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#CircleQ3营收超预期，USDC链上交易量增长49% Opened a position on Ethereum, it won't drop over the weekend CPI Eve: Liquidation Zones Close at Hand, Spike Risk Heating Up Before tonight's CPI release, the market is trapped between two liquidation zones with limited room and high tension. The pain points above and below are only one to two percentage points away from the current price, so any sharp rally or plunge could trigger concentrated liquidations. 📊 Short Liquidation Zone (Upward) BTC: Maximum pain point at 68500, +1.5% from current price, with over 92 million in accumulated funds ETH: Maximum pain point at 3550, +2.1% from current price, with 61 million in accumulated funds SOL: Maximum pain point at 145, +1.8% from current price, with nearly 5 million in accumulated funds 📊 Long Liquidation Zone (Downward) BTC: Maximum pain point at 66500, -1.2% from current price, with 78 million in accumulated funds ETH: Maximum pain point at 3400, -1.8% from current price, with 21 million in accumulated funds SOL: Maximum pain point at 140, -1.5% from current price, with 4.2 million in accumulated funds Core Large liquidation chips are stacked within this narrow range; a slight push upward could trigger short liquidations, while a small dip downward could explode longs. Before the CPI announcement, major players are more likely to hold their positions and wait for the data to ignite volatility. Chasing one-sided trades now risks being hit by "spikes" both up and down. Control your position size and protect your capital first, then wait for directional confirmation.🚨 Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery, but don't celebrate just yet! Is this the beginning of a fresh rebound, or another move designed to trap impatient buyers? 👀 📊 Key BTC levels to watch: 🔹 $75,500: Major support. A strong bounce with solid volume could signal short-term strength. 🔹 $77,500–$78,000: Critical resistance. Breaking above this zone could give bulls a reason to celebrate. My approach? Stay patient, watch the data, and don't chase every green candle. #DailyOrbit Bitcoin is showing a familiar setup on the weekly chart. We saw something similar in 2023, when BTC consolidated between the weekly MA 50 and MA 100 before breaking out and starting its next major rally. Now in 2026, Bitcoin is once again trading between these two moving averages after getting rejected from the weekly MA 100 near $87,400. Here's what I'm watching: Support: Weekly MA 50 at $75,500 and MA 200 at $67,800. Resistance: $82,000, followed by the weekly MA 100 near $87,400. $BTC $CORE's drop today is because of this ban. $BTC I think it's ridiculous. If it were really a ban, then other countries around the world, especially East Asia, would be ecstatic. It's completely just an excuse to dump the market and hit Trump, while also scooping up some chips on the side. Actually, this wave of the Democratic Party winning is just as inexplicable as their inexplicable loss in '24, and it seems like the Democrats don't really have a leading boss now. $SNDK In fact, this news just amplified the issue of AI infrastructure capital expenditure returns. The US stock market fell 5% overnight—what does that even mean! Is it going to collapse all at once? Just like last night, don't be greedy; if the key level doesn't break, then there's a problem. Don't panic, the drop is an opportunity. CORE will hit a new low again.$XRP continues to follow a bearish structure. After consolidating below resistance, the price faced another rejection and moved lower. Selling pressure remains dominant, keeping the downside risk in focus. The next support zone will be important to watch for signs of a potential reaction or further weakness. Market structure remains the key factor to monitor. #BerkshireQ3CashOutlook DYOR. NFA. $ETH What direction do you see for the US stock market tonight? Tonight's non-farm payroll data came in at 16.5, exceeding the expected 6.5, which is bearish for the gold and silver markets. Tonight, the data is higher than expected. Strong employment data combined with a decline in the unemployment rate and faster wage growth further reduce the market's expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, boosting the US dollar and pushing up US Treasury yields. This non-farm payroll report is overall hawkish, short-term bullish for the dollar and bearish for crypto assets, especially putting more pressure on altcoins with poor liquidity. $BTC $SOL Tonight at 21:30, the US October non-farm payroll data will be released, and the market is awaiting new macro signals. The Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision will also be affected. $BTC quickly fell from above 80,000 to around 75,200 and is currently hovering near 75,600. 76,000 is a key short-term level; if it breaks again, further downward liquidity search cannot be ruled out. $ETH has dropped to around 2,220, with 2,200 as an important support. If it breaks below, 2,100 may become the next target. Meanwhile, the Middle East energy situation adds market uncertainty. After tonight's data release, volatility in the crypto market may further intensify. This round of market action reminds everyone again: there are no permanent masters in the market. Excessive leverage and insufficient risk control can wipe out even the most impressive trading records in an instant. #BTC #ETH #NonFarmPayroll #FederalReserve #CryptoMarket #USJobsBeatExpectations Dogecoin open interest in contracts drops 3.8%, DOGE derivatives trading activity cools down According to the latest market data on November 6, Dogecoin's open interest in OKX perpetual contracts decreased by 3.8%. This change indicates that some traders are closing positions or reducing existing holdings. Currently, the market is watching to see if DOGE derivatives trading activity will heat up again. #狗狗币 #DOGE #加密货币市场 #加密货币交易[Nasdaq loses $2.3 trillion in a single day, AI trading shifts from panic to stampede] On November 5, the Nasdaq 100 plunged 6.4%, with the semiconductor index dropping about 12%. The trigger was the Democratic Party's big win in the midterm elections, raising market concerns that local governments might tighten data center approvals, and that electricity, water resources, and construction costs could all become obstacles to AI expansion. UBS estimates that about 30% of the new data center capacity expected in the US by 2028 faces construction suspension risks. This will directly impact chipmakers, servers, data center operators, and banks financing these projects. ING is even preparing to sell about $500 million in data center loan portfolios, including loans related to the Stargate project. Meanwhile, leveraged ETFs and quantitative strategies are passively reducing positions, further amplifying the decline. On Friday, the Nasdaq $xQQQ rebounded about 1.8%, and Nvidia $xNVDA rose 6.5%, indicating that there was indeed some bottom-fishing after the plunge, but it is not enough to prove the sell-off is over. I think short-term deleveraging may have released some pressure, but the long-term demand for the AI industry has not disappeared; what really needs reassessment are the data center construction pace, financing costs, and capital returns. What the market crushed this time was the previously overly optimistic growth expectations. #美国中期选举：民主党赢得国会两院控制权 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 To be honest, seeing this market, I myself am quite numb. I never expected that all the semiconductors and memory chips, which everyone said had strong fundamentals, could drop more than ten points in one night. And this happened without much fundamental change, just because of a potential policy, the whole market was stirred up to this extent. Not to mention $SOXL, $KORU, these 3x leveraged ETFs, which actually dropped 40% in one night. But after calming down and analyzing, I am thinking about what is real and what has a solid foundation? Some people say $BTC is relatively resilient, even after Binance and all the theft incidents, it still holds steadily around 75,000, which indeed surprised me a bit. But I feel the main theme for this phase might not be about discussing BTC. It fell less, and whether it can have strong resilience when it rises, I also have a small question mark❓❓❓❓ Is there still a recovery in storage $ Bottom fishing, bottom fishing. The semiconductor sector crashed to a circuit breaker, so I bottom-fished contrarily! Hynix + ETH double long positions betting on sentiment recovery Today the market really got crushed, the non-farm payroll data blew past expectations, with 165,000 new jobs added—more than twice the market estimate—pushing December rate hike expectations to the max immediately. US semiconductor stocks just hit their largest single-day drop since the pandemic, Korean stocks followed suit crashing to trigger a circuit breaker, and the memory chip sector collectively plunged, with panic selling everywhere. I, on the contrary, opened two bottom-fishing positions against the sentiment. First is Hynix, a 30x leveraged long position, cost at 865.1, currently floating a loss of less than 0.5%. The logic is simple: this drop is purely a macro sentiment-driven stampede; the cyclical turnaround of memory chips and the fundamental logic of AI computing demand remain intact. The short-term dip is a pit created by panic, which will likely recover once sentiment stabilizes. Second, I casually bought a 100x $ETH long at 2224, now floating an 11% gain, providing some positive feedback. $SKHYNIX This is not reckless; positions are kept light and stop-loss lines set in advance. After all, rate hike expectations still loom overhead, so short-term volatility is inevitable. But I feel panic selling offers much better risk-reward than chasing highs. When others are greedy, I am fearful; when others are fearful, I am greedy. It's easy to say but nerve-wracking to act on. Whether I can catch this rebound depends on when market sentiment stops falling.Support near 800 on Sandisk is relatively strong; after briefly breaking below last night, it quickly recovered, showing signs of short-term stabilization. After the non-farm payroll release, a technical rebound may occur from the weekend to early next week. Key resistance to watch above is in the 960-980 range. It is safer to consider positioning short orders only after a rebound above 912, with 1000 as the stop-loss level. However, according to the 3-day moving average indicator, both lines have just fallen below the zero axis, indicating the bearish trend is not yet over, and caution is still needed for further dips below 800. Short-term outlook favors a rebound, but caution is still advised in the medium term. #USJobsBeatExpectations Bitcoin falls below $75,000, selling pressure continues to intensify Bitcoin has fallen below $75,000 for the first time since August, continuing the recent market downturn. This decline occurred amid weak performance in tech stocks and ongoing pressure on risk assets. #比特币 #BTC #加密货币新闻 #比特币价格Yesterday, the US stock market experienced a panic sell-off, and MRNA was forced to drop due to sentiment. Despite exceeding earnings expectations this quarter, the stock price is sure to rise today.$BTC $ETH — bitcoin rose to $84,500, Saylor: "the bull market is heating up". BTC climbed 2.22% to $84,527, and ETFs gained nearly $550M over two days. Ethereum lost $320M last week, 93% from BlackRock's ETHA. Trump showed the White House's fight against external crypto fraud: 503 websites have been seized. Bitcoin is being bought, ethereum is awaiting changes. #BerkshireQ3CashOutlook $ZEC The overall market is falling, but it is instead pushing up against the trend. Don't rush to chase this kind of movement; the more you look, the more it seems like a bull trap. If the rally lacks volume and the resistance above holds, you can consider shorting after the momentum fades. Don't be fooled into entering by a single bullish candle 😈 I have to say, the 1000 level is indeed strong; it has been tested repeatedly without breaking down, clearly showing short-term capital support. But resistance to decline doesn't mean an immediate reversal; prolonged support can still lead to a catch-down. $BTC This side has already weakened; 77000 has become short-term resistance. If it can't break above, it will likely retest 75000. If 75000 doesn't hold, the next level might look toward 67000. Tonight's non-farm payrolls are a key variable; volatility will increase before and after the data, so manage your positions and stop losses carefully. The above are personal views for reference only. #BerkshireQ3CashOutlook BerkshireQ3CashOutlook 📊 Berkshire Hathaway – Q3 2026 Cash Outlook The biggest question investors are watching is whether Berkshire Hathaway continues reducing its massive cash reserves under CEO Greg Abel. Key figures to watch Indicator Latest known figure Cash & Treasury Bills (March 2026) $380.2B Cash & Treasury Bills (June 2026) $364.7B Q2 net stock purchases Nearly $20B July share buybacks Over $3.3B Taylor Morrison acquisition $6.8B Source: My Q3 outlook Cash reseCryptocurrency Market Analysis and Trading Strategies Host: @梁老表 Current trends in the cryptocurrency market, with a focus on Bitcoin's liquidity hunting mechanism and bottom range, along with specific swing trading strategies and position management advice. 1. Overall Market Trend and Liquidity Analysis 1. Current market is in wide-range oscillation The market is in a wide-range oscillation phase: Bitcoin is currently in a wide-range oscillation trend, unlikely to break below 72000 in the short term, with a high probability of bottoming and rebounding around the 73000 to 74000 range. Main liquidity hunting mechanism: Market makers actively break down long stop-loss levels to hunt liquidity, consuming market stop-loss orders before initiating a genuine rebound rally. 2. Sentiment cycle and main upward wave expectations Sentiment is on the verge of panic: The market has not yet experienced true panic selling; the main players need to further suppress sentiment to complete accumulation. The real panic point is expected between January and February next year. Large-scale main upward wave expectation: Currently at the end of a major cycle correction, after accumulation by main players, Bitcoin is expected to break previous highs and directly challenge the 98000 to 100000 USD range. 2. Analysis of Mainstream Coins and Altcoins 1. Bitcoin and Ethereum linkage Bitcoin key support level: After Bitcoin briefly broke below the 74800 low, the rebound strength was insufficient; it is expected to continue to test the 73000 to 74000 range, which offers a high cost-performance ratio for long positions. Ethereum relatively resistant to decline: Because main players have pre-pulled up Ethereum through exchange rate adjustments, Ethereum's decline is relatively small currently, but if it continues downward... Bullish lists Ethereum as a key blockchain network for tokenized stocks Cryptocurrency exchange Bullish has chosen Ethereum as one of the initial blockchain networks for its stock tokenization service. The initiative aims to bring issuer-backed stocks onto blockchain infrastructure, further expanding Ethereum's use in the tokenized finance market. #Ethereum #ETH #Bullish #AssetTokenization #Blockchain🚨 Bitcoin’s Next Move Could Depend on One US Jobs Report! Can one economic report change the direction of the entire crypto market? All eyes are on the latest US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Strong employment could keep pressure on the Fed to maintain tight policy, while weaker numbers might bring fresh hope for rate cuts and a Bitcoin recovery. Here’s what the latest signals show: 📊 ADP added 86K jobs, above the 69K forecast. 📊 ISM Services Employment rose to 51.4. #Trading #DailyOrbit After a massive crash to 794, xSNDK is showing a strong +5.56% bounce! This is a classic relief rally. If bulls hold the $xSNDK 850 support, expect a fierce squeeze back toward 950. However, the broader trend is brutal. It's a high-risk scalp, not a long-term hold. Watch out for heavy resistance at the MA5. Question: Are you brave enough to catch this falling knife for a quick bounce, or will you wait for the trend to reverse?This security coupon looks like an interesting opportunity to earn some extra money, but the risk details need closer attention. I went through the terms and conditions, and here's how I understand the offer: The subscription amount is 5,000 USDT. If Bitcoin doesn't fall by more than 14% within two days, you may receive a reward of 5 USDT. There are three possible outcomes: $BTC rises or drops no more than 4%: You receive a 5 USDT reward. #USJobsBeatExpectations For data at the level of non-farm payrolls, after the $ETH data came out, it just circled around in place for three hours, with the highest and lowest prices not diverging by more than a few tens of dollars, although the volume was several times higher than during the day. At 21:30 when the data was released, it first surged up, touched near the intraday high but couldn't hold, then three consecutive drops brought it just above the previous low, after which it was pulled back to the middle, sweeping back and forth twice, and finally the price ended up where it started, all for nothing. This kind of market is typical of turnover without price change; the volume is real, but the direction is fake. Orders at both ends of the range were completely cleared, positions changed hands, but the price didn't move a step. The order book now has roughly equal thickness on both buy and sell sides; those looking to buy and those looking to short are evenly matched. The data gave so many reasons, but the price responded with just one word: wait. ADA: Bounce or breakdown? 1W MARKET READ Structure: Bearish. Support: $0.1775 / $0.1600. Resistance: $0.2050 / $0.2200. RSI: Weak momentum near oversold. MY READ — 🔴 SHORT BIAS A weekly close below $0.1775 opens the way toward $0.1600. Reclaiming $0.2050 would be the first recovery signal. Invalidation: Weekly reclaim above $0.2200. Will buyers defend $0.1775? #DailyOrbit $ADA $ETH just dropped back to the 2205 to 2232 range. This is a 15-minute bullish order block. The short-term selling pressure is fierce, but as soon as it touches here, the downward momentum stops. Since it formed during the day until now, this area has been retested nearly forty candlesticks, and the body has never broken below it. Just now, when it broke the previous low overnight, it startled me. However, the price quickly pulled back up after dropping, sweeping away the liquidity below. The 1-hour chart shows a Pin Bar with a long lower shadow. The bears did not continue the downtrend; the low-level order block absorbed all the selling pressure. Looking at a larger timeframe, the current price is right around the 2225 4-hour support. This position coincides exactly with the bullish order block below. The bears have repeatedly pushed down, but the candlesticks have never closed below the support. The 4-hour support and order block overlap, clearly showing strong buying support. I am still on the bullish side. The current price is resting on the 4-hour support, and the absorption below has been consistent. The expectation is for a stabilization first, then a move upward. $BTC $SOL #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 Micron has suffered a catastrophic 35% drop in 30 days, plunging from over $xMU 1,000 to a low of $650,exacerbated by news of suspending a factory plan.Yet,today it is showing the most explosive bounce of the group with a +6.46% surge to $703. The volume is spiking significantly on this green candle, proving that aggressive buyers are defending the $650 floor. Expect a violent, high-beta short squeeze.The gap between the current price and the 5-day MA ($772) is enormous, acting like a magnet. $CORE BTC is oscillating tonight — but smart money is already eyeing 73K The market is caught in short-term oscillation and tug-of-war. Many retail investors are still betting on whether the 75,000 level can hold, but pricing at the institutional and whale levels has already started to adjust downward. Smart money has shifted the next target support to the 73,000 level. Oscillation is often not a signal of stabilization but a window for bears to gather strength. The backdrop of stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls raising rate hike expectations and continuous ETF outflows remains unchanged. Leverage selling pressure has not been fully cleared, and RSI is still in a weak zone. Sideways oscillation easily creates the illusion of "the drop can't continue," attracting bottom-fishing funds to enter. Once the bullish force is exhausted, a new round of decline will begin. Key observation: If 75K is repeatedly tested but fails to form effective support multiple times, then 73K becomes the next strong observation point. If 73K is also broken, the downside adjustment space will further expand; if there is obvious buying support near 73K, a phase bottom may form. During the market oscillation phase, altcoins hide huge risks. Tokens like CORE, which suffer from chain reactions of defaults and liquidity shrinkage, can easily decouple from the main market and enter an independent downtrend. The biggest taboo in oscillating markets is rushing to bottom-fish. Do not be fooled by the sideways appearance; trend reversal must wait for confirmation signals of ETF fund inflows and full release of selling pressure.US October Nonfarm Payrolls Far Exceed Expectations, Market Increases Bets on Fed Rate Hike in December Jin10 Data, November 6 — US employment growth accelerated significantly in October, and the unemployment rate slightly declined, indicating that the labor market remains strong amid ongoing economic expansion. Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 165,000 in October, with employment figures for the previous two months revised upward. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%. Resilient consumer spending and robust business investment have supported market demand and driven corporate profit growth this year, prompting companies to increase hiring. Although employment growth has varied across months, overall hiring strength has been sufficient to keep the unemployment rate at a low level. Before the Fed's next policy meeting in December, officials will receive another employment report along with a full set of inflation data. Following a rate hike in September and a decision to hold rates steady in October, investors expect the Fed to raise rates again in December to curb inflation. After the release of the nonfarm payroll data, US short-term interest rate futures fell, with traders increasing their bets on a December rate hike by the Fed. The data released on Friday also showed that employment growth was broadly distributed across multiple industries, with professional and business services and healthcare sectors leading the gains.#BerkshireQ3CashOutlook Berkshire's Q3 cash pile is the real signal. Warren Buffett is patiently waiting. When he moves, the whole market watches. Bitcoin ($BTC) has slipped back toward the $75,000 level, recently trading around $75,839, down 3.8% over 24 hours. Meanwhile, Zcash ($ZEC) is moving in the opposite direction, climbing to approximately $1,375, gaining 7.3% in a single day and an impressive 175% over the past 90 days. While the broader crypto market remains under pressure, $ZEC is showing remarkable relative strength. There are three major factors that could explain this performance. ① NU7 Upgrade Creates Fresh Optimism Zcash's The US stock market was still playing out an apocalypse movie yesterday, and today the chip stocks collectively came back to life? 😂 On November 5, the Nasdaq dropped 5.52% in one go, and my social circle was full of "AI bubble burst" talk. But on November 6, the US stock market rebounded in early trading; as of 10:21 AM Eastern Time, the Nasdaq was up about 1.73%. I was stunned: who’s really washing out whom? (꒪⌓꒪) $NVDA fell about 9% yesterday, then rose 5.6% intraday today. Nvidia still sells AI computing power, but the market worries not only about orders but also whether data center construction will slow down due to policies and funding costs. Yesterday it was a bubble burst, today it’s a core asset to grab. ╭(°A°`)╮ $MU is even more dramatic, down about 17% yesterday. Micron’s memory chips are indispensable for AI servers, but the key questions are how long DRAM price increases can last and whether profits can be maintained after capacity expansion. Such a brutal drop in one day really trains long-term investors to act like short-term traders. 😭 $NET did release earnings: Q3 revenue was $782.5 million, up 39% year-over-year, but GAAP operating loss was still $67.9 million. The growth is indeed strong, but valuation still depends on future profit realization. What I fear most today isn’t no rebound, but a big bullish candle that makes people forget all the risks. Moreover, US employment data is relatively strong, and rate cut expectations might be disrupted. Which of these three would you dare to catch? I’m holding back my urge to chase the highs first! 😂 #NVDA #MU #NET #USStocks Not investment advice.HYPE is incredibly resilient! Up +2.34% today and a staggering +82.37% in 180 days. The recent pullback from $HYPE 97 to 78 is a healthy reset. The news about Hypercall options is a massive fundamental catalyst. If it reclaims the MA20 at 81.5, a retest of 90 is imminent. Strong buy-the-dip candidate. Question: With such massive 6-month gains, are you buying this dip, or taking profits before a deeper correction?On the eve of the non-farm payrolls, the market is unusually quiet. The slight volume contraction and sideways movement in the early session feel more like collective breath-holding by funds rather than a stabilization of the market. Leverage was cleared out last night, and today the bulls are cautious even to probe. First, looking at $BTC, current price 76170, slightly up 0.17%. After being pulled back near 75200, the early session has been hovering repeatedly around 76000. The 4-hour moving average still suppresses from above, and 77000 looks like a hard short-term resistance. Before the data release, it will likely continue to stay dormant; watch if the previous low near 75200 holds on the downside. Next, $ETH, current price 2241, slightly down 0.46%. After bottoming at 2206, it only weakly recovered; the moving average resistance has not been touched yet. The ETF continues to bleed, and Ethereum remains sensitive to overall market volatility. 2200 is both a psychological integer level and the last short-term emotional defense line. Finally, $SOL, current price 90.36. After being hammered from above 90 down to 88.29 last night, it is now barely struggling near 90. Fund attention is weak; in a weak trend, don’t rush to guess the bottom—soft targets are not suitable for catching bare-handed. Summary: The calm early session is more of an illusion; the main players are all waiting for the non-farm data. BTC is stuck, ETH is somewhat fragile, and SOL is weak. Before the data comes out, controlling your actions is more important than trying to guess the direction. Once the non-farm results are out, the market will naturally give the answer first: will BTC lose 75200 first, or will SOL drop below 88 first? Don’t rush to take sides before the direction is clear. Which side do you lean toward?This wave of SOXL has made me completely give up on US stock leverage and return to the rhythm of the crypto circle I'm familiar with. Have you noticed that people become clearer-headed after losing money? Last night, while watching the $SOXL market, I suddenly realized a very realistic fact: the pricing mechanism of those leveraged ETFs in the US stock market is almost a black box for retail investors. The slippage before and after the market, the market makers' Gamma hedging, and the overnight gap risk—all these layers quietly eat away at your margin for error. I struggled there for several rounds with a ridiculously low win rate; it wasn't that I got the direction wrong, but that I simply couldn't handle those rules. So I gave up and returned to the crypto circle I know well. But what really made me want to write this is not to complain about US stocks, but a transmission chain that many people overlook: when retail investors get frustrated with leveraged products in US stocks, where does the money go? My observation is that some of it flows back to crypto spot markets, especially $BTC, which has the deepest liquidity and the most stable narrative. This is not a new logic, but this time there is a detail worth noting: the retail sentiment indicators in US stocks have been weakening continuously, while the spot buying of $BTC has noticeably thickened during the Asian session. What does this mean? It means some people are voting with their feet, moving their positions from "rules they don't understand" to "assets they do understand." The bullish path is very clear: if this inflow continues, the spot support for $BTC will become more solid, which will then drive sentiment recovery for $ETH and leading altcoins. After all, the risk appetite in the crypto market often starts to spill over from the stability of $BTC. But$ZEC rebounded from an old low of $1,048.53 before rallying from its pullback after a peak of $1,398.00, and trades at $ZEC 1,353.07 after a +5.58% daily gain and a +6.52% change over 7 days. Short-Term: Watch support near $1,220.74 (24h low). Holding this level can spark a retest of $ZEC 1,387.89 (24h high). All-Time Prediction: In a full bull run, $ZEC could target $ZEC 1,300.00+. If support fails, it may pull back to $1,048.53. Trump Media (TMTG) has reportedly sold nearly all of its Bitcoin holdings, marking a significant shift in its corporate crypto strategy. A company once seen as a strong example of the Bitcoin corporate treasury model is now stepping away from almost its entire BTC position. This is more than a routine portfolio adjustment; it raises serious questions about institutional confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term reserve asset. 1\. Corporate Strategy: Reducing Financial Risk Trump Media initially accumAt the moment the US stock market opened, $BTC dipped sharply to 74800, sweeping the morning low of 75143, but the 1H candle closed back above 75800, not below 75100. According to the standard mentioned last night, this is not a true breakdown, more like a stop-loss sweep below. The recently closed 4H candle has a long lower shadow and volume is significantly higher than the previous ones, indicating buyers stepped in below. However, the rebound still hasn't reached 76400, currently hovering around 75700, with no clear breakout up or down. The 1H candle needs to close below 74800 for the range to be considered broken; closing back above 76400 would make this dip look like the bottom of this cycle. $ETH dipped to 2208 but still didn't break 2205, with 2250 continuing to act as resistance, showing even less strength than BTC. There might be another move before the US market closes, so let's watch the close and not just the shadows. I'M WATCHING A BIG LONG ON $TRUMP . EP: 1.240 TP: 1.279 SL: 1.113 Price exploded to 1.779 then got absolutely wrecked. Sellers controlled the entire move down with consecutive red candles and lower highs until it finally found a hard bottom at 1.113. Buyers stepped in cleanly at that low. The last few 4h candles show higher lows and a steady grind higher — the first real sign of absorption after the dump. Selling pressure is cooling and short-term structure has flipped constructive. $BTC and $ETH liquidations total nearly $400 million, with mainstream coins under the most pressure According to the 24-hour liquidation data from four exchanges, $BTC accounts for about $223.55 million, ETH about $169.1 million, totaling approximately $392.65 million; long liquidations for both total about $351.78 million. Deleveraging of mainstream coins remains the core of this round of volatility. If prices stop falling but open interest continues to decline, it may only be position clearing rather than new capital inflow. #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 📉 BTC is currently at $75,814, are the shorts starting to retreat? A trader with an 80% win rate just reduced a $9.38 million BTC short position above $75,000. Notably, the shorts chose to take profits and cover near a key support area, a behavior that can sometimes mark the start of a short squeeze rather than a typical top signal. 📌 Key levels: - First resistance: $76,371 - Strong resistance: $79,000 - First support: $75,000 - Lower support: $74,900 If BTC can hold $75,000 and climb back above $76,371, the short-term rebound may continue further. But if support fails, the risk of another dip cannot be ruled out. The question is: will this be a BTC phase bottom or just a short pause in a downtrend? Let's wait for price confirmation and not rush to chase trades. #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoThe entire set of long and short hedge positions are simultaneously showing unrealized losses, with HYPE recording a 1.21% gain. This short position still has a buffer before hitting the liquidation line at 109.53, but the paper losses have already consumed most of the hedge profits from the other positions. The 1,215,200 U income from funding fees can only slightly offset the losses caused by price movements and cannot reverse the pressure brought by volatility expansion. Volatility is no longer constrained by the spread; the deviation of a single underlying asset directly tears apart the originally smooth risk profile of this portfolio. Comparing the current amplitude with the seven-day average, volatility has reached a higher percentile. The liquidation line for the BTC short position is stuck at 109,885.06, while the forced liquidation price for the ETH long position is at 1,645.78. These two price levels are far apart, making it difficult to trigger risk simultaneously. BTC can still rely on 173,900 U in funding fees to support part of the paper losses, whereas ETH’s funding fee expenses continue to eat into its profit margin, weakening the effectiveness of the hedge offset. Volatility in this type of paired trade typically lags behind the continuous directional displacement of the underlying assets. After the price moves continuously in one direction, implied volatility will rise, increasing margin requirements and amplifying forced liquidation risk. The foundation of this position is the maintenance of a stable spread range among several underlying assets; as long as one deviates continuously from its original track, the protection inherent in the hedge structure will quickly fail. There are only two types of signals that can trigger a volatility reversal and contraction. HYPE falls back, and itNVIDIA was "called out for overtime" by Congress—who could have predicted this plot? The relationship between Jensen Huang and Alice Huang—could it really affect the risk appetite in the AI sector? When I saw this news this morning while watching the perpetual contract order book, my first reaction wasn’t gossip but to check if there were any anomalies in the Nasdaq futures and BTC basis. The chairmen of three U.S. House committees jointly sent a letter to Jensen Huang, demanding he appear before Congress for a closed-door hearing regarding his relationship with Alice Huang, who has been identified by intelligence agencies as a "spy." The event itself is still procedural, but the market is trading on expectations: the regulatory tail risk of the AI narrative is being repriced. First, look at the derivatives structure. Recently, NVDA options skew has shifted toward bearish protection, indicating some capital has bought insurance in advance; BTC perpetual funding rates remain positive but not extreme, and leveraged longs have not clearly retreated. Putting these together shows a mismatch of "the stock side is defending first, while the crypto side hasn’t reacted yet." If the hearing escalates to a formal investigation, the AI sector’s risk premium will widen first, then transmit through Nasdaq sentiment to BTC and ETH, with altcoins typically following the downtrend with a lag of one to two days. There is also a bullish path: if the closed-door hearing is just a routine inquiry without further accusations, the suppressed risk appetite will quickly rebound, AI concept coins and computing power-related assets may see sentiment recovery, and BTC could have a chance to test selling pressure near previous highs. But here is a point easily overlooked—the market has already priced this in in advance On November 5, the BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of about $430 million, and the ETH ETF also had an outflow of about $99.9 million, totaling approximately $530 million withdrawn from both. Just the day before, funds had flowed back in, but the next day they started flowing out again. This made me realize one thing: institutions buying in doesn’t mean they will hold forever; large capital recognizing this market doesn’t mean they agree with the price I bought at. Next time I see a headline aboutI'M WATCHING A BIG LONG ON $TRUMP . EP: 1.240 TP: 1.279 SL: 1.113 Price exploded to 1.779 then got absolutely wrecked. Sellers controlled the entire move down with consecutive red candles and lower highs until it finally found a hard bottom at 1.113. Buyers stepped in cleanly at that low. The last few 4h candles show higher lows and a steady grind higher — the first real sign of absorption after the dump. Selling pressure is cooling and short-term structure has flipped constructive. Solana is holding strong at $SOL 90.73. The daily chart shows a clear consolidation after the drop from 107. The protocol change news is bullish for long-term scalability. While the 30-day trend is -21.97%, the 90-day is +19.36%. A daily close above 92 could confirm a short-term bottom and target 98. Question: Is Solana coiling up for a massive pump back to triple digits, or is the bearish momentum too strong to fight?#BerkshireQ3CashOutlook #Massive cash reserve for Berkshire, the financial report will reveal the latest developments Berkshire's growing cash pile is worth watching. While some see it as a sign of caution, I see it as a strategic advantage. In an uncertain market, large cash reserves give Buffett the flexibility to capitalize on opportunities when valuations become attractive. The main question is whether Berkshire will finally start using its cash or continue waiting for better opportunities. What do you think? 📊 Aftershock of the Nonfarm Payroll Surge: Extreme Panic, Bulls and Bears Battle at 76K! Nonfarm Payrolls exceeded expectations, shattering rate cut dreams, the market shows weak recovery, and sentiment is panicked. 📉 Market Snapshot BTC is weakly consolidating near 76,000, ETH currently at 2,230. The Fear and Greed Index is 28 (Fear). Funding rates are slightly positive, bulls are still holding on hard, bears have not fully taken control. 🔍 Core Logic Strong nonfarm data pushed up US Treasury yields, sustained pressure on the dollar. Tech stocks fell, dragging down sentiment, and the crypto market was sold off in tandem. Although ETFs saw inflows in a single day, the overall trend remains weak. ⚔️ Leverage Liquidation In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the network reached 588 million, with long positions accounting for 392 million (BTC liquidations 235 million, ETH liquidations 137 million). Long leverage was heavily cleaned out, but funding rates have not turned negative, so rebounds are still easily interrupted by forced liquidations. 🎯 Key Levels BTC: Support at 75,500-75,800 (breakdown target 73,900); resistance at 77,400→78,000. ETH: Support at 2,200-2,240; resistance at 2,280-2,300. 💡 Trading Suggestions Currently, the certainty of bottom-fishing on the left side is low. Conservative traders should wait for volume to push back above 77,400 before following on the right side; aggressive traders can lightly test near 75,500 with strict stop-losses. Patience to wait for stabilization is more important than blindly bottom-fishing! 🎬 Even the Big Short is trimming: Burry cut his semiconductor ETF puts by 25% — but he's still holding puts on Palantir and Oracle. The chip panic is cooling, not over. That matters for $BTC: semis dragged crypto down all week. If chips stabilize, the $75,000 floor holds and $76,371 is next; if not, $74,900 then $72,402. Is the AI sell-off done? 👇 #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto📉 $BTC $75,814 — the shorts are backing off: an 80% win-rate trader just cut $9.38M of BTC shorts right above $75,000. Covering near support is what squeezes start from, not what tops look like. Resistance: $76,371 then $79,000. Support: $75,000 then $74,900. Bottom or just a pause? 👇 #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto
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