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653 million USD, 540 million ran off in 3 days
Glassnode's report today says that on October 19, 653 million USD poured into the US spot ETF, but by the 22nd, 540 million had run off, leaving a net inflow of only 67 million in two weeks
ETF trading volume also wilted, with only 700 million USD on October 23, the quietest day this year
Price stuck at 80,700 USD, just below the ETF average cost of 81,500 USD, meaning everyone is at an unrealized loss
But on-chain tells a different story
Santiment data shows a single-day net outflow of 14,942 BTC from exchanges, about 1.2 billion USD, the largest in five weeks; coins are moving to cold wallets, not to exchanges
One-month realized volatility dropped to 25%, back to summer 2023 levels; historically, such quiet days only account for 5%
I think the hot money in ETFs is running, while the long-term money on-chain is hiding; the longer the sideways movement, the bigger the next move, so observe but don't chase
Invalidation level is daily close above 85,000 USD, or ETF net inflow exceeding 200 million USD for three consecutive days
Which side are you betting on, ETF recovering first, or on-chain making the first move?
$BTC $ETH $IBIT
#Bitcoin #ETFOn the day the $BTC FOMC decision is released, Bitcoin is highly likely to experience intense market activity. Some opinions predict that in the next 7–10 days, price volatility will reach at least 10%. Before the announcement, the market generally exhibits risk-averse position reductions. Following this logic, the market is more likely to trend upward after the decision is announced. If the bulls gain momentum, BTC could challenge the 90,000 level. Of course, there is also the possibility of a weakening market; if the bears dominate, it could drop about 10% again. However, this analysis does not consider a decline as the baseline scenario, as the market has already priced in many bearish expectations. A further 10% drop would be considered an extreme move.
This judgment was proposed by Killa, a quantitative trader specializing in Bitcoin. He successfully predicted the top of this bull market in May 2025, entering a short position around 74,688 in mid-April that year, then switching to long when the market plunged in June. #BTC现货ETF资金反复，市场买盘能否企稳？ $ZEC ZEC 4-hour chart: after surging to 1332.44, profit-taking has occurred, current price is 1278.08.
The first resistance above is at 1300, with strong resistance at the previous high of 1332.44. To restart the uptrend, volume needs to increase and the price must reclaim this high point.
Short-term support is at 1270, with the core lifeline at 1250, which coincides with the EMA30 and the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. If this level is effectively broken, the current rebound structure will weaken.
The long-short ratio is 1.12, with net longs still at 6.04%. Long positions have not seen a large-scale exit, currently leaning more towards a pullback and consolidation after the rise.
Privacy coins themselves are highly elastic and volatile, with price movements closely linked to BTC. With the Federal Reserve decision approaching, market uncertainty is high, making it unsuitable to take heavy positions for speculation. Patience is advised to wait for support stabilization signals Pause in Accumulation ≠ Liquidation: The Hidden Risks of Bitcoin "Preferred Stock Buying" 🧐
Strategy has not exited the market. As of October 25, it still holds about 848,500 bitcoins at an average cost of $75,446; even at $80,000, the unrealized gain is about 6% 📈. Pausing accumulation and liquidation are fundamentally different.
Fidelity Digital Assets analyst Zack Wainwright provided a broader perspective in a report on October 20: companies buying bitcoin through issuing preferred stock have cumulatively purchased about 136,000 bitcoins, accounting for 0.5% of total bitcoin supply. Between March and May 2026, these companies used $7 billion in financing to acquire 95,000 bitcoins. Fidelity sees this product as a bridge connecting crypto assets with the approximately $150 trillion global fixed income market 🌉.
But the bridge has a load limit. Fidelity warns that this model only works if the long-term price increase of bitcoin outpaces the dividend cost. If sideways or downward trends persist too long, the previously incremental buying could become a source of liquidity risk ⚠️. The lively "buying bitcoin with financing" strategy ultimately must face the pressure test of market cycles. #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 20 minutes left, and these people have already started celebrating.
After scanning through Orbit, just a few bullish candles popped up, and the words "bullish reversal" started flooding the screen again.
I just want to ask: do you know what time it is now?
In 20 minutes, the Fed's decision will drop. Yet at this critical moment, prices are pushed up—ETH futures from 2330 to 2336, and BTC futures back above 81,000. Don’t you think this timing is a bit too coincidental?
If it were truly a bottom reversal, would the main players make such a big show before a market-wide watched decision, just to let you see it, afraid you might miss the ride?
Look at the overhead resistance. $ETH at 2377 and 2400 is holding over 10 million short positions, and the $BTC zone around 81800 and 84000 is even more densely packed with shorts. Pulling prices up now only hits positions waiting to break even. Are the main players saints, carrying the burden for those trapped?
I’ll say this: this kind of low-volume sharp rally before the decision is just for show. Once 2 PM hits, if Powell just says a firm word or mentions December again, no one who chased in now will escape.
Everyone can see the bullish candles, but few think about who is selling behind those candles.
Hold your short positions, don’t rush to exit. The real show starts at 2 PM.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布
#SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 $BTC #SAK The evolution of the privacy track is actually a continuous error-correction process.
Early projects like Monero (XMR) proved the strong demand for full privacy, but the liquidity constraints caused by excessive anonymity are also a real pain point; meanwhile, new public chains like Aleo often struggle to achieve true decentralization in token distribution and chip structure.
The new generation of privacy projects cannot just solve a single problem. The new infrastructure direction that STAK Chain is exploring tries to stand on the shoulders of predecessors, balancing "anonymous privacy" and "ecosystem usability." Whether it can truly solve the industry's legacy issues still depends on subsequent technical implementation and mechanism design.
What do you think is the biggest bottleneck that future privacy public chains need to break?
#STAKchain #Web3 #SafePal订单泄露，隐私保护待完善 Mining coins LTC, DOGE, and XMR already have large market capitalizations, with limited room for further growth. RVN Raven coin has a smaller market cap, featuring BTC's PoW computing power and fixed total supply characteristics, as well as ETH's on-chain asset issuance capability, giving it stronger long-term growth potential.But Bitcoin also has real issues: after the 4 billion short positions were liquidated, the momentum disappeared; ETF inflows are only concentrated in IBIT; the 50-week moving average at 81,000 has not yet been confirmed reclaimed by daily close; FOMC is today; the probability of a rate hike in December is 74%; 81,000 to 83,000 is a dense resistance zone for swings.
81,000 is not a "reversal." 81,000 is the position where the "50-week moving average is undergoing its first real test." If Powell dovetails, the daily close stands above 81,000, and ETF inflows spread, then 83,000 is the next gate. If Powell hawks, 81,000 is lost again, then 79,000 is the next reference point for bulls.
Don't talk about "reversal" on the night when 4 billion shorts are buried alive. First, see what Powell says today and whether 81,000 can hold above at the daily close.
(The above content does not constitute investment advice. The market has risks; only those alive have the right to talk about the future.) $BTC $ETH $SOL #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 How to view BTC, ETH, and SOL going forward? My overall judgment still leans bearish.
BTC contract funds show a net inflow of $141 million over 4 hours, but extending to 24 hours it turns into a net outflow of $37.83 million, and a weekly net outflow reaches $3.07 billion. This indicates that although there are short-term bottom-fishing activities, medium-term funds are still withdrawing. In the past 24 hours, BTC liquidations amounted to about $57.11 million, with shorts accounting for 77.1%. A clear short squeeze has already occurred earlier, but the price has not developed a strong trend; I remain skeptical about the sustainability of this rise.
ETH is slightly better, with a 24-hour contract net inflow of about $1.97 million, but still a weekly net outflow of $2 billion. Liquidations are about $28.98 million, with shorts making up 63.1%. There is short-term rebound momentum, but the medium-term capital structure remains weak.
SOL shows a 24-hour contract net outflow of about $6.86 million and a weekly net outflow of about $286 million. There is no obvious capital return; once BTC weakens, SOL’s volatility usually increases.
Overall, I am bearish but do not heavily short. Shorts have just been flushed out, so there may still be short-term rallies to lure buyers. I have already used a small position to short. Going forward, I will focus on whether funds can continue to flow back during rebounds. If prices rise but contract funds continue to flow out, I will be more confident in expecting a pullback. If funds and prices strengthen simultaneously, I will switch direction.$BTC According to news from Deep Tide TechFlow, documents submitted to the US SEC on October 26 show that Franklin Templeton has completed the registration of two index ETFs, preparing to list on Nasdaq. These two products are named Franklin US Equity Bitcoin DRIP Index ETF (FBEQ) and Franklin US Innovation Bitcoin DRIP Index ETF (FIBT).
The core logic of both funds is consistent: mainly investing in US stock assets, then using the dividends received to allocate Bitcoin, aiming to maintain BTC's proportion in the portfolio at 5%. The two have different focuses: one concentrates on large-cap US stocks, while the other leans towards innovative growth companies. The investment framework benchmarks mainstream indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, using dividends to continuously increase Bitcoin holdings, providing ordinary investors with an indirect channel to invest in Bitcoin. $QQQ #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 🚨 BITCOIN MAY RALLY UP TO 98,000 USD
$BTC is around 80,000 USD, while the Stochastic RSI hits the oversold zone. The previous three times, this signal led to a 20–40% surge.
Scenario:
- Hold 79,000–80,000 USD → consolidate support
- RSI turns up → recovery signal
- Repeat 20–21% increase → target 96,000–98,000 USD
- Sweep 75,000 USD → fill FVG before rising
The oversold zone is notable, but Bitcoin has not yet confirmed a bottom.More than 99% of the circulating spot chips of $BTW are in the hands of the dog whales, and the leverage is basically all short. The dog whales won't leave easily; there are too many shorts. What has this long-short ratio become? Except for the unlocking of over 100 million on November 2nd which might pressure the dog whales, based on this market data, the dog whales still need to continue squeezing the shorts. From yesterday until now, on-chain data shows that the top ten and top hundred spot holdings have basically not decreased, indicating that the institutions allocated by the project and the dog whales are on the same side. The 15-minute chart clearly shows volume increasing on the rise and decreasing on the fall, indicating no one is buying the dip; it's all shorting. The dog whales might launch a big spike to trigger many people's stop losses.$BNB BNB's market behavior is extremely abnormal.
With $420 million in contract positions on the line, it keeps rising every day, yet liquidations are only a few tens of thousands of dollars.
The shorts don't even get the chance to fuel the longs.
There is no leverage bubble in the market at all; it's purely driven by spot funds pushing from below.
When the overall market weakens, it instead counter-trends to aggressively absorb chips; the main force has no intention of giving shorts a chance to pull back and catch.
#BNB
$BNB
👇$HYPE HYPE这盘面看得人想笑。
一个月掏了6700万去回购，结果币价硬生生跌了22%。
钱砸下去连个像样的反弹都没砸出来。
项目方在下面硬着头皮托底，大户顺坡下驴把筹码全甩给他们。
护盘买盘消耗得差不多了，后面解锁抛压还堆着。
这种钝刀子割肉的阴跌，谁去接谁被埋。
#HYPE
$HYPE
👇📊 3 Coins, 3 On-Chain Trends
🔹 $ETH | $2,337 ⛽
Mainnet gas fees are easing as activity shifts to Layer 2 networks like Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base. Ethereum is strengthening its role as a settlement layer.
🔹 $BNB | $753.5 🤖
Low transaction costs make BNB Chain attractive for automated trading bots and small token projects.
🔹 $DOGE | $0.0792 💻
Ongoing core code improvements show gradual development beyond short-term price movements.
#OctFOMCDecisionDueSoon Liquidation map under the squeeze between bulls and bears: $BTC, $ETH, $SOL 48-hour key level observation
BTC: Current price 80,856.30. Around 81,561 above is a dense zone of passive short position liquidations, about +0.87% away, scale 66.87 million U; around 79,966 below is a passive long position liquidation zone, about -1.1% away, scale 63.15 million U. Both sides have less than 1.5% space, short-term slight fluctuations may trigger chain forced liquidations.
ETH: Current price 2,353. Around 2,375 gathers about 22.8 million U short liquidations; around 2,280 long liquidations about 33.8 million U, risk is more concentrated on the long side. If price breaks below 2,300, volatility may quickly rise.
SOL: Current price 101.56. Above 102.12 is only +0.56% away, below 99.09 is -2.43% away, overall in a narrow range, breaking out may accelerate movement.
Operation tips: Currently, the liquidation zones of bulls and bears form a squeeze; it is not advisable to chase longs or shorts in the middle area; wait for price to approach liquidation edges to observe support strength. High leverage positions must set stop losses to prevent stop-hunting spikes.
The above is for market structure observation only and does not constitute any investment advice. #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 $SOL is down 0.17%, a relatively small move in this snapshot. I’d watch whether it holds support or begins following BTC lower. The key confirmation for me is a clean break of structure backed by volume.
SOL/USDT — SHORT (Conditional)
Entry: 101.17
SL: 102.18
TP1: 100.16
TP2: 99.14
TP3: 98.13
I’d avoid entering in the middle of a range and wait for a confirmed breakdown or failed retest.Three coins, on-chain data is moving today
$ETH 2,337, Gas fees on Layer2 are dropping ⛽
Ethereum mainnet Gas fees have decreased this month because transactions have moved to Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base. At the 2337 level, money is not running on the mainnet but crossing between Layer 2s. Ethereum is becoming a "settlement layer," with real transactions happening on Layer 2.
$BNB 753.5, automated scripts on BNB Chain are increasing 🤖
The number of automated trading scripts (on-chain bots) on BNB Chain has risen this month. At the 753.5 level, on-chain interactions are much cheaper than on Ethereum. Small projects like to launch tokens on BNB Chain because Gas fees are so low they can be ignored.
$DOGE 0.0792, Dogecoin core developers are updating code 💻
Dogecoin core developers have submitted new code improvements this month. At the 0.0792 level, this is not about price speculation but underlying technology movement. Dogecoin's codebase has always been clean, with no major changes, just gradual iteration.
This article is for market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 ⚠️Can $ETH really hold the 2340 pivot? Don't be fooled by illusions🤔
Many think ETH is firmly rooted at the lower boundary of the 2340 pivot, but this support is actually full of uncertainty❗
Interestingly, the price has been stuck for a long time in this area where strong support shouldn't have formed, with bulls and bears locked in a prolonged tug-of-war.
Many traders secretly wonder: Has the rate hike cycle already ended, and will the price soon take off🚀?
But the market is never that simple.
Right now is a typical unclear mid-range market, with no clear trend, and neither bulls nor bears holding the initiative; stop-loss hunting back and forth is the norm💥.
When there is no clear direction, forcing entry for speculative play has very low cost-effectiveness.
If you don't understand or aren't sure, the best choice is to hold your position, neither forcing longs nor shorts, and patiently wait for the market to give a clear signal✨.
The consolidation phase is the easiest to drain capital; don't trade just for the sake of trading. It's much safer to act after the direction becomes clear than to gamble blindly in the fog.
⚠️This is only a market observation sharing and does not constitute any investment advice; risk control is a priority in a choppy market!
##Strategy Earnings Preview: BTC Book Gains Rebound Sharply
Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) beat expectations this quarter?
Q2 results: Revenue and GAAP EPS both missed expectations
Looking at this quarter:
Market revenue expected around $130 million
Market GAAP EPS expected around $17.3
✅ BTC surged in Q3, increasing the value of holdings; the company’s digital assets at fair value accounting show unrealized gains of about $20.9–21 billion
✅ The company continues to increase BTC holdings, liabilities are decreasing, and the balance sheet is improving
✅ MSTR is currently not focused on software business, but on the quarterly book profit volatility from BTC holdings, which looks fine so far
❌ Profits are only on paper, not realized by selling; with price fluctuations, BTC has fallen back to around $80,000 as of late October
❌ Financing has clearly slowed, net BTC accumulation in Q3 was about 1,666 BTC (compared to 84,000 BTC in Q2); common stock premium disappeared, the company has shifted to preferred stock buybacks and STRC stabilization rather than aggressively issuing shares to buy BTC
Entry point
Enter with a small position at current price; if earnings beat expectations, target $150
If below expectations, stop loss at $132
BTC rose significantly this quarter compared to last; I believe it will beat expectations
So this time, still Yes
@OKX星球 @OKX中文
#OKXUSearningsSeason #OKXExperts #TradeTradFiOnOKX🔥The most dangerous thing about BTC right now is neither rising nor falling, but that as soon as you decide on a direction, the market immediately moves the opposite way!📉
📍 From 84876 down to 79168, then back near 81000, this wave of back-and-forth volatility in BTC makes those chasing longs fear pullbacks and those chasing shorts worry about rebounds.
😮 Many brothers say they get hit from both sides, and I feel the same. But the more the market tortures you, the more you need to reduce impulsive trades. You can't assume it will keep falling just because it dropped for a while, nor rush to be bullish just because of a rebound.
🎯 My approach is simple: stick to the trading plan, wait for a valid breakout or breakdown at key levels before considering the next move. Not placing orders when unsure is also a form of discipline.
Brothers, don't rush to guess tops or bottoms. When do you think BTC will break out of this consolidation? #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $ETH ETH（以太坊）当前在 $2,330 - $2,370 附近震荡磨底，10月29日的行情大概率将延续“主力测试支撑、以横代跌”的震荡分化格局，日内短期倾向于先抑后扬或宽幅震荡。 核心基本面与技术面博弈 1. 主力成本区高度重合（强支撑验证区） 当前的盘面有一个非常核心的特征：多重技术指标和筹码成本线在 $2,310 - $2,330 美元区间形成了极度密集的交叉支撑。 • 以太坊的实现价格（Realized Price）约在 $2,310； • 200日指数移动平均线（200-day EMA）在 $2,315 附近； • 持仓量在1,000到10,000枚ETH之间的中巨鲸群体的平均持仓成本大约在 $2,328。 个人见解： 这种“三线合一”的现象说明该区间是主力资金的死守防线。10月28日晚间至29日凌晨，市场多次下探该位置都迅速收回，说明此处买盘和主力护盘意愿极强。只要收盘不有效跌破 $2,310，日内回调就是多头分批建仓的机会。 2. 基本面双重利空承压（弹性受阻） • 资金流出严重： 10月份以太坊 spot ETF 净流出已超 12 亿美元，传统机构资金在选"79% profit not realized?" — It's not that it's not realized, this trade just hasn't closed out yet.
$BCH 50x short, 290.02→285.39, +79.82%.
"Isn't the direction correct?" — Yes. The price is running low, the downtrend is still ongoing. Correct direction doesn't mean you can hold for long.
"Then why not close it all?" — The reason for shorting still holds. As long as the reason hasn't failed, there's no reason to fully exit. My stop-loss line is the price level, not the floating profit number.
"There is profit on paper, isn't it safe?" — "Having floating profit" and "absolute safety" are two different things. With 50x leverage, the buffer for this trade is less than 1%, a single rebound can wipe it out.
"So what should be done?" Move the stop to break even (at worst locking in zero), no adding positions (rebounds to cover losses are common), set a time limit (if it grinds without moving, profits will be gone). #谷歌云业务增长82%，AI投入回报如何？ The latest market moves show a clear divergence between speculative tokens and assets struggling to keep pace. 🔹 ZEC: $1,310.41 (+1.29%) Privacy coins are attracting speculative interest, but a short-term rally doesn't guarantee sustained demand. Watch whether buyers can defend the gains. 🔹 UNI: $7.178 (+0.22%) UNI is lagging the broader market rebound. Without stronger buying volume, its recovery may remain limited. 🔻 IRYS: $0.02357 (-6.05%) After its recent surge, IRYS is facing a sharp pulETH rebounded to $2,370.20, but I'm not convinced this move has enough strength to continue. Over the past 24 hours, short liquidations reached $19.34M, compared with just $4.44M in long liquidations. This suggests short covering may have contributed significantly to the rebound, although liquidation data alone cannot confirm the source of all buying pressure. Options sentiment also remains cautious, with the put/call ratio reportedly at 2.79. If accurate, this points to elevated put activity, tNarrative Rift Amid Liquidity Drought: $BTC at $80,000 vs. $188 "AI Illusion"
At 1:16 AM, the market shows extreme liquidity contraction. Spot buying is absent, and faint Pre-IPO sparks mask capital fatigue.
$BTC: 80,000 is a buffer, not a launchpad. Above $80,473, over 8.5 billion in short liquidity clusters; below 80,000, only about 3 billion in buy orders—walking on thin ice. Coinbase negative premium hits a new low, US buy orders have not returned, and the $81,500 ETF cost line support is thinning.
$ETH: Narrative stripped away. Behind $2,331, capital accelerates flowing to Solana. Lacking both BTC’s safe-haven attribute and performance narrative, it lacks independent catalysts and becomes a passive asset.
$ANTHROPIC: Valuation illusion. $188.56 corresponds to only 1.94 million daily trading volume. This contract does not map to equity dividends, and the IPO is undecided. The trillion-dollar valuation inferred is self-delusion; even minimal liquidity can cause a deep pit.
Summary: Currently, it’s not about "finding opportunities" but "distinguishing truth from falsehood." Until BTC reclaims 85,000, all rallies are relief bounces; ETH weakness is structural. High narrative with low liquidity assets carry extremely asymmetric risks. Before the FOMC, controlling positions outweighs chasing volatility.
#SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 The SK Hynix earnings print lands tonight, and crypto traders should read it as a capital-allocation signal rather than an AI sentiment gauge. Operating profit for the third quarter is expected near 77 trillion KRW, with Citibank modelling 81.3 trillion — a 614% year-on-year surge. Yet the stock sits 52% below its June peak. A blowout number that cannot lift the share price tells you the market has already priced the cycle, and the conference call's real content is HBM4 production cadence and di#نمو أعمال جوجل السحابية بنسبة 82٪، كيف هو عائد الاستثمار في الذكاء الاصطناعي؟ Sideways movement, are long positions still adding?
$BTC: Grinding in place, bulls squeezing in
$80,692, 24h up 0.22%, high $81,820, low $80,397, long-short ratio 2.05 (4h ago 1.90), open interest $2.521 billion. In the past 4h, longs exploded 1.485 million U, shorts exploded 0 U. Slight back and forth in the evening, adding at $80,400 would be pointless.
$ETH: Slowly sliding down, longs getting cut
$2,338, 24h down 0.33%, high $2,388, low $2,323, long-short ratio 2.54 (4h ago 2.35), open interest $1.463 billion. In the past 4h, longs exploded 2.125 million U, shorts exploded 131,000 U. Continuous slow decline, breaking $2,323 will head to $2,300.
$SOL: Sideways above $100, most crowded longs
$101.31, 24h up 0.37%, high $103.69, low $100.47, long-short ratio 3.17 (4h ago 3.03), open interest $325 million. In the past 4h, longs exploded 326,000 U, shorts exploded 3,000 U. Grinding at $101 in the evening, holding $100 is necessary to try for $103 again.
Summary: Price grinding in place, longs are getting more crowded, all explosions are longs.
Adding positions when it’s not moving, you get cut when it moves.
For market record only, not investment advice
#ThisWeekWillAnnounceOctoberFOMCInterestRateDecision #OctoberFOMCInterestRateDecisionComing $BTC $ETH $SOL This round of capital game is quite interesting🔥
Just saw an institution doing a buyback to support the price, then BitMine officially announced adding 10,452 $ETH to their position, putting real money on the table💥
Rough calculation: over ten thousand $ETH, at current prices that's tens of millions of dollars, and they made the move when BTC fell below 80,000 and market sentiment was weak, really aggressive💸
Where's the signal?💰
On one side, there's defensive buyback; on the other, a mining company diversifying by hoarding Ethereum, indicating big money isn't united: some are reducing risk, others are picking up panic chips. Miners buying ETH might be betting on Ethereum's catch-up potential relative to BTC and the current odds📈
But retail investors, don't get carried away⚠️
Institutions can build positions slowly over quarters or years, while contract traders compete on timing. The market is weak now, chasing rallies risks fake breakouts, and heavy bottom-fishing shouldn't be rushed. Watch key levels and volume for short-term moves, keep some position flexibility🧊
Can BitMine's move send ETH soaring? Or will it just cause a splash? Are you planning to watch, buy the dip, or wait for confirmation? Let's discuss in the comments👇#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 #RobinhoodQ3营收增长，净利润下降 $WLD current price 0.4233 is stuck in the contradiction between 1-hour oversold (RSI 27.5) and 4-hour weakness (EMA20 resistance at 0.4447). The 24-hour decline of 2.94% has tested the 0.4172 support but rebounded without volume. This floor-hugging yet unresisting movement is like a patient whose blood oxygen suddenly drops but refuses oxygen.
The current judgment remains bearish, as the 1-hour volume is only 52% of the average and the price cannot break through the 0.4439 resistance. Although the oversold indicator shows a rebound demand, if it cannot stand above the 1-hour EMA20 (0.4328) with volume, the short-term rebound may just be a downward continuation; conversely, if it breaks below 0.4172 accompanied by increased volume, the oversold range may further shift downward.
The key contradiction is: will you treat the current RSI oversold as a signal to catch a rebound, or wait for the price to break through the 4-hour resistance at 0.4732 with volume to confirm a trend reversal?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
#WLD$BTC I placed this Bitcoin order today in advance the day before. A few days ago, I closed the short position I established last Thursday. At that time, the price fluctuated repeatedly around 79100 but never broke through, so I chose to close all short positions above 80300. After closing the position, I have been waiting for the right opportunity to short again. Initially, I considered setting the entry point at 80800, but this position is too close and lacks dense trapped chips; in contrast, 82800 is a range where trapped chips have accumulated over a long period of consolidation. According to past trends, the main force may not provide this entry window. After weighing the options, I finally chose to place the order at 81780. The reason I favor this price level should be clear to those familiar with my previous shares: Bitcoin's pullback and rebound relay positions often fall near the tail numbers seven hundred or eight hundred, unless encountering extreme highs or lows. The 84800 that appeared last Thursday is a typical example.Are Coinbase and Binance trading in opposite directions? What is the market trend?
From Feng Xiong's perspective, the focus is on the capital flows of USDC and USDT. Coinbase mainly trades with USDC pairs, while Binance mainly trades with USDT pairs.
┈➤ USDT funds no longer show obvious outflows
Meanwhile, the market cap of USDC has decreased several times recently. The outflow of USDT funds is relatively smaller. After October 20, USDT funds basically stopped flowing in. See Figure 1.
┈➤ OTC price rises: retail funds begin to enter
Although the USD to RMB exchange rate continues to decline, as shown in Figure 2.
However, the OTC price of USDT has been on an upward trend since October 23, as shown in Figure 3. Therefore, retail funds are starting to enter.
┈➤ No obvious signs of institutional fund inflows yet
However, the overall market cap of USDT still shows no growth trend. As shown in Figure 4, on October 27, USDT had a small amount of fund inflow, while USDC experienced outflows.
On October 28, USDC temporarily had a small inflow of funds, but the USDT market cap dropped significantly again.
Institutional funds may not have flowed in.
This recent rally is most likely due to Hynix's earnings report injecting confidence into the market.
But with retail funds starting to enter and no obvious signs of institutional inflows yet, the trend is likely still downward. Around the midterm elections and after, political reshuffling may also impact the macroeconomy. There may be further reasons for a decline ahead.Alphabet, the parent company of Google, will release its fiscal year 2026 third-quarter earnings report after the U.S. stock market closes this Wednesday. The market's key focus includes the actual growth level of Google Cloud, the scale of TPU external supply, and the 2027 capital expenditure plan it provides. The pressure on free cash flow is a major potential risk in this earnings report.
The current market consensus expects revenue for this quarter to reach $127.833 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.9%; net profit is estimated at $37.334 billion, a year-on-year growth of about 6.73%.
Several investment banks have simultaneously updated their forward-looking assessments: JPMorgan has raised its year-on-year growth forecast for Google Cloud revenue from 88% to 100%; Deutsche Bank believes the search business growth momentum is stable this quarter; HSBC predicts its operating profit margin could reach 44.5%, higher than the market average, and GAAP-based EBIT is expected to increase by 35% year-on-year#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $SKHYNIX Hynix's positive news has been realized, and $SNDK SanDisk still has a chance to rally before the earnings report! Tomorrow, the Federal Reserve is the key!
First, about Hynix, the earnings report has been released, and although the performance is good, the market has already priced in some expectations in advance, so there won't be much upside from now on. After SanDisk's earnings report comes out, it will start to decline.
Next, looking at SanDisk, the short-term trend remains strong, not far from the 1400 level, and since the earnings report hasn't been announced yet, the market will continue to trade based on storage demand and earnings expectations. My view is bullish; you can enter around 1370, targeting above 1400.
Finally, what really cannot be ignored is tomorrow's Federal Reserve meeting. The market has basically priced in no change in October, but what will truly influence the market direction is Waller's assessment of inflation, employment, and financial conditions, as well as whether he leaves clear room for another rate hike in December.
In summary, don't chase Hynix's rise, continue to enter long positions on SanDisk aiming above 1400, and control your position size before the Fed meeting to avoid giving back all your profits and missing the upcoming one-sided market!
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Gold and the Federal Reserve Congressional Session Operation Strategy
The root of this round of gold rebound is the breather opportunity brought by the decline in oil prices. WTI fell below $100, and the market's concern about energy pushing inflation and forcing rate hikes temporarily cooled down. Short sellers concentrated on taking profits, triggering the rise. This is only an emotional repair, not a strong bullish market actively driven by buyers.
The real shackles remain the US dollar and high interest rates.
The US dollar index rose above 102 last night, hitting a two-week high; US Treasury yields remain above 5%. Oil prices fell back, but the dollar and real interest rates did not weaken in sync. This $40 rebound inherently lacks momentum. Large funds remain cautious, all waiting for the Federal Reserve's direction at midnight.
At 2 a.m., the FOMC interest rate decision is basically a foregone conclusion to pause rate hikes, with a probability over 90%. The market's focus has never been whether to raise rates tonight, but the expectation of a rate hike in December—the current market pricing still shows over an 80% chance of a 25 basis point hike by year-end.
Operation Strategy
Price rebounds to the 4080-4090 range, target 4050-4030!
Price pulls back to the 4015-4025 range for long positions, target 4060-4080
Summary of tonight's market in one sentence: do not chase the rebound, wait for Powell to finish speaking. Short near 4085 if resistance appears, consider going long again if support emerges near 4020. The fluctuations in between are just noise. FOMC NEXT
The market is expecting rates to stay unchanged, and I'm leaning the same way.
But the rate decision isn't what I'm watching.
It's what comes next.
More cuts ahead? Bullish for crypto.
Hikes back on the table? Things could get ugly.
All eyes on Conference
#FOMC$AKE This wild coin started acting up again in the middle of the night!
It had been steadily dropping from around 0.04 down to about 0.019, and it seemed like there was hardly any movement left. Then suddenly, in the early morning, it pulled several big bullish candles in a row, shooting straight up to around 0.02224.
Fortunately, I had already positioned long near 0.0196 with my brothers ahead of this move, and the current unrealized profit has nearly tripled, with the position still open.
Why dare to go long at such a low level? Mainly because on the 4-hour chart, after continuous declines, the price repeatedly tested around 0.019 without making new lows, and the KDJ indicator had entered the oversold zone. There was a short-term rebound opportunity, so I took a position early.
Now, on the 15-minute chart, volume is continuously increasing with MACD bullish momentum clearly strengthening, but KDJ has already reached a high level, so chasing the rally short-term carries risk.
Next, the key is to watch if 0.02224 can be broken and held. If so, there’s a chance to test around 0.023. If it pulls back after the surge, first watch the support near 0.0215.
This kind of wild coin rallies fiercely and crashes just as hard. If you have profits, protect them first—don’t let your unrealized gains slip away again. $BTC $ZEC #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $DOS Signal — LONG 🟢
Entry: 0.3330–0.3370
TP1: 0.3420
TP2: 0.3480
TP3: 0.3550
Stop Loss: 0.3260
Bias: Bullish 📈
Support: 0.3240
Resistance: 0.3399
Note: Price has risen strongly on the 1H chart and is trading above the EMAs.
Resistance near 0.3399 may cause a pullback, so avoid chasing the price.
Wait for a breakout or a retest before entering. This is a chart-based setup, not a guaranteed result.
#DailyOrbit @OKX 预言家 [On the Eve of FOMC] Breath-holding at 1:20 AM: The Battle to Defend the 80,000 Level and Pre-IPO Gambles
At 1:20 AM, on the eve of the FOMC, the market is holding its breath in defense.
$ANTHROPICUSDT (188.64, -0.72%): Binance Pre-IPO perpetual contract, betting on Anthropic's listing valuation. Price differences with some platforms stem from assumptions about estimated share capital; currently dominated by expectation-driven speculation, so spot market pricing logic is not appropriate.
$BTCUSDT (80,491.1, -0.48%): Stuck below the 50-day moving average at 81,831, an early session surge to 81,687 was quickly given back, showing solid selling pressure. The FOMC is expected to maintain rates, but if the statement signals a December rate hike, losing the 80,000 level will open room for a retracement.
$ETHUSDT (2,332.07, -0.74%): Fell about 13.6% in October, dragged down by ETF outflows. The 2,300 level is a key zone of on-chain cost and the 200-day EMA; holding here means stabilization, losing it points to 2,200; NUPL near zero indicates fragile breakeven.
Summary: The pre-FOMC decline is a defensive move amid liquidity tightening, not a directional choice. ANTHROPIC offers a low-correlation narrative exposure, but Pre-IPO volatility is high. The real signal lies in the post-meeting statement wording, not the rate figures.
#SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 #SK Hynix Q3 revenue surpasses 100 trillion KRW for the first time
『Market Strength and Weakness Ranking』
5-minute median slippage, estimated by market depth
$AKE Cost differences mainly reflect large purchases. Simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.16%/0.18%, for 100,000 scale is 1.62%/0.74%. The asymmetry is an execution issue, not a signal of price rise or fall.
$BTW Large sell order costs decrease, buy order costs increase. Simulated slippage for 100,000 scale buy/sell changed from 0.53%/0.66% to 0.74%/0.59%. The rising side has reduced volume, the falling side can be maintained.
$IRYS After enlarging the order, slippage on both buy and sell sides increased significantly. Simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.12%/0.11%, for 100,000 scale is 0.67%/0.54%. Large orders are estimated based on the 100,000 scale cost first, not the 10,000 scale.Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$APR top accounts are more bullish, positions still lean bearish. The proportion of long accounts increased by 2.71 percentage points, the proportion of long positions increased by 1.13 percentage points, still at 43.3%. More people are on one side, but positions still lean the other way; do not directly translate account bias as position dominance.#Oil prices have risen above $115 again, but I'm not in a hurry to ease Middle East risks
At 19:15 Beijing time on October 28, Brent crude was quoted at $115.19, up about 1.2%. The Houthi forces claimed an attack on Saudi Arabia's largest refinery, which Saudi Arabia had not yet confirmed at the time. This back-and-forth makes me feel that the market's reaction to easing expectations in the past two days has outpaced the actual improvement in supply. I will first verify refinery production and export shipment status. If there is no sustained production loss, the sentiment-driven price increase may be retraced; once production and transportation are both obstructed, the cost pressure faced by companies will be difficult to relieve quickly.BTC moved only 0.13% in 24 hours, while PEPE jumped 7.32%🐸 Two different trends on the same market.
The market is all waiting for the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with a general expectation of no change. What everyone is really watching for is whether the post-decision statement hints at another rate hike in December. As a result, mainstream coins showed little volatility before the decision: BTC 80645, 24h -0.13%, amplitude 1.76%; ETH 2335.71, 24h -0.78%. It looks like the entire market has been put on pause.
But on the other hand, PEPE-USDT 24h +7.32%, amplitude 13.39%, jumping quite lively. My understanding is that before major events, funds are reluctant to open large positions in mainstream coins, so they go to small coins and memes for fun. So don’t directly interpret “waiting for the decision” as “the whole market is paused”; a quiet market and quiet sectors are two different things.
Personally, I treat mainstream coins as the background, and memes only as a sentiment thermometer, not chasing after them. Are you now focusing on how BTC will react after the decision, or on the independent trend of small coins like PEPE?$INIT This wave is a rebound market that emerged after a long period of bottom consolidation. The bottom repeatedly grinds, clearing out trapped floating chips above; after funds reach consensus, a rally is launched, strategically positioning for 10x long positions with a floating profit of 196.00%.
The characteristic of small-cap coins is that the bottom grinds you down, but once it rallies, the explosive power is good. However, when funds withdraw, the decline is also rapid. Even with considerable floating profits, risk control cannot be relaxed.
This rebound has already opened up space and is approaching the upper resistance zone, where a pullback and correction may occur at any time. Take profits in batches, maintain good defense points, and do not cling to the battle. $SNDK $IRYS #10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 Bitcoin's realized volatility over the past month has dropped to about 25%, falling back to the summer 2023 level; since August, realized losses triggered by each round of decline have also continued to narrow, indicating reduced selling pressure. Glassnode believes Bitcoin is currently in a range-bound state characterized by weak demand and limited selling pressure, with the market focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on October 28. If the daily close rises back above $85,000, it could be an initial signal for further rebound; if it falls below the average cost of active investors at about $77,900, attention should be paid to the short-term holder cost support near $75,800.
Market data shows Bitcoin has fallen below the $84,000 to $85,000 range, which has blocked price increases four times this year. Inflows into the US spot Bitcoin ETF have clearly cooled, with net inflows of only about $67 million in the past two weeks; major buy orders on Binance's spot order book have also shifted down to $78,000 to $79,000, totaling about $42 million. #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC $ETH A certain whale bought 40 million, should retail investors follow the rush??
ETH rebounded from 2289 to 2369.26, now the price has fallen back to 2354.41, showing obvious weakness after the surge. More interestingly, news came that a certain whale bought about 42.3 million USD worth of crypto assets, including 14,600 ETH. The news is quite lively, but the candlestick chart did not immediately show a strong breakout signal.
A reminder: a whale buying spot does not mean you can easily win by trading contracts. We may not know how long they can hold or at what cost, so don't rush to follow just because a big player is buying up.
In terms of operation, around 2350 is a short-term observation point; if it breaks down, watch 2330, and further down to 2289; the resistance zone is between 2365—2370, only if it effectively holds above 2369 is there more reason to be bullish. If the rebound is weak, you can consider light shorting opportunities, with above 2380 as a risk defense reference.
#SK海力士Q3营收首破100万亿韩元 Around eighty thousand dollars, some see a cliff, others see a bottom consolidation. @梁老表's stance on this is very clear: he tends to believe that Bitcoin is repeatedly grinding in the bottom area, rather than waiting for a drop that conveniently allows everyone to comfortably get in. But he immediately draws a line—this bullish bias is mainly directed at spot holders and is by no means a basis for leveraged full positions. What he disagrees with most is treating the $74,000 to $76,000 range as a guaranteed buy point that, once caught, will directly take off. In his analysis, the market may already be consolidating near $79,000; if a strong enough shock occurs, it could directly break through those commonly watched levels. He does not believe mainstream expectations are always precisely met but also acknowledges there are no absolutes in financial markets. First, looking at $BTC, he interprets the current market as being in a box between $80,000 and $85,000, emphasizing that daily closes are more important than intraday wicks. The price repeatedly probes downward and then recovers, which he sees as insufficient to confirm a complete breakdown of the box. Even if it retests just above $79,000, one should not only look at how much it dropped at a moment but also whether the low continues to extend and if it can regain footing afterward. This forms his core dividing line: if the key low near $79,000 holds and does not continue to make lower lows, he still leans toward viewing it as a bottom-building consolidation; if the low is effectively broken, the original defense logic must be re-examined. Translating "possibly bottoming" directly as "won't fall further" precisely removes his conditional judgment. The short term is another matter. 老表 reviewed the previous day's convergence Set your alarm for $BTC tonight, don’t sleep too deeply!!!
I’m not trying to scare you!
FOMC interest rate decision at 2 AM on October 29
About 90% of the market expects 3.75%–4.00% unchanged
The key is not the result, but whether Powell stays tough!
If he hints at a possible rate hike in December
Combined with the November 3 midterm elections approaching, sentiment will immediately turn cautious.
After a false weekly breakout at 84400, it has been falling all the way
Only a solid hold means the correction is over and the trend restarts
Failing to hold is a bull trap.
The support zone at 79000–79500 has been tested multiple times and is effective; watch if tonight brings a fake break below and then a recovery
Buying support is not weak, short-term longs can watch but don’t get overexcited.
Funding rates are still high
This is the core pressure on the rebound; without funding rate easing, any rise is hollow, don’t chase highs.
Trading reference: watch resistance at 81800-82800 above
Support at 79000–79500 below $ETH $ZEC
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布 $BTC short near current price 80600, target around 79000-78500
$ETH short near current price 2335, target around 2280-2250
Forecast that the Federal Reserve will keep the federal funds rate target range unchanged at 3.75%—4.00% in the October meeting, in line with previous market expectations.
Structurally, the short-term bearish structure has not been broken. This rebound is mostly short covering and sentiment recovery driven by the repair of US tech stocks, but spot volume has not expanded correspondingly, representing a typical low-volume rebound.
#10月FOMC利率决议即将公布