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Being bullish on the upcoming market does not mean you should heavily buy the falling knife right now. @懂币猫 The most important reminder in this situation is not to rush to prove the bull market is still ongoing, but to acknowledge that the short-term trend has worsened: profits can be retraced, but the principal cannot be broken through by a single counter-trend position. Without principal, no matter how good the future opportunities are, you can only watch from the sidelines. He personally reported that the profits accumulated during this round of rise have experienced a significant retracement, and also admitted that the market dropped more sharply than originally expected. But this does not mean others should stubbornly hold their positions according to his. On the contrary, he repeatedly separates his personal low-cost spot holdings, short-term contracts, and ordinary people's bottom-fishing behaviors: holding costs, capital endurance, and waiting time are all different, so you cannot just hear "the bull is still here" and ignore your own liquidation price. First, look at $BTC. He still tends to interpret the current trend as a correction within a bull market, believing that at the current position, it is too early to declare that only a bear market rebound remains. This is his directional judgment, not evidence that the bottom has been confirmed. He also admits that the daily chart is still in a downtrend, the four-hour descending trendline continues to exert pressure, and there is currently no clear sign of reversal. Therefore, the next opportunity he previously expected needs to be postponed; you cannot forcefully interpret the deteriorating candlesticks as buying points just to catch the original script. If the market does not go as expected, delay the plan; if it breaks below the originally hoped-to-hold position, reobserve instead of continuing to add positions to maintain your judgment. What he prefers to wait for is for the key area to hold first, or for the price to sweep liquidity downward, show a false breakdown, and then pull back. Another confirmation is a rebound breaking through the descending🟢 $BTC (Bitcoin) Liquidation Details (24 hours)
· Total Liquidation Amount: $130 million
· Long Position Liquidations: $105 million (80.9%)
· Short Position Liquidations: $24.9009 million (19.1%)
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🟣 $ETH (Ethereum) Liquidation Details (24 hours)
· Total Liquidation Amount: $86.2647 million
· Long Position Liquidations: $72.2321 million (83.7%)
· Short Position Liquidations: $14.0325 million (16.3%)
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🟡 $ZEC (Zcash) Liquidation Details (24 hours)
· Total Liquidation Amount: $16.4444 million
· Long Position Liquidations: $4.6952 million (28.6%)
· Short Position Liquidations: $11.7492 million (71.4%)[Google's $88.3 Billion Holdings, 94.8% Bet on SpaceX]
In Alphabet's $88.35 billion holdings disclosed for Q3, SpaceX alone accounts for $83.73 billion, a proportion as high as 94.78%. Moreover, Google is still increasing its position, adding about 3.85 million shares. The total portfolio market value has declined, mainly due to fluctuations in core asset valuations, which should not be directly interpreted as institutional divestment.
$SPCX recent stock price has fallen below the $135 IPO issue price, dropping 9.1% on November 5th alone, closing at $123.62. The book value of Google's holding will continue to be under pressure. Betting on a star company can certainly yield significant profits, but concentrating the position to this extent also amplifies the risk.
Qualcomm's new position is about $548 million, backed by clear industrial logic: it is expanding from mobile chips to AI data centers, aiming for $15 billion in data center chip revenue by fiscal year 2029. Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta have also become related customers. Google and Qualcomm already cooperate, and this investment looks more like an early layout for the AI computing power supply chain.
Qualcomm is worth attention but does not yet indicate a large-scale portfolio adjustment by Google. The real determinant of this portfolio's fate remains SpaceX. The so-called $88.3 billion holding is essentially a highly concentrated SpaceX investment.
#特斯拉与SpaceX两日市值蒸发约4560亿美元 Nonfarm payrolls exceed expectations, the market needs to recalculate the December interest rate path
The US added 165,000 nonfarm jobs in October, significantly higher than the market expectation of about 59,000; the unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% to 4.1%. This is not simply "good economy means positive for risk assets": strong employment may make the Federal Reserve more patient in maintaining a tight policy. $BTC and $ETH will next depend on how US Treasury yields, the dollar, and spot funds react.
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 Long and short positions both wiped out overnight: 238,000 liquidations, bulls take center stage
In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw $1.256 billion liquidated, with 238,000 forced liquidations, a scale surpassing yesterday's $1 billion and 135,000 liquidations. The largest single liquidation occurred on ETH, amounting to $10.93 million.
The key point is the structural reversal: yesterday shorts liquidated $571 million and longs $434 million, indicating a clear short squeeze; today longs liquidated $1.123 billion, shorts only $133 million, with longs accounting for 89.4%. Nearly 90% of liquidations came from the bulls. BTC liquidated $324 million, with longs making up 90.9%; ETH liquidated $209 million, also dominated by longs. SOXL and SNDK liquidated $59.72 million and $59.32 million respectively, with leveraged US stock products wiping out high-leverage long positions; the heatmap is almost entirely green, with only SOXS showing some red, indicating short sellers in semiconductors did not escape.
The timeline is even harsher: $1.182 billion liquidated in 12 hours, including $1.071 billion longs, corresponding to BTC crashing from 81,000 to 75,000 after the US stock market collapse; within 4 hours, longs liquidated another $178 million, still ongoing. Yesterday shorts were cornered, today bulls collectively fall, with both sides unable to escape this round of liquidation. 238,000 accounts wiped out overnight, behind which capital providers are harvesting from both directions.The US stock market dropped sharply, while AI investment profits are being scrutinized by the market!
🔎 Financial reports from Rocket Lab and ASTS are about to be released, progress in the commercial aerospace sector becomes the focus! SoftBank invests heavily in OpenAI, can Nvidia boost market confidence with its upcoming earnings results? Bitcoin miner Core Scientific is preparing to exit its business of operating mining machines and earning Bitcoin ($BTC). The company announced in its earnings call that it plans to completely shut down this business by the fourth quarter of 2026.
The number of active mining machines on its network has already decreased by nearly 50% compared to the end of 2025. Starting in 2027, the company plans to exclusively manage high-intensity computing equipment on behalf of clients.🐋 An 80% win-rate $BTC trader just cut $9.38M of shorts near $75,000 — the sharp wallets are covering, not pressing. When the best traders stop betting against the level, the squeeze side builds. My line is still $75,000: hold it and $76,371, then $79,000, are next; break it and $74,900, then $72,402. Are the shorts capitulating or just taking profit? 👇 #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoBTC will neither surge nor crash tonight — but something even scarier is happening
The market is very likely to remain in a narrow range tonight, with no strong basis for a sharp rally and no extreme crash expected for now. However, a slow, grinding decline that cuts losses bit by bit is far more damaging than a one-time plunge.
A sudden crash quickly clears panic selling pressure, which can actually make it easier to find a short-term bottom; but prolonged sideways grinding steadily wears down market patience: bottom-fishing funds enter in batches, repeatedly getting trapped, with on-exchange chips passively changing hands, and unrealized losses accumulating. Coupled with continuous ETF outflows and cooling rate cut expectations, the negative liquidity factors remain unresolved, and every small rebound traps new traders.
The market’s illusion is easy to fall for: repeated support around 75K creates the false impression that the price won’t fall further, but trading volume remains persistently low and buying power is weak. The longer this tug-of-war between bulls and bears lasts, the greater the potential selling pressure when a breakdown eventually occurs.
Altcoin markets will bear the brunt first; coins like CORE, which suffer from fundamental chain reactions of bad news and shrinking liquidity, are more likely to experience independent downtrends during this grinding consolidation phase.
The real danger is not a single large bearish candle, but the prolonged emotional exhaustion. Until ETF outflows stop and leverage is fully cleared, don’t rush to heavily bottom-fish just because the price is sideways. The initial expected one-year inflation rate in the US for November is 4.3%, with an expectation of 4.7%, and the previous value was 4.70%.XAUT/USDT Short Outlook
* Current Price: $XAUT 4,049.20
* Prediction: Pullback after testing upper resistance.
* Target: $XAUT 4,015.10 (24h low)
* Key Support: $4,000.00
* Resistance: $4,112.60 (24h high)
Trade Setup: Expect a short correction toward the $4,015–$4,000 support area before potential consolidation. The $BTC spike to 77011 was just a fakeout with no follow-through, the $ETH 2286 top signal is too obvious, and the $ZEC 1387 pump is just a bull trap; all the rebounds are opportunities for shorts to enter.
That spike to 77011 was too fake, it went up without volume, purely a dream for the bulls. Now it's grinding at 75563 near the lower Bollinger band at 75445, RSI at 37.5 is lifeless, MA7 and MA25 are both pressing down from above—what kind of rebound is this? Funding rate is still positive at 0.0041%, bulls are still paying protection fees. I think this level is not a bottom but a springboard for another leg down. If the 74887 low breaks, don't rush to buy; there’s still room below.
I called the $ETH 2286 top early; RSI at 36.1 is even weaker than BTC. The current price 2223 is just 2 points above the lower band at 2221, holding only out of courtesy. MA7 and MA25 are crossing above 2234, pressing down. A rebound above 2240 is a short entry signal. Don’t fantasize about an independent ETH rally; it’s currently moving down with BTC.
The $ZEC pump to 1387 is the most annoying, up 5.69% looking lively, funding rate directly at 0.01%, clearly overcrowded bulls, RSI 57.2 won’t hold for two days. Chasing longs at 1339 is just catching the falling knife; I’ll only consider shorts if it rebounds near the upper band at 1356. Overall: rebounds are ladders for shorts. If BTC breaks 74887 or ETH breaks 2206, don’t hesitate—the direction is down, no discussion.The overnight session delivered a clean, brutal lesson in market mechanics. $BTC lost the $80,000 handle and printed $76,102.2, down 5.49% over 24 hours after a range of $80,960 to $75,558.3. The headline number matters less than the sequence: longs were stopped out into a falling tape, and the buy/sell ratio actually rose to 2.91 from 2.78 four hours earlier. More buyers, lower prices — a signature of forced exits rather than voluntary accumulation. Open interest tells the same story. $BTC posiBeijing time tonight 21:30, US October nonfarm employment report will be released, market expects new +65k, while rate hike expectation already fallen from around 80% to 68.7% Rate hike probability lowered, does it mean it won't lower more? Today mainstream and US stock market big drop, does it mean bottomed? Brothers, market is free, market volatility absolutely won't be controlled within our psychological range My short-term thinking still continue to look bearish, rebound first seen as repairSouth Korea's KOSPI plunged triggering a circuit breaker, semiconductors collectively plunged, risk sentiment spilled over suppressing the crypto market, SPCX rebounded against the trend but failed to hold the high position. I judge the short-term is still a weak recovery rather than a trend reversal. On the four-hour level, it has fallen 20.20% from the high; on the one-hour level, it is down 8.60% from the high and only 6.63% above the low, the downward slope remains unchanged; the current price 130.48 has rebounded over 7% from the 24h low of 121.93, but the order book's top 10 buy/sell ratio is 0.73, with sell orders at 2882 outweighing buy orders at 2115, the funding rate is 0.0000%, and the open interest of 429,000 shows bulls have no premium and incremental funds are watching. 132.96 forms the key resistance for this rebound. Strategically, lightly short near 131.85 with a stop loss at 133.65 and a target of 125.35; if volume increases and it stabilizes above 132.96, reverse to go long with a stop loss at 130.15 and a target of 137.45. Single position should not exceed 20%, exit immediately if broken, do not hold losing positions.
—For personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading.—
$SPCX#US stocks suffer heavy sell-off: Philadelphia Semiconductor Index records largest single-day drop since March 2020
#South Korea KOSPI plunges triggering circuit breaker, semiconductors collectively plunge
$SPCX TRUMP/USDT Short Outlook
* Current Price: $TRUMP 1.231
* Prediction: Heavy downtrend overall, testing recent low support after massive drop.
* Target: $TRUMP 1.113 (24h low)
* Key Support: $1.100
* Resistance: $1.279 (24h high)
Trade Setup: Watch for a retest of the $1.113 support level. If support breaks, expect new lows; otherwise, look for short-term consolidation around $1.20. The chip sector crashed 6.2%, but this mining farm rose 17%
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index recorded its largest single-day drop since March 2020, with $SOXL down 6.2%.
On the same night, $IREN rose 17.2%.
A Bitcoin mining farm surged against the trend on the night of the AI trading crash, which only proves one thing: it’s not selling coins, it’s selling electricity.
IREN’s AI cloud revenue increased by 182% quarter-over-quarter. The market finally understands: the most valuable assets of a mining farm are not the mining machines, but the grid-connected power capacity plus the ready-made data centers—two things AI companies have been waiting 5 to 7 years in line to get.
According to a 120-page Morgan Stanley report estimate: it takes 5–7 years to queue for grid connection in the US, 1–3 years for natural gas turbines; Bitcoin mining farms already have 10–19GW of grid-connected capacity that can be directly converted to data centers, while under a neutral scenario AI still lacks about 1GW, and under a pessimistic scenario 11GW.
So tonight’s divergence is not "AI peaking," but AI shifting from buying chips to buying electricity. Chip valuations are being cut, while power assets are being revalued.
If electricity is hard currency, then BTC’s hash rate cost, miners’ bargaining power after halving, and the geographic distribution of hash power all need to be recalculated.
So here’s the question: if AI’s bottleneck is electricity, who will be revalued next—the mining farms, the power grid, or nuclear power?
#美股遭大幅拋售：費城半導體指數創2020年3月以來最大單日跌幅 BTC large orders net sold about $86 million, price rebound depends on active buying
Swiftedge order book report shows BTC large order net flow about -$86 million, 24-hour active buy-sell net flow biased to selling. Meanwhile, there is a sell wall above the order book and a buy wall below. Even if $BTC rebounds in the short term, it is necessary to confirm whether large active sell orders are converging; relying solely on order book support can easily lead to false stability.
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 Bitcoin is under pressure, with ETFs seeing a net outflow of about $1.1 billion in the past 7 days. The decline in risk appetite has instead brought more attention to gold's safe-haven properties. Although XAU has experienced a short-term pullback, the overall structure remains intact, and I tend to view it as oscillating with a bullish bias.
The 24-hour price fluctuated between 4133.9 and 4028, closing at 4070.8, down 0.8%, with a turnover of 98.428 million; the 1-hour chart is turning up, while the 4-hour chart is still under pressure, showing divergence across different timeframes. The top 10 levels of the order book show 317,000 buy orders versus 70,000 sell orders, with a buy/sell ratio of 4.51, clearly favoring buyers; the funding rate is zero, open interest is 37,000, sentiment is neutral, with no signs of overheating.
In terms of operations, a light long position can be tried near 4045 with a stop loss at 4018 and a target of 4128; if the price rises to 4136 and faces resistance, a short position can be taken with a stop loss at 4158 and a target of 4062. Single position size should be controlled within 20%, with strict stop losses, and avoid holding losing positions.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$XAU#比特币承压，ETF近7日净流出约11亿美元
#比特币承压，ETF近7日净流出约11亿美元
$XAU There was a premonition of a crash, but it was unexpected that the midterm elections would be the trigger.
The US stock market violently evaporated over $2 trillion (a total of about $2.5 trillion wiped out throughout the day, equivalent to the entire market cap of the crypto space gone in one day). The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plummeted 11.2%, marking the worst single-day drop since the circuit breaker in March 2020, and the Nasdaq 100 plunged 6.4%, officially entering a technical correction zone.
Such a rapid bloodletting and pullback is definitely not a one-sided panic correction. When Texas suspended data centers, the political pricing fermented in pre-market trading. At the opening bell, all quantitative models rushed out in the same direction, and market makers on the buy side proactively withdrew orders to avoid risk, causing a free fall in a liquidity vacuum.
Simply put, the crowded AI single-faith underwent a violent deleveraging under a perfect storm of timing, location, and human factors. How the market moves next depends on tonight's nonfarm payroll data Fidelity FBTC alone moved 200 million, IBIT also pulled 105 million. Previous day 74.57 million net inflow only lasted one day, this rhythm makes it hard to call capital return. $BTC current price about 76290, 24h high 80097, low 75143, overnight dropped nearly 3800 points, funding rate only around +0.005%, basically no premium. This position I won't bottom fish, ETF still shipping, price has to hold by itself. Nonfarm tonight 21:30, market expects new +65k, unemployment 4.2%, if data stronger rate hike expec🇺🇸 $XAUT / USDT Price Prediction
Current Price: $XAUT 4,048.50
Support Level: $XAUT 4,015.10
Target: $4,150.00 🚀📈
Analysis:
$XAUT (Tether Gold) is holding steady around $4,048 after bouncing off its support level of $4,015.10. With recent green candles pushing above short-term moving averages, look for a target retest toward the $4,150.00 resistance area! 💰🔥 Rooftop Trader$｜Employment Data Exceeds Expectations, BTC Under Pressure, AI Computing Power Still Expanding On November 6, several signals worth noting appeared in the global market. 1. US Employment Stronger Than Expected, Interest Rate Hike Pressure Reheats In October, the US added 165,000 nonfarm jobs, significantly higher than the market expectation of 65,000, and the unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%. Strong employment data means the US economy remains resilient, but it may also give the Federal Reserve more reason to maintain high interest rates or even continue raising them. For the market, strong employment is not necessarily all positive: the US dollar and US Treasury yields rising may put pressure on high-valuation tech stocks and BTC. 2. BTC Faces Outflow Pressure The US spot BTC ETF has recently seen consecutive net outflows, indicating that market risk appetite remains a concern. ETF outflows do not mean all investors are bearish on BTC, but it shows institutional spot buying is temporarily not strong enough. Going forward, key factors to watch include ETF fund flows, the US dollar, US Treasury yields, and whether BTC can regain sustained buying interest. 3. AI Computing Power Industry Chain Still Growing IREN reported quarterly AI cloud business revenue increased 182% quarter-on-quarter, reaching $200 million; AAOI's third-quarter revenue grew 127.5% year-on-year, setting a revenue record for the sixth consecutive quarter. This indicates that AI industry demand is transmitting to infrastructure segments such as cloud computing, data centers, and high-speed optical modules. However, revenue growth does not necessarily mean stock prices will rise; capital expenditure, profit margins, delivery capability, and valuation also matter. 4. Stablecoins BTC/USDT Short Outlook
* Current Price: $BTC 75,586.90
* Prediction: Strong downward trend testing low support levels.
* Target: $BTC 74,887.90 (24h low)
* Key Support: $74,500.00
* Resistance: $77,011.20 (24h high)
Trade Setup: Watch for a retest of the $74,887.90 support level. If support breaks, expect lower lows; otherwise, look for short-term consolidation. SNDK and SOXL combined liquidations exceed $100 million, AI trading is also deleveraging
Among the four exchanges' statistics, SNDK's 24-hour liquidation is about $55.34 million, SOXL about $52.09 million; both are mainly long liquidations. During the same period, $BTC liquidations were about $224 million. AI semiconductors and crypto assets are both under pressure, indicating that risk reduction is not limited to the crypto circle, and cross-market leverage is contracting simultaneously.
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 "Maji"
The latest update available on November 6 shows that Maji's ETH long position faced partial forced liquidation, with about 136 ETH liquidated, then replenished to about 530 ETH, currently still at an unrealized loss. The liquidation price was around $2200, while ETH was about $2235 at the time, only $35 away from liquidation.
Maji's previous unrealized profit of over $500,000 was not stably maintained, and the position experienced a significant drawdown. What is more worth watching now is whether he will continue to add to the position and whether ETH can hold around $2200."When I was a child, my friends and I would be fascinated by a fictional treasure hunt adventure. Growing up, I actually found a treasure map on the European continent" 🏴☠️
This practical tutorial uses the ETH prize pool as a demonstration. If you have BTC, the operation method is not much different, and the prize pool is equally generous 💰
Switch between the two prize pools on the Flash Earn activity page:
💚 BTC Subscription Pool: 410,000 USDT, minimum subscription starting from 0.001 BTC
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You can view the current subscription details as well as your own subscription amount and rewards, redeemable anytime, anywhere.
📍Text summary: Find Flash Earn｜Share millions of USDT on the OKX App
➡️ Click to enter the activity page
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➡️ Click the green subscription button
➡️ Fill in the subscription amount, which cannot exceed the subscription limit or be below the threshold. At this point, you can see the estimated daily earnings
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Finally, you can check the current claimable rewards on the subscription details page: including simple coin earnings and activity USDT rewards 💵
The staking limit increases progressively with different levels. The activity is still ongoing. Open the OKX Flash Earn page and don’t let this treasure lose its most knowledgeable explorer 🔦xSOXL/USDT Short Outlook
* Current Price: $xSOXL 45.77
* Prediction: Strong downtrend; expecting a short-term pullback to retest support.
* Target: $SOXL 40.13 (24h low)
* Key Support: $40.00
* Resistance: $50.83 (24h high)
Trade Setup: Watch for a retest of the $40.13 level before potential consolidation. #软银重金押注OpenAI，Q2财报能否交出亮眼成绩？ OpenAI's Next Earnings Expectation: AI Commercialization Is Entering an Accelerated Phase!🚀
I am generally optimistic about OpenAI's financial performance in the next phase.
Several key signals to watch:
1. Revenue growth potential remains huge
According to recent media reports, OpenAI's annualized revenue as of September 2026 is close to $50 billion, and the company expects annualized revenue to reach $70 billion or more by the end of the year.
This means AI commercialization is no longer just a concept but is gradually forming scaled revenue.
2. Enterprise customers are becoming the new growth engine
OpenAI management recently revealed that enterprise customers have become the company's largest source of revenue, surpassing consumer business.
This is very important. Enterprise customers usually have more sustained usage needs, which also means AI is shifting from a personal tool to enterprise productivity infrastructure.
3. Codex and AI Agent are expected to open new revenue streams
With the continuous development of AI programming, automated office work, and intelligent agent products, OpenAI's future business model is expected to expand from subscription fees further into enterprise-level services and usage-based billing.
This could become a key driver for the next phase of growth. U.S. stocks faced heavy selling, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index experiencing its largest single-day drop since March 2020, directly suppressing triple-leveraged semiconductor products. I maintain a short-term bearish view on this target. Although there is still 10.86% room from the intraday low, both the one-hour and four-hour trends are declining in sync, and the rebound looks more like a correction rather than a reversal.
The current price is 45.25, slightly down 0.3%. The intraday range stretched from 38.82 to 50.03, with a turnover of 42.086 million. The funding rate has returned to zero, indicating no intention from bulls or bears to add leverage. The top ten levels of the order book show a buy-to-sell ratio of only 0.74, with 19,000 sell orders outweighing 14,000 buy orders, dominated by selling pressure. Open interest stands at 1.332 million contracts with no obvious reduction, and trapped positions remain a hidden risk.
Strategically, a light short position can be tried on a rebound to 47.65, with a stop loss at 49.85 and a target of 41.35; if there is a sharp drop stabilizing near 40.15, a short-term long position can be taken, with a stop loss at 38.55 and a target of 44.95. Single position size should not exceed 20%. Exit immediately if the intraday low is broken; do not hold losing positions.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SOXL#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅
#美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅
$SOXL 📊 Today's Altcoin Market Snapshot: Don't Be Misled by the Rebound
Brothers, focus on the changes in these three coins today 👇
🪙 $AKE: Rebound ≠ Reversal
Some short positions were closed out early this morning, causing the price to rebound, but this is not a bullish attack, nor does it look like a pump by whales. The core reason for the negative funding rate is excessive shorts suppressing the contract price; now it's just short covering. Overall, still bearish, don't rush to bottom-fish ⚠️
🪙 $MERL: Oscillating Upward, Wait and See
The daily chart structure is still oscillating upward, currently in a pullback phase. Long positions are floating at a loss of $368,000, but volume hasn't clearly increased yet. Don't act hastily before the direction emerges; wait for follow-up signals 👀
🪙 $BEAT: Balanced Bulls and Bears, Direction Unclear
The current long-short ratio is fairly even, so blindly guessing price moves isn't cost-effective. Rather than entering blindly, wait for the trend to reveal itself before acting; being cautious is more profitable 🧘
📌 Summary: Don't chase the rebound on AKE, wait for volume on MERL, wait for trend on BEAT. When the market is unclear, move less and watch more. #美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 #美股遭大幅抛售：费城半导体指数创2020年3月以来最大单日跌幅 #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 Bitcoin fell nearly 6% in a single day, losing the $76,000 level, as tech stock sell-offs spread to the crypto market
Bitcoin plunged last night following the dive in US tech stocks. The crypto market broadly declined, with BTC market cap retreating to $1.52 trillion. BTC is quoted at $75,721, down 5.9% in 24 hours, down 3.4% over 7 days, and down 9.9% over 30 days. After the Binance hack incident, BTC once rebounded to $81,200, but this round of decline has erased all the rebound gains.
Institutional funds turned to outflows amid the decline. SoSoValue data shows that on November 5 Eastern Time, Bitcoin spot ETFs had a total net outflow of $430 million, compared to a net inflow of $74.5677 million the previous day. Fidelity's FBTC led with a single-day net outflow of $200 million, followed by BlackRock's IBIT with a net outflow of $105 million.
The futures market is deleveraging amid the decline, and options expirations are further amplifying volatility. Deribit has about $2.64 billion in BTC options expiring today at 16:00, with a put/call ratio of 0.38, a max pain point at $79,000, and positions concentrated in call options at $82,000 and $85,000. Currently, the coin price is far below the strike prices #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC One address is simultaneously shorting $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL, with a nominal exposure of about $670 million, yet it is still showing losses on the books — but it continuously earns funding fees, turning the loss into a "waiting game." This is the most critical crack to watch in the current market: not how high the price rises, but how long shorts can sustain themselves through funding rates. Breaking it down, all three positions are in full margin mode. The $BTC short holds 2,326.18 coins, valued at $190 million, opened at 76,398.7, with an unrealized loss of $8.7331 million, but funding fees earned amount to $3.6261 million, margin at $37.29 million, liquidation price at 137,805. The $ETH short holds 87,500 coins, valued at $210 million, opened at 2,322.71, unrealized loss of $8.556 million, funding fees earned $4.627 million, liquidation price at 3,940.83. The $SOL short holds 684,800 coins, valued at $64.8 million, opened at 94.3346, unrealized loss of $203,700, funding fees earned $3.9816 million, liquidation price at 285.99. Summing the three, the unrealized loss is about $17.5 million, with funding fees already pocketed around $12.4 million. The gap is narrowing, but the direction still favors the shorts — as long as the funding rate remains positive. This is exactly where the market tends to underestimate: most people focus on the liquidation price, and seeing it far from the current price, judge it as "risk-free," but they overlook that the key to this structure is not the price but the shift in funding rates. A distant liquidation price means short squeezes are difficult in the short term; but expanding unrealized losses combined with funding$CORE – LONG SIGNAL🔴
Entry: 0.01325 – 0.01332
TP1: 0.01345🔵
TP2: 0.01355
TP3: 0.01365
Stop Loss: 0.01312🟠
Support: 0.01320
Resistance: 0.01345
Analysis: 1H trend remains bullish as price stays above EMA10 and EMA20.
A pullback is underway after rejection near 0.01366.
Wait for bullish confirmation before entering.
Risk: If 0.01314 breaks, avoid the long setup.
#DailyOrbit @OKX 预言家 How will BTC move tonight? Holders should watch these 5 signals closely
Against the backdrop of non-farm payrolls exceeding expectations and continuous ETF outflows, the market has entered a critical phase of competition. There's no need to repeatedly guess the ups and downs; just focus on the five core signals.
① Support at 75,000: This is the first line of defense currently. A volume-driven break below it is likely to trigger a new round of cascading liquidations; holding it means a high probability of entering a consolidation and bottoming phase, but 76,000 has already turned into strong resistance.
② Spot ETF capital flow: As long as large outflows continue, the institutional withdrawal trend has not reversed. Any rebound's sustainability will be greatly discounted; capital inflow is the most important prerequisite for a trend reversal.
③ Futures leverage liquidation status: Currently, leverage has not been fully cleared. In a high-leverage environment, the market is prone to violent fluctuations. Only after large-scale liquidation of long positions will selling pressure be significantly relieved.
④ RSI and moving average patterns: If RSI continues to hover in the weak zone and price remains under the moving averages for a long time, short-term rebounds are likely to be bull traps.
⑤ Linkage between US stocks and US Treasury yields: Rising Treasury yields will continue to suppress rate cut expectations. Risk assets will find it difficult to have an independent rally, and cross-market panic will accelerate transmission to the crypto market.
In a weak market phase, altcoin risks amplify. Assets like CORE, which suffer from fundamental chain explosions and liquidity shrinkage, have a much higher downside elasticity than BTC. Before multiple signals resonate positively, heavy positions betting on a rebound carry extremely high risk.Can SNDK Turn the Pressure Into a Powerful Rebound? 👀
SNDK is facing serious selling pressure, with $241M in large short positions over the past 24 hours compared to just $31M in long positions. That's a huge imbalance, and it shows how cautious traders have become.
Meanwhile, tonight’s Nonfarm Payrolls data could come in weaker than expected, potentially easing expectations for a December rate hike.
Do you think SNDK is ready for a comeback?
#SNDK #SanDisk #StockMarket #NFP
#DailyOrbit $ETH/USDT Market Update
$ETH rebounded from an old low of $2,174.00 before rallying to a powerful peak of $ETH 2,526.40, and trades at $2,227.18 after a -0.49% daily change and a -0.75% change over 7 days.
Short-Term: Watch support near $2,206.00 (24h low). Holding this level can spark a retest of $ETH 2,286.73 (24h high).
All-Time Prediction: In a full bull run, $ETH could target $2,600.00+. If support fails, it may pull back to $ETH 2,100.00.
Will $ETH break its peak or drop? Comment below! BTC Technical Outlook Fully Bearish: RSI at 38, Moving Averages Suppressing, Leverage Not Cleared — Is Tonight's Rebound a Trap?
The current BTC technical pattern has collectively turned bearish: RSI has dropped to 38, positioned below the 50 midpoint into a weak zone, but not yet into the oversold area below 30. The bearish momentum has not been fully exhausted, so relying solely on this indicator is insufficient to support a sustained reversal. Meanwhile, the price continues to be suppressed by moving averages, with rebounds encountering selling pressure upon touching these averages; derivative leverage levels remain high, with a large number of long positions yet to be liquidated, potentially triggering a new round of forced liquidations at any time.
Many mistake the slight rally as a bottom, but this rebound is likely a technical bull trap. Coupled with macro bearish factors such as better-than-expected non-farm payrolls and continued large ETF outflows, without improvement in capital flows, short-term rebounds are more likely to attract bottom-fishing funds, only to face renewed downward pressure afterward.
Key observation points: First, whether the rebound can effectively hold above critical moving averages; second, whether there is large-scale leverage clearing and a slowdown in ETF outflow pace. If neither condition is met, the 75,000 support will be tested again after the rebound ends.
In a weak market environment, altcoin risks are significantly amplified. Tokens like CORE, which suffer from cascading crashes and liquidity shrinkage, have much higher downside elasticity than BTC. Technical indicators only reflect the current state; the true turning point still depends on institutional capital sentiment. Do not be misled by temporary price spikes.#تدفع ASTS is a direct-to-satellite mobile phone service, and commercial progress is pending disclosure. $ASTS may record 13 rocket launches in 2027 and 32 by 2031, with only eight Falcon 9 flights and two New Glenn flights potentially carrying about 40 Blue Bird satellites in 2027.
This could bring ASTS very close to about 45 satellites needed for continuous coverage in key markets, but what is really interesting is that $SPCX may still represent half of its launches by 2031 despite direct competition from Starlink Mobile. 🇺🇸 $xSOXL / USDT Price Prediction
Current Price: $xSOXL 45.75
Support Level: $40.13
Target: $xSOXL 55.00 🚀📈
Analysis:
$xSOXL is seeing a strong surge of +10.13% today, bouncing hard off its 24-hour low support at $40.13. If momentum holds above this level, watch for a push toward the $55.00 resistance zone next! 💰🔥 At this position, should you be greedy or fearful?
MU is tugging back and forth around $687.67, with resistance at $731.78 above and support at $643.56 below. The price is stuck in the middle, and neither bulls nor bears have the upper hand yet.
The most frustrating thing during this period is not the drop, but this indecisive oscillation—it tests patience and discipline.
The bulls say: It has already retraced to the 52% percentile in the past 30 days, oversold + low-level support, recovery is just a matter of time; the bears say: profit-taking, overhead trapped positions suppressing, volume not keeping up, the rebound lacks sustainability, the rebound is just an escape opportunity.
Both sides have valid points, which is why the market is oscillating. This precisely indicates that now is not the time to heavily bet, but to wait for a clear direction before acting.
My advice: trade the range between $643.56 and $731.78 by selling high and buying low to capture swings, don’t be greedy; wait for a volume breakout above $731.78 to follow the trend toward $776.76, or if it breaks below $643.56, go flat and observe.
Remember one thing: opportunities are waited for, not chased. Data is for reference only, does not constitute investment advice, and risk control is important.
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 $MU Just after midnight, about to turn off the lights and sleep, I casually checked the market! BTC is still struggling around 76000, ETH fell below 2300, but CELO rose 3% against the trend! Looking at the liquidation data, longs have been heavily liquidated. Is this market stable now?
First, $BTC: $75,846, down 0.26%
The latest US nonfarm payrolls added 165,000 jobs, far exceeding expectations, so the Fed's policy pressure remains. Liquidation data shows BTC liquidations of $324 million in the last 24 hours, with longs accounting for 88.69%! This indicates leveraged longs have been severely hit. Short-term support to watch is 75000; if broken, look at 73000; rebound resistance is at 77000.
Next, $ETH: $2231, down 0.90%
ETH remains weaker than BTC. Previously, spot ETF funds flowed out, and market buying is insufficient. Recovery after high-leverage liquidations still needs observation. Short-term support is at 2200; only by reclaiming 2300 can further rebound opportunities arise.
Finally, $CELO: $0.06922, up 3.05%
CELO rebounded against the trend, but the trend reversal is not yet confirmed. Short-term support is at 0.068; only breaking through 0.072 can it challenge 0.075.
A few final words:
After large-scale long liquidations, prices stabilizing temporarily does not mean the risk is over. What’s more important now is to observe whether capital can continue to flow back! #AAOIQ3营收同比增长128%，连续六季创新高 Time to buy more $ETH .
So far this correction is going exactly the way I expected. Price has been bleeding lower inside the channel, and I think we get one more dip into the $2.1K–$2.2K demand zone. Maybe even a quick sweep toward $2K.
That’s where I’ll be DCAing. Not chasing bounces in between.
If it plays out, the first stop on the way back up is the $2.65K–$2.74K supply zone.
This is probably the last real pullback before the next leg. Don’t let it shake you out.Morgan Stanley's integration with DTCC advances securities tokenization, strengthening the signal for traditional institutions to enter the market. Tesla, as a highly liquid asset, will benefit from the capital overflow effect. Overall, I am bullish but cautious of short-term pullbacks. The current price is 357.24, up 4.0% in 24 hours. The funding rate returning to zero indicates the bulls are not overheated. Open interest at 44,000 shows stable positioning. The order book buy/sell ratio is 1.96, clearly favoring buyers, but the 1-hour chart has turned downward, retreating 13.63% from the high. The 4-hour uptrend remains intact, indicating short-term profit-taking by bulls. Strategically, one can lightly go long near 354.85 with a stop loss at 348.35 and a target of 363.75. If volume-driven break below 348.35 occurs, exit and wait. Single position size should be controlled within 5% of total capital.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading.——
$TSLA#摩根士丹利接入DTCC，证券代币化拓展机构应用
#摩根士丹利接入DTCC，证券代币化拓展机构应用
$TSLA $CORE 🛡️ Resilience and Security of the Mainnet Consensus Layer
Mainnet Unaffected by Attack: During the b14g protocol theft of 97 million CORE, Core DAO officially confirmed that the mainnet consensus, validator nodes, and native staking contracts operated normally throughout. This demonstrates effective isolation between the underlying blockchain architecture and upper-layer application risks, with the base layer's security proven in real-world conditions.
Zero-Downtime Decentralized Transition: The network achieved zero downtime while transferring block production rights to independent validators, showcasing the maturity of its consensus mechanism and robustness of its engineering implementation. #美国新旧国会交接或影响美伊局势 $ETH $SNDK Why did BTC plunge sharply? Fourfold pressure resonance
This round of BTC sharp decline is not due to a single negative factor, but rather the simultaneous heating up of external markets and internal crypto risks.
1. Cooling AI trading drags down risk appetite in US stocks
The market is divided on whether tech giants' AI investments can deliver returns, leading to weakness in the Nasdaq and pressure on semiconductors, causing risk capital to withdraw and crypto assets to be hit simultaneously.
2. Large BTC transfer by Trump Media raises concerns
It transferred 4,259 BTC, about $343 million, to Crypto.com-related addresses. Coupled with convertible bond repayment pressure, the market fears the company might sell BTC to repay debt, intensifying panic.
3. Inflation and interest rate expectations stir up again
Rising oil prices cause repeated inflation worries, casting doubt on the Fed's rate cut pace, putting pressure on high-risk asset valuations.
4. Concentrated forced liquidation of leveraged longs amplifies the decline
After the price broke key levels, a large number of longs were forcibly liquidated, triggering chain selling that further widened the drop.
My view:
This decline results from the combined effects of US tech stock adjustments, the BTC transfer event, macro interest rate pressure, and leveraged liquidations. In the short term, it is unwise to rush to bottom-fish or short; focus on whether US stocks can stabilize and whether BTC's key support holds."On the eve of the non-farm payrolls, don't rush to guess the direction (｡•́︿•̀｡)"
Spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen net outflows exceeding $1 billion for several consecutive trading days, with signs of institutions and large holders reducing positions becoming increasingly evident. Mining companies are also adjusting their portfolios: Core Scientific has clearly stated it will exit self-mining by Q4 2026 and shift to AI computing power hosting; MARA and Riot have taken similar actions, so selling BTC holdings is not surprising. Coupled with the Democrats taking control of both houses of Congress, regulatory expectations are heating up, making market sentiment more cautious.
On the chart, BTC is tugging between $75,000 and $81,000, with a low near $75,000 and clear divergence between bulls and bears. The $75,000–$76,000 range is key support; if broken, $72,000 or even lower levels need to be considered. ETH is fluctuating between $2,200 and $2,400, once dipping near $2,200, with support seen at $2,200–$2,150; if BTC fails to hold, ETH's decline could amplify (´･_･`).
Today's non-farm payroll data will be released, with the market expecting about 60,000 new jobs; volatility is likely to be significant after the data. At this moment, don't rush to bet on the direction; first control your position size, and wait for the non-farm data to land and the trend to become clear before making a move. Survival in the crypto world doesn't rely on getting rich from a single trade, and contracts are even more so—survive first, then play the next round (๑•̀ㅂ•́)و✧
$BTC $ETH
#非农今晚揭晓，美股大跌后市场如何押注12月加息？ Why is it dropping like this, and yet someone still dares to buy?
BTC plunged deeply to $75,707, then bounced back to $75,699.40. Many people can't understand: fundamentals haven't improved, so who's buying?
The answer lies in the data: in the past 30 days, it has already corrected by -7.40%, and the price is at the 0% percentile of the range — it has dropped deep enough and is at a low enough position, this is the cost-performance ratio. After most panic selling is done, the remaining chips have very low cost, so selling pressure naturally decreases.
Therefore, at the low level, some funds start to tentatively enter, and the buy orders on the order book gradually thicken. This is not some earth-shattering good news, but the simplest truth: when it's cheap, some people get tempted.
But on the other hand, don't mistake "someone buying" for "immediate rise." The trapped positions at $84,097 above still exist; to truly open up space, it requires volume and $85,779 to be reclaimed with strong volume.
So my strategy is very simple: accumulate in batches above $75,707, this percentile is already very low, so small positions in batches; add more after breaking $84,097; exit if it falls below $73,436.
Remember: staying calm when others panic is the hardest and most valuable skill in this field. Data is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.
#美国10月非农超预期，12月加息押注升温 $BTC #BerkshireQ3CashOutlook Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) will report Q3 results on Nov 7. Cash reserves, its equity portfolio and share buybacks will shed light on its latest capital allocation strategy. Operating earnings from core businesses such as insurance will also be in focus.Stablecoin revenue exceeded expectations, and on-chain transaction volume expanded by nearly 50%, indicating that the underlying settlement demand in the crypto market is still growing. This is an indirect positive signal for cross-chain narrative projects like Polkadot, but current linkage is limited. I lean towards a rebound rather than a reversal. Although there was a 4.2 percentage point increase over 24 hours, the one-hour and four-hour levels are still in a downtrend. The price has fallen nearly 20% from the four-hour high, currently trading at 0.9373, just above 0.8941; the top ten order book buy-sell ratio is 0.78, with sellers slightly dominant. The funding rate is only 0.0001, open interest is 8,307,000, and sentiment is cautious with no signs of chasing the rally. Operationally, one can lightly go long at 0.9285, stop loss below 0.8955, target 0.9815; if the price struggles near 0.978 and stagnates, reverse to short, stop loss at 0.9965, with a position not exceeding 20%.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$DOT #AAOIQ3 revenue grew 128% year-over-year, hitting a new high for six consecutive quarters
#Circle Q3 revenue exceeded expectations, USDC on-chain transaction volume grew 49%
$DOT