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$NIGHT
Control situation: The top 100 on-chain addresses control over 98%, with retail circulation only about 5%. The project parties (two major entities) collectively hold more than 50% of the tokens with no lock-up restrictions, maintaining absolute control. Coupled with the selling pressure left by the historically stolen cross-chain bridge, the chip structure is extremely fragile.
Price point analysis: The current price is about $0.0427. Resistance is in the 0.043-0.044 range (recent high near 0.043159); only a volume-backed close above 0.044 can open upward space; support is first seen at 0.040-0.041 (near EMA20/50), with strong support at 0.039 (previous low 0.039522). The 15-minute chart shows MACD volume contraction and RSI falling to around 65, indicating short-term momentum weakening and a need for a pullback.
Trend judgment: In the short term, it is highly likely to surge and then fall below 0.044, testing lower support; in the mid-term, as long as the control structure remains unchanged, any rally is more of an "emotional pulse" rather than a reversal, with heavy overhead resistance and high risk in chasing highs. In terms of operation, short positions near resistance require strict stop-loss to prevent a short squeeze; if volume breaks through 0.044, reassess again. 🚨 BITCOIN CONFIRMS BREAKDOWN ON THE MONTHLY CHART
$BTC closed the candle below last month's bottom, wiping out the September uptrend. The FVG zone around 75,000 dollars is becoming the focal point.
Scenario:
- 75,000 dollars → important FVG zone
- 70,000–72,000 dollars → deep liquidity sweep
- Reclaim structure → start recovery
- Break above 87,000 dollars → strengthen uptrend
- Next target → 96,000 dollars
If BTC holds the FVG after the sweep, the recovery potential will be reinforced.🔥Midterm Election Storm Approaching
$BTC $ETH $SOL
The midterm election market is expected to drop again,
but it won't fall too much.
After this event passes,
the market will start to bottom out.
The bottom of the past three Bitcoin cycles
all appeared after the US midterm elections:
2014: 71 days after the election
2018: 39 days after the election
2022: 13 days after the election
If this pattern repeats,
the end of 2026 to early 2027
could be the time window for Bitcoin's next cycle bottom.
If you find this review useful, please give a like!
Press 1 if it drops first then bottoms out, press 2 if it reverses directly.
This is only a market review and does not constitute investment advice.
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ SanDisk is more than 10% below the long-term average price, and HYPE is also shrinking in scale
$HYPE 82.95, down 6.0% in the past 24 hours, contract open interest decreased, and price is also weak 🪁
During a completed 12-hour period of the corresponding contract, open interest fell by 1.3%, contract price dropped 3.5%, both open interest and price are contracting.
Scale has shrunk, but price pressure has not disappeared; spot price is also near the low of 82.59, recovery position remains low.
I am cautious; a rebound requires position improvement and cannot interpret the reduction in contract open interest directly as the selling pressure having ended.
$SNDK 1089.12, down 8.7% in the past 24 hours, the gap with the long-term average price is larger than the daily drop 💾
SanDisk's 20-day closing average price is about 1275.52, quoted about 14.6% lower, the long-term gap remains large, 1100 has not yet been reclaimed.
This gap has accumulated over multiple trading days; one or two upticks do not necessarily mean the recovery is complete, short-term rebounds do not equal longer-term recovery.
I see this as a partial rebound during adjustment; the longer-term area has not been recovered, evaluation should not be based solely on rebound speed.
$NEAR 3.808, down 11.8% in the past 24 hours, heavy decline, trading has not calmed down 🌱
In the past two full hours, it dropped 1.6%, trading volume increased by 87.6% compared to the previous two hours, the decline corresponds to active expansion, trading has not decreased.
The quote of 3.808 is only about 0.5% higher than the low of 3.79, the rebound is still at a low level, around 4 has not been reclaimed.
This performance is weak, activity needs to be seen in which direction it falls, more trading does not automatically bring a higher position.$XTZ offers an example of blockchain governance designed to support protocol evolution over time. Upgrades can improve performance and introduce new capabilities, but their impact depends on developer adoption and practical use. Governance participation, application growth, network activity, and the quality of implementation deserve attention.#AMD财报前瞻：HeliosAI系统商业化进展 Currently, AMD is priced with extremely high expectations, with a forward P/E ratio as high as 144 times, and the options market implies a single-day volatility ranging from 8.95% to 10.85%. If the Q4 revenue guidance (consensus around $16.29 billion) fails to meet aggressive investor expectations, it is very likely to repeat last quarter's scenario of "earnings beating expectations but still plunging after hours." The odds of beating expectations remain very high, but the stock price is unlikely to escape a post-market plunge Evening session on 11.03: Triple negative factors resonate, rebound is a short opportunity!
Currently, the market is steadily declining. $BTC is priced at 76410, the weekend rebound to 78831 was brutally rejected, with both 1-hour and 15-minute moving averages in a full bearish alignment. The 78000-78800 range above feels like a heavy mountain pressing down. $ETH is at 2242, having plunged nearly 17% in 30 days, weaker than BTC.
Looking at liquidation data, it's a battlefield. The dense liquidation zone above BTC at 76966 is the first critical resistance for a rebound; ETH faces even tighter suppression above 2289. The most dangerous is that the current price is close to the liquidation zone below; once it breaks effectively, a chain reaction of liquidations will trigger an accelerated decline instantly.
The news side brings a "triple kill" resonance:
1. Big players exit: Arthur Hayes clearly stated he has sold $22.28 million in crypto assets and is now watching from the sidelines.
2. Institutional retreat: ETF net outflow on October 30 reached $643 million, the largest since June.
3. Macro risk aversion: AI tech stocks are weak, compounded by geopolitical risks in Iran, severely suppressing risk appetite.
Large capital bearishness + institutional withdrawal + macro suppression leave bulls powerless.
Trading strategy (firmly short on rebounds):
BTC: Short in batches on rebounds between 76800-77300, stop loss above 77600, target first at 75800, break below targets 74708
ETH: Short in batches on rebounds between 2260-2290, stop loss above 2310, target at 2220, break below targets 2180 $ENA is linked to Ethena's synthetic dollar ecosystem, which uses crypto-market mechanisms rather than conventional bank deposits alone. Its model requires careful assessment of funding rates, collateral, liquidity, and counterparty exposure. Understanding how the system behaves during stressed markets is more useful than judging it solely by yield opportunities.$BTC $ETH $SOL
Multiple on-chain data indicate that recently, the holdings of long-term BTC holders have been continuously rising, with circulating chips on the market steadily consolidating and selling pressure steadily decreasing. Under the uncertainty of the election, short-term speculative funds have exited, while institutional funds with a long-term perspective continue to accumulate at low levels, continuously strengthening the bottom support of the market.
From a historical cycle perspective, the stage of high chip lock-up is often the accumulation phase for a new major market rally. In the short term, market fluctuations are limited due to macro sentiment disturbances, but the support below is extremely solid, systemic crash risk is very low, and the market is waiting for the macro benefits catalyzed by the US election to trigger a new round of upward recovery.U.S. Midterm Elections + Nonfarm Payrolls
$BTC +$ETH Market Trends
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ Two major macro events resonating will dominate the subsequent trends of BTC and ETH. Different midterm election outcomes will directly change the U.S. Treasury and dollar liquidity environment, indirectly affecting the crypto space.
If the Republicans take both chambers, fiscal expansion expectations will push up U.S. Treasury yields and strengthen the dollar, putting pressure on BTC and ETH; if the Democrats control both chambers, fiscal constraints will apply, U.S. Treasury yields will decline, benefiting crypto assets. The market is most likely to see a divided government, with both parties checking each other, making major policy changes unlikely, leading to wide-range market fluctuations. If the election results are disputed, risk-off sentiment will surge, causing crypto prices to quickly plunge.
#美国10月非农前瞻：就业增长或牵动12月加息预期 Overlaying the October nonfarm preview: stronger-than-expected employment data will reinforce December rate hike expectations, tightening liquidity and suppressing Bitcoin and Ethereum; weaker-than-expected employment will cool rate hike expectations, creating rebound opportunities.
BTC and ETH are highly sensitive to U.S. Treasury yields. Before these events unfold, avoid heavy one-sided bets, prioritize observing U.S. Treasury and dollar signals. Under a divided government scenario, volatility will intensify; high leverage must be risk-controlled, waiting for clear signals before positioning accordingly.
$BTC $JUP is associated with Jupiter's trading ecosystem on Solana, where efficient token discovery and execution are important to users. A competitive interface can attract traders, but retaining them requires reliable routing, liquidity, and useful features. Platform activity does not automatically translate into proportional economic value for token holders.Let me make one thing clear early in the morning: the second phase of asset-by-asset release by Mouan does NOT mean the market has warmed up. The release means assets are being checked one by one; the withdrawal channels have loosened, but that doesn't mean the buyers have returned. Don't equate these two things.
The evidence from the market is actually the opposite: in 24 hours, BTC positions dropped 0.95%, ETH dropped 2.14%, SOL dropped 0.56%, ZEC dropped 4.63%; none of the four coins' positions went up. In 1 hour, only BTC rose 0.13%, ZEC rose 1.35%, while ETH and SOL continued to fall. The slight uptick can't even cover the gap for a whole day.
What’s even more painful is the cost basis of positions: BTC is still holding at 0.0102%, ETH at 0.0081%, SOL at 0.0075%, ZEC loosened to 0.0033%. Long positions are still paying to hold, but positions are getting lighter day by day. The number of people paying to stay is decreasing, not increasing.
So my direct judgment: the release is just the channel reopening; position recovery is the real signal. The data on position vacancies overnight is already behind us; the market has digested a wave, and I don’t take it as directional evidence. Those who rushed in chasing the release news are betting that the channel equals sentiment, but the reality is positions are still going down. The channel loosened, but positions haven’t returned. Before positions stop falling within 24 hours, don’t rush to read the release as positive news, and don’t chase the uptick to add positions. Wait for positions to stabilize first, then talk about direction. Which coin’s position do you think will stop falling first? 👀#Circle財報在即，穩定幣成長能否轉化為收益？ From the current market expectations, Circle's upcoming earnings report is likely to barely meet revenue expectations, but exceeding them won't be easy. Although the overall scale and on-chain activity of USDC have continued to grow, the decline in reserve yields caused by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts has been eroding their profit margins. Coupled with a recent miss last quarter, the market remains cautious about its profitability performance. The key will be whether USDC's growth rate can offset the impact of falling interest rates. A simple trap set by the manipulator scared a bunch of retail investors.
Brothers, tonight's rebound—how many of you are shouting that the reversal is here, that the bull market is about to start again?
Look closely, $ETH only touched 2308 at the highest before immediately softening, not even breaking through the dense moving average resistance above.
Looking further down at the bottom volume, this rebound has no capital follow-through at all; it's all shorts taking profits and retail investors chasing longs creating a false illusion.
This is a classic case of "low-volume bull trap."
Why do many brothers panic as soon as they see a rise?
Because they are fully invested, heavily leveraged, or even close to forced liquidation prices.
But in trading, you focus on the bigger trend and risk-reward ratio.
Look at my short position at 2671, the profit has already been securely taken at 1438%.
The major downtrend structure hasn't changed at all; the highs have dropped step by step from 2579 to 2538, then to tonight's 2308.
The next plan remains clear: once this wave of emotion is vented, as long as the rebound can't push through the 2300 - 2310 resistance zone, it's an excellent shorting opportunity.
Looking further down, once it breaks below the 2236 consolidation low, it will most likely test the previous low at 2174 directly.
Don't be scared by the manipulator's little tricks, recognize the big trend, hold your bottom chips firmly, this meat is ours to eat.
$BTC
$ZEC
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ 🔥 TRENDING ON OKX TONIGHT — Fearful, But Dip-Buying!
Mood: Fear & Greed 26 = fear. Yet $BTC holds its key level + traders keep buying dips. That's not panic, that's positioning.
Trending:
$BTC/USDT $77,641.20 +0.16% — holding
$ETH/USDT $2,298.49 +1.09% — leading
$OKB/USDT $109.01 -2.38% — cooling
Educational: In fear, smart money watches flow, not feelings. Capital rotating toward OKX = liquidity + confidence.
Watch $BTC hold, $ETH follow-through. Risk: fear can flip fast, size small.Circle's earnings per share this quarter, I expect to be above 0.38. What makes me think this is not what Circle itself said, but Coinbase's Q3 report released last Thursday. Circle's money mainly comes from the interest earned on the hundreds of billions of dollars in USDC reserves invested in government bonds. However, a large portion of this interest has to be shared, with Coinbase receiving the largest share. In Q2, Coinbase took nearly 80% of Circle's total distribution costs. On page 36 of Coinbase's Q3 report, this is clearly detailed. Coinbase reported that the average market value of USDC in Q3 was about $73 billion, down about 5% from $77 billion in Q2. The money Coinbase received from USDC was $328 million, only $8 million more than in Q2. This amount is basically the share Circle pays to Coinbase. Based on Circle's full-year guidance given in August, the proportion shared in the second half of the year is expected to increase significantly, causing a drop in profit margin. According to Coinbase's figures, the drop in Q3 was not that much. Additionally, Coinbase has over $100 million in coins on its books, all accounted for at market value. In Q3, HYPE, Bitcoin, and Ethereum rose between 40% and 70%, but the largest holding, Canton Coin, fell about 10%. Roughly calculated together, there was a gain of over $10 million. TwoWhether the rebound can continue now seems more driven by news; looking at the K-line alone is not enough (｡･ω･｡)
With the US midterm election results window approaching, the composition of Congress affects crypto regulation, fiscal spending, and risk appetite; tonight's JOLTS and Friday's nonfarm payrolls combined with December rate hike expectations may increase macro volatility.
BTC spot ETF saw a single-day net outflow of $643 million, institutions are still reducing risk; BTC is relatively resilient, but funds have not continuously flowed back, which only indicates strong support but no confirmed reversal yet.
ETH spot ETF had a single-day net outflow of $156 million, totaling about $1.61 billion over the past 30 days, showing the most significant mid-term capital pressure; contract sentiment is bearish, but if BTC stabilizes, ETH might trigger short covering (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧
SOL spot ETF had a single-day net outflow of $10.74 million, about $144 million over the past 30 days; the team advises validators to guard against a Linux kernel vulnerability, with no evidence of breach and not a Solana code issue, but short-term sentiment is disturbed.
From another perspective, BTC is relatively stable, ETH offers a recovery-driven short-covering opportunity, and SOL is the most aggressive with the lowest tolerance 😊
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ 🚨 If Bitcoin drops to $74,700, I might really take action! 👀
Having observed BTC for so many years, I've gradually found that the 120-day moving average on the daily chart is often an important support area worth watching.
If $BTC falls back to around $74,700, I will definitely seriously consider going long. After all, there aren't many obvious support levels nearby right now, so this position deserves close attention.
Shorting BTC might seem like the trend, but I personally remain cautious. For retail investors, shorting can sometimes become a trap, and if the market suddenly rebounds, the risk can quickly escalate.
From here on, it's best to proceed carefully. Managing leverage well, practicing good risk management, and avoiding blindly chasing highs or selling lows are the keys to long-term survival.
If BTC really drops to $74,700, would you choose to buy the dip and go long, or continue waiting for confirmation? 👀
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BitcoinTrading #美国中期选举
#DailyOrbit When others panic, Strategy keeps accumulating! $BTC
Strategy purchased another 811 BTC between October 26 and November 1 at an average price of $80,800. Its total holdings have now reached 849,327 BTC, acquired at an average cost of around $75,500.
Despite market uncertainty, the company continues its long-term Bitcoin accumulation, backed by approximately $4.9B in cash reserves. 💰
#USMidtermsPolicyOutlook $CL
Recent crude oil plunge is mainly due to the concentrated squeeze-out of geopolitical risk premium.
With the US and Iran simultaneously signaling easing through negotiations, market bets on a supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz have quickly cooled, leading bulls to exit en masse; combined with limited OPEC+ production cut constraints, increased Middle East exports, and downward revisions in demand expectations, the weak fundamentals have been exposed, and programmatic selling has amplified the decline.
There is significant divergence in the outlook. Bears believe that after the geopolitical logic is disproven, oil prices will return to fundamentals with further downside potential; supporters emphasize low inventories, insufficient supply elasticity, and OPEC+ support, with Goldman Sachs even raising oil price forecasts.
Currently, a short-term phase of high-level wide-range oscillation and increased volatility is more likely: after the geopolitical premium is given back, a new fundamental anchor needs to be found, but conditions for a sustained deep decline are insufficient; if negotiations stall or conflicts reignite, a rapid rebound could be triggered. The probability of a smooth one-way decline is limited, so key focus remains on US-Iran negotiation progress and on-site Middle East frictions.
#伊朗授权政府谈判，霍尔木兹重开能否提速？ #加密行业协同守护资产安全 The heat remains, but the 24-hour volatility continues to compress?
DOGE is stuck at 0.0733, community narratives persist, but the 0.070 defense line shows no capital support signal.
ETH has dropped to 2240, the 2300 resistance has not been absorbed, and the linked volatility is weak.
The December rate hike expectation remains undecided, making this time window prone to locking volatility.
Volatility contraction will not last forever; the non-farm payroll release will trigger its expansion again.
Open your position list and check if your stop-loss can withstand the impact after volatility rises.
Focus on the 77000 level today.
$BTC $ETH $DOGE The altcoins are moving in tandem with Bitcoin, both weakening with synchronized fluctuations. After a short-term upward test, pressure caused a pullback. The resistance above is obvious, and there is a lack of sustained upward momentum after the rally. The market is tugging back and forth between bulls and bears; do not blindly chase longs. Wait for the rebound to reach the resistance zone before following the trend to look for a pullback.
Trading advice
Rebound pressure is expected in the 2295-2310 range; follow the trend to set up shorts, with targets initially at 2270-2250. If broken, continue to look down toward around 2230. #美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $BTC $ETH Toncoin ($TON)
📱 Messaging platforms and blockchain technology could create new ways for people to access digital services. Toncoin is connected to an ecosystem with a strong focus on Telegram-related applications. The challenge is turning a large potential audience into active blockchain users. Could messaging apps become the easiest gateway into crypto?BTC is currently at 77379.9, with MA20 at 80260.1.
Pressure hasn't broken; it's too early to talk about a reversal.
Strategy bought 811 BTC for 65.5 million USD, then used 208 million USD to repurchase preferred shares.
Where the money comes from and where it goes is very clear.
The treasury strategy has already split.
Strive increased holdings by 124 BTC, backed by 15% annualized SATS preferred share financing.
BitMine acquired 8573 ETH, bringing holdings to 6.06 million.
Metaplanet repaid 50.64 million USD debt, raising the coin purchase budget to 212 million.
Some are borrowing to expand the balance sheet, others are reducing burdens first.
They are not collectively pushing the market up; each is making their own allocation.
ETH is now down -0.52%, BTC down -0.37%.
Ethereum is weaker, and this is no coincidence.
Institutions are accumulating, but the market may not follow the rise.
When BTC turns, ETH usually crashes first; when BTC rebounds, ETH mostly follows.
It currently has no independent mainline, only dependency. $BTC $ETH #Strategy回购规模超购币三倍，财库策略转向？ The strength or weakness of the $BTC US dollar is the core anchor affecting BTC's medium- to long-term trend, and this US election will directly determine the future tone of US dollar monetary policy. If subsequent loose fiscal policies are implemented, it will likely suppress the US dollar index, benefiting BTC and other non-US scarce assets to rise; if it leans toward tightening regulation, it will temporarily suppress risk asset valuations.
Currently, the market is in an expectation game phase, with small fluctuations in the US dollar index driving BTC to oscillate back and forth, and the market's ups and downs completely follow macro sentiment. Compared to short-term fluctuations, more attention should be paid to the policy $ implementation pace after the election, which will determine BTC's overall trend direction in the fourth quarter. $ZEC $SOL CoinMarketCap's report says Bitcoin open interest contracts have dropped to a 12-month low of $284.1 billion
It sounds like the market has lightened up, but the remaining batch of longs are still paying an extremely expensive "toll" — the funding rate remains stuck at a 90-day high (about 0.93 basis points), even higher than the previous week
The total leverage has decreased, but the remaining position costs have become more expensive, and as soon as some fall, others immediately fill in
Spot $BTC ETFs have seen outflows of $859 million over nearly 6 trading days, with BlackRock's IBIT alone experiencing 10 consecutive days of outflows, totaling over $2.24 billion
However, whales are adding positions against the trend, with total holdings rising to 3.03 million coins, the fastest pace since February this year
The most critical level now is $76,000
This is the average cost line for short-term holders, whose unrealized gains are currently only about 2%. If these holders shift from slight profits to losses, it could easily trigger sell-offs
As long as the $76,000 barrier is not broken, the market will continue to grind within this narrow range; once broken, the next deep support zone is between $73,000 and $74,000
$BTC #BTC range consolidationSei ($SEI)
⚡ Trading-focused blockchain infrastructure is an interesting niche in the crypto market. Sei has been designed around performance and applications that need fast execution. Its long-term opportunity depends on active users and sustainable applications. Would you choose a specialized trading chain over a general-purpose blockchain?Staring at the K-line for half a day is not as useful as looking at today's news mentioning the "NU7 developer controversy".
This is the real reason behind ZEC's sharp drop.
Technical breakdowns can be charted, but a fundamental trust crisis is fatal.
The community is bickering over the developers' interests, and big investors seeing this kind of news react by retreating without regard to cost.
Look at the market: the price has plunged directly from the high of 1398 to 1195, with the moving averages above pressing down hard. Every very slight rebound is just supplying bullets to the bears.
Currently, 65% of the market is shorting, which shows that the smart money has long understood this game and is following the trend to push the price down.
The current 1195 is definitely not the bottom, just a resting point in the downtrend.
As long as it dares to weakly rebound, that will be our best opportunity to enter a high short position.
Face reality and don't fight the trend.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $BTC The current BTC market has entered a typical policy-driven phase, with technical trends fully following the fluctuations of U.S. election public opinion and policy expectations. The crypto-friendliness of the campaign camps, attitudes toward digital currency regulation, and the direction of White House fiscal policy directly influence the institutional capital's position timing.
Historical cycle data shows that during the U.S. election window, global risk asset volatility tends to decline in phases, with capital preferring to lock in profits and reduce aggressive speculation. This is the core reason why BTC has struggled to break out of its range recently. In the short term, the market lacks clear negative catalysts to trigger a sell-off and also lacks strong catalysts for a breakout rally. Overall, it is mainly consolidating to digest positions and waiting for macro developments to materialize. $ETH $ZEC #Circle财报在即，稳定币增长能否兑现收益？ As of Q2 2026, USDC circulation reached $73.3 billion, a 19% year-over-year increase; on-chain transaction volume hit $14.8 trillion, soaring 151% year-over-year. The numbers look impressive. But total revenue and reserve income in Q2 were only $701 million, up just 7% year-over-year.
Transaction volume rose 151%, but revenue only increased by 7%. The issue lies in the revenue structure: about 95% of Circle's income comes from interest on USDC reserves invested in short-term U.S. Treasury bonds, while transfer fees in Q2 were only $5.3 million — $14.8 trillion in transaction volume generated just $5.3 million in revenue. USDC has grown, but Circle still earns money from "U.S. Treasury bond coupons," not from the "stablecoin network effect."
The real profit bottleneck: distribution costs consume nearly 60% of revenue
In the first half of 2026, Circle generated about $1.4 billion in revenue, of which $819 million (nearly 59%) was directly paid to distribution partners and transaction costs. This means that for every $1 of revenue, only about 7 cents remain as net profit.A full review of my ICNT one-hour triple trade strategy: suitable for oscillation breakout + up-and-down retracement cycle trades
1. First, we can see the big trend is a box range oscillation. When I saw ® a large volume bullish candle breaking out of the box, I predicted this bullish candle wouldn't be a one-time explosion. After the breakout, there might be a chance for a pullback order block, so I prepared to place a long order in advance at 0.2243 (this position is the breakout order block/upper edge support of the box).
2. After placing the order, I noticed the price quickly surged, giving no chance for a pullback to place orders, so I immediately chased long at market price to ensure I didn't miss out.
BOS breakout, time to take profit!
3. After entering the long position: when the price hit a new high, I set a take profit for half the position to secure some gains—now I could confidently set a stop loss on the remaining half to ride the trend; just as I thought, it surged to a high then exhausted, showing a shooting star (which I've noticed several times while watching the market these days), a sign of stagnation, so I reversed to short and continued to profit!
4. Set the short target properly! It just hit the key support at 0.2243 again, took profit and exited perfectly; and this position was also where I had placed a long order in advance, so I entered long again.
Yay!
5. Finally, reviewing the trades, ICNT had three consecutive profitable waves: breakout long, high position short, support long again—three smooth transitions with good profits.
Dear friend! Follow me to take profits, have you learned it well?#Circle财报在即，稳定币增长能否兑现收益？ Circle (CRCL) Short, Medium, and Long-Term Outlook
✅Short term 0–1 year: Interest rate competition dominates, fundamentals await earnings verification
The short-term focus is on Federal Reserve interest rates, USDC circulation scale, and cost control. The company's revenue heavily depends on reserve interest; in a rate cut environment, growth in USDC circulation is needed to offset declining yields, and distribution cost control is key to profitability. USDC's compliance advantage can retain institutional clients but faces fierce competition from USDT. The Q3 earnings report is a crucial test.
✅Medium term 1–3 years: Success depends on the second growth curve
The next 1–3 years are a transition window. Circle cannot remain just an interest-earning stablecoin issuer; the focus is on whether businesses like CPN payments, on-chain infrastructure, and real asset tokenization can take off to increase non-interest income share. Successful new business will lead to valuation reshaping; slow progress will firmly cap valuation, while also needing to guard against competition from traditional financial giants entering the space.
✅Long term 3+ years: Competing for digital dollar infrastructure influence
The long-term space comes from the trends of digital assets, cross-border settlement, and asset tokenization. Circle's biggest moat is its first-mover advantage and compliance qualifications, aiming to become the global digital dollar underlying infrastructure. The biggest risks come from various countries' CBDCs, large banks' proprietary stablecoins, and diverse regulatory policies worldwide. Whether it can solidify ecosystem standards will determine its long-term value. Celestia ($TIA)
🧩 Blockchain modularity is changing how developers think about building networks. Celestia focuses on data availability, allowing other blockchain systems to build with more flexibility. The idea could support a wider range of specialized chains. Do you believe modular blockchains are the future of Web3?There is a glaring short position of 250,000 $SOL on the $SOL chain, with the liquidation line at 123.
Below, large funds keep supporting the spot market, making it impossible to crash.
Such a huge target hanging overhead—how could the main players on the market possibly ignore it?
The shorts are still holding hard; as soon as there's a slight pull-up touching the edge, triggering forced liquidation, 250,000 buy orders will chase the market price to repurchase, all becoming fuel for an upward surge.
#SOL
$SOL
👇👇#Circle财报在即，稳定币增长能否兑现收益？
Circle will release its earnings report before the market opens on November 4, with the core test being whether USDC's scale growth can translate into profits. Growth remains strong: USDC circulation is about $73.3 billion, up 19% year-over-year, with a market share of about 25%, driven by compliance and payment scenarios. However, the revenue side faces dual pressures: about 95% of income comes from reserve interest, with reserve yields having dropped from 4.16% to 3.5%. In Q1, circulation increased by 39% but reserve income only rose by 17%; distribution costs are high, with $405 million paid to partners in Q1 (about $330 million to Coinbase). In Q2, distribution costs accounted for 46% of revenue, leaving only about 7 cents net profit per $1 revenue in the first half of the year. Market expectations for Q3 revenue are $789 million to $797 million, with EPS of $0.38 to $0.40. Morgan Stanley is cautious, with a target price of $34 and a reduce rating, believing that slowing growth and rising distribution costs outweigh the benefits of forward yields; optimists also think a significant beat is unlikely, with the main theme still being "volume up, profit not up." Therefore, the key is not whether USDC's scale expands, but how much profit remains after incremental interest covers yield declines and revenue sharing; if scale growth slows, the vulnerability of the single-interest model becomes more prominent, making transformation progress more worth watching.U.S. stock perpetual contracts no longer need to be viewed only through offshore platforms.
The U.S. CFTC has approved the compliant listing of U.S. stock perpetual contracts in the U.S., marking the first time stock perpetuals enter the U.S. regulatory framework. For traders, compliance with margin, clearing, and investor protection is simultaneously accessible, which may increase the willingness of institutions and market makers to participate.
In the short term, the first-mover advantage of offshore platforms relying on listing stock perpetuals to attract traffic will be weakened, and similar contracts on platforms like Bitget may face diversion in trading volume and funding rates; in the medium to long term, the official acceptance of perpetuals as a leverage tool in the U.S. is a positive factor for the crypto derivatives narrative. Tokens without direct benefits should watch the scope of the first approved contracts, leverage limits, and launch timing.
If only the framework is approved but products are delayed, the hype will quickly fade. Are you more concerned about the list of underlying assets in the first batch of contracts, or whether compliant venues can build sufficient depth?
Source: BlockBeats📊 Traditional Finance/Compliance Testing: XRP, OKB, BCH — Three rhythms, one narrative.
$XRP: Strong at the company level, softer at the token level. The 3x ETF is postponed to November 30; the SEC custody letter on October 20 hinted that after the CLARITY Act is implemented, more XRP will be unlocked for RLUSD liquidity. OCC trust + FSOC are long-term positives. If $1.25 doesn't hold, the next level to watch is $1.10.
$OKB: Purely defensive. No catalysts, no supply shocks, and can even absorb overflow funds. Suitable to hold as a buffer.
$BCH: Slow lane. CME is already listed, Grayscale S-3 progress is slow — steady around $284 for 284 days.
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ #苹果Q4营收超预期，下季度毛利率指引承压 #PalantirQ3营收增长96%，股价不涨反跌 $BTC November 4 BTC daily analysis!
From the high of 87395, the price fell, breaking below the Bollinger middle band at 80414, approaching the key support at the lower band 76341.
MACD is in a bearish death cross state, RSI at 36.81 is not yet deeply oversold, still with downside risk.
Key support is at 76341; if it holds, a rebound is expected; primary resistance is at 80414, only by stabilizing above this level can the correction pattern be reversed.
Next is the US midterm elections,
The early voting on November 4 may trigger intense volatility; bearish news could break support, bullish news could drive a rebound.
Positioning should closely monitor the gain or loss of the 76341 support, and prepare profit-taking and stop-loss plans in advance. Pyth Network ($PYTH)
📈 Accurate market data is essential for decentralized applications. Pyth Network focuses on providing price information to blockchain platforms and financial applications. Reliable data can help smart contracts make better decisions, but oracle security remains crucial. Do you think decentralized applications can succeed without trustworthy real-time data?Pendle ($PENDLE)
⏳ DeFi is evolving beyond simple token swaps. Pendle focuses on yield trading, allowing users to separate and trade future yield from underlying assets. This creates new strategies for managing risk and potential returns. As DeFi becomes more sophisticated, tools like this could attract experienced users. Would you use a platform that lets you trade future yield?The current macroeconomic picture is sending mixed signals. The US October ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 55.5, above expectations, suggesting stronger economic activity. However, its price index remained elevated at 75.2, while September core PCE inflation rose to 3.1%, indicating that inflationary pressure remains a concern. As a result, market expectations for a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in December have reportedly climbed to 70%. ▪ Key Nonfarm Payrolls Expectations • Expected job growth$ETH's market just pushed up steadily, retracing back near 2300. The contract open interest barely moved within a few hours, which made me a bit uneasy. Looking at the whole day, the total open interest is still declining. The funding rate has remained at a normal level. The on-exchange bullish sentiment hasn't risen along with the price.
This rebound pushed the price higher, but the open interest data didn't keep up. The funding rate is very stable, indicating that the active buying volume is not strong. This rise looks more like a passive rebound caused by short covering. Without new capital increasing volume, it's hard to sustain the uptrend relying solely on short covering.
Switching to the daily chart, the current price has reached around 2315. This is a daily swing low with dense resistance above. Several daily EMA lines are still intertwined, making the trend unclear. The 4-hour EMA lines are also trending downward, with multiple layers of resistance overhead.
In the short term, I lean bearish. The current price is right at daily resistance with heavy selling pressure above. The market also lacks large volume orders to support the rise, so it will likely first pull back to test support.
$BTC $SOL #BTC持续承压，资金与市场走势出现分歧 🔥 Midterm elections are here, can BTC surge to 85,000? The real opportunity lies in policy expectation gaps!
🟡 Election highlights: Control of the House and Senate will impact tax, regulation, fiscal, and crypto policies over the next two years. Pre-election Reuters surveys and analyses lean toward Democrats vying for the House, while the Senate remains highly uncertain; a Republican sweep is not guaranteed.
🔵 US stocks: If policies continue and regulatory expectations improve, some tech stocks and risk assets may get a boost; if a divided government emerges, the market may reassess fiscal and regulatory risks.
🟢 BTC: 85,000 USD can be a target under optimistic scenarios but is not a guaranteed post-election rally. It also depends on the dollar, US Treasury yields, ETF funds, and spot buying support.
🔴 My judgment: The election is a catalyst, not the trend itself. The real trade-worthy move is the capital reaction after results are finalized, not betting early on a party's victory.
⚠️ Positive news may be priced in early, and the result announcement could see a spike followed by a pullback. Avoid heavy bets on news; wait for the market to show direction before acting.
#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ $BTC $ETH $ZEC Ethereum's rebound to $2,317 failed to reach the expected $2,350 resistance, and the price has now pulled back to around $2,243. The recovery is losing momentum, while the 4-hour chart continues to show lower highs. ▪ ETH Technical Outlook The short-term structure remains bearish. Buyers have not shown enough strength to absorb selling pressure from trapped positions above. ▪ Market Signals • BTC has fallen below $77,000. • Long liquidations have exceeded $100 million. • Binance ETH perpetual acHere are 8 revised versions for you:
*Version 1 - Original Flavor Optimization*
> They say history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes.
> When an exchange faces a major incident, is it often the bear market bottom?
> Yahoo Finance compared with FTX: on November 8, 2022, withdrawals were suspended,
> about one year after the 2021 peak, and the crypto market bottomed two weeks later.
> In the following 6 months, total market cap rose 18%, $BTC rose 40%.
> This time Binance was hacked, also about one year after the peak,
> and this round's deepest retracement was only 52%, much shallower than 73% in 2022.
> Still hoping the market will improve!
*Version 2 - Minimalist*
> They say history doesn't repeat but often rhymes; major exchange incidents often mark bear bottoms. Yahoo compared FTX: withdrawals suspended on 11/8/22, about one year after 2021 peak, bottomed two weeks later; next 6 months total market cap +18%, BTC +40%. This time Binance hack also about one year post-peak, deepest retracement 52%, shallower than 73% in 2022. Hope the market gets better.
*Version 3 - Trader Style*
> History doesn’t repeat but rhymes; major exchange incidents often mark bear bottoms. Yahoo compared FTX: withdrawals suspended 22.11.8, about one year after 2021 peak, bottomed two weeks later; 6 months later total market cap +18%, BTC +40%. This Binance hack also about one year post-peak; deepest retracement 52%, shallower than 73% in 2022. Looking forward to market recovery.
*Version 4 - Professional*
> They say history doesn’t repeat, but it always rhymes, exchange$ETH whales are accumulating aggressively around $2,279, buying large amounts of spot $ETH and moving them into cold wallets. Meanwhile, shorts remain heavily positioned, paying funding costs to hold their bets. Spot demand is rising while derivatives traders stay bearish. As long as $2,200 holds, a short squeeze could fuel a sharp upside move. $ETH
#USMidtermsPolicyOutlook Beginner's Diary｜Saylor: Price drop? Then I'll buy some more 🛒😂
Everyone's complaining about the weekly K-line dropping continuously, but Strategy quietly bought another 811 $BTC:
• Spent about 65.5 million USD, with an average price of about 80,846
• Total holdings now at 849,327 coins, with an overall average price of about 75,451
• The money came from selling MSTR stock (source: The Block)
I did the math: this batch was bought at a higher price than their overall average, current price is around 77.6k, so this new batch is temporarily "standing guard" 🧍
But what I learned is not "follow the whale to buy," but: they have their own funding sources and plans, and they execute according to their rhythm even when prices drop; I panic whenever prices fall because I have no plan 😵
Tonight is the US midterm election, and the implied volatility of options has already risen from about 43.5% to about 51% (CoinDesk), so volatility might be high, manage your positions first~
Are you more like Saylor or more like me: want to close the app when prices drop?
Learning check-in, not investment advice
#USMidtermElectionsComingUp, which results are worth watching? #Bitcoin#美国中期选举在即，哪些结果值得关注？ Price withstands negative factors, but funds continue to flee?
BTC faces multiple negative factors, with a drop controlled within 3%, stabilizing around 78000, supported by short covering for the rebound.
ETH holds above the 2300 mark, with BlackRock's ETHA seeing a single-day outflow of $138 million, and spot funds continuously withdrawing.
2350 to 2370 is a resistance range where previous rebounds have repeatedly failed; until this is broken, reversal signals are not confirmed.
In a high volatility environment, the margin for error on 100x contracts will be compressed.
Open your position list and check your stop-loss levels for 100x leverage.
Clues have been collected; now waiting for the non-farm payroll and election results to verify.
$BTC $ETH $SOL ⚡ Funding Rate Crowd Check
$BTC: Funding Rate +1.00 bps | 24H +0.22%
$MMT: Funding Rate +0.50 bps | 24H +0.90%
$ALLO: Funding Rate +0.50 bps | 24H +1.66%
$BTC has the most extreme funding rate in this group, indicating that longs are paying the highest cost for leverage.
$MMT $ALLO $BTC
#TraderDesk #Crypto
⚠️ Not financial advice — please manage risk and do your own research. AMD has issued two warrants. One was signed with OpenAI in October 2025, and the other with Meta in February this year, each for up to 160 million shares with an exercise price of 1 cent. Together, these total 320 million shares, roughly one-fifth of AMD's current 1.66 billion shares. Vesting depends on how many AMD GPUs the counterparties purchase, plus stock price targets. The 10-Q at the end of June states that not a single share has vested yet, so there is no impact on the financial statements; future accounting will first classify this as a liability. This information is in the 10-Q, not in the press release. Last quarter's 10-Q was released about an hour and a half later than the press release; this time it was around 6:40 AM Beijing time on the 4th. According to accounting standards, equity given to customers generally offsets revenue, and it does not necessarily wait for actual vesting. Once the company judges that vesting is likely and the corresponding GPU revenue is confirmed, it may start offsetting. The 10-Q does not specify which line this is recorded under, nor does it say whether it will be added back in non-GAAP. The first batch is linked to the first 1GW deployment; Lisa Su described the Helios full-rack ramp-up pace in August as follows: The Helios ramp is just starting at the end of Q3, and it'll be much more substantial in Q4. Before the quarter ends on September 26, this batch probably won't be counted yet. But once it starts, the extra shares alone could affect earnings by a few cents, so the revenue offset needs to be watched closely