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BTC Daily Review: Touching Key Resistance, Waiting for CPI to Break the Range
$BTC Daily
The resistance level of 84200 given yesterday was directly reached this morning. The current market is stuck around 84200, with an intraday range of 83462‑84290. The 20-day moving average at 83386 is just below the current price, serving as important technical support.
The market scenario remains unchanged: last week BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of $681 million, marking the largest weekly outflow since the end of June. Institutional funds continue to withdraw, which is the biggest weakness of this rebound.
Combined with hawkish statements from officials, the market is repricing the possibility of another rate hike by year-end. The 10-year US Treasury yield holds steady at 5.24%, continuously suppressing risk assets.
Key Price Levels Summary
✅ First resistance above at 85000; further strong resistance zone at 86500‑87400
✅ Support lifeline at 83400 (20-day moving average). If this breaks effectively, the next target is 82000
The market will most likely wait for tomorrow night’s CPI data to choose a direction. Before the data release, the overall range remains 83400‑85000.
Intraday operation range reference: 83400‑84800, with stop loss defense at 82900.
Briefly outlining two scenarios:
• CPI meets or is below expectations, with a chance to push up to the 85000 level
• CPI exceeds expectations and rises, with the market likely to directly retest support at 82000$W For this wave of rise, don't just look at the gains; the speculative logic behind it is the key!
Technical upgrades combined with expectations of the next round of token unlocks have quickly ignited short-term enthusiasm. On one hand, clearing out bottom short positions; on the other, attracting off-exchange funds to chase longs, so the market naturally still has the potential to push higher.
But Sister Ting believes that short-term bullishness does not mean long-term optimism. The selling Bitcoin and Ethereum crashed hard today.
Bitcoin directly fell below 81,000, and Ethereum was even worse, breaking through 2,450, dropping nearly 4%.
The whole market looks like a waterfall, with bulls being completely crushed. Ethereum's funding rate plunged to negative 39%, wiping out all leveraged longs.
The slow decline over the past couple of days combined with today's sharp drop has completely crushed market sentiment.
The reason boils down to one thing: Trump's tariff threats combined with the uncertainty of the midterm elections directly dragged down the entire market.
Don't underestimate this negative factor; funds are now all seeking safety, and no one dares to catch the falling knife.
Right now, don't rush to bottom-fish Bitcoin and Ethereum; wait until they stabilize a bit before considering it. The Reserve Bank of Australia clearly indicated in its latest monetary policy meeting minutes that all committee members unanimously agreed to raise interest rates by 25 basis points. At the same time, the official emphasized that to ensure inflation steadily returns to the target range, domestic consumer demand needs to remain moderately constrained for a period. Concurrently, Australia's September NAB business conditions index remained flat at -1, while the business confidence index further declined from -8 to -13.
From a macro fundamental perspective, the unanimous rate hike decision confirms the RBA's firm stance on combating inflation. Although business confidence data weakened, this is a typical technical feature of a tightening cycle aimed at curbing overheated demand, broadly aligning with the transmission path of policies implemented by major central banks globally.
The forex and fixed income markets quickly digested this hawkish signal; the Australian dollar showed phased technical support, while the sovereign bond yield curve maintained relatively strong fluctuations at the short end. The contraction in business expectations further reduces the possibility of a future inflation rebound, and the market is gradually pricing in the potential tail end of this tightening cycle.
For risk markets such as crypto assets, the central bank's swift resolution of policy uncertainty through a unanimous decision is actually a positive signal. Technically, the deleveraging phase nearing its end often indicates that the liquidity bottom is gradually forming, laying a macro foundation for mainstream assets like $BTC to stabilize and rebound at key support levels. $BTC $ETH #CPI and PPI releases are imminent, and rate hike expectations face a test #Institutions continue to position, so why does BTC remain under pressure? The facade of this building is still shining, but the load-bearing structure is already groaning—$JITOSOL is now stuck at a dangerous cantilever node.
The current quote is $97.02, with a slight 24H increase of 1.97%, seemingly stable, but when you spread out the blueprints and look at the details, the flaws are exposed. The short-term Bollinger Band position has already pushed to 87%, with only 0.2% margin left to the upper band and a 1.4% gap to the lower band—this means the price is forcibly squeezed just below the ceiling, with almost no structural room to move upward. The short-term RSI reading is 66.4; although it hasn't hit the overbought red line, it is approaching the 64 warning threshold, and momentum is beginning to show signs of fatigue. The mid-term Bollinger Band position is 51%, at the midpoint, representing a typical "upper layer suspended, lower layer not solidified" state.
The real problem lies in the foundation depth. The long-term RSI is only 50.4, completely neutral, indicating that this 1.97% rise lacks long-term capital as a foundation and relies on temporary support from short-term scaffolding. This kind of structure fears lateral loads the most—once short-term momentum withdraws, the high position at 87% will directly become the starting point of a fall.
My construction judgment: this is a beam that needs reverse reinforcement. The current price is still 1.4% below the Entry at $98.38; the rebound gap must be capped at a higher position before driving piles downward.
📉 Short:
Entry: 98.38 (current price +1.4%)
Take Profit 1: 94.55 (-2.5%)
Take Profit 2: 94.03 (-3.1%)
Stop Loss: 108.25 (+11.6%)
The stop loss is set at +11.6%, which is the structural safety margin I reserved for this project—if even 108.25 is broken through, it means the geological survey of the entire building was wrong from the start, and this is not a correction but a foundation redo. But before that, the short-term overbought pressure combined with the mid-term midpoint downward pull makes the first target of 94.55 with a -2.5% retracement completely workable.
Remember, the whitepaper is a rendering; on-chain data is the rebar reinforcement diagram. This reinforcement diagram now tells me: the upper load is overloaded and needs to be unloaded.$ETH rebounded by 100 points, but that doesn't mean the downtrend has stopped
$ETH dropped from 2738 to 2406, a decline of 330 points.
It rebounded for a day and a half, recovering just over 100 points.
What does this price level mean:
2550 is a round number and also the position where bears entered for the second time.
After falling 330 points, it only recovered a bit over 100 points, with the rebound less than half of the decline.
How is this calculated:
The 7-day moving average is at 2580, pressing from above.
Resistance zone is between 2557 and 2565, support is first seen at 2500.
If broken, look at 2484, and if broken again, look at the previous low of 2406.
The rebound is less than one-third of the decline, indicating the buying side did not hold.
Resistance was not surpassed, so the direction has not changed yet.
Orders placed at 2550 are betting that the rebound will stop there.
#Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure?
#TradingVoice: Your experience deserves to be heard $ETH $BTC
$ETH
From Wednesday to Friday, the US will release a series of important data
Wednesday: CPI, Thursday: PPI + Retail Sales, Friday: speech by Walsh
Focus on inflation data and market expectations for Fed rate cuts during these days. If data exceeds expectations, BTC may face pressure; if data is below expectations, it doesn't necessarily mean BTC will immediately surge
What you really need to guard against is not the price going up or down, but the repeated spikes and stop-loss hunting around the data release
My approach is simple: before data release, avoid heavy bets on direction
After data comes out, first observe the reaction, don't rush to chase the first candlestick
Combine key levels, OI, and CVD, and wait for direction confirmation before taking action
There are always market opportunities, no need to participate in every wave
During such data-intensive weeks, first protect your principal, then consider how much profit to make An Air Force Medical Record: Blowing Wind on the Mountain Top for Months, Only Seeking a Big Needle to Untangle
Patient: Mountain Top Wind Blower. Chief Complaint: BTC, ETH, ZEC short positions trapped, short-term holding turned into long-term investment, accompanied by palpitations, insomnia, and repeatedly watching the market.
Current History: Interest rate hike expectations heat up again, inflation, oil prices, and macro pressures exert continuous stress. Bulls dream of a bull market, bears on the mountain top have been freezing for months.
Diagnosis: Short Position Trapped Syndrome (Chronic Phase).
Treatment Advice: Not seeking to get rich overnight or double profits, only hoping the market shows mercy and gives another big needle. If untangled, promise not to open random orders for three days.
Doctor's Advice: Interest rate hike expectations ≠ market must fall, the market does not turn because individuals are trapped. Others wait for a bull market, we wait for the waterfall; others hope for new highs, we wait to get untangled.
This medical record seems like a joke but actually reveals the bitterness of the bears. CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face tests, and the battle between bulls and bears intensifies again. But be clear: macro data is only a catalyst, the direction never changes because someone is trapped.
Rather than blowing wind on the mountain top and repeatedly watching the market, it's better to let go of obsession and respond with light positions. The market is always there; surviving longer is the only way to qualify for your own big needle.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face tests
#Institutions continue to position, why does BTC still face pressure?
#Voice of Trading: Your experience deserves to be heard Don't be fooled by the 24-hour inflow; short-term funds are actually sneaking out
Checked the market this morning: Bitcoin at 82,600, Ethereum at 2,490, SOL at 107
Seeing the red last night, but short-term funds have been withdrawing all along. The 24-hour inflow is just an illusion
From October 5 to 9, related funds outflowed nearly 1.286 billion. No new money is coming in. It's too hard to rise
Bitcoin at 83,000 is key; if it can't hold above, it's useless. If 82,000 breaks, watch 80,000
Ethereum has been weak after falling below 2,500. If it doesn't improve, watch 2,400
SOL is approaching 105; if it breaks, a faster drop is likely
CPI and PPI are about to be released, interest rate hike expectations are still choking the market, and the Russia-Ukraine energy agreement is also a risk
I'm currently long but completely getting crushed. Looking at this market, I dare not move at all
No volume, no funds; bottom fishing is like catching a flying knife
Wait for the data to land and see if funds really flow back before making a move. Better to miss out than to gamble recklessly
Are you currently holding no position waiting, or rushing in to bottom fish?👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? Yesterday I opened a position buying Amazon $AMZN. Actually, this time the order was a bit reckless; I didn't understand it very well. In theory, funds are rotating repeatedly, and today there is some capital attracting people to come in and trade, but looking at the overall market, the current position is quite awkward. There is still a chance to be more cautious at the low level. $ETH and $BTC plummeted yesterday. Many thought the bull market was coming and tried to bottom-fish, but ended up with a mouthful of bull crap. Why the plunge? Oil prices and the US dollar rose simultaneously, pushing up inflation, which does not support a bull market, plus the US stock market is about to enter earnings season. The demand for risk aversion is high. Going forward, attention can actually be focused on the gold trend.The market turned sour overnight. $BTC dropped to 81,800, the 82K support line was broken just like that. $ETH fell below 2,500, 2,446 is precarious, and 2,400 is just ahead. $SOL failed to break 110 and is now sitting at 105.66.
The panic is real.
The US Dollar Index surged to an 18-month high, short positions in the derivatives market surged, longs were liquidated one after another, and oil prices added to the chaos—WTI broke $94, Brent surged to $107, with the market worried that inflation data will be pushed higher again.
But smart money is doing the exact opposite.
Strategy bought another 250 $BTC last week at an average price of $86,194, bringing total holdings to 848,000 coins. Note this price—it’s significantly higher than the current market price. They are adding positions during the decline, not just talking.
An anonymous whale sold 410 $BTC (about $34.16M) on Hyperliquid and immediately bought 14,341 $ETH (about $36.14M) on DEX. They directly swapped from BTC to $ETH, showing a very clear directional bet.
Hong Kong today listed the second spot $SOL ETF, Pando Solana ETF (2831.HK), bringing the global $SOL spot ETF net assets to about $1.9 billion. New capital inflows are opening, but $SOL is falling—this divergence is worth watching.
Everyone is focused on Wednesday’s CPI.
The market expects overall inflation to hit around 3.7%, driven by gasoline price increases, with core CPI expected to hold steady near 2.4%. Deutsche Bank’s analysis is more detailed: overall CPI may rise 0.57% month-over-month, but core CPI only 0.16%, with year-over-year core CPI dropping from 2.45% to 2.39%. Headline data is hot, core data is cooling.
If core inflation really cools down, this round of sell-off might be an overreaction.
Key levels:
→ $BTC $80.4K, the last line of defense, breaking it won’t look good
→ $ETH $2,400, rebound or free fall
→ $SOL $110, only recovery counts as a turnaround
Core inflation is cooling, geopolitical panic is being priced in, smart money is buying.
Fear has already been released early. Are you selling along or buying along?
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, rate hike expectations face a test #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress pending confirmation #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what else to watch in the October 15 earnings report? Big drop → rebound → small drop → surge, every time rushing to short before the rebound is complete, too impatient, position too heavy! PUMP spot price dropped about 14.3% in 24 hours, with the perpetual funding rate currently at +0.005%. OKX spot price at 8:41 Beijing time is $0.004871, with a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $10.22 million. The next funding rate settlement is at 12:00, and the current figure may still change.
The complete hourly candle at 6:00 had a trading volume of about $1.52 million, 3.6 times that of 5:00, with the price falling from $0.005106 to $0.004999. At 7:00, it closed again at $0.004971. The 8:00 candle, not yet closed, has touched $0.004859, marking a new low in these three hours. My judgment is that there is not enough evidence to confirm a bottom yet.
The most easily misread indicator is the funding rate. A positive value does not prove that bulls are still adding positions, nor can it be taken alone as a reversal signal. I am more focused on whether the next complete hourly candle can close back above $0.004999 and whether the trading volume can exceed about $408,000 at 7:00; if both occur simultaneously, I will reassess my bearish bias.
$PUMP ETH: Short liquidations reached $569 million, yet some are still increasing their short positions
An intriguing phenomenon: ETH is currently at 2425.72, down 4.08%, but the market sentiment shows 82% of traders are shorting. In the past 24 hours, short liquidations hit $569 million, 4.2 times that of long liquidations.
What changed? The price dropped from 2497 to 2411, with 82% of accounts betting on further declines, but shorts have been massively liquidated. The funding rate remains positive (0.00217%), meaning shorts are still paying to hold their positions.
Why is this noteworthy? A long-short ratio of 82:18 signals an extremely crowded short position, which in such a structure could actually fuel a price rebound. However, the 10-year US Treasury yield has climbed to 5.3%, indicating macro pressure is not favoring the bulls.
Which observation is more supported? Currently, it looks more like a passive short covering phase after crowded shorts rather than the start of a trend down. Around 2411 is short-term support, and above 2490 is a dense short liquidation zone.
What to watch next: The October 14 CPI. Will the 82% short positions be waiting for a breakout or a second short squeeze? $ETH ENA 24h -15.7% hovering near the low point
Standard Chartered Bank will custody Ripple stablecoins in Dubai and support direct trading. Checked $ENA, 0.204 USDT, 24h -15.7%. These moves by external institutions have nothing to do with it.
24h high 0.2475 USDT, low 0.2026 USDT. The current price is almost sticking to the low point, sliding down from the high and still hasn't recovered.
Single-day amplitude 18.5%, total daily turnover 9.19 million USDT. The range for the day is indeed significant, with considerable market activity.
7 days -14.3%, similar to today's drop, basically caused by this fall. The contract rate has reached -0.0085%, shorts are paying longs.
Looking laterally at related coins, $SOL 24h -6.3%, $ZEC 24h -10.8%. Both are declining but their pullbacks are not as deep as this one.
Legzi reminds Legzi community: the price is now dead close to the low point, the rate has turned negative, so keep some margin when watching the market; don’t rush to catch the fall just because it’s dropping a lot. ⚔️ What is the core driving force behind the surge and sustained high level of U.S. Treasury yields? What is the impact on the prices of interest-free assets like Bitcoin and gold?
Currently, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is around 5.24%, and the 30-year is around 5.60%.
Whether yields continue to rise depends in the short term on Wednesday's U.S. CPI data, but medium-term pressure remains.
The core consists of four driving factors, intertwined like a rope.
First: AI giants are "grabbing money" in the bond market.
Mega cloud providers are aggressively issuing bonds this year to finance AI infrastructure. Goldman Sachs predicts that AI-related bond issuance could reach $420 billion next year.
The key is: investors buying these corporate bonds will sell Treasury futures to hedge interest rate risk. Each sale pushes Treasury yields higher.
Second: The fiscal deficit shows no signs of braking.
For fiscal year 2026, the U.S. deficit is about $2 trillion, exceeding 6% of GDP.
The national debt is approaching $39 trillion.
The Treasury's bond issuance calendar is fully packed.
With too much supply, yields can only go up.
Third: High oil prices keep inflation expectations elevated.
Middle East conflicts have pushed Brent crude above $104.
Core inflation remains stuck near 3%, well above the 2% target.
As a result, the market does not believe the Federal Reserve will cut rates soon.
Fourth: Term premium is soaring, with the market demanding higher risk compensation.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury term premium has surged to a 12-year high.CPI hasn't been released yet, but prices have already settled.
$BTC is reported at 83406, $ETH at 2550, $SOL at 111.
What does this price level mean: staying flat, waiting for the number on the 14th.
Bloomberg's expectation is overall inflation going up, core inflation going down.
A common misunderstanding: core going down does not mean less pressure.
It just means oil prices haven't seeped into other items yet.
The 10-year US Treasury yield touched 5.36%, the 30-year is the highest since 2002.
With interest rates still high, risk assets can't lift their heads.
The market gives only a 17% chance of a rate hike in October, but 71.6% in December.
I originally thought inflation easing would bring relief, but it doesn't.
The premise for relief is yields bowing first.
Without that premise, sideways movement will continue.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% $BTC $ETH $CORE core circulating supply went from 71.46% the day before yesterday back to 70.45%. I just want to know where the coins released daily before went? The more they release, the less there is. This is really sophisticated play. My brain is a bit short-circuited now, I really can't figure it out. Does anyone know, brothers?BTC Liquidations: $586 million long positions wiped out in 24 hours
In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw $672 million liquidated, with $586 million in long positions, accounting for 87%. 144,000 people were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Binance BTCUSDT, valued at $9.65 million.
What changed? The price dropped from 82,738 to 81,211, a decline of 1.49%, but the long-to-short account ratio was as high as 87%:13%—almost everyone was long.
Why is this noteworthy? This is not a short squeeze, but a long squeeze caused by the longs themselves. 87% of people bet long in the same direction, yet the price moved opposite by 1.49%. The funding rate remains positive (0.00217%), indicating the remaining traders are still paying fees to hold their positions, not giving up.
Which observation is more supported? Currently, it looks more like a passive deleveraging phase for leveraged longs rather than the start of a trend reversal to the downside. Support begins below 82,000, but the resistance at 83,400 has not been tested.
Next focus: October 14 CPI data. Will those still holding wait for relief, or face a second wave of liquidations? $BTC Just switched the software to the background, and it suddenly plunged down, are you playing hide and seek with me? When the market was just smashed in the early session, $DOT rebounded weakly with low trading volume, no one was there to catch it going up.
I saw strong resistance above, continued to short around 1.2523, the only tip was: don't chase longs, wait until it runs out of strength. As a result, the price dropped all the way from 1.2523 to 1.1271, short position +500.27%, nailed the rhythm, really satisfying.
First take profit on 80%, pocket what you should, keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don't give back the profit.
Being out of position is not a sin, opening random positions is the mistake.
The premise of compounding is survival; the shortcut to getting rich often leads to zero.
For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify you immediately. Wait for the new structure to appear before deciding.
$DOGE $XRP 📊$BTC current price $81,408, I still hold a long position opened at $83,030, currently at a floating loss. The funding rate is still positive, longs are still paying, and with open interest decreasing, the sentiment isn't good. I'm leaning bearish this round, looking for an opportunity to short. A) If the price rebounds to $82,859 but fails to hold above it, and then breaks below the $80,166 support, the downtrend will continue, targeting the $79,896-$80,400 liquidity zone; if it holds above $82,859, this bearish view is invalid. B) If it stabilizes near $80,166 first and then holds above $82,859 as support, look for a rebound to $83,172 or even $83,515; breaking below $80,400 invalidates this. The $83,515 level has been tested 16 times with 8 holds, so there's significant resistance above. Plan: take half profits at $80,400, move the stop loss of the remaining position to the cost price. Next, will it continue to drop or first consolidate and recover? #OKXTraderVoices BTC: 87% of people are long, yet the price dropped 1.49%
An extreme signal: The BTC order book long-short account ratio reached 87%:13%, with almost everyone betting on a rise. But in the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $672 million, of which $586 million were long liquidations, accounting for a high 87%.
What changed? The price fell from 82,738 to 81,211, a drop of 1.49%, yet the funding rate remains positive (0.00217%)—the bulls are still paying to hold their positions.
Why is this worth noting? Retail positions are extremely crowded on the long side, but the price fell instead of rising. This indicates that active buying is continuously being absorbed, and selling pressure is real. The 10-year US Treasury yield has climbed to 5.3%, and a stronger dollar is suppressing risk assets; the macro environment is not supporting the bulls.
Which observation is more supported? In the short term, it looks more like a passive deleveraging phase after long crowding rather than active shorting. Buy orders start to gather below 82,000, but resistance at 83,400 remains unbroken.
Next focus: October 14 CPI. With 87% of long positions, will they dare to hold through this data? $BTC 1. Survival comes first
2. Everything ultimately is a game of emotions
3. Greed prevails, proving that you are driven more by greed than by fear
4. Fear makes you want to escape, but sometimes you have to take risks
5. Good money management creates wealth
6. Large funds are not for placing big bets
7. Start from the expectation of loss
8. Your wealth will come from your focus
9. When hesitating, confused, and unable to decide, please refer to the first point. Let me tell you, last night's market had me slapping my thigh. BTC touched 84,250 overnight, just about a hundred dollars short of the 84,355 line, then suddenly got pushed back to 81,636, a swing of over 2,600 dollars. Even more intense was the liquidation: yesterday I said there was only 65.54 million left, no more juice to squeeze, but today I woke up to 348 million, longs and shorts both taking hits — the slap in the face came fast. Here's the conclusion first. BTC current price 81,782, down about 2.3% in 24 hours; ETH is worse, currently 2,449, down 3.4%, just lost the 2,500 it had regained in a day. In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the network reached 348 million USD, longs 195 million, shorts 152 million — yesterday it was 65.54 million, today it's more than 5 times that. The core is one sentence: oil prices surged overnight to 107 dollars combined with tomorrow night's CPI release, the market got slapped on both sides, and leverage on both ends was cleaned out. Why this move? Two things overlapped. The first is technical: BTC surged overnight, some shorts around 84,000 were squeezed out, price pushed up to 84,250 — just about a hundred dollars short of the 84,355 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. Then sell orders piled up: this line hasn't been crossed since early October, all orders stacked here, price pulls back as soon as it touches. The second is news: Zelensky accused Russia of stillThere are two teachers in the crypto circle who should jointly apply for the Nobel Prize in Economics.
Peter Schiff: Bitcoin is doomed sooner or later.
Michael Saylor: Bitcoin represents the future.
When Bitcoin rises, the bullish teacher is right.
When Bitcoin falls, the bearish teacher is right.
When Bitcoin moves sideways, both sides are waiting for the market to prove themselves right.
The most amazing thing is that the market can repeatedly prove them wrong, but the teachers' faith never gets liquidated.
I suggest that from now on, whenever any crypto influencer predicts a price, they should also write:
Under what circumstances would you consider your judgment wrong?
Otherwise, this is not financial analysis.
This is two different sects fighting for the authority to interpret finance. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
CPI and PPI are about to be released, and the interest rate hike expectations face a critical test, with BTC's short-term trend being highly sensitive.
The US September CPI will be announced on October 14 (Wednesday) at 08:30 ET (20:30 Beijing time), followed by the PPI on the 15th (Thursday) at the same time. The market expects the headline CPI year-on-year to be about 3.6%-3.7% (previous value 3.4%), month-on-month 0.6%; core CPI year-on-year about 2.5%, month-on-month 0.2%. PPI month-on-month is expected to be around 0.5%.
The impact path on BTC is clear: inflation data → interest rate hike expectations → real yields and the dollar → risk appetite. Core data is key. If core CPI/PPI is below expectations (especially core CPI month-on-month ≤0.2%), it will reduce the probability of further rate hikes, real yields and the dollar will fall back, risk assets will get a breather, and BTC is expected to test the $85,000-$87,000 range. If core data is hotter, it will strengthen the "higher for longer" narrative, even increasing the probability of a rate hike in October, yields and the dollar will strengthen, BTC support at $82,500 may be lost, potentially dropping to $80,000 or even lower. If data meets expectations, bulls and bears will hedge, most likely maintaining a range-bound oscillation, but volatility will significantly increase. August 13: 💥💥💥💥💥 Today's main token analysis!
1 $BTC This morning it has further dropped from the early report's $82,400 to about $81,500, down about 2.65% in 24 hours, with a low near $81,200. Binance BTC OI is about 93,200 contracts, Funding remains around +0.0063%, indicating that although this round of decline has cleared some positions, the long leverage has not been completely washed out. The previous short-term support at $82,200 has failed, now looking again at $80,000–$81,000.
2. ETH and $SOL continue to be significantly weaker than BTC. ETH is about $2,432 this morning, down about 4.2% in 24 hours; SOL about $104.6, down nearly 6%. ETH/BTC has fallen below 0.03, indicating that funds are still actively reducing Alt Beta. Currently, there is no condition supporting a full alt season; without BTC stabilizing first, alt rebounds are prioritized as trades rather than trends.
3. $HYPE has dropped to about $80.9 this morning, down about 6.7% in 24 hours, with a low near $80.45, the first time truly approaching the low region we've been watching for several days. More notably, Funding has turned negative, OI is about 4.18 million contracts, the structure is much more comfortable than above $90. $79–$81 can be the first observation zone, $76–$78 is more comfortable, but do not rush in if BTC continues to break down. 🎯 SETUP FACEOFF
$RAVE: support 0.1629 | resistance 0.1818
$PUMP: support 0.004866 | resistance 0.006036
Verdict: $RAVE is pressing closer to resistance (13% of its range). Breakout or rejection—which setup is cleaner?
$RAVE $PUMP
#crypto
⚠️ NFA — manage risk and DYOR.Last night's breakout was disproved. BTC peaked at 84352, then crashed directly in the early morning hours, currently around 81900, down over 2% in 24 hours, hitting a low of 81800. ETH is down 4% at 2430, SOL down 7% at 104, with strong coins experiencing the harshest catch-up declines. As mentioned yesterday, if it doesn't reclaim above 83500, treat it as a false breakout. The market voted with its feet in the early morning, and those chasing at 84000 were left hanging again. This is the significance of not entering before confirmation. Now the market has returned to the familiar script; the 82500 to 83500 range hasn't broken out but rather pulled back after a false breakout upwards. This pattern reflects short-term bearish sentiment because funds chasing highs are trapped above. A rebound to 83000-83500 will first face selling pressure from those trying to break even. But there's no need to panic. Watch two levels: first, 81000, near last week's consolidation lower boundary—holding on low volume indicates just a pullback; second, 80000 to 80400, previous lows and a secondary buying zone. As long as this area doesn't break down effectively, the double bottom structure is even more solid. The real warning is if volume surges to break below 80000 and fails to recover, meaning the 80400 wick isn't the bottom, and the next support is at 78000. In terms of strategy, hold your spot positions without adding or reducing. The buying discipline remains unchanged: buy near 80000 without hesitation, but only after volume contracts and stabilization is confirmed by seeing support. Don't rush to bottom-fish in futures; catching falling knives and chasing highs are equally dangerous during a downtrend. Before the US stock market opens today, first see if 81000 holds, then watch the attitude around 80000 tonight. Staying put is the best move for now. Near 2460 on October 13, BTC2 short by Qingcang Kong, defend at 2500, target 2405/2360
For those wanting to go long, wait for stabilization near 2400 before entering, defend at 2350, target 2460/2500.
BTC2 has been continuously falling in the short term, current price 2423 still weak, 2460-2500 is resistance above, first watch for support near 2405, if broken, continue to look for downside space.
Strong USD, high oil prices, combined with Middle East shipping risks and US CPI on Wednesday, any news changes could accelerate the market at any time.
9 years trading experience, do not chase sharp drops, look for positions on rebounds.
Direction is important, but risk control must be in place. $ETH $ZEC $W #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #俄乌或达成“能源停火”协议，进展待确认 #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ Microsoft plans to build 1 million AI chips on its own. Does this have anything to do with the crypto world?
First question: Whose turf is it taking?
NVIDIA. Microsoft doesn’t want to keep paying tolls to Huang (NVIDIA’s CEO), so developing its own chips means cooking its own meals.
Second question: What does this have to do with the crypto market?
Honestly, not much direct connection. But AI narratives are one of the engines driving this market cycle, and Microsoft doubling down shows the computing power arms race hasn’t stopped; the story continues.
Last question: Should short-term traders panic?
No need. This news doesn’t directly impact crypto prices; it’s more background noise for market sentiment.
What really matters is where the money flows, not how many nanometers the chips use.
To be fair, everyone wants to get on the AI train, but whether crypto tokens can rise along with it depends on whether the funds agree.
Don’t just rush in when you see the word “AI”; first check if the market gives you the green light.
#OpenAI revenue recognition controversy, AI investment returns under scrutiny
#How to upgrade blockchain security under AI and quantum threats? #ASML Q3 earnings announced October 14, EUV orders in focus $NVDA This market pullback is not caused by a single event. There is no new incremental information from macro or industry perspectives; it looks more like existing funds are actively deleveraging themselves. Once liquidity expectations become unclear, high Beta assets are sold off first. ETH's decline is greater than BTC's, and the risk appetite contraction is already reflected in the market. Without new narratives to support it, early profit-taking and high-leverage positions are prone to chain reductions, so prices can only seek more solid transaction support downward.
BTC is currently stuck below $82,000, which is a key battleground. The $80,000 level below is a psychological integer barrier; a decisive break below it could open the way to test $78,000. The $85,000 level above is short-term resistance; only by firmly reclaiming it can we say the correction is over and a new strength phase begins.
ETH is at $2,435, down 2.14% in 24 hours, weaker than BTC, and the ETH/BTC ratio continues to decline. The next key support below is $2,400; losing it would increase the risk of further decline. The resistance above is $2,600; do not lightly talk about a reversal before reclaiming this level.
HYPE is at $80, down 4.66% in 24 hours, with a decline significantly larger than mainstream assets. This coin has relatively thin liquidity and is clearly driven by sentiment. It has strong rebound elasticity but also amplifies losses when falling. Chasing highs carries high risk, so positions must be strictly controlled.
A decline without new narratives tests position management the most. If BTC holds $80,000, then a rebound can be discussed; if it breaks below, risk exposure should be reduced accordingly.
$ETH $BTC $HYPE Who understands, family? Woke up to the sky falling 💔
Long position opened at 2686.31, woke up to it dropping straight to 2431.34.
This is the worst loss since entering the market, lying in bed for half a day unable to recover.
But don’t panic yet, first steady your mindset, endure slowly, there will be a day of recovery. #Russia-Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are in the October 15 earnings report? #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? $BTC $ETH $ZEC Crude oil prices surged to 107, and the entire crypto market shifted from a structural rally to indiscriminate decline 😂, so let's defend first.
1. The three major macro obstacles are now hard to resolve: the 30-year US Treasury yield hit 5.70%, a new high since 2002; oil prices are nearly approaching $110; $BTC ETFs saw a net outflow of nearly $400 million in October.
I originally thought BTC would fluctuate between 82,000 and 81,000 yesterday, but with a risk-free yield at 5.7%, it directly broke below 82,000.
2. Even the speculative coins that occasionally rose last week have mostly undergone significant pullbacks. For example, the three speculative coins from last week $STRK /MAGIC/$NEAR are all being heavily sold today.
Moreover, these speculative coins are dropping much harder than mainstream coins, which is normal. I just said yesterday that they were being heavily speculated on, and the cooling off starts from the most crowded places.
However, I’m quite surprised they’re falling today; I thought the hype would last a few more days since I expected the market to trend upward with fluctuations this week.
CPI data is about to be released, so I’ll wait for the data before deciding. If it falls below 80,000 now, I’ll buy some more at the bottom.The 24-hour decline of SOL has become quite noticeable, but more important than how much it has dropped is understanding: where exactly does the current price stand within this fluctuation? As of 08:31 Beijing time on October 13, 2026, the latest spot trading price of SOL/USDT on OKX is 103.82 USDT, with a rolling 24-hour drop of about 6.69%. During the same period, the highest price was 113.4 USDT and the lowest was 103.05 USDT. Looking at these numbers together reveals a very intuitive phenomenon: the latest price is already close to the 24-hour low, and noticeably farther from the high. What does this mean? Don’t rush to judge the direction yet. 1️⃣ The decline tells you the change, the position tells you the situation Many people, when looking at the market, habitually check the price change first. Seeing a drop of about 6.69%, the first reaction might be that it has fallen quite a bit and wonder if a rebound is coming next. But the decline itself cannot answer this question. The 24-hour price change describes the latest price relative to the reference price 24 hours ago, while the highest and lowest prices reflect the two extremes that the actual transaction prices have reached during this period. They answer different questions. The current SOL price of 103.82 USDT is closer to 103.05 USDT rather than 113.4 USDT. This indicates that within the current observation window, the price is still at a relatively low position. However, being close to the low does not mean the low has been defended, nor does it mean the downside space has disappeared. 2️⃣ The current price is below the hourly close STRK 4h, current price 0.08695
Resistance 0.09709, support 0.08249
After a previous surge, it has continued to decline, with the price having fallen below all short-term EMAs, currently in a correction channel, following the overall market weakness. A rebound that holds above the 0.09709 resistance level is needed to have a chance to reverse the short-term downtrend; if it breaks below the 0.08249 support, further decline is expected.
News: The market is re-evaluating the Starknet ecosystem, discussing its L1 transformation expectations and narrative shortcomings, combined with the current market sell-off, leading to capital flight for risk aversion.
$BTC $ZEC $W
#CPI and PPI announcements imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
#Russia and Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are expected in the October 15 earnings report? The cooked duck has flown away, and I even lost some rice on top. Staring at the market, I really want to give myself a shake—why can't I take profits every time I’m in the green?
$BTC current price 82,480, down 1.4%. It touched 84,200 in the early morning, my account briefly turned positive, and I was planning to push a bit more before exiting. Hesitated for a few seconds, then a big bearish candle smashed it down to 82,300. The breakeven line at 83,800 turned from underfoot to a ceiling. Profit turned into loss, all with just one candle from the main force.
$SOL current price 110.8, down 2.3%. Watching it slide down from 116, I thought it could rebound, but it got stuck halfway down the slope. I placed an order at 112.5, now just above 110, the daily drop was straightforward. Thought I was picking up a bargain, but actually caught a flying knife. The big players seem to be watching my small position closely; every time I buy, it crashes.
$ETH current price 2,515, down 0.5%. Ethereum still has the old problem: it never misses a drop but always plays dead on the rise. It touched 2,560 then softened back, I added two lots, just breathing along with the market. Already worn down with no temper, gains and losses are left to fate.
In the end, greed plus slow hands—these two are what the market specializes in punishing. Next time I profit, I’ll pocket half first and push the rest to breakeven. Don’t let the meat in your mouth fly away again.
Just personal venting, not investment advice.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test
#Russia and Ukraine may reach an "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress to be confirmed
#Voice of Trading: Your experience deserves to be heard Good morning everyone, I originally wanted to post earlier, but around 7 o'clock, the market continued to drop, so I decided to wait until the market stabilizes a bit before posting.
1. BTC/USDT Perpetual / $BTC
BTC continues to fall toward our target price.
Yesterday I predicted there would be a second wave of rise to get closer to the upper trendline, but the price fell back instead.
It's okay, during this time, I didn't hold any long or short BTC positions because the space is limited.
So let's wait and see how the price performs around 80000; this is a place to try going long, with a stop loss at 79500.
If it breaks down, we will continue to see 78000.
For those who need to build spot positions, you can continue to do so now, but as you know, don't fully load your spot positions at once; leave 20%-30% and continue to add gradually later.
2. ETH/USDT Perpetual $ETH
I already reduced half of my ETH position last night.
Because I expected BTC to test upward a bit, driving ETH to rebound slightly, then fall.
This is actually fine; ETH has already reached my target take-profit level this morning, so I took full profit.
Of course, I will continue to watch the price reaction at 2400; I might go long again in the next couple of days, and this time the position can be a bit heavier.
3. SOL/USDT Perpetual $SOL
Trading SOL is cost-inefficient; consider buying spot instead!400亿美元的回购，说停就停了。
昨晚存储股集体跳楼，美光跌破1000，闪迪跌了6个点，海力士跌3个点，费城半导体跟跌2个多点，大饼被砸到81247。
今晨答案才出来，三星和SK海力士把史上最大规模的回购计划提前终止了，400亿美元，不买了。
回购是什么？是这轮存储行情的地基。公司自己下场买自己，等于告诉市场，我家股票便宜，我来兜底。现在兜底的撤了，比什么利空都吓人。
还有个细节更要命。长鑫科技宣布4F²架构突破，单元架构上领先韩国巨头两年。一边停回购，一边被追兵咬上，韩国双雄这画面很难看。地基没了，楼盖得再漂亮也得晃。
我空过SNDK，被1791那根阳线教育过，从那以后我看存储只看一件事，价格里装了多少预期。现在不止预期装满了，地基还在抽。财报好是真的，回购停也是真的，两个都是真的，但价格只听后面那个。
存储这条线我盯了一个多月，第一次说，短期别碰了。不是不看好，是地基抽掉之后，得重新打，急不来。
大家觉得，回购终止是利好出尽，还是周期见顶？
#波动雷达：币种异动观察 $SNDK $BTC $ETH 早上六点半起来，看了眼 $ZEC ，价格 1208，达到了昨天的心理预期买入价，子账户梭哈 6 倍做多；起床刷牙的时间看了一眼，弹出 $BTC 跌破 82000 的提示，$ZEC 也已经浮亏 150 刀；没有任何指标依据，就是个主观判断，其他币都会被大饼带偏，果断止损清仓，并返手开了半仓的空单，浮盈 298 刀，因为要上班，没法继续盯盘，止盈平仓，空仓中Good morning brothers! Yesterday's signal already rebounded to resistance, so be aware that it will retest the support again. If it can't break above 84500, it will only be a regular rebound without a direct breakout. Currently, it looks like it will perfectly complete this second retest. The key support for the second retest remains at 80000. If 80K holds steady, it will continue to oscillate; if it breaks below here, a regular correction will follow. The target for the regular correction is 75000-78000. Reaching this range is still a buying opportunity. For the short term, focus on the strength of the second retest. It hasn't ended yet. This is just my personal opinion for reference!On Monday, the US stock market opened (Columbus Day, bond market closed), overall value rotation overshadowed the surface calm of the indices. The Dow can rise, the Nasdaq is dragged down by tech, and the S&P is almost flat, indicating that funds are avoiding high valuations and seeking certainty rather than a full exit. The Dow Jones closed at 51850.55, up 195 points, +0.38%. The S&P 500 closed at 7807.24, down 4 points, -0.06%, just shy of the October 6 high. The Nasdaq closed at 27245.90, down 120 points, -0.44%. The Russell 2000 fell 0.45%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropped about 2.7%, with the tech sector being the main drag. Eight sectors closed higher, led by energy up about 1.4%-1.5%, with consumer staples and communication services also strong, and financials seeing some buying ahead of bank earnings. Trading volume was noticeably light, reflecting the holiday effect. The market was focused on two things. First, the Middle East risk premium. The Houthi forces attacked Riyadh airport over the weekend and affected oil tankers, pushing Brent crude to around $106.65, up about 1.8%, with energy stocks following suit. Second, AI hardware gave back gains at high levels. Optical and storage-related names continued to digest previously overly optimistic expectations; Lumentum fell nearly 10% in one day, after surging due to "capacity sold through 2029," the market is now questioning delivery and return pace. Software was relatively better; Salesforce rose about 2% after a Bank of America upgrade. The aftermath of OpenAI's revenue discrepancy (about $50 billion versus previously higher figures) is still ongoing, and funds are becoming more selective about pure AI infrastructure stories.10.13 BTC near 82000 with Qingcang support, defense at 82700, targets 80800/80300. Brothers who missed the support yesterday still have a chance to get in today.
Those wanting to go long can wait near 80000 for stabilization, defense at 79400, targets 81200/82000.
BTC 1H has fallen from 86976 continuously, lowest wick at 80344, currently 81422 is just a weak rebound, moving averages are in a bearish alignment, 82000-82500 is resistance above, 80300 is the immediate key support.
USD is strengthening, oil price breaks through 107 dollars, combined with Middle East situation and this week's CPI, any slight change in news could accelerate the market again.
9 years of trading experience: don't chase sharp drops, only look for positions on rebounds.
Don't get thrown off by others making profits; real opportunities require a plan to seize. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #CPI and PPI releases imminent, interest rate hike expectations face tests #Russia-Ukraine may reach "energy ceasefire" agreement, progress pending confirmation #TSMC Q3 revenue hits new high, what to watch in the October 15 earnings report? Before the rate hike, Ethereum surging? I don't believe it.
Conclusion straight up: it won't break through.
Looking at volume, it rebounded about 150 points from 2406 to 2564, but the 4-hour volume actually shrank, and buying power can't keep up. The 2560-2600 area above is a dense zone of trapped positions, combined with the 30-day moving average resistance, every time it approaches it becomes a point for shorts to add positions.
The funding situation is worse: BitMine stopped increasing ETH holdings, validators exiting the queue surged from 166,000 to 851,000, and a large amount of staked ETH will unlock in the next two weeks. Supply increases, demand decreases.
The Fed minutes show most officials support continuing rate hikes, liquidity will only tighten further.
So this rebound looks more like handing chips to the shorts. My short position at 2671 is still open, with a floating profit of 400%. If it breaks 2600, I will add to my position. The short-term support below is 2497; if it breaks, look for 2400.
Surging before the rate hike? I don't believe it.
$BTC $ETH $MAGIC
#TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? Crypto Circle Morning Express｜10.13
Morning.
$BTC total market cap has climbed back above 4 trillion, up about 5.6% overall in the past 24 hours. Around 216 million USD worth of liquidations occurred network-wide in the last hour, mostly short positions.
A few key points:
1. Binance has compensated 283 million USD to users affected by USDe de-pegging; the previously seen “zero price” in spot was just a display bug, not an actual asset wipeout.
2. Fed voting member Harker stated: policy will shift toward tightening, favoring smaller, more frequent rate adjustments.
3. The UK High Court ruled on the Qian Zhimin (Blue Sky Gree) case: the recovery of 61,000 BTC is subject to Chinese law, involving about 4.1 billion GBP, and victims are unlikely to receive subsequent appreciation.
4. The FSB (Financial Stability Board) warned: global stablecoins have yet to face a major stress test; cross-border regulatory monitoring needs strengthening.
5. HKEX today launched Pando’s second spot SOL ETF, ticker 2831.HK, with a 0.6% management fee, no staking, no leverage.
On trading, QCP’s view: the options market currently shows a mix of defensive and bullish sentiment. If it can firmly break above 87k, the next target is 94k. There is about 180 million USD of sell orders stacked near 84,500, with buy support at 82,000.
This week’s main events remain Powell’s speech and the CPI data.ETH一夜闪崩4.2%！2411血洗近10亿，谁在凌晨屠杀多头？
屠杀规模有多大？
据CoinGlass数据，最近1小时全市场 1.45亿美元 被清算，其中多单占比高达 97.5%，空头几乎毫发无伤。过去24小时ETH单币种爆仓 5814万美元，多单占64%。2411这个低点，正好击穿了此前提到的 2401美元 关键清算带——若继续下破，主流CEX累计多单清算强度将达 5.53亿美元。
三重压力同时引爆：
① 中东火药桶再燃。胡塞武装袭击沙特石油设施，布伦特原油升至 107.25美元，WTI突破 94美元，通胀担忧重燃，风险资产集体挨刀。
② 美债收益率创24年新高。10年期美债收益率触及 5.36%，30年期升至2002年以来最高水平，持有无息资产的机会成本骤增。
③ ETF连续9日失血。上周ETH现货ETF净流出 5.42亿美元，其中贝莱德ETHA单周流出 4.77亿美元，创今年最差纪录。 一觉醒来，$BTC 又重新到了8w1这个位置了，那看来我的$BTC 多单平的是非常好，否则要亏450u起步。
做单还是要看长级别（4小时k起步），开比特币多单是因为一小时k站上了120日均线，但是那个时候四小时k其实是碰到120均线后有急速触顶回落的信号。
也就是说中级别和大级别有信号不统一的情况，这个时候要尽可能关注大级别，中小级别实在是噪音干扰太多了。
同时我的两个空单$MAGIC 和bome开始浮盈，bome从0.001空到了0.00077，感觉向下空间有限了，考虑找个合适时机给它平了！
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 I monitored 20 on-chain addresses and found a net sell-off of as much as 35 million pons. (Top 20 holdings on-chain, statistics as of September 30, excluding exchanges and pools, etc., up to today). This data looks quite overwhelming!
From the data on October 11, daily transaction fees and protocol revenue decreased by 25.14% and 21.4% respectively compared to the previous day. The data is still too poor; there's no choice, the drop was inevitable.Liquidation countdown: (life extension version).
At 08:26 this morning, waking up, these two positions are still bleeding, and the health bars are even shorter.
SNDK, 50x leverage, estimated liquidation price 1084.4. Margin left only 9.28U, maintenance margin rate dropped from 692% to 569.82%. There is about 25% space left before liquidation, but with 50x leverage, if the price drops another 2%, the system will start the death stare. Yesterday it was said the neck was under the guillotine, today the blade is already pressed against the back of the neck.
ZHIPU, 10x leverage, return rate -172.90%, for ZHIPU, the liquidation price 50.55 is just a thin sheet of glass away. 10x leverage on small coins is not investing, it's like buying a lottery ticket, and one that you already know you won't win before the draw.
The most outrageous is the account structure. The two long positions in SNDK and ZHIPU are on life support in ICU, and the ETH and BTC longs are also bleeding.
So the liquidation countdown is not a scare tactic. SNDK liquidation price 1084.4, ZHIPU liquidation price 50.55, it still looks distant, but under the triple squeeze of small coins + high leverage + funding rate, a 20% drop in one day is like child's play.
#CPI and PPI announcements are imminent, interest rate hike expectations face a test #TSMC Q3 revenue hits a new high, what other highlights are there in the October 15 earnings report? #Institutions continue to position, why is BTC still under pressure? $BTC $ETH $ZEC Unity of knowledge and action, why is it so difficult?
Clearly, the MACD daily chart shows a bearish divergence, indicating a high probability of a market pullback, yet I still can't control my own hands.
When profitable, I am unwilling to take profits; after the price falls below the cost, I am reluctant to accept losses, choosing to hold the position and even cancel stop-loss orders. In the end, I even add to losing positions against the trend, trying to average down the cost, turning a light position into a heavy one, and the more I lose, the less willing I am to admit mistakes.
In fact, the market has given opportunities.
During the previous big drop, the market offered chances to rebound and reduce positions, but I did not cherish them. When Bitcoin rebounded to around the Fibonacci 0.618 level, it encountered resistance and formed a large bearish candle on the hourly chart, closing at the lowest point. These signals were clearly seen, but because of unwillingness, I chose to ignore them. The same mistakes keep repeating.
When prices rise, I fear missing out and blindly open positions; when prices fall, I fear admitting mistakes and refuse to stop losses; when losses expand, I try to recover by adding positions.
Ultimately, it’s not that I don’t understand the principles, but greed and fear have taken over.
Always hoping to double in a day or multiply tenfold in a week, yet unable to calmly accept a normal stop loss. Always wanting to catch every market move, but unwilling to admit that I can be wrong too.
What’s truly frightening is not the loss itself, but the continuous bigger mistakes made to avoid losses.
This time, I don’t want to comfort myself by blaming the market conditions.
Going forward, I won’t rush to recover losses or blindly pursue doubling. I will rebuild trading rules, learn to take profits, stop losses, and stay out of the market; no longer covering mistakes by adding positions, no longer avoiding losses by holding on.