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Today there was no headline news, but the information was very significant: Bank of America, Blackstone, Citibank, and Morgan Stanley jointly set up a $63 billion financing structure for Broadcom, specifically to support AI computing power capacity.
My first reaction was not optimism, but a chill down my spine. If a business is making money smoothly, it doesn't need the four major Wall Street firms to come together and create such a complex leverage structure to help you buy chips. A real money printer can burn cash just fine relying on its own cash flow. When investment banks start doing financial engineering for "buying computing power," it often means that relying solely on operating cash flow, this game is about to run out of steam.
This is not to say AI is doomed, but the financing method for this round of capital expenditure is shifting from "paying out of pocket" to "borrowing money in relay." Remembering this turning point is far more useful than remembering whose earnings report beat or missed expectations.Storage stocks are the hottest traps this week. SK Hynix will release its Q3 earnings after the market closes tomorrow and has also announced a special dividend of over ten billion USD, causing its stock price to rise by 4% tonight, followed by a 3% increase in Micron.
Despite the excitement, my view on storage remains unchanged: it is the tail end of this AI capital expenditure chain. When machines are buying frantically, memory shines the most, but once the pace of capital expenditure eases, the tail end is always the first to feel the chill. The biggest gains often coincide with the most fully priced expectations.
Below is my position allocation for you to see—not for you to copy. Earnings reports are binary events; no one should be too certain before the results come out, so I keep my size light and have a strict stop-loss. The risk appetite for $BTC is actually tied to this AI chain, so don’t treat it as an independent market.Positive news triggers a pullback? Don't just look at one candlestick for $DOGE 🐕📉
Dogecoin Labs has finally officially announced: MyDoge wallet, DogeOS, and Such App payment have completed integration. Once the news broke, $DOGE surged to $0.0838, then pulled back from the high, and today it’s back around $0.078. Someone in the group immediately sighed: why does the secondary market always "price in the good news" whenever the ecosystem makes a big move? 🤔
Actually, it's not surprising. Short-term derivative funds love to use news to pump and then cash out; hot money profits from volatility, not the ecosystem vision. But for the project, application layer mergers and infrastructure integration are qualitative changes that ferment over months or even years. MyDoge’s over 500,000 active users and DogeOS’s EVM compatibility layer may not immediately reflect in the coin price in the short term, but they are the solid foundation that sets DOGE apart from pure hype Meme. 🧱
So it looks like this now: short-term funds are unloading, while the long-term ecosystem is laying the groundwork. If you only focus on candlesticks lasting a few minutes, you’ll definitely get left behind. Clean up your desk and wait for the evening session funds to respond ☕️👀#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 #SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？ #SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？ Optimistic about Q3 itself (price and bits both rising, exceeding expectations is not difficult); but HBM4 is a "structural plus" for profitability rather than a "single-quarter leap," its more important value lies in supporting the continuation of high profit margins from the second half of the year through 2027 and delaying the cycle peak. Therefore, the stock price reaction after the earnings release depends on the Q4 guidance, especially dividends, and whether the market has already priced it in—if it is just "performance meeting expectations," the current weak trend may continue; if there is an above-expectation Q4 guidance plus buybacks/dividends, there is room for recovery. The above is information collation and analysis, not investment advice.📊 $BTC & $ETH: Three Key Checkpoints This Week
⚡ October 29 — FOMC: The baseline is to hold steady; the real focus is on the tone for December. If hawkish, risk assets will be pressured first, and crypto won't be able to stand apart.
📈 October 29 — PCE and Q3 GDP: Inflation continues to cool down, only then does $BTC have room to recover; if data sticks high, the rebound will be suppressed.
💰 October 30 — $11B $BTC Options Expiry: Large settlements tend to amplify volatility; the $83K–$85K range is the key focus for monitoring.
#OctFOMCDecisionThisWeek
In short: first watch the Fed's wording, then the inflation outlook, and finally guard against options expiry disruptions. #本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 #中东原油运输恢复，油价为何仍居高位？ Three large-cap crypto assets are telling three different valuation stories this week, and the divergences matter more than the price moves themselves. $ETH trades near 2318, down less than 1%, yet carries the heaviest liquidation load of the group at 41.86 million. Exchange outflows of 169,000 coins mark the largest in almost four months, but that bullish-sounding signal sits against October ETF redemptions above 1.2 billion dollars, now in a fourth consecutive week. The 2330 level failed to hooverall capital withdrawing and no new institutional long-term buying support. Market funds are waiting and watching for the Federal Reserve decision. Before the midterm election results are announced, it is difficult for the market to have a significant rebound.
Therefore, my personal trading strategy: short Bitcoin when it rebounds to 80500, targeting 79500-78500; short Ethereum when it rebounds to 2350, targeting 2300.
[The above views are for personal reference only and do not constitute 利At the fourth minute after perfusion stops, myocardial cells begin irreversible death.
The 40 billion GPU debt financing agreement on October 25th is essentially not financing, but a bypass surgery. SpaceX has two main blood supply trunks—Starlink subscription cash flow and launch service revenue. Dual perfusion allows it to maintain forward blood flow even when the credit market's aorta spasms. Meanwhile, more than 200 emerging AI cloud service providers mostly have only one vessel: computing power leasing. No collateral circulation.
This is the type of heart I am most wary of in preoperative assessments: the ejection fraction looks good, but the coronary artery has a single-vessel lesion with no compensatory pathway. Once the debt market clamps down on the main trunk, the distal myocardium immediately becomes ischemic. Musk himself read out the diagnosis—the credit has stopped perfusing computing power companies with no other income sources. This is not emotional fluctuation; this is perfusion pressure dropping to zero.
What’s more troublesome is the timing. The debt matures in the first half of 2027, which is a fixed reperfusion window. Myocardial ischemia has a time window; beyond that window, what is rescued is not contractile tissue but scar. The failure or consolidation of over 200 companies, translated into surgical terms, is necrotic tissue absorption and fibrosis—the market will not rebuild myocardium but will leave a non-beating patch in place.
I have seen too many such hearts. During preoperative talks, someone always asks if we can wait, wait for blood flow to recover on its own. We cannot. Ischemic myocardium does not self-heal; it only progresses from stunning to necrosis, from necrosis to transmural infarction. What really made me sit upright in front of the monitor was not the downward wave of the price curve but the synchronous widening of credit spreads—that signals rising central venous pressure and the start of pericardial effusion. Systolic pressure is still present, but stroke volume is already dropping.
Starlink and launch revenues have given this company an extracorporeal circulation machine, allowing it to complete operations even in cardiac arrest. Companies without this machine can only lie on the table, watching their perfusion time drain away second by second.
The distinction between compensation and decompensation has never been market cap but the number of blood supply sources. #spacex40bgpufinancingThe flow curve of the Strait of Hormuz has just started to rise, yet the load-bearing walls of the entire Middle East energy building are still cracking—this is not structural repair, it's merely hanging a curtain on the exterior wall. The Houthi forces claim missiles hit Saudi energy facilities and pipelines; Saudi Arabia confirms interception but damage has not been verified. Translated into construction site language: the rebar tying was photographed, but the concealed work has not been inspected, so no one should rush to remove the formwork.
The real foundation has never been the white paper; it is the physical routing of pipelines and the passage trajectories of fleets. The improvement in Hormuz flow looks like a main beam rebounding, but tanker rates and security costs remain high. This is temporary steel supports bearing the stress—until the supports are removed, costs won't come down. Brent closed at 116.72, WTI at 103.27; these two benchmark lines are not drawn by sentiment but are layered by every barrel of crude rerouted, every war risk premium, and every segment of pipeline outage risk.
Trump said the Iran conflict might end soon, which is equivalent to the client verbally promising early completion over drinks; Iran remains diplomatically open but no agreement has been reached, and the construction drawings haven't even been signed and sealed. The blueprint can be changed, but the load-bearing system cannot be altered by words. The Houthis' missiles are live loads, Saudi interceptions are energy-consuming nodes, and unverified damage means the structural calculations lack key parameters. As long as calculation items are missing, any "risk mitigation" is just facade decoration, not structural reinforcement.
Looking at the US stock token $xSKHY linkage, it is like an annex next to the main building, sharing the same bearing layer foundation. When energy prices fluctuate at high levels, the shear of risk premiums transmits through expected channels to the tokenized asset floor, causing follow-up settlement or local cracks. But whether the annex is safe is not judged by the curtain wall reflection but by whether the deformation joint between it and the main building is sufficient. Oil price volatility is that joint; if the gap is too narrow, the linkage becomes a rigid connection, and one shock causes all to crack.
What do design institutes fear most? The client taking renderings as as-built drawings, and temporary enclosures as permanent shear walls. The risks on the Middle East supply side are not smoothed over by news headlines but are pressed layer by layer into the foundation by pipeline wall thickness, fleet scheduling, insurance clauses, and geopolitical games. Flow recovery is just the concrete beginning to set; it is far from the formwork removal age. Tanker rates do not fall, security costs do not compress, and the so-called "mitigation" cannot even enter the load combination in the structural calculation book.
A foundation without concealed inspection records does not deserve to talk about lowering the benchmark. #OilFlowsRecover $100 held, $SOL looks fine. The lowest point on the last daily candle was about $99.88, closing at about $101.46. Looking only at the close, it is indeed still above $100.
But looking only at the close misses two things. First, fund flows are still outflowing. $SOL's ETF had a net outflow of about $17.3 million last week. This is the third consecutive week of outflows. The cumulative outflow in October is about $72.24 million. Second, technically it hasn't stabilized yet. $SOL is still below the 50-day moving average at about $105.99. The 200-day moving average at about $98.27 is just below. Futures open interest is about $6.2 billion, down from about $6.34 billion last week.
The network just completed the Alpenglow upgrade. Confirmation time was reduced from about 12 seconds to the target of about 150 milliseconds. The upgrade is real, but the price hasn't caught up yet, this needs to be distinguished.
So $100 is more like a psychological line now, not a safety line. If it breaks below $98.27, the next reference is about $86.67. Only by reclaiming $105.99 can it be considered to have stabilized again. $100 is the psychological line, $98.27 is the next challenge.SpaceX raised $40 billion and Musk warned of AI cloud credit cuts, reflecting that macro liquidity is being tightened by the AI narrative, putting pressure on risk appetite in the crypto market. SPCX is unlikely to remain unaffected. I judge the short-term trend to be slightly bearish with oscillation. On the four-hour chart, it has fallen more than 10% from 150.57, and the one-hour rebound is still 1.22% below the high, showing weak trend recovery; the top 10 order book buy-sell ratio is 0.66, with obvious selling pressure dominance, and the turnover is only 1.168 million, insufficient volume to support a reversal. The funding rate of 0.0057% remains positive, with 398,000 long positions still open and not withdrawn, indicating sentiment has not cleared, making the rebound prone to failure. Strategically, a light short position can be taken at a rebound to 149.65, with a stop loss at 151.35 and a target of 145.55; if it stabilizes near 144.95 on a pullback, a short-term long position can be taken, with a stop loss at 143.65 and a target of 148.35. Single position size should be controlled within 5%, and exit immediately if the position breaks.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$SPCX#SpaceX融资400亿美元，马斯克警告AI云断贷
#SpaceX融资400亿美元，马斯克警告AI云断贷
$SPCX On the eve of the FOMC: The market is not waiting for the decision, but for the words in December
$BTC is currently around $79,900 (Beijing time 04:05), slipping below $80,000 once again. It has dropped about 7% over the past week, but the real test is not tonight, but early Thursday morning.
According to FedWatch, the probability of the FOMC holding steady this time is about 90%, so there is little suspense; the real suspense lies in the roughly 80% chance of a rate hike in December, and whether Chairman Warsh will hint or tighten during the press conference. Jeff Mei from BTSE puts it bluntly: the decision itself is not important, what matters is the strength of the chairman's hint about the December rate hike.
Technically, QCP indicates: $BTC support at $78,000, resistance at $86,000; to restore buyer confidence, it must first reclaim $82,500. On the $ETH side, the spot ETF has seen net outflows for four consecutive weeks, with support around $2,150.
So before early Thursday morning, the tug-of-war around $80,000 will most likely continue—the direction will not be given by the decision, but by a single sentence.Day 47 of live trading, the account grew from 32,000 to 41,000, with stop losses triggered 3 times in between. Each stop loss and its screenshot are saved in the historical posts, you can look them up. What you can take away is a set of position management methods that never blew up the account, not just screenshots of returns.
I don't think BTC at 80,000 is the end point, but it is the consensus watershed. What really matters is not the price, but the two dividend-type Bitcoin ETFs submitted by Franklin Templeton. Spot ETFs solve the question of "can you buy," while dividend ETFs solve "how to get it into the reports after buying," which is much more attractive to pension funds and similar capital. The weight of this variable is much heavier than today's -0.7% drop.
I reduced ETH. The ETH/BTC rate is still going down, and the rebound at 2,318 is getting weaker each time. ENA's counter-trend +0.8% looks more like funds searching for alpha in small caps rather than flowing back to the mainstream. Currently, I hold 60% BTC, 20% ETH, and 20% cash, with ETH stop loss set at 2,180.
At this point, would you clear ETH to switch to BTC, or hold and wait for the rate to recover?
Follow me for daily public live trading positions and stop loss logic, I write honestly even when losing.
#OKXProphet Spot market weakens, contract longs hold firm: SOL funding rate turns negative, 76.4% of accounts still long! 📉
Signals from BTC, SOL, and XRP are inconsistent: prices are falling, but position structures diverge. 🧐
BTC | Price drops but positions increase, funding rate remains positive
BTC fell 3.7%, perpetual contract open interest rose to $7.72 billion, funding rate stays positive. Price decline with increased positions indicates new capital entering; whether it's bottom fishing or adding shorts is unclear for now. 📊
SOL | Funding rate turns negative, long-short structure splits
SOL's 8-hour average funding rate dropped to -0.021%. In the past 24 hours, longs liquidated about $17.3 million, shorts about $1 million. Notably, 76.4% of accounts remain long, but longs only account for 48.1% of active trading, showing a clear divergence between account direction and trading behavior. ⚠️
XRP | Undervalued, supply pressure persists
XRP's 365-day MVRV dropped to 0.92, indicating holders' average position value may be about 8% below cost. Exchange reserves still hold 11.81 billion tokens, valued around $15.7 billion. Undervaluation doesn't mean an immediate bottom, and reserves don't imply imminent selling. 🔍
Next, watch these three signals:
BTC: Whether open interest and positive funding rate persist during price drops; SOL: Whether the proportion of long accounts and active longs converge under negative funding; XRP: Whether MVRV and exchange reserves change in sync. 👀"Weekend Stuck in a Box"
The market these past two days has been a bit magical (｡•́︿•̀｡). The 24-hour volume clearly picked up over the weekend, but right after midnight on Sunday, trading seemed muted, instantly dropping gears. The price neither rises convincingly nor falls decisively; it just moves back and forth within a range, grinding patience away (￣▽￣)"
BTC has been stuck between 79,000 and 87,000 for two months, and ETH has also been sideways between 2,300 and 2,800 for two months. Two months is enough time for the market to complete a round of consolidation and brew a directional move. Whether it goes south or north still depends on what happens next. The bullish liquidity has already been swept once; whether it continues downward, I really can't guarantee (´･_･`)
The feeling now is: resistance above, support below, and patience being tested in the middle. Instead of guessing, it's better to wait for the market to give the answer itself. After all, in this stuck market, rushing is useless; first, keep your mindset steady (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧
$BTC $ETH
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议
#BTC现货ETF资金反复，市场买盘能否企稳？ The US stock market opened today, everyone can closely watch SPY
$SPY
The 100-day moving average, which is around the 760 level, if it holds, the bull market continues; if it breaks down, it will be quite troublesome.
This price level resistance combined with a mid-term moving average forms a "double support," where bulls and bears will both show their stance.
There could be three possible scenarios:
First, hold at 760 with a volume rebound.
If it pulls back to 758–760 and finds support, closing steadily above, it indicates the mid-term trend is intact. At this time, the pullback is a buying opportunity, prioritizing tech leaders with earnings beating expectations.
Second, oscillate around 760.
Earnings are mixed, and the market is waiting for macro data to set direction. At this time, chasing highs or selling lows is most discouraged; it's better to control position size and wait for a clear direction before acting.
Third, effectively break below 758 and fail to recover.
Losing the 100-day moving average means the mid-term structure weakens, and funds may accelerate withdrawal from tech stocks, shifting to defensive or value sectors like energy and finance.
At this point, reduce positions first and don’t rush to bottom-fish.
How to judge an "effective break"?
Look at the closing price, not an intraday wick;
Close below 758 for two consecutive trading days;
Volume expands on the break, and the rebound fails to recover above.🔥Traditional financial giants have started to back Bitcoin in the most "blunt" way, and this is actually quite interesting to ponder🤔
Franklin Templeton just completed the Nasdaq listing registration for two ETFs, effective October 27. The tickers are FBEQ and FIBT, initially 95% US stocks + 5% Bitcoin. The coolest part is the mechanism: the dividends you receive from the stocks are not paid out in cash; instead, on the day after the ex-dividend date at market open, the company uses the full dividend amount to buy Bitcoin for you.
What does this mean? You buy US stocks and receive dividends, but the compounding engine is quietly switched to BTC. During quarterly rebalancing, if Bitcoin's weight exceeds 5%, it is cut back to 4.5%; if it spikes over 20%, forced reduction happens within two days. FBEQ's management fee is only 0.09%, with no 12b-1 fees, clearly aiming to capture scale.
Why is this clever? It neither forces you to open a wallet nor deal with custody, and it embeds "long-term holding" into the product structure. Traditional financial pipelines are starting to pour liquidity into crypto assets. But don't forget, at its core, it's still a stock fund, with Bitcoin just the "enhancement" tamed by the rules🐶. Don't get excited just about the 5% allocation; first, think carefully whether you want dividends or that volatility.
Understand the mechanism before getting on board; it's much more important than blindly following the trend💡
$BTC $ETH Before the FOMC, don't rush to bet on the direction (´･_･`)
The market before the FOMC is like a pot of boiling water; don't rush to bet on the direction. BTC is tugging back and forth around 80,000, with a low of 79,280. Consecutive daily declines have turned 80,000 from support into a contested zone; 24-hour total network liquidations are about 578 million, with bulls accounting for 91%, retail long-short ratio at 0.4861, liquidation heating up but open interest increasing. ETF net inflow for the week is 301 million, but 773 million flowed out at the end of the week. 79,200 is the short-term defense line; only a rebound above 82,000 looks like a recovery (ง •̀_•́)ง.
ETH tells a different story: low at 2,276, currently around 2,320, down over 12% in October; bulls account for 74% of liquidations; ETH ETF outflow of 1.18 billion in October; Hayes liquidation and upgrade delay weigh on sentiment. The long-short ratio remains 2.46, fueling more downside; losing 2,300 targets 2,220, with open interest over 30 billion possibly amplifying liquidations (｡•́︿•̀｡).
In short: BTC is grinding, ETH is paying back; before the FOMC boot drops, holding through the fluctuations is more crucial than guessing the rise or fall (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧
$BTC $ETH
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议
#SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？
#中东原油运输恢复，油价为何仍居高位？ #中东原油运输恢复，油价为何仍居高位？
🔥 Folks, hasn't the recent crude oil trend been a bit counterintuitive? 🤔 News says that shipping volumes from the Persian Gulf have returned to over 90% of pre-war levels, and Saudi exports are even stronger than before the conflict. But looking at the market, Brent is still hovering around $110, showing no sign of dropping.
The core issue here is: "Being able to ship" doesn't mean "shipping cheaply" 💸. Tankers are back, but detours, ship-to-ship transfers, and shadow fleets have driven freight costs through the roof — shipping costs from the Middle East to Asia once soared to $34 to $37 per barrel, more than twenty times the normal level. Refiners are paying not just for oil, but also for freight and insurance, so the landed cost simply won't come down.
The second strong support is that inventories are too thin 📉. U.S. commercial crude inventories have declined for three consecutive weeks, now about 3% below the five-year average. With inventories this tight, even a weekly drop of a few million barrels tightens the market, not to mention the Strait of Hormuz ships still occasionally getting hit.
In short, part of the current oil price is a risk premium; the market is betting that geopolitical tensions might flare up again after the elections. Supply numbers have returned, but the "sense of security" hasn't, so oil prices naturally remain stuck high 🔥. $CL $BZ Bulls were just wiped out during the day, and bears got hit again at night 😵. CoinGlass shows that in the past 24 hours, about $109 million worth of contracts were liquidated across the network, with longs around $45.5 million and shorts about $63.43 million—bears actually suffered more; in the same period, BTC had a net outflow of about $166 million, ETH about $114 million. At the time of writing, BTC is around 80,597, ETH around 2,344. My view: bears continuing to get hit feels more like leveraged noise within a rebound, while sustained spot outflows are the real signal 📉. Liquidations amplify short-term volatility, but whether funds are willing to flow back in determines if the rebound can hold. If BTC and ETH spot continue net outflows, chasing shorts and getting hurt won’t change the weakness; conversely, if spot outflows stop and shorts cover, that’s when sustainability is more likely. So going forward, I’m focusing more on spot flows 👀, treating short liquidations only as a sentiment thermometer.$BTC 11.1 million bitcoins, Galaxy can't find the owners.
20.1 million bitcoins have been mined. In Galaxy's October snapshot, 55% cannot be linked to any named entity. Not exchanges, not funds, not governments.
Entry belongs to institutions, holdings belong to individuals.
Among the 45% with names, there are exchanges, ETFs led by BlackRock, the US government, and Satoshi Nakamoto's 1.123658 million bitcoins, accounted for separately.
Is that 55% all retail self-custody? No. It includes lost keys that can never be recovered, early miners' coins, unidentified institutions and OTC desks, and complex custody splitting coins into many addresses. Galaxy is upfront about this.
But after the disclaimer, the ledger remains the same. ETFs have been buying for two years, headlines daily report institutional inflows, yet the largest on-chain holding still has no name to this day.
Entry belongs to institutions, holdings belong to individuals. #BTC现货ETF资金反复，市场买盘能否企稳？ $BTC shows a fairly consistent pattern around FOMC meetings.
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议
Looking at the past eight meetings shown here, the trend direction in the week before the announcement is opposite to the trend direction in the week after the announcement.
An increase before the meeting is followed by a decrease. After a negative week leading into the meeting, a positive week follows.
It’s important to understand that a large amount of position adjustments happen before the announcement.
In other words, it is "priced in."
We have consistently seen these directional changes around rate cuts, holds, and hikes.
So far, BTC has already retraced 7% entering the meeting. However, the deeper it falls, the more people expect this direction to continue.
If history repeats itself, we will continue to see a bloodbath this week, followed by a green week next week.#Strive increased its BTC holdings by 6,182 coins in one week, so I'll first calculate the capital cost of this purchase
Strive disclosed on October 26 that it added 6,182 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 43,000 BTC, and established a preferred stock issuance plan with a maximum of $1 billion. Seeing such a large purchase scale, I can understand why the market is excited. However, the related preferred stock carries a 15% annual dividend, which made me pause to do the math: BTC itself does not generate cash income, so what supports the ongoing payments? I will look at the growth in BTC holdings, BTC per share, and cash reserves together. The financing capacity can expand the ability to buy more BTC, but how much shareholders ultimately receive still needs further calculation.Only one coin in the entire market is still above the moving average line, which is more worth watching than the big drop itself. Guess what everyone is waiting for now — a rebound, or have they already lost interest? I scanned the market today, and except for $ZEC, almost everything is weak; $BTC and $ETH are both dragging behind. As soon as liquidity returned in the morning session, it was smashed down. Although it pulled back in the afternoon, that recovery was on low volume, looking more like a breather than a real turnaround. This kind of movement is the most frustrating because it doesn’t give a clear move, only hesitation. First, look at $ZEC, it’s currently the only one still holding up. RSI at 50.2 has returned to neutral territory, surprisingly the highest in the market; MA7 crossed above MA20 at 1228 over 1204, so the short-term structure is indeed cleaner than other coins. But don’t get too excited yet — it’s still capped by MA30 at 1268, and far from the previous high of 1697. In short, this is relative strength, not absolute strength, the kind that looks strong only because others are weaker. This "best among the short" narrative easily misleads people into thinking funds have returned, but actually, no one wants to sell first. $BTC is even more subtle. It’s grinding repeatedly near the bottom of the 30-day range, RSI at 44.3 is weak, MA7 < MA20 < MA30, and the 81.6k to 82.9k area is full of resistance. The 7-day average volume is only 57%, low volume grinding sounds like bottom building, but it could also mean no one is buying. As long as it doesn’t break above 82900 on volume, the structure remains downward. My own feeling is, at this positionBitcoin is slightly bearish in the short term; in the next few hours, I expect a pullback with active sell orders suppressing the rebound. Ethereum is slightly bullish in the short term; during the same period, I expect a rebound first, with buy orders more aggressive than sell orders. Bitcoin's low in the past 12 hours was 79,455.80, and the high was 80,849.90. There are clearly more bulls than bears, but among the addresses I monitor, active sell orders are much heavier, with simultaneous increases in shorts, conversions from long to short, and reductions in longs. Being bullish does not equal buying more. After the price bounced from the lower boundary but failed to hold the middle range, the money chasing the buy was not received, so a pullback is not surprising. I do not use large unclear transactions to determine direction. Next, I will watch if the lower boundary can hold. Ethereum's low in the past 12 hours was 2,296.05, and the high was 2,344.54. Ethereum is the opposite; active buy orders dominate, and there are large short reductions, indicating someone is absorbing at this level. However, reducing shorts only means bears are exiting, not new longs opening; the price is still in the lower half of the range, some distance from the upper boundary. If buy orders can continue, the short-term rebound will go further. I will not chase before it recovers the upper boundary; first, I will see if the next wave of buy orders remains. I will watch if Bitcoin's lower boundary can hold and if Ethereum's buy orders can continue; if Bitcoin's sell orders shrink and Ethereum's buy orders retreat, I will not view it this way.$CORE's gradual decline needs no justification. The decline itself is the reason.
It rose 5.87% yesterday, but didn't follow through today. The price returned to around $0.0177, with a slight drop over 24 hours and thinner trading volume than yesterday. There isn't a single decent bearish candle on the chart, no wicks, no volume-driven sell-offs. Not even any arguments in the community.
This is a signal that deserves more serious attention: a gradual decline is not a price state, it's a grammar.
A crash has a subject, an action, and a responsible party. A gradual decline has none. It is a de-eventized process—losing a little each day, with no identifiable "moment" to point to. You can't find a single day to say "this is when it happened," but looking back over three months, the price has stepped down from one level to another.
There is a phrase repeatedly echoed in the community from an OKX post in late October: CORE's trend is described as a "slow knife-cutting gradual decline." The same post adds a key point: even when the overall crypto market warmed up, CORE showed extreme weakness, with trading volume never effectively increasing.
The subtlety of the slow knife-cutting is that each cut is not fatal. What’s fatal is that the knife keeps cutting.
Supply side of the gradual decline: exchanges are shutting down one by one
A crash triggers exchange risk control reviews; a gradual decline does not. The threshold for a gradual decline is so low that every exchange can say, "This is normal market fluctuation."
But the result is verifiable: the number of exchanges supporting CORE has shrunk from the original 34 to only 13 still maintaining trading. KuCoin delisted it long ago, CoinEx has started the delisting process for the CORE/USDT pair, with the withdrawal channel closing on December 18.
The grammar of the gradual decline is most nakedly revealed here: no exchange delisted because "CORE fell." Each gave individualized reasons—risk control, liquidity, operational adjustments. But the rational decisions of these thirteen entities add up to a systemic narrowing of exit channels. When CoinEx closes withdrawals on December 18, people will look back and realize the gradual decline was never about the price falling, but about the exits closing one by one.
Underlying the gradual decline: validators are not "exiting," they are "sliding away"
The number of validators dropped from 31 to 16, a fact mentioned in previous articles. But seen through the lens of gradual decline, it takes on another meaning.
If validator exits happened all at once, it would be an event with announcements, explanations, and community discussion. But the validator shrinkage happens daily—one leaves today, another next week—no one issues a statement for the total dropping from 17 to 16. By the time anyone notices, the number is already close to the 15 consensus halt line.
The remaining nodes are "highly coordinated." The successful execution of the 31.08 hard fork relies on this consensus, but there are no neutral nodes dissenting. The team has offloaded node operation costs and responsibilities, but still controls the code repository and treasury management.
The gradual decline happens not only in price. The concentration of governance power, the narrowing of validator sets, and the loss of ecosystem diversity all operate with the same grammar: no breaks, no announcements, just sliding a little each day.
The most costly thing in a gradual decline: not losses, but "narrative anesthesia"
A crash forces decisions. Either cut losses or hold on—at least there is a clear moment to face.
A gradual decline does not force decisions. It creates a low-intensity continuous state, allowing holders to say every day, "Nothing special today, let's see tomorrow." And the community narrative perfectly supports this procrastination: SatPay will come, buybacks will be executed, BTCFi is the biggest narrative.
But the on-chain ledger does not cooperate with this language. SatPay's buyback model "is still just a plan." On-chain fees have remained in the single-digit dollar range for weeks. The cruelty of the gradual decline is that it makes "waiting" look like a strategy rather than a cost.
So what is today's candle that didn't rise saying?
It says: yesterday's 5.87% was not a reversal signal, and today's lack of follow-through is not a failed reversal signal. Together they form a complete signal—that any directional movement of this asset in a low-liquidity environment carries no fundamental information.
Crashes make headline news; gradual declines do not. Gradual declines are too quiet, so quiet that no one needs to write a review about them. Yet it is precisely this unexplained decline that has completed most of the 99.7% journey from $6.47 to $0.0177.
A gradual decline does not ring a bell. It just makes the bell lighter day by day until one day you realize the bell is no longer there.
$CORE 📉 BTC and ETH are simultaneously approaching key psychological thresholds, $80,000 and $2,300 respectively, becoming critical battlegrounds for bulls and bears!
If these two important price levels are effectively broken down, the market may face a larger downward space. Going forward, it is essential to closely monitor the strength of key support levels and the liquidation situation of leveraged long positions.
1. BTC: After losing $80,000, where is the support below?
For $BTC, although there is potential support near $80,000 due to spot ETF holding costs, a more noteworthy structural support area may lie between $74,800 and $77,600.
This range corresponds to the cost area of short-term holders and important indicators such as the actual market average price.
If the ETF-related cost area is also effectively broken, the market may further focus on the $73,000–$75,000 range.
It should be noted that holding costs do not necessarily mean the price will stop falling in that area; the actual trend still depends on capital flow and market absorption.
2. ETH: Losing $2,300 may escalate liquidation pressure
Compared to BTC, $ETH's current short-term structure appears more fragile.
If ETH breaks below $2,300, the next position to watch is around $2,286. According to related contract data analysis, this area may concentrate a significant number of leveraged long liquidation positions.
If the price triggers a chain liquidation, major centralized exchanges#SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？ First, AI capital expenditures are starting to be questioned.
Previously, the market was hyping how strong AI demand is and how large the orders are. Now, funds are beginning to ask: when will the massive capital expenditures translate into profits? Once growth expectations can no longer support high valuations, chip heavyweight stocks are prone to concentrated sell-offs.
Second, U.S. Treasury yields are pressuring again.
The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is approaching 4.72%, putting greater valuation pressure on high-valuation tech stocks. With interest rates remaining high, tolerance for risk assets may decline, and sectors that have risen the most recently are more likely to see profit-taking.Midterm elections are not the script; the cost zone is the bottom line
In the past four midterm elections, BTC has never escaped: a 72% pullback in 2010, 65% in 2014, 52% in 2018, and 27% in 2022. Q4 has also been unfriendly, with three out of four years closing negative: -16.7% in 2014, -42% in 2018, and -14.75% in 2022. With voting on November 3rd less than 10 days away, panicking is not shameful, but pretending not to see it is dangerous
But this year's timeline has changed. The bear market lows in 2014, 2018, and 2022 all appeared after the vote, respectively 71 days, 38 days, and 13 days later. This year's low was on July 1st at 57,850, 125 days before the election; by October 22nd, it had rebounded to 81,455, about 40% above the low. The so-called "election bottom" has already been played out in advance by the market
Now the focus should be on the cost. Ali Charts says around 73,000 is close to the average purchase cost of short-term holders; Strategy holds 848,000 BTC with an average cost of 75,446. These two figures cluster in the same range of 73,000–75,000. The real damage of the election curse is that it might push the price to test this common cost zone. Holding it means the bull market logic remains; losing it is the real problem
CoinDesk is right: midterm weakness is more about the cycle itself, not the election itself. The election creates volatility, cost determines life or death. It can fall on November 3rd, but the 73,000–75,000 zone cannot be lost #SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？
Hello everyone: I will analyze it next.
SK Hynix is set to release its Q3 earnings report on October 28. The market data prediction in the screenshot is very striking, with 81% of funds betting it will exceed expectations. The market appetite has been completely raised to the sky.
The logic behind the optimism is very straightforward. AI server demand is still booming, HBM4 mass production is underway, and as the leader in storage chips, a new profit high is almost a sure bet. You can see on the market, Hynix-related tokens are still slightly rising, and bullish sentiment is strong.
But I have to pour cold water on this. What does an 81% betting ratio mean? It means expectations are fully maxed out, with no margin for error at all.
Previously, the storage sector was like a roller coaster every day, and just a few days ago there was news about Solidigm suspending its IPO; the bottom cards have actually been revealed. Under the current high valuation, the market has started to be wary of hardware stories that purely burn money and expand production.
Once the earnings report is out, there are only two scripts. First, HBM4 shipments really break records, and profits far exceed expectations. But even so, if the market rallies on the good news, it could be directly smashed down by those trapped in earlier positions, which is the common "good news already priced in" scenario. Second, as long as profit growth slows down even a little, or there is any flaw in the HBM4 mass production pace, this 81% of funds will quickly turn into the main force to dump the market.The market thinks the Fed will PAUSE on Wednesday, but WSJ's Fed whisperer Nick Timiraos says it's much closer than Wall Street thinks.
*Why The Fed COULD HIKE:*
- Inflation is stuck - September CPI & PPI show easing has stalled
- Traders already expect a December hike
- Current rates may still not be tight enough
A hold is expected, but a hike is very much alive.Still can't figure it out at 3 a.m., why on the same day, XRP signed a 660 million institutional order, ZEC absorbed 20.52 million ETF inflows, and BCH had 60% of accounts holding long positions. None of these three good news items could make any of them rise. After a smoke break, I realized the real money flow was actually going in the opposite direction.
$XRP Aviva moved 22 billion funds onto XRP, paying 66 million themselves. In the same week, whales decreased by 12 addresses, exchanges increased holdings by 47 million. ETF holdings dropped from 1.8 billion to 1.48 billion. Breaking 1.26 means looking at 1.11.
$ZEC at 1194, up 7.5% in a week, while BTC fell 2% in the same period. When BTC ETF outflowed 137.9 million, it saw an inflow of 20.52 million. Top traders held 80% short positions in 24 hours, 86% long positions over 7 days. On 11/5 NU7 will launch mainnet; typically, people buy the expectation and sell the reality.
$BCH at 277, down 8% in seven days, 91.83% below the 2017 high, with TVL only 8.56 million. 60% of accounts hold long positions, but the active buy/sell ratio is 0.83, indicating those shouting long are actually selling.
These three relics from 2017 surprisingly no longer hold pricing power. Meanwhile, Wednesday's FOMC has pushed the probability of a December rate hike to 77%.
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 The Middle East is engulfed in continuous gunfire, the third US aircraft carrier is heading to the Persian Gulf, and oil prices have surged over 80% this year. Textbooks say this is the safe haven territory for gold and BTC. 📉 So what happened?
Gold closed at $3995 on Friday, down 4% for the week, the worst since June; intraday it was hammered down to 3975, losing the 4000 level. BTC was even more direct: it fell below 80,000 on the 24th, with $800 million liquidated in 24 hours, 213,000 people liquidated, then climbed back to 81,000 the next day, like a drunkard lost without direction. 😵
Money didn’t flow into "safe haven assets" but surged into US Treasuries. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell below 5% on Thursday, closing at 4.961%, the first time in a month. An interest-bearing asset’s yield is falling yet it’s being snapped up, while a non-interest asset’s price is falling and it’s being sold off. Berenberg calls this a "noteworthy divergence," adding: the last time gold performed this poorly when US Treasury yields plunged was December 2008. 🧊
CME’s Erik Norland points out: the biggest driver for precious metals this year is the expectation shifting from rate cuts to rate hikes. When rates are cut, the opportunity cost of holding gold is low; with rate hike expectations returning, holding costs rise, and US Treasuries pay interest. Money isn’t stupid, it just moved. 💸
Gold has been treated as a speculative asset over the past year: it surged to a historic high of $5400 in January, now retreating over one-fifth, with speculators exiting. BTC has no excuse of "speculators exiting"—it never had cash flow or yield, only volatility. 🎢
Safe haven assets haven’t been abandoned; it’s the "non-interest" attribute that is being systematically discounted.【Market Real-Time Quotes】$BTC is repeatedly testing the $79,800–$80,900 range, while $ETH is weakly consolidating between $2,320–$2,365. The price looks calm, but between sentiment and interest rate expectations, a crack worth watching has already formed. 👇 First, let's lay out this set of “expectation gaps”: 🏦 Bank of America's judgment: Chief Economist Irigoyen clearly stated that since June, Bank of America has predicted the Fed will raise rates once each in September, October, and December, and has not changed this view. He believes the market has basically ruled out a rate hike in October, but the October meeting is precisely the opportunity for the Fed to reinforce policy credibility; skipping it might damage credibility. 📉 Market pricing: CME FedWatch shows a 90% probability of no change in October, and only 10% probability of a 25 basis point hike. For December, a 23.8% chance of no change and a 68.9% chance of a 25 basis point hike. The difference is not about whether to hike, but the timing. The market has already removed October from pricing, while Bank of America says October is when action should be taken. This divergence may not necessarily materialize, but its impact on sentiment is that as long as the October meeting statement contains any hawkish hint “paving the way for December,” the current “October safe” pricing will be forced to reprice. And the crypto market's leverage is on the wrong side. 【Fear & Greed Index】51, neutral, continuing to fall from yesterday's 54, 7-day average 56, 30-day average 63. The direction is downward, but it has not yet entered the fear zone. Sentiment has not collapsed, but derivativesHas anyone noticed the contradictory fund flows today?
BTC funds are flowing out, while ETH and SOL are seeing funds coming in.
On the same market, the fund movements are completely opposite.
BTC: Net outflow of 21.26 coins today, inflow 2099.65, outflow 2120.91
ETH: Net inflow of 2131.6 coins today, inflow 51,700, outflow 49,600
SOL: Net inflow of 65,600 coins today, inflow 268,100, outflow 202,500
What do you think, is this a divergence opportunity or a trap?
Market data is for observation only and does not constitute any investment advice.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 $ETH Short Position｜2395.69 → 2319.94｜100x｜+316.02%
Logic: High-level resistance → rebound with low volume → bull trap confirmation → selling pressure suppression. No bottom guessing, just waiting for selling pressure.
Position: Take profit on 70%, protect cost on 30%, exit if the trend is bearish, withdraw on rebound. 100x leverage is extremely high, unrealized profit belongs to the market, only realized profit is yours. Missing out: don't chase highs or catch falling knives, wait for rebound resistance structure to reassess. Being out of position is not a sin, reckless opening is a mistake.$QUANT
Last night a friend told me that this wave of QNT is the official entry of traditional finance. I didn't respond immediately; I first pulled up the candlestick chart to take a look.
The fact itself is true: The Clearing House, the old institution for interbank clearing in the US, announced it selected Quant as the blockchain interoperability solution. Once the news came out, QNT surged from around 195 to 223, then dropped back to 204 in the early morning, giving up half of the gains. Don't believe the 20% rise mentioned in the breaking news; I checked Binance and CoinGecko, and the actual 24-hour increase was only 5%. Those who chased the high are still holding.
What's more interesting is that this coin usually has almost no chatter; one piece of news can lift it by more than ten points, indicating a thin market with not much big money inside. This kind of rise comes fast and goes fast.
I'm always cautious about news of institutional cooperation like this: signing a contract doesn't mean going live, and going live doesn't mean the token will be used. Quant's work is to help banks connect chains; whether clients adopt QNT is another matter.
Let others chase these deals. I once chased a similar one and was stuck for two months.
#本周将公布10月FOMC利率决议 The average EV/EBITDA of SK hynix for the fiscal years ending December 2021 to 2025 is approximately 10.8x. Monday opened, and last week's "risk-off resonance" seems to have dissipated: European stocks all closed higher, the VIX retreated from above twenty, and Micron even surged a few points intraday. Immediately, someone asked backstage if this was a reversal and whether it was worth chasing.
My view is the opposite: the more a Monday in a risky week suddenly turns bullish, the more it should be treated as a bull trap. The three major events this week (SK Hynix the Federal Reserve, and tech giant .$2500 was support. Now it’s the ceiling that flip says more than the level itself. When a zone that used to attract buyers starts attracting sellers, it means the defenders already left, not that new sellers arrived. $ETH ‘s been doing this quietly while $BTC gets the headlines underperforming on bounces, leading on pullbacks. That’s the real tell, not the 2339 print. Until ETH leads green days instead of following red ones, every “support” is just a pause before the next test.⚠️On the eve of Hynix's earnings report｜Both belong to the storage sector, but SLX and xMU have completely different logics
$SLX 0.051🏭
Solstice splits the wafer fab long-term usage rights into on-chain shares and charges fixed rent quarterly. The rent is locked by long-term contracts and is not affected by short-term fluctuations in chip spot prices.
Slight rebound driven by expectations for Hynix's earnings, but essentially it is a rent-collecting asset, not a bet on the chip cycle. Liquidity is only over 4 million USD, the market is thin, and large orders can easily cause drastic fluctuations. The layout focuses on long-term rental income, do not apply memory spot trading logic.
$BTC 80580 📊
After falling below 81000, it has been consolidating at 80580 for two days. On-chain funds show obvious divergence: long-term whales withdraw 770 million BTC from market makers to hoard coins, early investors transfer to exchanges preparing to sell.
FOMC is tomorrow early morning, the market expects an 84.5% chance of no rate change, with focus on Powell's speech tone. If the 80000 support breaks, look to 78000; if it holds, a rebound to 82000 is possible. Currently, heavy bets on direction are not recommended.
$xMU 888 🧠
Micron is fully tied to the memory spot cycle, completely opposite to SLX's rent-collecting logic. Main business is DRAM, HBM continuously entering the AI server supply chain, prices fluctuate with memory spot.
After Hynix's earnings are released, cross-comparing inventories and HBM4 orders of various manufacturers, market divergence will gradually converge.
#SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？ $CL #Middle East crude oil transport resumes, why do oil prices remain high? With my tiny ant-sized position, tonight I only dare to watch the ZEC action 😏
First, let me set the scene: I'm just an ant-sized holder, with little money and even less courage, unable to withstand big swings. So tonight, I won't pretend to be a whale; I'll just share the most obvious observation. Watching others' excitement is better than losing money myself.
On the ZEC side, institutional money has been flowing in for several consecutive days, getting denser as the weekend approaches. This is the exact opposite of what's happening with ETH, where money is pulling out. This contrast is the only reason I'm focusing on ZEC tonight—not because it has risen a lot, but because someone is continuously betting on it, and the three major mainstream coins haven't received this kind of attention yet 👀.
But a word of caution upfront: in the past few weeks, more money flowed out of ZEC, and this week only a small portion has flowed back in—far from a full recovery. I won't write any big reversal stories; ant-sized holders like me fear mistaking a partial rebound for a full reversal.
Adding a mid-term hook: its upgrade is expected to activate around early November, speeding up block production, shortening confirmation wait times, and removing some fees from circulation. This isn't urgent; I have time to watch. I treat the upgrade as a long-term bonus, not a reason to bet tonight.
So my stance is simple: watch ZEC but don't chase it. The three major coins continue to grind; I won't move my position. I'll wait for the trend to reveal itself. That's how an ant-sized holder lives—no shame 😌. As for the three majors: BTC is sideways, ETH is sluggish, SOL tried but lacked volume. Money isn't concentrating on them. I have even less reason to squeeze in now. I'll wait for the excitement to turn into a trend. Until then, hands in pockets, no reaching out.#Can Robinhood's trading business growth continue?
Short-term trading growth is expected to continue. In August 2026, stock trading volume increased by 68% year-over-year, options grew by 50%, and market trading volume is forecasted to grow about 15 times, but cryptocurrency trading volume declined by 38% year-over-year. Diversified business is reducing dependence on the crypto market, with sustainability still depending on market activity, user growth, and profitability.Before the Hynix earnings report, the two tokens in the storage sector are actually talking about two different things
$SLX Solstice breaks down the long-term usage rights of real-world wafer fabs into on-chain shares, renting out 0.051 shares quarterly. The key difference: the rent is locked in by a long-term contract and does not fluctuate daily with chip spot prices. Today, with the SK Hynix earnings report imminent, sentiment in the storage sector has picked up, and SLX has bounced a bit, but its essence is a rent-collecting asset, not a spot cycle speculation. The trading volume is only a little over 4 million USD, liquidity is thin, and a few large orders can sway it. Buyers are aiming for long-term rent, so don’t apply the logic of memory price fluctuations to it.
$BTC 80,580, Bitcoin is waiting for tomorrow’s early morning decision 📊 After breaking 81,000, it hovered around 80,580 for two days. On-chain long-term holders have withdrawn 770 million BTC from market makers to hold themselves, while early investors are depositing coins to exchanges preparing to sell. Tomorrow morning is the FOMC meeting, with an 84.5% probability of no change; the key is Powell’s press conference. If 80,000 doesn’t hold, look for 78,000; if it holds, it will return to 82,000. Don’t bet on direction now.
$xMU 888, Micron is directly tied to the spot cycle 🧠 Completely opposite to SLX’s rent-collecting logic, Micron makes DRAM, and HBM is targeted at AI server customers. The 888 price moves with memory spot prices. After the Hynix earnings report, inventory and HBM4 orders among manufacturers need to be compared to see if divergences will converge.
This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice
#SK海力士Q3财报在即，HBM4能否提振盈利？ The key question is not whether the Fed pauses rate hikes, but how Powell explains the policy path afterward. With inflation still elevated and the economy showing resilience, the market needs clarity on how long interest rates may remain restrictive. If the Fed continues emphasizing inflation risks and Powell offers no clear timeline for rate cuts, a pause could be interpreted as “higher for longer”—not automatically bullish for BTC. On the other hand, signs of easing inflation and growing empl油价一跌就喊牛回，这个直觉可能正好反着用 如果海峡真的开了，市场会先买风险偏好还是先卖预期？ 这两天看盘有种很微妙的感觉，油价往下走，BTC 跟着弹了一下，群里立刻有人开始算今年十万的路径。我理解这种心情，但这里有个容易误判的点：油价跌带来的不是"利好落地"，而是"压力暂时松开"，这两件事在交易上完全不是一个量级。 先把事实摆清楚。BTC 小跌之后回抽，油价回落，风险资产同步喘了口气。表面看是联动，实际上市场在交易的是同一件事——对能源通道的担忧被短暂移出定价。问题在于，这种移出是预期层面的，不是现实层面的。如果海峡通行真的恢复，那才是叙事切换；现在只是把最坏情形往后推了推。 我的理解是，情绪修复的节奏比价格修复快，这才是需要留意的地方。油价下行确实能松一松通胀端的紧绷感，让风险偏好有扩散的空间，BTC 作为高 beta 的风险表达会先受益，ETH 因为波动更大，弹性会更明显，山寨层面的情绪也会跟着回暖一点。但反过来看，如果通道问题只是被推迟而没被解决，那这波回抽更像情绪脉冲，而不是趋势起点。被提前计价的是"缓和"，没被计价的是"反复"。 - 动能信号：油价回落带动风险资产回抽，BTC#三星Q3利润预增近8倍，完整财报即将揭晓 Little Sweet Melon has something to say
Samsung will release its full Q3 earnings report on October 29. Preliminary results showed operating profit surged nearly 8 times year-on-year. AI storage demand is heating up, with HBM4 shipments and memory chip prices being the core focus.
But my view is: no matter how high the profits are, beware of "all the good news being priced in." Two comments in the discussion section are very key. First, Samsung's profits hit a record high but its stock price fell instead; foreign investors are reducing holdings and buybacks are ending, retail investors are moving to US stocks, and Korean stocks have lost net buyers — this indicates the buying structure is deteriorating and foreign capital is withdrawing. Second, SK Hynix's HBM4 backend equipment orders have been postponed to next year, and expansion is slower than expected — this means the AI storage capacity bottleneck remains; the short-term shortage logic hasn't broken, but once expansion comes in the long term, prices will need to be re-evaluated.
Today Samsung is up 2.02% pre-market, betting on earnings beating expectations. Your previous long position on SK Hynix at 1250 was also based on this logic. But remember: when earnings are realized, it's often when short-term funds take profits. If there are profits above, reduce positions in batches and always maintain your stop-loss.
BTC had a waterfall drop last night and now we see if the 80,000 level can hold. If it doesn't hold, expect a deeper pullback, with resistance above at 84,000 to 85,000. Don't chase the rise or sell in panic; set your stop-loss orders well.
The above analysis is time-sensitive; always set your stop-loss orders. Good luck. $BTC $ETH $ZEN Spring river water warms $ZEC prophet
BTC won't hold on for long, feels like 80,000 is a bull trap!
The sentiment reversal usually sees zec move first; I've observed this pattern for a long time. Everyone can take this as a reference. #SK Hynix Q3 earnings report is coming, can HBM4 boost profitability?