81,777—will it hold or be completely broken through. SOL, I'm more concerned about whether the money stays after the hype 👀 $SOL is currently around $111. The stablecoin market cap on the Solana chain is about $16.1 billion, and DEX trading volume in the past 24 hours is about $1.14 billion, so there is still a foundation of funds and trading. However, in the past week, the stablecoin market cap has dropped about 2.8%, and DEX trading volume is also declining. What I want to see next is whether funds can flow back in and whether trading can remain active. For now, I'll keep focusing on SOL and will closely watch these two numbers.Let's start with the conclusion. BTC is now above 83,600, up about 0.7% in 24 hours, ETH at 2,533, up about the same. In the past 24 hours, there were $65.54 million in liquidations across the network, with 32.32 million long positions and 33.22 million short positions—almost half open. The core judgment can be summed up in one sentence: this wave rebounded from 80,427 to $84,200 at $3,773, with buy orders mainly being squeezed short positions—because on the spot ETF side, there was still a net outflow of $729 million over Wednesday and Thursday, so the money that truly "bought only because it's bullish" hasn't returned yet. Why do I say that? On Thursday, BTC hit a low of 80,427, and short positions piled up between 82,000 and 84,000. Then the price pulled back, first with scattered short positions being closed out, which had to be bought back, then pushed prices higher, pushing them higher, pushing out more short positions, and rolling in bigger and bigger. This is a typical short covering: prices rise, but the driving force is forced buying by counterparties, not new funds entering the market. There are three pieces of evidence: First, BTC spot ETFs saw net outflows of 484.9 million on Wednesday and 244 million on Thursday, totaling 729 million over two days—this is a "months-waiting" long money withdrawal; Second, ETH spot ETFs have seen net outflows for eight consecutive days, totaling over 637 million USD; Third, 24-hour liquidations are only 65.54 million, more than halving yesterday's 140 million,MAGIC average price 0.10595→0.1322 ZEC average price 1236.31→1279.64 Both long positions are fully leveraged with high multiples, the floating profit is indeed tempting, but only oneself knows the torment of watching the market. With 50x leverage, a 1% fluctuation in ZEC means a 50% fluctuation in principal, and the margin tolerance of 15.61 is extremely low. 1. High leverage only captures the middle segment of the trend, do not be greedy for the start or end 2. Maintaining a margin of 1303% Is this a real breakout or a false rebound? To be honest, until the market closes, no one dares to make a definitive conclusion. I'll just discuss a few points. 🧐 First, look at sentiment. Fear and greed have risen from a low point but are far from greed, indicating the market is just catching its breath, not everyone is getting overly excited. Second, look at capital. Stablecoins show signs of inflow, contract rates aren't crazy, leverage is restrained; this kind of repair is more sustainable than a violent short squeeze. Third, look at structure. BTC is still testing within a downtrend, ETH hasn't reclaimed key moving averages; without a breakout, it can only be considered a rebound. Fourth, look at macro. The dollar is relatively strong, rate cut expectations are fluctuating, geopolitical disturbances persist, and risk assets could take another hit at any time. So my view: short-term optimism is okay, but don't be impulsive mid-term. $BTC needs to hold above 82,000, $ETH needs to reclaim 2,550 before talking about takeoff; if not, previous lows might be tested again. 📉 This is not a trade call, just a record.$SOL rose 1.12% in 24 hours, but I still remain bearish; this rebound won't go far. During the rebound, short positions were liquidated by only $2.52 million, and long positions by $2.38 million, almost balanced on both sides. Against a contract open interest of $940 million, this liquidation volume is negligible. Shorts were not forced to cover, so the most direct buying pressure on the upside is missing, and leveraged positions remain unchanged on the market. Funding rates rose from 0.0015% to 0.0066% over three periods, just as background: the added leverage during the rebound is biased toward longs. Funding rates don't indicate direction, but these positions have costs near the current price and will be the first to break when prices fall. The chart shows lower highs continuously, with the 7/25/99 moving averages in a bearish alignment and price below the averages. A daily volatility of 3.5% does not change this structure. Next, watch 108.89; if broken, long leverage will start to be squeezed out. Conditions for a bullish reversal: close firmly above 112.73, with a significant increase in short liquidations.Everyone else is showing off huge bullish candles and getting rich, but I'm the only one worrying about these tiny profits. $DOGE: Opened at 0.09984, current price 0.09504, full position 20X, unrealized profit 624U, ROI 101%. Even though this trade doubled, I held it for several days as it kept going down, suffering sleepless nights in between. Still holding the short position, target first looks at 0.09; I really won't exit if it doesn't drop below 0.09. $ETH: Opened at 2739.79, current price 2675.86, full position 20X, unrealized profit 223U, ROI 49%. I was trapped yesterday and almost cut losses in panic, but finally turned positive today. The drop has been smooth, so I’ll keep holding and watch 2600. Earning this small change really doesn't make up for the mental toll last night. $BTC: Opened at 84407.31, current price 84302.30, full position 20X, unrealized loss 17U, ROI -2.49%. Newly opened long position, basically started bothering me near the cost line right after entry. I’ll hold and observe for now. As long as BTC doesn’t fall below 83000, I’ll pretend I didn’t see it. The upper target is 86000. Please, main players, don’t mess with me. Summary: Short positions earn some hard money, long positions just drag me down, but it’s not as enjoyable as imagined. Trading is so hard, constantly oscillating between breaking even and liquidation every day. Light positions trapped are even more anxious. #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #Institutions keep positioning, why is BTC still under pressure? #PIMCO warns 10-year US Treasury yield may reach 6% Looking at the market today, NEAR surged again. Current price $5.90, 24-hour surge 11.19%, a high of $5.93, low $5.17—up 14.7% from the low. Trading volume $36.4 million, volume surged. This isn't the first time. Over the past four weeks, NEAR has risen 83%, BTC only up 5%, ETH 1%. Some statistics even show 30-day gains as high as 172%. Market cap surged to $7 billion, pushing Stellar (XLM) out of the world's top 20 by market cap. With such a big increase, is it hype or is there something real? After looking around, NEAR has indeed been heavily implemented recently. First, NEAR Intents' trading volume has surpassed $33.2 billion. What are Intents? Simply put, users only need to say, "I want to exchange asset A for asset B," and the rest of the routing, cross-chain, and finding the best price are all automatically handled by NEAR's network. You don't need to manually transfer money between different chains or compare prices on different DEXs. The system's trading volume has already reached $33.29 billion. And it's accelerating—at the end of September, it was still $31 billion, but in just two weeks, that's $2.2 billion. NEAR co-founder says the near.com platform has already integrated cross-chain spot trading, tokenized stocks, wealth management, and perpetual contracts. The goal is "any asset to any asset"—whether you want to exchange BTC for NVIDIA stock or buy perpetual contracts with USDT, you can handle it all from one entry point. Most Intents infrastructureLook, another screen full of short positions. Everyone says to follow the trend, but only I know how cold it is to go against human nature. $ASTER R, short at 0.7125, current price 0.6149. Unrealized profit +439.61U, +137.09%. Is it a windfall? I only feel dazed. Margin 14.63U, unrealized profit is 30 times that. This is not profit, it's just a temporary illusion the market lends me. The end of a short position is often a piercing arrow through the clouds. $ETH, short at 2504.41, current price 2535.53. Unrealized loss -311.2U, -6.21%. Like someone who once treated you well but you pushed away, turning back to slap me hard. The liquidation price is far at 2991, no rush, but watching it climb makes my heart feel slowly dragged down. $SOL, short at 109.73, current price 111.22. Unrealized loss -29.79U, -13.57%. It ultimately reversed. The candle in the wind yesterday is out today. Liquidation price 120.05, it doesn't need to rise much to pull me out of my luck. I'm still holding on, but I don't know if I'm waiting to break even or to give up. Afraid to give back profits, unwilling to accept losses. This is probably the truest fate of those who short. #CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face tests #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? #Check in with OKX at 2049 A: What dimensions do $BTC, $ETH, and $OP represent when observed together? B: BTC anchors the market cycle, ETH reflects the overall capital flow in the crypto ecosystem, and OP indicates the user and capital expansion speed of the Optimism L2 ecosystem. A: What is the significance of observing them as a group? B: Observing these three coins together makes it easier to judge whether the OP-based Layer 2 network has formed a sustained trend, compared to just watching the price movements of a single coin. #Institutions continue to build positions, why does BTC still face pressure? #Check in with OKX at 2049 #Russia relaxes diesel exports, but Hormuz risks still support oil prices Last night SOL suddenly surged with volume, shooting up from around 109 to 112 in one go. After consolidating for so long, we finally see some movement from the bulls. This morning's early session, I personally remain bullish, since the volume on this bullish candle is not small, indicating there are still buyers willing to step in above. Now it depends on whether the 111 level can hold. If the pullback doesn't break below it, I will consider lightly going long, first watching if 112.1 can be broken. After breaking through, I will then focus on 113–115. However, if it falls back below 110 again, we need to be cautious that last night's surge might have been in vain. Personally, I prefer buying on dips rather than chasing the price higher directly. Today, let's see if the bulls can take down 112. $SOL $BTC $STRK has risen, and those with short positions feel worse than those with long positions. $STRK and $MAGIC are both rising together. There's no particular reason for the rise; it just keeps going up. What is this number: Originally a 100% unrealized profit, now gone. It's not a loss, it's profit made and then given back. What actually happened: No stop loss, no closing positions. Holding on, waiting for it to drop back. Leverage wasn't mentioned, but positions that can withstand this kind of rise are probably not heavy. Here's the problem: unrealized profit doesn't count as money. Positions not closed will change in value as the price moves. 100% turns into 0, with only a period of increase in between. Waiting for a bearish candle is more realistic than waiting for it to drop back to the original point. #CheckInWithOKX2049 #OKXCompletesStrategicFundingAt$25BValuation $STRK $MAGIC